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Earnings Call: Q3 2021

Oct 27, 2021

Operator

Greetings. Welcome to Ashford Hospitality Trust Q3 2021 Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A Q&A session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. Please note this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to Jordan Jennings, Manager of Investor Relations. Thank you. You may begin.

Jordan Jennings
Manager of Investor Relations, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Good day, everyone, and welcome to today's Conference Call to review the results for Ashford Hospitality Trust for the Q3 of 2021 and to update you on recent developments. On the call today will be Rob Hays, President and Chief Executive Officer, Deric Eubanks, Chief Financial Officer, and Jeremy Welter, Chief Operating Officer. The results as well as notice of accessibility of this conference call on a listen-only basis over the Internet were distributed yesterday afternoon in a press release. At this time, let me remind you that certain statements and assumptions in this conference call contain or are based upon forward-looking information and are being made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Federal Securities Regulations. Such forward-looking statements are subject to numerous assumptions, uncertainties, and known or unknown risks which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated.

These factors are more fully discussed in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These forward-looking statements included in this conference call are only made as of the date of this call, and the company is not obligated to publicly update or revise them. In addition, certain terms used in this call are non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations, which are provided in the company's earnings release and accompanying tables or schedules, which have been filed on Form 8-K with the SEC on October 26, 2021, and may also be accessed through the company's website at www.ahtreit.com. Each listener is encouraged to review those reconciliations provided in the earnings release together with all other information provided in the release.

Also, unless otherwise stated, all reported results discussed in this call compare the Q3 of 2021 with the Q3 of 2020. I will now turn the call over to Rob Hays. Please go ahead, sir.

Rob Hays
President and CEO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Good morning and welcome to our call. I'll start by providing an overview of the current environment and how Ashford Trust has been navigating the recovery. After that, Deric will review our financial results, and then Jeremy will provide an operational update on our portfolio. I'd first like to highlight some of our recent accomplishments and the main themes for our call. First, we had strong hotel performance and solid earnings in the Q3 that exceeded both street estimates and our internal forecasts. Second, our liquidity continues to improve and our cash balance is building. We ended the quarter with over $672 million of cash and cash equivalents. Third, we have continued to lower our leverage and improve our financial position.

Since its peak in 2020, we have lowered our net debt plus preferred equity by over $1.1 billion, equating to a decrease in our leverage ratio, defined as net debt plus preferred equity gross assets, by over 13 percentage points. Finally, even with an already attractive loan maturity schedule, we remain proactive in our capital markets activities and balance sheet management. During the quarter, we successfully refinanced a mortgage loan for the Hilton Boston Back Bay, which had a final maturity date in November of 2022, and this financing addresses the only significant final debt maturity in 2022. We have made significant progress on refinancing our upcoming debt maturity at the Crystal Gateway Marriott, and hope to have more information for you soon on it.

We are optimistic about the long-term outlook for the company, and by taking decisive actions to strengthen our balance sheet, we feel well-positioned to capitalize on the recovery we are already seeing in the hospitality industry. Subsequent to quarter end, we announced an amendment to our strategic financing, which provides us with some flexibility to access undrawn capital if needed, even after we have paid off the current balance. While our optimism remains, we also must acknowledge some risks to the pace of the recovery due to the ongoing variants of COVID-19. In addition, we believe the majority of our loans could continue to be in cash traps over the next 12 to 24 months or more. As a result, we will continue to focus on building our liquidity and improving our capital structure in the months to come.

In regards to dividends, the company and its Board of Directors previously announced the suspension of its common stock dividend, and therefore the company does not pay a dividend on its common stock and common units for the Q3. The company also does not pay a dividend on its preferred stock for the Q3. However, the board will continue to monitor the situation and assess future dividend declarations. We have significantly reduced our planned spend for capital expenditures this year. However, given the sizable strategic capital expenditures we made in our properties over the past several years, we believe our hotels are in fantastic condition and are well-positioned for the industry rebound. Let me turn now to the operating performance of our hotels. The lodging industry is clearly showing signs of improvement.

RevPAR for all hotels in the portfolio increased approximately 166% for the Q3, with only seven of our hotels having negative hotel EBITDA in the quarter. This RevPAR result equates to a decrease of 25.6% versus the Q3 of 2019. We remain encouraged by the continued strength in weekend leisure demand at our properties. The Q4 looks to be building upon our strong momentum, with October numbers likely to outperform September numbers. We are confident that the industry recovery is continuing to take hold.

