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Earnings Call: Q4 2019

Feb 5, 2020

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, welcome to the Fourth Quarter 2019 AMETEK Inc. Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one on your telephone. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. If you require any further assistance, please press star zero. It is now my pleasure to hand the call over to VP Investor Relations, Kevin Coleman.

Kevin Coleman
VP of Investor Relations, AMETEK Inc.

Thank you, Andrew. Good morning. Thank you for joining us for AMETEK's fourth quarter 2019 earnings conference call. With me today are Dave Zapico, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and Bill Burke, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. AMETEK's fourth quarter results were released earlier this morning and are available on market systems and in the investors section of our website. This conference call is also being webcasted and can be accessed on our website. The webcast will be archived and made available on our site later today. During the course of today's call, we will make forward-looking statements which are subject to change based on various risk factors and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ significantly from expectations. A detailed discussion of the risk and uncertainties that may affect our future results is contained in AMETEK's filings with the SEC.

AMETEK disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements. Any references made on this call to 2018 or 2019 results will be on an adjusted basis, excluding after-tax acquisition related intangible amortization and excluding the fourth quarter 2018 gain related to the finalization of the impact of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. Reconciliations between GAAP and adjusted measures can be found in our press release and on the investor section of our website. We'll begin today with prepared remarks by Dave and Bill and then open it up for questions. I'll now turn the meeting over to Dave.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Thank you, Kevin. Good morning, everyone. AMETEK delivered excellent performance in the fourth quarter, capping another year with exceptional results highlighted by strong sales growth, outstanding operating performance, and robust capital deployment on strategic acquisitions. In 2019, we achieved records for essentially all key financial metrics, including sales, EBITDA, operating income, earnings per share, operating cash flow, and free cash flow. As a result of this strong cash flow and consistent cash flow, we successfully deployed $1.1 billion on two strategic acquisitions. These excellent results are driven by the AMETEK growth model and the efforts of our talented employees worldwide. AMETEK is committed to our mission of solving our customers' most complex challenges with differentiated technology solutions and delivering long-term sustainable success for our stakeholders. Now on to the details of the fourth quarter results.

Sales in the quarter were a record $1.3 billion, up 3% over the same period in 2018. Recent acquisitions contributed 5%, organic sales were down 1.5%, currency was a half point headwind. Fourth quarter operating income increased 6% to $298 million. Reported operating margins expanded 60 basis points to 22.8%. Excluding the dilutive impact of acquisitions, operating income margins expanded an outstanding 90 basis points over the prior year. EBITDA was a record $354 million in the quarter, up 7% over 2018's fourth quarter. Earnings for the fourth quarter increased 13% to $1.00 for diluted share, outperforming our guidance range of $1-$3. Our businesses also generated a record $342 million in operating cash flow in the quarter, a 16% increase over last year's fourth quarter. This led to a superb cash conversion ratio of 137% for the quarter.

Now on to the fourth quarter details for our operating groups. The Electronic Instruments Group delivered strong operating performance with solid sales growth and margin execution. EIG's fourth quarter sales were a record $880 million, up 7% year-on-year, driven by contributions from recent acquisitions. Organic sales and currency were both flat in the quarter. EIG continues to drive meaningful efficiency and productivity improvements through our operational excellence initiatives. These efforts led to another quarter of strong operating performance. EIG's operating income in the quarter was a record $230 million, a 7% increase over the same quarter in 2018. Reported operating margins expanded 10 basis points to 26.1%. Excluding acquisitions, operating margins expanded 60 basis points. The Electromechanical Group also delivered a solid quarter with strong operating performance.

EMG sales were $425 million in the quarter, down 5% versus prior year, with organic sales down 4% and currency a one-point headwind. Despite the softness, the EMG group responded with solid operating performance. Operating income in the quarter was $85 million, with reported operating margins expanding 60 basis points to 19.9%. Excluding acquisitions, operating margins increased 70 basis points over the prior year period. Now for the full year results. 2019 was an exceptional year for AMETEK with record results. Overall sales were up 6.5% to $5.2 billion. Full year operating income was $1.2 billion, increasing 9% over the prior year, and reported margins were up 60 basis points to 22.8%. Excluding the dilutive impact of acquisitions, operating margins expanded an impressive 100 basis points over 2018.

EBITDA for the year was a record $1.4 billion, up 10% over 2018, and 26.9% of sales. This led to outstanding profit growth with earnings per diluted share of $4.19, an increase of 14% over last year's comparable basis, and well above our initial 2019 guidance range of $3.95 to $4.05. I would like to thank all AMETEK colleagues for their exceptional efforts during the quarter and throughout the entire year. Before I discuss our 2020 outlook, I wanted to touch on some of the highlights from 2019 that relate to the AMETEK growth model. I'll begin with acquisitions. We had another exciting year on the acquisition front, deploying nearly $1.1 billion on two highly strategic acquisitions, Pacific Design Technologies and Gatan. This follows an equally strong 2018, where we also deployed $1.1 billion on acquisitions.

