agilon health, inc. (AGL)
NYSE: AGL · Real-Time Price · USD
27.90
+2.58 (10.19%)
At close: Apr 28, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT
27.27
-0.63 (-2.28%)
After-hours: Apr 28, 2026, 7:00 PM EDT
← View all transcripts

Earnings Call: Q1 2022

May 5, 2022

Operator

Good afternoon. Thank you for attending today's agilon health First Quarter 2022 Earnings Call. My name is Amber, and I will be your moderator for today's call. All lines will be muted during the presentation portion of the call with an opportunity for questions and answers at the end. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad at any time. I now have the pleasure of handing the conference over to our host, Matthew Gillmor, Vice President-Investor Relations with agilon. Mr. Gillmor, please proceed.

Matthew Gillmor
VP of Investor Relations, agilon health

All right. Thank you, operator. Good evening, and welcome to the call. With me this morning is our CEO, Steve Sell, and our CFO, Tim Bensley. Following prepared remarks from Steve and Tim, we will conduct a Q&A session. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that our remarks and responses to questions may include forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those stated or implied by forward-looking statements due to risks and uncertainties associated with our business. These risks and uncertainties are discussed in our SEC filings. Please note that we assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. Additionally, certain financial measures we will discuss in this call are non-GAAP financial measures. We believe that providing these measures helps investors gain a better and more complete understanding of our financial results and is consistent with how management views our financial results.

A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP measure is available in the earnings press release and Form 8-K filed with the SEC. With that, let me turn things over to Steve.

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Thanks, Matt. Good evening, everyone, and thanks for joining us. We've had a very successful start to the year, and we are making rapid progress against our vision to transform healthcare and communities across the country by empowering primary care physicians. The new primary care model we have created with our partners aligns physician outcomes with improvements in the quality, experience, and cost of their senior patients' care. Being first in a market, coupled with scale, allows agilon and our partners to shape the local evolution of value-based care and positively impact downstream specialty and facility costs. The success of the agilon network of partners in a diverse set of communities, along with macro tailwinds in terms of senior population growth and payer demand for value-based care, is driving our record growth.

Including the implementing class of 2023, we now have 12 states, 25 communities, 420,000 senior patients, and 2,200 primary care physicians on the platform. Now to the focus of today's call. I will cover three areas in my prepared remarks. First, highlights from our first quarter results. Second, an update on our pipeline for new partners and some early observations for 2024. And third, some takeaways from our recent physician leadership retreat, including the substantial power of our growing network. Starting with a few highlights from the quarter, across Medicare Advantage and Direct Contracting, an incremental 100,000+ members went live, bringing our total live membership on the platform to 342,000.

This exceptional increase includes strong organic growth in our 11 existing geographies, the addition of six new MA geographies that went live in January, and increasing direct contracting from six to 10 geographies. Our growth continues to benefit from the embedded membership in our physician partners' practices and our established position as a first mover introducing risk in our markets. On a year-over-year basis, our consolidated Medicare Advantage membership increased by 85,000 or 51%, which translated into 58% revenue growth. Medical margin increased by 66% to $86 million, or $116 per member per month in the first quarter, up from $106 per member per month a year ago. Revenue and medical cost performance was consistent with our expectations and reflected positive momentum within our partner markets.

Importantly, in our 10 partner markets that have been live more than a year, medical margin increased from $109 per member per month to $143 per member per month. Equally encouraging is that our six new year one markets are off to a strong start when we look at their operational indicators. These strong results across our various cohorts continue to reflect the power of our aligned primary care model to deliver a consistent and capital-efficient combination of high growth and rapid profitability, and to do it across a diverse set of groups, including primary care, multi-specialty, and scaled networks. Continuing on the theme of profitability, Adjusted EBITDA tripled in the quarter to $12 million, up from $4 million a year ago.

Strong MA medical margin performance, positive contributions from direct contracting, and growing platform support cost leverage all contributed to a large step up in Adjusted EBITDA. Our ability to drive record membership growth while significantly improving profitability is only possible because of our aligned primary care model. Now for an update on our 2023 partners and some early observations for 2024. As we shared with you in early March, we expect 2023 will be another record year of growth. We are currently implementing seven new partner groups with approximately 80,000 Medicare Advantage lives, including our first health system partner in MaineHealth. Our implementation work is progressing well, and our new partners are benefiting from the power of the agilon network. I'm pleased to share that one of our new partners is United Physicians in the Greater Detroit area.

United Physicians is one of the largest physician organizations in Michigan and represents a major expansion of our operations in the state. If you'll recall, we entered Western Michigan during 2021 in partnership with Answer Health. Now that we have established our infrastructure, including multi-payer risk contracts and regional resources, other physician groups in the state, like United Physicians, have the opportunity to transform their business model. This is the power of being a first mover in what has driven our growth in markets like Ohio and Texas. For this reason, adding four new states in 2023 is very important to us. This will increase our total state count from eight to 12 and in-market membership opportunity from 4.7 million- 7.5 million lives. We will have the opportunity to define and shape value-based care in these states for decades.

