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Earnings Call: Q4 2019

Aug 7, 2019

Operator

Good afternoon. My name is Christine. I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Alpha and Omega Semiconductor fiscal year and Q4 2019 conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there'll be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star and the number 1 on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press the pound key. Thank you. So-Yeon Jeong, investor relations, you may begin your conference.

So-Yeon Jeong
Investor Relations, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Thank you, Christine. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Alpha and Omega Semiconductor conference call to discuss fiscal 2019 fourth quarter and year-end financial results. I am So-Yeon Jeong, investor relations representative for the company. With me today are Dr. Mike Chang, our CEO, Yifan Liang, our CFO, and Stephen Chang, our Senior VP of Marketing. This call is being recorded and broadcasted live over the web and can be accessed for seven days following the call via a link in the investor relations section of our website at www.aosmd.com. Yifan will begin with a review of financial results for the fourth quarter and the fiscal year. Mike will review the business highlights, followed by Stephen, who will provide a detailed segment report. After that, Yifan will conclude with guidance for the next quarter. We will have the questions and answer sessions.

The earnings release was distributed by Business Wire today, August 7th, 2019, after the close of market. The release is also posted on the company's website. Our earnings release and this presentation include certain non-GAAP financial measures. We use non-GAAP measures because we believe they provide useful information about our operating performance that should be considered by investors in conjunction with the GAAP measures that we provide. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to comparable GAAP measures is included in our earnings release. We remind you that during the course of the conference call, we'll make certain forward-looking statements, including discussion of business outlook and financial projections. These forward-looking statements are based on management's current expectations and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from such expectations.

For more detailed description of these risks and uncertainties, please refer to our recent and subsequent filings with the SEC. We assume no obligations to update the information provided in today's call. Now, I'll turn the call over to our CFO, Yifan, to provide an overview of the fiscal quarter and the fiscal year 2019 financial results. Yifan?

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Thank you, So-Yeon. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us. Revenue for the June quarter was $111.9 million, up 2.6% when compared to the prior quarter and up 1.8% from the same quarter last year. In terms of product mix, MOSFET revenue was $96.4 million, up 7.1% sequentially and up 7.8% year-over-year. Power IC revenue was $13.8 million, down 21.8% from the prior quarter and down 21.4% from a year ago. Assembly service revenue was $1.7 million as compared to $1.6 million for the prior quarter and $3 million for the same quarter last year. Regarding the segment mix, computer represented 44% of the total revenue, consumer 18.7%, power supply and industrial 20.5%, communications 15.3%, and service 1.5%. For the fiscal year 2019, revenue was $450.9 million, up 7% year-over-year.

Non-GAAP gross margin for the June quarter was 27.4%, as compared to 27% for the prior quarter and for the same quarter last year. The quarter-over-quarter increase in non-GAAP gross margin was mainly driven by the improved product mix. Non-GAAP gross margin excluded $0.4 million share-based compensation charge for the June quarter, as compared to $0.5 million for the prior quarter and for the same quarter last year. Non-GAAP gross margin also excluded $2.6 million of production ramp-up costs related to the Chongqing joint venture for the June quarter, as compared to $3.4 million for the prior quarter. For the fiscal year 2019, non-GAAP gross margin was 28.4%, as compared to 26.9% for the last fiscal year, representing an increase of 150 basis points, driven mainly by the improved product mix.

Non-GAAP operating expenses for the June quarter were $22.6 million, compared to $23.2 million for the prior quarter and $21.8 million for the same quarter last year. The quarter-over-quarter decrease in non-GAAP operating expenses was primarily due to the fluctuation of R&D engineering expenses. Non-GAAP operating expenses excluded $2.1 million of share-based compensation charge as compared to $2.6 million for the prior quarter and $2.5 million for the same quarter last year. Non-GAAP operating expenses also excluded $3.9 million of pre-production expenses related to our JV company, as compared to $3.6 million in the prior quarter and $5 million for the same quarter last year. Both GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses included $2.3 million of Digital Power Controller team expenses for the quarter as compared to $2.3 million for the prior quarter and $1.3 million for the same quarter last year.