We're off to a good start in 2020, announcing the acquisition of IntelliPower this morning. IntelliPower is a leading provider of high reliability, ruggedized, uninterruptible power systems for mission-critical defense and industrial applications. IntelliPower is a leader in their niche markets, given their unique technology and expertise. Their products and solutions perfectly complement our power systems and instruments businesses, and deepen our expertise in high reliability power protection applications. Annual sales for IntelliPower are approximately $40 million, and we deployed $115 million on the acquisition. We remain very confident in our ability to identify, acquire, and integrate excellent businesses into AMETEK. Our acquisition process, from deal sourcing to due diligence to integration, is a core competency at AMETEK. Our pipeline remains strong, and we look forward to another excellent year.

In addition to these acquisitions, we made the strategic decision to divest our Reading Alloys business as part of our portfolio review process. We entered into a definitive agreement to sell the business to Kymera International in an all-cash transaction valued at $250 million. This transaction is expected to close during the first quarter of 2020, subject to customary closing conditions. As a leading provider of highly engineered materials, Reading Alloys experienced solid growth in sales and profitability since being acquired by AMETEK in 2008. As we continue to evolve our portfolio to high-end, differentiated technology solutions with less cyclicality, we thought it was appropriate to explore options for the business. In the end, we believe this is an excellent outcome for all parties, as Kymera is an excellent partner for Reading to support their next stage of growth.

For AMETEK, proceeds from the sale will be redeployed on our acquisition strategy, which remains our number one priority for capital deployment. I would like to thank the Reading Alloys employees for their hard work and contributions to AMETEK and wish them continued success in the future. Our Operational Excellence strategy continues to drive record results and impressive efficiency improvements. In 2019, we generated approximately $95 million in Operational Excellence savings. This level of savings is an increase from our initial estimate of $80 million and speaks to the flexibility of the AMETEK growth model to drive higher levels of productivity in the face of softening market conditions. Our businesses continue to utilize our Operational Excellence toolkit to improve efficiencies and productivity. A great example of these efforts came from our Nu Instruments team, which won the Dr. John Lux Operational Excellence Award in 2019.

During the year, the Nu Instruments team conducted an operational excellence Kaizen and implemented lean processes to reduce the manufacturing cycle time of their scientific instruments for elemental and isotopic analysis. These changes drove a 40% reduction in working capital, shortened lead times for their customers, and improved sales and profit growth at the business. Congratulations to the Nu Instruments team on this outstanding achievement. This is one of the many examples across AMETEK of our businesses driving meaningful productivity improvements through leveraging our operational excellence tools. Our businesses also continue to enhance their competitive positions through new product development and global and market expansion. In 2019, our businesses unveiled dozens of innovative new products and solutions. These solutions included award-winning advanced 3D scanners for quality control and quality assurance, revolutionary plasma viewing technology for laboratory analysis, high-speed digital imaging technology, highly specialized test and measurement devices, and X-ray microanalysis instrumentation.

We remain focused on investing in this innovation to power our future. In 2019, we invested approximately $260 million or about 5% of sales in the research, development, and engineering of new products and solutions. These new technologies have been well-received by our customers, as shown by our Vitality Index, which measures the level of sales generated from new products and solutions introduced within the last three years. In the first quarter, our Vitality Index was an outstanding 25%, speaking to the success of our product development efforts. Our businesses are also expanding our global footprint to reach customers in new geographies and adjacent markets. As an example, in 2019, we unveiled new technology solution centers in both Singapore and France. These state-of-the-art facilities enable our businesses to showcase their products and solutions and better serve their customers with design, implementation, calibration, and service capabilities.

We remain focused on investing in these opportunities to expand our international sales channels and develop new, innovative ways to better serve our customers and support our global growth initiatives. I'll move to our outlook for 2020. While we remain cautious given the current uncertainties of the global macro environment, we are highly confident in the strength of the AMETEK growth model and in our ability to continue to deliver strong performance. We expect 2020 earnings per diluted share to be in the range of $4.24-$4.38, an increase of 1%-5% over 2019's comparable result. This guidance range assumes the divestiture of Reading Alloys during the first quarter and excludes the gain on the anticipated sale. Overall sales in 2020 are expected to be up low single digits with organic sales roughly flat for the year.

For the first quarter, we anticipate overall sales to be up low single digits versus the prior year. First quarter earnings are expected to be in the range of $1-$4 per diluted share, a 1%-4% increase over the prior year period. In summary, AMETEK delivered excellent performance in the fourth quarter, concluding a year with exceptional results and a decade that saw tremendous growth for our AMETEK shareholders. The AMETEK growth model is proven and scalable and will continue to drive long-term sustainable success for our stakeholders. I will now turn it over to Bill Burke, who will cover some of the financial details of the quarter. We'll be glad to take your questions. Bill?

Bill Burke
EVP and CFO, AMETEK Inc.