Our partner development team is now shifting their focus to 2024. While it is very early, we are seeing significant opportunities across diverse partner types and geographies. This includes all types of groups, including primary care only, multi-specialty, scaled networks, and health systems in both new and existing states. The sizable inflection in demand among physician groups for a sustainable primary care model reflects two drivers. One, structural tailwinds, including all payers pushing for value and an accelerating senior population. Two, the very visible level of success the agilon groups are seeing on our platform. Today, almost any type of physician organization in the country can look to the agilon network and see a group that looks like them succeeding in value and succeeding in a big way.

I wanted to close by sharing some observations from our physician leadership retreat last weekend in Austin, Texas. Power of our network as a learning tool was evident to everyone in the room as we gathered with 100+ physicians from groups encompassing all of our existing partners, the implementing class of 2023, and early partners and prospects from the class of 2024. As a reminder, our physician partners are positioned to be the value-based care leader in their community, and they have a deep interest in learning from their peers across the country. A few themes stood out from our time together. First, our newest partners, representing both the class of 2022 and the class of 2023, are leveraging the experience and learnings of our older partners to go faster and accelerate their success.

Meaningful differences within and across group performance were highlighted and correlated with best practices in areas like a new partner's clinical peer review process, physician education, and timely pod structure implementation. Our year one markets have already implemented some of these learnings and are off to a great start as reflected in their Q1 performance. In addition, we have now paired all year zero physician leaders with mentors from our more experienced partners, and we expect these insights and mentor relationships will translate into improved quality and faster medical margin progression in our newer markets. A second learning, was in the power of the network to drive accelerated performance across all of our partners. By comparing performance metrics across a diverse network, we have been able to isolate the most impactful levers that translate into better access to primary care services and quality outcomes for patients.

Our best performers excel in their team-based approach to care delivery, the consistency of performance across their entire group, and their primary care team touchpoints, particularly with their most complex patients. Investments in the necessary resources to drive this success are only possible when you have an aligned primary care physician in value combined with agilon's data insights and centralized platform capabilities. A final takeaway from Austin was that our time together served as another catalyst for our Women's Physician Leadership Council. Given the robust support across the network, we expect the council's work to be a great source of differentiation for our groups, including the attraction and retention of women physicians. With that, let me turn things over to Tim.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

Thanks, Steve, and good evening, everyone. I'll review some highlights from our first quarter results and our guidance for the second quarter and full year 2022. Starting with our membership growth for the first quarter, total members live on the agilon platform increased to 342,000, including both Medicare Advantage and Direct Contracting. Our consolidated Medicare Advantage membership increased 51% to 250,000, and Direct Contracting members ended the quarter at 92,000. For Medicare Advantage, our membership growth was driven by the impact from adding six new geographies in January and 20% growth within our same geographies. Normalized for the timing of a large retroactive group contract in the prior year, Medicare Advantage membership would have increased 43% with 14% growth in same geographies.

Revenues increased 58% on a year-over-year basis to $653 million during the first quarter. Normalizing for the retro group contract I just mentioned, revenues would have increased 49%. Revenue growth was primarily driven by membership gains in new and existing geographies. On a per member per month basis or PMPM, revenue increased 4% during the first quarter. Medical Margin increased 66% year-over-year to $86 million during the first quarter, compared to $52 million in the prior year. Even with the dilution from our membership growth, medical margins increased as a percentage of revenue and on a PMPM basis.

Medical margins were 13.2% of revenue during the first quarter, compared to 12.6% last year, and medical margin PMPM increased 9% to $116, compared to $106 last year. The growth in medical margin was primarily driven by the maturation of older markets and member cohorts, more than offsetting the dilution from new members. Utilization trends were consistent with our expectations and remain near 2019 baseline levels. Utilization for inpatient services continues to run below historical baseline, while outpatient utilization is modestly above baseline. COVID-related costs increased in January of this year with the Omicron wave, but moderated significantly during February and March. In total, COVID costs during the first quarter of 2022 were similar to the prior year.

Network Contribution, which reflects agilon health's share of Medical Margin, increased 38% to $42 million during the first quarter. The year-over-year increase in Network Contribution reflects the gain in Medical Margin, as well as the relative contribution of Medical Margin across our geographies. Platform Support Costs, which include market and enterprise-level G&A, increased 19% to $34 million. Growth in our Platform Support Costs remains well below our revenue growth and continues to highlight the light overhead structure of our partnership model. As a percentage of revenue, Platform Support Costs declined to 5.2% during the first quarter, compared to 6.9% last year. Our Adjusted EBITDA was $12 million in the quarter, compared to $4 million last year.

The increase to Adjusted EBITDA reflects the gain in network contribution and leverage against platform support, as well as a positive $3 million contribution from Direct Contracting. As you know, results from our Direct Contracting entities are reflected on a net basis within other income. Turning to our balance sheet and cash flow. As of March 31, we had over $1 billion of cash on hand and under $50 million in outstanding debt. Cash flow from operations was $-23 million for the quarter, which was in line with our expectations. agilon remains extremely well capitalized, and given our efficient partnership model, we do not anticipate needing any external capital to drive our future growth. Turning now to our financial guidance for the second quarter and full year 2022.

For the second quarter, we expect ending membership live on the agilon, on the agilon platform will grow 44% at the midpoint to a range of 338,000-348,000. This includes Medicare Advantage membership of 253,000-258,000, and Direct Contracting membership of 85,000-90,000. We expect revenue in a range of $640 million-$652 million. Please note that the timing of the large group contract we discussed previously will negatively impact the growth rate of our average membership and revenue metrics during the second quarter. This will normalize in the third quarter and does not impact our full year growth rates.