Our Digital Power Controller team continues to engage with customers in product designs and is making steady progress toward our product roadmap. Non-GAAP operating expenses for the fiscal year 2019 were $95.3 million, compared to $86 million for the prior fiscal year. Non-GAAP operating expenses excluded $11.2 million of share-based compensation charge and $15.8 million of pre-production expenses related to our JV company in the current fiscal year, as compared to $9.8 million of share-based compensation charge and $7.8 million pre-production expenses in the prior fiscal year. Income tax benefits for the quarter were $0.6 million as compared to tax expense of $0.6 million for the prior quarter and $0.7 million for the same quarter last year. The tax expense for the quarter was offset by the benefits of $1.1 million. This included a $0.3 million benefit from the true-up of subsidiary tax provisions to the actual tax returns.

We also had a $0.8 million benefit from electing the IRS directive method for the R&D credit. Income tax expense for the fiscal year was $1.3 million. Income tax expense for last fiscal year was $0.7 million, which included $2.7 million of one-time tax benefit from the impact of the U.S. tax reform. Non-GAAP EPS attributable to AOS for the quarter was $0.35 per share as compared to $0.22 earnings per share for the prior quarter and $0.31 earnings per share for the same quarter last year. Non-GAAP EPS attributable to AOS for the fiscal year was $1.23 as compared to $1.14 earnings per share for the prior fiscal year. AOS continued to generate positive operating cash flow.

In the June quarter, we generated $15.2 million operating cash flow attributable to AOS as compared to $9.5 million for the prior quarter and $8.7 million for the same quarter last year. Cash flow used in operations attributable to our JV company was $6.9 million for the June quarter compared to $17.5 million for the prior quarter and $19.5 million for the same quarter last year. Cash flow from operations attributable to AOS for the fiscal year was $65.3 million as compared to $36.9 million for the prior year. Cash flow used in operations attributable to the JV company was $33.9 million for the year compared to $33.4 million for the prior fiscal year. Consolidated EBITDAS for the June quarter was $14.2 million compared to $11.8 million for the prior quarter and $12.8 million for the same quarter last year.

EBITDAS attributable to AOS for the quarter was $15.1 million as compared to $13.5 million for the prior quarter and $15.3 million for the same quarter last year. Consolidated EBITDAS for the full fiscal year was $55 million as compared to $56.1 million in the fiscal year 2018. EBITDAS attributable to AOS for the year was $61 million as compared to $58.4 million a year ago. Now let's look at the balance sheet. We completed June quarters with cash and cash equivalents balance of $121.9 million, including $100.7 million at AOS and $21.2 million at our JV company. This compares to $139.1 million at the end of last quarter, which included $90.9 million at AOS and $48.2 million at the JV company. Our cash balance a year ago was $131.5 million, including $88.2 million at AOS and $43.3 million at the JV company.

The bank borrowing balance at the end of the June quarter was $140.9 million, including $41 million at AOS and $99.9 million at the JV company. During the June quarter, AOS paid down $2.1 million of loans, and our JV company paid down $1.7 million of its financing lease. During the fiscal year 2019, AOS borrowed a total of $21.7 million of loans and repaid $11.5 million. The JV company borrowed a total of $45.8 million and repaid $3.5 million. Net trade receivables were $24.3 million as compared to $28.4 million at the end of last quarter, and $33.8 million for the same quarter last year. Day sales outstanding for the quarter was 24 days, compared to 23 days in the prior quarter. Net inventory was $111.6 million at the quarter end, up from $107.9 million last quarter, and from $90.2 million in the prior year.

Average days in inventory were 117 days for the quarter as compared to 114 days in the prior quarter. Net property plant and equipment was $409.7 million, as compared to $391.6 million last quarter, and $331.7 million last year. Capital expenditures were $22.1 million for the quarter, including $4.6 million at AOS and $17.5 million at the JV company. Capital expenditures for the fiscal year were $112.1 million, including $36 million for AOS and $76.1 million for the JV company. Before I turn the call over to Mike, I would like to share the progress at our JV company. During the June quarter, assembly and test production continued to ramp, and the 12-inch fab's product sampling and customer qualification process went well. In July, the 12-inch fab started small mass production. We expect to continue to ramp up phase one in the next 12 months also.