Thank you, Dave. As Dave mentioned, AMETEK completed 2019 with excellent performance in the fourth quarter. Let me provide some additional financial highlights for both the quarter and the full year. Fourth quarter general and administrative expenses were down modestly from the prior year, and as a percentage of sales, were 1.3%, down from last year's level of 1.5% of sales. In 2020, general and administrative expenses are expected to be approximately 1.5% of sales, in line with the full year 2019. The effective tax rate in the fourth quarter was 17.6%, down from last year's adjusted rate of 22.8%. The lower tax rate in the quarter was due to the tax benefits from stock compensation and the finalization of our 2018 tax returns. For 2020, we expect our effective tax rate to be between 20% and 21%.

As we've stated in the past, actual quarterly tax rates can differ dramatically, either positively or negatively, from this full-year estimated rate. Working capital in the quarter was excellent at 17.3%, down from 18.2% in the third quarter. Capital expenditures were $41 million in the fourth quarter and $102 million for the full year. We expect capital expenditures in 2020 to be at a similar level to 2019 at approximately 2% of sales, reflecting our asset-light business model. Depreciation and amortization expense in the quarter was $64 million, and the full year was $234 million. In 2020, we expect depreciation and amortization to be approximately $265 million, including after-tax, acquisition-related intangible amortization of approximately $120 million or $0.52 per diluted share. As Dave has highlighted, our businesses continue to generate tremendous levels of cash flow.

Operating cash flow in the quarter was a record $342 million, up 16% over last year's fourth quarter. Free cash flow was also outstanding, up 15% versus the prior year to $301 million. Free cash flow conversion was exceptional at 137% of net income. Our full-year cash flow levels were also at records. Operating cash flow for 2019 was $1.1 billion, and free cash flow was $1 billion, each increasing 20% over 2018. Free cash flow conversion in 2019 was an outstanding 118%. We continue to successfully deploy our strong cash flow and strategic acquisitions. We had another outstanding year in 2019 with $1.1 billion deployed on the acquisitions of Pacific Design Technologies and Gatan. Subsequent to the end of the fourth quarter, we deployed $115 million on the acquisition of IntelliPower.

In addition, in the fourth quarter, we paid off $100 million of private placement senior notes, which matured in the quarter. Total debt at December 31st was $2.77 billion, up 5% from the end of 2018. Offsetting this debt is cash and cash equivalents of $393 million, resulting in a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.7x at year-end, consistent with year-end 2018. Following the acquisition of IntelliPower, we have approximately $1.4 billion of cash in existing credit facilities to support our growth investments. To finish, I'd like to echo Dave in thanking our colleagues for their excellent work in 2019. Our businesses delivered exceptional performance in the quarter and throughout the entire year. We are well-positioned for continued growth in 2020 with a strong back balance sheet and excellent cash flows. Kevin?

Kevin Coleman
VP of Investor Relations, AMETEK Inc.

Great. Thank you, Bill. Andrew, could we please open the line for questions?

Operator

Certainly. As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star one on your telephone. To withdraw your question, press the pound key. Our first question comes from the line of Matt Summerville with D.A. Davidson.

Matt Summerville
Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Thanks. A couple questions. First, Dave, can you maybe talk about what your expectation is from purely an organic standpoint as we sort of cadence throughout the year from quarter to quarter, maybe first half versus back half embedded in your guidance?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah, sure, Matt, good morning. Really, when we think about our guidance for organic growth in 2020, we're really assuming the same activity level that we saw in the fourth quarter, similar run rates expected throughout all of 2020. There isn't a back-end hockey stick at all in our forecast. It follows a pretty typical H1, H2 of AMETEK. Now in terms of what it'll look like as you proceed through the year, you'll have some negative organic growth comps during the first quarter or the first half. In terms of the level of activity, it's pretty linear sequentially and reflects the continuation of the pace of activity we saw in Q4 2019.

Matt Summerville
Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Thank you. Just as a follow-up, can you do sort of your traditional walk through of the businesses, what you saw in Q4, and kind of what the expectation is for 2020 across the portfolio? Thank you.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Sure, Matt. I'll start with our process business. They completed an excellent year in 2019 with a solid fourth quarter. Overall sales were up high single digits, driven by contributions from acquisitions of Telular, Spectro Scientific, and Gatan. Organic sales were flat in the quarter, generally in line with our expectations. However, we did see some slower discretionary CapEx at year-end. For 2020, we expect organic sales to be roughly flat versus 2019 for process. Next, aerospace. Overall sales for our aerospace and defense businesses were up low single digits in the fourth quarter, driven by the acquisition of PDT. Organic sales were down low single digits against a very difficult comp. We had a +10% Q4 2018 in last year's fourth quarter. We saw excellent mid-single-digit growth across our aerospace and defense platform in 2019.

In 2020, we expect another solid year of growth across our A&D businesses, with organic sales up low to mid-single digits and balanced growth across each segment. Organic sales for our power and industrial businesses were up low single digits in the quarter, with particularly solid growth in our programmable power business. For 2020, we expect organic sales to be roughly flat across power and industrial. Our automation and engineered solutions business saw a mid-single-digit organic sales decline in the fourth quarter, driven by continued softness across our global automation businesses. In 2020, we expect our automation and engineered solution businesses organic sales to be roughly flat versus the prior year. That's a round of one, Matt.