We believe our geographically diverse portfolio, consisting of high quality, well-located assets across the U.S. that are approximately 80% reliant on transient demand, will be in a position to capitalize on the pent-up leisure and the acceleration of transient corporate demand. We continue to be focused on aggressive cost control initiatives, including working closely with our property managers to minimize cost structures and maximize liquidity at our hotels. This is where our relationship with our affiliated property manager, Remington, really sets us apart. Remington was able to quickly cut costs and rapidly adjust to this new operating environment. In the same way they were hyper-responsive on the way down, we expect them to be hyper-responsive on the way up, mitigating cost creep as much as possible throughout the recovery.

We're proud of their efforts over the past year and believe this important relationship has enabled us to outperform the industry from an operations standpoint. Jeremy will discuss this in a bit more detail. Turning to investor relations, we recently held a very well-attended investor day in New York. If you were not able to join us, I encourage you to go to our website and watch the webcast. For the remainder of the year and into 2020, we will expand our efforts to get on the road and meet with investors, communicate our strategy, and explain what we believe to be an attractive investment opportunity at Ashford Trust. We look forward to speaking with many of you during the upcoming events.

We believe we have the right plan in place to capitalize on the recovery as it unfolds, and this plan includes continuing to maximize liquidity across the company, optimizing the operating performance of our assets as they recover, de-leveraging the balance sheet over time, and looking for opportunities to invest and grow our portfolio. Going forward, we will be laser-focused on all of these. I'll now turn the call over to Deric to review our Q3 financial performance.

Deric Eubanks
CFO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Thanks, Rob. For the Q3 of 2021, we reported a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $47.5 million, or $1.70 per diluted share. For the quarter, we reported AFFO per diluted share of $0.11. We are pleased to report that our adjusted EBITDA RE for the quarter was $46.8 million, which is the strongest number since the Q1 of 2020, and a 49% increase over the Q2 of 2021. At the end of the Q3, we had $3.9 billion of loans with a blended average interest rate of 4.2%. Our loans were approximately 11% fixed rate and 89% floating rate. We utilize floating rate debt because we believe it is a better hedge of our operating cash flows.

However, we do utilize caps on those floating rate loans to protect the company against significant interest rate increases. Our hotel loans are all non-recourse, and as Rob mentioned, nearly all of them are currently in cash traps, meaning that we are currently unable to utilize property-level cash for corporate-related purposes. As the properties recover and meet the various debt yield or coverage thresholds, we will be able to utilize that cash freely at corporate. We ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $673 million and restricted cash of $85 million. The vast majority of that restricted cash is comprised of lender and manager-held reserve accounts. At the end of the quarter, we also had $24.1 million in due from third-party hotel managers.

This primarily represents cash held by one of our property managers, which is also available to fund hotel operating costs. We also ended the quarter with net working capital of $707 million compared to net working capital of $9.8 million at the end of 2020, which highlights the continued improvement in our financial position. I think it's also important to point out that this net working capital amount of $707 million equates to almost $21 per share. This compares to our closing stock price from yesterday of $12.97, which is almost a 40% discount to our net working capital per share. Our net working capital reflects value over and above the value of our hotels.

As such, we believe that our current stock price does not reflect the intrinsic value of our high-quality hotel portfolio. From a cash utilization standpoint, our portfolio generated hotel EBITDA of $62 million in the quarter. Our current monthly run rate for interest expense is approximately $11 million, and our current monthly run rate for corporate G&A and advisory expense is approximately $4 million. As of September 30th, 2021, our portfolio consisted of 100 hotels with 22,286 net rooms. Our share count currently stands at approximately 33.9 million fully diluted shares outstanding, which is comprised of 33.5 million shares of common stock and 0.4 million OP units.

In the Q3, our weighted average fully diluted share count used to calculate AFFO per share included approximately 1.7 million common shares associated with the exit fee on the strategic financing that we completed in January. Assuming yesterday's closing stock price of $12.97, our equity market cap is approximately $440 million. During the quarter, we successfully refinanced our mortgage loan for the 390-room Hilton Boston Back Bay in Boston, Massachusetts, which had a final maturity date in November 2022. This financing addresses our only significant final debt maturity in 2022. Furthermore, the company was able to complete this financing with a best-in-class institutional balance sheet lender. The new non-recourse loan totals $98 million and has a four year initial term with one year extension option, subject to the satisfaction of certain conditions.

