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Earnings Call: Q3 2026

Nov 3, 2026

Summary

Q3 net income reached $84.5 million and Adjusted EBITDA $228.4 million, supported by 94.3% contract operations utilization and record bookings since Q2 2023. FY2026 EBITDA and CapEx guidance were reaffirmed, with customer maintenance deferrals and equipment lead times among key uncertainties.

Operator

Good morning. Welcome to the Archrock Third Quarter 2026 Conference Call. Your host for today's call is Megan Repine, Vice President of Investor Relations at Archrock. I will now turn the call over to Ms. Repine. You may begin.

Megan Repine
VP of Investor Relations, Archrock

Thank you, Jill. Hello, and we appreciate you joining us on today's call. With me today are Brad Childers, President and Chief Executive Officer of Archrock, and Mohit Singh, Chief Financial Officer of Archrock. Yesterday, we released our financial and operating results for the third quarter of 2026. If you have not received a copy, you can find the information on the company's website at www.archrock.com.

During this call, we will make forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934 based on our beliefs and expectations, as well as assumptions made by and information currently available to Archrock's management team. Although management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, it can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct.

Please refer to our latest filings with the SEC for a list of factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements made during this call. In addition, our discussion today will reference certain non-GAAP financial measures, including Adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EPS, adjusted net income, adjusted free cash flow, and adjusted free cash flow after dividend.

For reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to our GAAP financial results, please see yesterday's press release and our Form 8-K furnished to the SEC. I'll now turn the call over to Brad to discuss Archrock's third quarter results and to provide an update on our business.

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

Thank you, Megan, and good morning, everyone. Turning to the quarter, our strong performance reflected the quality of our operating platform and disciplined execution. The results reinforce our confidence in the business and our ability to invest for growth while returning capital to shareholders. Before getting into the financial highlights, I want to recognize what matters most, the safety of our employees.

Safety remains our first priority, and we're proud to have recorded zero recordable injuries in the first three quarters of the year. That performance reflects the focus and discipline of our employees across the organization, and I want to thank them for continuing to look out for one another and operating the right way every day. A few highlights from the quarter.

We delivered robust net income of $84.5 million or $0.48 per share, and Adjusted EBITDA of $228.4 million, supported by strong contract operations fundamentals and strong operating performance across the business. Contract operations utilization remained above 94%, and contract operations adjusted gross margin reached 72%, our eighth consecutive quarter at 70% or higher. The third quarter was our highest bookings quarter since the second quarter of 2023, with year-to-date bookings 13% above the prior year period.

We generated $50 million of adjusted free cash flow and returned $41 million to shareholders through dividends. We ended the quarter with leverage of 2.5 times and dividend coverage of 3.8 times, underscoring our financial strength and capacity to invest in growth while returning capital to shareholders. Overall, our third quarter results reinforce our confidence in the core business and our outlook for the remainder of the year.

Geopolitical volatility continues to underscore the criticality of secure and reliable energy supplies from stable regions and the long-term strategic value of U.S. natural gas. Domestic production is reaching record levels, with 2026 volumes expected to grow approximately 2% or 2.3 BCF per day, and Permian volumes approximately 6% or 1.4 BCF per day, both from 2025 levels, as associated gas production outpaces oil growth.

At the same time, new Permian takeaway capacity is coming online. Hugh Brinson phase I entered service in the third quarter, and Blackcomb is currently ramping. Together, these projects add approximately 4 BCF per day of additional capacity, with another 11 BCF per day planned by 2030. On the demand side, LNG remains the largest and most visible source of long-term growth.

Industry forecasts point to LNG-related natural gas demand increasing from approximately 18 BCF per day in 2026 to 34 BCF per day by 2030 and 40 BCF per day by 2035. Beyond LNG, growing power demand from data centers and other industrial users represents another meaningful source of potential upside. Together, these supply and demand trends are driving the need for additional compression capacity.

Our customers are preparing to serve growth across LNG, power generation, and other end markets, and we're supporting them through reliable service and disciplined investment in the capacity they need. That opportunity is evident in contract operations, where healthy customer demand is translating into stronger bookings, high utilization and continued requirements for compression equipment. Bookings increased sequentially, making the third quarter our highest bookings quarter since the second quarter of 2023, and bringing year-to-date bookings 13% above the prior year period.

