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Earnings Call: Q1 2014
Apr 17, 2014
Good afternoon. My name is Eric and I will be your conference operator for today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to AMD's First Quarter 2014 Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on a listen only mode at this time. After the speakers' remarks, you will be invited to participate in a question and answer session.
As a reminder, This conference is being recorded today. I would now like to turn the conference over to Ms. Ruth Cotter, Vice President of Investor Relations for AMD. Please go ahead.
Thank you and welcome to AMD's Q1 earnings conference call. By now you should have had the opportunity to review a copy of our earnings release And the CFO Commentary and Slides. If you have not reviewed these documents, they can be found on AMD's website at ir.amd.com. Participants on today's conference call are Rory Reid, our President and Chief Executive Officer and Devinder Kumar, our Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Sir, for the question and answer portion of the call, we will be joined by Lisa Su, our Senior Vice President and General Manager, Global Business Unit. This is a live call and will be replayed via webcast on amd.com.
I'd like to take this opportunity to highlight a few dates Lisa Su will attend the JPMorgan Technology Media and Telecom Conference on Tuesday, May 20 Yes, in Boston. Divinder Kumar will attend the Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Technology Conference on June 3rd, in San Francisco, our 2nd quarter quiet time will begin at the close of business on Friday, June 13. And lastly, We intend to announce Q2 earnings on Thursday, July 17th. Please note that non GAAP financial measures Reference during this call are reconciled to their most directly comparable GAAP financial measure in the press release and CFO commentary, which are posted on our website at quarterlyearnings.amd.com. Before we begin, let me remind everyone that today's discussion contains Forward looking statements based on the environment as we currently see it.
Those statements are based on current beliefs, assumptions and expectations, Speak only as of the current date and as such involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results To differ materially from our current expectations, please refer to the cautionary statement in our press release for more information. You'll also find detailed discussions about our risk factors in our filings with the SEC and in particular AMD's Annual Report on Form 10 ks for the year ended December 28, 2013. Now with that, I will hand the call over to Rory. Laurie?
Thank you, Ruth. Revenue for the quarter was $1,400,000,000 an increase of 28% from the year ago period. The 12% sequential revenue decline from the previous quarter was better than Our expectations due to healthy demand for our newest Radeon GPUs and semi custom gaming APUs. This is our 3rd consecutive quarter of delivering non GAAP profitability and we also We saw an improvement in EPS of $0.15 from the year ago period. Our first quarter performance demonstrates the Success that we are having transforming AMD's business.
We are consistently executing and delivering on our commitments. Our strategy is working and we are building a foundation for continued profitability and growth as we transform AMD. We are on track to generate approximately 50% of our revenue from high growth markets Including embedded, semi custom, dense server, professional graphics and ultra low power Client where we can create differentiated winning solutions by the end of 2015. There was strong demand in the Q1 for AMD powered Microsoft and Sony game consoles. These consoles continue to Outpaced previous generation ramp and drove continued momentum in the semi custom business.
The success of these two products is an excellent example of the power of our strategy. When our unique IP And design expertise is married with the ingenuity and product ideas from our customers. We jointly deliver tailored market We believe that our semi custom business will continue to realize strong growth As gaming consoles ramp throughout the year, we remain on track to capture 1 to 2 new semi custom design wins this year as well. Now turning to AMD's embedded business. Revenue increased by double digits From the year ago period, we continue to win designs with strategic market makers in key verticals such as Digital signage, medical and thin client to name a few.
Consistent with our strategy to participate in a much broader portion of this We see an approximately $9,000,000,000 total addressable market for our high performance embedded SoCs And Processors. This margin accretive business is also characterized by product cycles that last up to 5 years, providing a more predictable and consistent revenue stream. In our Professional Graphics business, We delivered sequential growth in the Q1. We believe we gained share highlighted by the launch of Apple Mac Pro, which uses 2 of AMD's industry leading Fire Pro GPUs. We are expanding our professional GPU products with the announcement of our new flagship Fire Pro W9100.
This GPU is attracting significant from video, design and engineering professionals who need to work at the latest 4 ks resolutions and beyond. We are also continuing to make investments to accelerate our growth by strengthening our relationships with key professional ISVs and customers that dominate market share. In our dense server business, revenue also increased sequentially. This was highlighted by Verizon's ongoing deployment of The dense server market is projected to be approximately 25% of the overall server market by 2019 And we intend to lead this transition with our unique fabric technology and 64 bit processors. We have also reached a significant milestone in our ambidextrous strategy.
We have introduced Seattle, Our first 64 bit ARM Server Processor and the industry's 1st at 28 nanometer technology, Positioning AMD as the only SoC provider to bridge the x86 and ARM ecosystems for server applications. We are excited to announce that we have started sampling Seattle this last quarter and plan to ship in the 4th Quarter of 2014. Now let's turn to our traditional businesses. In Graphics, We see strong demand in the enthusiast portion of the market. Our industry leading R7 and R9 products drove GPU revenue growth year over year and sequentially.