The loan is interest-only for the initial term with quarterly amortization payments during the extension term and provides for a floating interest rate of LIBOR plus 3.8%. Additionally, we have made significant progress on the upcoming debt maturity, the Crystal Gateway Marriott, and hope to provide you an update on that refinancing soon. Our next hard debt maturity after the Crystal Gateway Marriott is in June 2023. As we previously discussed, we have been selectively exchanging our preferred stock for common stock as a way to de-lever our balance sheet, remove the accrued dividend liability, and improve our equity flow. Through these exchanges, we have exchanged approximately 70.2% of our original preferred stock, which is approximately $396.5 million of face value into common stock. These exchanges also eliminated a significant amount of accrued preferred dividends.

After taking into account the $200 million of new corporate debt that we closed in January and our cash balance at the end of the quarter, we have lowered our net debt plus preferred equity by over $1.1 billion since its peak in 2020. We have also been opportunistically raising equity capital to shore up our balance sheet, improve our liquidity, and to be prepared for potential loan pay downs needed to achieve extension tests or meet refinancing requirements. During the Q3, we issued approximately 8.6 million shares of common stock for approximately $148.8 million in gross proceeds. Over the past several months, we have taken numerous steps to strengthen our financial position and improve our liquidity, and we are pleased with the progress that we've made.

While we still have work to do to improve our capital structure, our cash balance is building, we have an attractive maturity schedule, and we believe the company is well positioned to benefit from the improving trends we are seeing in the lodging industry. This concludes our financial review, and I would now like to turn over to Jeremy to discuss our asset management activities for the quarter.

Jeremy Welter
COO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Thank you, Deric. Comparable RevPAR for our portfolio increased 166 during the Q3 of 2021, while house profit flow-through was a solid 48%. We're extremely encouraged with the continued acceleration of occupancy at our hotels, with the Q3 outperforming the Q2 63% to 57% respectively. Additionally, we're outperforming the U.S. upper upscale chain scale in the Q3 occupancy by 700 basis points. While the recovery continues, we are seeing a number of hotels stabilize at performance metrics that exceed 2019. I'd like to spend some time highlighting some success stories. The Hyatt Coral Gables produced phenomenal results during the Q3, with hotel EBITDA exceeding comparable 2019 by more than $725,000. That is a 163% increase.

The performance premium is being propelled by additional occupancy that is driven by an airline contract that our team was able to secure early during the pandemic. This increase in base business has allowed the hotel to shift our revenue strategies and be more proactive in pushing rate, resulting in a RevPAR increase of 25% over the Q3 of 2019. Our La Concha Key West property has also done an excellent job exceeding 2019 results, with hotel EBITDA increasing 143% during the Q3 relative to 2019. A lot of that success is attributable to the hotel's top line growth, with Q3 RevPAR increasing 70% relative to the comparable period in 2019.

The revenue team identified an opportunity to capture additional business, resulting in booking a government training program, which added an additional 5% of occupancy to the hotel during the Q3. Our Renaissance Nashville produced $6.8 million in hotel EBITDA during the Q3, which exceeded the comparable period in 2019. These results are on the back of the hotel selling nearly 22,000 group room nights. That could be a headline on its own. This is one of the largest group houses, and it is seeing significant levels of demand. One of the competitive advantages of our asset management team is how our structure is broken down by industry-specific experts. Our property tax team has been extraordinarily successful this year. Year to date, through the Q3 in 2021, we have saved $4.5 million from property tax appeals.

Notably, we have had a 92% success rate on our appeals this year. To achieve these results and maximize our potential savings, we have proactively reached out to local assessors in some states before they issue values to start a dialogue and discuss items that we believe should be considered. We found that using this proactive approach both unlocks additional savings and builds strong relationships with the local assessors. Moving on to capital management. In prior years, we were proactive in renovating our hotels to renew our portfolio. That commitment has now resulted in a competitive and strategic advantage as the market rebounds. Not only are our properties more attractive to potential travelers, but we can also deploy capital more prudently throughout the recovery. Thus far in 2021, the only major project that we have completed is the ballroom renovation at The Ritz-Carlton, Atlanta.

Looking ahead, major capital projects on the horizon include a renovation of the public space and guest rooms at the Hilton Santa Cruz, a renovation of the guest rooms at the Marriott Fremont, and renovation of the public spaces at 6 of our select service hotels. Cumulatively, we estimate spending $40 million to $55 million in capital expenditures in 2021, which is significantly less than we have spent in previous years. Before moving to Q&A, I'd like to reiterate how optimistic we are about the recovery of our portfolio and the industry as a whole. During this last quarter, nearly all of our hotels were GOP positive, and a number were outperforming the comparable period in 2019. We fully anticipate that this momentum will continue.