Matt Summerville
Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Thank you.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

You're welcome.

Matt Summerville
Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Scott Graham with Rosenblatt.

Scott Graham
Managing Director, Rosenblatt

Hi. Good morning, Dave, Bill, and Kevin.

Kevin Coleman
VP of Investor Relations, AMETEK Inc.

Good morning, Scott.

Scott Graham
Managing Director, Rosenblatt

A couple of questions. Thank you for answering Matt's question there.

Kevin Coleman
VP of Investor Relations, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah. You stole your questions, kind of.

Scott Graham
Managing Director, Rosenblatt

Yeah, that's okay. The oil and gas piece I know is a piece that has obviously been managed down over time, acquisitions, the whole thing. Obviously that market's taken a quite the turn for the worse with the coronavirus really kind of upsetting the sales side of things, I think, in the upstream, and I was just wondering kind of what you were thinking on oil and gas for the year. I do have a follow-up on the automation business.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Okay. Yeah. In Q4, our oil and gas business was flat. It performed well. There was some project timing in the Middle East, but it had flat performance. For the full year, it was up mid-single digits. For full year 2020, we expect flat performance. We have a smaller upstream presence. Over 2/3 of our presence has been downstream. It's about a 6% exposure for the whole company, about $300 million, and it's been growing, and we've grown around it. The one point is, if you think back into the 2015, 2016 time period, the commodity-related businesses of AMETEK were 22% of our sales. After announcing the divestiture of Reading Alloys, that same commodity level businesses will be about 12% of our sales. 6% oil and gas, 6% metals. We feel real good about our portfolio.

We felt good about our exposures and with a predominant oil and gas business that's in the mid downstream, it looks solid. We're still at that $50 and over, $50 a barrel level, that when in past has been okay for us. We're feeling pretty good about it, and we have some good projects that we're working on, and we have a good recurring revenue base in that part of the business.

Scott Graham
Managing Director, Rosenblatt

Thank you for that. My follow-up on automation is simply, could you kind of break that up by end market where things are weakest?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah.

Scott Graham
Managing Director, Rosenblatt

I'm assuming that auto still goes in the loss column for now, but maybe just a little more color on that business.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

If you want to understand that business, what really happened is the automation weakness continued, and the European automation was weaker than expected. If you think back to last quarter, Europe was kind of strong and Asia was the weak spot for automation. This quarter, the U.S. was positive. The weak spot was really Europe. Europe and Asia maintained weakness and that's really the story in the automation business. Now, a little bit of encouragement is in December and January, sequentially, the orders normalized. We seem to have found bottom and we'll see if that continues. It's pretty much a geographical issue where the European weakness was the unanticipated weakness in Q4.

Scott Graham
Managing Director, Rosenblatt

Thanks. That's hugely helpful. If I could just sneak this last one in. It's a quick one.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Sure.

Scott Graham
Managing Director, Rosenblatt

What's your productivity expectation for 2020?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah, the productivity expectation for 2020 is $90 million. We began 2019 at $80 million, and through the year, we were executed very well. We ended up at $95 million. For 2020, for the start of the year, we set that at $90 million incremental. These are all incremental numbers. Those are incremental productivity numbers that you'll see working through the P&L.

Scott Graham
Managing Director, Rosenblatt

Yep. Thank you very much.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Thanks, Scott.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Deane Dray with RBC Capital Markets.

Deane Dray
Managing Director and Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Thank you. Good morning, everyone.

Kevin Coleman
VP of Investor Relations, AMETEK Inc.

Morning, Deane.

Morning, Deane.

Deane Dray
Managing Director and Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Hey, I might have missed this, but could you tell us what the organic orders were for the segments and maybe some comments versus expectations?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah, sure. I'll go through the whole orders pitch. Orders drove up 8% in the quarter. Organic orders were down 2%, both groups were down low single digits. As I said before, the weakness was driven by the automation and weaker year-end discretionary CapEx spending, we're seeing now with January and into the late parts of December, we're seeing sequential orders stabilize with our automation business. We have a record backlog of $1.72 billion, we have book to bill 1.07 in the quarter. That's the whole picture on orders, Deane.

Deane Dray
Managing Director and Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Got it. Look, the question du jour this quarter, everyone's being asked how braced you are for disruptions in China. Is that about 9% of your revenues? Just in terms of potential demand disruptions and supply chain disruptions, is there anything embedded in your guidance for that? What near-term expectations do you have?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah, the first point is about 7% of our sales.

Deane Dray
Managing Director and Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Got it.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

We're monitoring things very closely. First and foremost, folks, we're focused on the safety of our employees, wellbeing of our employees. From a business perspective, as you know, the situation's very fluid and difficult to quantify. Our full-year guidance is based on what we know now, and we do know that we don't have any significant operations in Wuhan and nor any significant supply chain exposure to suppliers in the Wuhan city area. We do expect there to be some delays in the global supply chain and some unanticipated consequences of the supply chain disruptions. We'll monitor this closely, and we do have very global supply chain capabilities, so we'll adjust as possible and appropriate. It's very difficult at this point to assess any end demand risk without knowing the severity or longevity of the situation.