And we also started to see the ramp of new mobile discrete design wins. And we believe this momentum will continue and we expect to gain market share. In our Personal Computing business, our mobile APU unit shipments increased Sequentially in the Q1 as our customers prepare to introduce notebooks powered by our newest BIMA and Coveri APUs. In the desktop channel, we continue to build momentum in the upper part of our portfolio as we enrich our product mix. Our high end A8 and A10 APUs had the 2nd straight quarter of record unit shipments.
We continue to build a stronger desktop portfolio, ramping our high end Caveri APU and introducing our first low Powered socketed APU for the desktop channel this past quarter. We expect these APUs will drive revenue growth in the coming quarters. The PC market continues to remain challenging. We are seeing signs that the market decline is slowing and Potentially stabilizing as some of the softness in consumer is being offset by demand for commercial PCs. Based on this, we now expect overall PC shipments will decline approximately 7% 10% for the year and we are positioned to take advantage of this based on our strategy to gain share in parts of the market where we are Currently underrepresented.
For example, in the commercial client market, we expect to more than Double the number of designs that will come to market from our key OEM partners compared to last year. As a result, we believe we will deliver sequential PC revenue growth in the coming quarters of 2014. Since our last earnings call, we also successfully concluded our 20 14 WSA amendment with GlobalFoundries and re profiled our near term debt, both of which will help us accomplish our financial goals for 2014 and beyond. Navinder will cover both of these topics in detail later in the call. So in summary, we continue to hit all of our key milestones and product commitments as part of our long term strategy to transform AMD.
Our first quarter performance demonstrates that we are making significant progress building the strong foundation Required to deliver consistent profitability and revenue growth, our growth businesses Continue to gain momentum and we remain on track to diversify our revenue base, generating approximately 50% of our revenue from our high growth businesses by the end of the next year. We also See the PC market beginning to stabilize and we are well positioned to grow revenue throughout the year. Finally, Based on the strength of our industry leading graphics products, we believe we will gain share and grow GPU revenue in 2014. Based on this momentum, we remain firmly committed to delivering profitability and revenue growth for the full year in 2014. With that, let me turn the call over to Devinder.
Thank you, Rory.
Our first quarter results Demonstrated continued financial and operational discipline and execution. Our gross margin and revenue came in at or better than expected Despite a seasonally down demand environment and we achieved non GAAP net income profitability and earnings per share for the Q3 in a row. Building on the momentum we established in the second half of twenty thirteen, 2014 is off to a good start. Additionally, we successfully completed a couple of significant transactions by reprofiling our debt and concluding the 4th amendment to our wafer supply agreement, the WSA with Global Foundries. Under the revised WSA agreement, We expect wafer purchases from GlobalFoundries to be approximately $1,200,000,000 in 2014 on a take or pay basis.
Our 2014 wafer purchases are in line with our current PC market expectations And also include the manufacturing of certain GPU and semi custom game console products at GlobalFoundries. There are no special payment triggers as part of the 4th Amendment of the vapor supply agreement for 2014. In Q1 2014, we spent approximately $250,000,000 on wafer purchases From GlobalFoundries. Let me now provide some specifics on the quarter. Revenue in the first Quarter of 2014 was $1,400,000,000 a decrease of 12% from the previous quarter and an increase of 28% year over year.
Typically, the Q1 of the year is a seasonally down quarter and the sequential decline was driven by decreased sales of both our traditional and semi custom products. Gross margin was 35%, Flat sequentially. The first quarter result includes a $4,000,000 benefit from the sale of previously reserved Inventory in the Q3 of 2012 as compared to a $7,000,000 benefit in the Q4 of 2013. Non GAAP operating expenses were $421,000,000 and Down from $462,000,000 in Q4, 2013. GAAP operating expenses were $438,000,000 and include A $14,000,000 charge for workforce rebalancing severance expenses as part of the ongoing transformation and diversification strategy at AMD as we continue to Consistent with our strategy to transform AMD and manage for sustainable profitability, Non GAAP operating income was $66,000,000 and non GAAP net income was $12,000,000 while Non GAAP earnings per share was $0.02 calculated using 761,000,000 diluted shares.
Adjusted EBITDA was $139,000,000 a decrease of $26,000,000 from the prior quarter, primarily due to reduced operating Now turning to the business segments. Computing Solutions segment revenue was $663,000,000 down 8% sequentially in line with seasonal trends. The decrease was primarily due to lower desktop and chipset unit Shipments partially offset by higher notebook unit shipments. Computing Solutions operating loss was $3,000,000 an improvement From an operating loss of $7,000,000 in the 4th quarter despite the sequential $8,000,000,000 or $59,000,000 decline in revenue. This was driven primarily by lower operating expenses.