Data from STR Research suggests that the top 25 U.S. markets are expected to have 32% RevPAR growth in 2022 compared to all other markets at 13%. This is fantastic news for our portfolio, given that 56% of our hotel keys fall within these markets. That concludes our prepared remarks. We'll now open the call for Q&A.

Operator

Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. Our first question is Bryan Maher with B. Riley Securities. Please proceed.

Bryan Maher
Managing Director and Senior Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking my question. Starting out with the, you know, large cash hoard you have basically accumulated over the past, I don't know, six to nine months. How do you think about deploying that, you know, as opposed to holding cash? I know that there are reasons to hold cash, but as it relates to maybe, A, making whole on the preferred accrued dividends, which I think is $20 million, which is, you know, maybe 5% of what you have in cash, taking care of Oaktree. Bigger picture, you know, maybe peeling away at some of the portfolio financings such that you come to an agreement with the lenders.

I know there's Oaktree, you know, obstacles in here, but making it such that you can peel away the assets in the portfolio, you know, financings that you really wanna keep, being able to sell the ones that you really don't want, or you can take advantage of buyers in the marketplace, and then maybe putting new, fresh debt on those assets you really wanna keep. How are you thinking about that with all of your cash?

Rob Hays
President and CEO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Yeah, that's a good question, Bryan. I think you're hinting at the exact thing that we're thinking through right now, which is we do have these, I guess, kind of structural obstacles that come from this strategic financing and the various make-wholes, which do overall incent you to sell closer to those the ending of that make-whole period, which is gonna be, I guess, you know, 15 months from now. But it is something where we have had initial discussions with several of our lenders on alternatives around that to see if there are certain assets that if we did sell them, even though currently those pools don't meet the tests required, whether it's by debt yields or coverage ratios in order to normally extract them, are those possible to do now?

Those are conversations currently underway. I do think, as you said, we obviously are looking for ways to go on the offense with our capital as opposed to just being on the defense. We also have to look at all the cash needs that we have, which do include, obviously, paying off the strategic financing, you know, bringing our preferred current, which would lead us to also need to bring the strategic financing current as well. If we're gonna make, call it $20 million preferred payment to catch people up, we also need to catch up the deferred payments on that. That's another, you know, $30-something million.

We've obviously got some CapEx that is starting to ramp up over the next 12 to 24 months. We do have some cash needs that we have to be thoughtful of and in the back of our minds, obviously be cautious to the extent that we don't know exactly what this recovery looks like and are there other variants or other things and what does the return to office pacing look like after the new year. We're trying to be thoughtful around all those different items. One thing I think is encouraging is starting to see the healing of the debt markets. We obviously did our Back Bay financing, which we thought was pretty attractive terms. We're working on our Gateway deal that hopefully we'll have something to talk about soon on that.

As we're starting to see quotes, particularly on the CMBS side in hospitality, there have been a few bigger deals and a little bit higher end deals, but that will start to spread. I think one thing that we'll be looking at, particularly maybe as it gets into the new year, is are there ways to start chipping away at some of these refinancings and pairing those up maybe with some asset sales of what we don't think are long-term strategic assets. There's, like I said, a handful of levers that we've got to pull, but we're very, very focused on and looking at those alternatives.

Bryan Maher
Managing Director and Senior Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Great. Just as a follow-up, I think Jeremy mentioned $40 million to $55 million in CapEx for 2021, and that you had already done the ballroom renovation in Atlanta. How much is left of the $40 million-$55 million to do in the Q4 of this year? And what do you think that there might be in 2022? And is there deferred CapEx, you know, from the past 12 to 24 months that might make that higher than maybe you previously might have thought? And that's all for me.

Jeremy Welter
COO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Yeah, I'll take that. We're probably, you know, close to $20 million that we hope to do in the Q4. It's always timing is kinda tough because we've got a lot of renovations typically in the Q4, and it just depends on when we actually pay out all our vendors. I'm not sure if we're gonna hit $55 million, which was the top end of the range. I think that's probably unlikely. It's gonna be probably closer to $40 million. I think to date, we spent close to $15 million. Now, next year, we haven't put together our capital plans, but I would say that there's not a lot of deferred CapEx.

We've gone through our portfolio in pretty good detail, and there's not a ton of renovations that we see for next year.

Bryan Maher
Managing Director and Senior Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question is from Tyler Batory with Janney Montgomery Scott. Please proceed.

Speaker 9

Hi, good morning. This is Jonathan on for Tyler. Thanks for taking our questions. First one from me. Rates continued to be strong in the quarter, and I'm curious if that's all from leisure travel or if there's been some pickup in corporate that's impacting that positively? Maybe bigger picture, can you provide any additional color on how you're thinking about rates long term, particularly with business transient becoming a more meaningful contributor, presumably in the future?

