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Earnings Call: Q2 2019

Aug 9, 2019

Operator

Morning, ladies and gentlemen, welcome to NorthWest Healthcare Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Second Quarter 2019 Results Conference Call. At this time, all lines are in listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question and answer session. If at any time during this call you require immediate assistance, please press star zero for the operator. This call is being recorded on Friday, August 9th, 2019. I would now like to turn the conference over to Paul Dalla Lana, CEO of NorthWest Healthcare Properties REIT. Please go ahead, sir.

Paul Dalla Lana
CEO, NorthWest Healthcare Properties REIT

Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. Appreciate you joining us today. I'm joined by Shailen Chande, the REIT's Chief Financial Officer. Together, we are pleased to share with you our results for the second quarter of 2019. First, I'd like to point out that during today's call, we may make forward-looking statements as defined under Canadian securities law. While such forward-looking statements reflect management's expectations regarding our business plans and future results, they are necessarily based on assumptions that are subject to uncertainties and risks, which could cause actual results to differ materially. We direct you to all of the risk factors outlined in our public filings. For the quarter, our results were in line with our expectations and include annualized quarterly AFFO of CAD 0.92 per unit on a normalized basis, up 2% quarter-over-quarter, with our payout ratio declining to 87%.

A 1% quarter-over-quarter increase in net asset value per unit to CAD 11.76, primarily driven by fair value gains in Brazil and Australasia, partially offset by adverse FX movements. 45.5% consolidated LTV, excluding convertible debentures, year-over-year source currency adjusted SPNOI growth of 1.8% and 3.2% adjusted SPNOI growth year to date, primarily driven by contractual rent indexation, all of this underpinned by a 97%+ occupied portfolio with a weighted average lease term of more than 14 years across 169 properties and 13.8 million square feet . In addition to our focus on operations, the REIT progressed several key strategic initiatives. In Australia, the completion of the Healthscope acquisition, together with our JV partner, wrapped up an intense year-long process that was a significant milestone for the REIT as its first billion-dollar acquisition.

It also served as a catalyst for a CAD 1.6 billion upsize of the existing JV, which provides significant additional capacity to continue our consolidation of Australian healthcare real estate and build upon NorthWest's leading market position. In Europe, we continue our growth strategy with key new relationships in both the medical office and hospital sectors, driving increased deal flow, which our team is converting into accretive acquisitions, including CAD 63 million closed in Q2 and subsequent to quarter end. While in Canada, the REIT has been successful in partnering with Lakeridge Health, Durham, Ontario's regional acute healthcare provider, to develop a new ambulatory care center together, the start of what we believe will be a growing opportunity set to work with Canadian health authorities to provide long-term real estate solutions.

The REIT continues to build scale in the Canadian capital markets and post-quarter-end successfully executed its largest equity offering to date. Proceeds from the financing have been deployed to repay existing debt, reducing leverage by over 250 basis points on an earnings accretive basis. The REIT remains committed to reducing leverage to below 50% over the medium term and has targeted a suite of higher cost debt for repayment in 2019, with similar accretive features, likely using resources from its targeted non-core and Australian JV asset sales, which are also progressing well. Regionally, Brazil was on plan with occupancy steady at 100% and continued strong and predictable income. Year-over-year, constant currency adjusted SPNOI growth increased 4%. Operationally, the REIT's major tenant, Rede D'Or, continues to deliver strong results and expand its business, thereby opening up the possibility of further partnerships with the REIT.

Market interest rates in Brazil, driven by a stabilizing economy and progress on domestic fiscal reforms, have recently trended significantly lower, reaching historically low levels. NorthWest capitalized on this trend with our recent CAD 190 million financing at an all-in rate of 3.88% plus inflation, while existing Brazil debt at 7.5% interest rate was repaid, generating more than CAD 7 million of interest savings annually. The REIT is gaining traction with other high-quality operators in Brazil and is actively working on transactions to diversify its investments in the region. In Canada, we were also on plan, continuing solid performance with positive year-over-year currency adjusted SPNOI growth of 6.6% and portfolio occupancy remaining healthy at 92.7%. During the quarter, the REIT completed 87,000 sq ft of renewal leasing at an average renewal rent of 7.9% above the expiring rent.

The REIT also entered into the 60,000 sq ft, CAD 19 million development project with Lakeridge that I previously mentioned. In Europe, we were on plan, performing as inspected, with positive year-over-year on a constant currency SPNOI of 3.4% and occupancy increasing to 97.2%. As mentioned earlier, we continue to find good investment opportunities in Europe, allowing us to not only build scale and critical mass in Germany, but now also build upon our initial two acquisitions in the Netherlands. In Australia, occupancy increased 130 basis points quarter-over-quarter to almost 99%, and delivered strong year-over-year constant currency SPNOI growth of 2.2%, all with a weighted average lease term of more than 16 years.

As previously mentioned, during the quarter, the REIT completed its acquisition of 11 core hospitals from Healthscope, together with its JV partner, which further strengthens the REIT's leading position in the region and leveraging that strong capital relationship. At Vital, for FY 2019, results were delivered yesterday evening. The business reported strong and on-plan results, with positive year-over-year source currency SPNOI up 2.3%, and stable occupancy over 99%, with a weighted average lease term of more than 18 years. For the balance of 2019 and building on these strong results, ongoing portfolio improvements, and continued support of trends in the healthcare industry, the REIT will continue to drive internal growth through the completion of nine committed low-risk value-added developments and expansion projects, again, primarily in Australia and New Zealand, totaling approximately CAD 414 million on a consolidated basis, CAD 173 million at our share.

