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UBS Global Industrials and Transportation Conference

Dec 4, 2024

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Very pleased to kick off today with Aptiv. With us today from Aptiv, we have Kevin Clark, CEO. We also have new CFO Varun Laroyia in the audience as well, joined by the IR team. Can you just kick it off with a little fireside chat and then, you know, hopefully we'll take some questions. Kevin, I guess just to start, you know, want to reflect on the past year or so, and it's obviously been a challenging year for the industry, you know, Aptiv included, and, you know, what were some of the challenges that you expected, those that weren't expected, and how would you sort of, you know, rate how Aptiv fared? What are some of the things that you feel have done well and where are there, you know, areas for further improvement?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Sure. Great. First, Joe, thanks for having us here. So really appreciate it.

Really appreciate it.

I think as Joe had stated, obviously the industry's going through transition and this year's had some very, very unique challenges. I'd say if we were to characterize at a high level heading into the year, our outlook as it related to overall growth from a vehicle production standpoint was relatively, was viewed as relatively conservative. I would say the area that we probably underestimated was the choppiness of vehicle production, especially what we saw in the second and third quarters of this year. So we saw tremendous volatility across for us, you know, principally four or five OEMs, and it spanned the multinational joint ventures in China where we were significantly impacted.

One of the global, European-based OEMs where we were impacted in Europe, but significantly in North America, especially in the third quarter, as well as another North American OEM in the U.S. market. So those were some of the big swings we saw as it relates to vehicle production. What did we do well? Consistent with how we've operated in the past, we're very focused on, we operate in an industry that's very focused on cost, that requires a flexible cost structure. We headed into the year with a very intentional strategy to continue to reduce our cost structure. So we actually reduced salary payroll by 10% heading into the year, to get in front of any concerns that we had as it related to vehicle production.

We were very aggressive as it relates to what we were doing in addition to that part of the cost structure, what we're trying to do from a material cost reduction after a number of years of material inflation. Our sourcing team did a great job, working with the supply base, working with our engineering organization to engineer in lower cost solutions that we would benefit from financially and save and share a portion of that with our customers. I think what it translated to is, you know, our outlook for the year, you know, our revenue's down 2%. Our current outlook for vehicle production is down 4% globally. So, some growth over market, most of that coming here in the fourth quarter. Year-over-year earnings growth, operating income and EBITDA growth of actually 10% in that environment.

EBITDA margin expansion of 170 bp s. EPS growth of almost 30%. And really, really strong cash flow growth. So we'll generate almost $1.3 billion of free cash flow this year. So again, up almost 30% on a year-over-year basis. So from an operational standpoint, in a volatile environment or dynamic environment, our machine operated extremely well. So from a positive standpoint, I'd say, Joe, that's one of the areas that we're very proud of.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Yeah, that's super helpful. Now, I guess, you know, you mentioned some of the strong growth over market sort of expected in the fourth quarter we're seeing now in December. As we've seen some announcements of, you know, production changes here and there, a little bit in the U.S., maybe a little bit more in Europe. Is that sort of mostly as it has mostly played out as you sort of expected?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Yeah. By and large, fourth quarter vehicle production schedules, we've seen some variability across.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

As there always is.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

OEMs, as there always is. So I would say slightly more downward pressure, North America and Europe, stronger growth schedule in China.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Yeah.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

So, but both offsetting each other.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Yeah. And I guess just to sort of react to maybe some sort of, you know, more recent news we've sort of seen in headlines in the industry, as it relates to customers anyway. One is some of the VW strikes. I know they've been sort of very spotty and limited to date. Is that something you're monitoring and sort of how do you prepare for some of that? You know, you obviously have a lot of experience with the UAW over the past year or so, but how do you plan the business?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

So, that's something that we're very focused on. As you can imagine, it's not only day to day, it's hour to hour contact and making sure that we're aware and we're in a position to react. At present, that situation seems to be under control and in line with what our expectations had been. But that's something that we watch very closely to the extent, you know, we see something that causes us greater concern, we have ability to flex our cost structure in response to that. Some of that we've done, you know, in advance, quite frankly, of the start of the fourth quarter.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Mm-hmm.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