Rob Hays
President and CEO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Yeah, let me. There's some interesting stats that are popping out in the quarter in regards to kind of corporate versus leisure travel, and it's really looking at the weekend versus weekday disparity. 'Cause obviously, historically speaking, you're typically having higher occupancies or I guess similar occupancies, but higher rates on the corporate side. Right now it's the inverse, the opposite, where we're seeing both higher occupancies on weekends by a decent amount, but then you're having also a rate premium, you know, as much as, you know, $20 to $30 on the weekend leisure. It's a unique scenario that I don't think we've ever seen before in our industry.

Right now we think out of our occupancy, probably only 5% to 6% of that is corporate transient, so it's still a very small percent of our overall occupancy. I'd say right now it's still the majority of the rate gains is actually driven by leisure, not corporate.

Jeremy Welter
COO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Yeah, I'll give you a little bit more specifics. In the Q3, our ADR for weekend travel was up 12%, which is, you know, pretty impressive. The RevPAR was up 5%. Where we're seeing the declines, as Rob mentioned, is the weekday travel. Traditionally, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday was always the bread and butter of this portfolio, but the business transient customer has been a little bit slower to come back, but we're seeing that accelerate each month. Specifically, we're down about 60% from 2019 in our business transient segment. Then looking in the group, in 2022, we're actually pacing ahead in ADR about 3%. That's a comparison. That's 3% increase over 2019.

That compares to 2021, which our ADR compared to 2019 was down 19%. There's a pretty big delta we're able to kind of push rate in certain segments that we haven't been able to do, you know, coming out of the pandemic. I think that's a really positive sign.

Rob Hays
President and CEO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Yeah, I think that's one of the maybe underappreciated opportunities in the industry for investors as they look at the recovery is typically, if we had this sort of occupancy losses, our rate would have collapsed. You're typically digging yourself out of this ditch of rate, so that it takes. It's not until you're several years into the cycle before your rates are at a comparable and competitive level. Well, in this situation, rates are already close to or in some cases higher than they were in 2019, with significant occupancy losses still existing. That gives us pricing power that makes us obviously very bullish. Obviously being able to push rate is highly profitable. I think that shouldn't be lost on investors of the opportunities of being able to push rate.

Speaker 9

Great. I appreciate all that detail. Any update you guys can provide on the labor headwinds that seem to be impacting the industry? Has there been any noticeable difference or easing, I should say, post Labor Day? You know, how are you thinking about balancing labor going forward and into the future and other cost pressures as business travel continues to ramp?

Jeremy Welter
COO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Yeah, I'll take that. On the cost pressures, we're still seeing cost pressures. The majority of the pressures where we really saw the wage increases was in the Q2. We're still seeing some wage pressures in the Q3. We still expect some in the Q4, but it's coming down pretty significantly when you look at you know, percentage increases. In terms of open positions, it hasn't been a problem yet in terms of impacting our revenue. What I mean by that is that we haven't had to take out rooms, put them out of service or anything like that because we can't clean them.

Part of that is just because occupancy is still a little bit lower than what we'd like to see. We do have open positions. I think it's about. We're running about 13.5% or so in terms of open positions at our properties. That is down from previous months, but it's not down dramatically. Hopefully, we'll see more of an acceleration than we actually saw after Labor Day in terms of filling those positions.

Speaker 9

Very helpful. Thank you. Then last one, if I could, turning to the group side, Jeremy, you provided some helpful stats on the ADR in 2022, but I'm curious, you know, what if you have any additional color on demand or future bookings in 2022 and how that's been progressing, and any color you can provide there.

Jeremy Welter
COO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

As we sit right now, the group room revenue compared to 2019 for 2022 is down 24%. But that's, you know, in spite of an increase in ADR, slight increase in ADR, which we view as a very healthy positive sign. I don't think we'll actualize there. We're seeing that the lead times for bookings continue to be very compressed versus what it was in, you know, before the pandemic. I would anticipate that 24% will continue to come down each quarter. We'll actualize somewhere, hopefully much less than that.

Rob Hays
President and CEO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Yeah. Again, that same, while it's down 25% right now and should compress, again, the ADR on that is still up 3% over 2019. Again, it plays into that broader rate story, which is a positive for us.

Speaker 9

Okay, very helpful. Thank you for all the color. That's all for me.

Operator

Our next question is from Chris Woronka with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed.