At one point, to highlight how fluid the situation is, although our facilities in China have not reopened following the Lunar New Year, they'll reopen next week. One of our facilities, the Chinese government asked us to reopen to operate in order to provide support to a couple of medical device manufacturers that we have in China. We provide motion control solutions to our customers who supply medical equipment used to help detect the coronavirus. We're up and running today with a line to fill that need. It's really changing all the time, and I think we've taken the steps to focus on the safety of both our employees in China and around the world. As we learn more and we quantify it, we'll let you know what that is.

Deane Dray
Managing Director and Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Dave, that's real helpful. If I could just squeeze one more in regarding the topic of other potential divestitures. We really did like seeing trimming the Reading Alloys business. I know it's a good business, but the cyclicality didn't quite match what you're looking for. Compounders don't typically divest, because it's really hard to redeploy and get the same returns. As you look at the portfolio, are there any other potential candidates for trimming at the margin like that?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

We do a strategic review every year, we look hard at our portfolio. Reading Alloys, as you mentioned, is a really good business, it was just different for AMETEK, it was more cyclical and the value chain was different, we didn't have the visibility that we had in our other businesses dealing with end customers. It kind of stood out, we made the decision to divest it was a good decision. We still have a solid metals business, we're very comfortable with our portfolio, no other divestitures are planned at this time.

Deane Dray
Managing Director and Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Very helpful. Thank you.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Thank you, Deane.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Josh Pokrzywinski with Morgan Stanley.

Josh Pokrzywinski
Executive Director, Morgan Stanley

Hi, good morning, guys.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Morning, Josh.

Josh Pokrzywinski
Executive Director, Morgan Stanley

Dave, just to follow up on Deane's question on the portfolio. I guess one of the unintended consequences of being kind of a long-term compounder with a good amount of success on the M&A side is that you need to do either larger deals or have higher velocity to kind of keep the momentum going. Clearly, 2019 was good evidence of both. When you look at the pipeline today, is it a bias toward larger acquisitions? Should we see that become more the norm?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah, that's a great question, Josh. There are clearly some larger acquisitions in our pipeline, but there are also some smaller sized acquisitions too, more typical, and like the IntelliPower one that you saw that we announced today. As you know, acquisitions are our first priority for capital deployment. We want to deploy all of our free cash flow on M&A, and we had a successful 2019, and we had a successful 2018. If you look over those last two years, we completed nine acquisitions, we deployed about $2.3 billion, and we acquired $610 million in sales. I would say our deal funnel remains consistent so that we should be able to do the same kind of thing going forward. Where it feels very good right now. We're evaluating a number of opportunities.

As Bill mentioned, we have $1.4 billion of existing firepower with unused revolver capacity and cash. Even with these capital outlays, we anticipate to generate another $1.1 billion in free cash flow. We're very active. We have a team dedicated to it. Acquisitions at AMETEK are the combination of a set of well-defined processes, not a single event. We have processes to develop the pipeline. I feel really good about that right now.

Josh Pokrzywinski
Executive Director, Morgan Stanley

Got it. That's helpful. I guess related to that, the productivity bogey for 2020 looks very solid. I guess, is part of this kind of ramp in productivity given that there are a lot of newer members of the AMETEK portfolio and running them through that operational rigor just leads to larger numbers, or is there kind of another element of the productivity deck that you guys are unfurling?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah, I think it's a combination of both. The acquisitions do provide more opportunities. At the same time, our growth model is very flexible. When we get in times like where the revenue starts to slow down, you saw it the last couple of quarters. We've been business by business looking at businesses and taking actions, and it's resulted in extremely strong execution and excellent margins. We're continuing to get excellent pricing, we're continuing to get excellent productivity. We really expect another strong year of execution in 2020. It's really inherent in our model. We have operators that know how to run businesses through the cycle. When the revenue line starts to waver a bit, then we know what to do, and we have a variety of contingency plans. I feel comfortable managing in this kind of environment.

Josh Pokrzywinski
Executive Director, Morgan Stanley

Thanks. If I could just sneak one small one in at the end here.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Sure.

Josh Pokrzywinski
Executive Director, Morgan Stanley

Clearly, CapEx budgets are still very uncertain given all that's going on in the world. Any sense from customers that there's a bit of a coiled spring being formed and that there's projects that are set to release when we kind of get the all clear, or are people just comfortable spending at lower levels?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

With the trade deals that recently have been signed, there's a bit of a momentum building, and now you're dealing with the coronavirus situation. It's kind of tough to get a read, but certainly we were feeling some positive momentum building, and it felt like people were willing to spend. Now we just have to see the impact.

Josh Pokrzywinski
Executive Director, Morgan Stanley

Thanks, Dave, appreciate it.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Thank you, Josh.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Nigel Coe with Wolfe Research.

Nigel Coe
Managing Director, Wolfe Research

Thanks. Good morning, guys.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Morning, Nigel.