As well, the REIT expects a further NZD 500 million of new investment activity in 2019, split broadly equally between Europe and Australia, New Zealand, and Brazil. Furthermore, we are planning a combination of non-core asset sales, again, targeting NZD 350 million-NZD 400 million in Canada and JV asset sales in Australia, all of which is progressing well. Finally, on the heels of our recent NZD 1.6 billion increase to the Australian JV, the REIT continues to target a further NZD 1.5 billion-NZD 2 billion commitment in Brazil, Europe, and Canada. I'm pleased that we've been able to advance a number of these key long-term strategic initiatives during the post quarter. Our bigger and better portfolio is supported by long-term inflation-indexed assets. As a result, the REIT is even better positioned to deliver stable and growing returns to existing unitholders.

Furthermore, we continue to be the real estate partner of choice to the healthcare industry, which provides exceptional global opportunities to grow creatively and enhance unitholder value. I'll now ask the operator to open up the call for questions.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, should you have a question, please press star followed by one on your touch-tone phone. If you're using a speakerphone, please lift your handset before pressing any keys. One moment, please, for your first question. Your first question is from Troy MacLean from BMO Capital Markets. Troy, please go ahead.

Troy MacLean
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Good morning. Just on the JV, is that intended to buy kind of stabilized properties, or could you envision doing development inside the JV?

Paul Dalla Lana
CEO, NorthWest Healthcare Properties REIT

Yeah. Troy, the JV is on the same terms as the initial JV, and if that's what you're referring to, our Australia JV.

Troy MacLean
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Yeah.

Paul Dalla Lana
CEO, NorthWest Healthcare Properties REIT

Yeah, it does have the capacity to do both brownfield, which is a characteristic of our existing portfolio. As you recall, we have an expansion there already underway at Epworth Freemasons in Melbourne, about a CAD 100 million expansion, which is tracking to plan. As well as greenfield, although again, greenfield has its own subtleties and times associated with it. We would likely see pretty significant brownfield focus for the JV. I'd highlight that as part of the Healthscope acquisition, there's a gain, at least identified today, between CAD 102 million and CAD 200 million of brownfield expansion projects in the 11 assets that we acquired. We do expect Brookfield, as they work through sort of their onboarding of the business, to look to grow, and we expect to find more projects there.

I would say that that brownfield opportunity is likely to be, again, somewhere between 10% and 20% of the overall business. It's probably been that in our own existing business as well. Just as a reminder, those returns tend to be approximately 100 basis points wider than the cap rates that the underlying assets would have. It's a nice low-risk way to generate both cash flow and value accretion.

Troy MacLean
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

How quickly do you think you can invest the JV proceeds? You were able to do it fairly quickly with Healthscope, and I know that that doesn't come along very often, but just, do you see this as kind of a series of smaller investments that's going to take maybe two years, or do you think you can deploy that relatively quickly?

Paul Dalla Lana
CEO, NorthWest Healthcare Properties REIT

Yeah. I still think two years is pretty quick, but in fairness, I think, again, to deploy CAD 1.6 billion, I think we are looking in the 12 to 24-month range realistically, barring any sort of chunkier prospects of which there are some. We are active in the JV right now on about CAD 250 million of acquisitions, which we expect to get finalized in the third quarter. We're making pretty good progress there. That capacity, I think, was really anticipated for a while now, given that we see a pretty robust pipe. I'd say 12 to 24 months is realistic, and we're pretty well on our way there.

Troy MacLean
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Just on the Lakeridge development, you mentioned that there could be room to do more of these projects. Is that with Lakeridge, or do you think there's more kind of regional health authorities that want to build new assets partnering with private capital?

Paul Dalla Lana
CEO, NorthWest Healthcare Properties REIT

I'd say both. Lakeridge is one regional health authority, and we know that they have a couple other projects, but a couple of trends at work here. Firstly, ambulatory care, which I think in the hospital world is a large and established trend, and really looking to get all of the absolutely non-acute care procedures out of major hospitals. We see that as a big trend everywhere in the world, and certainly, the Ontario and other provincial health ministries are looking to evolve those efficiencies. We see broad-based opportunity there, and I think the ability to partner with public health authorities to develop as well as to provide capital sets us apart and we're quite focused on that. What does that mean in terms of a big opportunity set? Hard to gauge.

I think we'd be pretty happy if we could do five to 10 of these in Ontario. That would be a nice start. I think that would be, again, the characteristics that we like about these relationships is that they're long-term index cash flow. They're more infrastructure-like than what we see in our traditional medical office portfolio. We're just starting to form relationships further up the food chain in terms of healthcare infrastructure. That's kind of a trend. Again, in addition to Ontario, Quebec's already been quite active in this direction. We have a number of assets like this in our Quebec portfolio already, and we see Alberta starting to queue up pretty significantly in terms of, again, looking for private capital solutions into facilities like this. That'd be some context.

Troy MacLean
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Oh, for the Lakeridge, was that an RFP process or did they come to you because they knew you would be the logical partner?

Paul Dalla Lana
CEO, NorthWest Healthcare Properties REIT

Yeah, no, it was a robust RFP process. It was Infrastructure Ontario influenced, I'd say, which probably a little more than it needed. I think it gave us a chance to distinguish ourselves in a very formal way. It was competitive and certainly, I think we demonstrated our ability to work with the health authority in a bunch of key areas. It wasn't just capital that carried the day there.

Troy MacLean
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

All right. Thank you. I'll turn it back.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, should you have a question, please press star followed by one. There are no further questions at this time. Please proceed.

Paul Dalla Lana
CEO, NorthWest Healthcare Properties REIT

Okay. Well, thank you, operator. I think that's it for us, and appreciate everyone's attendance. Thank you again.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference call today. We thank you for participating and ask that you please disconnect your lines.