Graphics and Visual Solutions segment revenue was 734,000,000 Down $131,000,000 or 15% from the prior quarter, primarily due to a decrease in sales of our semi custom Operating income was $91,000,000 compared to an operating income of $121,000,000 in the prior quarter. Turning to the balance sheet. Our cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities balance including long term Securities totaled $982,000,000 at the end of the quarter, close to our optimal balance of $1,000,000,000 and well above Our target minimum of $600,000,000 During Q1, 2014, we also made the final $200,000,000 cash to Global Foundries related to the reduction of the take or pay vapor obligation commitments for 2012. Inventory was $869,000,000 down $15,000,000 or 2% sequentially as we reduced graphics inventory. Debt as of the end of the quarter was $2,140,000,000 up slightly from the prior quarter.
During the Q1, we repurchased $64,000,000 of our 6% convertible notes due in May 2015 In the open market, utilizing cash on hand, we also issued $600,000,000 in principal value of 6.75 percent notes due in March 2019, utilizing the proceeds to extinguish most of our 6% convertible notes due in May 2015 and approximately $50,000,000 of our 8% and 18% notes due in December 2017. The remaining net proceeds of approximately $80,000,000 borrowed under the new Issuance will be used to pay down or repurchase outstanding debt in due course. By executing these transactions, We have pushed out the majority of a significant portion of our near term debt and now have no significant Term debt maturity is pending until December 2017, a period of more than 3.5 years. Accounts payable at the end of the quarter was $483,000,000 down slightly from $519,000,000 in the 4th quarter. Lastly, we had negative free cash flow of $225,000,000 in Q1 2014, largely due to the previously mentioned $200,000,000 payment to GlobalFoundries.
Now turning to the outlook. For the Q2 of 2014, AMD expects revenue to increase 3% sequentially plus or minus 3%. Gross margin is expected to be approximately 35%. Non GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately 435 Millian, inventory is expected to increase slightly from the Q1 and cash, cash equivalents and Marketable securities including long term marketable securities is expected to be approximately 1,000,000,000 In closing, we are pleased with our Q1 results in a seasonally down quarter. We have started 2014 with Continued financial and operational discipline and maintain non GAAP net income profitability for the Q3 in a row.
We are making continued progress in our strategic transformation journey with the goal of transitioning approximately 50% of our revenues to high growth adjacent markets and businesses by the end of 20 Our focus in 2014 remains on managing for profitability as we work to deliver full year revenue growth And net income profitability. With that, I'll turn it back to Ruth. Ruth?
Thank Thank you, Devinder. Operator, we'd be now happy for you to poll the audience for questions please.
And our first question comes from Betsy Van Hees from Wedbush Securities. Please go ahead.
Good afternoon. Congratulations on the quarter and the guidance. Laurie, I was wondering if we could dig a little deeper into your commentary. You said that you now see PC market declining 7% to 10% versus your prior guidance of 10%, down 10% sequentially sorry. And I was wondering if you could tell us give us a little more detail as to what happened during the quarter to give you that confidence level that the PC market will
Thanks, Betsy. Yes, absolutely. What we've seen is the commercial To market has been a bit stronger, whether that's driven by the XP refresh work that's gone on through April OAR is continuing refresh across commercial. I do believe commercial is going to be a bit stronger This year than we anticipated based on that XP refresh and the strength of the overall economic environment. And I think that's Setting a bit of the pressure that we're continuing to see in consumer from tablet.
I think the PC market will be down, no question. And I believe that It's down 7% to 10%. And it's really driven on that strength of the commercial space. As it relates to us though, Betsy, what I like about what we're doing is The diversification strategy is really taking hold. What we're trying to do is to win in the desktop space as as well as capture in the underrepresented commercial segment for AMD.
And that's why I talked about in the early part of the call that we see the opportunity for us, AMD to grow our PC revenue in the coming quarters of 2014.
Thanks, Rory. And since you mentioned the desktop Business as well as the notebook. Your ASPs were flat sequentially and I would assume that your desktop ASPs are Higher than your notebook, but yet your ASPs were flat, which is really great. And I was wondering if you could talk a little bit more about what drove that flat ASPs in the market and what you're seeing?
Yes, Betsy, this is Lisa. Maybe let me give you a little color on that. So relative to what we saw was very much in line with our Strategy that we've been laying out on improving the mix of our product. So in the desktop channel in the Q1, we Launched Caveri at the high end of the stack. So from that standpoint, it did very well and that was a good driver for us in terms of And in the notebook business, we also saw that we're starting to launch some of our new products that will go into market later in the Q2.
So we started shipping Beema in the notebook segment and both of those help to keep the ASPs At that flattish range.
Thanks Lisa. That was very helpful. And then my last question and I'll jump out of the queue and let others ask questions is about how we should be looking at the guidance of basically flat to up 6%. As we look at your different business units, will computing will be growing more Our semi custom will be growing more. I wonder if you could help rank us and how we should be looking at and modeling that?