Nigel Coe
Managing Director, Wolfe Research

Your comments on December, January were interesting because it's sort of very opposite to what we're hearing elsewhere. I think your comments were more Europe, Asia as being weaker, and therefore I'm wondering if you're seeing more stability in those regions. My real question is more on the sequential QoQ decline at EMG is down 8%.

Which tends to speak to some channel destocking activities. I'm just wondering if you could touch on that, and then just comment on the sort of regional stability question as well.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah. In the EMG, typically, parts of that business do have a slower fourth quarter historically, the calendar year. It was relatively typical. The European automation business we highlighted. Also in our aerospace business, our military business is in the EMG segment, and that saw some program delays that things were just delayed a bit. As I said, the businesses operated very well. We had excellent margin expansion and certainly, the automation business has been challenged throughout the year, and the team there has done an excellent job of taking actions, and those are included in the results. We haven't spiked those out because it's just an individual business. That's what we do. That's where we're at in EMG. It's really automation driven. It's European automation specifically, and there was a little bit of the military that's just a timing issue.

We have a very good backlog, but just a timing issue in Q4. In terms of the globe, we were solid growth in the U.S., while Europe and Asia were down in the quarter. We had low single-digit growth in the U.S., particularly in process and power, and the Asia was down mid-single digits, and similar to performance we had in Q3. Europe was a change. When we look at 2020, we expect the U.S. to do a little better and maybe the international market's a little worse, but there's a small difference between them. As I said, we set our plan for 2020 at the same activity level we saw in Q4. We feel pretty confident with that.

Nigel Coe
Managing Director, Wolfe Research

Thanks, David. That's helpful. I think you mentioned the book-to-bill was 1.07 in the quarter. Is that correct?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yes.

Nigel Coe
Managing Director, Wolfe Research

Yeah. That seems like a good number. I don't have the book-to-bill from last fourth quarter, Q4 2018. How does that 1.07 compare to sort of your normal book rate during Q4?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah. I think that also has the acquisitions in that, where you're booking the-

Bill Burke
EVP and CFO, AMETEK Inc.

Backlog.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

The backlog of the acquisition. I think if you normalize out for the acquisitions, it'll be around one approximately.

Nigel Coe
Managing Director, Wolfe Research

Okay. That'd be fairly normal?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah, that's fairly normal.

Nigel Coe
Managing Director, Wolfe Research

Just a quick one on D&A. I think you said $265 for 2020, and that breaks up as $145 for intangibles and then $120 for tangibles?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

For 2020, it's about $160 for amortization, and depreciation, about $105.

Nigel Coe
Managing Director, Wolfe Research

Okay. Great.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah.

Nigel Coe
Managing Director, Wolfe Research

Yep. Thanks.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Thanks, Nigel.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Christopher Glynn with Oppenheimer.

Christopher Glynn
Managing Director and Analyst, Oppenheimer

Thanks. Good morning, everybody.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Christopher.

Christopher Glynn
Managing Director and Analyst, Oppenheimer

On record backlog, just wondering if you see kind of normal conversion going forward. It sounds like the military delays helped the backlog a little bit. Wondering if that is just kind of a one-quarter push in your view, and if EMG organic kind of is a little less negative, most likely in the first quarter.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

The military is definitely going to correct itself, but the comps in Q1 are very difficult for EMG. It'll be roughly sequentially similar to the level it was in Q4. That'd be the best way I can describe that, Chris. Did you have another question?

Christopher Glynn
Managing Director and Analyst, Oppenheimer

Yeah. The only one other one right now, a lot's been asked, is EMG, I missed acquisition component in the quarter. I think you had Pacific in there, but I didn't hear you mention any acquisition contribution.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah. There was an acquisition component in EMG in the fourth quarter, and it was about a point.

Christopher Glynn
Managing Director and Analyst, Oppenheimer

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Allison Poliniak with Wells Fargo.

Allison Poliniak
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Hi, guys. Good morning.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Good morning, Allison.

Allison Poliniak
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Just want to follow along on Josh's comment on acquisition or his question. Clearly a strong year, but as we enter 2020, we talked about size, but has your thought process around technology or end markets changed as you look for deals?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

That's a great question. Certainly, it's similar type businesses that we're looking for. We're looking for businesses that are non-cyclical, businesses that have a good percentage of recurring revenue. If we can't find those types of things, we're looking for the return around an existing exposure. We have teams out there beating the bushes, digging up potential deals. Many of these companies we've been following for years and years. When AMETEK is looking at buying a business, it's often the private ownership, if they want to retire or they're trying to, it's not how the stock market's doing or things like that. An example of the IntelliPower, we had a CEO that wanted to retire, and we've been working with them for years. That's more the type of deals that we're going to get during this time.

There's a wide variety, but we're looking in the healthcare area. We're looking to extend our process and analytical businesses. Aerospace, power, it's all of the above. We won't buy any cost-driven businesses that win in the market on cost. We're looking for differentiated businesses. That's our key criteria. Because we've been doing this so long, and we have approximately 11 people dedicated to it, we know what's going on, and we feel good about the pipeline now. It's always difficult to predict when you're going to do a deal, if it's next quarter or not, but I feel really good about the pipeline right now.

