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Earnings Call: Q1 2022

May 18, 2022

Daniel Schleiniger
VP of Investor Relations, Arcos Dorados

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our Q1 2022 earnings webcast. With us today are Marcelo Rabach, our Chief Executive Officer, Luis Raganato, our Chief Operating Officer, and Mariano Tannenbaum, our Chief Financial Officer. Today's webcast, which is being recorded, will consist of prepared remarks from our leadership team, which will be accompanied by a slide presentation, also available in the investors section of our website www.arcosdorados.com/ir. As a reminder, to better view the presentation on the webcast platform, please scroll over the upper left-hand part of the screen and click on the arrows to maximize the slides. After we conclude our opening remarks, we will answer your questions, which you can submit using the chat function on the left-hand side of the screen. You will need to minimize the slides to access the chat function.

Today's call will contain forward-looking statements, and I refer you to the forward-looking statements section of our earnings release and recent filings with the SEC. We assume no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect new or changed events or subsequent circumstances. In addition to reporting financial results in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, we report certain non-GAAP financial results. Investors are encouraged to review the reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial results as compared with GAAP results, which can be found in the press release and unaudited financial statements filed today with the SEC on Form 6-K. Our discussion today excludes the results of the Venezuelan operation, both at the consolidated level as well as for the SLAD division. For your reference, we included a full income statement excluding Venezuela with today's earnings release. Marcelo, over to you.

Marcelo Rabach
CEO, Arcos Dorados

Thank you, Dan. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. Today, we have another quarter of record sales and profitability to report. You will see that these results are broad-based and sustainable thanks to the focused execution of our three Ds, digital, delivery, and drive-thru strategy. Our balance sheet and cash generation are as strong as ever, and we are on track to exceed the guidance we provided for investments and restaurant openings in 2022. After the quarter ended, we also executed a historic liability management transaction, becoming the first quick service restaurant operator in the world to issue a sustainability-linked bond. Let's start with the key highlights from our record-setting Q1 of 2022. System-wide sales exceeded $1 billion, and total revenue reached nearly $790 million.

Comparable sales grew 42% on the back of strong volume growth and continued market share gains within a consolidated marketplace. Digital sales, which includes delivery, mobile app, and self-order kiosks, reached their highest ever U.S. dollar total. Digital contributed 38% of the quarter's sales and included the highest ever U.S. dollar sales totals for delivery, self-order kiosks, and order ahead. This outstanding sales performance generated significant operating leverage across all cost and expense line items. In fact, the $79.6 million of adjusted EBITDA was a record for the Q1 . Revenue management, including pricing, product mix, and segmentation, plus a highly localized supply chain and efficient operation drove both EBITDA and the bottom line with net income of almost $26 million or $0.12 per share in the quarter. We also started the year with a strong pace of growth, with 16 restaurant openings, including 14 freestanding units and 10 new restaurants in Brazil. More on that later on the call. Over to Luis for a closer look at our sales results.

Luis Raganato
COO, Arcos Dorados

Thanks, Marcelo. All Arcos Dorados divisions generated excellent sales results in the Q1 . We have said it before and we will say it again, this is a testament to the structural competitive advantages we're maximizing with a flexible restaurant portfolio and the three Ds strategy. Once again, guests responded to the industry benchmark, quality, and convenience of the McDonald's experience throughout the region. All divisions improved guest perception of key brand attributes, including favorite brand, and continued to grow market share faster than their closest competitors. Brazil's system-wide comparable sales grew 39%, rebounding from tough results last year when a spike in COVID led to a resumption of government-imposed operating restrictions in both March and April.

Revenue in Brazilian reals grew by more than 25% versus the pre-pandemic Q1 of 2019, merely offsetting the significant depreciation of the currency in that period. Digital sales channels remained strong in Brazil, where they generated almost half of system-wide sales. Marketing activities in Brazil included the Méqui's campaign, featuring some of Brazil's top music celebrities describing their favorite McDonald's orders. We also sponsored Big Brother Brazil, the country's most popular reality show, helping fuel sales growth across the 3Ds. Finally, the family business benefited from the exclusive Disney 50th anniversary collection in the Happy Meal. NOLAD, which is now composed of nine markets, generates results in U.S. dollars, euros, or relatively stable currencies. System-wide comparable sales grew 24.1% in the quarter, driven mainly by guest volumes, with especially strong results in Mexico and Panama.