As we headed into the fourth quarter, but we feel like at this point in time we have that pretty well under control and managed.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Okay. You know, I know we'll have to wait till sort of early next year for, you know, official 2025 guidance, but at a high level, it's, you know, I know you've given some prior commentary that you think, you know, LVP could be flat to maybe down a little bit next year. Is that sort of, you know, we've had some more, a little bit more data points. We've had some geopolitical news as well, I guess, election here in the U.S. Is that, has that changed at all or is that still sort of roughly how you're beginning to play?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Yeah. I think if we were to call the ball today and we're not calling the ball today.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Right.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

You're right. There's some dynamics here. I'd say we would envision vehicle production likely to be down a bit. Down one to two points globally.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Yeah.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

That's how we would call it. Roughly down 1% to 2%, let's say in Europe and North America, with North America being impacted by some of the inventory issues that you've been reading about and watching among the D3. So how they deal with bringing inventory down in the fourth quarter will somewhat determine how next year plays out from a vehicle production standpoint, and looking at China right now, a view that China is roughly flat from a vehicle production standpoint.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Any view on, is that sort of more of a macro call on the Chinese economy or any view on sort of whether stimulus for vehicles is extended?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

It's a mix of both. I mean, part of it is a concern that it's not extended and we have a bit of a pull forward into.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Yeah.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Into this year. So we'll wait and see. The government is very focused on hitting GDP targets, not only 2024, but also 2025. So it is quite likely that incentives continue to get extended, especially around new energy vehicles. So that there'll be some element of that, but, you know, we wanna be to some extent conservative on it.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Yeah. So I guess in that backdrop, you know, in the past, you've sort of hinted that in a sort of flattish environment, you could think you could sort of grow mid-single digits over. There's a number of different sort of factors underneath that though, right? Customer mix.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Yeah.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

EV penetration. And so, like, how should investors, again, without sort of official guidance, just sort of how should investors think about the different points or pot for potential growth or outgrowth, I should say, for Aptiv over the coming years?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

We have roughly five customers that when you look at this year in our guidance, their reductions in vehicle production or their impact on Aptiv from a revenue standpoint was worth roughly five points of revenue growth.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Mm-hmm.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

And we've walked through those in the past. I won't walk through them again, but we have a couple who had significant reductions in their production schedules, significant reductions in their revenues, and those customers were a big percent of our total sales. They're among our top five, six customers. So from a mix standpoint, we were significantly impacted. I think there's an element of, from a reasonableness standpoint, you know, my view that it's hard to envision a situation where we were impacted like we were this year. So I'd say that's one.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Mm-hmm.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

The second is, you know, our outlook for things like areas like active safety. So we'll grow close to almost 20% year over year from an active safety growth. So still strong growth within that product area. We think there'll be some amount of balance as it relates to electrification and we'll benefit from the ongoing trend for vehicle electrification, albeit at a slower rate than where we've been historically. We're experiencing very strong growth in adjacent markets. So those areas that are outside of non-automotive, those will continue. And then, again, this year we'll have a record year for new program launches. We'll launch almost 2,300 new programs. That's up almost 10% year on year. We'll get the benefit of those new programs being launched as we head into 2025.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Yeah. I guess just on those customers, is stabilization of those customers what will that allow you to sort of show some growth or do you actually need a rebound in those customers?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

No, I stabilization.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Yeah.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

What would drive the sort of growth relative to vehicle production we're talking about?