Permian bookings were the highest in a year, as rising gas-to-oil ratios and an improving production outlook continued to drive compression demand. We exited the quarter at a strong 94.3% utilization, reflecting healthy customer demand and the quality of our fleet. Operating horsepower increased approximately 21,000 sequentially. We expect to put additional idle equipment back to work by year-end as we continue to meet customer demand.

Contract operations revenue increased approximately 1.5% year-over-year to $331 million, despite the sale of approximately 112,000 non-strategic operating horsepower since the prior year period. Revenue per horsepower per month increased 4% year-over-year to $24.38. Adjusted gross margin remained excellent at 72%.

Higher lube oil prices and make-ready costs associated with returning idle equipment to service created near-term cost pressure. Through disciplined cost management and our relentless pursuit of operating efficiencies, our operations team was able to offset these headwinds and sustain strong third quarter margins. CAT engine lead times remain extended at over 180 weeks, reinforcing the importance of securing equipment to support our customers' growth.

Our financial strength and market position allow us to plan for these requirements and deploy new horsepower through a disciplined returns-based investment program. Moving to our aftermarket services segment, we continued to see customers defer major maintenance activity during the quarter. The timing of this work can be lumpy and difficult to predict, and our near-term visibility remains limited. Against that backdrop, profitability was a strong point in the quarter, however, reflecting disciplined execution and our continued focus on higher quality, higher margin work.

Turning to capital allocation, we remain disciplined and returns-focused, balancing high-return growth investment, durable shareholder returns, and balance sheet strength. For 2026, we're reaffirming growth capital expenditures of $250 to 275 million to meet customer demand. Looking further ahead, the outlook we outlined last quarter continues to support $1.4 to 1.6 billion of cumulative growth capital investment from 2027 through 2030 to fund the purchase of approximately 1 million horsepower, predominantly in large horsepower and electric motor drive new build compression.

Strong demand fundamentals and attractive returns reinforce our confidence in this investment outlook. We plan to return 25% to 35% of operating cash flow to shareholders through continued dividend growth and opportunistic share repurchases. Our quarterly dividend of $0.23 per share is approximately 10% higher year over year, supported by strong dividend coverage.

We also retain approximately $113 million of share repurchase authorization, providing flexibility to act opportunistically when we see attractive value in our shares. After funding these growth investments and shareholder returns, we expect to continue to generate free cash flow. Together with leverage of 2.5 times, comfortably below our long-term target of 3 times-3.5 times, that cash flow gives us capacity to selectively pursue inorganic opportunities that complement our core business, strengthen our platform, and meet our disciplined return criteria.

In summary, bookings momentum and high utilization reflect durable demand for compression capacity. Our cash flow and balance sheet give us the flexibility to invest alongside our customers while maintaining meaningful shareholder returns. We remain focused on deploying capital at attractive returns, supporting long-term customer growth, and creating sustainable value for shareholders. With that, I'll turn the call over to Mohit Singh to walk through our third quarter results and 2026 outlook.

Mohit Singh
CFO, Archrock

Thanks, Brad, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us. Let's review our third quarter results and then discuss our current financial outlook for the balance of 2026. Third quarter net income was $84.5 million, or $0.48 per share, up from $71.2 million, or $0.40 per share in the third quarter of 2025.

Excluding transaction-related costs and restructuring charges, and adjusting for the associated tax impact, adjusted net income was $84.7 million, or $0.49 per share, up from $73.2 million, or $0.42 per share in the third quarter of 2025. We delivered Adjusted EBITDA of $228.4 million for the third quarter of 2026, up from $220.9 million in the third quarter of 2025.

This year-over-year increase was driven by lower SG&A expense, which more than offset lower gross margin dollars in contract operations, AMS, and a lower net gain on the sale of non-strategic compression and other assets. The comparison also includes a $9.9 million sales and use tax audit benefit recorded in contract operations cost of sales in the prior year quarter that did not recur.

In the third quarter, total CapEx was $117.9 million, including $78.4 million of growth CapEx, $33.3 million of maintenance CapEx, and $6.2 million of other CapEx. Turning to our business segments, contract operations revenue came in at $331 million in the third quarter, up 1.5% compared to the third quarter of 2025. This year-over-year increase further reflected higher rates, partially offset by active horsepower sales to high-grade our fleet.