Yes. So from a standpoint of What we talked about in the early part of the call, there's no doubt that we continue to see momentum across the growth business. Betsy, there's this has been a record ramp in terms of the game consoles. You probably saw some of the news coming out of Sony earlier this Microsoft had a very good launch with the Titan Fall game. These are perfect examples of how when we combine our IP And design expertise with their great ideas, we can really breathe life and create a real change in the marketplace.
We see that in embedded. We see that in semi custom. We see that in pro graphics. These are all areas, dense server, where we see an opportunity for us to for us to continue to build on that momentum. At the same time, our part of the PC business, we're doing a Nice job of introducing a nice set of new products that are positioning us to grow as we come to the next quarters of 2014.
Thanks, Roy. And once again, congratulations on a great quarter and guidance.
Thanks, Betsy. Our next question comes from Vivek Arya from Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please go ahead.
Thanks for taking my question. I actually had one short term and one longer term question. So on the shorter term, I'm curious What's your sense of the inventory of game console chips in the channel? I mean you certainly had a very strong ramp. But if my math is right, By Q2, you would have probably shift over 20,000,000 console chips, which is I imagine 4000000, 5000000, 6 1,000,000 and above the potential sales of those consoles, is it that we should be expecting a sub seasonal second half just because of the Lag between when you ship and when the consoles ship?
Or just if you could give us a sense of what the inventory situation is for all these console chips?
Sure, Vivek. This is Lisa. Let me give you some guidance there. So in terms of how the game consoles have behaved, I mean, they've actually done quite well. There were Some seasonality in the Q1 coming off of a very strong holiday season, but we've been pleased with the results.
And relative to inventory, We don't see any significant inventory build up in the channel. So our expectation for semi custom is that The second half in terms of units will be higher than the first half as we're going into the second holiday season and everything that we see is that The consoles are selling through nicely.
And Vivek, one of the things that we're taking a deep focus on is we're consciously managing How we're introducing product into the market, remember as we talked about in 4Q, how we manage the notebook transition, You saw that in terms of a return to seasonality in 1Q. We're doing the same thing, working with our strategic partners across gaming To build the product, to introduce the product, to create a velocity model where the product is going into the channel, moving through cleanly and And executing out the backside. That's the kind of business and execution we want to drive consistently, so we have nice smooth revenue through this.
Got it. And then maybe Rory, you guys were able to achieve your target For the semi custom as part of your revenues last year and you have laid out a longer term target. I'm curious what do you think is going to be the proportion of Semi custom by the end of 2014. And as part of that, I think you had mentioned about 1 or 2 opportunities. If you could give us some more color what end markets do they represent?
When should we start baking those? And what milestones should we look for in those new opportunities? Please.
Sure. From a semi custom perspective, we see a very robust and interesting pipeline across many segments. And I'm sure Lisa will add some color And just a second. We are on track to tackle the 1 to 2 design wins this year. I think they're very interesting.
And as we look through Through the year as Lisa just said Vivek, I think that we see momentum in this ramp. We see momentum in this launch And we expect this business to continue to move through the year well. So Lisa, did you want to add some color on where you see These design wins and where the robustness of this pipeline is?
Sure. So Vivek, when we talk about the opportunity pipeline for semi custom, they are very For tailored opportunities, but they are across multiple segments. So our strength is currently in gaming, given our strength in graphics, but we're seeing opportunities across Mobile, enterprise as well as some of the other consumer sectors. I think our engagement model with these guys is very, Very deep architectural discussions and really solutions work and that's what we're in the progress of doing right now. And so we have good visibility in To achieving the key milestones of 1 to 2 design wins this year.
And that's a really important guidepost for you to look for Vivek as we demonstrate This is a key part of our business, a key part of our strategy and showing those design wins and delivering on the commitments we're making Here on this call this year is a very important part that you should look at and we're on track for those items.
Got it. And then my last one very quick one on the long term. You guys have clearly now stabilized the business. So So as we think about your longer term targets, which is to get 50% of revenues from semi custom, what does that imply Why for the business model in terms of gross and operating margins, because your gross margins have come down to the mid-30s level. How should we think about those gross and operating margin numbers to construct a longer term model for AMD?
Thank you.
Sure. So what we've talked about in terms of the strategic view is we want to enter into these growth segments. We used to be a business centered over one Dream of revenue, one opportunity, the PC market. Now we've introduced 5 new ones with our traditional space, that's 6 Key markets where we can leverage our core IP. We see this as an opportunity to consistently grow and to consistently expand profitability.
We'll look through 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017 As an opportunity for us to lift this revenue consistently and deliver profitability. I don't think we're ready yet to say what that growth rate is, because we're in the transformation phase. And clearly, we want to continue to demonstrate to Everyone on this call that when we make a commitment we deliver on that commitment. Yes, Vivek, one clarification. You mentioned 50% And on
the semi custom space, the 50% target at the end of 2015 in addition to semi custom, which This is a big piece also includes dense server, professional graphics, embedded. All of those 3 are higher than the corporate average from a gross margin Standpoint, semi custom you called it right. The gross margin is lower than corporate margin, but it's operating margin accretive. And then we have the ultra low power business that's part The mix that Rolly mentioned in terms of the 6 total businesses that we are focused on to get to the 50% by the end of 2015.
