AB KN Energies (VSE:KNE1L)
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Earnings Call: H2 2022

Feb 27, 2023

Moderator

Good morning. Dear listeners, welcome to Klaipėdos nafta Meeting with Investors. I'm Emilia from Nasdaq Vilnius, and I'll be moderating today's event. We will start with the presentation from the management, which will be followed by the Q&A session. Please be i nformed that this webinar is being recorded and will be available for a rewatch. As always, I encourage every one of you to share your questions in the Q&A section at the bottom of your screen, and you can submit them either anonymously or with your name. With that said, I'm pleased to introduce today's presenters, Chief Executive Officer, Darius Šilenskis, and Chief Financial Officer, Mindaugas Kvekšas. Dear guests, please, the floor is yours, and good luck.

Darius Šilenskis
CEO, KN Energies

Thank you, Emilia. Good morning, everybody who is participating this quite early morning on Monday. as usually, it's a pleasure for us to have a time with all of you and to present our main highlights as well as results or our financial performance for Q4 2022. I will start from the main highlights. Can you please switch the following slide? Yes, thank you. I'll start from regulated activity, where probably the main or major project which we are running now is a potential expansion of our LNG terminal capacity. Why it is actual? It is because of, so to say, significant changes in the market and our FSRU becoming essential part of energy security and supply of the gas in the region after the war.

Our major capacities are already booked for the long term, for the 10 years, and we see some potential from the market and demand as well from the market to investigate possibilities to expand current Klaipėda LNG terminal regasification capacities. We do that together with gas transmission system operator, Amber Grid. Since in case open season, which we are going to launch in spring, will end up with some commitments and agreements from the market, not only investment to our infrastructure, but also investment to the gas grid will be needed. Talking about the business news, here I would like to highlight that we have selected international export experts for consulting on the development of our company's new long-term operational strategy. We are calling it new. It's not a revision.

It's a creation of a new strategy. Why? Because during last few years, company has going through the transformation, both from the market side and both from the area where we operate. The tender for consultancy has been awarded to the global consultancy firm, Simon-Kucher & Partners. Also it's very important achievement which happened just recently. We have signed a 10-year loan contract with Lithuanian Energy Agency for storage of the compulsory, so to say, state reserves, fuel state reserves in our Subačius oil terminal. Talking about the financial performance, as you can see here, and Mindaugas will go into more details about the performance. In general, our performance during 2022 was 30% higher, talking about EBITDA, and our revenue was growing by 26% comparing to the previous year.

I think it's really a big achievement that we managed to recover significantly our oil business. Our oil segment, where EBITDA growth reached even 74% comparing to the previous periods. Talking about other news, I think it's important to highlight that we have finally got the last members of the committees elected. We will have Šarūnas Radavičius as independent member of audit committee, and Živilė Valeišienė as independent member of remuneration and nomination committee. I think it is a great achievement, which we would like to share with you, that KN has been awarded by the Transparency Academy Certificate.

We were participating in this project for two years, and it was concluded at the transparency celebration held at the Presidential Palace of the Republic of Lithuania, during which we got a certificate directly from hands of the director of the Special Investigation Service. Talking about the particular segments, we can switch to slide number six. Yes. Main highlights on our oil business performance. Here it's important to underline that we managed to increase 70% our transshipment volumes comparing to the previous year. But on the other hand, let's say additional services such as storage services or tank reservations for some lending programs and other, let's say, businesses of our customers has been growing even up to 45%.

KN is already taking significant, and I would say even leading part on bitumen transshipment markets if we are taking Baltic states and Finnish Bay, Gulf of Finland. Here we have 22% of the market share already within the first year of operation. Of course, it's very important to highlight that one of the factors which helped us to reach good performance results for our oil, so to hold oil segment, was that the transshipment of the chemicals was even three times higher comparing to the year before. We can switch to LNG, please. Talking about our LNG business, it was a record year. The reasons are quite clear. From May, we were the only one entry point for natural gas since all the supplies from Russia has been cut off.

