Rubicon Organics Inc. (TSXV:ROMJ)
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May 1, 2026, 3:24 PM EST
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Earnings Call: Q4 2024

Apr 2, 2025

Operator

Good morning, everyone. Welcome to the conference call for Rubicon Organics Q4 financial results for the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2024. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded on April 2, 2025. At this time, all participants are in the listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. Instructions will be provided at that time for research analysts to queue up for questions. Before we begin, I will refer you to slide two of our presentation, which contains Rubicon's caution regarding forward-looking statements and non-GAAP measures. Today's presenters will be Margaret Brodie, CEO, and Janis Risbin, CFO. I will now turn the call over to Margaret Brodie for the presentation.

Margaret Brodie
CEO, Rubicon Organics

Good morning, everyone. Today, I'll provide an update on Rubicon Organics and our achievements in 2024 as Canada's leading house of premium cannabis brands. I will also provide some color on our growth opportunities and where we are seeing what we are seeing as a resurgence in Canadian cannabis. As well, our CFO, Janis Risbin, will cover our financial highlights. 2024 was a record year for Rubicon Organics, achieving several milestones. We delivered another record-high net revenue for both the three and twelve-month periods ending December 31, 2024, of 21% and 42% respectively on 2023. We reported positive Adjusted EBITDA of CAD 4 million, excluding CAD 900,000 in one-off ERP implementation costs, without which we would have been at our record-high profitability of CAD 5 million. We achieved three consecutive quarters of profit from operations. We swept the 2024 KIND Magazine Awards with 11 prestigious accolades.

We refinanced our credit facility at industry-leading rates, setting Rubicon up for the coming years. Finally, we executed on our commitment to deliver vape in market, and the results and impact of which were hugely successful. Into 2025 now, thus far, we've received our GACP certification for our Delta facility, allowing us to execute our inaugural international shipment to Poland in mid-March. We entered into an agreement to acquire a new facility in Hope BC, expanding our annual production capacity for premium cannabis flower by over 40% to 15,500 kilos. A quick note for those of you who are more recently joining our story: Rubicon is the number one premium licensed producer, or LP, with a house of premium cannabis brands and over 6% market share of the Canadian premium market and multiple premium segment-leading positions.

Our brands are a proven launch pad for new products and revenue growth, as evidenced by, firstly, for the last two years, holding two of the top five most recommended brands by Budtender in Simply Bare Organic and 1964. Secondly, reaching number one in premium edibles position in the country with 30% market share within a year of launch. Thirdly, achieving over 13% national market share and 56% national distribution in our vapes in six months since launch, the fastest and widest product launch in our company history. From day one, we've been committed to delivering consistently high-quality products that win over consumers and Budtenders alike. Our focus is on quality through every part of our business, from cultivation to product development, which we believe is absolutely essential to competing within the premium and super premium categories and has made us a leader in this industry.

Our team has deep cannabis experience coupled with a long history in competitive CPG industries. We are focused where we can outcompete and win rather than trying to be everything to everyone. We are also one of the only living soil cultivators in Canada, which we view as a key competitive advantage in our super premium strategy. Today, we hold unique IP and are now positioned as the world's leading scaled certified organic cannabis company with an extensive genetics library. What can you see in our business? Proven growth. Our track record of success shows we know how to grow and scale our business with net revenue growth of 68% in 2022, 14% in 2023, and 21% in 2024, each year off a higher base. Significant expansion. Our recent acquisition increases capacity by over 40% for our in-demand brands, offering us a low-investment growth opportunity. Exceptional brands.

