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Earnings Call: Q1 2022

May 12, 2022

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Altimmune, Inc. Q1 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session, and instructions will follow at that time. If anyone should require operator assistance, please press star zero on your touch-tone phone. As a reminder, this call is being recorded. I would now like to introduce your host for today's conference call, Rich Eisenstadt, Chief Financial Officer of Altimmune, Inc. Rich, you may begin.

Rich Eisenstadt
CFO, Altimmune

Thank you, Katie, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for participating in Altimmune's first quarter 2022 earnings conference call. Members of the Altimmune team joining me on the call today are Vipin Garg, our Chief Executive Officer, Scot Roberts, our Chief Scientific Officer, and Scott Harris, our Chief Medical Officer. Following the prepared remarks, we will hold a question-and-answer session. A press release with our first quarter 2022 financial results was issued this morning and can be found on the investor relations section on the company's website. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that remarks about future expectations, plans, and prospects constitute forward-looking statements for purposes of safe harbor provisions under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.

Altimmune cautions that these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated, including those related to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, COVID-19, and the impact on our business operations, clinical trials, and results of operations. For a discussion of some of the risks and factors that could affect the company's future results, please see the risk factors and other cautionary statements contained in the company's filings with the SEC. I'd also direct you to read the forward-looking statement disclosure in our earnings press release issued this morning and now available on our website.

Any statements made on this conference call speak only as of today's date, Thursday, May 12th, 2022, and the company does not undertake any obligation to update any of these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that occur on or after today's date. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded and will be available for audio replay on Altimmune's website. With that, I will now turn the call over to Dr. Vipin Garg, Chief Executive Officer of Altimmune.

Vipin K. Garg
CEO, Altimmune

Thank you, Rich, and good morning, everyone. We appreciate you joining us today for a discussion of our first quarter 2022 financial results and business update. We continue to advance multiple clinical trials for our lead product candidate, pemvidutide, a GLP-1/glucagon dual receptor agonist, and are excited about reporting important data from these trials in the second half of 2022. Last month, we announced the initiation of the 48-week phase II MOMENTUM trial of pemvidutide in subjects with obesity or who were overweight. That trial is ongoing at multiple sites in the United States with Dr. Lou Aronne, professor of clinical medicine at Weill Cornell Medicine and a leading authority in obesity and obesity clinical trials, serving as the principal investigator.

Dosing has commenced and a planned interim analysis to assess changes in body weight after 24 weeks of treatment is expected to read out in the fourth quarter of 2022. Enrollment in the phase 1B non-alcoholic fatty liver disease or NAFLD trial has been completed and data readouts for weight loss and liver fat reduction at 12 weeks of treatment are expected in the third quarter of 2022. In addition, a double-blind, placebo-controlled 12-week extension of the NAFLD trial has been initiated with an expected data readout on weight loss at 24 weeks in the fourth quarter of 2022. We believe that the 24-week weight loss readout from the NAFLD extension trial will provide a valuable read-through to the phase II MOMENTUM obesity trial.

A 12-week trial to characterize effects of pemvidutide on glucose control in diabetic subjects with overweight and obesity is also ongoing. This trial will further expand on the findings from our phase I trial in which decreased insulin resistance and maintenance of glucose control were observed in an obese and overweight patient population that included subjects with prediabetes. Given the increasing competitive obesity space, it is important to highlight the potential differentiating features of pemvidutide. First, we believe we'll be able to achieve weight loss comparable to the results of bariatric surgery, confirming the benefit of adding glucagon agonism to GLP-1 monotherapy. Based on more than 10% weight loss after only 12 weeks, we expect the level of weight loss to be greater and more rapid than other agents in development, increasing patient satisfaction with treatment.

In addition, we believe that the absence of dose titration will represent a major advantage in the minds of prescribers, simplifying patient management in the first months of therapy. Finally, we believe that the robust reduction of serum lipids observed in our phase I study could translate into cardiovascular benefit with long-term use, further increasing the value proposition of pemvidutide treatment. I want to emphasize that our focus continues to be on obesity as the lead indication for pemvidutide. While we believe that our ongoing NAFLD trial will deliver the best liver fat reduction data in clinical trials to date and add significant value to pemvidutide, we are not planning to initiate a 52-week biopsy-driven NASH trial at the current time.

We believe this decision will create additional flexibility in the development of obesity indication without forfeiting the value of pemvidutide in the NASH indication, and puts us in a good position to evaluate various strategic options for the continued development of pemvidutide. The findings of our preclinical studies in the Gubra mouse model were published last month, and we are excited about the clinical data that we have generated, which we plan to present at international meetings throughout this year. We are pleased to announce that pemvidutide abstracts have been accepted as oral presentations at the fifth Global NASH Congress, the eighty-second Annual Meeting of American Diabetes Association, and the 2022 Meeting of European Association for the Study of the Liver. We hope to announce the publication of these study results in peer-reviewed journals in the near future.