Marketing activities in NOLAD mostly focused on core menu items in the quarter. Mexico reinforced the chicken category with the introduction of spicy Chicken McNuggets and the Spicy Deluxe McCrispy. Costa Rica drove customer excitement with the El Incomparable Big Mac campaign. After a two year hiatus, we successfully re-introduced a seasonal favorite, the Filet-O-Fish, in Costa Rica, Panama, and Puerto Rico. System-wide comparable sales in SLAD rose 64.3%, more than double the blended inflation in the period. Performance was strong across the division, especially in Argentina, Chile, and Colombia, where volume growth was robust. Q1 marketing activities in SLAD also centered on core offerings. In Argentina, the Más Sabor, Más Fun campaign drove an increase in Big Mac sales, while markets like Chile and Colombia focused on strengthening the chicken category. Most markets family business benefited from our exclusive licensing agreement with Disney.

Finally, drive-thru and delivery remained very strong in the division, reaching all-time sales records in many markets. Speaking of records, let's take a closer look at the digital sales Marcelo highlighted. Mobile app downloads now exceed 69 ,000,000 with the highest number of active users in the industry by far. Record quarterly delivery sales included the highest ever monthly sales for the segment in March. We set another delivery sales record in April. In other words, we have the right strategy to continue taking share as we grow this important sales segment. The unparalleled experience and convenience of McDelivery continues driving volume growth despite recovering on-premise sales. Delivery sales grew more than 29% in constant currency, with similar growth levels in all divisions. This performance proves that delivery is truly a new consumption occasion that has helped generate structurally higher sales per unit.

Self-order kiosk sales also set a record in the quarter. More than half of the on-premise volume in Experience of the Future restaurants now goes through this digital channel. Importantly, this highly efficient and customizable channel generates a 15%-20% higher average check compared with the front counter. Order ahead is still in its infancy and has not yet been fully implemented in all markets. It is showing the value of allowing guests to choose where, when, and how to enjoy their McDonald's menu favorites. Sales through the order ahead functionality were almost 7x higher than the Q1 last year. Among the benefits of operating the region's largest freestanding restaurant portfolio is the unmatched availability of McDonald's drive-thru in our markets. Drive-thru sales rose almost 13% in constant currency versus the Q1 of 2021, with positive results in all divisions, especially SLAD.

Volumes remain high, and we're gaining new drive-thru guests on a daily basis. The drive-thru-based loyalty program has now grown to 4,000,000 identifiable members. Later this year, we plan to introduce a more comprehensive loyalty program, leveraging our digital capabilities and insights to drive additional visit frequency and profitability. In line with expectations, the off-premise channels of delivery and drive-thru have remained sticky and generated 46% of total sales in the quarter, even with on-premise sales much closer to normal. For a closer look at how profitability responded to the sales growth we generated around the region, I will turn the call over to Mariano.

Mariano Tannenbaum
CFO, Arcos Dorados

Thanks, Luis. Marcelo already mentioned that we achieved record U.S. dollar EBITDA for a Q1 . As a result, the trailing twelve-month EBITDA is now the highest in Arcos Dorados' history. All three divisions contributed strong results towards this important new milestone. Brazil's EBITDA margin rebounded after feeling the effects of renewed government-imposed restrictions last year. Notably, the 14.8% margin was also 100 basis points higher versus the pre-pandemic Q1 of 2019. NOLAD and SLAD were strong as well, with double-digit EBITDA margins and significant growth in U.S. dollars compared with both 2019 and 2021. Whether we look at the 570 basis points of margin improvement versus 2021 or 160 basis points versus 2019, the story is similar. Better gross margin, efficient payroll, and G&A expense leverage.

