Transat A.T. Inc. (TSX:TRZ)
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Sep 11, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
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Earnings Call: Q3 2026

Sep 10, 2026

Summary

Third quarter results were pressured by a 56% surge in fuel prices, leading to a net loss despite revenue growth and resilient demand. Strategic initiatives like a new loyalty program and premium cabin upgrades are underway, while government financing has strengthened liquidity.

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the Transat conference call. Please note this call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the meeting over to Andréan Gagné, Senior Director, Communications, Public Affairs, and Corporate Responsibility. Please go ahead, Ms. Gagné.

Andréan Gagné
Senior Director of Communications, Public Affairs, and Corporate Responsibility, Transat

Thank you. [Foreign language] Hello, everyone, and thank you for joining us for our third quarter earnings call in the July 31, 2026. Annick Guérard, President and CEO, and Jean-François Pruneau, our Chief Financial Officer, will provide an overview of the quarter and comment on the current operational situation and commercial plans. Jean-François will also discuss our financial results in detail. We will then take questions from financial analysts. Questions from journalists will be taken offline after the call. The conference call will be conducted in English, but questions may be asked in French or English. As usual, our supplementary disclosure has been updated and is available on our website in the Investors section. Jean-François may refer to it when he presents the results.

Our comments and discussion today may include forward-looking information regarding Transat's outlook, objectives, and strategies that are based on assumptions and subject to risk and uncertainty. Forward-looking statements represent Transat's expectations as at September 10, 2026, and therefore are subject to change after today. Our actual results may differ materially from any stated expectations. Please refer to our forward-looking statement in Transat's third quarter news release available on transat.com and on SEDAR+. With that, I would like to turn the call over to Annick for opening remarks.

Annick Guérard
President and CEO, Transat

Merci, Andréan. [Foreign language] Good morning, and thank you for joining us. Our third quarter results were significantly impacted by persistently high fuel prices, which outweighed the progress achieved across the business and placed considerable pressure on profitability. At the same time, demand for our product remained resilient. Revenue and traffic grew, and our transatlantic network continued to perform well despite a highly competitive environment. While fuel prices remain outside of control, our response is not. We are actively managing capacity, cost, liquidity, and network deployment to mitigate the impact and position the business for recovery. On July 27, we closed financing of up to CAD 150 million under the Government of Canada's Liquidity for Airline Sector Resilience facility, or LASR program. This facility is now fully drawn and strengthens our liquidity position as we navigate a period of sustained fuel price volatility.

The federal government has also made available an additional CAD 250 million in funding, providing further flexibility as fuel prices remain elevated well beyond initial expectations. Jean-François will cover the financial details shortly. Beyond the immediate fuel pressure, we remain firmly focused on strengthening Transat's long-term earnings profile. Our objective is to broaden our sources of revenue, deepen customer loyalty, expand our premium offering, and capture more value for each booking. Our new loyalty program remains on track for launch toward the end of 2026. The program is designed to strengthen customer retention, increase engagement, and create additional revenue opportunities across our ecosystem. The beta launch is already underway, with over 23,000 members enrolled to date and member engagement outperforming our initial expectations. In parallel, we are advancing a comprehensive cabin reconfiguration program with the first modernized aircraft scheduled to enter service in the second half of 2027.

The upgrade of our cabins will increase premium seating capacity, support ancillary revenue growth, and enhance the overall customer experience. Together, these initiatives are designed to diversify our revenue base, strengthen margins, and improve the structural earnings profile of the business over time. Turning to our operating matrix, third quarter capacity increased by six percent year-over-year. Load factor was slightly below last year, while year declined by one percent. As bookings progress through the summer, the competitive environment intensified. This placed pressure on yield and significantly limited our ability to recover higher fuel costs through fares.

Nevertheless, transatlantic yield increased by 0.6% in the context of eight percent capacity growth. While this performance did not offset the increase in fuel costs, it demonstrates the underlying resilience of our core transatlantic network. Our SAS program continued to be affected by the situation in Cuba with a cumulative revenue impact of CAD 116 million.