Contract operations adjusted gross margin percentage was 72% in the third quarter, compared with 73% in the year-ago quarter. The year-over-year decline primarily reflected the previously mentioned absence of the $9.9 million net benefit from certain sales and use tax audit settlements recorded in the prior year period, along with higher make-ready costs to return idle compression equipment to service and lube oil cost headwinds.

Through disciplined cost management and our continued pursuit of operating efficiencies, we offset those headwinds with a lower lube oil purchase volume, parts expense, employee compensation, and benefits expense. In our aftermarket services segment, third quarter 2026 revenue was $40 million, compared to $56 million in the third quarter of 2025.

The decline was driven primarily by reduced customer demand for major maintenance activity, as some customers continued to defer work and the timing of planned maintenance remained difficult to predict, as well as lower parts sales. Adjusted gross margin percentage was 23% in the quarter, unchanged from 23% in the year-ago period, reflecting disciplined execution and our continued focus on higher quality, higher margin work, even in a challenging market.

T urning to the balance sheet, we ended the quarter in a strong financial position, with long-term debt of $2.3 billion as of September 30th. Our leverage ratio was 2.5 times at quarter end, down from 3.1 times a year ago, and comfortably below our long-term target range. That improvement reflects the strength of our earnings growth and cash flow profile, giving us financial flexibility as we continue to invest in the fleet and explore strategic opportunities.

On shareholder returns, our board recently declared a quarterly dividend of $0.23 per share, or $0.92 per share annualized, consistent with our prior quarterly dividend and up approximately 10% from the third quarter of last year. Dividend coverage remains strong at 3.8 times in the third quarter, demonstrating the sustainability of our return of capital framework.

The third quarter dividend is payable November 10 to stockholders of record at the close of business on November 3. We ended September with $113.2 million of remaining capacity under our authorization, which gives us meaningful flexibility to be disciplined and opportunistic, using buybacks alongside the dividend and growth investments to enhance long-term shareholder returns when market conditions are attractive.

Since the inception of the share repurchase program in April 2023, we have repurchased approximately 4.6 million shares at an average price of $20.91 per share, for a total of $96.9 million. Based on our third quarter performance and expectations for the fourth quarter, we are reaffirming our full year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $865 to 885 million.

Strong contract operations performance and disciplined cost management support this outlook, while we continue to manage customer maintenance deferrals in AMS and near-term lube oil and make-ready cost pressures. We are also reaffirming our 2026 total CapEx guidance of $400 to 445 million, including $250 to 275 million of growth capital to meet customer demand, $125 to 135 million of maintenance capital, and $25 to 35 million of other capital, primarily for new vehicles.

We expect to fund growth investment through operating cash flow, supplemented by proceeds from non-strategic asset sales as we continue to high-grade our fleet. With that, I'll turn the call back to Jill to begin the Q&A.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we will conduct the question-and-answer session. To ask a question, you will need to press star oneone on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star oneone again. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from the line of Eli Jossen with JPMorgan. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Eli Jossen
VP of Equity Research, JPMorgan

Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking the question. Maybe just start on the bookings commentary, which stood as a bit of a departure from your typical demand framing. Can you walk us through the conversion timeline from bookings to revenue and how these are trending on pricing and margin relative to the existing contracted fleet?

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

Good morning. There was a lot in that question. Let me address the bookings first and then talk about margins second. On the booking side, what we've seen overall in this most recent 12 to 18-month period environment has been relatively stable, but flat utilization, and overall somewhat flat horsepower growth. That has, I think, reflected a bit of some of the external factors, including export, transport capacity coming out of the Permian, pent-up activity from some of the customers.

What we're seeing with pipelines coming online, LNG projects coming online, is our customers starting to ramp up to address what is going to be a period of, we expect, future growth. So that's, I think, some of what we're seeing in the business. It's reflected in our bookings activity, and that's what we wanted to share.

On margin, you can still see just strong pricing environment, close to record revenue per horsepower, dollars per horsepower on the revenue side per month, and really strong overall margins and profitability in the business. So it's just a really solid environment to see both growth and of a really good margin, high-return business.

Eli Jossen
VP of Equity Research, JPMorgan

Got it. That's helpful. Then, obviously, some tailwinds in SG&A this quarter. Just want to get a sense of where we kind of bridge from 3Q to 4Q within the guide, and think about what SG&A might look like sequentially, and then broader, any kind of key items we should think about going into year-end. Thanks.

