Supremex Inc. (TSX:SXP)
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Apr 29, 2026, 9:30 AM EST
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Earnings Call: Q3 2025

Nov 6, 2025

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the SupremeX Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. To join the question queue, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. Should you need assistance during the conference, you may signal an operator by pressing star then zero. Before turning the meeting over to management, please be advised that this conference call will contain statements that are forward-looking and subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. I would like to remind everyone that this conference call is being recorded on Thursday, November 6th, 2025. I will now turn the call over to Martin Goulet of MBC Capital Markets Advisors. Please go ahead.

Martin Goulet
Partner and Senior VP of Investor Relations, MBC Capital Markets Advisors

Thank you, and good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thanks for joining this discussion of SupremeX's Financial and Operating Results for the Third Quarter ended September 30th, 2025. The press release reporting these results was published earlier this morning via the GlobeNewswire News Services. It can also be found in the investors' section of the company's website at www.SupremeX.com, along with the MD&A and financial statements. These documents are available on SEDAR+ as well. A presentation supporting this conference call has also been posted on the website. Let me remind you that all figures expressed on today's call are in CAD unless otherwise stated. Presenting today will be Stewart Emerson, President and CEO of SupremeX, as well as Norm MacAuley, CFO.

With that, I invite you to turn to slide 37 of the presentation for an overview of the 3rd quarter, and I turn the call over to Stewart.

Stewart Emerson
President and CEO, Supremex

Hey, thank you, Martin. Good morning, everyone. I'm joined today by Norm MacAuley, SupremeX's new Chief Financial Officer. Norm joined us mid-September and brings more than 20 years of experience as a financial executive with large private and public companies. We're very pleased to have him on board as the company will benefit from his leadership skills and expertise in all matters related to corporate finance, M&A, and process optimization. Welcome aboard, Norm. While the results may not have been where we wanted them to be, largely due to external forces, we have been uber-active in building the business, returning value to shareholders, and positioning ourselves to execute on our plan and long-term success. First, I want to draw your attention to our financial position, which is as strong as it has ever been.

As you know, during the quarter, we completed the sale leaseback of two owned properties in a transaction that grossed CAD 53 million. This transaction unlocked significant value for our shareholders, who were rewarded with a CAD 0.50 per share Special Dividend on top of the regular CAD 0.05 Quarterly Payout. We also repaid a substantial amount of debt, leaving us with net debt of only CAD 89 million at the end of Q3, which provides us with excellent flexibility to carry out our business strategy. Norm will discuss the net debt position in more detail shortly. Now, let's look more closely at operations, beginning with the envelope business. While revenue decreased 5% year- over- year, it was up 3% sequentially from Q2 as we battled significant headwinds. To provide color on those headwinds. First, obviously, the Canada Post uncertainty continues to affect volumes, primarily in the high-value.

Added direct mail and fundraising space. I wish I could give you an exact number, but it's difficult. However, looking at the DM-centric accounts and anecdotally, it's clear that the uncertainty of when a time-sensitive piece will arrive in the mailbox has taken its toll on volumes. Second, if you recall from last quarter, we highlighted a substantial volume decline with an important U.S. direct mail client, and that situation affected Q3 results considerably. More on that. Later in the commentary. Finally, economic uncertainty, instability, and a slowing economy both in Canada and the U.S. is not helpful to volumes, particularly in the direct mail and fundraising segment. Frankly, being - 5% versus last year and up 3% sequentially can be viewed as a good outcome through our prism.

We've worked hard to manage costs effectively, augment our position in the Canadian market with a tuck-in acquisition of Canada's 3rd-largest producer, and. While nothing is in the bucket, our relationship with the aforementioned U.S. direct mail account is solid. We continue to do work for them, and we are optimistic about 2026. I understand quarter-to-quarter is an important measure, and as I said a moment ago, we view a 5% decline in revenue as a pretty good outcome given the challenges. To me, year-over-year is a better measure, and in that case, despite the headwinds created by Canada Post, which has persisted virtually all year, and the slowing economies. That single U.S. customer reduction has accounted for more than 100% of the revenue decline year to year. In fact, net of the impact of one customer, U.S.