Turning to HepTcell, enrollment in our phase II clinical trial in chronic hepatitis B subjects is ongoing with an expected study readout in the first half of 2023. We are excited about the progress of pemvidutide and HepTcell and the results of ongoing trials. We expect 2022 to be an important year for Altimmune, with three major readouts representing potential significant value drivers for the company. With that, I'll now turn the call over to our Chief Medical Officer, Dr. Scott Harris, to discuss our data and clinical plans. Scott?

M. Scott Harris
CMO, Altimmune

Thank you, Vipin, and good morning, everyone. First, let me talk about the phase II momentum trial of pemvidutide in obesity. We expect this trial will enroll approximately 320 non-diabetic subjects with either obesity or overweight, with at least one obesity-related complication. Subjects will be randomized 1 to 1 to 1 to 1 to receive either 1.2 mg, 1.8 mg, 2.4 mg pemvidutide or placebo administered weekly for 48 weeks. The primary endpoint of the momentum trial is the relative percent change in body weight at 48 weeks compared to baseline, with additional readouts including metabolic and lipid profiles, cardiovascular measures, and glucose homeostasis. Dr. Lou Aronne from Weill Cornell Medical College, a leading authority in obesity and obesity clinical trials, is serving as the Principal Investigator.

An interim analysis is planned to assess changes in body weight after 24 weeks of treatment with an expected readout in the fourth quarter of 2022, and a 48-week readout in the middle of 2023. As Vipin mentioned, we completed enrollment in our phase 1B NAFLD clinical trial of pemvidutide and expect a data readout in the third quarter of 2022. This trial is designed to assess the effects of pemvidutide on liver fat and body weight in subjects with obesity or overweight with NAFLD, defined as a 10% or greater liver fat content measured by MRI-PDFF. Non-diabetic and diabetic subjects were randomized 1:1:1:1 to pemvidutide 1.2 mg, 1.8 mg, 2.4 mg or placebo over 12 weeks of treatment.

The primary endpoint of this trial is the reduction in liver fat by MRI-PDFF, but a key secondary endpoint is weight loss at the end of 12 weeks of treatment, as we believe that obesity is the key driver of NAFLD and NASH. Based on the results of our phase I clinical trial, we expect to achieve a robust reduction in liver fat content and again show a significant weight loss in subjects after 12 weeks of treatment. We have also initiated a 12-week extension for subjects who complete the initial 12 weeks of treatment. This will permit subjects to receive treatment for up to 24 weeks and allow us to compare the weight loss achieved by pemvidutide to the weight loss achieved by semaglutide and tirzepatide at 24 weeks of treatment.

We expect data readout on the 24-week weight loss endpoint in the fourth quarter of 2022. Later this year, we also expect to have the results of two additional phase I studies to evaluate the effects of pemvidutide on glucose control in people with diabetes and its potential for drug-drug interactions. We are rapidly building the pemvidutide clinical development program and expect to have accrued safety data in over 200 subjects receiving one or more doses of pemvidutide in clinical trials by the fourth quarter of 2022. I want to highlight the robust effects of pemvidutide on serum lipids that was demonstrated in our first human clinical trial, which could have important implications for cardiovascular risk. It's well established that NASH and NAFLD patients come most often to the cardiovascular comorbidities associated with obesity, which include myocardial infarction, stroke, and heart failure pemvidutide treatment for 12 weeks resulted in robust reductions of total cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, and triglyceride.

Elevated levels of which are associated with increased risk for cardiovascular disease. We will be presenting these findings in an oral presentation at the American Diabetes Association meeting this coming June. We are also making continued progress in the enrollment of our phase II clinical trial in patients with an active chronic hepatitis B and expect to read out the results of this trial in the first half of 2023. Recall that the virologic effects of HepTcell are being evaluated in chronically infected patients to enable the combination of HepTcell with novel direct-acting antivirals as part of combination therapy for chronic hepatitis B. I will now hand the call over to Rich Eisenstadt to give us an update on our first quarter financial results. Rich?

Rich Eisenstadt
CFO, Altimmune

Thank you, Scott, and good morning again, everyone. For today's call, I'll be providing a brief update on Altimmune's first quarter 2022 financial and operating results. More comprehensive information will be available in our Form 10-Q to be filed with the SEC later today. I also will provide some guidance on our expenses for 2022. Altimmune ended the first quarter of 2022 with approximately $180 million of cash and cash equivalents compared to $190.3 million at the end of 2021. Turning to the income statement, revenue was minimal in the first quarter of 2022 compared to $800,000 in the same period in 2021.

Our change in revenue for the quarter is primarily due to discontinuation of development activities for our T-COVID and NasoShield programs and will be de minimis going forward. Research and development expenses were $15.1 million in the first quarter of 2022 compared to $11.9 million in the same period in 2021. The expenses for the quarter ended March 31st, 2022 included $10.8 million in direct costs related to the development activities for pemvidutide and $2.5 million in direct costs related to development activities for HepTcell.