We are particularly pleased with gross margin performance, given how global supply chain challenges and commodity price inflation have generated significant input cost pressures. Having a highly localized supply chain is key to minimizing these impacts. We have also taken a balanced approach to revenue management without overdoing it on pricing. The three Ds strategy allows us to use digital tools to optimize sales through the right channels and to drive volume to the optimal product mix. It was through healthy and sustainable top-line growth plus efficient supply chain management that we were able to improve food and paper costs by 110 and 60 basis points versus 2021 and 2019, respectively. Notably, all three divisions captured food and paper cost efficiencies in the quarter compared with pre-pandemic 2019. Turning now to our capital structure and growth plans. Let's start with cash flow from operations.

Cash generated from operations was seasonally strong and 5x as high as the Q1 last year. Net leverage declined and remained healthy at 1.3x . Our debt profile will look different at the end of the Q2 following a recently completed liability management transaction. We will tell you more about that in a minute. As Marcelo said, we opened 16 restaurants during the quarter, including 14 freestanding locations. 10 of the restaurants were opened in Brazil. Total capital expenditures were $24.8 million in the quarter. As we have mentioned previously, we have a robust restaurant opening plan, and the team is working hard to add to the pipeline and accelerate the pace of openings. Based on the current run rate, we expect to exceed restaurant opening and capital expenditure guidance for 2022.

Let's go back to the details of the liability management transaction we announced last month. As of the end of March 2022, we had two outstanding bonds with $202 million due in September of next year and $536 million due in April 2027. This U.S. dollar debt had been swapped nearly 50% to Brazilian reais with derivative instruments that matched the value and maturity of both the principal and interest of these bonds. Last month, we announced our intention to place a new $350 million sustainability-linked bond due in May 2029. The proceeds from this liability management transaction were to be used to refinance the 2023 bond and tender up to $150 million of the 2027 bond.

As you may have already seen, we successfully placed this seven year bond with an interest rate of 6 1/8%, with the lowest spread over Treasuries in Arcos Dorados' history. The new bond received the same ratings as the existing instruments, Ba2 from Moody's and BB from Fitch, both with a stable outlook. The average life of our outstanding debt will increase from 3.9 to six years, and we plan to maintain a prudent risk management policy using derivative instruments to hedge the FX exposure of the debt. The transaction will leave us with three long-term debt securities, $19.5 million of principal on the 2023 senior notes following the tender offer and partial redemption of the remaining outstanding principal.

$386 million of principal on the 2027 senior notes, following the $150 million tender of that bond, and $350 million of principal on the 2029 senior notes. I will turn it back over to Luis for a description of the bond's sustainability performance targets or SPTs, and some of the strategies we will use to achieve them.

Luis Raganato
COO, Arcos Dorados

Thanks, Mariano. A sustainability-linked bond ties a company's financing strategy to the achievement of specific SPTs. We have aligned the SPTs for this bond with our long-term commitments. Namely, reducing absolute greenhouse gas emissions by 36% in restaurants and offices by 2030. These are categorized as Scope 1 and 2 emissions. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions intensity by 31% in our supply chain by 2030. These are categorized as Scope 3 emissions. Both long-term commitments will use 2021 as the baseline year. The two key performance indicators or KPIs for the bond are linked to these commitments. The first KPI is the absolute level of CO2 equivalent emissions in restaurants and offices. We have established an SPT to reduce the Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 15% by 2025.

The second KPI is the intensity of CO2 equivalent emissions relative to our food and packaging volume. We have established an SPT to reduce these Scope 3 emissions by 10% by 2025. We engaged Sustainalytics for a second-party opinion and received favorable assessments of the appropriateness and ambitiousness of the KPIs and SPTs we selected. We are proud of the leadership role we are playing in ESG across Latin America and the Caribbean, as well as within the global QSR industry. The SPTs are measurable and quantifiable on a consistent methodological basis, and progress will be measured annually by a third party, South Pole Carbon Asset Management. If one SPT is not achieved, then the bond's interest rate will increase by 12.5 basis points beginning in 2026.