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Okay. You know, you touched on EVs and I guess we could sort of talk a little bit of this by region 'cause it seems like there's.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Yeah.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

There's sort of three diverging points. Let's, I guess, you know, start in Europe, where there are more stringent CO2 standards coming in. There, that, you know, means a mandate for a higher percentage mix of EVs. Now there's a myriad of ways maybe automakers will can try to sort of attack that, maybe selling less ICE, maybe incrementally pushing some EVs. You know, as we are in December now and, you know, I think sort of first quarter planning from these customers is starting to sort of trickle in. What are you, how are you planning for these changes in CO2 regulation?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Sure. So, Europe right now, all the OEMs that are our customers that we're dealing with are operating under the assumption they have to hit the CO2 targets.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Yeah.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

For 2025. That's. They have to. So that's how they're operating. They're working with their governments as it relates to the cost of not meeting those targets and how that gets managed through. But all of them are from a vehicle production schedule and mix standpoint, that's how they're operating. It's important to us because when you look at BEV vehicles, for instance, we have roughly 2x of the content opportunity than we do on internal combustion engines. So that mix has a significant impact. So that's something that we're working closely with those OEM customers. Obviously, given what we've gone through this year, there's an element of scrutiny as it relates to their schedules and what we're baselining from an overall planning standpoint.

There's some incremental conservatism that we're building into our outlook regardless of what their production schedules say.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Mm-hmm.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

But sitting here now, that's how they're approaching, they're approaching the market.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

From an Aptiv perspective, given that content differential, even if there's some lower ICE volumes, is that still, you think, a net positive for you from a, from a?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Yeah, that would be a net positive.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Unlike some other, you know, companies where some of the EV product is less profitable or unprofitable for you, it's, there's no sort of margin differential or is there even a margin benefit on some of that?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Yeah. So our EV product portfolio, it includes both high voltage as well as low voltage in a battery electric vehicle. So when you think about the low voltage mix, it's comparable to what we have in an ICE vehicle . The high voltage product portfolio, the margins tend to be slightly higher than what we have on the traditional low voltage.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Okay.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

So slightly margin accretive.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Great. If we shift gears to the U.S., or North America, you know, we've obviously seen a slowing growth in EV penetration. I don't think necessarily, maybe, too different from what you had sort of laid out, you know, a number of years ago, but definitely lower than I think sort of more recent expectations if we go back, you know, 18, 24 months ago. Now we have the, you know, election. It seems, and nothing's official, of course, but it seems, you know, high probability that at least consumer credits get pulled away. There could be a re-looking at EPA. You know, California will need to be dealt with as well.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Yeah.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

I'm not asking you for it to sort of opine on what you think will happen, but what I am curious about is have conversations with your customers started about how they will sort of try to sort of plan for their portfolio here over the coming, you know.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Yeah.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

You know, half decade?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Yeah. Absolutely. I'll start with, clearly, EV adoption in North America is slowed. OEMs, our OEMs in North America, I would say are focused on a couple things. One, they're continuing down the path of building BEV platforms. I'd characterize it as a pace at which they're moving.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Mm-hmm.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

All of them are focused on developing incremental solutions around hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and they're doing that because when you think about a North American product cycle, it's typically solutions are developed today and they're launched five years from now as an example for an OEM customer, so you know, they have to operate through election cycles.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Right.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

So electrification is continuing. It's slowing though. So all of them are continuing down that path. I would say, the one variable is how aggressively they're pushing towards full BEV versus augmenting their existing product lineup with things like plug-in hybrids. And it varies a little bit.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Mm-hmm.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

So that's something we're working with them very closely on. It's something they're trying to navigate. It's something that, you know, we're having a lot of dialogue with members of what will be the new Trump administration in terms of, you know, what are their plans, how are they dealing with things. And then also there is an element of the population in North America, let's set aside government regs, that, you know, they prefer an electric vehicle, whether it be for performance or for, you know, the overall environment and global warming. And, you know, we have, you know, strong positions with customers that have very strong positions in North America as well as Europe and China and will continue to benefit from that.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