Allison Poliniak
Analyst, Wells Fargo

That's great. Then just last one, IntelliPower. Seems like a nice complement. What does it bring to AMETEK that maybe a technology or whatever that you did not have before? Any color there?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

The big thing, we already have an existing presence in uninterruptible power supplies, and we sell it to the life sciences market. What IntelliPower brings is really those products, ruggedized uninterruptible power systems, sold to mission-critical defense and industrial applications. They're the largest supplier of ruggedized UPSs for the DOD. They serve a robust set of key programs and applications. Their products include UPSs, power conditioners, external battery packs, power distribution units, and they're really a unique company in that they have sole source provider for numerous programs. They're on ships, land vehicles, ground stations, mobile networks, with a blue-chip customer base. They also have an industrial component that we think we can grow. We're pretty happy with the acquisition, and there's a meaningful synergy opportunity.

It's a mid-single-digit grower, strong visibility on revenue in the short term, solid management team remaining with the business. We like the deal.

Allison Poliniak
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Great. Thanks so much.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Good. That's right.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Ivana Delevska with Gordon Haskett.

Ivana Delevska
Director, Gordon Haskett

Good morning.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Good morning.

Ivana Delevska
Director, Gordon Haskett

Just wanted to ask about some of your higher growth businesses, like Telular, Spectro Scientific and Creaform. Are they getting affected by the weaker macro at all?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Those are in our EIG segment and in our process segment, and those businesses are holding up very well. We usually see a year-end, some capital spending, a capital flush where people spend their capital at year-end, and that was a bit lighter. Overall, those businesses are doing very well.

Ivana Delevska
Director, Gordon Haskett

Just one follow-up on Gatan. How did the performance in the quarter and the current outlook compare to your acquisition plan?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Right. Great question. The business performed well. It was a bit better than our forecast. We're very pleased with that performance. We also announced the combination of Gatan with another business unit within AMETEK. That was announced in January, and it will drive a substantial synergy as we have really the same customer base, and I would characterize the integration as proceeding very well.

Ivana Delevska
Director, Gordon Haskett

Great. Thank you.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Robert McCarthy with Stephens.

Robert McCarthy
Managing Director, Stephens

Good morning, everyone.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Good morning, Rob.

Robert McCarthy
Managing Director, Stephens

I guess the first question I would have is around the orders, the organic orders. Anything you can talk about the backlog in terms of price and how you feel about price? Because price is such a key lever for you, not only for obviously growth organically, but also for really shoring up your incremental margin conversion.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

The price that we got in the fourth quarter was much like full year 2019. We had a positive spread of about 50 basis points, and very pleased with the results. For 2020, we expect about a 50 basis point spread. We think there might be slightly lower inflation, about 1%, and the pricing that we have built into our operating model is about a point and a half. We expect a 50 basis point spread, improving productivity for next year. We're confident that we're going to be able to deliver that because we've been performing so well over the past couple of years. It is a bit lower than 2019, and that's because the incremental impact from tariffs will be lower also.

Robert McCarthy
Managing Director, Stephens

Remind us what your pricing was in kind of the 2015, 2016 time frame during the teeth of the oil and gas recession? Was it a negative spread for several years?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

I don't think it went negative. I don't have those numbers in front of me. You can check with Kevin on that after the call, but I don't recall it going negative at all.

Robert McCarthy
Managing Director, Stephens

Okay. I guess in terms of, gosh, fourth quarter of 2018, you weren't afraid at that time, and there was a pretty material drawdown of the market, obviously, to deploy capital for share repurchase when you thought it was prudent. Given the prospect that we might have a year of unclear macro, given what's happening with coronavirus, geopolitical trends, the election, it could be harder to transact on deals given kind of a tacit bid-ask spread in terms of properties, meaning people have a higher justification for selling than perhaps you're willing to buy. Do you think you could amp up the share repurchase if you hit an air pocket in terms of the ability to transact on deals, or you just don't see that happening?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

That's a great question, Rob. The reality is we have a great pipeline, and we want to deploy our capital on M&A, and I think we're going to do that. We look at our buyback strategy as more opportunistic, and we have a strong balance sheet. If in the short term, there's an overreaction from the marketplace, we'll deploy our balance sheet to buybacks. Right now, we're focused on M&A.

Robert McCarthy
Managing Director, Stephens

I'll leave it there. Thank you.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yep.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Andrew Obin with Bank of America.

David Ridley-Lane
Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you. This is David Ridley- Lane on for Andrew.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Good morning, David.

David Ridley-Lane
Analyst, Bank of America

Morning. Curious if you expect any follow-on impact in the first half from Boeing's 737 MAX production pause?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah, that's a great question, David. We're on a lot of different programs and all commercial aircraft, military, business jets, so we're not dependent on any one aircraft. Specifically to your question, the 737 MAX will be about a $10 million headwind in 2020, and that assumes a startup of production base mid-year in our current build plan. It's about a $10 million headwind versus 2018. 2019, excuse me.