As a reminder, we will owe one last development milestone of $3 million payable in common shares of the company within 60 days following dosing of the first patient in the phase II trial of pemvidutide, which occurred in April subsequent to quarter end and will be reflected in the Q2 balance sheet. General and administrative expenses were $4.4 million in the first quarter of 2022 as compared to $3.8 million in the same period in 2021. The year-over-year change was primarily attributable to increased stock compensation expense. Net loss for the three months ended March 31st, 2022 was $19.4 million or $0.44 net loss per share, compared to $14.9 million or $0.38 net loss per share for the first quarter of 2021.

We currently estimate that our research and development expenses for full year 2022, including the $15.1 million reported in Q1, will be approximately $75 million. G&A expenses for the full year 2022 are anticipated to be approximately $19 million. Approximately $8.5 million of these operating costs are for non-cash expenses, including stock compensation and depreciation and amortization. With the added financial flexibility afforded through the delay in initiation of a phase II trial of pemvidutide in NASH, our existing cash not only fully funds us through the NASH LD and 48-week MOMENTUM obesity trial data sets, but we currently estimate that our cash is sufficient to allow us to operate well into 2024. I will now turn it back over to Vipin for his closing remarks. Vipin?

Vipin K. Garg
CEO, Altimmune

Thank you, Rich. Operator, that concludes our formal remarks, and we would like to open the line to take questions. Would you please instruct the audience on the Q&A procedure?

Operator

Thank you, sir. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your touch-tone phone. You may remove yourself from the queue at any time by pressing star two. Again, that is star one to ask a question. We will pause for just a moment to allow questions to queue. Thank you. Our first question will come from Seamus Fernandez with Guggenheim.

Seamus Fernandez
Senior Managing Director, Guggenheim

Thanks, guys. You know, congrats on the quarter. Obviously good management and execution around the expenses. You know, can you help us understand a little bit? You know, obviously it's great to see the NASH study really more incorporated into potential strategic options going forward, but maybe you could just give us a little bit of clarity along those lines. You know, how far into 2024 do you think that the cash would likely take us? You know, just wanted to get a sense of that payment that you mentioned, Rich. You know, just wanted to get a little bit of clarification on the number that you mentioned there that's going to be paid, I think in the second quarter here.

I just kind of missed the absolute number. I couldn't hear if it was 16 or 60, to be honest. Then the second question, you know, is really for Scott Harris. Can you just help us understand what exactly you're looking to understand from these other phase I studies in the context of the diabetic patient population, and why the company's conducting those? I think those are some important questions. Just my final question, you know, Vipin, as you kind of think strategically about the market opportunity here, obviously you've mentioned the competitive landscape.

In the context of the size of this market opportunity, you know, can you just help us better understand, you know, what you think the level of strategic interest is likely to be and when that becomes, you know, sort of a key discussion point for the company, based on the data that you're bringing forward? Thanks.

Vipin K. Garg
CEO, Altimmune

Well, thank you, Seamus. Lots of questions there. We'll try to address them one by one. Let me just sort of set the stage in terms of our rationale behind the NASH delay and the NASH study, you know, the 52-week biopsy proven, biopsy-driven study. As you know, we've got a number of studies going on that will be generating significant amount of data in terms of liver fat reduction, and we think that's going to be sufficient to sort of drive the value proposition for people to sort of draw the line. And we'll also be getting data from other companies, other players in NASH space during 2022. If we put all that together, we think we'll have enough information to convince a strategic partner, the value proposition that we bring to NASH, which we think will be substantial.

Given that, what we wanna do is focus on obesity, generate as much data as we can and maintain financial flexibility. It's really driven by that we've decided to essentially postpone, at this point, initiation of a phase II NASH study, which as you know, are very long, so we're not gonna see anything out of that study until sometime in 2024, even if we start that study right now. It was given all of those considerations, we felt we would still be able to retain the upside value of the NASH indication in our discussions. I'm pretty sure that a strategic partner would want to pursue both obesity and NASH indications, just like other large pharma players are doing in the incretin space.

There's no question that incretins will play a role in NASH treatment ultimately in just a matter of timing. That's the rationale that we are using. With that, let me just turn it over to Rich to talk about your questions about the funding and financing and how long will that last. Rich?

Rich Eisenstadt
CFO, Altimmune

Yeah, sure. Thanks, Vipin. Thanks for the question, Seamus. We didn't provide specific guidance on how deep into 2024 we'll get. We believe it'll be sufficient. We should have, you know, give or take, you know, approximately a year's cash when we have the data or completion of the MOMENTUM trial. I hope that helps. Of course, you know, a lot changes as time goes on, you know, depending on what the data looks like and additional studies that you may or may not need to do. It is sufficient to gather all the data, get to the FDA, and have discussions, and then we believe engage in these potential strategic discussions. Regarding the payout for Spitfire, the amount is $3 million.

I'm sorry for the confusion on that. It gets paid within 60 days, following the achievement of the milestone, and it will be paid in shares, Seamus. There's a preset formula, and it, the formula indicates that it will likely result in the issuance of approximately 850,000 common shares of the company.

