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Earnings Call: Q2 2022

Aug 11, 2022

Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to the AvePoint, Inc. second quarter 2022 earnings conference call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. Please note this event is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the conference over to Marc Griffin. Please go ahead.

Marc Griffin
VP of Investor Relations, AvePoint

Thank you. Good afternoon, and welcome to AvePoint's second quarter 2022 earnings call. Today we'll be discussing the results announced in our press release issued after the market closed. With me on the call this afternoon is the Chief Executive Officer, Dr. TJ Jiang, and Jim Caci, Chief Financial Officer. TJ will begin with a brief review of the business results for the second quarter ended June 30th, 2022. Jim will then review the financial results for the second quarter, followed by the company's outlook for the third quarter and full year of 2022. We will then open up the call for questions. Please note that this call will include forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from management's current expectations.

We encourage you to review the safe harbor statements contained in our press release for a more complete description. All material in the webcast is the sole property and copyright of AvePoint, with all rights reserved. Please note that this presentation describes certain non-GAAP measures, including non-GAAP operating income and non-GAAP operating margin, which are not GAAP measures prepared in accordance with the U.S. GAAP. The non-GAAP measures are presented in this presentation as we believe they provide investors with a means of evaluating and understanding how the company's management evaluates the company's operating performance. These non-GAAP measures should not be considered in isolation from and as substitutes for or superior to the financial measures prepared in accordance with the U.S. GAAP.

For listeners who do not have a copy of the quarter ended June 30th press release, you may obtain one by visiting the investor relations section of the company's website. With that, let me turn the call over to TJ.

TJ Jiang
CEO, AvePoint

Thank you, Marc, and thank you to everyone joining us on the call today. In our last call, I closed by reinforcing how important it is to grow while being prudent with expenditures in the highly dynamic market we're entering. Today, amidst the challenging and uncertain macroeconomic environment, I'm pleased to share AvePoint continue to show its proven ability to do just that. Our total revenue for the quarter was $55.7 million at the upper end of our guidance and would have exceeded our guidance range if not for the strong FX headwind we faced in the quarter. This was driven by strong SaaS revenue of $27.6 million, up 34% from the same period 2021. We grew total ARR 28% year-over-year to $178.2 million. Technology plays an important role for organizations across every sector.

Every customer I speak with believes there's a real opportunity to overcome today's challenges with technology that secures digital collaboration data, sustains connection between people, and ensures business resiliency. We transform data and collaboration so users can be more productive with the latest cloud services and drive efficiency in delivery and management of those services for infrastructure and operations leaders. We do this through the AvePoint Confidence Platform, which helps organizations using cloud services, including Microsoft 365, Google, Salesforce, and more than a half dozen additional cloud collaboration platforms, move faster, become more agile, reduce costs, and improve productivity. With Gartner predicting spending on public cloud services to grow more than 20% in 2022, the AvePoint Confidence Platform and our purpose-built industry solutions are well-positioned to enable organizations to collaborate with confidence in the modern workplace.

Organizations in every industry continue to choose our resiliency to ensure business continuity and compliance with data retention and other regulatory guidelines. With AvePoint, a global leader in recruiting services can confidently accelerate adoption of its Salesforce environment by complying with GDPR and reducing the threat of downtime, which can cost the organization EUR 5 million per day. Federal agencies like National Endowment for the Humanities have strict retention policies to address regulations such as the Freedom of Information Act. They can quickly and confidently recover years-old Microsoft 365 files necessary to its work with AvePoint. We continue our work with Asian Development Bank to protect its 15 TB of data to mitigate risks from ransomware attacks, ensure business continuity, maintain the public's trust, and protect its reputation.

Our Resilience Suite preserves data integrity as organizations transform from one system to the next, capturing data for compliance or integrating SaaS applications to streamline the way users work. With AvePoint, the IRS migrated multiple workloads from legacy systems to Microsoft 365 to modernize its collaboration environment. AvePoint also worked with one of the world's most recognizable food producers with more than 20 production facilities across the U.S., Canada, and Bahamas to migrate Microsoft 365 following an acquisition that adhere to all GDPR regulations and privacy laws, all while ensuring business continuity during the transformation. Our Control Suite provides differentiated value to infrastructure and operations leaders delivering central services at scale. As a result, organizations can better maximize their digital transformation investments with greater control over their budgets, licenses, users, and workspaces.

We're accelerating adoption of a digital workplace program by automating service delivery for a Fortune 250 company specializing in engineering solutions with more than 336 manufacturing locations in 50 countries. We're also helping a large multinational manufacturing company based in Germany manage its growing SaaS operations and increase Microsoft 365 adoption for its 6,500 employee workforce spread across 40 sites. During the quarter, we reinforced our commitment to help businesses continue to mitigate risks, protect business-critical applications, and drive productivity with added support for protecting Microsoft Azure workloads, which capture more than 20% of all public cloud spend. We also added four of our existing solutions on Microsoft AppSource, an online cloud marketplace providing tailored line of business solutions. This creates a more seamless experience for businesses, shortens their purchasing cycle, and helps them combat evolving workplace trends and challenges quicker.

We also continue to garner industry recognition for our innovation. This quarter, we were named a leader in online backup software by G2, and a representative vendor in the 2022 Gartner Market Guide for Backup as a Service. Our work powering digital transformation led to our recognition as a finalist for the 2022 Microsoft Partner of the Year Awards in the education and government categories, chosen from more than 3,900 nominations across 100 countries. Our purpose-built platform powering inspiring and transformative learning experiences won the 2022 EdTech Breakthrough Award, one of the world's most prestigious awards programs recognizing outstanding educational products. At the end of June, we completed our acquisition of United Kingdom-based Combined Knowledge, a leader in the development and delivery of collaboration, education, and support.