Mohit Singh
CFO, Archrock

Yeah, thanks, Eli. This is Mohit. I will take that. So when you look at SG&A, that decline was primarily related to the stock price-driven changes in the long-term incentive program expense. So there was a large sequential swing as we went from Q2 to Q3, with the Q3 LTI reflecting a credit rather than an expense, as opposed to what happened in Q2.

So absent a significant move in the stock price in Q4, we expect SG&A to increase sequentially and get back to the more normal long-term incentive compensation expense range. So the last takeaway I will leave you with is just Q3 SG&A should not be taken as the ongoing run rate, because there were some one-off things that happened there.

Eli Jossen
VP of Equity Research, JPMorgan

Great. Appreciate it. Appreciate the color. Thanks, guys.

Mohit Singh
CFO, Archrock

Yep. Thanks, Eli.

Operator

One moment for our next question. The next question comes from Jim Rollyson with Raymond James. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Jim Rollyson
Director and Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

Hey, good morning, guys. Great job on the margin front, especially given the cost headwinds you have. Brad, given all the noise kind of going on around data centers going into elections today, and obviously the recent retreat in your share price, maybe coupled with the capital program you unveiled a quarter ago, just from a high level, as you look out through 2030 and beyond, anything in your mind changed in any material way in the past 90 days?

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

In short, no. I do think we can't address the macro market or all the drivers of the macro market, but as we are engaged as a country in what is going to be just an amazingly large infrastructure build-out, volatility ahead. We should expect there's going to be more volatility as we are figuring out this investment cycle, working through this investment cycle.

And we are on the strong power driving end of the whip a bit when we think about these macro factors. But none of the fundamentals have changed. The largest uptake for natural gas remains LNG. I outlined that growth profile in my prepared remarks, so I won't repeat it here. And very secondarily, the amount of gas that's going to be required to power data centers is less than a third of that LNG equivalent.

So what we see is strong demand ahead for power, strong demand ahead for natural gas, and really strong demand ahead for natural gas compression. If I were to take the over-under, I still believe the market is more likely to be short of compression equipment than long on compression equipment.

Jim Rollyson
Director and Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

Appreciate that. As a follow-up, AMS, I think last quarter you made mention, as it was kind of underwhelming with deferred maintenance, that it's a pay me now or pay me later type of business. Obviously, not a material change sequentially as you kind of head into Q4 and maybe Q1, where seasonally you normally are a little bit softer. Just curious if conversations or if you guys have done any analysis to kind of figure out how long can they kind of defer things until they actually have to come back and pay you later?

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

Jim, it's a really fair question and really hard, I'll just admit, very hard to answer. There's not really analysis that we can do on the customer's equipment to figure that out. What I'll give you the analogy for is that, like refineries and other businesses where pricing can make an impact as to how different operators think about their business,

it's a time when the run-to-failure mode in the compression space by some of our customers is preferable so they can maximize their current near-term revenue, knowing that the future oil price is, especially if we have a cessation of hostilities in the Middle East, is likely to return to a lower level. Because of that, they're maximizing now and deferring maintenance. I don't really have a clock or a calendar that is going to give us that insight, but it is what we have experienced historically, and we expect to see that come back again.

Mohit Singh
CFO, Archrock

Jim, maybe let me build on what Brad said is, I mean, the focus for us just remains on disciplined execution and profitability rather than just chasing volumes. As you see from the numbers, profitability remains solid, and we are well-positioned to capture the maintenance activity as and when it returns.

Jim Rollyson
Director and Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

Yep. Appreciate that, guys. Thank you.

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

Thank you.

Operator

One moment for our next question. The next question comes from the line of Doug Irwin with Citi. Go ahead, your line is open.

Doug Irwin
VP, Citi

Hi, team. Thanks for the question. Maybe another one on margins, just on the OPEX side. Could you just talk a bit more about where you were able to offset some of the higher costs that you've talked about, maybe how durable some of those efforts might be, and what that can mean for your gross margin trajectory into 2027 and beyond?

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

Yes, we can share some. Number one, on the lube oil side, we were able to moderate, and we're working very aggressively to moderate lube oil volumes in the face of these cost pressures. That's one opportunity. Another opportunity that we've exercised is, as you've seen the decline in the AMS business, we've been able to repurpose some of our internal labor to work in our contract operations segment, and that displaces some higher-cost external labor that we were bringing in.