Chris Woronka
Senior Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Yeah. Hey, guys. Morning. Thanks for taking the questions. I guess this one's maybe for Jeremy. Jeremy, can you talk a little bit about where leisure rates are versus corporate, either, you know, now or Q3 versus historically? I guess the, you know, the question is when you remix a little bit next year, it's obviously gonna be very net additive because you're gonna have more occupancy. But rate, I mean, is there a widening gap between what you guys see in leisure and corporate negotiated rates?

Operator

Please check and see if you have the speaker line muted.

Jeremy Welter
COO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Okay. Hey, Chris.

Operator

There you go.

Jeremy Welter
COO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Sorry, we had a little technical difficulty for a minute. Apologize for that. When we look at leisure and the best way to look at this probably right now is just to look at our weekend rate increase. We're up 12% in the quarter in ADR in our weekend rates from 2019, and all these numbers are compared to 2019. Weekday travel is down 12%. It's definitely widening. The spread of ADR definitely continues to occur. What we are seeing is that business travel actually is picking up more gains than leisure segment, but it was down so much more than leisure, as you know.

Even though we're continuing to have larger gains in our business traveler, it's still off quite a bit from 2019.

Chris Woronka
Senior Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. That's helpful. Thanks, Jeremy. You guys mentioned a lot of progress on property tax appeals. Is that going to help more in 2021 or is that more of a 2022 event in terms of how you're gonna book the expenses or any refunds?

Jeremy Welter
COO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Yeah. I think it's gonna help in both years. I think that we're gonna see savings in both 2021 and 2022.

Chris Woronka
Senior Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. Very helpful. Also, you may have mentioned it earlier, but trying to get a sense for select service versus full service operationally. 'Cause, you know, some of your full service hotels, you know, you don't have a ton of resorts and, you know, some of them are in the more suburban markets, not a ton of city centers. Is there any sense you can give us for how your full service is performing versus select service in kind of those outer markets?

Jeremy Welter
COO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Yeah. It really, I'd say in some ways it's less dependent upon full service versus select service, and it's really more market by market. I mean, 'cause even the select service properties that we have in certain MSAs are underperforming the limited service assets in other markets. I think the better way to look at it is where are your markets performing? Right now the weak markets continue to be the Bay Area, Chicago, Philadelphia, Minneapolis, and around New York. Those markets are just having a harder time, particularly because of their.

It's been an issue because there's been a debate, I think, in the industry over whether various mandates and other COVID prevention mechanisms are going to cause travel or performance in certain markets to help it or hurt it? Do people feel safer and so they're willing to go, or is it they're seen as a hindrance? I think what we're seeing right now is the markets that performed stronger tended to be in markets that had less COVID restrictions. Particularly, for example, the Nashville asset seemed to be an asset where once the COVID restrictions and mandates were removed and it was an attractive leisure market, that hotel started to kind of unleash and really perform well.

I don't know if it's as much limited service versus full service as it is, market by market.

Chris Woronka
Senior Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Yeah. Very helpful. Thank you.

Jeremy Welter
COO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Yeah. I'd add one little comment on that, is that I was pleased and surprised with how well our Boston assets did in the quarter. It's good to see some markets, urban markets that I would have otherwise anticipated to be a little bit slower to recover pretty significantly. I think you'll see that in some of these other markets that have underperformed. It's just a matter of time that you're gonna see a massive bounce in the Bay Area and some of the other urban locations that have underperformed pretty significantly.

Chris Woronka
Senior Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Got it. Very helpful. If I could sneak one last one in, it's a question about the labor you guys talked about. Are you seeing any differences in the open positions geographically? Is this more of a problem in urban or northern half or southern half, any kind of color you could give us on where the shortages are?

Jeremy Welter
COO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Yeah, it's interesting. In some ways, it's hard to tell because in those markets that are urban, that also tends to be where we're having lower occupancies. In some of the markets like in the New York MSA or in D.C. or in the Bay Area, it hasn't really been a significant issue because we're still operating at lower occupancies than we like. Again, some of these other markets where the economies have opened up a little bit more, it's been a little bit easier to get people. What I think is still left to be seen is when D.C. and New York and Minneapolis and the Bay Area start really starting to push occupancy a little bit more, what happens then?

You know, there are guesses that it's going to be a better situation than it is now, and that it'll probably be somewhat difficult, but not overly difficult. It's hard to know right now. In some sense, you don't really know until you're out pounding the pavement, trying to round up, you know, new associates and employees at the asset.