Turning to our operational and commercial update. Of our 41 aircraft at quarter end, four were grounded due to the ongoing Pratt & Whitney GTF engine issues, one more than anticipated when planning our summer program. These disruptions continued to impact our operations throughout the quarter. Despite these constraints, we continue to execute our network strategy with discipline. Our focus remains on selective growth in markets where our brand, fleet, and partnerships provide a clear competitive advantage and attractive long-term potential. This summer, we launched new nonstop services from Montreal to Agadir, Reykjavik, and Dakar, as well as from Toronto to Tirana. The early performance of these routes have been very encouraging. As an example, we have already confirmed that our Montreal Dakar service will operate year-round beginning this winter, supporting our objective of reducing seasonality while developing the traffic flows across the network.

For the upcoming winter season, we are maintaining a conservative approach to capacity growth in light of persistently high fuel prices. Capacity deployment will remain highly disciplined with a focus on our strongest performing markets and the most attractive opportunities for value creation. Partnerships also remain central to our strategy, including our growing portfolio of Interline and codeshare agreements and our successful joint venture with Porter Airlines. With that, I will turn the call over to Jean-François, who will review our financial results.

Jean-François Pruneau
CFO, Transat

Merci, Annick. Good morning, everyone. This was a challenging quarter, driven mainly by persistently high fuel prices. Revenue and traffic grew, but the increase in fuel costs more than offset that growth and was the main factor behind our results. Revenues were up three percent in Q3 2026 or CAD 26 million to CAD 793 million on higher capacity and traffic. Adjusted EBITDA was negative CAD 1 million, compared with positive CAD 81 million in Q3 2025. The decline was almost entirely attributable to higher fuel costs.

Before the contribution under the LASR facility, fuel costs increased CAD 105 million year-over-year. The fuel price rose 56% to $3.74 US dollars per gallon, I should say, from $2.40 last year. A CAD 25 million contribution under the LASR facility was recorded as a reduction of fuel expense. Reported fuel expense was therefore CAD 138 million, up CAD 79 million or 50% from CAD 159 million in 2025.

Beyond fuel, salaries increased, mainly reflecting the new collective agreement with our pilots and additional hours required to address operational disruptions, including aircraft availability constraints resulting from continuing engine issues. During the peak summer period, four aircraft remained grounded due to the ongoing Pratt & Whitney GTF engine issues, one more than initially anticipated. Additional unscheduled maintenance events affecting engines on our A330 fleet created further operational pressure. Together, these events required aircraft substitutions, schedule adjustments, and crew reassignments, contributing to higher overtime and other related costs. We continue to manage the GTF-related pressure through additional leased spare engines and active fleet management. Additional costs and revenue management inefficiencies are expected to persist until the issue is fully resolved, which is not anticipated before 2028. During the quarter, we recognized CAD 7 million in compensation from Pratt & Whitney as revenue, broadly consistent with the prior year.

However, this compensation, once again, did not fully offset the financial impact of the ongoing engine-related disruptions. Net loss was CAD 107 million, compared with net income of CAD 400 million last year. The prior year result included a one-time CAD 245 million gain on the extinguishment of long-term debt related to our government debt refinancing and is therefore not comparable. Adjusted net loss was CAD 89 million or CAD 2.18 per share versus an adjusted net loss of CAD 12 million or CAD 0.28 per share last year.

Free cash flow was negative CAD 302 million in the quarter, compared with negative CAD 122 million last year, mainly reflecting lower operating profitability and an unfavorable comparison with the prior year quarter, which benefited from CAD 61 million in proceeds from engine sale and leaseback transactions. For the first nine months, free cash flow was positive CAD 4 million compared with CAD 149 million last year.