With that, now I would like to turn the call over to our CEO, Dr. Mike Chang, who will provide the business highlights for the quarter. Mike?

Mike Chang
CEO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Thanks, Yifan. Good afternoon to everyone. Our team executed well and delivered a sound quarter. Revenue of approximately $112 million was consistent with our guidance and it represents the 14th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth. Non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.35 exceeded the high end of the implied guidance range due to effective cost controls and one-time tax adjustments. AOS core business generated healthy operating cash flow of $15 million and a free cash flow of $10 million. In addition to solid financial results, we made good operational progress in the quarter. Shipment grew rapidly for our new products in mobile and home appliance applications. Meanwhile, we optimized the production and the inventory in order to manage the dynamics of our computing business.

We also launched several new products, including 600 volts and 700 volt αMOS super junction MOSFET families in 12-inch technologies from our Chongqing joint venture. We finished the fiscal years 2019 with healthy top and bottom line growth. Another record year on top of a very strong 2018. This was encouraging considering the backdrop of escalating trade tension, economic uncertainty, and the chip shortage. Our results clearly demonstrate the strength of our business strategy, operating excellency, as well as our diversified product portfolio and expanded customer base. Looking ahead, despite the challenges of current market conditions and the geopolitical environment. We are making solid progress toward our calendar year 2021 target of $600 million in annual revenue. Our customer design pipeline is robust, the design wins are strong, especially in our focus applications. This drives a healthy level of fresh bookings and solid backlog.

As I mentioned on our last call, with some of the multi-year growth drivers beginning to ramp, we believe that we are well-positioned to achieve sustainable and scalable growth. Additionally, we are extending our leadership as a top-tier supplier in a broad range of applications, particularly in mobile and home appliance. We expect this ongoing diversification to further strengthen in the coming quarters as we ramp production for multiple global brand OEM customers in China, Korea, and the United States. With a solid foundation of customer demand, the production ramp of Chongqing joint venture is well timed. In July, we initiated production at the 12-inch fab, and we are gradually ramping according to our plan. Around this time next year, we expect to be approaching our phase 1 target run rate. In conclusion, we continue to execute our long-term business strategy with focus and dedication.

We believe the success of our new product initiatives, diversification in product portfolio, and customer base, as well as disciplined and timely investment in capacity over the past several years, will further prepare our growth. Now I will turn the call over to Stephen for a detailed segment report. Stephen?

Stephen Chang
Senior VP of Marketing, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Thank you, Mike, and good afternoon. Let me start with computing. It represented 44% of our total revenue in the June quarter. Revenue was down 5.1% sequentially and up 2.3% year-over-year. As I mentioned on our last call, we prioritized our production plan for commercial PC, which received a higher allocation amid the ongoing CPU shortage. With both channel and internal inventories on hand to support our computing customers, we were able to allocate more capacity to other high-growth areas that already started ramping in the June quarter, and we expect this to continue into the September quarter. Our computing segment remains an important component of our business. As a market leader and strategic partner to leading PC OEMs and ODMs, we continue to work closely with our customers to provide innovative products and superior customer support.

In the September quarter, while we anticipate strong sell-through, our sell-in revenue is expected to be down mid-single digits as we continue to manage the computing inventory. Now let's discuss the consumer segment, which was 18.7% of total revenue in the June quarter. Revenue increased 1.3% sequentially but stayed flat year-over-year. Strong growth in home appliance offset softness in other consumer applications in the June quarter. The new design wins we announced last quarter in home appliances with Chinese and Korean customers further ramped during the June quarter. Our home appliance customers value the reliability and energy savings that our IGBT technology offers through better efficiency, robustness, and smaller size. We are encouraged by the fast adoption of our technology at global OEM customers, and we will continue to sharpen our technology to gain greater share and add more content.

We are on track to increase our IGBT product line by over 40% in calendar year 2019. Looking to the September quarter, we expect a modest growth in the overall consumer segment, led by continued expansion of our home appliance business as well as seasonal growth of our TV business. Let's turn to the power supply and industrial segment. This segment accounted for 20.5% of total revenue, up 8.1% sequentially and up 3.7% year-over-year. While our AC-DC power supply business remains soft, our Quick Charger business rapidly grew as it further expanded at top smartphone customers. Overall Quick Charger adoption has grown in recent years as battery capacity has increased in order to meet the ever-increasing power requirements of demanding smartphone applications.