Units and revenue are up mid to high single-digit percentages, and across the entire SupremeX envelope segment globally, units are down less than 1%. Revenue is flat, and average selling price is up year- over- year. Our team has done a tremendous job both operationally and on the sales side to mitigate the effects in a tough environment on both sides of the border. A few moments ago, I mentioned the acquisition of the 3rd-largest envelope manufacturer in Canada, and I wanted to provide a little more context. In July, we acquired the assets of Enveloppe Laurentide in Saint-Laurent, Quebec, a suburb a mere km from our La Salle Envelope Facility. Laurentide manufactured and brokered envelopes primarily in eastern Canada. As planned, we ceased production at their facility on August 15th and integrated both the manufactured and brokered volume within our existing network in Canada.

This highly accretive acquisition will improve absorption and will deliver meaningful synergies going forward. In a nutshell, while on the surface, envelope performance may not have been where we wanted or expected them to be, the team has done a good job navigating very choppy waters. Our underlying fundamentals are solid, and we have confidence in our ability to drive volume to maintain high levels of utilization and absorption across our highly efficient network. Turning to packaging, although revenue was down, we sustained our momentum with double-digit growth in both Folding Carton and E-commerce Solutions, while Paragraph's Commercial Printing activities, largely for the direct mail market, not surprisingly, had a difficult quarter. In Folding Carton, double-digit growth both in the quarter and year to date was driven by continued strong performance in the health and beauty and Over-the-ounter Pharmaceutical Segments.

New business wins from current and reactivated customers and revenue from the newly acquired Transgraphic Folding Carton Business, which supports our strategic plan to enhance our presence in the Food-grade Packaging, where we see solid growth prospects. While the Enveloppe Laurentide Transaction closed on July 14 and ceased production a month later, in this highly accretive transaction, we closed Transgraphic a week earlier on July 7 and ceased production 14 days later. As planned, most of Transgraphic's activities have been transferred to the Lachine Facility, which will allow us to grow in the Food Packaging Space, improve efficiency and absorption, as well as achieve meaningful synergies. It should be noted that we exited both facilities by the end of October.

In E-commerce and Specialty Packaging, momentum created by new customer wins and greater volume from existing customers produced well into double-digit revenue growth for yet another quarter and year to date. While the core of the packaging business continues to perform admirably, both in terms of revenue and profitability, unfortunately, the less core commercial Print Business continues to have its challenges. We haven't really spoken about Paragraph's customer and product base in the past. However, like Envelope, this business has meaningful reliance on Canada Post, direct mail, and fundraising with respect to the inner components and couponing. Not surprisingly, these revenues have been materially impacted by Canada Post's uncertainty, delivery of time-sensitive offers and promotions. Excuse me. While we are focused, we just haven't been able to offset the precipitous drop in volume and revenue in the relatively small Quebec market.

As for profitability in the segment, the drop in Paragraph revenue took the wind out of our sail after an encouraging 1st half and strong revenue performance of two of the three legs of the business in Q3. This quarter's adjusted EBITDA margin of 10.5% is clearly not acceptable. The stark lack of volume and contribution from Paragraph has shaved off approximately 300 basis points of packaging margin on a year-to-date basis. I reiterate what I've said for several quarters now. We have high-quality assets, available capacity, deliver quality products and service, have a premium diversified customer base on both sides of the border, as well as the right leadership in the right seats. Volume is magic in terms of absorption, and we continue to look for profitable revenue growth, but there's also more to capture within our network in terms of efficiencies and synergies. This is our priority.

With that, I turn the call over to Norm for a review of the financial results.