On a normalized basis, we anticipate revenue in the second quarter will increase approximately 36%-38% year-over-year. We also expect continued progression with our medical margin and Adjusted EBITDA as members and markets mature on the platform. For the second quarter, we expect medical margin in a range of $80 million-$83 million, representing 43% growth, and Adjusted EBITDA of $4 million-$7 million, compared to a loss of $2 million in the prior year. For the full year 2022, our previous guidance remains unchanged. We expect total membership on the agilon platform will grow over 40% year-over-year to 340,000-350,000, with revenue growth of 39% at the midpoint to a range of $2.5 billion-$2.59 billion.

We also expect significant gains in Medical Margin and Adjusted EBITDA. We continue to anticipate Medical Margin in a range of $290 million-$305 million, and Adjusted EBITDA in a range of breakeven to +$10 million, which will represent a year-over-year gain in Adjusted EBITDA of approximately $40 million-$50 million. With that, we're now ready to take your questions. Operator?

Operator

Of course. Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by one on your telephone keypad. If for any reason you would like to remove that question, please press star followed by two. Again, to ask a question, that's star one. As a reminder, if you are using a speakerphone, please remember to pick up your handset before asking your question. We will pause here briefly as questions are registered. Our first question comes from Lisa Gill with J.P. Morgan. Lisa, your line is now open.

Lisa Gill
Managing Director, Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

Thanks very much, and congratulations on a great way to start the year. First, I just really want to understand as we think about medical costs going forward, especially as we start to think about 2024, Steve, and you know, some of the new physician groups that you've brought on that have specialty.

Practices within them. You talked about MaineHealth and hospital relationships. How do you think that can help to shape the medical cost trend going forward?

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Well, thanks, Lisa. It's a great question. I think that we see tremendous opportunity with our ability to leverage the specialists that sit within our multi-specialty practices and all of the ancillary capabilities that sit within a health system like MaineHealth. You know, our early days has been a lot around really optimizing the primary care model and those touch points, but it's yielding incredible information for us that really allows us to tune the specialists that need to be accessed. And given what our multi-specialty groups and MaineHealth bring, we think that we can see demonstrable improvements. One of the learnings from our retreat in Austin was that we have multi-specialty groups already really beginning to bend the cost curve around some of the specialty areas. We see tremendous opportunity going forward.

Lisa Gill
Managing Director, Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

Just, you know, one of the things that stuck out to me in your prepared comments today was around the Women's Physician Leadership Council that you talked about, obviously being a female. Can you maybe just talk about that a little bit more in detail and talk about how you think that potentially can impact the business?

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Yeah. Well, Lisa, I think it's something that we're really proud of and believe can be a real differentiator for us. It's a smart business move. You know, our goal is to sustain and grow primary care in the communities we serve, and that starts with slowing the number of primary care physicians that are leaving because of burnout. The data would say that women physicians are leaving adult primary care at a much faster rate than their male counterparts, and that's really based around the challenges of fee for service and the treadmill. What we found is in value-based care, in building a business that's focused around the team being optimized, coordinating across a series of specialties, long-term in-depth relationships with patients, that our women physicians are really exceptional at that, and we have an economic model that rewards them for that.

What we'd like to do is have more of our women in leadership positions really espousing the merits of our partnership and value-based care, and we think with that, we're gonna be able to achieve that goal of sustaining and growing primary care.

Lisa Gill
Managing Director, Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

Makes sense. Thanks so much for the comments.

Operator

Thank you, Lisa. Our next question comes from Whit Mayo with SVB Securities. Whit, your line is now open.

Whit Mayo
Managing Director, Equity Research, SVB Securities

Hey, thanks. Just first question on United Physicians. I presume there's nothing terribly different about the process around the year one preparation. Sounds like there's some learnings coming out of your Austin meetings. Anything distinct about this market versus your legacy or this group versus your legacy groups? You know, Detroit's a little bit unique of a market. They've had significant hospital consolidation with Beaumont over the last few years. Just maybe any comment about the market and how perhaps this is a little bit different than any of your existing geographies.

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Sure, Whit. Thanks for the question. I mean, we're really excited about the partnership with United Physicians. They are the scaled independent physician organization in the Greater Detroit area. They bring that, and they're really the first in that area to do full risk value-based care across multiple payers. There is still a fair amount of fragmentation within that market, and so we believe there's an opportunity for them really to grow and to become the vehicle for other physicians in the organization to join in. They have an exceptional reputation, and have really done a great job sort of managing the system dynamics within that market. The other thing I'd point out is it's obviously a much larger market. The Greater MSA has almost 4 million people within it.

You need to have a scaled partner like United Physicians in order to build around. The last point I would make is they are an IPA or physician organization type of organization. That's the same as Answer Health, which we went live with in 2021 in the western part of the state. I think we've learned a lot through that implementation that we're able to leverage over and really get the benefit of that, and we're able to leverage health plan contracts and the same team. For a lot of reasons, we're very excited about it.

Whit Mayo
Managing Director, Equity Research, SVB Securities

Okay. Now, maybe just one last one. You've had this sort of evolving strategy around palliative care and putting in an initiative.