This trend requires high performance in medium voltage MOSFETs, and this bodes well for AOS, as our June quarter's Quick Charger revenue more than doubled from the same quarter last year. With an expanded allocation for medium voltage products, we expect a strong revenue increase for this segment in the September quarter. Finally, let's discuss the communication segment, which was 15.3% of revenue in the quarter.

Up 25.4% sequentially and up 10.4% year-over-year. The growth was driven mainly by the rising demand for battery protection products at our smartphone customers. As mentioned before, smartphone battery capacity is increasing and requires higher efficiency to prolong battery life. Our expertise in low voltage MOSFET technology, coupled with advanced chip-scale packaging, allows us to deliver compact, high power density products that protect the latest generation of smartphone batteries. Looking into the September quarter, we anticipate another double-digit growth in this segment as all major smartphone players in China, Korea, and the U.S. are entering peak production. With that, I will now turn the call over to Yifan for the guidance.

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

As we look forward to the first quarter of fiscal year 2020, we expect revenue to be between $115 million and $119 million. Gross margin to be approximately 20% ±1%. Non-GAAP gross margin is expected to be approximately 27.3% ±1%. Note that non-GAAP gross margin excludes $20.5 million of estimated share-based compensation and $8.1 million of estimated production ramp-up costs relating to the Chongqing joint venture as the 12-inch fab starts production in July 2019. operating expenses to be in the range of $27 million ±$1 million. Non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be in the range of $24.6 million ±$1 million. Both GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses include $2.9 million to $3.1 million of estimated expenses relating to the development of our Digital Power Controller business.

Non-GAAP operating expenses exclude an estimated share-based compensation charge of approximately $2.4 million. Tax expense to be approximately $20.5 million-$20.7 million. Loss attributable to non-controlling interest to be around $5.4 million. On a non-GAAP basis, excluding estimated production ramp-up costs relating to the JV company, this item is expected to be approximately $20.9 million. As part of our normal practice, we're not assuming any obligations to update this information. With that, we will open up the floor for questioning. Operator?

Operator

Thank you. At this time, I would like to remind everyone, in order to ask a question, please press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Jeremy Kwan from Stifel. Your line is open.

Jeremy Kwan
Analyst, Stifel

Yes. Thank you. Congratulations on the strong communications ramp. It's nice to see that coming on. Mike, just a question on the calendar 2021, $600 million target. You mentioned something about hitting that run rate in the June 2020 quarter. Did I hear that correctly?

Mike Chang
CEO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Yes.

Jeremy Kwan
Analyst, Stifel

Okay. Can you give us maybe more color in terms of how you see that ramping? Are these basically design wins that you already have, already won, and it's just a matter of ramping up the fab to meet that demand? Or are there some other things that need to take place between now and then?

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Jeremy, this is Yifan. I want to correct a little bit on the comments regarding the June quarter 2020 run rate of $600 million target. What we said in our prepared remark is by close to the June quarter 2020, we will, approaching the target run rate of Chongqing joint venture's phase 1 12-inch fab. Not the $600 million run rate. Okay.

Jeremy Kwan
Analyst, Stifel

On a quarterly basis, what would that work out to then for the June quarter? I'm just trying to get a sense of what was meant by that.

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Well, that means approaching to the target run rate, so the one closing.

Mike Chang
CEO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

It's the capacity run rate.

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Yeah.

Mike Chang
CEO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Yeah.

Jeremy Kwan
Analyst, Stifel

Got it. Okay. That's for phase I.

Mike Chang
CEO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Yeah. I think your question is for 2021 calendar year, right? The $600 million?

Jeremy Kwan
Analyst, Stifel

Yes.

Mike Chang
CEO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Okay.

Jeremy Kwan
Analyst, Stifel

Yes.

Mike Chang
CEO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

That's a very good question. First, thank you for the question, okay. We have to prepare everything. First, we make sure our technology and new product platform is toward that direction. Of course, we need our capacity ready for that. It's just everywhere to fulfill that goal.

Jeremy Kwan
Analyst, Stifel

Yeah.