If neither SPT is achieved, then the bond's interest rate will increase by 25 basis points beginning in 2026. How will we achieve these targets? If we had all the answers, then they would not be considered ambitious targets. We have developed an ESG framework to provide a roadmap. You can download the framework from our Recipe for the Future website. Almost 6% of greenhouse gas emissions in the business are Scope 1 and 2. We have several initiatives in place or projects under development to achieve the first SPT. They include incorporating up to 25 sustainability initiatives in all new or remodeled restaurants, installing LED lighting in all restaurants and offices, converting to high-efficiency air conditioning systems with environmentally friendly refrigerants, and increasing the renewable energy mix by contracting power purchase agreements. More than 93% of our greenhouse gas emissions are Scope 3.

We will hold regular roundtable meetings with key suppliers to discuss and agree on measures for decarbonization across the entire value chain. We plan to provide incentives to these suppliers and their producers to support the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions intensity. We will also coordinate specific initiatives with them, including revised production policies and new investments in sustainability. These initiatives are good for the business as they will lead to a more efficient operation. More importantly, they are the right thing to do. Marcelo, back to you.

Marcelo Rabach
CEO, Arcos Dorados

Thanks, Luis. We have a long and diverse history of collaborating with and contributing to the communities in which we operate. Our social commitment and sustainable development team works across six Recipe for the Future pillars, which are youth opportunity, providing thousands of young people their first formal jobs and helping them develop soft skills necessary to succeed in the workforce. Climate change, taking actions to reduce the environmental impact of the operation, such as the ones in our sustainability-linked bond. Sustainable sourcing, ensuring humane and sustainable supply chain practices. Circular economy, supporting recycling inside and outside restaurants. Commitment to families, offering nutritious family menus and giving to Ronald McDonald House Charities. Diversity and inclusion, developing initiatives to promote diversity of gender, race, sexuality, and generations. Last year, we published the Arcos Dorados Social Impact and Sustainable Development Report for 2020.

It was the first time we or any other QSR in Latin America issued an audited ESG report. Today, we are proud to introduce the Arcos Dorados Social Impact and Sustainable Development Report for 2021. This report has been prepared according to GRI and SASB standards, and once again, it includes content audited by EY. Please visit the Recipe for the Future website to download the report and learn about all our ESG efforts in 2021. I will wrap up with a summary of the main takeaways from today's presentation. 2022 is off to a great start. We delivered the third consecutive record quarter, and trailing 12 month EBITDA total is now the highest in Arcos Dorados' history. These results were broad-based, and the positive trends have continued so far into the second quarter, with both top line and profitability ahead of this year's plan.

Cash flow remains robust, and our balance sheet is strong, with no material maturities for the next five years. Against that backdrop, we expect to exceed guidance for restaurant openings and capital expenditures in 2022. We are committed to our Recipe for the Future. I'm proud of all the hard work we are doing in ESG. This is what allowed us to become the only QSR in the world to have issued a sustainability-linked bond, tying our financial strategy to long-term climate change commitments. We are confident about the future and believe the results we are reporting today will be sustainable over time because of our structural competitive advantages and successful 3D strategy. The truth is, Arcos Dorados and the McDonald's brand in Latin America and the Caribbean have never been stronger. Dan, over to you to start the Q&A session.

Daniel Schleiniger
VP of Investor Relations, Arcos Dorados

Thanks, Marcelo. In order to get started, please minimize the presentation slides so that you can access the chat function on the left-hand side of the webcast platform. Please limit yourself to one or two questions so that I can read, understand, and convey them to our speakers. We will now pause briefly to compile your questions. Okay, great. Our first question came from Marcella Recchia from Credit Suisse. "Hi, team. Thanks for taking my questions." And she asks us. Well, one of the questions that she asks us is, "Can you give us a trade update on the second quarter early trends?

Marcelo Rabach
CEO, Arcos Dorados

Yeah. Good morning, Marcella, and thank you for being with us today. The trends we saw during the Q1 of this year have continued into the Q2 . I would say that the whole business is performing ahead of this year's plan, and that's both in terms of revenues and in terms of profitability. Total guest traffic, excluding dessert centers, is already near or even above the pandemic levels, and our digital tools are helping us to recapture the on-premise business, the on-premise volume, in a more profitable way. I think we believe that the pandemic has been a catalyst that permanently changed our channel mix, and off-premise channels are still generating a significant portion of our system-wide sales because those channels have demonstrated to be very sticky. Guests have responded well to the ease and convenience of delivery and drive-through, which have remained very sticky, even with the situation that the on-premise sales continue to recover at a faster pace than we were expecting.