David Ridley-Lane
Analyst, Bank of America

Got it. As a quick follow-up, how did EMG bookings, maybe the pipeline develop, as you went through the quarter, and any commentary on first quarter to date?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah. The EMG bookings, like I had said previously, it was weaker as the quarter started, but the orders stabilized in December, and that continued in January. We showed a fairly typical ramp in Q4 for the entire business, and EMG was included in that. In January, we had a good orders month, right in line with our plan. As I said, sequentially from December, January, it feels like the EMG automation orders have stabilized during that short time period.

David Ridley-Lane
Analyst, Bank of America

Okay. Thank you very much.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Andrew Buscaglia with Berenberg.

Andrew Buscaglia
Analyst, Berenberg

Hey, guys.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Hello, Andrew.

Andrew Buscaglia
Analyst, Berenberg

Can you touch on, you talked about that automation weakness continuing and orders somewhat normalized December, January. Can you talk about what, I know you talked regionally, but what about your other areas of the business? What other areas normalized or weakened or got worse? Because if your organic orders are down about 2% or low single digits in each business-

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah.

Andrew Buscaglia
Analyst, Berenberg

I would think something got worse.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah, the other thing, there's really another major factor, and I mentioned that earlier. We experienced weaker discretionary CapEx spend than we anticipated.

Andrew Buscaglia
Analyst, Berenberg

Okay, yeah.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

The related point, and it's more of a sales issue versus an orders issue, was program delays for military in our aerospace business in the fourth quarter.

Andrew Buscaglia
Analyst, Berenberg

Okay. Okay, that's it. I didn't have anything else. Thank you.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Richard Eastman with Baird.

Richard Eastman
Analyst, Baird

Yes, good morning.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Good morning.

Richard Eastman
Analyst, Baird

Dave, just a quick question around, as you look into 2020 with kind of a flat core growth expectation. When you look at process, and I think your commentary around the automation business and the EMG, both flat. It seems like aerospace, I think you commented low single to mid-single digits. When you look at those three buckets of exposure, where do you see the risk to 2020 from a core growth standpoint?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah. We tried to put a plan together that dealt with that by taking the run rates that we're currently at. We didn't want a hockey stick budget, and we think we have that factored in. There's clearly risks, and they're more macroeconomic risks than AMETEK-specific risks because the businesses are executing very well. We have a record backlog. We're going to be able to execute on that backlog. We had excellent pricing in the backlog. We're showing the capability to generate excellent productivity. We're expecting another strong year of execution. With our crystal ball, we called it flat, and we tried to base the run rates based on 2019 because I don't like hockey stick plans. That's where we're at, and that's our best attempt to moderate the guidance with the realities of the market.

Richard Eastman
Analyst, Baird

As you look out into 2020, it's a little difficult to sift out op margins from acquisitions and that contribution, but what kind of improvement do you expect to see in op margins for the full year? Are we talking about maybe 50 basis points, or what kind of

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah, we had 100 basis points in all of 2019. We had 90 basis points core margins in the fourth quarter. In our plan, we have 30- 40 basis points of margin improvement, core operating income margin improvement.

Richard Eastman
Analyst, Baird

Okay. For 2020. Okay. Just my very last question here. Just a quick question around Gatan. You mentioned it had a good fourth quarter as it came in for the partial quarter. As we spoke when the business was acquired, I think we were thinking maybe $180 million of revenue for a full year. Growth rate was mid-singles to high singles. There's been some commentary, maybe at Thermo, kind of speaking to weakness in the electron microscope market, which I'm curious, what would be a good revenue contribution in your plan for 2020 from Gatan?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah. I think it's pretty much what we laid out, is roughly $180 million.

Richard Eastman
Analyst, Baird

Okay. All right. Fair enough. Okay, very good. Thank you.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Thank you, Rich.

Operator

Thank you. Our last question comes from the line of Joe Giordano with Cowen and Company.

Rob Jamieson
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Hey, good morning. This is Rob Jamieson on for Joe this morning. Just a quick question on IntelliPower. Can you maybe talk about the margin profile or what your expectations for that business are?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Yeah. It's a profitable business, and we paid a 9x EBITDA, so you can figure that out. It's roughly a 30% EBITDA business. We paid $150 million, approximately 3x sales, and we think there's a meaningful synergy opportunity. Again, great return for our stakeholders.

Rob Jamieson
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Okay, great. Just a quick follow-up on the 737 MAX. I know this is a very small piece of your total business, but in terms of what's baked in your guide, how many planes or production number, what's your production number embedded in your guidance there? Is it zero, or?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

I think the number is a little bit difficult for us to forecast, and I don't know what disclosure agreements we have with Boeing. I can say that we plan on starting our activity mid-year, and it'll be about a $10 million headwind. Yes.

Rob Jamieson
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Okay. You guys have $37,000 per plane, content wise, right?

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

That's right.

Rob Jamieson
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Okay, perfect. Thank you so much for taking my questions.

Dave Zapico
Chairman and CEO, AMETEK Inc.

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We would like to thank you for participating in today's conference. This does conclude the program, and you may now disconnect. Everyone, have a wonderful day.