Mike Chang
CEO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

It's not just by one place there. Okay, you miss one place, then you'll be in trouble. We actually work everything there, from the technology, from the manufacturing, even from our marketing and sales. The whole company are geared for that.

Jeremy Kwan
Analyst, Stifel

Got it. That's very helpful. I guess if we look at the JV ramp itself, can you give us a sense of where the-- It looks like the operating cash flow is improving each quarter. Do you have an internal projection for where it might turn to break even? I also remember you mentioning the need for maybe a working capital loan last quarter. Is that something also still in the plans, and how much that might be?

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Okay, sure, Jeremy. Yes, we are still under negotiation for a working capital loan at this point, so we'll see. At this point, yes, the joint venture still has the cash balance right now to support their ramp. In terms of cash flow break even, when we ramp up to the phase 1 stage, I would expect at that time we can be cash flow neutral at the joint venture.

Jeremy Kwan
Analyst, Stifel

Great. Thank you. Maybe just one final question before I give up to the queue. It looks like the CapEx, or sorry, the OpEx has been pretty nicely controlled the last few quarters. The September quarter guidance is up a little bit. Is that the new run rate that we can expect for fiscal 2021? Sorry, for fiscal 2020?

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Yes, I would think that you can use that as a reference. In last couple quarters, those OpEx kind of maintain at a relatively lower than normal level because of the fluctuation of those R&D expenses and other operating expenses. I mean, these things when we look forward to the September quarter, we expect that we'll run some engineering expenses up.

Jeremy Kwan
Analyst, Stifel

Great. Thank you very much.

Mike Chang
CEO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Jeremy, before you hang up.

Jeremy Kwan
Analyst, Stifel

Yes

Mike Chang
CEO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

get up a little bit for your first question?

Jeremy Kwan
Analyst, Stifel

Yes.

Mike Chang
CEO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

This answer should be pretty big there because it's so complicated, right? Actually, okay, on top of what we talk about the technology portfolio and product line there, and even more important is that the customers start to recognize AOS as a brand name. Right now, our design, our engagement with the tier 1 customer is really paved with growth towards the direction. Everywhere is on that direction. That's why we are confident to say that we are pushing that direction.

Jeremy Kwan
Analyst, Stifel

Thank you. That's very helpful.

Mike Chang
CEO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Yeah. Thank you.

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of David Williams from Loop Capital. Your line is open.

David Williams
Analyst, Loop Capital

Hey, good afternoon, and thanks for taking my question. Congrats on the solid finish to the year and the progress that's being made.

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Thanks.

David Williams
Analyst, Loop Capital

First of all, I just wanted to see if you could maybe give us an update or maybe your thoughts on channel inventory health and if you're seeing anything concerning there. It sounds like a lot of those areas are seeing some nice digestion of the overstock. Are you seeing that? Any concerns, I guess, any particular areas of weakness or maybe too much inventory that remains?

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Sure, David. There are quite a bit of dynamics in that area. I mean, overall, our channel inventory is healthy within our target of 2-3 months. I mean, right now, in the June quarter or even including the quarter before, we have been optimizing our productions and internal inventory and channel inventory to manage these dynamics of computing and smartphone business. We manage our productions to support our customer demand. Our overall goal is to support our customer demand according to their production schedules. There are some different customers, and they have different ramping schedules, we have to manage that. Also, recent market conditions and trade tensions, I mean, those things complicated this whole things. There have been more pull-ins and push-outs and, I mean, adjustment. This whole thing is we have to manage it diligently.

Right now we're using our inventory to support a portion of the customers and then ramp our productions to support a little bit more on other customers ramp up in the June quarter and September quarter. It's quite dynamic. The overall with additional capacity came online at our Chongqing joint venture. We expect our supply constraint situation gradually ease. Like what Mike said, it will take some time for customers to go through those qualifications, design in, design win, and their production ramp up. Right now we're kind of diligently managing those situations. Overall, our channel inventory is very healthy.

David Williams
Analyst, Loop Capital

Okay. Very good. Thank you. I realize that you guys have a little different dynamic, what's really driving your business today. If you're looking out at China overall, how do you see that demand environment today, and what are you hearing maybe from your customers in terms of their view? Are they becoming more cautious? Are they easing a bit? I guess, are your customers, are the order trends as you would expect? Do you think there's anything that's really being pulled in ahead of maybe concern for tariffs or further trade issues?