Cash use in operating activities was CAD 221 million in the quarter, compared with CAD 105 million last year. Capital expenditures were CAD 21 million, compared with CAD 30 million last year, and for the first nine months, they were CAD 53 million, down from CAD 68 million last year, reflecting a tighter CapEx plan and the deferral of discretionary spending. Cash and cash equivalents were CAD 243 million as of July 31st, 2026, down from CAD 390 million at the end of Q2, and up from CAD 165 million at the end of fiscal 2025. Cash and cash equivalents in trust or otherwise reserved, mainly related to travel package bookings, were CAD 208 million, up from CAD 194 million at the end of Q2 and down from CAD 430 million at the end of fiscal 2025, reflecting the seasonal nature of our business.

Customer deposits for future travel were CAD 847 million as of July 31st, 2026, compared with CAD 822 million a year earlier. Long-term debt and deferred government grants were CAD 448 million as of July 31st, up from CAD 320 million three months earlier. The increase mainly reflected the initial CAD 125 million LASR drawdown and a CAD 30 million draw on our subordinated working capital facility. Long-term debt and deferred government grant net of cash were CAD 205 million, compared with a net cash position of CAD 70 million three months earlier.

As Annick noted, on July 27, we closed our financing under the LASR facility administered by the Canada Enterprise Emergency Funding Corporation. The facility provides up to CAD 150 million, which we have now drawn in full. It matures in July 2030 and bears interest at 3.91%. Since March, the cumulative additional fuel costs we have absorbed amount to approximately CAD 175 million.

Beyond the LASR facility, the federal government has agreed to extend an additional CAD 250 million loan under the existing LEEFF agreement, further supporting our liquidity as we work through this period. This multi-draw loan matures in 2035 and bears interest of 1.22% for the first three years and three percent thereafter. We will stay disciplined on both capacity and expenses, supported by the additional liquidity from our recent financing agreements. Back to you, Annick, for closing remarks before the Q&A.

Annick Guérard
President and CEO, Transat

Thank you, Jean-François. In closing, high fuel prices place significant pressure on our third quarter results, but demand of our product remained resilient, supporting continued revenue and traffic growth. Looking ahead, fourth quarter load factor is currently 0.6 percentage points ahead of the same time last year, while yield is broadly in line. Capacity increase is two year-over-year, measured in available seat miles.

We are maintaining a disciplined approach to capacity, cost, and liquidity while continuing to execute the strategic initiatives that will strengthen Transat's long-term growth. Finally, I would like to sincerely thank the Government of Canada for its support. The financing strengthens our liquidity position and provides additional flexibility as we navigate the current difficult environment. I also want to acknowledge the incredible work of our employees.

In a period marked by significant challenges and uncertainty, they have continued to serve our customers with commitment and resilience. Thank you all. While near-term conditions remain challenging, we are taking the actions necessary to strengthen Transat's earnings power, enhance resilience, and position the company for the future. This concludes our remarks, and we are now ready for questions.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press star two. One moment, please, for your first question. Your first question comes from Konark Gupta from Scotiabank. Please go ahead.

Konark Gupta
Analyst, Scotiabank

Thanks, and good morning. I wanted to dig into the yield performance in the third quarter and your outlook for the fourth quarter. If I look at the airlines across the continent, most have reported 10%+ yield in their calendar second quarters, and they are talking about a stronger yield in the third quarters for them. I understand you have some exposure to Cuba, which probably is higher than what these other airlines might have. But still, do you see any surprises or any incremental pockets of weakness in your network that explains the gap in your yield performance versus the peers?

Annick Guérard
President and CEO, Transat

Yeah, good question. We compete in a segment where customers are highly price sensitive, and this summer's environment was particularly challenging with industry capacity growth and exceptionally intense promotional activity across the Canadian market. In that context, our ability to fully pass higher fuel costs through fares was constrained. The reality that we are facing is that our economy segment, which is, of course, predominant, when we look at our performance in that segment, it is not materially different from that of our competitors or legacy carriers. The key difference lies above the economy cabin. Legacy carriers have premium corporate and loyalty revenue streams that have more than compensated for higher fuel costs across their networks. Unfortunately, we do not have those same levers at scale today. This is exactly what our loyalty program and cabin transformation initiatives are designed to address.