Norm MacAuley
CFO, SupremeX

Thank you, Stewart. Good morning, everyone. I'm very pleased to join SupremeX, a dynamic, well-managed, and financially disciplined company. Please turn to slide 38 of the presentation. Q3 total revenue came in at CAD 65.7 million compared to CAD 69.4 million last year. Envelope revenue was CAD 45.1 million, down from CAD 47.5 million last year, but up sequentially from CAD 43.8 million in the 2nd quarter. The year-over-year variation reflects a 4.2% decrease in average selling prices, mainly due to a less favorable customer and product mix between the U.S. and Canada. Meanwhile, volume decreased 0.8%, and as Stewart mentioned, volume in Canada increased due to the Enveloppe Laurentide acquisition, while the U.S. decline was essentially related to one customer. Packaging and specialty products revenue was CAD 20.6 million versus CAD 21.9 million last year. The decrease is mostly attributable to lower revenue from Commercial Printing activities.

This was offset by higher Folding Carton revenue driven by greater demand from sectors more closely correlated to economic conditions, new business wins from existing customers, and the contribution from Transgraphic, which was acquired in July. Revenue from E-commerce-related packaging solutions also increased, driven by higher demand from existing customers and new customer wins. Moving to slide 39. Adjusted EBITDA totaled CAD 6.2 million, or 9.4% of sales, compared to CAD 7.9 million, or 11.4% of sales in last year's 3rd quarter, but up sequentially from CAD 5.8 million, or 8.8% of sales in the 2nd quarter of 2025. Envelope-adjusted EBITDA was CAD 5.3 million, or 11.8% of sales versus CAD 7.9 million, or 16.7% of sales last year. The decrease reflects lower selling prices and the effect of lower volume on the absorption of fixed costs. These factors were partially offset by benefits from optimization measures in the Toronto area and procurement optimization initiatives.

Packaging and specialty products-adjusted EBITDA was CAD 2.2 million, or 10.5% of sales, compared to CAD 2.5 million, or 11.3% of sales last year. The decrease is due to a less favorable revenue mix, partially offset by procurement optimization initiatives. Finally, corporate and unallocated costs totaled CAD 1.3 million versus CAD 2.5 million last year. The decrease is attributable to a foreign exchange gain this quarter as opposed to a loss last year and to lower professional fees. Turning to slide 40. During the quarter, SupremeX recorded a CAD 6.1 million gain on the sale leaseback transaction. The transaction, which resulted in increased right-of-use assets and lease liabilities, created a Deferred Tax Asset, which gave rise to an income tax recovery of CAD 3.1 million in Q3 2025.

As a result, SupremeX concluded the 3rd quarter with net earnings of CAD 9.1 million, or CAD 0.37 per share, versus a net loss of CAD 23 million, or a loss of CAD 0.92 per share in last year's 3rd quarter, in which an asset impairment charge of CAD 23 million was incurred. Adjusted net earnings were CAD 4.7 million, or CAD 0.19 per share in Q3 2025, up from CAD 1 million, or CAD 0.05 per share, a year ago. Moving to cash flow on slide 41. Net cash flows from operating activities were -CAD 0.6 million compared to +CAD 7.6 million last year, mainly due to a lower working capital release this year compared to last. Turning to slide 42. Net debt stood at CAD 8.9 million as of September 30, 2025.

Down significantly from CAD 38.4 million three months ago, reflecting a long-term debt repayment of CAD 31.5 million using proceeds from the sale leaseback. Further, we used CAD 13.5 million of the proceeds from the sale leaseback to pay both the regular dividend and special dividend, and CAD 7.9 million to acquire both Enveloppe Laurentide and Transgraphic during the quarter. Our ratio of net debt to adjusted EBITDA was 0.3 times versus 1.1 times three months ago, well within our comfort zone of keeping our leverage ratio below 2 times net debt to adjusted EBITDA. Our strong financial position leaves us with significant flexibility to finance our operations and future investments, including acquisitions, as well as to return funds to shareholders. In this regard, following the launch of a normal course issuer bid program in August, we repurchased approximately 44,000 shares in Q3 for a consideration of CAD 0.2 million.