So let's take a hypothetical customer who, you know, is, let's say, going down more of a BEV path and now they're reevaluating and maybe adding, you know, plug-ins or range extender type vehicles. Is some of the work you've done with them on the BEV side or even on the legacy ICE side, since they're both in there, is that leverageable into sort of helping them.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Sure.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Get to the plug-in solution?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Yeah. So our product portfolio, we have a very broad electrification portfolio from wire harnesses to bus bars to connectors to cable management solutions. So we really run the full gamut. And whether it's a hybrid solution, a plug-in hybrid solution, or a battery electric vehicle, we have the product portfolio. And the positive is, you know, on a hybrid, we have roughly one and a half the content as we have on an ICE vehicle. On a plug-in hybrid, it's almost 2x. BEV, it's more than that. So we benefit from that mix if it's our customer.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Okay. And is the pace of those conversations accelerating now or is it sort of been pretty steady and like, what's the tone of those conversations?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

I would say over during 2024, the pace has been accelerating as the North American OEMs were challenged with BEV platforms that previously they'd been really focused on more so than hybrid. There was a mindset in the industry, broadly speaking, that when you go back 10 years, the transition would be ICE to hybrid to battery electric vehicles. There was an element of the industry that viewed stopping at that hybrid, whether it be mild hybrid, plug-in hybrid, at the end of the day was incremental investment of a new system race towards BEV, save that investment. You know, starting last year, there was some rethinking that's going on. So I'd say the pace has picked up.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Maybe just sticking with the U.S., and since you sort of touched on the election, obviously tariffs have been a big focus of the market and investors and, you know, throughout auto. Your footprint is obviously, you know, pretty heavily Mexico-based as is really the entire industry. So can you just sort of, I guess, you know, A, sort of go over, you know, the footprint, B, what kind of recourse you would have if tariffs were put in place? And, I guess maybe even just to start, if you could just sort of, at a very high level, like, help clarify, like, if tariffs were to come into place tomorrow, and you are shipping from Mexico for final assembly in the U.S., who actually bears the responsibility of that tariff contractually right now?

I understand it'll end up in a negotiation, but like.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Sure.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

As it stands.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

The industry, let me give context. The industry imports from Mexico into the U.S. roughly $80 billion per year of product, right, that go into assembly plants in the U.S. In addition, several of the OEMs actually have assembly plants in Mexico that brings product into the U.S. The dollar amounts of flows are significant. You know, it's USMCA and its predecessor NAFTA that was negotiated, I don't know, 25 years ago. The industry supply chain has been built, has been developed and is really efficient between Mexico and the U.S. It operates extremely well. The flow of goods is significant.

We import from Mexico, principally in the wire harness area, principally, when you think about it, roughly $4.5 billion of goods into the U.S. for $4.5, $4.6 billion of goods. So depending upon tariff, if tariffs were applied contractually, we don't have automatic offsets with our customers. That's something that we'd have to go and we'd have to negotiate with them. Obviously, when you think about the size of the imports from Mexico into the U.S., you'd have a massive automotive industry challenge that would add thousands of dollars to the price of a vehicle.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Mm-hmm.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Right? Thousands of dollars. So, you know, you think back in 2016 in the Trump administration, the concept of border taxes and items like that, which it was a similar sort of discussion between U.S. and Mexico and the impact on vehicle prices and the impact ultimately on production in the U.S., which translates to, you know, employees at the OEMs, you know, more rational, saying our heads prevailed. Our view is this is a similar situation. There's been a lot of rhetoric. There's actually, and we stay obviously close to this, a lot of discussion already between what will be the Trump administration, and President Sheinbaum's administration in Mexico. Mexico is very focused on avoiding tariffs. They're very focused on being responsive. They understand the benefit of employment in Mexico.

So we think this is something like we've dealt with previously.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Mm-hmm.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