Great. Thank you. Our next question comes from Christopher Rolland of FBR Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Hey, guys. Congrats on the quarter and thank you for letting me ask Question as well. Can you guys talk about the puts and takes of either moving or perhaps not moving Your next generation follow on to Kovari to the next node here and how this might affect your to move other products and families to the next node or not to move them. Thanks.
Sure, Chris. So let me take that and I'll give you a little bit of our thinking. So in terms of product and technology selection, certainly we need to be at the leading edge of the technology road So what we've said in the past is certainly this year all of our products are in 28 nanometer across both graphics, Client and our semi custom business, we are actively in the design phase for 20 nanometer and that will come to production. And then clearly we'll go to FinFET. So that would be the progression of it.
Relative to the competitiveness of the products, We feel very good about the competitiveness of the products. It can vary in terms of total compute, what we're able to do across the stack with our BMO product line and our graphics And
what you're also going to see Chris is how we're going to continue to leverage our software stack and our software capability to truly differentiate not only in terms of performance, but tailor it to the specific solutions that we see out there. I think HSA is a good example of that. The work that we're doing there is proved it's being proved out In the examples like PCMark 8.1, these are industry metrics that are showing how AMD's products Perform and software plays a very key role in that and we're going to continue to invest in that.
Okay, great. Also there have been pretty widespread stories out there about high end gaming cards either not on the shelves Going 2 times MSRP and I know a lot of those are going into Altcoin mining out there. So what do you guys think in terms of this market right now? Is it still alive? Have you guys met the supply now Out there or do you think this quarter maybe that it will be met?
And then where do you think that sort of goes over time? Thanks.
Sure. So Chris, the graphics market was certainly good for us in the Q1. We were pleased with the performance. What we did see is We did see strong demand, particularly in the Enthusiast and Performance segments with our R9 and R7. We did have, let's Call it the supply now quite meeting demand for the Q1 and that was largely due to just like I said high demand.
We expect that to catch up in the Q2. But relative to the Bitcoin or the Litecoin stuff, the way we look at it is, we're designing these products to be leadership Graphics, gaming capability. We have a lot of investments in the ecosystem and all of the other things like our project Mantle That really gets the software ISVs optimizing to AMD. So we think that's driving long term Demand and relative to the current cryptocurrency stuff, we'll see how it develops over the next couple of quarters.
Okay, great. I'll just squeeze in one more quick one if that's all right. So love the profitability, the op profitability in GPU, But there was an operating loss in Alt Other, maybe wider than expected. Maybe if you can go into a little puts and What that's all about and what we might expect there for the rest of the year? Thanks.
I think just to clarify, when you say wider than expected loss, what do you mean by that, Chris?
Wider than I had expected. Let's put it that way.
Okay. Well, if you look at the Computing Solutions segment and that's what you're Referring to revenue was down because of seasonality from Q4 to Q1 and The profit the loss I guess was $7,000,000 going to $3,000,000 We do have the impact in the all other of the stock Come expand that's pretty much the same as last quarter. And then there was a severance that I talked about in my prepared remarks of about $14,000,000 that sits in the All under as opposed to the 2 business segments.
I think Chris what's really important to look at in In terms of the Compute segment, it's the fact that we returned to a more seasonal performance in terms of our business and that we're talking about The opportunity for us to see growth in the future quarters of 2014. That's different than where we've been over the past 2 years And that reflects the kind of products that we're creating and the kinds of strategic relationships we're building with our customers. Let's go to the next question.
Our next question comes from Hans Mosesmann from Raymond James. Please go ahead.
Thank you, guys. Question, this is probably for Lisa. Intel is making a big push in tablets and they're subsidizing a fair amount of The design expense in Asia with the ODMs and so forth, what impact if any does that have with Mullins and Beema, because there's probably some a gray area there where you actually could compete with some of
these types of platforms.
And I have a follow-up. Thanks.
Sure. So Hans, when we look at sort of what we're doing with our product portfolio, it is really about building a balanced portfolio. Clearly, Low end tablets are very competitive and we are not going after the very low end of the space. And we're looking at a balanced portfolio around both profitability and share. And so for Mullens and BIMA, I mean, I think we have a strong set of design wins For those products, we expect those to launch in Q2 and build through the second half of the year.
And what we're looking to do with those products is really get a clear portfolio mix. So we'll be very I said at the low end where we need to be for the entry level notebooks, but we want to balance that with enough profitability up the stack. And we think that The performance of these products, particularly bema, does very well in reaching up further than we had before with our previous generation, Cabini.
Okay. Thanks. And then as a follow-up, so you started sampling Seattle. You're going to be shipping in Q4. What is the visibility if any in general in terms of the adoption that you see into next year by hyper Gale guys and so on for ARM in general in the Yes.
Yes.
Thanks, Jonathan.