Subsequent to period end, we repurchased an additional 38,864 shares for a consideration of CAD 0.1 million. The NCIB program allows SupremeX to purchase for cancellation more than 1.5 million shares, representing 10% of our public float until August 10th, 2026. Finally, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of CAD 0.05 per common share payable on December 19, 2025, to shareholders of record at the close of business on December 4, 2025. I now turn the call back to Stewart for the outlook.

Stewart Emerson
President and CEO, Supremex

Great. Thanks, Norm. Although our results were short of our potential, we're buoyed by the significant important improvements in our core business, materially improved operations, and the benefits of the tuck-ins completed partway through the quarter as we continue to methodically build the business for the long term. As I've said previously, we can't control the economy and the trade environment, but we will focus on making our envelope and packaging networks more productive and efficient while actively driving sales and seeking additional revenue opportunities. We have a solid foundation ready to be further built on. Our balance sheet is very strong, which provides us with the flexibility to execute our business strategy and sustain long-term profitable growth. We will also utilize our available cash capital and strong cash flow judiciously.

First, by looking for acquisition targets that we can rapidly and efficiently tuck into our existing footprint to enhance absorption to drive profitability, or towards transactions that grow reach in our principal markets while enhancing absorption to drive profitability. Second, we are committed to returning value to shareholders via share repurchase and a fair yet conservative regular quarterly dividend payout that reflects our confidence in the ability to sustain free cash flow growth. This concludes our prepared remarks. We're now ready to answer your questions. Operator.

Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. To join the question queue, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. You will hear a tone acknowledging your request. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing any keys. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. We will pause for a moment as callers join the queue. The first question comes from Donangelo Volpe with Beacon Securities. Please go ahead.

Donangelo Volpe
Equity Research Analyst, Beacon Securities

Hey, good morning, guys. Just looking at the two acquisitions, just shy of CAD 8 million spent. Just curious on what was the split between the two on a revenue basis and kind of what their trailing 12-month revenue and EBITDA profiles looked like.

Stewart Emerson
President and CEO, Supremex

Whoa. The envelope—hey, I'm sorry. The envelope acquisition was a little north of CAD 10 million, and the Folding Carton was somewhere around just shy of CAD 3 million. We do the splits there.

Norm MacAuley
CFO, SupremeX

Those on a TTM basis.

Stewart Emerson
President and CEO, Supremex

On a TTM basis, yeah. Both businesses were profitable, but with the synergies of the tuck-in, highly accretive for SupremeX in a very short period.

Donangelo Volpe
Equity Research Analyst, Beacon Securities

Okay. Perfect. Thank you. Then just pivoting over to the packaging side, can you just provide a little bit more color on the underperformance from the Commercial Printing? Just curious how big this drag was and kind of what your outlook is over the coming quarters because how I'm looking at this is the Folding Carton and E-commerce Packaging revenues are tracking above expectations.

Stewart Emerson
President and CEO, Supremex

Yeah. I mean, obviously, it was a significant drag with reference to both E-com and Folding Carton, both double-digit percentages, significant increases. They were more than offset by the decline in the commercial print operations. I wish I had talked a little bit more about what's inside that commercial print business. As you can imagine, anything in direct mail and fundraising has internal components that go in it. There is a fair bit of couponing, and that work is largely done by commercial printers, and Paragraph was no exception to the rule. If there is no direct mail going out, there are no postcards showing up in your mailbox or significantly reduced numbers. It has a drag on the commercial print sector. Paragraph's top two customers are direct mail customers. It just overshadowed significant growth on sort of the core piece of the business, if you will.

As Canada Post stabilizes and we get this thing behind us and under our belt, that revenue should come back, or a large chunk of it should come back. We're actively addressing the cost side of the business to align with the changes in revenue.