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Yeah

Whit Mayo
Managing Director, Equity Research, SVB Securities

Building out maybe some AI. Just any developments to share? I think you're piloting something in Buffalo if my notes are right. Just any update would be helpful.

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Yeah. We had a deep dive session in Austin with actually three of our markets that have had great success within palliative care. We were really. We're expanding it out to many more markets here in 2022 with. I think one of the things that we found was the ability to identify folks at the end of the life, getting better at that really helps. Perhaps the biggest impact on getting people to enroll in palliative and have a very good experience for the patient and the family at the end of life is around the quality of the physician conversation, educating them on that, supporting them with social workers and others in terms of enrolling them, and then also having a really trusted partner on the palliative and hospice side of that.

We were able to lay that out. There's been some really significant improvements in terms of enrollment in the program, duration in palliative and in hospice, and just the experience scores that we're getting back from the families. I think we'll give you an update on our next call even more on that, but it's. There's been a lot of progress.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

Awesome. Thanks a lot.

Operator

Thank you, Whit. Our next question comes from Brian Tanquilut with Jefferies. Brian, your line is now open.

Jack Sullivan
Research Analys, Jefferies

Hey, good afternoon. Excuse me, I almost said good morning. It's Ryan Sullivan on for Brian. Congrats on strong print. Numbers look really nice. I guess, you know, question here, my curiosity being looking at that 14% same store number ex the retroactive, or same store, same geography growth number, can you give us a little color on what that's looked like across geographies? I guess what I'm looking for here is, you know, are you seeing acceleration over the years in some of them? I know Ohio has been the one example we've branched off of to see where you go into, you know, new markets within the same state and continue to grow same geography presence within those markets.

trying to get a sense for, you know, is a geography like Ohio tapped out a little bit, or is there still a lot of runway there and how that's progressing across sort of the different cohorts you have? Thanks.

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Yeah. No, thanks, Brian or Jack, for the question. There's still a lot of runway in Ohio. In fact, in the quarter, Ohio was very strong, a very strong contributor to that, as we had some rather large groups join in the same geography in which we operate. The Southeast has been extremely strong from a same geography growth, and they're obviously seeing market growth, you know, in the teens overall. That kind of lifts up that average. Texas continues to be a very strong market in terms of same geography growth. We see tremendous opportunity in our other markets as well. I think it's distributed. I think markets continue to run 1.5-2x sort of the market overall growth level.

That's what we're seeing across that.

Jack Sullivan
Research Analys, Jefferies

Okay. Got it. Really helpful. Just one more quick follow-up. You know, I think a lot of investors continue to look at the space on revenue multiples, for better or for worse. Obviously, with the Direct Contracting lives, you know, not fully consolidated, you're not getting credit for those if you're looking on that metric. I guess I just wanted to check in with, you know, how you guys are thinking about, you know, what you're looking for in order to flip those over to consolidated, or if there's any sort of checkpoints or milestones that you'd like to see before you look to do that. Thanks.

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Go ahead.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

Yeah. I don't think so. I mean, I think if anything, with you know, we originally structured the partnerships on the Direct Contracting side in a way that would facilitate us not consolidating. Originally, our concern was, you know, what's the future of the program? How long-lived is it gonna be? We didn't wanna be in a situation where our revenue number was fluctuating around a lot. Obviously, we're a lot, the program is more stable. We're actually quite pleased with the outcome of Direct Contracting so far through this year. I mean, you probably noticed in either my prepared remarks or in the release that we just put out that we actually swung it to a positive EBITDA contributor of about $3 million in the first quarter.

you know, we're expecting it to be, you know, somewhat positive over the full year after a loss last year. The program is performing well. We're pleased with the underlying performance. But with the new changes that have been announced for the ACO REACH program that it will transition to next year, and with the requirement that these partnerships really be position controlled and all the other new requirements that have been put in place, I think that really leaves us with it's gonna remain unconsolidated for the foreseeable future. We really don't see, you know, over the coming couple of years us making a change to that. You know, having said that, we're pretty transparent about what the revenue is.

You can see the full year in our 10-K that we put out last quarter, and you can see in the 10-Q for Q1 exactly what the revenue is. You know, that number is available. We report it, but I don't think we'll be consolidating it anytime soon.

Jack Sullivan
Research Analys, Jefferies

Got it. Really helpful. Thanks, guys.

Operator

Thank you, Ryan. Our next question comes from Justin Lake with Wolfe Research. Justin, your line is now open.

Harrison Schwartz
Associate, Wolfe Research

Hi. Thanks. This is Harrison on for Justin. Just, you know, maybe first off, curious as to why, you know, you didn't take up the guidance this quarter for the full year. You know, given a pretty strong performance for the year, I think, you know, DCE members came in higher relative to your expectations that you laid out for 1Q. Just curious, you know, why, you know, you decided to maintain the guidance instead of raise it. Then maybe as part of that, you know, for DCE, do you expect that to be kind of EBITDA breakeven for the remainder of the year, called 2Q to 4Q? I think what you had originally pointed us towards, you know, at the beginning of the year was, you know, low single-digit millions contributor.

You know, it looks like it contributed $3 million already in first quarter. Thanks.