Sure, Hans. So what I'll tell you is that there's been a lot of customer interest Seattle, so certainly for the server guys, the hyperscale guys and then even some Adjacent markets, there's good customer interest. I think the important thing for us and what we're working with the customers on is Form development and software development and ensuring that we get some of the ecosystem there. So relative to Revenue, it's probably a little early to tell what's going to happen in 2015, but I'll say the interest in the platform is quite high and it's A major milestone for us to introduce our first 64 bit Arm Chip into the market.
And Hans, Getting that ambidextrous strategy in place and launch that's a really important milestone. What we're doing here is Identifying this opportunity long before it's taken place and we're catching it just as the wave is forming. That's the kind of innovation and leadership that we really want to go after. This is going to be an important market over the next 3, 5, 10 years and we have an opportunity to truly lead in this ARM server ecosystem and take advantage Our ambidextrous capability. This is spot on in the strategy.
Great. Thank you very much.
Our next question comes from David Wong of Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.
Thanks very much. Does your guidance for the June quarter assume Computing Solutions sales go up or go down sequentially?
We assume that they go up from Q1 to Q2.
Great. And when might we expect you to introduce GPU products At a node below 28 nanometers, will you have any 20 nanometer GPUs this year or next year?
David, I think what I said earlier sort of what we're doing in terms of technology strategy, we are 28 this year, we have 20 nanometer in design and then FinFET thereafter. So that's the overall product portfolio.
And that includes GPUs later?
That's the overall product portfolio. So I'm not being specific about graphics
Okay, great. And my final question. When do you expect to first start generating semicustom revenues from And will moving to Global Foundries for game console chips improve reduce
Yes. So we will see semi Custom ships from GlobalFoundries in the second half of this year. And relative to our operating margin guidance on semi custom, it stays the same. So it's It's what we've said previously. Great.
Thank you.
Our next question comes from Cody Acree of Ascendiant Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Thanks for taking my questions and congrats. Lisa, you talked a bit about the enterprise Strength, can you talk about where your split is now enterprise to consumer and what you expect that
to look like for the rest
of the year?
Right. So relative to The client business, was that the question or relative to data center?
No, clients.
Okay. Yes, relative to client business, I would say we're pretty underrepresented In commercial or enterprise at this point in time, so we have a good set of design wins and those are going to ramp in the Second half of the year, we've worked very closely with some of the major OEMs. And so we expect the commercial client side of the business to be a growth engine for us. As Rory said, we expect to grow the PC business overall and commercial will be an important piece of that.
And you talked about the low end of the tablet Something that you're going after. We've heard Intel talking pretty aggressively about going after the sub-four hundred dollars notebook market. What impact are you seeing there in an area that has typically been your strong suit?
Certainly, the consumer portion the low end consumer Portion of the PC business is the most volatile piece of it. So there is a lot of competition there and the prices are aggressive. However, back to our overall strategy, I think the key piece for us was building a strong foundation for the client business. It's an important piece of our business and we want to manage it for both growth and profitability. And so our focus is really on how do we get the right mix Into the marketplace, making sure that we're selling our value proposition of the strength of our products.
And so if we miss out On some units at the low end, so be it. But we want to make sure that we have a balanced business across the stack going forward.
And then lastly on the DIN Server side, so Seattle in the Q4, what's the intersection of C Micro Working on your Seattle platform, timing of that versus what is the source of the more intel over?
Yes. So one of the advantages of having a systems business is that we can do co Development between our chip development and our systems development. So it will be quite important for us to have Seattle and C Micro And that's in development.
And of those will those launch in Q4 together?
The Q4 statement was a chip statement.
Okay. And then lastly the interest the heavy interest you said you're seeing in Seattle, how big of that how much of that This is driven by the strength that you have in your fabric.
I think what we're seeing in Seattle is really interest from a number of different I think the there's general interest in ARM. There's interest in sort of trying out the new workloads With the capability, I think we see the fabric as an important differentiator, but we see that as a longer term differentiator In the systems portion of the business, so I think the interest in Seattle is really, it's the first 28 nanometer 64 bit server chip out in the market and I think that's driving the customer engagement.
Thank you very much and congrats.
Our next question comes from Joe Moore of Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
Great. Thank you. The timeline for bringing GPUs into GlobalFoundries, is that also second half? And I guess just do you think there's any risk of Getting those products qualified on time to sort of use up the entirety of the $1,200,000,000 diversified in it.
Yes. Actually for the timing of the graphics in GlobalFoundries, we've already started shipping from GlobalFoundries and Graphics. So we think that the qualification cycle has been as expected and so
And from a standpoint, Joe, Just like we did in 2013, we laid out our commitments and we delivered on those commitments. As we move into 2014, that WSA, each of the commitments we are Doing and making here, we're focused on the execution to deliver those. We're on track to meet that objective of the WSA and you You should see it as that commitment.
Okay. Great. Thank you. And then for semi custom products Outside of consoles, are you do you lead with the GPU in those sales? Or are these kind of more CPU driven?