Seamus Fernandez
Senior Managing Director, Guggenheim

Perfect. That's super helpful. Just the last question on the diabetes patients, and maybe just an update, if you guys are willing, just to kind of provide us general color on how the obesity study, how the MOMENTUM study is recruiting so far and how you're feeling in terms of that tracking to providing an interim look, whether it be at the full patient population or part of the patient population in the fourth quarter. Thanks.

Vipin K. Garg
CEO, Altimmune

Scott, do you wanna take the diabetes first?

M. Scott Harris
CMO, Altimmune

Sure. Thank you, Seamus, for the question. I'll take the diabetes part first, and then I'll finish with some comments about the MOMENTUM study. As you know, within the obesity population, 80% of that population does not have diabetes. You're well aware that what really controls blood sugar chronically in this population is the weight loss that was shown in the STEP trials. The change in hemoglobin A1c at 52 weeks is predominantly driven by the weight loss. Over the long run, we think that this drug will have excellent applications in diabetics. Also, in our phase I study, we saw no perturbations in glucose control measured by fasting blood sugar or hemoglobin A1c. In fact, as you would have expected with the weight loss that was observed.

We actually had a reduction of insulin resistance that bodes quite well for the results of what we're going to see in 52 weeks, either in a non-diabetic population or a diabetic population. I think that we felt the obligation at this point to study the effects of pemvidutide acutely on aspects of glucose control that are typically studied in more intense phase I studies, such as continuous glucose monitoring and the like. We really couldn't do that in our current studies without making them too complicated. We elected to conduct a committed study in diabetics, and that's what we're trying to get out of the study right now. I'll answer the second question about the MOMENTUM study, and I'm happy to backfill on that answer I just gave you on the obesity.

The MOMENTUM study is going quite well. We're very enthusiastic with enrollment. We think it's going to enroll very, very quickly, like most obesity studies do. We have 25 extremely enthusiastic investigators. The best guidance I can give you is we'll give you an update when the enrollment in the study completes and tell you what our plans right now. Right now, we're optimistic that we'll have a very meaningful readout at the end of the year.

Vipin K. Garg
CEO, Altimmune

Seamus, to your question.

Seamus Fernandez
Senior Managing Director, Guggenheim

Excellent. Thanks, guys. Appreciate it.

Vipin K. Garg
CEO, Altimmune

To your question about strategic thinking and the process going forward. I mean, look, the whole obesity space is maturing. I think the latest data from tirzepatide is helping. It's growing awareness. There'll be a lot of interest from multiple players in this space. That's how we see it. What we're trying to do is really generate important data that would put us in the best position to do a robust transaction, partnering transaction around this asset. A lot of the studies, we've said it many times, we are doing these studies because we think they would add value in our strategic partnering discussions. I think overall, there are multiple players out there that are going to want to play in this space, and we just want to be ready for that.

Seamus Fernandez
Senior Managing Director, Guggenheim

Excellent. Thanks so much. Appreciate it.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question will come from Yasmeen Rahimi with Piper Sandler.

Yasmeen Rahimi
Managing Director and Senior Biotechnology Analyst, Piper Sandler

Good morning, team, and thank you for taking my questions. I'm gonna go one by one. Maybe a good place to start off would be, can you comment on the 1B NAFLD study, what you're seeing in regards to discontinuation rates, how many data safety monitoring committees have you had, and what your expectations are in terms of GI tolerability? Just anything safety-related to the 1B that you've been privy to during this time could be helpful for us. Then I have a few more.

M. Scott Harris
CMO, Altimmune

Well, thanks for the question, Yasmeen. As you know, we continue to be blind in the study, and I can't give you data that we don't have. I will tell you that from the safety point of view, we're extremely pleased, as we've said before, with the safety profile and tolerability of the compound in that study, as well as the other studies that we're conducting right now. There is no official data monitoring committee for the study. You wouldn't expect it with a phase I study. However, we have a safety committee that reviews the data from the study in a blinded fashion on a regular basis, and those meetings have not identified any issues to date consistent with what I've said before.

Regarding the GI tolerability, we think it's only gonna improve going forward. Remember that with phase I studies, the tolerability profile of the compound is less optimistic than it would be in phase II and phase III. The reason is, number 1, there's less known about the compound at that time. There's more heightened concern about anything that you see. Investigators are heavily attuned to asking patients questions repeatedly. Subjects are admitted to the unit for much of that time, so they're under constant surveillance, and then they come back weekly. That's very different from a phase II environment like the MOMENTUM study when patients will be coming back, say, every two-four weeks and not being well monitored constantly.

It was well shown in the tirzepatide and semaglutide programs that when they went from phase I to phase II, that they had a tremendous decrease in their adverse events. We were very happy with the tolerability profile that we had with pemvidutide in our phase I program. We had no adverse event discontinuations. We think it's only gonna get better going forward.