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Yeah, definitely. There are a lot of moving parts and dynamics in those areas. This thing is depending on the which way the trade tension goes. If tomorrow, if there's another tweet, people may react differently. That's the situation at this point. Yes, we do see some pull-ins ahead of whatever the trade tension situation, and we also see some adjustment pushing out, and this is quite dynamic, I will say, at this point.

David Williams
Analyst, Loop Capital

Okay. Very good. Thank you. Maybe, in terms of the server demand, is there anything there that you're seeing softness, weakness, or maybe any progress that's being made? Just any color you can give on the server side would be helpful.

Stephen Chang
Senior VP of Marketing, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Sure. I think you're asking regarding our digital power initiative.

David Williams
Analyst, Loop Capital

Yes.

Stephen Chang
Senior VP of Marketing, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Regarding that space, and we're still on track. Right now, we're getting our final products out of development, and we are already engaging with customers. Right now, we're treating this current year as a design in phase. Our model all along has been to chase and target meaningful revenue in 2020. On that regard, we believe we are on track.

David Williams
Analyst, Loop Capital

Just any sense on the magnitude of that revenue contribution next year?

Stephen Chang
Senior VP of Marketing, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Five to 10 is what we've been saying.

David Williams
Analyst, Loop Capital

Okay. Very good. Thank you much. Appreciate it.

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Yeah. Let me just add a little bit. This area, the business, normally people are very careful to design you in. It takes some time to grow, but once it grow, will be very solid because there's a lot of strong adhesion in this business area. We are pretty excited about that.

David Williams
Analyst, Loop Capital

Okay. Very good. Thank you.

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Craig Ellis from B. Riley FBR. Your line is open.

Carlin Lynch
Analyst, B. Riley FBR

Hey, guys. It's Carlin on for Craig. Thanks for taking my question, and congratulations on the good results in the quarter. I just had a quick question, and I apologize because I think I might have missed it, but regarding the compute September quarter guidance, obviously, tariffs have made things more dynamic, but how has the CPU supply ramp and this latest round of tariffs impacted what would be a normal seasonal ramp through the back half of the year?

Stephen Chang
Senior VP of Marketing, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

What we've seen overall in the CPU situation, overall as an industry, it is beginning to ease up in terms of the shortage. We see both the two major chip makers combined are catching up on their supply to the demand. We saw that already happening in the second quarter. Of course, with these trade tensions and the threat of additional tariffs, that happened back in Q2, and it's happening now also in the September quarter. There is some dynamic to that in terms of some customers, if they are able to pull in production for that. Overall, I think what we've guided is that because we have some inventory in the computing area, and we've had to allocate our capacity to support other growing business, especially in the communications and Quick Charger area.

We are expecting for computing our sell-through to be higher than our sell-in in the September quarter.

Carlin Lynch
Analyst, B. Riley FBR

Just to clarify what the actual guidance was for the September quarter. Does that mean it was going to be down sequentially or-?

Stephen Chang
Senior VP of Marketing, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Yes

Carlin Lynch
Analyst, B. Riley FBR

kind of up sequentially?

Stephen Chang
Senior VP of Marketing, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

It will be down sequentially for sell-in.

Carlin Lynch
Analyst, B. Riley FBR

Got it. If I could ask a follow-up. I think last quarter, and feel free to correct me if I'm wrong, you had said that the digital power initiatives at the joint venture would be ramping closer to the March quarter of last year. Now it seems as though you guys said June quarter. Did I have that wrong, or did something change in the way you're thinking about how that business is ramping through this year?

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

First of all, digital power, not in the joint venture. That's the first thing. Second thing is regarding the joint venture's ramp-up. Yeah, this 12-inch fab started in a small mass production in July. As I said previously, we expect we've ramped this fab in a 12-month period or so. That's pretty much lead to same time next year. We're targeting to get to the phase 1 ramp-up.