Or is it the combination of the 2? I mean, can you just give us some idea of kind of what the value proposition that you're selling outside
of the game console market in the custom?
Sure. So really the value proposition for semi custom outside of game consoles is sort of the integrated package between Our CPU capability having both ARM and X86 capability as well as our leading edge graphics And the ability to integrate sort of very custom solution for these architectures. So I think it's all of the above. The foundation is the IP and And the blue is sort of the SoC integration and architectural capability.
Jill, one of the things that As you may know, I came from the customer side. The customer side that we're working with day in and day out to create that Strategic relationship, they're looking for an edge. Just like we did with Microsoft and Sony, we created an edge for them. We created a differentiated solution by marrying our IP with their ingenuity and product ideas. That's exactly what we want to do in semi custom.
We're becoming easy to work with. We are delivering on our execution and commitments with that flawless ramp and people are out in the marketplace and looking for that edge on the semiconductor How they can beat the market. And they don't want just commercial standard solutions anymore. They want a unique offering that Allows them to change the game and win and that's exactly what we're trying to do in semi custom.
Okay. Thank you.
Our next question comes from John Pitzer with Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.
Hi. This is Andrew Pae calling on behalf of John Pitzer. I Just wanted to quickly touch on the embedded and semi custom business again. It will be very helpful if you could elaborate on some of the specific application products that you're targeting. I guess those that you're not necessarily engaged in right now, but targeting within the growth end markets you discussed earlier?
Thank you.
Sure. So, Andrew, so on the semi custom side, as we said, there's a wide range of opportunities. These are usually larger Opportunities that drive higher volume and can justify a semi custom NRE engineering expense. So things like Gaming, of course, mobility, enterprise applications and sort of other consumer things like living room type Would be kind of semi custom sort of high volume stuff. Relative to embedded, we really see embedded as a very interesting long term growth opportunity Because it fits very well with our APUs and our GPUs and we're able to differentiate and call visual That is type solutions.
So things like digital signage, industrial controls and automation, medical imaging, Those are some examples of DIN client are other examples that fit well with our embedded business. So those are the end markets that we're attacking.
Got it. Thank you. Very helpful. And I just want to quickly touch on the gross margin longer term gross margin structure again. I know someone asked this earlier, but Is it largely a function of product mix?
Or is there other I guess important elements that could be a positive driver in the near term future? Thank you.
I think if you look at the gross margin drivers, the embedded business that Lisa and Rory talked about, we talked about the professional graphics, the growth we had in 2013 and Continue the momentum into 2014. You have the dense server piece of it. And then the richer PC Team mix on the commercial space all of those in combination are higher than corporate average gross margin. So that's obviously The PC market environment obviously is a factor and we see that at least from where we were with the 10% down to the 7% to 10% on improving. If we attack the richer mix there that could benefit the gross margin.
And part of the mix here is because the semi custom business is slightly different In a different model, you have lower than corporate average gross margin, but it's accretive to the operating margin line. And that is where the mix and the interplay happens for the gross margin for the short term and also for the longer term as we continue to diversify our product portfolio.
Got it. Thank you. And as my last question, relative to your updated view on the overall PCM market to be down approximately 7% to 10% year over year, I guess do you expect your Computing Solutions business to outperform your expectation of the overall PCM market or mostly in line to your updated view of the Thank you, Margaret.
Thank you.
Yes. From our perspective, I think there's an opportunity for us to, as we said, to return to seasonality in Q1, we did that. Now we've set the objective to grow in the future quarters of 2014. I think that's the next step And the logical next step in terms of our stabilization of that business. Let's take a look at how this next quarter unfolds.
We have a whole set of new commercial products that are beginning to roll out. We have the desktop channel. You may have noticed that we introduced that low power socketed APU into the Channel this quarter, we're seeing some nice trends there and some nice product introductions, but we also have a Competitor that's really taking a different approach in terms of revenue management and they have a different Beyond profitability sometimes and we're going to choose the mix and the right business. This idea of contra revenue is a foreign idea to us.
Got it. Thank you. Very helpful. Thank you very much.
Our next question comes from Joanne Feeney of ABR. Please go ahead.
Hi. Congrats folks on a really nice quarter. I have a question about the GlobalFoundries new agreement. Given what you ended up spending last year sub $1,000,000,000 this year up to $1,200,000,000 can you perhaps give us a sense of a breakdown of that number that growth in How much of it is coming from higher anticipated production of chips they already produced via the APUs? And how much of it is coming from The graphics that you're moving over and then how much from the semi custom you anticipate in the second half, if you could give us any color on that it would be really
Yes. Joanne, I can give you some color. I may not get that specific or granular in terms of the various parts that you mentioned. But if you recall, 2013, we had an original agreement at about $1,200,000,000 As we bought into 2013 with the relationship and the partnership, We took $200,000,000 less wafers in 2013 without any special payments or penalties. We go into 2014, we look at the demand profile.