That's something that will get addressed. There'll be changes made from an immigration and other standpoint, and ultimately, the industry will continue to operate as it has in the past.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Okay. Always something we keeps us on our toes. If I could just go back to actually some of the conversations you're sort of having with your customers and sort of the over the past year, you said sort of a little bit more focused on plug-in hybrid solutions, other sort of other types of solutions away from a straight BEV. Like in the past, you have stated when you sort of think about you know a Smart Vehicle Architecture or zonal architecture that it can be done on any type of vehicle, but it probably made sense to look at it as you sort of completely shift to EVs. Has that changed? Are they still looking to adopt some of the zonal architecture features if they don't go full battery electric?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Yeah. Yeah, definitely. So, OEM customers, what Joe's alluding to in the past, as we talked about vehicle architecture and you talk about, you think about an OEM that historically has developed ICE platforms, it's a big change going to an electric platform. So it provides them with an opportune time to really rethink vehicle architecture, right? They start with a clean sheet of paper, and that continues, quite frankly, to be true from a clean sheet standpoint. But as OEMs look at complexity going into the car, content going into the car, whether it's a mix of hybrid or EVs and the desire to simplify, standardize, take out weight, mass from a wire harness and vehicle architecture standpoint, whether it's ICE with, you know, hybrid content added or EVs, they're all focused on it.

I mentioned on our, I think, our third quarter earnings call, you know, three years ago, two or three years ago, our OEMs, the number of OEMs that were working on really re-architecting the vehicle, was actually relatively small. Today, it's North of 25, and it's China, it's Europe, and it's North America, and it's all focused on how do they reduce weight, how do they reduce mass, how do they make it easier to package, and obviously how do they, you know, take out cost.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Mm-hmm.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

So the opportunity remains, obviously remains there.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

How if you think about a plug-in hybrid solution versus a zonal architecture versus that on a pure BEV, presumably there's got to be sort of another box maybe for the combustion part, but otherwise are they fairly similar setups or?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Yeah, fairly similar. I mean, you can end up with a basic zonal sort of architecture where you're consolidating some of the power distribution in zones to make it more efficient, reducing the amount of wire harness, length of wire harness, amount of copper in a car. So you can go from relatively simple to more complex.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Okay. China. So obviously, you know, this has been a big area of focus. And, you know, I think when you look back, you know, you had a lot of exposure to some customers that have faced some fairly drastic declines. We even saw, you know, today the write-off that one of your customers is sort of taking there. Not a big surprise, right? But it also seems like you're making some progress on the domestic side. So, maybe just talk a little bit about the nature of that business, the competitive dynamics. Is it different than what happens in the Western world? And like, why would a domestic automaker, you know, choose an Aptiv versus a local supplier?

Especially, I know this sort of, you know, further down on the supply chain, but now we're sort of seeing more and more, I don't hesitate to use the demands, but push from the government to sort of try to use more local suppliers.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Yeah. We've operated in China for 30 years. We have 100% localized product portfolio and capability there. And we've served China for the China market, for China customers. It's not a place that we manufacture and export into the rest of the world. Our mix today is 50 from a revenue standpoint, roughly 55% China local OEMs, 15% a global battery, North America-based battery electric vehicle company and the balance, multinational joint ventures. The Western OEMs. Those Western OEMs have lost significant share over the last few years. Next year, put it in perspective, we'll pick up roughly 10 points of that revenue mix will go to the locals. What do they look for relative to what our traditional customers look for?

Speed is extremely important, and it's one of the reasons we're able to change that mix so rapidly. Typically, between award and launch in China with our local OEM customers, it's roughly a year. Compare that to what we have in the West, that's roughly three years, so a third. So they move much faster. They're introducing vehicles much more quickly. And those that are the largest and have the strongest market share position are really focused also now on how do they export and how do they move production into Europe and elsewhere. And that's an area where we've been particularly focused on how do we take our capabilities and knowledge of markets outside of China, in addition to our competitive position in China and how do we support those OEMs as they grow outside. So I would say that's one, Joe.

Two is speed.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Mm-hmm.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Speed is really, really important. And then, like our OEMs, you know, across the globe, cost effectiveness. How do we do it cost effectively?