Konark Gupta
Analyst, Scotiabank

Makes sense. Thanks for that, Annick. Jean-François, perhaps on the balance sheet side, you guys have tapped in fully on the LASR facility and also signed up the incremental LEEFF loan facility. Can you help us understand in light of the fuel price environment today, and obviously, we are seeing a little bit more pressure in the last few weeks or days with the Iran situation, do you think these loans you have kept here would be enough to satisfy the liquidity needs you might have for the next several months? Or you may have to re-look at some other options?

Jean-François Pruneau
CFO, Transat

Well, that's a difficult one. Obviously related to the fuel markets on which we have no control. That being said, when we look at the forward fuel price curve, we're going to be okay. We feel that the amount of money that we are able to get from the federal government and the additional funding that we're getting now will be sufficient. That situation, obviously, is dynamic, is volatile, and I don't know precisely where fuel prices will be in a month, in two months or a year from now.

Konark Gupta
Analyst, Scotiabank

Okay. Based on the current forward curve, you feel like you are in a comfortable-

Jean-François Pruneau
CFO, Transat

Absolutely.

Konark Gupta
Analyst, Scotiabank

-position.

Jean-François Pruneau
CFO, Transat

Absolutely. Based on the forward curve, we're definitely fine.

Konark Gupta
Analyst, Scotiabank

Yeah. Okay. Perfect. That's it for me. Thank you, guys.

Jean-François Pruneau
CFO, Transat

Yep.

Operator

Your next question comes from Cameron Doerksen from National Bank. Please go ahead.

Cameron Doerksen
Analyst, National Bank

Yeah. Thanks. Good morning. I wanted to ask, I guess, about the capacity plans. You mentioned some of the initiatives you're taking to kind of improve the premium yields. That's obviously it's not something that's going to impact you significantly in the near term. I guess most airlines, when they face higher fuel prices in the past, have significantly cut capacity. I'm just wondering why add any capacity in Q4, just given where fuel prices are? It seems like the only way you're going to get yields up is to reduce some of the capacity.

Annick Guérard
President and CEO, Transat

Yeah. The increase in capacity in Q4 is very limited. It's below two percent . We're keeping a conservative approach. When we look at the upcoming winter, there won't be any capacity increase. Looking at the overall patterns that we're seeing, we feel comfortable with the capacity that has been deployed.

Cameron Doerksen
Analyst, National Bank

Okay. Maybe you could just expand a little bit, I guess, on the premium cabin upgrades that you're doing. I'm just wondering when it's all said and done, how much bigger of an increase in premium seating will you have on average on your aircraft versus what you have today? I'm just trying to get a sense of how this could improve the yield profile as we look ahead a couple of years.

Annick Guérard
President and CEO, Transat

Yes. That is part of our strategic initiative. Unfortunately, we cannot disclose a number at this point. This is something that we are going to be able to share later on as we deploy the new cabins.

Cameron Doerksen
Analyst, National Bank

Okay.

Annick Guérard
President and CEO, Transat

Yeah.

Cameron Doerksen
Analyst, National Bank

All right. I will pass the line. Thanks very much.

Operator

Your next question comes from Tim James from TD Cowen. Please go ahead.

Tim James
Managing Director, TD Cowen

Thank you very much. Good morning. I just want to return to Cam's question actually for a minute, just thinking about the fourth quarter capacity and the two percent . How do you approach that? Do you have the ability to actually reduce that capacity? Or once you start selling, because you have sold some of these seats that will be provided in the fourth quarter, months and months ago, do you actually have the ability or can you cancel those flights or do you take those actions? I guess where I am going with this is if you were to decide on the ideal Q4 capacity today, would it still be a two percent growth? Or is part of that because you have already sold some of these seats and these flights months and months ago at a lower fuel price environment?