We have built strong customer relationships with our focus on brands that deliver consistent and trusted high-quality experiences. Disciplined financial management. We have delivered three consecutive years of positive Adjusted EBITDA by keeping our below-the-line operating costs in check and maintained a solid balance sheet supported by our recent long-term debt financing, which bears a very competitive interest rate of 6.75%. Leveraging the strength of our house of premium brands, we continue to expand with strategic product launches. For Simply Bare Organic, our super premium cannabis brand, targeting the cannabis connoisseur, we introduced ultra-flavorful quad-level strains like BC Organic Fruit Loops, shown here, and our BC Organic Fire OG, maintaining our strict quality standards for our best-in-class experience. Under 1964, the largest growth initiative was our vape launch.

Our high-quality, award-winning products have generated significant net revenue, driven by a growing consumer preference for and willingness to pay a premium for full-spectrum extracts, or FSE, over distillate vapes. We expect this trend to continue. In addition to vape, in 1964, continues to launch some of the best former legacy cultivars, with Stinky Pinky as one of 2024's standouts, and it was crowned as Flower of the Year. Our vape launch leveraged our brand strength, achieving over 55% national distribution by year-end, despite only being in Alberta, BC, and Ontario. We won Vape of the Year and Best New Product at the 2024 KIND Awards and captured over 13% of the resin vape market in the fourth quarter.

With vape currently only making up 16-17% of the Canadian cannabis market, versus around 30% in the U.S., we anticipate continued strong growth, especially with the prospect of Quebec coming online in late 2025. We've launched seven vape SKUs and expect it to continue to be a revenue growth driver in 2025. Our vape success is driven by best-in-class quality, bringing our most loved, best-selling strains to consumers in a new format. Premium vapes are only as good as the flower they're made from, quality in, quality out. In a market with limited product visibility, our brands stand out for their consistent quality, earning consumers' trust. When we deliver on a brand promise, like we did with our vape products, it fuels a powerful cycle of trial, repurchase, and recommendation, reinforcing our position as a trusted cannabis brand leader.

With our vapes now in market, we have a meaningful share across premium flower and pre-roll vapes, edibles, and topicals. In the quarter, we maintained our leading market premium position in Canada across all categories, holding 6.1% of the total premium market for the previous 12 months. A few key highlights here. We hold 6% of the national premium flower and pre-rolls category. In the fourth quarter, we achieved 13% of the national resin vape category, incredible given the mid-year launch. We hold 27% of the premium edibles category, and in the fourth quarter, held the number five edibles position across all price categories. Our Wildflower brand continued to be the number one topical brand in the country with 27% of share, despite an increasing number of SKUs entering that category. As true CPG brands emerge in Canadian cannabis, our consumer-loved and Budtender-recommended brands drive successful launches.

Our high-quality vape launch thrived on the strong recognition of 1964, a reputational platform gaining traction both in Canada and internationally. I'll now pass the call over to Janis to discuss our financial performance.

Janis Rishwain
CFO, Rubicon Organics

Thank you, Margaret, and good morning, everyone. We achieved a record-high net revenue for a single quarter, totaling CAD 14.2 million and the highest consecutive 12-month net revenue of CAD 48.7 million. The first half of 2024 was more challenging, with only modest year-over-year net revenue growth, as we continued to experience soft consumer sentiment and the impact of price compression in the market. Gross profit was affected by an adverse product mix driven by lower margin innovations, price compression, and a shift towards larger flower formats. In the second half, we refocused our efforts towards more profitable SKUs, increasing our gross profit margin by the fourth quarter.

Our vape launch, with the first shipments in Q2 2024, has been a significant contributor to our growth in 2024, most notably in the second half, as we benefited from increased distribution and rate of sale, as well as the increase of the range of available SKUs in market. The vape launch has been hugely successful and is now our highest distributed product format, with each SKU contributing meaningfully to the portfolio. I am excited to see continued growth from this format through 2025 as we approach one full year in market. However, the 1964 vape launch is not the only growth driver for Rubicon, with all brands having contributed to the overall top-line results.