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Yeah. What about the inverse? Because that's something that's come up a lot more with investors of late is, Chinese supply base, moving into Europe, potentially into Mexico. Have you seen any of that? If so, what product areas would you sort of see?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Yeah, we've seen some of that. Most of that, most of that I would say still aspirations to build product outside of China, although there's been some progress. We've seen some of that in and around the low voltage wire harness area as an example as that supply base has built up in China.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Mm-hmm.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

But it's something, at least as of now, and obviously you need to be appropriately paranoid about that. It's something from a competitive and cost structure standpoint we've been able to manage against. There's 50 OEMs in China. It's important. We're not. We're focused on really serving the top 10. We're not focused on serving the balance, and that's principally driven from a cost standpoint and a quality standpoint. There's a place at which we really just don't want to play.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Mm-hmm.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

And then we've seen a lot of progress, quite frankly, working with the locals as they've been focused on exporting more and moving production outside of China.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Why don't we just pause and see if there's any questions from anyone in the audience? Otherwise, we can keep going. Anything? The, you know, going back to the zonal architecture, smart vehicle architecture, right? This has sort of, I think, been another area of concern. You've seen some customers try to do this themselves. You obviously saw sort of the, you know, the Volkswagen, you know, Rivian announcement.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Sure.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

I guess how do you see that business evolving over time? Is it really going to be a mix of more value, Aptiv value added, components versus sort of, you know, build to print type of business?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Yeah. It's a good, it will vary.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Yeah.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Right? We're focused on developing full system solutions because we view them as more cost effective for the customer, quite frankly, and obviously more beneficial for us, both from a revenue and profitability standpoint. However, we engineer all of them so that they can be separated and sold as separate components. We want to participate as long as it's at a profit level that is acceptable in that revenue opportunity.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Mm-hmm.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

We position ourselves to support and under either path.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Mm-hmm. And when, I mean, what's sort of the, if you think about the bookings or the quotings anyway, sort of what's the mix, what would you say sort of the mix of that is like? Because, and I guess if someone does come to you for a specific component, is there an effort to sort of go back and educate the benefits from, you know, using a sort of more complete system?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Yeah. Yeah. That's a part of the normal commercial cadence and just given our experience in and around vehicle and the architecture and knowledge in and around advanced compute. So that's something that naturally happens. We operate in an industry that for, you know, a hundred years has been focused on how do they disaggregate. That tends to be the thinking and the approach. Our view that translates into more complexity, quite frankly, more cost. Different OEMs have different approaches to it. Today, most of the solutions that or programs that we've been awarded have been that full zonal control or full solution. But as the industry adopts a new technology, we'll get a broader and broader mix.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Yeah, for sure. You know, you alluded to in sort of the opening questions, some of the successes of the past year and obviously the margin performance, the cost control has been a bright spot. As you reassess this ever sort of changing, you know, industry landscape, and at least in the U.S., there is sort of, you know, that, as you mentioned, sort of slower adoption on EV. Does that change your investment profile at all, whether either from an R&D or a capital perspective?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Sure. Yeah. I mean, we try to be reactive to where the market opportunity is. We've spent a number of, you know, years fine-tuning and enhancing our product portfolio. Over the last 10-plus years, I think we've done roughly 20 acquisitions. We've sold, I don't know, a handful of business, four or five businesses. We spun off, as maybe most of you know, our powertrain business. We're constantly looking at our product portfolio. That's something we'll continue to do, continue to evaluate. We are big believers that the world will continue to head towards electrification. We strongly believe that it will be at a different pace by region. OEM customers certainly in the West are struggling with that transition. You know, players like ourselves need to support them in doing that.

But obviously, we also got to be focused on where can we generate the most returns and, you know, where do we allocate capital. So it does impact them.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

You know, you mentioned, you know, always sort of looking at the portfolio. I know in other conversations that you've sort of expressed a frustration obviously with the stock and sort of the multiple. I mean, what would you sort of convey to investors is sort of misunderstood either with the Aptiv story overall or the portfolio or the collection of assets you have?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Yeah. I think when you look at how we're positioned within automotive, the fact that almost 20% of our revenues are outside of automotive and it's a focused growth area, that if you separate what you hear from a narrative and relative to what's actually going on, a great example there is when you hear about delays in certain programs like electrification for a player like Aptiv, that's not a zero-sum game. The reality is there are existing platforms that OEMs need to have enhanced, upgraded, and modernized. So when those situations happen, the reality is there's an incremental opportunity that we have, whether it be in ADAS and user experience or in other areas, that comes into play, and we have a number of opportunities that we're working on now actually to fill that gap as some of those OEMs go through that transition.