Yasmeen Rahimi
Managing Director and Senior Biotechnology Analyst, Piper Sandler

Thanks, Scott. I just want to clarify on the commentary you made. One, do you get notified when a discontinuation occurs in the NAFLD study or the MOMENTUM study, and have you been notified?

M. Scott Harris
CMO, Altimmune

Yeah, I mean, we are notified. I'm not, you know, free to speak on this on a specific basis other than to say that we're very happy with what we're seeing right now.

Yasmeen Rahimi
Managing Director and Senior Biotechnology Analyst, Piper Sandler

Got it. When you made the remarks that safety, the GI tolerability could be looking more favorable in a phase II study, are you saying that the phase 1B NAFLD study GI profile could be, given the protocol is more similar to the 1B obese data set that we have seen? Or the execution of the 1B more like the phase II MOMENTUM? Could you clarify, please?

M. Scott Harris
CMO, Altimmune

Yeah, I think that clearly as you go from phase I to phase III, the tolerability profile of the compound improves. One would expect based on that the tolerability in a phase II might even be better than a 1B. Once you get the patients out of the phase I unit and you know more about the compound and the, you know, you have more confidence in the investigators with what you've seen, it gets better. We expect that the tolerability in the phase 1B study will be better than it was in the first-in-human study, and that it'll progressively get better going forward.

Yasmeen Rahimi
Managing Director and Senior Biotechnology Analyst, Piper Sandler

Thank you. Last question. Any more commentary on, like, what exactly we should be expecting out of the interim? Like, what goes into your decision to decide whether you're gonna pick, you know, 20 patients per arm or 30 patients per arm. Now it's been, what? About a month and a half, two months into the study. Like, can you help us narrow down what exactly how big the interim analysis will include? Thank you for taking my questions.

M. Scott Harris
CMO, Altimmune

Yeah, happy to answer that for you, Yasmeen. As you know, we're right now in the beginning of May. We still have a long way to go with a very rapid recruitment. We're simply gonna have to look at the data at the time that we have to do the cutoff and, you know, make that decision about whether it's a complete set or if it's an incomplete set, how many patients are in it. Based on our current projections, we think that the amount of subjects included in that interim analysis, if not the complete set, will be meaningful enough to be convincing of the data that's being seen. That's the best guidance I can give you until we see how enrollment is going.

Yasmeen Rahimi
Managing Director and Senior Biotechnology Analyst, Piper Sandler

When do you make that decision? When is that time period? Is this in July then? Or at what point will you-

M. Scott Harris
CMO, Altimmune

Probably in the July. Yeah, probably in that timeframe, the middle of the year.

Yasmeen Rahimi
Managing Director and Senior Biotechnology Analyst, Piper Sandler

Okay, great. Thank you.

M. Scott Harris
CMO, Altimmune

You're welcome.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question will come from Liisa Bayko with Evercore ISI.

Liisa Bayko
Managing Director, Evercore ISI

Hi there. How are you?

Vipin K. Garg
CEO, Altimmune

Good morning, Liisa.

Liisa Bayko
Managing Director, Evercore ISI

Can you hear me? Good morning.

Vipin K. Garg
CEO, Altimmune

Yes.

Liisa Bayko
Managing Director, Evercore ISI

I want to ask quickly, for the study you're doing that does not include diabetics, the obesity study, are you not at a point where you can include diabetics now? I know you have an earlier study. I was just curious why not just make it kind of all comers in a way.

M. Scott Harris
CMO, Altimmune

Thanks for the question, Lisa. Well, you know, typically in obesity studies, Lisa, if you look at the STEP program, the SURPASS program, the SURMOUNT program, in these phase II obesity studies in phase III, diabetics and nondiabetics are not included. I believe that the agency would want it that way as well. Consequently, you have to choose one or the other, and we think that the more meaningful readout is gonna be in the nondiabetics. Obviously, at some point, we do an obesity chronic study, but that phase II study right now is in nondiabetics. We think that taking the lead, given the precedent with STEP 1 and also SURMOUNT 1, which are nondiabetics, it just makes sense that we match that by doing nondiabetics and MOMENTUM.

Vipin K. Garg
CEO, Altimmune

Yeah. The recent tirzepatide data was all nondiabetics.

M. Scott Harris
CMO, Altimmune

Exactly.

Vipin K. Garg
CEO, Altimmune

Yeah. That's pretty standard in the obesity space.

Liisa Bayko
Managing Director, Evercore ISI

Okay

Vipin K. Garg
CEO, Altimmune

Not commingle them in large studies.

Liisa Bayko
Managing Director, Evercore ISI

Do you see the tirzepatide data as kind of your new benchmark in a way?