Those are two of the more substantial opportunities that we've taken advantage of. I'm just going to say to the operating team listening right now, they just did a great job of responding to the pressures in this environment. It's really just an example of great execution across the board, maximizing every opportunity to offset that lube oil cost headwind that we encountered.

Doug Irwin
VP, Citi

That is helpful. Maybe a follow-up on horsepower additions. Could you maybe just give an update on where you are trending relative to that 170,000 horsepower target that you talked about back when you gave initial guidance? It feels like maybe fourth quarter is trending to be a pretty strong quarter here in that regard, so just curious how you are thinking about fleet additions in the context of your annual guide and what might be some pretty strong momentum into next year here.

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

Doug, you are right. We do expect that the fourth quarter is going to be a strong quarter for deliveries. We have taken delivery of about 125,000 horsepower year to date, leaving approximately 50,000 that we will take delivery of in Q4. We will start as much of that as is contracted to start in the quarter, but some of that obviously is going to impact Q1 more than in addition to Q4. We are expecting a strong Q4 for equipment deliveries.

Doug Irwin
VP, Citi

Great. Thanks for the time.

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

Thanks.

Operator

One moment for the next question. The next question comes from the line of Nate Pendleton with Texas Capital. Go ahead, your line is open.

Nate Pendleton
VP, Texas Capital

Good morning, and congrats on the quarter. For Mohit Singh, can you provide an update on how your team is looking at capital allocation here, given the dividend repurchase authorization and growth outlook, acknowledging that you didn't lean into the repurchase this quarter?

Mohit Singh
CFO, Archrock

Yeah. Thanks, Nate, and good morning. You're right. When we think of capital allocation, it's essentially balancing three things. One is looking at growth investments that we can reinvest back into acquiring more horsepower, generating more free cash flow, and then balancing it in a prudent way with shareholder returns. In our prepared remarks, you heard the board authorize $0.23 per share quarterly dividend, which annualizes to $0.92 per share for the full year.

Overall, our strategy is to return 25% to 35% of operating cash flow back to the shareholders through a combination of repeatable dividends, but also complemented by opportunistic buybacks. With buybacks, as you very well will appreciate, it's about trying to buy back stocks when the market conditions are favorable, and then we are also in an open window.

Just did not happen in Q3, and as a result, we did not do much buybacks. But if you look at our overall track record since the inception of the program, we have bought about 4.6 million shares at $20.91 per share. We remain overall very committed to shareholder returns, and as and when the conditions are right, you'll see us stand and be ready to buy back when the stock presents an attractive buyback opportunity.

Nate Pendleton
VP, Texas Capital

Great. Thanks for all that detail. As my follow-up, I wanted to circle back to the bookings. Can you talk about if those bookings were primarily with existing customers, or are there any noteworthy wins within those deals?

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

Given the breadth of our customer base, it's almost always going to be the case that they are primarily with existing customers. Without going down the list of customers live, I believe that that's still going to be the right assumption, that it's predominantly with our existing customer base.

Nate Pendleton
VP, Texas Capital

Understood. Thanks for taking my questions.

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

Thank you.

Operator

One moment for the next question. The next question comes from the line of Steve Ferazani with Sidoti. Please go ahead, your line is open.

Michael Mathison
Analyst, Sidoti

This is Michael Mathison sitting in for Steve. I want to come back to the question of bookings. Do you see demand growth growing outside the Permian, or is all the growth still concentrated in the Permian? Do you see growth in other basins, is I guess what I'm asking.

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

We do see growth outside the Permian. I mean, the Permian's going to remain the attractor of CapEx for the industry for a while. It's a monster basin in size, and it's the most cost-effective basin from a production perspective on cost. Fortunately, we saw more growth outside the Permian than we saw in the Permian, including in the Rockies, which was our largest growth area in the quarter.

We also saw incremental growth in the Haynesville and in the Mid-Continent area. So, right now, the Permian accounted for between 30% to 40% of the growth we saw in the quarter. More growth outside the Permian in this period.

Michael Mathison
Analyst, Sidoti

Excellent. Thank you. That's very helpful. Just a follow-up question on bookings. Your bookings are up 13% year to date, and you're effectively running at maximum utilization. Do you see customers starting to book further into the future as a result to sort of guarantee access to equipment?