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Yeah, I'll take the first one, and maybe Tim take the second one. Harrison, on the guide, you know, really strong Q1, really in line with our expectations, and you know, very comfortable with our Q2 forecast outlook on the year. You know, we felt like given where we're at early in the year, strong start, but in line with our expectations, holding guidance was the right thing to do.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

Yeah. I'd also say that, you know, with the high end of our guidance at almost $2.6 billion of revenue, 270,000 MA members, you know, the high end of our guidance on medical margin is picking up over $120 million in medical margin year-over-year, and we're extremely excited, of course, about, you know, this being the first year that we're guiding to and projecting to be EBITDA breakeven for the entire business. You know, we also think the full year guidance is obviously quite strong. The second part of the question was?

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Direct Contracting.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

Direct contracting, I think I just said it in the last answer, too. You know, we're about $3 million positive in Q1. Direct contracting profitability will follow a bit of seasonality like the MA business does. Not quite as pronounced because we don't have you know, the dilution of a bunch of agents coming in on direct contracting, but we'll still see the you know, progressive seasonality of direct contracting EBITDA as we move through the year similar to the MA side. You know, with that, we would expect for the full year that direct contracting you know, is gonna be you know, modestly positive Adjusted EBITDA.

I think that's a good number considering, you know, it's just the second full year of the program, and we're coming off, you know, the 2021 first three quarters, at a loss of about $5 million. That's a nice turnaround and a pickup for us in the program.

Harrison Schwartz
Associate, Wolfe Research

Got it. So helpful. Maybe just one more. Yeah, I think you guys talked about kind of a closed-loop system, you know, sometime last year when we were, you know, having discussions, you know, just in some of your scaled markets, having the ability to have some extra visibility into kind of the scheduling, completion, and outcome of, you know, certain specialist visits on your referral management platform. Is there any more you could kinda share on the progress of that in terms of have you extended it to other geographies outside of, you know, maybe Ohio or Austin, and maybe on the progress on, you know, have you extended it to other specialties as well? I think you guys called out cardiology and urology as, you know, places where you're operating now with that model.

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Thanks, Harrison. We've made a lot of progress on it. We're demonstrating the ability to, you know, identify the best performing specialists within the community, and we're able to guide referrals to them. 90% of our senior patients are relying on their PCP for their referrals, which is, you know, 2-3 times what I've seen in any other model. Remember, 50% of our seniors are in PPO broad networks, so that's really striking. We have expanded it. I think we're in six markets now. We're across cardiology, urology, ortho spine.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

Mm-hmm.

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Is that right?

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

Yeah, that's right.

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Okay. That's sort of the update on that. We did spend a fair amount of time in Austin going through that, and we're continuing to see the referral rates go up, the satisfaction go up. The other thing that's interesting is that more specialists are sort of learning what they need to do to move into the top tier, whether that's things from a diagnostic perspective or facilities that they're using. We're seeing a larger proportion of specialists within the communities move into that top tier that we're comfortable with from a quality and cost perspective. That's the update.

Harrison Schwartz
Associate, Wolfe Research

Awesome. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you, Harrison. Our next question comes from Stephen Baxter with Wells Fargo. Stephen, your line is now open.

Stephen Baxter
Managing Director, Equity Research, Wells Fargo

Yeah. Hi, thanks. You know, appreciate the early comments on 2024. I was hoping that maybe you could step back and give us some perspective on, you know, where you are in the market cycle for 2024 compared to maybe where you were a year ago for 2023. You know, what would you say are the key things that are different? How do you think the market development process has evolved, and any change to things like, you know, the balance of inbound interest versus outbound opportunities? Things like that would be great. One follow-up. Thanks.

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Yeah. No, no, absolutely. Thanks, Steven. I would say the macro tailwinds for the move to value have never been stronger. Whether they're payers that are saying we need to get more senior patients to value, obviously the demographic surge continues. The challenges of fee-for-service are just becoming greater and greater. You know, this labor situation that's out there is really a challenge for practices, but it's particularly challenging in a fee-for-service practice. There's just tremendous advantages for the move to value. The second thing I would say that's different is the success of the agilon network across 10 partner markets, and we shared the data with you that literally there is now any group in the country can kind of look at a group that looks and sounds like them and understand that.

We're able to really tailor and share that with them and then allow them to visit that group and have that dialogue. Whereas, you know, even a year ago, we didn't have seven or eight sort of spots they could visit with referenceable data. I just think we're getting better, the network is getting better. There's more push towards value.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

All of that is translating into more groups expressing interest. Also, the depth of our relationships is getting greater. Things like, you know, Answer Health had the relationship with United Physicians as an example. We see that as we're building towards the class of 2024 in many states across the country, a very similar phenomenon. I would say we're ahead. I would also say that health systems are very interested. We are working really hard to make sure that we learn from MaineHealth and really refine that criteria. But MaineHealth is very visible out talking about what they're doing with us, and that's generating an awful lot of interest. I would say we've got a lot more at the top of the funnel than we had a year ago.

It's greater in terms of the diversity of those types of folks, both in breadth and in depth. I think we're very encouraged. We continue to need to make really smart choices around who those partners are because we're gonna build around them for 20 years. We're pretty encouraged where we're at.