Luis Raganato
COO, Arcos Dorados

If you let me add, Marcella, I would like to give a little bit more detail. First, when we talk about on-premise, on-premise is McCafé plus food court plus dessert centers, and they are performing in line with each other. The off-premise is delivery plus drive-through. What we are experiencing is a normalization in activities and the mobility, I would say all across the region. Even though we are seeing a recovery in on-premise sales, I would say at a very good pace, we're having a very strong performance in off-premise sales. Just, As an example, talking about delivery, we posted a quarterly sales record in the first quarter, and this includes not only that we increased sales by 29%, but we had the highest ever sales in a single month in March. On top of that record, in April, we set another monthly record. The trend is very strong for the channel. We started with this channel, you know, we implemented it back in 2017. What we saw is it was 4% of sales in 2019. Today it's around 16% of total sales. The pandemic worked as a catalyst, but that usage remained is sticky, okay?

We really think that this channel is going to be an engine of growth in the near future. If we talk about drive-thru, the second D, I wanted to give you some detail there too. 2019 was 22% of total sales. After the pandemic, participation of total sales remains around 30% in the Q1 . We saw an increase in systemwide sales of 13% in this Q1 . The good news is that we're gaining new guests. Just in 2021, one out of seven guests was a new customer. It's very positive because when they try it for the first time, they love it because it's convenient, it's safe, it's fast, it's fun, and this is a competitive advantage for us.

Just in Brazil, we have 2.5x as many units as our main competitor. It's not only about the footprint, it's about the experience, the operational experience. We are seeing, I mean, impressive improvements in operations in every market. We see this channel as the second engine of growth. Of course, the digital platform has boosted sales through these channels, and we talked about this before through customized offers, through targeted marketing campaigns. We're going to keep investing in new technologies, new capabilities, because we still believe that we have a huge opportunity to volume growth.

Daniel Schleiniger
VP of Investor Relations, Arcos Dorados

Great. Thanks, Luis. The next question is actually an overlap between Rodrigo Almeida from Santander and Thiago Bertolucci from Goldman. They both asked questions related to gross margin performance after congratulating us for results. Thiago, for example, asks how our gross margin is split between or how the performance is split between price, supplier negotiations, and mix. Rodrigo asked it a little bit different also in terms of price, mix, and segmentation, and how we're able to pass through those costs to the guests. I'll turn that one over to you, Mariano.

Mariano Tannenbaum
CFO, Arcos Dorados

Perfect. Thank you, Dan. Thank you, Rodrigo, for joining us in your first call. Thank you, Thiago as well for your question. I will try to answer both questions in the same answer. In terms of gross margin, we have successfully managed our food and paper costs since the beginning of the pandemic, despite ongoing input cost pressures that we are all seeing in the market. Just analyzing our P&L, you will see that over the last couple of quarters, we have even expanded gross margin versus the pre-pandemic period.

During the Q1 of 2022, we were able to increase gross margin by 80 basis points versus 2019, reaching 65.1% in the period. All this led to a gross profit of $490 million, which was 10% higher in U.S. dollars as reported than in 2019, despite the depreciation of local currencies, especially the Brazilian real and the Argentine peso. Now let's look at the current situation. As we all know, this year began with pretty severe spikes in input costs worldwide due to COVID, climate issues. All this aggravated by the conflict we are seeing in Ukraine that accelerated the increase in international prices on key commodities. Let's talk about commodities first.

Although we are exposed to commodity price volatility, we have a very diversified cost structure where no single item represents more than 9% of our total food and paper costs, with the exception of beef. The commodities themselves represent an even lower percentage of the cost structure. On top of that, we use certain instruments and negotiations with key suppliers to mitigate the effect of rising input costs. We use and negotiate commodity hedges with our suppliers that are executed directly by them and give us some coverage against these price increases. We also have supplier contracts and agreements that we use to lock prices by making purchases in advance, taking advantages of our very good cash flow generation. We have pricing protocols, and we take advantage of our economies of scale. That's because of our size and scale, we are able to negotiate, of course, better prices with our main suppliers.