Donangelo Volpe
Equity Research Analyst, Beacon Securities

Okay. Perfect. Thanks for the color there. Just pivoting over to, I guess, the geographic revenues. We were impressed with the revenues in Canada. It is relatively flat year-over-year. The decline was mostly attributable to the U.S. operations. I'm assuming it is through that one customer. Can you talk to some of the dynamics you are seeing throughout the start of Q4 so far? Has there been any positive commentary from that one customer, or do we kind of expect the continued year-over-year declines over the next couple of quarters from the U.S., predominantly driven through the one customer?

Stewart Emerson
President and CEO, Supremex

There's a lot of questions wrapped up in that question there, Donangelo.

Donangelo Volpe
Equity Research Analyst, Beacon Securities

I'm going to be asking a million questions.

Stewart Emerson
President and CEO, Supremex

Yeah. So I was writing them down, but I presume you're talking envelope predominantly. Before I forget, I will reference packaging just a little bit. Both Folding Carton and E-commerce, they continue on a bit of a tear on the revenue side. While we don't provide guidance specifically, both of them got out of the gate in Q4, and the backlogs are really good. We are excited there. On the envelope side, yeah. Canada envelope, I mean, it's a little engine that could. There's not a lot of direct mail envelope in Canada, so the postal strike doesn't sort of affect as much as a lot of people would expect. The Canadian envelope business just chugs along. It got a little growth in average selling price, and it was buoyed by the two and a half months, 2.25 months of Laurentide in the foundation.

A little bit offset by some increased costs early in the acquisition that you sort of have to absorb. The revenue of Laurentide certainly helped. It contributed exactly on pace of what we would have expected, given their TTM revenue. On the U.S. side, the team's done a heck of a job trying to offset and getting growth to try and offset, call it customer A, if you will, just to make it easier. They've done a good job sort of offsetting it. The conversations with customer A are very encouraging. Very encouraging. As I said in my comments, it's not like we lost the customer. That's an important consideration. The customer changed some buying habits. Our share of the customer weren't at the same level that they've been previously, but we continue to do business for them.

We continue to execute on their behalf. We are an important supplier to them. We continue to be an important supplier. We think we are going to be an even more important supplier next year. Did I catch them all?

Donangelo Volpe
Equity Research Analyst, Beacon Securities

You got them all. I appreciate that. Thank you. Yeah. Final one for me, if I may. Just with the cleaned-up balance sheet, post-sale leaseback, can you just talk a little bit on the M&A pipeline at the moment? Obviously, I understand that the focus is on the packaging segment. I'm just curious on priority: is it Canadian-focused or U.S.-focused, or if you're kind of indifferent between the two?

Stewart Emerson
President and CEO, Supremex

Yeah. Our stated strategy has been we'll look for tuck-in acquisitions, either in envelope or packaging, which we did in Q3. We're good at envelope. We're not afraid of envelope. If we can shore up absorption in a particular geographic market, we're excited to do that. We're in and out three months, bang, we're gone. They're highly accretive very quickly. With the balance sheet, we'll continue to look at some good tuck-ins. Doesn't really matter. It can be envelope or packaging. On the packaging side, our stated strategy is predominantly Canada, in Folding Carton, and that persists. We've got a good solid pipeline.

Donangelo Volpe
Equity Research Analyst, Beacon Securities

Okay. I appreciate the answering all my questions. I'll hop back in the queue. Have a good one, guys.

Stewart Emerson
President and CEO, Supremex

Thank you, Donangelo.

Operator

Once again, if you have a question, please press star then one. This concludes the question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Stewart Emerson for any closing remarks.

Stewart Emerson
President and CEO, Supremex

Hey, thank you, Operator. Thanks very much for joining us this morning, folks. We really appreciate you taking time out. We look forward to speaking to you again at our next quarterly call. Have a great day.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating and have a pleasant day.

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