You know, what I'd add to that, Chris, is that it is a pervasive issue across the country in terms of labor shortages. There is a difference between the states that you know, stop the enhanced benefits before relative to other states. I can use maybe Nashville as an example, that in June of this year we were very concerned about being able to ramp up and staff up given the massive acceleration of you know, snapback of occupancy when that market opened up. We were just very pleased with the demand, but very concerned about the ability to service the property. When those benefits did run out it was about three-week lag time, and we were able to fill a good amount of those positions.

We still are running a little bit higher open positions across the board, even in hotels that have ramped up. It's a pervasive issue, but you're seeing a lag time in the labor markets that you know kept the enhanced benefits in place, if that helps.

Chris Woronka
Senior Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Yeah, yeah. Very helpful. Thanks, guys. Appreciate it.

Operator

As a reminder, just star one on your telephone keypad if you would like to ask a question. Our next question is from Michael Bellisario with Robert W. Baird. Please proceed.

Michael Bellisario
Senior Research Analyst, Robert W. Baird

Thanks. Good morning, everyone.

Jeremy Welter
COO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Morning.

Rob Hays
President and CEO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Morning.

Michael Bellisario
Senior Research Analyst, Robert W. Baird

I wanna go back to the balance sheet. I guess the first part of the question is, one, when do you think you'll have enough cash on hand? Is there a number that you guys have in mind that you're targeting as you think about issuing shares and raising cash? Second part of the question is, any timing incentives for you to get the preferred accrual and the Oaktree PIK paid back sooner rather than later, aside from the obvious accrual that's occurring?

Rob Hays
President and CEO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Yes. All right, good question. For the first one, let me at least point out that while we did raise some capital in the Q3, it was substantially less than we did in the Q2. And so there is, you know, given where our share price is, and we are obviously very cautious on what is that share price and where we're raising capital at to be very thoughtful around that. There is obviously some trends there that you can look at. It's hard to come up with the exact number, but there are goals that we're trying to accomplish.

The goals are that we're trying to accomplish is, one, we are gonna need to pay off the strategic financing, and that could be as much as, call it $300 million that we need to pay off at some point in time here. We do need to bring these preferreds current. That's our preference. In order to do that, as long as we have the strategic financing, there's, you know, that'll be a $20 million payment. We will need to bring the strategic financing current as well, and that's another, call it $30-ish million. And then we also have these other kind of CapEx needs. We do have some capital needs that we have.

I think it really is going to depend upon what happens here over the next few months in terms of the return of business transient and what the recovery looks like. Our goal is to maintain a certain amount of cash so that to the extent that for whatever reason, there's other risks in this recovery, other variants, that we're still have ample capital to weather those storms, 'cause this has been a very uncertain time. At the same time, if the winds blow in our direction, that we will pivot very quickly. As we sit here now, are underwriting many assets and many acquisitions to be ready to see and pivot towards going on offense as soon as we feel comfortable with the capital that we have.

I can't give you an exact number, but what I can tell you is we obviously have slowed down the raising of our capital and are keeping a close eye on the trajectory. In terms of the preferred, we obviously have our preference is to pay it off soon. The important factor that we're trying to get to is getting back to what's called S-3 eligibility, shelf eligibility. In order to do that, we do need to have those preferreds current. In order for that to happen, we would need to complete that by the end of this year. Then once our 10-K was filed, which is probably in February of next year, we would have that eligibility. That's our intention, that's our preference. But again, that's still TBD.

It's not yet been finalized by the board.

Michael Bellisario
Senior Research Analyst, Robert W. Baird

Got it. The preferreds are current, you're also then presumably paying the quarterly dividend on those two then, right? That would reserve-

Rob Hays
President and CEO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

We would then be paying those on a go-forward basis, and we would be paying the strategic financing basically on a current basis as well.

Michael Bellisario
Senior Research Analyst, Robert W. Baird

Got it. Just on acquisitions that you touched on it a couple times, but you know, fast-forward, is it six months or is it more like 18 or 24 months when you think you'd be in position to grow the portfolio again? At least as you said today, what do the target assets and markets look like?

Rob Hays
President and CEO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

It's a good question. I mean, I hope it's, you know, I hope it's something that comes with the new year. I mean, I think that's what in our ideal world that the recovery continues to take hold and as we're getting into next year that we can pivot to go on offense because we are seeing a lot of opportunities. I mean, we are spending, you know, we sit in our deal meetings every week and are looking at opportunities, and there's a lot out there, which is exciting. You know, we just need to, you know, accomplish a few other things first. I think the assets will be comparable and similar to what we've done historically over the last three to five years, is that they'll predominantly full-service assets.