Vipin K. Garg
CEO, Altimmune

Yeah. You know, we've been obviously looking at the whole landscape in obesity. I think first of all, let me say that it's really validating that the dual agonism approach is becoming more validated now. We clearly can see benefit over just pure GLP-1 approach. Sort of the first benchmark was 15%-20% or that 15% range. We just have crossed the 20% mark. Tirzepatide, as you know, has about 20%-22% weight loss. And that's great because I think this, the interest in multi agonism is going to grow with this. We now know what GLP-1 and GIP can do. The question is, what can glucagon combined with GLP-1 do? Well, obviously, we have some data at this point.

Just to put things in perspective, tirzepatide showed about 22%, 20%-22% after 72 weeks. We have shown 10% weight loss after just 12 weeks, one-sixth the time of, you know, tirzepatide data. We feel very comfortable that we will be able to at least meet, perhaps surpass that number as we go towards 48 weeks. We not only expect to be greater than tirzepatide, but also much faster in terms of getting there, you know, in our 48-week study, we could already be approaching those numbers. We feel very good about our prospects based on our phase I data.

Liisa Bayko
Managing Director, Evercore ISI

Okay.

M. Scott Harris
CMO, Altimmune

Scott, did you want to add something? Yeah, Liisa. I'll add to Vipin's comments that we're extremely excited by the prospect of delivering this, these results without dose titration. We think this is a very, very important commercial advantage both for patient satisfaction, patients who wanna lose weight faster while they're paying for the drug in the first five months of therapy with tirzepatide and dose titrating, and also the ease that it gives physicians for prescribing who really do not wanna be involved in managing complex dose titration. As well, one other thing I would point out is that our lipid profile appears to be superior to that of both tirzepatide and semaglutide.

You get the weight loss, it's certainly very important, and it's very pleasing to people and doctors, but what you really wanna do is decrease the comorbidities, and you achieve that by, in many ways, by reducing the lipids. The meaningful aspects of weight loss have to be translated into lipids to reduce the cardiovascular risk, and we think we have a superior profile based on the inclusion of glucagon over the monotherapy or the dual therapy that includes GLP, but not glucagon.

Liisa Bayko
Managing Director, Evercore ISI

Okay. I mean, so far it looks like you have pretty rapid weight loss at the beginning. I'm assuming this is not linear, right? It'll start to probably level off. How do you think about the shape of the curve, and how predictive do you think this early effect is for more of the long-term weight loss?

Scot Roberts
Chief Scientific Officer, Altimmune

Sure. Hey, Lisa, this is Scott Roberts. You know, when we look at the totality of the data out there, and this includes, you know, the STEP studies and the SURPASS studies, you know, we see a relationship between, you know, the initial slope of the weight loss and where the final weight loss ends up, you know. So we're encouraged because of that, because right now we have the greatest rate of weight loss, you know, certainly through 12 weeks. Will that slope eventually change over a year? I think that's likely. If you look at the data, there's a relationship there, at least we believe strongly.

Liisa Bayko
Managing Director, Evercore ISI

Yeah.

M. Scott Harris
CMO, Altimmune

That the bottom is really set by the initial rate.

Liisa Bayko
Managing Director, Evercore ISI

Interesting. It probably helps and encourages people too to stay on drug and everything, right? The

M. Scott Harris
CMO, Altimmune

That's right. They're saying, well, that kinda goes to dose titration and the fact that they're getting the full dose right out of the gate, and so it happens rapidly.

Liisa Bayko
Managing Director, Evercore ISI

Right.

M. Scott Harris
CMO, Altimmune

They feel good about that. There seems to be this relationship where the nadir is really set by the initial slope.

Liisa Bayko
Managing Director, Evercore ISI

Okay. Interesting. Just finally, how can you kind of maybe qualify how much are you spending on the HepTcell program? And like, is there any sort of interim before the readout next year where you could kind of, you know, make a go, no-go if you wanna continue kind of spending on that program? Just 'cause, you know, the majority of the value here from, you know, from an investor perspective is an obesity program, and HepTcell has just been such a tough area and, you know, unclear, you know, commercial opportunity, and it's just a difficult space. It's been difficult for people. Just wondering kind of if you can make some kinda early read and if it's even worthwhile depending on how much you're spending on it.

Vipin K. Garg
CEO, Altimmune

Yeah. That's a good question, Liisa, and we are, you know, we track that all the time. You know, we think towards the end of the year, we'll be able to determine. I think main driver is going to be the rate of enrollment. It's very difficult trials to enroll, particularly in the COVID setting because these are international studies, and COVID keeps flaring up in different parts of the world, so things shut down.

We hear you, and at this point, as you can do the math, you know, most significant spend or most of the majority of the spend is on pemvidutide here. We think there is value to finishing that study because without that study you really cannot make the argument about combining HepTcell with another antiviral. We need that data. We'll evaluate that at the end of the year, and if we need additional flexibility, clearly that's a lever that we can pull at that point.

Liisa Bayko
Managing Director, Evercore ISI

Okay. Thank you, guys.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question will come from Mayank Mamtani with B. Riley Securities.