Explain in detail what we are doing on the cost side. We also need to take a look at how we are managing the revenues. As you know, Arcos Dorados has been implementing successful revenue management strategies. For example, we have thoroughly studied the pricing strategies, usually in line with inflation, that are the most effective at protecting gross margin while maintaining our and even expanding market share. Digital also continues to play a key role with segmentations and greater personalizations. The digital offers are strategically used to improve sales in order to increase average check, gain new customers, or increase frequency of purchase by our existing guests. Our mobile app capabilities continue to expand, increasing our labor efficiency and enhancing our ability to focus on guests' needs and preferences. With price increases in line with inflation, we have been able to increase average check above inflation.

This, combined with a successful cost management strategy already described, allowed us to increase gross margins even in the face of some very challenging cost pressures. Finally, if you allow me, I will take a step further because we have successfully managed more than the gross margin. Other lines in our income statement have also improved as a percentage of sales, especially payroll, rent, and G&A, which benefited from the aggressive cost controls we implemented during the pandemic. All this helped us deliver an EBITDA margin during the Q1 of 2022 of 10.1% that, together with strong sales, resulted in the highest Q1 EBITDA of our history. We are confident that if the sales trend continues in our main markets, then we will deliver another year of very healthy EBITDA, both in terms of US dollars and as percentage of revenues.

Daniel Schleiniger
VP of Investor Relations, Arcos Dorados

Great. Thanks, Mariano. I'm gonna bring it back to Marcella Recchia from Credit Suisse, who, to be fair, actually asked three questions. We took her first one. She also asked a question on in terms of on-premise sales versus pre-pandemic. I think Luis has already addressed that. Her third question is, what's our expectation with respect to our comments around exceeding full year 2022 guidance for openings? And what color can we give on what to expect there? Over to you, Marcelo.

Marcelo Rabach
CEO, Arcos Dorados

Excellent. When we provided guidance this January, we said that we would open at least 55 restaurants, with around 90% of them being freestanding units. We said at least. We also said that we have a robust opening pipeline. At the time, we said that the development team for Arcos Dorados was working hard to both increase the pipeline and accelerate the pace of openings. Increase the quantity, but sustaining the quality of the openings, we are doing because we will always remain focused on our proven underwriting process to maximize ROI. As you have heard and seen with our first quarter results, we have had a very strong start of the year with both top line and profitability ahead of expectations.

We are setting a new pace for our plan of openings for this year. Given the fact that we already made 16 restaurant openings in the Q1 , including 14 freestanding, which put us on pace to exceed opening guidance by around 10 additional restaurants. Notably, recent openings have been performing very well, with returns above expectations. With the potential we mentioned in our call in January that we see the potential to open at least 1,000 new restaurants in the next 10 years, we are confident that we will be able to continue securing and developing sites for highly profitable new restaurant.

As important as unit growth is for the long term, it's important to say that recent trends have been driven much more by organic growth in our existing footprint, which, by the way, still has room for improvement as well. We are very pleased with the way we are balancing our growth between the organic growth and the new restaurant openings. We are very confident in our pipeline of new restaurants, particularly for freestanding units, and recent results have been outstanding. A very good outlook in this sense.

Daniel Schleiniger
VP of Investor Relations, Arcos Dorados

Great. Thanks, Marcelo. Our next question comes from Steven Grey of Grey Value Management. Steven thanks us for the presentation and congratulates us on a very strong quarter under very challenging circumstances, and asks that we address a note that we have in our release related to net debt. That net debt rose due to the decline in the value of the derivative instruments we used to swap some of our U.S. dollar debt into BRL. He asked us to provide a little more color on how that works, and how the derivatives are structured and how that might drive value, you know, lower or higher. Over to you, Mariano.