It may have a bit of a delay period for a couple of years as they move from a, you know, an ICE platform to whether it's a hybrid solution or a battery electric vehicle solution.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Maybe, maybe we could just spend a second on how you view your footprint globally in the context of a couple of things that have sort of come up already in the conversation today. One, overcapacity at the your customer level in Europe. And then in China, you know, I'm obviously some of your customers have been in sort of almost structural decline. And so how do you like, is there work to be done in your footprint, in either of those cases or maybe if you could just go region by region?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

If you go region by region, China, we have been rotating our footprint and we have been, as we've been impacted this year in terms of customer mix, rotating, consolidating and shifting. So that's something that has been taking place, that I'd say we're in front of, quite frankly, from a footprint standpoint. When you look at Europe, we're very well positioned vis-à-vis our customers and current production schedules. We'll continue to rotate out of Eastern Europe to North Africa. So that trend will continue.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

For labor purposes?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

For labor purposes. Absolutely. Sorry.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Yeah.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Thanks for, and then when you look at North America, again, for labor purposes, less for capacity standpoint, just given the demand for labor in Mexico, given what we've experienced from a labor inflation standpoint and ongoing rotation into Central America where costs are lower and supply chains are mature enough to where we can serve customers that operate in the North America market.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Can items like wire harnesses actually be transported from Central America to?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Sure. Absolutely.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Does that create any other logistical challenges or?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

No, it's the supply chain is not mature as it is in Mexico. So, there is an incremental cost from a supply chain standpoint, but they're, you know, the savings in labor is relatively significant. And then, you know, we've talked about it. We're working with our customers and the only way we can do this is with customer support on how do we take effectively higher cost labor out of the, you know, manufacturing process from a wire harness standpoint? How do we automate certain aspects of the wire harness? But that requires us working very, very closely with our automotive OEMs. We have one global customer where, you know, if you were to visit our manufacturing facility in China, it's virtually fully automated from a wire harness standpoint.

But that requires, you know, starting with design of vehicle all the way through to production to enable something like that to happen.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

So if your customers sort of design the vehicles certain way, you're better able to automate your processes. Maybe just to close, you know, you have the ASR out there. If you could sort of maybe just again update us on sort of the mechanics, maybe if there's if it's possible to sort of understand how much the banks have sort of already, you know, bought back. And then you mentioned the strong free cash flow and quality of Aptiv. You know, once the ASR is done, how do you sort of view uses for that cash?

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Yeah. So we'll see where we are as it relates to that. ASR mechanics, simply put, we announced the ASR stock price at that point in time was roughly $72 a share. You strike basically the mechanics of given the size of the ASR, this is the amount of shares that you effectively retire that reduce your share account. The reality though is how it gets exercised through the banks is they continue to buy stock at whatever point we're guaranteed a discount to the daily VWAP. So the reality today, we're buying stock at, obviously a lower price than that $72 a share.

When the ASR period ends, which will be end of the second quarter, I think end of May of 2025, the reality more shares will have been retired if you assume the share price stays where it is today than what was originally assumed at the time of the announcement of the ASR.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

The amount you retired right off the bat, which I think was 2/3, was that. But there will basically be. You have the remaining 1/3+ true-up for the price.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Exactly. So for the same dollar value, we'll end up retiring more shares, so the benefit of the ASR will be even greater.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Perfect.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Listen, as we look at cash flow, you know, obviously we'd like to continue to grow our business. We'd like to diversify the markets we serve. We'd like to be able to deploy capital in those areas, but we'll balance that versus where, you know, where a stock price is trading at that point in time.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Great. With that, we're out of time, but Kevin, thanks so much for joining us.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Thanks, Joey.

Joe Massaro
Analyst, Barclays Bank

Really appreciate it. Yeah. Thank you.

Kevin Clark
CEO, Aptiv

Thanks.

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