That led us to the record regasification and reloading quantities, which were increasing by 96% comparing to the year before. Talking about numbers, 54 LNG carriers have arrived to LNG terminal. And if we convert that to the amount of energy, it will be 32 terawatt-hours. Talking about benchmarking. So in Europe, LNG terminals, during 2022 in average has been utilized about 64% range, while our utilization rate was 72%. As I said, from May, we are operating on maximum level. Nevertheless, first two months of 2022 were more passive, so to say. Talking about pricing, talking about TTM, comparing, this year average was EUR 131.8 per megawatt hour versus EUR 38.57 per megawatt hour in the same year.

here also reasons remains the same. It is the consequence of energy war caused by Russia to Europeans. I think, I think it's main message is from my side. One more thing to say. We don't have separate slide included here, but it's important to say that we've been awarded as a commercial operator, one of the German LNG terminals. We concluded a deal with Uniper for commercial operations of Wilhelmshaven Terminal till first quarter of 2024. Our responsibility is operate that commercially, consult about the legal framework, about the accounting, et cetera. Sell our know-how, what we do here, to one of the German, let's say, alternatives of Russian gas supply, one of the terminals.

Here I would like to pass the word to Mindaugas and go into more details in financial performance of our group. Thank you.

Mindaugas Kvekšas
CFO, KN Energies

Thank you, Darius. As previously noted in our previous webinars, the key challenge brought by 2022 was the exceptionally high natural gas and electricity prices, of course. Reaching the peak in the third quarter. The pressure on the company's oil segment somewhat subsided by the end of the year. The company was very successful in finding measures to amortize rising costs and demonstrated strong financial performance as seen on the screen. The revenue for the year was up by even EUR 16 million. Of that amount, more than EUR 6 million, EUR 6.4 million specifically came from the oil terminal segment as transship volumes have increased.

Transship quantities in the company's oil terminals were affected by continuous initiatives to explore new transshipment routes, which allowed KN to become a part of the logistics chain of fuel supply to new customers in southwest directions. In 2022, KN Oil Terminal was in demand as oil products import hub, notably for fuel oil, which in response to all-time highs of gas prices, was used as alternative heating generation fuel source in Vilnius city heating infrastructure at the start of the winter season of 2022. Overall, transship volumes of products increased by 17%. EUR 9.8 million in LNGT as regulated revenues. Key factors for the jump in revenue was a significant increase in demand for regasification services in the terminal, and the change in regulation.

However, the latter led to increase in regasification tariff by nearly three times. However, since May, fixed part of regasification service fee, which was part of security supplement paid by gas consumers, has been reduced to zero. Subsequently, because of these two conditions, revenue increased by EUR 8.2 million. On the other hand, it is important to note that the company's profit from regulated business remains limited to the regulated rate of return, and the temporary excess profits, according to the current regulations, shall be paid back in the future periods. EBITDA, which is up by EUR 9.4 million in 2022 in comparison to the prior year.

It was up by nearly EUR 4 million coming from the oil segment, and it was achieved by the growth in revenue and effective management of fixed costs despite great inflationary pressure. Electricity and gas costs were higher by 1.7 times, or which translates to EUR 2.3 million compared to 2021. In the regulated segment, the EBITDA is up by EUR 5.8 million, mostly due to higher revenues. The regulated segment costs increased by EUR 3.3 million, and one reason was the more than EUR 2 million increase in the cost of emission allowances, which is affected by larger regasification volumes and, as a result, higher emissions, but more importantly, also affected by the higher prices of emission allowances.

Another key component, which contributed to higher regulated activity costs was EUR 1.9 million increase in FSRU operating expenses. Lastly, the performance of the commercial LNG segment remained at a similar level. The net profit, the net result. The depreciation of Euro against the United States dollar had a major effect on the non-adjusted net loss, according to IFRS. During 2022, we incurred a total unrealized foreign exchange loss of nearly EUR 15 million, less deferred tax expenses, which compares to the EUR 18.8 million loss during the prior year. After we eliminate the unrealized currency exchange loss of the regulated segment, its adjusted net profit amounts to EUR 6.2 million.