Mariano Tannenbaum
CFO, Arcos Dorados

Perfect. Thanks, Dan, and thanks, Steven, for the question. Every time that Arcos Dorados issues debt, we go to the U.S. dollar capital markets. We have been doing that since 2009. We think that's the most efficient market that we can access, both in terms of cost reflected in interest rates and in terms of maturities. Not many companies in our region have access to these markets, and we are taking full advantage of that. A proof of that is that in the recent transaction we just described, we obtained the lowest spread over Treasury than we ever got. On top of that, we extended the maturity of our debt from 3.9 years to six years now. Going to the U.S. dollar capital market generates a mismatch between the cash flow we generate in local currency and our liabilities that are reflected in U.S. dollars. We always mention, and that's our policy, to take a very prudent approach to risk management.

That's why we use derivatives in order to convert part of our debt from U.S. dollars to Brazilian reals. To do that, we use derivative instruments. Those derivatives have a mark-to-market price that when the Brazilian real depreciates against the dollar, then our debt goes down together with our lower EBITDA in U.S. dollars. When the Brazilian real appreciates against the dollar, then our debt, sorry, goes up in U.S. dollar terms, as at the same time as our results and our cash flows rises. That's how the derivative works and how our risk management approach works and links. What we are trying to do is to link our cash flow generation with the outflows that we have. What happened in this particular quarter is exactly that. The Brazilian real appreciated against the dollar. We are generating more cash flows in U.S. dollar terms, and the debt is going up. That's how the risk management policy works.

Daniel Schleiniger
VP of Investor Relations, Arcos Dorados

Great. Thanks, Mariano. The next question comes from Ulises Argote. I mentioned earlier that both Thiago and Rodrigo had some overlap in their questions. They also asked similar to what to Ulises, so congratulations on the results. Market share dynamics. How are market shares been performing sort of across the region? Thanks, Ulises, Thiago, and Rodrigo for your questions.

Marcelo Rabach
CEO, Arcos Dorados

Okay. Excellent. According to our research, we increased total market share and visit share gap against our nearest competitors by about three percentage points across the business. This is, I would say, very consistent across the region. Several markets saw year-over-year visit share gains in the mid-single digits. Why is this happening? I would say that there is no silver bullet. We believe that this is a testament to our competitive advantages, and particularly the successful 3D strategy. Our digital platform is driving market share gains for sure, because it is allowing guests to choose where, when, and how to enjoy their McDonald's favorites. We talk a lot about the stickiness of the off-premise sales channels. Luis mentioned some details around that.

For example, if you talk about Brazil, our biggest country, we are the leaders in the entire delivery segment. This includes every player in the marketplace. For example, all the pizza chains in Brazil. We are the leaders of that market, thanks to the consistent way we are working with our partners in Brazil and the coverage of this service across our footprint, leveraging obviously our freestanding units, which are the best units to offer this delivery segment. We are very pleased with the market share gains we saw in recent years, and very pleased that we continue to see those good numbers in the Q1 of 2022.

Daniel Schleiniger
VP of Investor Relations, Arcos Dorados

Great. Thanks, Marcelo. Bob Ford from Bank of America sent us a number of questions. We'll try to break this up a little bit. One relates to what percentage of sales are currently identified. I'll turn that over to you, Luis.

Luis Raganato
COO, Arcos Dorados

All right. Hello, Bob. I will link this question to loyalty program because it's the engine that we are using to increase identifiable sales. Currently, our loyalty program is exclusive to the drive-thru sales. Okay? It's called the Club VIP AutoMac. We have talked about this already. Today, we have, through this program, 4,000,000 identifiable members. Okay? This is generating a 15%-20% increase in frequency, the program plus the number of identifiable members that we have. Today, as we said earlier, we're working on a more comprehensive, and then I would say sophisticated, loyalty program. It's this new program will take the learnings that we're having with the VIP club, with the Club VIP AutoMac and another best practices.

That we're taking from 40 markets that have implemented a loyalty program called MyMcDonald's Rewards. All right, what we expect is to leverage on that and just to build not only on those experiences, but to have our own experience. The good news is that this loyalty program is not only about points or discounts, it's about experience. That's why we have worked so hard to improve our experience in our restaurants. I can tell you that our goal for 2025 is to reach 40% of identifiable sales.