Annick Guérard
President and CEO, Transat

I just want to clarify. In terms of seats, we are below two percent compared to last year. The ASM are +two percent , and this is strictly due to the removal of Cuba. We are not doing any increase in the market. To respond to your questions, as we move along through a season, we always adjust capacity based on performance to make sure that we protect the highest margin as possible. The cleanup has been done for Q4. If you recall, at the beginning of spring, we reduced six percent capacity for the whole summer, and then we made other adjustments throughout the summer. Based on the fleet that we have, we have done all the actions that were required to maintain a conservative capacity.

Tim James
Managing Director, TD Cowen

Okay. That is helpful. Just thinking about the yield and the year-over-year yield comparisons. Obviously, your trip length and your route mix can influence yield. Can you just maybe give us a sense for, on an apples-to-apples basis across the network, what are actual fares for you in Q4 at this point, and maybe Q3 as well? How have fares changed year-over-year on a route comparable basis?

Annick Guérard
President and CEO, Transat

Yeah. Fares, when we look at the fares for Q4, we are looking at an increase of six percent . When we look at Q3, we had 4.8%. You need to understand that the mix, the network change, in an important fashion, is the removal of Cuba. When we look at yield, of course, this is much more laid out on longer distance, since Cuba represents shorter distances. We are okay with the increase in PMC. However, when you look at the unit revenues, it does not cover for the loss of Cuba. That was a highly performing market, especially in summer, but as well at the end of last winter.

Tim James
Managing Director, TD Cowen

Okay. That is helpful.

Annick Guérard
President and CEO, Transat

We're looking at next winter. Of course, Cuba won't be there anymore, so we have adjusted to make sure that the capacity for Southeast Asian is well-balanced. Of course, Dominican Republic will play a big role. Performance so far is very high and trying to redistribute this capacity to maximize performance for next winter.

Tim James
Managing Director, TD Cowen

Okay. That's helpful. Thank you. I guess my last question, I'm just wondering if you can expand a little bit on the increased competition that was called out in the Q2 report as well. Sounds like it's continued, if not even increased a little bit more over the course of the summer. Just wondering if you can talk about what form that is taking. Is that competitors kind of putting more capacity on than you think is warranted? Is that competitors being more aggressive with pricing or maybe not pushing pricing higher to offset fuel costs? Just wondering if you can talk about what form that increased competition is taking this summer.

Annick Guérard
President and CEO, Transat

Yeah, it's both, actually. There was big increases on the Atlantic market. Combined with the fact that when we introduced the fuel surcharges, demand went down. The whole market, the Canadian market, competitors, everybody, started to launch promotions, and it never ended. It was promotions one after the other. We've never seen such a highly competitive network. It was promotion one after the other the whole summer, and it continues. This is what has affected the overall yield, especially in the economy segment, unfortunately, which prevented ourselves from passing on the increase in fuel to customers. And it continues.

Tim James
Managing Director, TD Cowen

Okay. Thank you very much, Annick. That's really helpful.

Operator

Your next question comes from Benoît Poirier from Desjardins Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Benoît Poirier
VP, Desjardins Capital Markets

Yeah, thanks, and good morning, everyone. Just related to your premium cabin upgrade, could you talk a little bit about the incremental CapEx required on those, and what are the most attractive regions to introduce those new cabins at first glance?

Annick Guérard
President and CEO, Transat

I am going to answer the second part first. The most attractive markets for those are primary markets in Europe that we do year-round, such as Paris, London, Portugal, and then you have longer stage, like Athens, so Greece, and Rome. These are the primary markets where we plan to deploy the highest level, I would say, of premium cabins. That is it. And we have some aircraft as well do not have what we call our Club Class. So we want to standardize as well because we see big demand in Club Class. So on some aircraft, we are going to increase that class. On some, we are going to introduce that class. The goal is really to maximize revenues per client as much as possible. And attach the whole trip.

Benoît Poirier
VP, Desjardins Capital Markets

Okay. That is great.