Simply Bare has grown across all product categories, most notably driven by the pre-roll segment, benefiting from the successful introduction of new and unique genetic launches, as well as the 2024 introduction of capsules and edibles, both quickly becoming important contributors to the brand offering. For 1964 flower, the second half saw improved performance on the back of new genetic launches in the flower category and a format size adjustment on our pre-rolls business, finishing the year in growth. We also saw strong growth from 1964 edibles with a full year in market as we continued the expansion of the range. Wildflower continues to excel in the wellness category, performing strongly in the topical stick category and expanding its portfolio into edibles and oils. Despite a low number of topical SKUs in our portfolio, we continue to maintain a strong 27% market share.

We find that once customers experience the quality of our Wildflower topicals, they keep coming back. Operating cash flows throughout 2024 continued to improve, with CAD 2.3 million delivered in Q4 2024, bringing the year-to-date operating cash flow to CAD 3.4 million. This marked our third year of positive operating cash flows. The operating cash outflow in Q1 of CAD 0.9 million was driven by the slower start to the year from a sales and mix perspective, investment in our ERP project, and the investment in working capital as we prepared for the launch of 1964 vapes. Although it unfortunately broke our streak, it was the right thing to do for the business, and the results in the second half of the year demonstrate how these investments were necessary to position us for continued growth.

2024 was a successful year for Rubicon Organics, delivering 20% growth in net revenue and 12% growth in Adjusted EBITDA when you exclude the CAD 900,000 of non-recurring ERP investment that we made in 2024. Even with the ERP costs, we've delivered another quarter of positive Adjusted EBITDA, achieving this for nine out of the last 10 quarters, and we've maintained positive operating cash flow for eight out of the last nine quarters. Our gross profit for the most recent quarter stands at CAD 5.1 million, with a gross margin of 36%, showing great progress from the Q1 results of 25%. As we already mentioned, the beginning of 2024 was impacted by market trends that began in the second half of 2023, such as price compression and a shift toward lower-priced larger formats.

The improvement in gross margins since Q1 2024 is a result of our efforts to attract consumers back to our more profitable products, gaining leverage on our largely fixed production costs, as well as post-launch cost savings on vape. We will continue to evaluate margin accretive opportunities as we build out our forward strategy for the business. We earned CAD 292,000 net profit from operations in the quarter, a third successive quarter. Our working capital position continues to support our plans, and we are back to just under CAD 20 million in working capital, following the successful refinancing of our debt in Q4 2024. We placed CAD 10 million in credit facilities at an industry-leading interest rate of 6.75%, giving us the strong financial position to pursue further growth. At Rubicon, we pride ourselves on being fiscally responsible and keeping a tight control of costs.

Our revenue has grown 13% and 21% in the last two years, respectively. Over that time, the market has gone through a lot of changes, and we have been agile to continue to deliver growth, but not at all cost. Our production costs, which relate to cultivation at our Delta facility, have shown a moderate increase over the last two years as we continue to optimize our growing techniques designed to achieve higher yields and improve consistency and quality. Inventory expense to cost of sales has increased from 34% to 43% in 2024 due to price pressure in the category, a trend towards larger format, lower-margin flower SKUs, and an increase in the ratio of product sold with involvement of third-party manufacturers and third-party contract growers.

We have kept control of our operating expenses while delivering the revenue growth as we remain fiscally responsible, with 2024 operating expenses impacted by the CAD 0.9 million investment in our ERP project. Finally, we have industry-low rates of inventory write-off, consistent at about 2% of net revenue for the last three years. I would now like to turn the meeting back to Margaret.

Margaret Brodie
CEO, Rubicon Organics

Thanks, Janis. Coming to our big project for 2025, we expect to close the purchase of a new facility in Hope, BC, in Q2. This acquisition is timely given the now-evident global cannabis supply shortage. Our Delta facility is already producing some of Canada's best premium cannabis, and we are the only scaled premium organic cannabis operator in the country. Hope provides the opportunity for us to satisfy more demand as it brings an incremental 4,500 kg of production capacity into our business for just CAD 4.5 million, and we expect to add around CAD 2 million in incremental CapEx, of which three-quarters we will spend in 2025. Given that the low end of estimates are around that it would cost more than CAD 12 million to build this facility today, this is an incredibly strategic purchase.

We will fully own the facility and all of its real estate, allowing for a stronger balance sheet and further optionality. We do expect to be putting a small amount of debt on the facility, and we'll share more as we get closer to the closing of the transaction. The Hope site was the first licensed site in BC and is located about an hour and a half from our existing operation in Delta. This proximity allows us to leverage our experienced operational team to get quickly up and running, with the first harvest expected in late 2025. While we anticipate full operations by the end of the year, we do not expect a revenue impact until 2026. This expansion will help capture unmet demand for our capacity-constrained brands in Canada, and we expect to open up international channels in 2026.

The cannabis industry has followed a classic hype curve: initial highs, a challenging lull, and now the resurgence of clear winners as the market matures. The past three years have been marked by intense competition and relentless pricing pressure, but we believe domestic pricing has now stabilized, with some segments already seeing increases. Market dynamics are shifting, with demand outpacing supply, setting the stage for a steeper, more sustainable resurgence, both domestically and internationally. Wholesale prices are rising, and we continue to receive strong demand for our products from both markets and expect the next 18-24 months to be a period of continued growth for Rubicon. To look forward to 2025, we see the cannabis markets have turned a corner, and what can you expect from Rubicon?

Firstly, we are focused on securing additional premium quality supply in two ways: one, through our planned Hope acquisition; two, through contract arrangements where we expect incremental 2,000 kilograms of biomass. Secondly, we are focused on the domestic market and building trust with our customers in Canada. We see now is the time that brands are built, as many of our competitors are turning away from the Canadian market, and that, coupled with the rising barriers to entry on Canadian shelves, with provincial SKU rationalization and supplier scoring, means it will be increasingly challenging for new brands and products to secure shelf space. At the same time, Canadian consumers are becoming more brand loyal, prioritizing trust and value into their purchasing decisions. We believe our award-winning brands and diverse product portfolio will continue to resonate with them.

Thirdly, we remain committed to bringing new and innovative genetics to the Canadian market to continue to elevate our consumers' experiences. Lastly, in 2025, we plan to test and learn in the international medical market in advance of having incremental production from Hope, some of which we expect will be available for international channels. In financial terms, for our 2025 targets, we are forecasting growth in both net revenue and Adjusted EBITDA from our core business on a like-for-like basis. In 2025, our Adjusted EBITDA will be impacted by initial pre-revenue operational costs associated with the Hope startup, with the full benefits of Hope not likely to appear until 2026. This sets us up for long-term success and value creation. Before I get to questions, I always plug a personal favorite product, and today is no different.

I recommend to you one of our new genetics, the beautiful BC Organic Pink Drip, a cross of Skunk and Animal Mints. It is just launched under Simply Bare Organic. I would now like to open the line up for analyst questions. Operator, please open the line. Operator?

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. If you do wish to ask an audio question, please press Star one on your telephone keypad. If you wish to withdraw your question, you may do so by pressing Star two to cancel. One moment, please, for your first question. Your first question comes from the line of Neal Gilmer with Haywood Securities. Please go ahead.

Neal Gilmer
Analyst, Haywood Securities

Thanks very much. Good morning and congrats on the results. Margaret, I appreciate your comments on sort of your outlook for 2025. I'm wondering what you can share about what you've seen in Q1. I know we all know the industry has some typical seasonality on the downside in Q1. Just sort of wondering what you can sort of share as what you saw unfold in the first quarter here.

Margaret Brodie
CEO, Rubicon Organics

Thanks, Neal Good morning. Thanks for the congrats. We're working hard here. Look, there are certain amounts of data that are available through HiFi Analytics, so my comments will be based on what is available in the public domain through information that's pulled. We, in the past, Rubicon's seen up to 25% decline into the first quarter. It's been our history. We've always found it incredibly stressful in the first quarter. This year, we haven't seen that level of decline, and in the January and February numbers coming out of HiFi Analytics publicly available, you can see a decline, certainly from the dry January seasonality, but not to the level we've seen in the past. We're very pleased with how January and February have started off.

March, we always have about a week and a week and a half where the OCS does not take orders in, so we sort of double up again in the first week in April. Most of the provinces have their year-ends, so they try to reduce their inventory from March 31. I would not say we are seeing the level of decline that we have seen before and probably more industry-consistent, which is, I believe, closer to 15%.

Neal Gilmer
Analyst, Haywood Securities

Great. Thanks very much. Can you share a little bit more? I know you mentioned about CAD 2 million in investments in CapEx, the three-quarters of that this year. What's sort of the nature of the investments you're hoping to make at the Hope facility?

Margaret Brodie
CEO, Rubicon Organics

Great. Look, Hope, we believe, will turn on quite quickly, fast as we can, slow as we must, is the current phrase. HVAC is incredibly important, in particular to the premium flower. There is HVAC on-site. There is probably some incremental work in there. We are going to redo all the irrigation, very important to make sure we know that is working well for consistency. The security system is the last one. That is the majority of it. There are small things on evaluating of the tables, etc. I think that money will probably be spent mostly by the end of the summer, and we should have our first planting in at some point in the summer, pending licensing and making sure the equipment is up and running properly.

I'd like to be in a position where, at the end of the year, we know the first crops we expect might not hit our quality standard, and that's normal for a new facility, as we're learning. I expect that we're at full capacity by the end of the year. In 2026, we've got in the range of 3,000 kilos coming out of that facility. On the low end, I would say we're fairly comfortable saying.

Neal Gilmer
Analyst, Haywood Securities

Great. Maybe the last one for me on the international side of things. You mentioned the GACP for the Delta facility. Do you need to get that for the Hope facility, or does that facility already have that?

Margaret Brodie
CEO, Rubicon Organics

No, it does not have that, and that would be something that we would do, and we're talking about doing actually in the fall as we're up and running. We've got a number of projects we're running at and excited about because we can see the opportunity with the supply shortage nationally. We'll look to GACP, but I couldn't give you a timeline today to commit to the end of this year. I will probably push the team, but it might flow into the beginning of next year.

Neal Gilmer
Analyst, Haywood Securities

Fair enough. All right. Thanks for taking my questions.

Margaret Brodie
CEO, Rubicon Organics

Thanks, Neal.

Janis Rishwain
CFO, Rubicon Organics

Your next question comes from the line of Pablo Zuanic with Zuanic & Associates. Please go ahead.

Pablo Zuanic
Analyst, Zuanic & Associates

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Margaret, just a quick question about the premium segment. I think you talked about having 6% market share. Particularly in the case of flower, can you talk about is the premium segment as a percentage of the overall flower segment growing? Are you gaining share there? If you can talk about that and remind us how you define premium in terms of price points. Thanks.

Margaret Brodie
CEO, Rubicon Organics

Good question, Pablo. Thank you. Good morning. We've seen premium move from a calculated perspective. There's two ways you could look at it. One is the basket of goods, the basket of brands that we believe sit appealing to the premium consumer. The second is in the way that HiFi Analytics does it, which is the commonly used data within the Canadian set. That is 20% above any products that fall 20% above the average selling price nationally. For our public communications, we take that data because it's what other people can also look at and analyze. That means that products fall in and out of that. Last year, we did not see the premium segment grow, but we saw Rubicon grow quite considerably in the HiFi Analytics data set. In our view, there's still a lot of growth to come in premium.

I would say the one caution we have realistically for everybody in any consumer good is the impact of if the country goes into recession and what people's choices will be. That is going to be interestingly offset looking forward by what we believe is less Canadian premium on shelf as many, many of our competitors are pulling their products to international, mainly because of the cost of operating in Canada. Getting back on with the sales and marketing teams and the commercial work that you need to do, plus obtaining the listings, is very difficult when you come off. It's very expensive to do. I think we'll see if I think we'll have a I think we're going to continue to grow, and we'll have an offset to total market in that regard, if that makes sense.

Pablo Zuanic
Analyst, Zuanic & Associates

That's helpful. Thank you. Look, just regarding the Hope facility, I guess it's a two-part question. Were sales in 2024 in any way impacted by your capacity constraints, or were you able to buy biomass from third parties? If you can talk about that. I think in the MD&A, you talk about looking at alternatives to fund the CAD 4.5 million. Is sale leaseback an opportunity in that case, or is that out of the question? Thank you.

Margaret Brodie
CEO, Rubicon Organics

Firstly, 2024, we were absolutely impacted by capacity constraint, in particular in our larger formats. The numbers are quite considerable in terms of the amount of demand that we believe we had that we could not fill. That is really largely around flower, and we need to continue to work with that. I think buying Hope is about us controlling and securing supply, and we believe that is strategically important. I would say premium supply. One of the things that we are seeing in the international market is the perception of what premium is is different than what the Canadian market sees. Product potentially that a Canadian would not consider premium, an international consumer, now not all, but many would consider premium, and that is just based on size of nug and not flavor, smokeability, etc.

I believe there's still a lot of opportunity to demonstrate to that consumer in time what true premium is to a Canadian. Secondly, your question on Hope sale leaseback, look, we want to own our assets at this stage. We don't have a need to look at a project like that. I think that's potentially as the industry stabilizes and we go further down the line. If we were to look at in three to five years, maybe that's something we look at, but I don't think today and Janis, unless you've got a differing view.

Janis Rishwain
CFO, Rubicon Organics

No, I agree with you, Margaret.

Margaret Brodie
CEO, Rubicon Organics

Thank you. Thanks, Pablo. Any other questions?

Pablo Zuanic
Analyst, Zuanic & Associates

Yeah. Yeah, one last question, if I may. Just maybe more granularity in terms of your pre-roll business and vape. In the case of pre-rolls, I think it's a big portion of your sales, I guess, second to flower according to HiFi Analytics. But you haven't done much in, it seems, based on the numbers, you haven't done much in terms of infused. Is that an opportunity? How are you thinking about infused pre-rolls? Then separate in the case of vape, if you can just give more color in terms of what's driving that growth. I mean, in some cases, we see all-in-ones growing at 1.5 g, 2 g, rosin versus distillate. If you can just give more color in terms of what's driving your growth in vape and then plans for infused pre-rolls. Thank you. That's it.

Margaret Brodie
CEO, Rubicon Organics

Great questions. Look, the infused pre-roll market, props to Jeeter, who's coming to the Canadian market with tremendous energy. A lot of that market is a distillate product that is a flavored distillate product, and there's a lot of it out there. We have played in the premium side of that. I think in some ways it's low-hanging fruit. I think there's more work for us to do, but I think there's bigger opportunities, in particular in vape, before we were to enter and put more energy into infused pre-roll. We tend to focus where we believe there's the biggest winning opportunity. We are in infused pre-roll, but it is not, I would say, a core focus of our business, mainly because I think the differentiation in that when it's really a THC game isn't as large. That's my personal view.

I think there's a lot of different perspectives out there. From vape and growth, look, we're obviously investigating opportunities like all-in-one. Again, it's about highest and best use of our resources. My view is there is a place in the market for distillate, but as consumers, and we've seen with various formats that we have, try the more flavor-forward terpene-rich experience. They move into that category. I think the risk around our portfolio on things like a consumer preference shift into rosins and resins and FSE is potentially going to be held back if there's a lot of economic pressure, in particular against the grocery store. We don't see that happening. Right now, we are seeing the market just grow and grow and grow, and the convenience factor of it be a huge part of it. I'd love to be an all-in-one tomorrow, but we aren't.

I'm prioritizing making sure that we get the Hope facility and a number of other projects that we're working on. You'll hear more about as we go through the year.

Pablo Zuanic
Analyst, Zuanic & Associates

That's great. Thank you very much.

Margaret Brodie
CEO, Rubicon Organics

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Andrew Semple with Ventum Financial. Please go ahead.

Andrew Semple
Analyst, Ventum Financial

Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions and congrats on the results. First one for me would just be Margaret and Janis, I'd love to hear your thoughts on the pricing environment for cannabis products, how that's shifted in the last few months and so far into the new year, whether we're beginning to see prices stabilize or turn upwards, or whether there's still been some pressure on wholesale prices in Canada, just given the supply shortages you've noted.

Margaret Brodie
CEO, Rubicon Organics

In the Canadian domestic market, what I would say we are seeing is price stabilization rather than price increases. There have been some notable price increases in the value and mainstream category, and I think they're fairly well publicized. I wouldn't say that we've seen that in the premium category, and I think there's a balance in it, as what I mentioned about what happens with the economy and the consumer. We're intensely aware of that. We want to make sure our consumers are making choices to our products. In the wholesale market, I haven't actually looked at the data because it's been a busy few weeks in the last three weeks, but we've seen a steady incline. What we've also seen is, while we aren't always seeing price increase, we're seeing the price-to-quality change.

If the overall biomass is the same, people are paying more for a lower quality. I think that some of that is offset by the—sorry, I'm just taking a minute to think about how to explain this. Many growers are focused on yield to sell the most grams into the international market. It is about getting the flower out that looks like a—I describe it as the strawberry you buy in the store in the winter that has some yellow at the top. It looks great. They are getting the yield, and it looks great, but the experience is not the same. I think it is a little challenging because we do not have a consistent grading process across cannabis nationally and internationally, other than just looking at pure THC.

It may appear that pricing has been reasonably stable over the last six weeks in the international market, but I think that there's a shift in quality. We are hearing that the Australian market has a lot of demand being fairly well satisfied, and we're hearing out of that market more demand towards premium as they're starting to understand that more. I expect that is the trend that we're going to see in international. Last week I was in Washington DC and at the Global Cannabis Summit, Regulatory Cannabis Summit, and got an opportunity to sort of understand a little bit more about the flows of what's going to happen over a timeline of, call it, three to eight years.

If you're not playing in a specific category and at a price point through brand and genetic and premium, or you've got production at a low-cost point, we're going to be competing in Canada on imports at some stage, etc. You want to be really thinking today, what is it that's important to compete in future?

Andrew Semple
Analyst, Ventum Financial

Great. That's helpful, Calder. My follow-up here would just be on one of the items you called out in the press release, noting that in 2025, you're expecting a further 2,000 kilograms of incremental third-party contract supply for the year. First of all, I'm just wondering if we saw any of that within the Q4 results or whether that's going to be incremental to what we've seen in Q4, and perhaps the timing of when we might see that incremental third-party supply being made available to Rubicon throughout 2025.

Margaret Brodie
CEO, Rubicon Organics

Great question. We have not seen that in the fourth quarter. That will all really start to begin, I think, a little bit this quarter, and we'll see it in Q2-Q4 and fairly evenly across the year.

Andrew Semple
Analyst, Ventum Financial

Great. That's it for me. Thanks for taking my questions, and I'll hop back into queue.

Margaret Brodie
CEO, Rubicon Organics

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Josh Felker with CB1 Capital. Please go ahead.

Josh Felker
Analyst, CB1 Capital

Hey, good morning, Margaret. Good morning, Janis. Congratulations on the quarter. You previously spoke to the U.K., Germany, Australia's international opportunities, but not Poland. We saw the international export to Poland. I'm just wondering, are those countries still near-term opportunities, and could you update us on any of those conversations, level of where they're at? Thank you.

Margaret Brodie
CEO, Rubicon Organics

Absolutely. Look, we are capacity constrained in 2025. We believe that fulfilling our brands in Canada first is incredibly important for our competition and also our pricing arbitrage as we go internationally to demonstrate the quality of what we have. Poland is a smaller market at this stage. We have very small amounts in our test and learn strategy this year. We are not talking significant material amounts in 2025. Going internationally, we are not sending thousands of kilos out because we have the demand domestically. If we look, these are small lots consistently, and we will be testing and learning with several different buyers because we want to get to know, understand the process in which to sell, who and how we are dealing with, and understanding the dynamics over there.

I think just launching full scale into something or planning to wholesale sell your product in the long term does not provide you with a sticky route to market or brand recognition. Next year, we have not yet determined exactly how much, but I do expect it to be over 1,000 kg, would be going internationally and most likely from the Hope facility.

Josh Felker
Analyst, CB1 Capital

Super. Appreciate that. Maybe a two-part question on Canada. Just wondering, A, where you're seeing impacts of the shortages in cadence supply, and then B, wondering what you're seeing in consumer trend shift as these trends continue to mature and consumers begin to establish which brands they like on the premium side. Thank you.

Margaret Brodie
CEO, Rubicon Organics

Sorry, your first question was for clarification.

Josh Felker
Analyst, CB1 Capital

Where are you seeing impacts of the shortages in Canadian supply? B would be any consumer trend shifts.

Margaret Brodie
CEO, Rubicon Organics

No problem. Impact on shortage, I think we're seeing that in less brand selection in Canada where a number of small local premium brands are no longer selling in Canada. Full stop. It does create an opportunity for us to be on shelf and fill that space. We are also seeing it in our business in the larger format bags because they're less profitable. We err to selling what we can in smaller format where we make more money, in particular on the flower side. I'm not aware of where that's hitting specifically other businesses, and I haven't heard people speak to that. We are hearing a lot of inbounds from a lot of other companies asking us for supply when it should be reasonably known that I think Rubicon's once now sold supply in Canada.

It was a smaller lot that did not work for our business, but we do not do that. We are hearing people really looking, and I would say the stress level on trying to find supply to sell their brands is increasing. I could not tell you the internal impacts. What we are seeing, though, is a shift to trust, and I think that is where brand loyalty is going to be developed. If you look around the world today in unpredictability and you think back to the last number of years where consumers kind of got used to Canadian cannabis to when they open the jar or the bag, what is it going to be inside? If you go on Reddit, you can see a lot of comments where people take photos of, "Hey, look, this is crap," and then they do not buy the brand again.

To build a brand, we need that consistent trust and brand promise. In a moment of unpredictability, delivering on that builds the brand promise and builds loyalty. That is what we are focused on. I think this shift towards brands will actually accelerate because when people take their hard-earned money, they want to make sure they are getting something good for it.

Josh Felker
Analyst, CB1 Capital

Super. I appreciate all the color. Congratulations on the record quarter.

Margaret Brodie
CEO, Rubicon Organics

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the call back to Margaret Brodie for closing remarks.

Margaret Brodie
CEO, Rubicon Organics

I'd like to thank you for joining our call today. Appreciate those who've been on the journey with us for a while, and I can see a lot of new names in the participant list, so welcome to those new ones. We hope to see you more on our journey as this is a very exciting moment. We have built our business through the trials and tribulations of the Canadian cannabis market, waiting for opportunities like now to arise. In the last couple of years of quiet and down cannabis markets, Rubicon has been focused and disciplined to build our business and lay foundations for what we believe is to come. Now they are here, and we can't wait for what is next. Thanks very much.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you all for attending. You may now disconnect.

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