Daniel Schleiniger
VP of Investor Relations, Arcos Dorados

Great. Thanks, Luis. Bob also asked a number of questions related to the family business. What percentage of sales come from families? What proportion of those are Happy Meal, and how should we think about the Happy Meal schedule in terms of promotional properties for this year? I'll pass it over to you, Marcelo.

Marcelo Rabach
CEO, Arcos Dorados

Okay. Yes. The family business used to be, and continues to be, a very important part of our business. Typically it was around 40% of our business directly related with families. Even during the pandemic, when families weren't able to visit our restaurants, they continued to enjoy their favorite meals from home through delivery or visiting us through the drive-thru. This part of the business has recovered very fast. In fact, in many markets we are seeing units per day of Happy Meal sales already above pre-pandemic levels, which is very, very important for us. We know that part of the explanation of why is that happening is our roster of properties for the Happy Meal program this year.

As you may know, we are the only QSR who has a exclusive agreement with Disney. This year, we have some properties coming from our partners Disney, which are very popular. During the weeks that we are offering those kind of properties in many countries, we are seeing record high numbers of Happy Meal sales. We are very pleased with this part of the business that continues to be very important for us, and it is a strategic going forward for the company.

Daniel Schleiniger
VP of Investor Relations, Arcos Dorados

Great. Thanks, Marcelo. We have a couple of questions related to Experience of the Future and self-order kiosk sales. Richard Cathcart from Bradesco, who actually sent two questions. One relates to the increasing guidance with it, which I think we've already addressed for you, Richard. The other one is that we mentioned that half of orders in EOTF restaurants are being made through the self-order kiosks, if we have an idea of sort of where that can go. And related to that, David Herzberg of Stifel asked if you know the average check difference between the self-order kiosk and the front counter. You know, sort of what drives that difference?

Marcelo Rabach
CEO, Arcos Dorados

Okay, great. Let's begin with the first part or the first one. Before the pandemic in 2019, for example, typically in the restaurants where we have self-order kiosks in the EOTF restaurants, we had something around 30% of the guest counts inside the restaurants made through the self-ordering kiosk and 70% still at the front counter. After the pandemic and in recent weeks or months, that number grew to about 50%. More than half of the customers that are visiting us at the restaurants are ordering through the self-ordering kiosk. We already have some of our markets, the ones that introduced EOTF in early stages in 2017, 2018, where this participation of the self-ordering kiosks is already above 70%.

We still see room for improvement in this. We continue to see an increase in the share of orders made through the self-ordering kiosk. The great news about that is that the second question mentioned, typically we see something between 15%-20% better average check, higher average check in the orders made through the self-ordering kiosk. The main reason for that is that there is a lot of intelligence, a lot of thinking about how we display the offers in the self-ordering kiosk. The artificial intelligence that these features have in order to walk through different offers and different products depending on what you are ordering.

That's why typically in this, in these orders, we see not only the higher average check, but a better margin for us. That's why this is so important. That's why we are so encouraged by the results we are seeing in terms of the investments we made in the past and we will continue to make for deploying EOTF across the region.

Daniel Schleiniger
VP of Investor Relations, Arcos Dorados

Perfect. Thanks, Marcelo. One last one here from Bob. He asked about mall store guest counts compared to pre-pandemic levels. Over to you, Luis.

Luis Raganato
COO, Arcos Dorados

All right. Yeah. What we're seeing is today we are still negative versus Q1 2019, but we are very, very close to the normal volumes of that. This is due to the negative impact that we are seeing in the shopping malls overall. All right? I wanted to highlight that in freestanding we are flat versus Q1 2019, and that in U.S. dollars as reported, they are very, very positive. All right.

Daniel Schleiniger
VP of Investor Relations, Arcos Dorados

Perfect. Thanks, Luis. Actually, we don't have any more questions in the queue. Wanted to thank everyone for joining us today, for all your interest in the company and great questions. Look forward to speaking to you again in August on our next earnings webcast. Until then, please stay safe and have a great day.

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