Carlin Lynch
Analyst, B. Riley FBR

Okay. One more from me, and then I'll hop back in the queue. Once we get to that joint venture full capacity in the June quarter, how do we expect gross margins to track towards that 30% target moving forward? Will it be by the June quarter, we would expect upward pressure towards 29% and 30% because of the new product coming online, or is that going to be by more end of calendar 2020? Just any color you can give around how you're thinking about gross margins tracking towards the target.

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Okay. First of all, what we said was we're targeting the phase 1 12-inch fab run rate in about 12 months or so. That translate to September quarter of next year, calendar year. Second thing is what we estimate and when we ramp up the phase 1 12-inch fab, our 12-inch wafer cost on a per die basis will be on par with our 8-inch wafer cost. That neutralize the cost impact at that time. Our overall target model is to target the 30% margin, when we get to $600 million in revenue. That's our target model in calendar year 2021.

Carlin Lynch
Analyst, B. Riley FBR

Okay, got it. Thanks so much. I'll hop back.

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jeremy Kwan from Stifel. Your line is open.

Jeremy Kwan
Analyst, Stifel

Yes, thank you. Maybe just a follow-up on that previous question. Understanding that 30% is the overall target model at $600 million, how about in terms of the progression between now and then? From what I understand, as the JV ramps up, there's actually a little bit of a negative impact to gross margin, and it looks like we saw a little bit of that in the September quarter. Is that 27%, 27.3%, is that kind of a baseline? Where can we see gross margin trend, I guess, in the next 12 months as the JV ramps?

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

I would expect that in the recent couple of quarters, and it's stayed in that neighborhood, 27%-28%, and I would expect that gradually we'll get up to 28%-29% range. That's primarily from the new products and all those product mix along with it. Another factor is, this year and onward, we'll factor in some ASP pressures, because the system right now, the market dynamic is different than last year's space. Last year's shortage has been easing up, right now, I would build in some modest ASP erosion.

Jeremy Kwan
Analyst, Stifel

Is that a change from maybe three or six months ago where I think you mentioned ASPs kind of stabilizing versus being kind of having some uplift last year? Is the modest ASP erosion, is that a little bit of a shift there?

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

A little bit. Modest shift.

Jeremy Kwan
Analyst, Stifel

Okay. Maybe, me switching gears a little bit to the CapEx side of things, with the fiscal year behind us, can you give us an update on your CapEx plans both for AOS internal and then the JV for fiscal 2020?

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

For fiscal 2020, AOS side, we're targeting still 6%-8% of revenue type of things. I would think right now it's more toward low end of that range. For AOS. For the JV, they will continue to spend some remaining portion of the phase 1 equipment purchase payment. Mainly the payment. The equipment's pretty much all in. We'll fine-tune some production lines when we need here and there. Primarily, it's the one remaining payment. Once we have the current cash plus the loans that were under negotiation, we would expect that would be sufficient for the phase 1 ramp up.

Jeremy Kwan
Analyst, Stifel

Great. That's very helpful. One last question. In terms of the overall end market mix, you've got communications ramping up quite strongly last quarter. It looks like it's going to be strong again this quarter. Power supply industrial is doing pretty nicely, too. Do you see an overall shift in the end market mix in 12 months? If so, is it significant enough to shift your seasonality from, I think right now you guys have your fiscal Q2 and Q3 a little bit on the more flattish to downish a little bit, and stronger periods being fiscal Q1 and Q4. Do you see that holding true, or as your JV ramps, are there different things to consider in terms of seasonality?

Stephen Chang
Senior VP of Marketing, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

I think in the short term, it probably won't change too much. In the longer term, we are moving towards diversifying our segment base. In the past, we've been more computing-heavy. Of course, we'll continue to invest in and grow our computing business. Right now, we are seeing our other segments grow faster right now tied to the smartphone, whether it's battery protection in the communications or a Quick Charger in the power supply. Some of these can help to smooth out the seasonality a bit. I think overall, we're still going to see some seasonal pattern just like we have in the past.

Jeremy Kwan
Analyst, Stifel

Great. Thank you very much.

Mike Chang
CEO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

In general, it's our goal to diversify our technology into other area of greater growth. That's our company strategy and policy.

Jeremy Kwan
Analyst, Stifel

Thank you, Mike. Appreciate that.