Stephen Baxter
Managing Director, Equity Research, Wells Fargo

No, got it. Appreciate that. You know, just one kind of quick numbers question. You know, one of the large Medicare companies talked about, you know, as they look back to Q4 and their medical cost picture completed, seeing some higher unit costs on the inpatient side. It seemed to be some kind of issue around, you know, patients that weren't really there for COVID, but ultimately were classified, you know, as having COVID. Would just be curious to get a sense of, you know, how PYD impacted the quarter, whether you guys saw anything like that as you were closing the books, and just any broader update on how your completion looked for Q4. Thanks.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

Yeah. I don't think we saw anything in particular that is specifically related to COVID. As we reported in the 10-Q that we just published, we did have some nominal negative prior development that flowed through into our first quarter. You know, it wasn't really related to any one particular payer or any one particular geography. It was pretty well spread across multiple payers and multiple geographies. It's, you know, obviously captured within the $86 million of medical margin that was, you know, that big increase year-over-year that we already reported. Nothing really of note to report on that. Just kind of some. You know, we're gonna see some normal fluctuation, obviously, in development quarter-to-quarter, positive and negative.

You know, this quarter we had a bit of negative, but nothing that I would, you know, tie back to COVID or any one specific payer, geography, or incident.

Stephen Baxter
Managing Director, Equity Research, Wells Fargo

Got it. Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you, Stephen. Our next question comes from Gary Taylor with Cowen. Gary, your line is now open.

Gary Taylor
Managing Director, Equity Research, Cowen

Hey, good afternoon, gentlemen. I have three numbers questions. The first is, Tim, you had said $3 million EBITDA from Direct Contracting this quarter. When I look at the Q and it shows that $2 million, is there just some allocated overhead on top of that GAAP number, or is there actually a way that I could do math to get to the three?

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

Yeah, you can do it, and you have to just look back into the net income to Adjusted EBITDA, walk a little bit further back in the 10-Q. There's about $1.2 million of interest and taxes that we actually add back.

Gary Taylor
Managing Director, Equity Research, Cowen

Oh.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

You're looking at the $2 million net income contribution from Direct Contracting. If you put that add back on to it, you get the $3.2 million was the actual contribution in the quarter.

Gary Taylor
Managing Director, Equity Research, Cowen

Okay, good. I couldn't stump you with that one. My second question, just looking. I'll try with the second one. When I look at the Direct Contracting MLR, so to speak, this quarter, again, taking that medical expense and the revenue this quarter, about 92.8%. In the back half of 2021, you were kind of running 93.5. Your DC enrollment jumped, you know, almost 80% sequentially. That's I mean, that's really good performance, better than we would have thought. Is that? Is there anything notable to call out that the 2021 cohort improved a lot, or that you're more comfortable now booking starting point MLR on class of 2022 cohort? Or is there just a mix effect in there?

I mean, that's a pretty good to be able to book that lower MLR given the growth of enrollment sequentially.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

Yeah. I think some of all of the above. Clearly, just like we do on MA, as we roll the 2021 cohort through in 2022, you know, we are clearly now we've had them under, you know, under the program for three full quarters. We should be seeing some improvement. The second thing is, you know, we didn't have them in the first quarter of last year. We didn't have the program.

Gary Taylor
Managing Director, Equity Research, Cowen

Right.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

There is some seasonality around the, you know, the best MLR we're gonna have is in the first quarter for both DC and MA. You know, comparing kind of how we rolled through the end of last year to the first quarter might be a little bit of apples and oranges. But yeah, otherwise, having said that, we're, you know, I think we're getting smarter about how to understand how the program and how the math of the program works. And yeah, hopefully, having the benefit of all of those members being on the same platform and managed in the same way as the MA business that's been around a little bit longer for us will continue to benefit.

Like I said, we'll roll that through the full year into some kind of a, you know, low single digit.

Gary Taylor
Managing Director, Equity Research, Cowen

Yep

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

positive for the year.

Matthew Gillmor
VP of Investor Relations, agilon health

Gary, this is Matthew. Tim may expand on this, but I think the numbers you're looking at are probably burden for the Retrospective Trend Adjustment.

That was impacting the back half of the year numbers for.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

Yeah

Matthew Gillmor
VP of Investor Relations, agilon health

Direct Contracting.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

Yeah. Yeah, I mean, that's.

Yeah

Yeah, if you're looking at just the third and fourth quarter, that's gonna be even a little bit more negative because we started to take adjustments for that Retrospective Trend Adjustment in the third, and then even more so in the fourth quarter of last year. If you look at the full year, obviously that blends out to what you would have expected for the three quarters of last year. Even that, you would expect to be not quite as strong as the first quarter this year for the reasons we talked about. We've had those members on the platform for a while now. The first quarter is gonna be the strongest MLR quarter anyway.

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Yeah. Gary, I would just add, you know, the six markets that are now entering into their second year of Direct Contracting, in particular, are really seeing the power of one line of business. As we talk about the various programs we're doing around specialty costs and others, the ability to really impact that is being seen in both lines of business.

Gary Taylor
Managing Director, Equity Research, Cowen

Last one for me. You know, I think every quarter we learn another lesson in sort of virtual capitation accounting. Looking at DSO up about 20 days sequentially, and DCP is up about 24 days sequentially, some really big movement on both receivables and medical payables this quarter. I'm guessing the answer is some delayed, you know, plan settlement, but just wondering what the color is on that.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

Not really. I mean, the way to think about it is for each quarter, we have a different amount of time that we have visibility to capture that before we actually file the 10-K for Q4 or the 10-Q now for Q1. An example would be, you know, I think our days claims payable was about 75 days in Q1, and that's obviously up from Q4. It's actually up a little bit from Q1 of last year as well, where I think we reported.