We have taken about $250,000,000 in Q1 of 2014 and the overall purchases on a take or pay basis for 20 14 are $1,200,000,000 But what I can tell you is everything we've talked about the PC business, the purchases of the PC product from GlobalFoundries It's in line with our business expectations. No impact from a financial standpoint and from a gross margin standpoint. And the balance of that And of that obviously is in the semi custom and graphics space, which is the products that we are taking from global boundaries in 2014.
Okay. That's helpful. And then
as a quick follow-up. In your efforts to have better representation in the Commercial business, is it primarily in the desktop that you feel like you're making inroads or the notebook or a balanced mix of both?
Yes, Joanne. We actually see opportunity across desktop and notebook for commercial and it's really Good set of design wins and platforms that we think will be offered in the market in the second half of the year.
Okay, great. And then one other clarification. On the new semi custom business you're working on this year, It sounds like you are comfortable enough that you have these design wins in place, you anticipate getting these design wins, but perhaps it's too early to talk about the revenue stream. Can you give us any sense of where you are in the design win process and perhaps any sense of how the revenues might compare to what you have so far on the Game Console side?
We're as I said earlier Joanne, we're on track to close 1 to 2 of those wins this year. And I think that's clear as where we are and what we're trying to do let us get those things closed. And there are going to be confidential wins, but we'll make it clearer as the year unfolds. That's about where we should be, but we're on track on those 1 to 2 wins as we said we would be for 2014.
Okay. Thanks. That's helpful.
Operator, we'll take 2 more questions please.
Certainly. Our next question comes from the line of Mark Lipacis with Jefferies and Company. Please go ahead.
Thanks for taking my questions. First question, I'm hoping you can help me with Some back of the envelope math. If you're going to target 50% from high growth areas, I think From my math that implies about $1,000,000,000 of additional revenues above and beyond your gaming consoles. And if you're going for 1 or 2 more semi custom deals then that implies that these would be Big revenue kind of home run opportunities. Is that a fair way to think about it?
Well, you should look at the 50% objective and Target, we are on track to achieve by year end 2015 as across those key high growth segments. There's 5 of them. We're going to see progress and we mentioned there was year to year progress embedded. There was sequential progress in terms of Prographic, these are all going to be factors and they're also factors as Devinder highlighted in the mix to drive the gross margin strategy across The portfolio. What we target is really interesting applications in the semi custom space where we can partner with an industry leader to create a really differentiated solution.
That in hand generally targets something in the $200,000,000 to 500,000,000 plus lifetime revenue targets.
That's very helpful, Rory. Thank you. And then a follow-up question On the manufacturing process roadmap, Lisa, the it looks like your GlobalFoundries signed Ship or announce a partnership with Samsung to license their technology on fully depleted 14 nanometer FinFETs. When you talk about your roadmap To FinFETs, at GlobalFoundries, if they're using fully depleted technology, is that different than the technology they're currently using? And would that require Additional investment by you guys to try to get to that ultimately?
Sure, Mark. So let me Comment on that. So if we look at the overall relationship that GlobalFoundry signed with Samsung, I think we view that as a good thing. I think it's good for the industry and it's Good for AMD relative to collaboration and getting FinFETs to market sooner. Relative to investment side, I think from that standpoint, we have a roadmap to go to FinFETs.
It's a very important technology for us. And I wouldn't see that this agreement changes or No effects that in any way.
Thank you. Last question if I may. The according to 8 ks filing, it looks Like Mubadala exercise warrants to get to 19% ownership. Are there any implications on steering the direction of the company? Or Should we read anything into this?
How should we think about that? Thank you very much.
Yes. No problem, Mark. We don't generally comment on our investors' actions and strategies. We We have a very strong relationship and focus with our key investors. I think you should probably talk to them in terms of where they're going.
Fair enough. Thanks.
And our final question comes from Kevin Cassidy with Stifel Nicolaus. Please go ahead. Thanks for squeezing me in. The professional GPU business seems to be getting some good momentum. Can you tell us give us an idea of what type of growth rate you And maybe what percentage of your GPUs it could be this year and next year?
Yes, Kevin, let me try to answer that. So the Pro Graphics business is definitely a growth opportunity for that. You've heard that in our it's part of Those five segments or five businesses that we think will drive to that 50%. Without getting into exact numbers, I would say we're quite underrepresented in ProGraphic's right now. And so it's been a key focus item for us to get the right products and Drive growth.
We saw sequential growth from Q4 to Q1 that was good. We talked about the Apple Pro driving some of the share gains there. And then we've just launched a new W9100 product that is exceptional For the high end professional workstation market. So we think it's a great growth opportunity for us and we'll give more color on that as we progress through the year.
Okay. Thank you very much.
Okay. Operator, that concludes our Q1 2014 earnings call and we'd like to thank everybody
Thank you, presenters. And thank you, ladies and gentlemen. Again, this does conclude today's call. Thank you for your participation and have a wonderful day. Attendees, you may now all disconnect.
Thank you.