In 2021, we recognized, as you remember, the EUR 54 million impairment loss for the cash generating unit of Klaipėda Oil Terminal, which was a key factor for EUR 47.6 million net loss in the oil terminal segment. In 2022, no additional impairment was recognized, nor was the reversal of the impairment. Although the net profit of oil's terminal or terminal segment was also affected by the rising gas and electricity prices, the increase in revenue and continuing efficiency improvements allowed to finish the year with a positive EUR 3 million result. Finally, we also measured the indicators that take into account so-called temporary regulatory differences, such as previously mentioned, excess revenue in the regulated LNG terminal segment that should be paid back in the future periods.

We estimate that for 2022, the EBITDA adjusted for temporary regulatory differences would amount to EUR 36.2 million compared to EUR 28.8 million in 2021. The similarly adjusted net profit for 2022, having also excluded the impact of unrealized currency exchange loss, would amount to EUR 9.9 million compared to a loss of EUR 44.9 in 2021. Briefly about the company's free cash flow performance. The strong improvement in the group's free cash flow was to a large extent driven by the growth of EBITDA and also the strong contribution from the working capital management. The investment level was lower by EUR 4.2 million.

It's also important to note that all business segments had a positive free cash flow in 2022. Notably, no significant changes in the capital structure, except for taking loan to finance reduction of the security supplement in the regulated segment. While EUR 48 million of these liabilities were settled during 2022, due to depreciation of euro, the remaining balance decreased only by EUR 25 million, as it is mostly denominated in the United States dollars. Some long-term contract amendments led also to an increase in the liability as well.

Lastly, about the profitability and other key performance metrics. Profitability margins have improved compared to 2021. Net profit margin in 2022 was at the level of 2018 and 2020 period profitability, indicating recovering performance after a huge decline in revenue throughout 2020 and 2021. Return on equity and return on assets, as well as the price earnings ratio for 2021 were affected by the significant impairment losses recognized in the third quarter of that year. While during 2022, no such losses were recognized. To sum up, the year 2022, despite another wave of financial shock, exhibited a speedy recovery, and some of the profitability figures have already came back to the levels seen in the 2018 and 2020 period.

We are looking forward to improving performance throughout 2023. That finalizes my overview of the financials.

Moderator

Thank you very much for the presentation. Now we will proceed with the Q&A. Before that, I would like to remind all the attendees that you can submit your questions in the Q&A box of your screen, and you can submit them anonymously too. Let's begin. The first question would be as following: What are your plans in regards to dividends for 2022? Thank you.

Mindaugas Kvekšas
CFO, KN Energies

Yes, thank you for the question. As of the moment, our financial statements for last year are being audited, and we expect to make the decision on the profit distribution afterwards. For the moment, no decisions have been made.

Moderator

Thank you for your answer. As I see that we have only one received one more question, I would like to encourage all attendees to please send in your questions. The next question would be as following: Could you please expand on what new activities and new regions you are planning to cover in the upcoming five years? Thank you.

Darius Šilenskis
CEO, KN Energies

Yeah. Okay. Thank you, Emilia. I will take that question on me. In general, this question is a subject of our strategic revision and new strategic goals definition task. We are now on the way on identifying the answers and on checking all the assumptions and even doing financial projections and modeling to answer that. Very broadly, I can comment that in any case, our so-called conventional business arms or legs, they will remain. Meaning LNG regional terminals, oil and petrochemical and biofuels terminals, as well as our development and trade-off of our know-how globally on operation of LNG infrastructure. Talking about regions in terms of our global business development, global LNG business development.

I believe most regions will remain the same, the same targeted ones as we have for now. It is Europe, of course. In Europe, there is a lot of new opportunities and potentiality after the war in Ukraine started, and all the Europe is switching to other supply sources and supply solutions of natural gas. Our ambition to find our place in Southeast Asia and Australia region remains as one of the targeted regions. Latin Americas, where we are already established with, let's say, our contract on operating FSRU terminal located in Port of Açu, Brazil. That gives us some advantage by being present in this continent to look for other alternatives.