Mayank Mamtani
Senior Managing Director and Group Head of Healthcare, B. Riley Securities

Good morning, team. Thanks for taking our question. For conference data presentation this quarter, could you talk to what we should focus on, in terms of understanding the differentiating attributes of pemvidutide, but also maybe specifically at ADA, what might be the datasets, you know, for that weren't maybe part of Lilly's top line press release, just, things that you're looking out for at ADA? And then I have a couple of follow-ups.

M. Scott Harris
CMO, Altimmune

Scott? Yeah. Mayank, thanks for the question. You know, we'd highlight the differentiating features are, number one, the potential to achieve even higher levels of weight loss with pemvidutide than the other compounds that have been studied both so far. As Scott mentioned in his reply earlier, the rate of weight loss initially leads us to believe that the final weight loss that we will achieve will be higher. We're very optimistic about that. Second, we think the absence of dose titration is extremely important because we think that that's right there where the pen hits the prescription pad, and physicians are gonna prefer this much more to regimens that they have to follow over five months with a physician extender or some other kind of help.

In the primary care setting, when the primary care doctor has eight minutes in front of the patient, you know, to manage this is really not feasible, and it's only gonna get worse. Finally, we think we differentiate strongly on lipids because the effects of GLP-1 are mediated indirectly through weight loss, and the lipids are mainly a hepatic event. As you know, we have tremendous reductions in liver fat, but that also represents the mechanism for the serum lipids, and that's why the serum lipids decrease so much. That's the direct effects of glucagon on the liver and the lipids, which is well described in the literature. We think that for lipid reduction, which is what physicians are gonna focus on, they're gonna see pemvidutide as having superior attributes.

We're seeing effects on lipids that are similar to statins and fibrates in terms of reduction in total cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, and triglycerides. With regards to ADA, obviously there's going to be other compounds that are being presented at that time. I am expecting to see some data from Lilly in their dual and triple agonists. We'll have to wait and see if and what they present, and that will be of extreme interest as well to us. We'll be on the podium. We'll be presenting the results of our phase I trial. Samuel Klein, who is an extremely well-known name in obesity research from WashU, will be presenting that, and we're really looking for a great session.

Mayank Mamtani
Senior Managing Director and Group Head of Healthcare, B. Riley Securities

Great. Thanks for that color. Then now that you have some cost savings from the 52-week NASH study and you talk about this, you know, broad cardiometabolic benefit, I was just curious, maybe it's still early days, but we are hearing incretin therapies get into CV outcome trials. Is that sort of part of your plan, initial discussions? Is that in any way baked in, you know, as you think about the phase III trial design, you know, 2023, 2024 onwards?

M. Scott Harris
CMO, Altimmune

Well, thank you for the question, Mayank. As you know, the CV outcome trials are trials that you do predominantly after approval and maybe even in this space, now exclusively after approval. Although our eyes are on it's something that's really not on the drawing board right now. At this point in time, we're looking at the surrogate markers, which should be very predictive of the outcomes, and that would be the lipids. I mean, that's your best marker of cardiovascular risk that we have. At this stage of development, in the absence of an outcomes trial, which is some time away, we'd be focusing on the lipids and it looks really good.

Vipin K. Garg
CEO, Altimmune

Yeah. The other thing I would just add, Mayank, is that once we have the phase II data, our focus will then shift to immediately having an end of phase II meeting with the FDA. That would be another important milestone. That's really going to be our first substantive discussion with the FDA on the, you know, phase III plan for pemvidutide for obesity.

Mayank Mamtani
Senior Managing Director and Group Head of Healthcare, B. Riley Securities

Understood. Then just my final tactical question on MOMENTUM. Now you are at 25 sites. Any chance you are able to comment how these sites compare to other incretin studies, you know, in terms of patient enrollment per month, how it ramps up as, you know, things progress from screening to dosing? I mean, do you see any issues of competitive enrollment or, you know, if running placebo-controlled trials is an issue in the future? If like not having titration is critical, you know, element of enrollment, not just, you know, real-world prescriptions later on.

M. Scott Harris
CMO, Altimmune

Thanks, Mayank. There's several parts of that question. Let me try to hit on them, and if I don't backfill fully, please ask your question again. Regarding the sites that we have in the trial, each of those sites are accomplished sites in obesity. Each have a track record not only on enrollment, in rapid enrollment, but also retention, which is very important because we're focusing on that. There is a tremendous, and I want to emphasize this, tremendous amount of investigator enthusiasm. Investigators want to be in this space, and boy, patients really want to be in these studies. There's always a challenge in these studies of keeping people in the studies, particularly the placebos.

The enthusiasm in the investigator and the enthusiasm that's given to the patient to stay in the trial, you know, with lots of attention, you know, help with their lifestyle management of the like, is extremely important. The ability to keep the placebos in the trial are important as well. None of these sites have competitive studies. You know, we don't think that that the titration or the absence of it is any issue of anything. It's a plus because patients are looking forward to more rapid weight loss when they come into the program, and that's why they're coming in is the potential for the more rapid weight loss and the greater weight loss.