Gary Taylor
Managing Director, Equity Research, Cowen

Yeah

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

69 days claims payable. The difference year-over-year is because last year, you know, our timing of the first quarter was driven by the IPO timing, and we didn't have to report until right at the end of May. So we had a little bit more visibility into the first quarter, and we could incorporate that into our balance sheet when we reported it for Q1. This year, obviously, we're reporting right now only a week into May, so, you know, a couple of weeks difference would explain that difference. With the fourth quarter to the first quarter, it's even more pronounced because we have, you know, that full 60 days essentially to report. Or even a little bit longer than that this year. We didn't report until early March.

That extra time period that we have to basically get visibility to completion of claims from our payers just puts us in a position where we can report, you know, more completeness and therefore have lower both receivables and days claims payable.

Gary Taylor
Managing Director, Equity Research, Cowen

Got it. It sounds like 4, 4Q is always gonna be the lowest then from that perspective, all else equal, it sounds like.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

It always will be the lowest because we just have the most-

Gary Taylor
Managing Director, Equity Research, Cowen

Yeah

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

time between when we close the quarter and when we file.

Gary Taylor
Managing Director, Equity Research, Cowen

Interesting. Great. Okay, thank you.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

Thanks, Gary.

Operator

Thank you, Gary. Our next question comes from Ryan Daniels with William Blair. Ryan, your line is now open.

Nick McKibben
Associate, William Blair

Hey, guys. Nick speaking on it for Ryan. Thanks for taking my question. I guess just to start, you mentioned the success that you're seeing in your older cohorts as well as your newer cohorts on kind of the medical margin area. Just wondering, like, are those newer cohorts actually tracking better than the older ones did at the same kind of point in their life cycle?

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

The newer cohorts are tracking in line with kind of what we laid out at Investor Day. I think when we look at some of the operational indicators, Nick, we're really encouraged, and they're sort of getting the learnings from some of their older folks. I think they're off to a good start. It's too early to say that it's dramatically better than what we had laid out. But I think we're very encouraged by that. Each class comes in and starts at a different place. As we shared this class of 22 on an average as a composite was lower than some of the other classes.

I think what we're saying in terms of what we had forecasted out. We're just really encouraged with how the performance is going and the benefits that they're learning.

Nick McKibben
Associate, William Blair

Great. Yeah. Thank you. I guess, so obviously, office utilization in the first quarter was, like, affected by COVID. I'm just wondering, you know, how is that tracking currently? Is that kind of success? Are we kind of rebalancing as far as kind of, you know, out-of-office versus in-office utilization? You know, how does that affect med margin as that kind of recalibrates back to normal?

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

I think we're continuing to see inpatient below baseline and outpatient above baseline. Some of that may be some COVID effect, some of it may be a new normal that we're moving for. When we put it all together from a composite perspective, we continue to see it sort of in line with our expectations. If you're asking specifically about primary care in the office and telehealth, our telehealth is running about 15%, and has been there for a while. When there's a surge in January, it went up as an example. That's the mix in terms of the primary care in office versus virtual, if that's what you're asking.

Nick McKibben
Associate, William Blair

Okay. Yeah. No. More the latter. As kind of the

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

Okay

Nick McKibben
Associate, William Blair

the inpatient services, if that does recalibrate, it shouldn't, you know, affect med margins in any way. It shouldn't because, you know, it's kind of shaking out to have no effect, essentially.

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

No, I think we're feeling good about where it's at and what we're seeing from the indicators.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

Okay, great. Thanks for the color, guys.

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Yeah.

Operator

Thank you, Ryan. Our next question comes from Sandy Draper with Guggenheim Partners. Sandy, your line is now open.

Sandy Draper
Senior Managing Director and Research Analyst, Guggenheim Partners

Thanks very much. A lot of the questions have been asked, but I did have a little bit of trouble dialing in. Not sure, Tim, if this was covered, but the other medical expenses was up and, you know, both on a percentage basis as well as dollars, and didn't know if you had any commentary. Obviously, Medical Margin was strong, EBITDA was strong, but just trying to get any additional commentary, which you may have already said, and I apologize, just about that step up in other medical expenses in your live geographies. Thanks.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

Yeah. I mean, other medical expenses has two components to it. The biggest component of it is just our partner sharing. Obviously that goes up as medical margin increases and our partner sharing increases. The second part of it, the biggest component of the second part of it is actually the incentives that we pay to physicians to do things like complete annual wellness visits. We did have a little bit of a skew into the first quarter. That's actually good news for us. It's not a, you know, that's not an issue for the full year because the idea is to complete a high level of annual wellness visits for the full year. We'll pay incentives out against that. The fact that we're actually getting them done, a little bit earlier, which did push a little bit more into the first quarter.

By the way, that was true across the board. Steve talked about, you know, the idea that we're managing both DC and MA now as kind of one population. We actually saw annual wellness visits accelerated a little bit more in the first quarter for both those populations. That did have some impact on the MA side. It had some impact on other medical expenses. Other than that, I think, you know, the overall number and the flow through from medical margin to network contribution that that drives is actually a pretty positive number, you know, well within the expectation that we had and helped drive that, you know, that pretty strong Adjusted EBITDA number down on the bottom line.