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

Yes and no. We see a mix of customers that are very driven to secure equipment well in advance, and it's balanced by the customers that don't. So, I can't generalize across the board to say that all the customers are actually behaving that way, but we do see a mix of some that are very good planners and others that are candidly less planful and depending upon us to be there for them when they place their orders.

Michael Mathison
Analyst, Sidoti

Well, thank you. That's very helpful, and that runs me out of questions. Congratulations on the quarter.

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

Thank you.

Operator

One moment for our next question. The next question comes from the line of Elvira Scotto with RBC Capital Markets. Go ahead, your line is open.

Elvira Scotto
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Hey, thank you. Good morning. You highlighted that one of the cost headwinds was make-ready costs as you kind of bring idle capacity kind of back online. Where are you in that process, and where can we see those cost headwinds subside?

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

At 94% utilization, those costs, they spiked a bit this year because we just happened to have a period of time where we're putting more of our existing fleet back to work than the new build. They will moderate a bit in the future. I'm going to say, however, that among the dollars I like investing the most is dollars to put that equipment back to work. It just shows the strength of this business continues to improve our overall return on invested capital and returns to our investors.

Mohit Singh
CFO, Archrock

The one thing I'll add to what Brad said, Elvira, is, I mean, if you look at our overall operating expense per horsepower trend, on a quarterly basis, it trended down. So, despite having higher lube oil headwinds and higher make-ready expense, through prudent management of exposure and through efficient efforts on net labor expenditure, overall, when you roll it up, we were able to trend it down. So, a lot of credit goes to our teams for working towards that very prudently.

Elvira Scotto
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Thank you. That's helpful. My next question is, I mean, I know you talked about margins and what's driving margins, but I'm curious, you've made investments in technology initiatives, you talk about telemetry, potentially AI. How much of that is playing into margin improvement, and where are we sort of in that process there in terms of, I don't know if you want to talk in, like, what inning are we in realizing benefits from these initiatives that you've undertaken over the years?

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

Great question and a fun question to be able to address, Elvira. Thank you. When we look at the overall gross margin and the improvement you've seen consistently on a year-over-year basis now for several years, it reflects a few dynamics, one of which you cited, and I'm going to come back to. Fundamentally, it reflects the transformation of our fleet and focus on large horsepower and electric motor drive to significant drivers in our overall profitability.

But the technology investments we've made are absolutely a part of this continuous improvement that we're seeing in our operations, in our customer service, and in our gross margin performance. We do expect to continue to invest in technology. We have deployed both automation, we've deployed great telemetry, we're deploying artificial intelligence in various components of our field organization today.

I would say that we are probably still in the very early innings of that deployment, which is going to be really beneficial for our customers and for the service quality we offer. I think it is going to continue to put us in the position of driving improvement in gross margin. It should have two impacts. One, the more service we can offer our customers, the more we can help them maintain their production and total downtime.

I believe the larger revenue share we can earn. Secondly, it drives great efficiencies for us internally. So, for both of those reasons, I remain optimistic, as I have been now for years, that we can continue to drive improving profitability in this business as we improve the overall uptime and throughput and gas compression activities for our customers.

Elvira Scotto
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Great. Thank you very much.

Operator

One moment for our next question. The next question comes from the line of Joshua Jayne with Daniel Energy Partners. Go ahead, your line is open.

Joshua Jayne
Managing Director, Daniel Energy Partners

Thanks for taking my questions. First one is just on the Caterpillar lead times. You cited 180 weeks, and it sounds like it is getting better, not worse. Maybe if you could just discuss how things are unfolding and maybe how your scaling relationship might be helping with that, and just what you are seeing and hearing from them would be helpful to start. Thanks.

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

Lead times have come down. Caterpillar has communicated that. I never speak for Caterpillar, but I will say they've invested in improving their throughput and addressing this high-demand market. Candidly, they're addressing it really well. We've been in the position to be able to obtain equipment that we need, though we have ordered equipment in advance.

Lead times are out there, but Caterpillar is making deliveries, and we're receiving them. We do think that the high-demand market that we're in, I think lead times are going to remain extended. If you place orders and plan your business prudently, you can get equipment, and that's the position that we are in.