Jean-François Pruneau
CFO, Transat

In terms of CapEx, we are not in a position to provide any guidance for next year CapEx. That being said, the introduction of the new cabin reconfiguration starting at the second half of next year will have a minimal impact on CapEx year-over-year. The bulk of it will really be in 2028.

Benoît Poirier
VP, Desjardins Capital Markets

Okay, that is great color. For this upcoming winter, Annick, you talked about the potential capacity that is going to be flat. Could you talk about the pricing you have seen lately? You talked about the promotions that was quite high in the last few months. What about the pricing environment that you have seen lately for this upcoming winter?

Annick Guérard
President and CEO, Transat

Yeah. We are trying to see yields rebounding in a more stable picture, I would say, especially on the south program, heading into the fall and winter. Again, given the current economic volatility and uncertainty, we are taking a very highly disciplined and conservative approach to capacity and deployment. No growth for next winter. So far, we see strong demand for south destination. Load factor, still early to comment, but load factor is similar to last year and yields are up year-over-year.

Benoît Poirier
VP, Desjardins Capital Markets

Okay. Would it be enough to cover for the fuel increase that you currently see?

Annick Guérard
President and CEO, Transat

Not yet.

Benoît Poirier
VP, Desjardins Capital Markets

Yeah. Okay, that's great color. You were successful to secure a CAD 250 million term credit facility agreement at attractive rates. There's CAD 170 million less. You talked about the visibility you have on the forward curve. Any other options at your disposal, aside the CAD 170 million less, that you might be looking at?

Jean-François Pruneau
CFO, Transat

Nothing under the analysis as we speak. We feel very confident with the forward curve today. We might have, maybe, to find other solutions if the fuel prices don't improve. Like I said, very difficult to predict, but we feel very confident today with the market environment that we're seeing in front of us.

Benoît Poirier
VP, Desjardins Capital Markets

Okay. Any changes in terms of hedging policy or things that you're looking at from a fuel standpoint?

Jean-François Pruneau
CFO, Transat

It obviously benefited in Q3. Our fuel expense would have risen more than what we have seen, essentially, without hedging. It has been beneficial in Q3. Our program is ongoing, so we are hedged about 65%, I would say, on the fuel side for Q3, and a bit less for the first half of 2027.

Benoît Poirier
VP, Desjardins Capital Markets

That is great. Okay. Thanks for the color.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one. Your next question comes from Krista Friesen from CIBC. Please go ahead.

Krista Friesen
Executive Director, CIBC

Hi, thanks for taking my question. Maybe just one from me. You spoke about the soft launch of your new loyalty program and that is tracking ahead of expectations. Can you give us any additional color on what sort of contribution you might expect from the loyalty program as we look out into 2027 and the longer term, or if anything has changed given the launch seems to be going better than anticipated? Thank you.

Jean-François Pruneau
CFO, Transat

Well, for 2027, the contribution will be minimal, obviously, as we will be fully launched by the end of 2026. In the first years, obviously, we are more on the earn side than the burn side. We expect, in fact, that this product or this new offering will mature over a period of three years, and that is where we are going to start to see a material contribution.

Krista Friesen
Executive Director, CIBC

Okay, great. Then just anything we should be aware of in terms of any additional investments that are needed for the loyalty program? I will jump back in the queue.

Jean-François Pruneau
CFO, Transat

In terms of investment, you said?

Krista Friesen
Executive Director, CIBC

Yeah.

Jean-François Pruneau
CFO, Transat

Almost nothing. It is all behind us and it is-

Krista Friesen
Executive Director, CIBC

Yeah

Jean-François Pruneau
CFO, Transat

been minimal. It's essentially IT systems.

Krista Friesen
Executive Director, CIBC

Perfect. Thank you.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I will turn the call back over to Andréan Gagné for closing remarks.

Tim James
Managing Director, TD Cowen

Thank you, Julie. Thank you, everyone. As a reminder, our 2026 fourth quarter results will be released in December. Thank you, and have a good day.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.