Mike Chang
CEO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

You're welcome.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Craig Ellis from B. Riley FBR. Your line is open.

Carlin Lynch
Analyst, B. Riley FBR

Hey, guys. Just a quick follow-up. Free cash flow in the quarter for AOSL was strong, and I'm just trying to think about what the plans are for free cash flow moving through calendar 2020 and calendar 2021. Once phase 1 of the joint venture ramp gets more meaningfully behind you guys, how do you guys think about free cash flow usage? Is there anything that you guys need to do to prep for phase 2 and phase 3 to track towards the calendar 2024 target financial model of $1 billion?

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Okay, sure. Overall, this fiscal year 2019, AOS generated the healthy free cash flows. Going forward, fiscal year 2020, I would expect we can do similar level of free cash flow depending on the cash flow needs. I would not expect too heavy CapEx investment from AOS side. We're now more like maintaining and fine-tuning our product mix, production lines, debottlenecking some areas. For AOS alone, I would expect continue to generate healthy operating free cash flow. For the joint venture, for them, we are a separate entity. Other than the contributions we have made, joint venture company has its own capacity to borrow money. They own the land and the buildings and the equipment. They can mortgage it out and then get financing from there to support their ramp. For AOS, they are one of our major suppliers in that way.

For the joint venture, for phase 2, 3, when we ramp up, I would say halfway through phase 1, and then we'll start considering phase 2. For phase 2, the incremental investment will be much less than phase 1 because some infrastructures and buildings and all those things, CapEx are down. Overall, we just need to purchase some equipment, tools, and then maybe the small incremental clean room expansions. The requirements, we'll think about it next year sometime.

Carlin Lynch
Analyst, B. Riley FBR

Got it. Then I just want to hop back really quickly to the communication segment. Really strong performance. As next year comes around and 5G handsets start to more meaningfully roll out, how should we think about your content increases on the battery protection side in that business, and how much was this year's banner performance more customer diversification and rather than unit dependence? Obviously units are not having a great year. What's the potential upside next year to what was a really strong quarter this quarter and is shaping up to be a really strong quarter next quarter?

Stephen Chang
Senior VP of Marketing, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

Sure. For us, just looking at the application first, the 5G would definitely drive more content. With regards to battery protection, which is where we play, right now, you can see the latest smartphones, not only are they getting bigger, but especially with the 5G, it's much more demanding on power. With 5G, you have additional capability for video streaming or gaming or even virtual reality. That's very taxing on the battery itself. The need for efficient battery protection is very keen. Definitely on the client side, we expect to see growth. The growth that we saw this year has a lot to do with the customer expansion. As we shared with you guys, we added the major global smartphone makers at the end of last year, and this year we're beginning to enjoy that.

We expect that to continue going into next year on the client side. The area for growth for us is also going to be on the infrastructure side with telecom. 5G not only is going to benefit handsets, but all the infrastructure will have to be replaced over the course of the next few years. AOS has strong products covering a wide variety of applications within the telecom system. This includes discrete MOSFETs that go into the DC-DC conversion, as well as our digital power solutions for telecom for the point of loads. At AOS, we believe we have a very good opportunity to grow even further beyond just the client-side battery protection, but moving also into the infrastructure side.

Carlin Lynch
Analyst, B. Riley FBR

Got it. Do you guys have any sense on what perhaps maybe your long-term mix would be in terms of smartphones versus telecom in that end market? Is it going to be eventually 50/50? Is it going to be 75/25? Just trying to think about, because I know it's so small right now, and how that's going to ramp once you start really getting that business underway.

Stephen Chang
Senior VP of Marketing, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

I think getting to 50/50 in the midterm is probably about right. Obviously, the battery protection has a big head start in that market. The Digital Power is something that's much more longer sustaining. The amount of content going into base stations is quite large for Digital Power as well, too. In the longer run, I believe the Digital Power can catch up to the battery protection portion of the client side.

Carlin Lynch
Analyst, B. Riley FBR

Got it. All right. Thanks, guys.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I turn the call back over to the management team.

Yifan Liang
CFO, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor

This concludes our earnings call today. Thank you for your interest in AOS, and we look forward to talking with you again next quarter. Thank you.

Jeremy Kwan
Analyst, Stifel

Thank you.