Joshua Jayne
Managing Director, Daniel Energy Partners

My second one, you unpacked a little bit in answering your last question, but I just wanted to follow up on the commentary about investing in automation, AI, et cetera. Could you maybe discuss what percentage of the fleet do you think is upgradable to some of those components, and just how you're thinking about that over the next couple of years, and how the responses and the economics that make sense for the customers would be just helpful to go into a little bit more detail. Then I'll turn it back. Thanks.

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

Starting off with the fleet, 100% of our fleet is connected with telemetry. That brings us lots of data on a daily basis that comes in a more centralized system into a large data engine that allows us to sort through, see the activity, prioritize the activity, and respond to the activity. So, the entire fleet is connected, communicating, and giving us good data and better information around which to assess, diagnose, troubleshoot, and respond to our customers.

Similarly, we have good automation around how we manage our parts business to part up both our locations and our techs before they hit location. Then we also have good communication technology for our mechanics to access the information regarding that unit. All of that is working together. It's not just about what the individual units can do.

It's what the overall process and systems that we've invested in can accomplish and do. So, it's a high percentage. What we're seeing, however, is just the opportunity to continue to implement and get coordination in the field with that data so that we are constantly smarter, because the unit's making us smarter, and the mechanic has access to the information, parts that the mechanic needs to respond more timely and more fully to address customer downtime. So, it's not just the units, it's the entire system, and it's working actually really well.

Joshua Jayne
Managing Director, Daniel Energy Partners

Thanks. I will turn it back.

Operator

One moment. Our last question comes from the line of Nick Amicucci with Evercore. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Nick Amicucci
Director Equity Research, Evercore

Hey. Good morning, everyone. Just wanted to kind of touch upon, if we could, too, just if we could distinguish kind of the direct awards from the broader market. You guys have kind of cited LNG exports and power generation as the long-term natural gas demand drivers. Just kind of thinking through, where are those awards kind of going to be identifiable for you guys? It can be gathering, processing, transmission, on that side of the house, if we could just kind of parse that out.

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

Nick, I want to make sure I understand the question. You are wanting to get a take on what part of the demand impacts us directly. Is it gathering? Is it gas lift? Is it transportation on larger pipelines?

Nick Amicucci
Director Equity Research, Evercore

Right.

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

Am I understanding your question?

Nick Amicucci
Director Equity Research, Evercore

Yeah.

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

Okay. Look, our business really comes into two primary segments. One is gathering in the oil field with centralized gathering systems. That is dominated by large horsepower, the equipment that we are primarily investing in, and that includes both gas drive as well as electric motor drive. The second part of our business, between 35% and 40% of our business, is directly on gas lift to assist with oil production. So, those are the two segments where we see the awards very directly and the activity with our customers very directly that are going to continue to support growth in our business.

Nick Amicucci
Director Equity Research, Evercore

Perfect. That makes sense. If I could, just given you guys are somewhat more of the picks and shovels type of play here, just as we think about kind of the bookings and the strong bookings within this quarter, if we wanted to kind of get an idea and just kind of the visibility into 2027 and just kind of how those bookings then translate into revenue and kind of the margin accretion behind it. So basically just the timing from bookings to revenue.

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

Well, we have not guided 2027. We are not yet guiding 2027. We will do that in our fourth quarter call. But when you look ahead at the year and the CapEx spend that we have projected, the primary variables you will want to think about are going to be our utilization and the incremental horsepower that gets added because of the investment in new build horsepower.

Both of those are going to indicate, I think, the opportunity for us to grow and to have a very strong delivery of horsepower and horsepower growth in 2027. As far as the timing of the cycle, typically between booking, I am sorry. Let me back up and say that right now, it is almost impossible to gauge because of the extended lead times that we have for equipment.

Normally speaking, if we had a 52-week lead time, the timing from booking to revenue would be something like, instead of one year, it would be a year and a quarter. As soon as we receive equipment, it usually goes to work very promptly. It is a very capital-efficient business in that regard. But with lead times out through 2029, it is the timeframe for bookings, that booking cycle to first revenue is way extended.

Nick Amicucci
Director Equity Research, Evercore

Got it. Makes sense.

Operator

Thank you. There are no more questions, and so now I would like to turn the call back over to Mr. Childers for final remarks.

Brad Childers
President and CEO, Archrock

Thank you for joining us today, everyone, and for your continued interest in Archrock. We look forward to updating you following our next quarter's results. Thanks, everyone.

Operator

Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect.