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Earnings Call: Q3 2016

Nov 9, 2016

Operator

Welcome to the OMV Group's conference call for the Q3 2016 results. If you would like to ask a question after the presentation, you may register your request by pressing the star one button on your telephone at any time during the actual presentation or during the question and answer session itself. You should have received the presentation by email. If you do not have a copy of the presentation, the slides and the speech can be downloaded at omv.com. At this time, I would also like to refer you to the disclaimer, which includes our position on forward-looking statements. Additionally, simultaneous to this conference call, a live audio webcast is available on OMV's website. I would now like to hand the conference over to Ms. Magdalena Moll. Please go ahead, Ms. Moll.

Magdalena Moll
SVP of Investor Relations, OMV

Thank you very much, Andrea. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to OMV's Q3 2016 conference call. In the third quarter, OMV continued to deliver on its strategic targets and turned in a good performance. OMV again generated a positive cash flow after dividends of EUR 239 million. In addition, and I'm sure you have seen this, we made an announcement that OMV agreed to sell 100% of the shares in its wholly-owned upstream subsidiary, OMV U.K., to Siccar Point Energy Limited. With me on the call today to explain the results are Rainer Seele, our Chairman of the Executive Board and Chief Executive Officer, and Reinhard Florey, our Chief Financial Officer. Rainer will highlight OMV's performance in the third quarter, as well as discuss important portfolio developments. Afterwards, Reinhard will review key aspects of the financial statements and talk about the segment results in more details.

Rainer will conclude with the outlook for the full year 2016, and both gentlemen will then be happy to take your questions. With this, I would like to hand the presentation over to Rainer.

Rainer Seele
Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO, OMV

Ladies and gentlemen, good morning, and thank you for joining us. I'm happy to review our third quarter financial performance together with my board colleague, Reinhard Florey. Let me start with the key messages. OMV's performance in third quarter 2016 revealed that the company is back on a successful path. OMV again delivered a positive free cash flow after dividends of EUR 239 million, demonstrating the stringent focus on cash generation. In this context, OMV continues with its rigorous CapEx discipline and will further reduce CapEx to EUR 2 billion in 2016. For next year, CapEx of EUR 2.2 billion is planned. This is below our previous guidance. At EUR 360 million, the 2016 exploration appraisal expenditure will also come in lower than budget. For 2017, we reconfirm our initial E&A target at EUR 300 million. In addition, we made progress optimizing the portfolio by executing our strategic M&A projects.

On September 22nd this year, OMV signed the agreement for the sale of a 49% stake in Gas Connect Austria to a consortium composed of Allianz, which is Europe's largest insurer, and Snam, Italy's gas infrastructure operator. We are aiming to close the deal until year-end. Total cash consideration will equal EUR 601 million. We also continued to further optimize our North Sea portfolio. OMV agreed to sell 100% of the shares in its wholly-owned upstream subsidiary, OMV U.K., to Siccar Point Energy Limited. Let me give you some more details on this transaction. The transaction has been signed by the parties and has an economic effective date of January 1st, 2016. The transaction value amounts up to $1 billion.

The transaction value consists of a firm payment of $750 million and a contingent payment related to the Rosebank final investment decision in the amount of up to $125 million. On top, the parties agreed on a purchase price adjustment with respect to CapEx to the effective date. This results in a further consideration in the amount of approximately $125 million. Let me review OMV's upstream position in the U.K. We are partner in 22 licensees in the U.K. Continental Shelf. Just a few examples. Production comes from the Jade gas condensate field in the central North Sea. The Schiehallion redevelopment project, in which OMV has an 11.8% stake, is scheduled to restart production in 2017.

Additionally, OMV holds stakes in several appraisal and development projects, including 20% of Rosebank, 47.5% of the Cambo oil and gas discoveries, and 26% on Jackdaw, a high-pressure, high-temperature discovery in the central area of the North Sea. This transaction is subject to conditions including regulatory approval and is anticipated to close in the first quarter of 2017. As a consequence, we had to impair the book value of the assets by EUR 458 million in the third quarter 2016. At closing, we will realize foreign exchange gains currently estimated at approximately EUR 100 million, related to the currency translation of the US dollar subsidiary, OMV U.K. At the same time, OMV's related future investment requirements will decrease. This transaction is a major step towards the further optimization of our portfolio. OMV plans to use the proceeds for strategic investments in low-cost development regions and for strengthening the balance sheet.

One key message that's always important, ladies and gentlemen, our HSSE performance. The sustainable management of health, safety, security, and environment is top priority for OMV and critical to the responsible delivery of our products and services. Unfortunately, in the course of 2016, the lost time injury rate trended upward. We are deeply concerned that there were serious incidents, particularly in our upstream activities. We are undertaking a third-party audit to investigate and analyze these incidents. In addition, we rolled out the second phase of our safety culture program across the entire group. This program focuses on observing behavior, intervention, and recognition. I would like to briefly talk about OMV's market environment. The average oil price is stabilized at a level of $46 per barrel in third quarter 2016 versus second quarter 2016.

Of course, the OPEC agreement end of September to cap production had a supportive effect on the price level. Saudi Arabia and its Gulf allies have preliminarily agreed to cut production by 4%, while Russia said it was prepared to freeze at current production levels. The OPEC Gulf members are said to be unwilling to give Iraq an exemption from any agreement. Given current developments, OMV arrived at a new oil price assumption of $44 per barrel for 2016, and sticks to the $55 per barrel for next year. Central European gas prices remained stable in the third quarter 2016. OMV's realized gas price in Upstream was EUR 13 per megawatt hour due to long-term locked-in gas agreements and pricing in countries not linked to the Central European gas hub price.

OMV sees a seasonally upward trend in gas prices for the rest of the year. A short remark on the refining market. The OMV indicator refining margin declined by $1 per barrel to $3.7 per barrel in the third quarter 2016 compared to second quarter 2016, mainly driven by lower gasoline and naphtha cracks. Seasonally stronger demand during the summer driving season could not compensate for the oversupply. However, the middle distillates recovered slightly, supported by supply disruptions and a modest increase in demand. For the fourth quarter 2016, we expect OMV's indicator refining margins to go up, along with an increase in the middle distillate spreads. Finally, petrochemical margins improved compared to second quarter 2016, supported by higher demand. In the fourth quarter 2016, petrochemical margins are expected to remain on a similar level, supported by strong demand.

With the next slide, I will highlight the key figures of the third quarter, and Reinhard will comment on that in greater detail later. Clean CCS EBIT increased from EUR 214 million in second quarter 2016 to EUR 415 million in third quarter 2016, due to higher Upstream and Downstream results. Clean CCS net income attributable to stockholders came in at EUR 447 million. This was higher than Clean CCS EBIT because of the strong results from Borealis and lower taxes. Clean CCS earnings per share increased to EUR 1.37 versus EUR 0.68. As mentioned before, free cash flow after dividends was again positive at EUR 239 million. OMV generated an EBIT of EUR 63 million, significantly up from the EUR 300 million lost in the second quarter 2016. In third quarter 2016, special items amounted to EUR 350 million.

They included the EUR 458 million impairment related to the OMV Upstream assets in the U.K. EBIT in the second quarter 2016 was also significantly impacted by EUR 530 million of impairment charges related to the Rosebank field. Net income attributable to stockholders came in at EUR 48 million. Moving on to our financial performance in the first nine months 2016, OMV realized solid operating results despite the decrease in both the oil price and the refining margins. OMV reported a Clean CCS EBIT of EUR 796 million, 34% lower than in the previous year. Both Upstream and Downstream turned in lower results. Clean CCS net income attributable to stockholders decreased by 13% to EUR 842 million. Free cash flow before dividends showed a significant improvement to EUR 645 million. In the same period of the previous year, the free cash flow was only EUR 103 million.

Free cash flow after dividends came in at EUR 266 million. On the next slide our key portfolio developments. On September 22nd this year, OMV signed the sale agreement for a 49% minority stake in Gas Connect Austria to a consortium of Allianz and Snam. This transaction supports the financial stability and cash flow for the OMV Group while keeping a majority stake in Gas Connect Austria. In addition, it advances OMV strategy to restructure the downstream gas assets and to reduce its exposure to the regulated gas business. The total cash consideration will equal EUR 601 million. The enterprise value is EUR 1.4 billion, corresponding to an enterprise value per EBITDA multiple of eight times. The closing of the transaction is expected by year-end and is conditional upon merger control clearance by German and Austrian authorities.

On October 6th, 2016, OMV closed the sale of a 30% interest in the U.K. offshore oil and gas project, Rosebank, to Canadian Suncor Energy. Upon closing, Suncor made an initial payment of $50 million. Following the co-venturers approval of the Rosebank project FID, OMV will receive an additional consideration of up to $165 million. On October 10th, 2016, OMV Petrol Ofisi agreed to sell the Aliaga terminal in Turkey to SOCAR. This divestment is fully in line with OMV's Petrol Ofisi strategy to continuously improve the efficiency of its terminal network and supply chain. OMV Petrol Ofisi will continue to use the fuel and LPG terminal in Aliaga based on a long-term storage and throughput agreement. Closing of the transaction is expected by year-end 2016, subject to the approval by competition authorities.

As presented before, OMV divested its wholly owned upstream subsidiary in the U.K. for up to $1 billion to Siccar Point Energy Limited. During the course of 2016, OMV continued to reduce its CapEx spending. While we projected CapEx to come in at EUR 2.4 billion at the beginning of the year, we now estimate that we will only spend EUR 2 billion. Investments for Nord Stream 2 will not materialize in 2016, and certain upstream projects were phased. This does not impact our production forecast. In the first nine months of 2016, we have spent EUR 1.4 billion with upstream projects accounting to EUR 1 billion. The North Sea regions accounted for EUR 427 million, with the majority of CapEx allocated to the development of the Gullfaks, Schiehallion, and Aasta Hansteen fields. OMV Petrom spent almost EUR 330 million on field redevelopment project as well as on workovers and drillings.

In Tunisia, we proceeded with the development of the Nawara gas field. For 2017, we are planning a CapEx of EUR 2.2 billion. This is below our earlier 2017 guidance because so far we have no CapEx planned for Nord Stream 2. In 2016, we will reduce exploration appraisal expenditures by 41% to EUR 360 million. This forecast reflects a EUR 90 million reduction from the EUR 450 million in exploration appraisal expenditures communicated in August 2016. The main reasons are lower drilling costs and reduced exploration activities, especially in Romania. On the first nine months of 2016, we spent EUR 233 million, mainly related to the Wisting well in Norway, as well as exploration and appraisal activities in Romania and Bulgaria. We continued with our evaluation of the Neptun Deep field in the Black Sea.

The drilling progress at the Polshkov well in Bulgaria has been finished with the exploration resulting in an oil discovery in the Black Sea. With respect to our Sub-Sahara Africa position, we additionally ceased activities in Namibia. OMV's strategic target in 2017 will be to reduce exploration and appraisal expenditure to EUR 300 million. We also continue to make good progress with the implementation of our cost reduction and efficiency program. We will achieve cost savings of EUR 100 million by the end of 2016 and commit to more than EUR 150 million by 2017. Now I would like to hand over to my colleague, Reinhard, for the discussion of the financials.

Reinhard Florey
CFO, OMV

Thank you very much, Rainer. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, also from my side. On slide 14, you can see the summary of the quarter three income statement. My remarks will focus on the comparison mainly between Q3 versus Q2 2016 figures. The reported EBIT amounted to EUR 63 million compared to minus EUR 300 million in second quarter 2016. The net financial results slightly increased to EUR 75 million versus Q2 2016 due to a strong contribution from our Borealis, with EUR 110 million and lower net interest expense. OMV recorded a tax expense of EUR 8 million, so the tax-effective rate was at 6%. If you would compare, the clean tax rate was -10%. Non-controlling interests were up, driven by higher contribution from OMV Petrom. This brought us, on a reported basis, to a net income attributable to our stockholders of EUR 48 million, which is equivalent to EUR 0.15 per share.

Adjusted for special items, which include the EUR 458 million impairment booked for OMV's upstream assets in the U.K., clean CCS net income attributable to stockholders amounted to EUR 447 million. This was more than double the clean CCS net income generated in Q2 2016 and even more than the corresponding quarter last year. The clean CCS earnings per share amounted to EUR 1.37 in Q3 2016. Let me now turn to our cash flow, which was again strong in Q3 2016. Cash flow from operating activities came in at EUR 652 million. Depreciation, amortization, and impairments, including write-ups, amounted to EUR 899 million. Cash outflow from net working capital was EUR 154 million, primarily related to the seasonal increase of accounts receivables in downstream oil as well as inventories in downstream gas. We used EUR 469 million in cash for investments, particularly in upstream.

This encompassed projects in the North Sea, workovers and field redevelopments at OMV Petrom, and development of the Nawara project in Tunisia. Free cash flow before and after dividends came in at EUR 239 million positive. This shows that we are well on track to deliver on our promise to be free cash flow positive already at 2016. So this is really free cash flow positive after dividends. We also substantially increased the results despite ongoing difficult market environments. Clean CCS EBIT rose from EUR 214 million in Q2 to EUR 450 million in Q3. In upstream, sales volumes increased by 4% since part of the Q2 2016 production volumes were sold in Q3 2016. Production decreased by 5% to 301,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day due to planned turnarounds in the Norwegian field, Gullfaks and Gudrun. Absolute production costs further decreased, mainly as a result of ongoing cost savings initiatives.

Upstream earnings increased from breakeven to EUR 38 million positive, benefiting from a positive hedging result in the amount of roughly EUR 26 million. In downstream, the utilization rate of the refineries was back at 97% in Q3 2016, following the turnaround activities in Q2 2016. Higher defined product sales more than offset the lower OMV indicator refining margin. The retail and commercial business experienced seasonally increased sales volumes. Retail and commercial margins were higher, backed by strong customer demands for OMV's products. OMV Petrom's performance was also seasonally strong. The performance of the petrochemical business strongly increased due to the higher sales volumes and improved product spreads. Downstream oil earnings increased substantially to EUR 312 million. Downstream gas, again, performed well and generated a Clean CCS EBIT of EUR 65 million. This included a one-time gain of EUR 22 million, mainly related to the clearance of a contract.

Let's look at the reconciliation from Clean CCS EBIT to EBIT. After deducting special items and inventory effect from Clean CCS EBIT came in at EUR 63 million. The special items in the amount of minus EUR 350 million were mainly related to the impairment of OMV's upstream U.K. net assets, as mentioned, EUR 458 million. The ongoing divestment process for an upstream asset in the Middle East and Africa region triggered a pretax write-up of EUR 116 million. The next slide, you can see the upstream Clean CCS EBIT development in Q3 2016 versus Q3 2015. Clean CCS EBIT declined from EUR 52 million to EUR 38 million as a result of significantly lower oil and gas prices. The realized crude oil and gas prices dropped by 14% and 20% respectively. Hedging had a positive impact of some EUR 26 million in Q3 2016.

This hedging result, however, was EUR 36 million lower than in Q3 2015. Higher sales volumes, as well as reduced costs and lower depreciation almost offset the negative impact of the decline in oil and gas prices. Production in upstream rose by 3% to 301,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. Sales volumes increased by 8% due to additional listings in Norway and contributed EUR 39 million to Clean CCS EBIT. Lower clean exploration expenses as a result of reduced exploration activities had a positive impact of EUR 36 million. Production costs drove the improvement in Clean CCS EBIT on the other category in the amount of EUR 20 million. The OpEx in US dollar per barrel oil equivalent decreased by 13% now to $11.4 in Q3 2016, reflecting our strict cost management coupled with higher production.

Lower depreciation as a result of the lower asset base following impairment in Q4 2015 contributed EUR 38 million. Let me now turn to the downstream performance. Downstream Clean CCS EBIT decreased from EUR 402 million to EUR 377 million. This was attributable to the lower OMV indicator refining margin, which decreased from $7.8 per barrel in Q3 2015 to $3.7 per barrel in Q3 2016. The refinery's utilization rate increased from 93% to 97%. At 8.4 million tons, total refined product sales were slightly up. The petrochemical business experienced good demand, but margins, while on a good level, were lower than in Q3 2015. In the same period last year, the petrochemical industry was affected by planned and unplanned shutdowns, which drove up prices and margins.

In the retail and commercial business, higher customer demand in Q3 2016 resulted in better margins. Downstream gas clean EBIT was up by EUR 93 million, largely driven by our restructuring efforts. In addition, the result was supported by a higher valuation on forward contracts as well as a one-off effect in the amount of EUR 22 million related to the clearance of a contract. Let's turn to OMV Petrom Group results. Clean CCS EBIT increased from EUR 49 million in Q2 2016 to EUR 137 million. This was driven by improved results mainly in downstream. The upstream segment of OMV Petrom reported Clean CCS EBIT of EUR 45 million. The production decreased to 174,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day due to natural decline.

OMV Petrom successfully decreased unit production costs from $12.1 to $11.3 per barrel due to lower personnel, material, and services costs. Downstream results of OMV Petrom increased from EUR 30 million to EUR 88 million. The downstream oil performance was supported by the high refinery utilization rate of 97%, as well as seasonally increased sales across all channels. Despite challenging market conditions, downstream gas reported a better result in both gas and power, while still negative. Benefiting from the strong cash generation of the group, OMV decreased both its net debt and its gearing ratio. Net debt declined from EUR 4.04 billion at the end of 2015 to EUR 3.74 billion. The gearing came down, it came in at 27%, comfortably below our long-term target of maximum 30%.

OMV's balance sheet is in a healthy state, reflecting a strong liquidity position with EUR 1.7 billion in cash and cash equivalents and EUR 3.6 billion in undrawn credit facilities. The equity ratio rose up to 45%. I would like to turn the presentation back to Rainer for the outlook.

Rainer Seele
Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO, OMV

Thanks, Reinhard. Ladies and gentlemen, I now would like to summarize OMV's outlook for you. For the full year 2016, we increased our oil price assumption to an average of $44 per barrel. The gas market environment in Europe continues to be characterized by oversupply. Gas prices on European spot markets are expected to show a seasonally upward trend in fourth quarter 2016. OMV's indicator refining margins in the fourth quarter 2016 is projected to be above the third quarter 2016, along with an increase in middle distillate spreads. Capacity utilization in fourth quarter 2016 is expected to be above 90%. Our production guidance for 2016 is slightly above 300,000 barrels per day. We reduce our CapEx guidance from EUR 2.4 billion to EUR 2 billion in 2016, with upstream accounting for 75%.

We reduce the exploration and appraisal expenditure guidance to EUR 360 million. We will achieve cost reductions of EUR 100 million in 2016. Please note that the fourth quarter 2016 will see a seasonal decline in downstream oil compared to third quarter 2016. This previous quarter was supported by high product demand during the driving season. We do not anticipate any one-off gains in Clean EBIT of downstream gas in the fourth quarter 2016. We expect fourth quarter 2016 results to be below the strong level of third quarter 2016. Thank you very much. We are now happy to take your questions.

Magdalena Moll
SVP of Investor Relations, OMV

Yes, thank you, Rainer Seele. Now, ladies and gentlemen, I would like to open the call for questions. I would like to ask you to please limit your questions to two at a time so that we can take as many questions as possible. Of course, you are always welcome to rejoin the queue for a follow-up question. We have already several analysts here in line. The first question comes from Mehdi Ennebati from Société Générale. Good morning, Mehdi.

Mehdi Ennebati
Analyst, Société Générale

Hi, good morning. Good morning, all. Two questions. First one regarding the asset swap deal with Gazprom. Two weeks ago, Gazprom chairman announced that the asset swap deal has been postponed from H2 2016 to 2017, and that Achimov production startup has been postponed to 2019. I think initially it was 2018. Is there a link between the asset swap deal postponement and the delay in the production startup? Is it more due to some constraints from Norwegian authorities regarding Gazprom taking a minority stake on OMV Norway? Don't you think it will finally be easier for you to buy this 25% stake in Achimov in cash rather than doing an asset swap deal? Second question on Petrol Ofisi disposal process. Bloomberg related you received several initial bids. Can you confirm this news, please?

Would you consider the appetite is strong on Petrol Ofisi or no? When do you expect to receive the final bids on Petrol Ofisi? Will it be more in H1 2017 or more by the end of 2017, maybe 2018, given the turmoils in Turkey? Just one small additional question regarding the CapEx commitment. You said that you reduced your 2017 CapEx by EUR 200 million due to Nord Stream 2. Shouldn't we expect an impact from the sale, from OMV U.K. disposal? Post-2018, after Nawara and Aasta Hansteen startup, can you just remind us your CapEx commitments because it looks like it will be extremely low, meaning that you will have a huge flexibility on CapEx. Thank you.

Rainer Seele
Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO, OMV

Oh, Mehdi, you really make me busy with all the questions, to be honest. I answer in the same priority you have asked the questions. Let me start with the asset swap. With the asset swap, the timeline has not been postponed. There's a little bit of confusion because there is no clear guidance how we and Gazprom are communicating the numbers. That's why I would like to give you the timeline. We both have planned to come up and to sign a basic agreement determining the economics, which means what is the percentage Gazprom will get in OMV U.K., and then after that-

Mehdi Ennebati
Analyst, Société Générale

OMV Norway.

Rainer Seele
Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO, OMV

OMV Norway. Sorry, today U.K. is too much in my head. In OMV Norway. Then we need, I think one to two years for closing the deal. The Deputy Chairman of Gazprom, Alexander Medvedev, when he said he sees it in 2017, I think he had a very positive outlook for closing the deal. We are fully within the planned schedule. I still think we are signing a basic agreement until year-end. It's right that Achimov production start has been postponed. That's a reevaluation of the development concept. We have put that delay of production start into our calculations. That's maybe one of the reason why we have to negotiate a bit longer. That's why it has nothing to do with the Norwegian authorities, because there is a misunderstanding of the postponement, which isn't a postponement.

Mehdi Ennebati
Analyst, Société Générale

Okay.

Rainer Seele
Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO, OMV

I agree with you. I would love to buy into Achimov four or five, Gazprom wants no cash. We have agreed on a swap deal. That's the headline. One swap component is not cash. As we are getting liquidity, of course, cash becomes king also in our thinking. As we speak about the asset swap, the headline remains that we are swapping assets. There will be only if a minor cash component involved. Petrol Ofisi, yes, we have received initial bids. I wouldn't say that the appetite is strong, but we do have a good competitive bidding round. The timeline is that we more will have final bids first half next year than second half. CapEx for next year. Yes, Nord Stream 2 is one major effect for the reduction.

You are right that the sale of OMV U.K. has a potential to further reduce our CapEx budget, but this has been not anticipated so far. You are right, Mehdi, that our flexibility post-2018 as we speak about CapEx commitments, is increasing substantially.

Mehdi Ennebati
Analyst, Société Générale

Can you quantify it, please? CapEx commitment in 2018 and 2019.

Rainer Seele
Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO, OMV

Not at all.

Mehdi Ennebati
Analyst, Société Générale

All right.

Rainer Seele
Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO, OMV

Well, I can, but I don't want, Mehdi.

Mehdi Ennebati
Analyst, Société Générale

Sure. I fully understand. Thank you very much, Rainer.

Rainer Seele
Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO, OMV

Thank you.

Magdalena Moll
SVP of Investor Relations, OMV

We come to the next question from Henri Patricot from UBS.

Henri Patricot
Analyst, UBS

Yes, hello everyone. Thank you for the presentation. I just wanted to follow up on the CapEx. Could you provide us with an idea of the split in direction between the phasing, the cost inflation and Nord Stream 2? How that will evolve over the following few years. You also mentioned that you would produce your activities in Romania. Does that have an implication on the level of production that you expect over the next years? Thank you.

Rainer Seele
Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO, OMV

All right. Thanks, Henri. For Nord Stream 2, we do have a total CapEx number, 100% of EUR 8.5 billion being published by the company without financing costs. I made reference now to the CapEx numbers excluding any financial costs. The CapEx will be spent over the next year mainly until 2019, peaking in 2018, when the construction of the pipeline is scheduled to start. That's the reason why in 2016, there was only a small amount of CapEx spent. The company has not released any information on the phasing of the CapEx. That's all I can say about Nord Stream 2, about the CapEx being spent. The second question on Romania. It's right, we are focusing now our investment activities in Romania, especially on promising workovers, so that we can keep the production level more or less on budget, like we have seen in 2016.

We will have only a moderate impact in 2017. On a mid to longer term, we have to accept a production decline if we don't increase our CapEx spending in the region.

Henri Patricot
Analyst, UBS

Okay. Thank you.

Magdalena Moll
SVP of Investor Relations, OMV

Our next question comes from Hamish Peck.

Hamish Peck
Analyst

Hi, guys. Morning. Just one quick one for me. Fantastic cash flow today, but I just wanted to ask you about Norway. I just noticed that as a country, in your volume numbers, it came off quite a bit in the quarter. Was that just a function of maintenance? Actually, one other. Your employee count is down 7% year-on-year. Can we expect that trend to continue, and is that one of the core drivers behind your OpEx?

Magdalena Moll
SVP of Investor Relations, OMV

Hamish, can you repeat the first question, please?

Hamish Peck
Analyst

The first question was on your Norwegian volumes in the quarter. They were down quarter-on-quarter, 60 kbd from 72. Could you explain that?

Rainer Seele
Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO, OMV

Oh, it was maintenance shutdown.

Hamish Peck
Analyst

Okay, fine.

Rainer Seele
Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO, OMV

It was planned maintenance shutdown in Norway. That was the reason. Well, the reduction of employees, of course. I would guess that the reduction of employees will continue, but not on the high level we have seen, especially some five years ago. Because in Romania we reached a certain point where the big headcount cuts were more or less the history. But the 5%-7%, I would say is not a bad guess.

Hamish Peck
Analyst

Thanks.

Magdalena Moll
SVP of Investor Relations, OMV

The next question we have is from Marc Kofler from Jefferies. Good morning, Marc.

Marc Kofler
Analyst, Jefferies

Hi there. Morning, everyone. I just had a couple quick questions, please. Firstly, on the U.K. North Sea divestment, could you say a few words around any tax implications on that sale? I noticed a commentary around the resumption of volumes from the Sirte Basin in Libya. I was hoping you could quantify that impact. Also perhaps give us an update on some of your assets elsewhere in country. Thanks.

Rainer Seele
Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO, OMV

Marc, to the first question on tax. Tax implication is that in general what we have as a positive tax position in our OMV U.K. is about EUR 150 million. There is only a small part of that tax positive side that we can transfer internal the group. The other part will be part of the transaction. All right. Let me give you a little bit more our view on Libya. I just have met the CEO of NOC, Mustafa Sanalla, a few days ago. He told me that Libya is now producing 600,000 barrels per day, a strong recovery. To my regret, OMV cannot participate on such a good development. We are just between 900 to 1,000 barrels per day. There is another huge upside. We can go up to 30,000 barrels per day.

The reason is that the infrastructure from the Sharara field, which is our main field, is blocked. That's the reason why we cannot transport the crude to the export terminals. The good story in Libya is the export terminals are free, and you can really lift the cargoes. Impact on reserves. I think we have to look a little bit how sustainable is the situation now in Libya. The NOC chairman is pretty positive that he can further resume production in his country. I think it's a question of how stable the situation is going to be in Libya. We think that we should very cautiously go into 2017. We might go and plan the current production level with an upside in case we are going to have the infrastructure available to bring our main asset on stream.

As far as we speak about reserves, I think the Libyan production will come back. That's something we do have in our plans. There will be no impact on our reserves.

Marc Kofler
Analyst, Jefferies

That's great. Thanks very much.

Magdalena Moll
SVP of Investor Relations, OMV

We move on. Next question is from Josh Stone from Barclays.

Josh Stone
Analyst, Barclays

Hi. Yeah, good afternoon. I got two questions, please. Firstly, on the U.K. disposal, can you talk a little bit about what the motivation was to sell now, just when I look at the very strong free cash flow for the first nine months of the year and the impairment you've had to take. Could you just talk a little about just the motivation of the timing of the transaction? Secondly, I think I heard you say that some of the cash will be used for strategic investments in low-cost development areas. Perhaps you can maybe just elaborate a little bit on that? Thanks.

Rainer Seele
Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO, OMV

Yes, we hear.

Reinhard Florey
CFO, OMV

Just about the motivation to sell now. First of all, it is very much our inclination to change the portfolio towards more value barrels. As we have seen, there is of course, higher exploration, higher lifting costs that we generally have in the North Sea in U.K. than in other parts of our portfolio. We have seen a good opportunity in spite of the, in general, challenging situation for M&A deals these days. This unfolded a very good transaction. We are very pleased that we found, with Siccar Point, a very good partner and immediately jumped on that opportunity, while this was still a competitive transaction. This was not just a one-side transaction. I think we are very satisfied that we were able to close this or sign this transaction. What is it that we will do with the money?

Of course, we will strengthen our balance sheet. This allows us to go down in our gearing ratio. This allows us to strengthen the ability of the company to go forward with the strategic plan.

Rainer Seele
Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO, OMV

Well, I have one addition. We, of course, also will use the cash to be reinvested to increase our reserve position. Look, Josh, we have reduced our E&A budget from EUR 700 to EUR 300 million. EUR 300 million are not sufficient to fully replenish our production. That's clear to me. Therefore, we need to use some liquidity for M&A activities to fill up our reserve position. We have clearly said that we would like to go for reserves in low-cost regions, which we have defined. If we are going to increase our reserve position, it will be in the defined core regions. I made also clear that I'm a fan of early cash flow, and that's the reason why I prefer to acquire producing barrels instead of developing barrels. That's more or less what I want to say in the context of our strategy.

Josh Stone
Analyst, Barclays

Great. Yeah. Thank you.

Magdalena Moll
SVP of Investor Relations, OMV

Now we move on to Tamas Pletser from Erste Bank.

Tamas Pletser
Analyst, Erste Bank

Yes. Good morning, everyone. Two questions I got. First of all, I think you mentioned in your report that you would like to, or actually you wrote up some assets in the Middle East and in other regions, and I presume that you are preparing to divest some of your assets further. Can you elaborate a little bit more, I mean, which assets or which geographical location we can expect from OMV further divestments? My second question would be on your retail performance. Do you plan to put some more money into regional retail like similar to some of your competitors in the region? It seems like from your report that your commercial activities were very profitable. Would you like to expand into this direction?

Rainer Seele
Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO, OMV

Well, let me start with your last question, Thomas. Well, the regional retail business, when we talk about our regional retail business, we are talking about Europe and the European market. We have clearly said that we are expecting the refining margin will come under pressure. We should remember the normal days of refiners in Europe, and we do have that since more than a decade, that we have over capacities in the market. I will be very cautious to go for any retail and refining activities in the European market, especially when we're taking into account that we do see a shift of refining capacities towards the wellhead, which is not predominant in Europe. I would be very much surprised whether OMV would go for investing into a new refining capacities or acquiring refining capacities.

It would be also not in line as we speak about our divestment program we had to clean up our refining portfolio. Tamas, what we are going to do is, of course, we are more investing along the value chain. What is in the main focus of OMV is that we are going to support especially our petchem activities and our participation in Borealis. The Borealis management is really top of the class when I see how they have developed the business, and you can see it since quite a while, how profitable the company is being managed. If I look into the growth perspective and the growth history of the company, we are well advised that we should look a bit deeper into Borealis and should spend also some more money into that business. You might not see it in our EBIT numbers.

At the end of the day, the money counts in your pocket and the net income is then the right one to look at. The divestment, I think it's a process that we are going to further optimize our portfolio. We are looking into North African positions where we would like to optimize our portfolio there regionally, and especially Tunisia was in the focus of our activities. There we are going to challenge a little bit our colleagues.

Tamas Pletser
Analyst, Erste Bank

Okay. That's quite clear. What I understood that no retail, no downstream, but rather petrochemicals and an upstream, of course.

Rainer Seele
Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO, OMV

Great summary.

Tamas Pletser
Analyst, Erste Bank

Okay, good. Thanks very much again.

Rainer Seele
Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO, OMV

Thanks.

Magdalena Moll
SVP of Investor Relations, OMV

We started our Q&A session with many questions from Mehdi, and we will end it with one question from Mehdi. Is that possible?

Mehdi Ennebati
Analyst, Société Générale

Yes.

Magdalena Moll
SVP of Investor Relations, OMV

Go ahead.

Mehdi Ennebati
Analyst, Société Générale

Thank you. One question split in three parts.

Rainer Seele
Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO, OMV

You have changed, Mehdi.

Mehdi Ennebati
Analyst, Société Générale

The first part, I just would like to come back to what has been announced by the management in February 2016. David Davies, previous CFO, said that if the oil price goes back to $53 per barrel, it is possible that the dividend, or let's say OMV will increase the dividend to EUR 1.25. Now that your organic free cash flow is very strong, now that you are deleveraging, now that you might invest in, let's say, production, which is cash generative, reserves which are cash generative, should we still consider that if the oil price goes back to $53 per barrel, you will increase your dividend? This is the first question. Second question, I just would like a small update regarding the talks with the Romanian government on the hydrocarbon taxation change. Do you expect any change for 2017 or no?

Finally, as you were talking about Borealis, which is doing very well, earnings are improving year-on-year. Is it fair to consider that the dividend that you receive from Borealis should go up again?

Rainer Seele
Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO, OMV

Okay. David Davies is in pension, but the dividend is not in pension, Mehdi. That's for sure. His commitment on the $53 per barrel, first of all, let's move into 2017, let's see what price of oil we really get. What makes us busy now these days, Mehdi, is more what is the dividend we do have to approve for the year 2016. Let us close the year 2016, let's discuss the dividend on 2017. What I can indicate right now is that the board of OMV is right now discussing our dividend policy. Reinhard is working hard on it, the next year, at latest, we are going to give you a new guidance on the dividend policy of OMV. We first have to discuss it, of course, with our supervisory board. No changes in Romanian taxation for 2017. Short answer.

Borealis, with the dividend, this is like in every family, Mehdi. We have to fight for a higher dividend as shareholders, I try to make pressure. I don't know whether I'm going to be successful. Borealis is, of course, performing on a higher level than 2015. If you're performing of a higher level and you have a very high cash flow, of course, the appetite of shareholders are going up. It's like with you.

Mehdi Ennebati
Analyst, Société Générale

Thank you very much.

Magdalena Moll
SVP of Investor Relations, OMV

Good. Ladies and gentlemen, this brings us to the end of our conference call. I would like to inform you that OMV will next report on its fourth quarter results on February 16th, 2017. I would like to thank both gentlemen, Rainer and Reinhard, and I certainly would like to thank you for joining us this morning. I would like to encourage you if you have any further questions, please do not hesitate to call us at Investor Relations. We will be very happy to help you. With this, I wish you all a very successful day. It will be a very busy day today considering the elections also in the U.S. We all wish you a nice day and hope to see you soon. Thank you. Bye-bye.

Rainer Seele
Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO, OMV

Thanks. Bye.

Tamas Pletser
Analyst, Erste Bank

Thank you.

Operator

That concludes today's teleconference call. A replay of the call will be available for one week. The number is printed on the teleconference invitation, or alternatively, please contact OMV's Investor Relations department directly to obtain the replay numbers.