Sandy Draper
Senior Managing Director and Research Analyst, Guggenheim Partners

Got it. That helps. Basically, just a big step up in Medical Margin, just the share portion and a little bit else, but nothing to really call.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

Yeah.

Sandy Draper
Senior Managing Director and Research Analyst, Guggenheim Partners

Okay.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

Yeah. A little bit of an acceleration into the quarter of the non-partner sharing. I mean, the biggest step up, obviously, in that number is just gonna be as we continue to increase Medical Margin, partner sharing goes up, which is a good thing, right? Our share goes up, partner sharing goes up, and that'll continue to drive that number up.

Sandy Draper
Senior Managing Director and Research Analyst, Guggenheim Partners

Got it. That was my only question. Appreciate it, and, congrats on the last quarter.

Tim Bensley
CFO, agilon health

Thank you.

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you, Sandy. Our next question comes from George Hill with Deutsche Bank. George, your line is now open.

George Hill
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Yeah. Good evening, guys. Thanks for taking the question. Steve and Tim, I kind of have an inflation-related question. I know that a lot of the MCOs are protected on short-term inflationary risk from their provider partners because of the nature of the multi-year contracting. I probably should know this, but I just wanted to check and make sure that you guys are kind of protected the same way, or maybe talk about kind of your contracting with partner inpatient providers, such that when your attributed beneficiaries you know need to seek inpatient care as we look out probably over the next 12-18 months, there's probably gonna try to be some cost creep and some cost inflation. Just how does that work with agilon health?

Are you guys protected from inflationary costs on the provider side when they're not your direct provider partner?

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Yeah. The contracts that we're leveraging, George, are through our payers, right? We are using their networks and their deals. To the extent that they're insulated around that, we're insulated around it. We're obviously taking the total risk underneath that. But that's sort of the short answer to that.

George Hill
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Sure. That's helpful. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you, George. Our next question comes from Kevin Fischbeck with Bank of America. George, your line is now open. Kevin, your line is now open.

Adam Ron
Equity Research Associate, Bank of America

Well, actually, it's Adam Ron on for Kevin, but thanks for squeezing me in. You mentioned that you had $1 billion of cash and, you know, whatever it was, less than $5 million of debt or $50 million of debt, and you'll soon be free cash flow breakeven. You don't have a lot of CapEx, so just wondering what the plan is for the cash and, you know, if M&A makes sense or any capabilities that you need or just any, you know, what plans there are for the $1 billion of cash.

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Yeah. Thanks, Adam. You know, it's a pretty dynamic environment out there right now, and clearly that presents some opportunities. I think, you know, a couple of things. One is we really like the fact that we have a business model that even as we're growing as fast as we are, we're not burning a lot of cash, and so we don't need to raise capital going forward. Two is we really like having dry powder and the flexibility that that gives us. There continue to be two areas that we really look at in terms of how we want to deploy our capital. The first is around growth.

The best and highest use of our capital is in allowing our partners to be the aggregators in their community and really drive that same geography growth rate like we've talked about and the examples we've talked about on this call in multiple markets. That's one. The second is really in terms of capabilities that have helped our partners deliver better Medical Margin and better quality. You know, there are quite a few opportunities out there in both areas and the dislocation from this environment presents some opportunities. We're very methodical. We're working our strategy very carefully right now. We really like where we're at and we're not necessarily in a rush.

Adam Ron
Equity Research Associate, Bank of America

Yeah. Yeah, that's helpful. That kind of segues into my next question is, like, a lot of the in-market growth seems to be from adding capacity to your provider groups. You mentioned that you didn't see labor as a problem, and it seems like you are adding. It's just the platform. But I'm just curious. You did mention that you think the value-based care model is more conducive to seeing fewer labor issues versus fee-for-service. I'm wondering if you can comment on why you think that is and why you think that'll continue.

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Yeah, no, I really appreciate the question. I mean, I think we're in a different business than fee-for-service. I think our partners have the benefit of being in that business and are able to approach challenges like this in a different way. If they need to pay 5% or 10% more, in that gets charged against our joint venture against the totality of the total premium dollar and the total expenses that are being managed. It's a relatively small difference. Two is they're able to leverage our network. We talked a lot about this last weekend in Austin in terms of how we can share resources, and they're able to leverage agilon resources.

You know, there are a lot of things that we're able to do to help them in the market, but also from a centralized perspective, and we're getting smarter on that all the time. I think that it—not that labor's not an issue, I guess my point is it's just more manageable in the partnership model that we've got because it really is a different business.

Adam Ron
Equity Research Associate, Bank of America

Great. Thanks. That's it.

Operator

Thank you, Kevin. There are no further questions at this time. As a reminder, to submit a question, that's star one on your telephone keypad.

Steve Sell
President and CEO, agilon health

Thank you, everyone. Talk to you soon.

Matthew Gillmor
VP of Investor Relations, agilon health

Hey, Amber, I think we can go ahead and wrap up the call since we're at the top of the hour.

Operator

That concludes today's agilon health First Quarter 2022 earnings call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect your lines.

Powered by