They'll be most likely franchised assets where our affiliate with Remington can really add value and pull a lot of levers. They'll mostly be affiliated with Marriott, Hilton, and Hyatt-branded assets, though I'm sure we'll have a mix of independents. They'll probably be a predominantly transient-based demand. That's what we do well. It's unlikely that we'll be buying huge urban big box assets. That's never been what we've flourished at. They'll continue to be, I'd say, well diversified across top 25, top 30, top 40 markets. You know, there's just a lot of great markets out there that we think were underappreciated by institutional investors and Wall Street that we've been invested in and are performing well now, we think those markets continue to exist.

I think it'll be assets that feel similar to acquisitions that we've done in the last few years, like the La Posada de Santa Fe or the Hilton Alexandria Old Town in Virginia or the Hilton Santa Cruz. That asset's been performing great. Those are the types of assets that we'll be doing.

Michael Bellisario
Senior Research Analyst, Robert W. Baird

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

We now have a follow question from Bryan Maher with B. Riley Securities. Please proceed.

Bryan Maher
Managing Director and Senior Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Yes. Thank you. Just to be clear, on getting back to the S-3 eligibility, you're required to pay, you know, make current on the preferreds, which I think you said was about $20 million, $30 million for Oaktree. That brings you current, but you're not required to pay off Oaktree to be S-3.

Rob Hays
President and CEO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Correct.

Bryan Maher
Managing Director and Senior Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Is that correct?

Rob Hays
President and CEO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

That's correct. There was a provision in our loan agreement that obviously, typically in a strategic financing like that, typically a lender is not super thrilled about leaking cash flow out to a junior, you know, a junior liability. Obviously the strategic importance of being S-3 eligible is important to us. The negotiated deal with them was that we were able to pay the preferreds current, bring them current, and continue to keep them current as long as one, we maintain a certain amount of liquidity and cash on our balance sheet, which we obviously, you know, meet today, and that we effectively pay them current as opposed to PIKing them or having them accrue. That's the stipulation.

We're allowed to do that starting in December of this year.

Bryan Maher
Managing Director and Senior Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Got it. More of a big picture question. I mean, look, we all know for the past 15 years that Ashford has preferred to do floating rate financing versus fixed rate. In the world that we live in today with, you know, material concerns on inflation, the potential for interest rates to push higher over the next couple of years, as you refinance debt over the next, you know, let's say, 12 to 24 months, is there any thought process within Ashford to start to layer on some more fixed rate debt?

Rob Hays
President and CEO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

That's a good question. I guess we are always open to considering things that might be a better structure. It's just that in our experience and analysis over time, you're almost always better off being a floating rate hotel owner. Now the question is there something different today than there's been before? Obviously you're looking at whether there's risk to hyperinflation or other inflationary risks where it would be a negative. It's something we'll look at, Bryan. Given the flexibility that exists within floating rate debt and the fact that we typically have to buy caps on them anyway, so to the extent that there is a significant move in rates, we're protected from that perspective.

We just find that pairing your assets and liabilities and the other benefits of floating rate debt typically, you know, typically benefit the portfolio. I think we're willing to spend some time to really think about it and look through it. If I had to put money on the table right now, I would say we still anticipate being predominantly floating rate debt.

Bryan Maher
Managing Director and Senior Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Right. I mean, I get that, but you guys also ran a higher leverage than everyone else, and it didn't kind of work out over a pandemic scenario. To the extent that we do have some hyperinflation and interest rates were to spike, and I know that there's a huge amount of debate over that, it just seems to me that the institutional investor community might feel better, and maybe even assign you a higher multiple, with at least some respectable component of fixed rate debt versus floating. I just think it's. I understand all the studies you've done, but it seems like it could be a multiple overhang for your valuation, to continue down that road in a hugely uncertain interest rate environment.

Just kind of throwing that out there, but, you know, we'll be interested in seeing what you do.

Rob Hays
President and CEO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

No, and I think if the answer is, hey, companies that have a higher fixed rate component get significant multiple premiums, well, that also is an important factor to consider. I haven't seen data or analysis to support that within the hospitality side, but if that is indeed the case, then that's obviously a very important factor for us to consider as we're contemplating it.

Bryan Maher
Managing Director and Senior Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Thank you.

Rob Hays
President and CEO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Thanks, Bryan.

Operator

We have reached the end of our Q&A session. I would like to turn the conference back over to management for closing remarks.

Rob Hays
President and CEO, Ashford Hospitality Trust

Thank you for joining us, and we look forward to talking with you all on our next earnings call.

Operator

Thank you. This does conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and thank you for your participation.

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