Mayank Mamtani
Senior Managing Director and Group Head of Healthcare, B. Riley Securities

Understood. Thanks for taking our questions.

M. Scott Harris
CMO, Altimmune

Sure.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question will come from Jonathan Wolleben with JMP Securities.

Jonathan Wolleben
Director, JMP Securities

Hey, thanks for taking the question, and congrats on the progress. I guess I had a high-level question on the decision to focus on obesity, which we appreciate, but also, you know, understanding the opportunity in NAFLD. I think means more in your hands than someone else's. Then how do you have these discussions with strategics if you are successful in obesity? Won't that, you know, pardon the pun, eat into a NAFLD opportunity? Just, you know, wondering, you know, how someone else would think of, you know, how pemvidutide could be used in NASH if you're out there in obesity as well.

Vipin K. Garg
CEO, Altimmune

Yeah, no, that's a good question, Jonathan. Let me just say this, that we've always said that the path to treating NASH is through obesity. If you look at other players that are working in GLP-1 space or GLP-1, you know, GIP space as well, they're all following both obesity and NASH. We think the data that we have generated so far on NAFLD speaks for itself, and the data that we will generate will be sufficient to connect the dots between obesity and NASH. Just pursuing obesity doesn't exclude you from pursuing NASH. Whoever we, you know, partner with, ultimately we think they would value NASH in addition to the obesity indication. Really that would be the ideal way for us to proceed with both those indications in parallel.

By the way, we will be ready to execute a phase II NASH study as soon as possible. We're making all the preparations. We're not sort of putting the pen down. We're just not gonna go to undertake major expense and start the study, but we'll be ready to pull the trigger on that, which we think has value. We are preparing for all that needs to be done in order to start that study as quickly as possible.

Jonathan Wolleben
Director, JMP Securities

Got it. I guess to that, Rich, I kind of missed in the prepared remarks the 2022 guidance. I was hoping you could run through that one more time.

Rich Eisenstadt
CFO, Altimmune

Sure. I just really gave the two operating cost guidance, Jonathan. R&D expenses for the year are projected to be about $75 million for the full year, so that's inclusive of the $15 million we spent in Q1. G&A is around $19 million in expense. Of all that expense, about $8.5 million of that is non-cash.

Jonathan Wolleben
Director, JMP Securities

Very helpful. Thanks again.

Scot Roberts
Chief Scientific Officer, Altimmune

Mm-hmm.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question will come from Patrick Trucchio with H.C. Wainwright & Co.

Speaker 11

Good morning, team. This is Jason on for Patrick. I have a couple questions on the HepTcell program. The first one is, what do you view as the ideal antiviral to combine with HepTcell? And what is the current status of potential collaboration on HepTcell? Then I have two follow-up questions after that.

Vipin K. Garg
CEO, Altimmune

You wanna take that?

Scot Roberts
Chief Scientific Officer, Altimmune

Yeah.

Vipin K. Garg
CEO, Altimmune

Scot?

Scot Roberts
Chief Scientific Officer, Altimmune

Yeah. Hey, Patrick. You know, I think that, you know, from a combination standpoint, certainly, agents that knock down surface antigen are the most likely candidates. I think that we look towards the RNAi type of inhibitors. Those are the natural selections. There are others that are out there, whether the other nucleic acid approaches. The capsids may have some use, but I think we're really focused on significant knockdown of surface antigen, creating a window, a better opportunity than for HepTcell to go in and activate those T cells.

Speaker 11

Okay, great. Just kind of, so to kind of look forward to the data readout for the first half, are we also basically anticipating for clearance of surface antigen in the initial data set?

Vipin K. Garg
CEO, Altimmune

Yes. I think in terms of your question about partnering status, that kind of goes hand-in-hand. We've got initial discussions with folks, pending the data. It's really a question of who do we combine with, and it's for them as well as for us, which is the best combination, and that would only be sort of determined after we have the data.

Speaker 11

Okay, great. That's real helpful to know. The kind of last question, HepTcell, will we have any functional cure rate in the initial data, or will we wait for another six months to fully assess? What rate of functional cure would you anticipate in this trial?

Vipin K. Garg
CEO, Altimmune

Scot?

Scot Roberts
Chief Scientific Officer, Altimmune

Yeah, the trial's really not set up to look at functional cure. This is meant to look at virological endpoint. We think that that's the data we need to take the next important step in the program. It's really not focused on functional cure. Certainly, we'll be looking for that, would not you know go beyond that. Again, the study is focused on the virological endpoints, validating the approach and setting us up then for a combination study that I think you know everybody who's in this area understands is really gonna be the successful path forward.

Speaker 11

Okay, great. Thank you so much.

Operator

Thank you. It appears we have no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the program back over to our presenters for any additional or closing remarks.

Vipin K. Garg
CEO, Altimmune

Yes, thank you everyone for participating today. We appreciate this opportunity to share our results and outlook with you, and thank you for your continued interest. Have a nice day.

Operator

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This concludes today's event. You may now disconnect.

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