Talking about other businesses, so far, I mean, conventional businesses, not the, not the new streams and the new topics, the conventional ones. I think, anyway, we will be active in all Baltic and Poland. Baltic region and Poland, of course, as we see some potentialities to use our infrastructure, both oil, petrochemical and gas, to be a part of supply chains, the new corridors, north to south corridors, including also, being a part of a supply chain, chains to Ukraine or from Ukraine. This is a short-term projection.

Of course, we are really active on finding us and our place in new energy sources and new energy storage, let's say solutions, also looking into active role in a future supply chain of captured carbon. Where we have some strategic partnerships already concluded and moving quite fast with all our partners on finding a real business case in area of carbon capture and storage. This is a broad comment, and let's say we will have more clear picture after the strategy preparation process will end up. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you very much for your answer. Let's move to another question. Do you estimate the Estonian, Finland LNG ships, like direct competitors in gas supply chains for your business in coming years? Thank you.

Darius Šilenskis
CEO, KN Energies

A very good question. I will take that as well on me. Actually, no. I think appearance of the FSRU in Finland gives more stability to all regions, natural gas supply, chain. Why? Because our independence, FSRU independence, was able to match up to 50, up to maximum maybe 60% of all consumption, if you will take Finland and Baltic states only. Since we have a lot of potentiality after interconnector started, at an interconnected interconnector, gas interconnector connected Lithuania and Poland, there is a lot of potentiality and opportunities to be important part of the gas supply also to the Polish and other, let's say, central European or eastern European countries, like Slovakia or Czech Republic. I mean, yes, from one point of view from...

Since we were not targeting, let's say, the northern direction so much, I think, it gives more stability and we can operate together because market is quite huge. I would like to highlight that, in Poland, majority of the power generation is still by using coal. Let's say one of the easiest ways to reduce emissions is to switch those coal power plants to the gas ones. We are really looking into, let's say, being important part of the gas supply for energy and other needs, to Poland as well.

Moderator

Thank you very much for your answer. As we're waiting for more questions to come in, I would like to remind all the attendees that you are welcome to send in your questions in the Q&A box of your screen. We will answer them live. All right, we have received, one question, which is as following: What are the offshore wind opportunities?

Darius Šilenskis
CEO, KN Energies

Yeah, thank you for the question. We have some agreements with major, let's say, players or potential players. Trying to find our role in offshore wind farm operation and maintenance part. I think our, let's say, opportunity is to be, let's say, a hub for operation and maintenance for the offshore wind parks located in Lithuanian waters. And maybe not only, but we have some advantage. Why? Because our, let's say, land which we operate in Klaipėda is closest to the port gates, giving us some competitive, let's say, advantage comparing to other alternatives. It's still, let's say, maturity of this project is still only studies, yeah. Maybe it's a bit too early to comment in a more detailed way.

As we are, let's say, well located, we have presence here in Lithuania. We might be a good partner for O&M services for offshore wind parks.

Moderator

Thank you very much for your answer. Maybe you have some news about extension of the terminal.

Darius Šilenskis
CEO, KN Energies

I'd presume question is related with expansion of the capacities of our LNG terminal. If yes, we are now on a phase where meeting the customers and preparing ourselves for the binding open season procedure.

Moderator

Thank you very much. Another question would be: Do you see new, let's call them negative components, for your LNG business for coming years comparing 2022?

Darius Šilenskis
CEO, KN Energies

Thank you for the question, and the answer is very simple and straightforward, no, neither in the global LNG projects nor in our regional activities operating the FSRU infrastructure. Only upside potential is appearing.

Moderator

Thank you very much. As all the questions are answered, on behalf of Klaipėdos nafta and Nasdaq Vilnius, thank you everyone for joining us today. Dear management, thank you for the great presentation. Dear attendees, thank you for the questions. Have a good day, everyone, and goodbye.

Darius Šilenskis
CEO, KN Energies

Thank you, Emilia, and everybody for participating. Bye-bye.

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