We're confident this move will enable us not only to bring a robust end-to-end experience to our customers to accelerate the adoption of their investments in digital transformation, but also advance our SaaS modern learning product line's domain expertise around corporate learning and higher education. We continue to see a powerful snowball effect from our growing channel business, launched just over one year ago, which provides small and mid-sized businesses with the same enterprise-grade technology available to Fortune 500 businesses. Our channel ecosystem expansion is continuing in line with our geographic and market segment expansion. Our MSP business, primarily focused on the SMB market, continues this robust year-over-year triple-digit sales growth amidst an environment of tremendous consolidation. We're finding that as larger MSPs already invested with AvePoint acquire smaller MSPs, we continue to be chosen as a partner of choice for scale, efficiency, and security.

We continue to meet the needs of our evolving channel ecosystem with the AvePoint certification program. As of end of the quarter, it has resulted in 1,100 certifications and more than 3,000 hours of training completed. This means more partner engineers, pre-sales teams, and product specialists have been trained in our industry-leading technology to best use it to design custom solutions that enable them to source more business and exceed competitors. We also saw success with our existing customer base as they continue their cloud transformation and look to gain more value from their own cloud investments. We worked with a ten-year customer of ours, a Fortune 100 financial service organization known for serving the unique needs of nonprofits, institutions, and educators across the United States, to create a secure collaboration service in its new Microsoft 365 deployment.

The number of our customers with over $100,000 in ARR increased to 383 in Q2, up 34% year-over-year. Before Jim goes over the numbers, I want to touch on the share repurchase activity. Through June 30th, 2022, we have repurchased approximately $10 million in shares since announcing our share repurchase plan. In summary, we continue to execute on our mission to enable organizations to collaborate with confidence in the modern workplace amidst uncertain macroeconomic times. With that, I'll turn it over to Jim to discuss our financial results in more detail.

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

Thank you, TJ, and good afternoon, everyone. As I review our second quarter results today, please note that I'll be referring to non-GAAP metrics unless otherwise noted. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financials is included in today's earnings release, which is available on our website. Total revenues for the second quarter ended June 30th, 2022 were $55.7 million, up 23% year-over-year and up 31% in constant currency. Within total revenue, SaaS revenue came in at $27.6 million, up 34% year-over-year and up 43% in constant currency. SaaS revenue constituted 50% of total revenue, compared to 45% of total revenue last year.

Term license revenue came in at $14 million, up 26% year-over-year, or 33% in constant currency, and constituted 25% of total revenue compared to 24% of total revenue last year. As a reminder, more than 50% of our revenue comes from international operations, which do business in currencies other than the U.S. dollar, predominantly Japanese yen, euro, and the British pound. During the quarter, we experienced a strong foreign exchange headwind due to the strength of the dollar, which affected revenue by approximately 3%. This headwind is primarily against our revenue and ARR metrics and not our profitability metrics due to the global nature of our operations. As of the quarter end, we had total ARR of $178.2 million, representing growth of 28% from a year ago and 29% adjusting for FX impacts.

Our core ARR ended the quarter at $166.6 million, up 26% year-over-year. As customers continue their cloud transformation and expand their SaaS operations, our average core ARR per account continues to grow as well. At quarter end, the average core ARR per account was approximately $39,500, which represented an increase of 10% year-over-year. This growth was driven by 383 customers with ARR of over $100,000, up 34% from the prior year period. Our core ARR dollar-based net retention rate for the quarter was 106% or 107% adjusted for FX impacts. Now, let's review the income statement in more detail.

Gross profit in the quarter was $41 million, representing a gross margin of 73.6% compared to 74.8% in the year-ago period. The slight margin decline is the result of our business mix and the impact of FX. Going forward, we are continuing to drive our sales efforts towards our fastest-growing revenue stream, our SaaS solutions. At the same time, we expect service revenue as a percentage of overall revenue to decline by transitioning more of these services to our channel partners, resulting in overall margin improvement. Sales and marketing expenses were $23.8 million or 43% of revenue compared to 42% of revenue a year ago. This represents an increase of $4.6 million year-over-year.

This was driven by an increase in headcount and personnel-related expenses as we expanded our sales and customer success organizations as well as additional marketing spend as we invested in both our media and event strategies. We have grown our sales and marketing headcount by 8% year-over-year. The increase in headcount has resulted in a $2.2 million increase in total compensation, primarily driven by salary and benefits. Programmatic spend in marketing is up $1.8 million year-over-year, primarily driven by brand awareness efforts and marketing events. R&D expense was $6.9 million or 12% of revenue compared to 8% or $3.8 million in a year ago period. A year-over-year increase of $3.1 million or 81%.

Our headcount was up 54% compared to last year as we continue to invest in the development of innovative technologies that help our customers stay competitive amidst evolving workplace trends and digital transformation. G&A expense was $11 million or 20% of revenue compared to 16% or $7.3 million in the year ago period. This represents an increase of $3.7 million year over year. The increase in G&A expense largely reflects an increase in people and infrastructure-related expenses associated with being a public company in the current year versus being a private company a year ago, including an approximate 18% increase in our headcount. Non-GAAP operating loss was $1.3 million compared to an operating income of $3.3 million in the year ago period.

Turning to the balance sheet and cash flow, we ended the quarter with $246.6 million in cash and short-term investments. Cash used in operations was approximately $475,000 in the quarter, while free cash flow, which includes CapEx, was a negative $1.7 million. Our use of cash in the quarter was in line with our expectations. In Q2, we continued to purchase shares under our stock buyback program, and through June 30th, 2022, we have repurchased approximately 1.9 million shares at an aggregate purchase price of approximately $10 million. I would now like to turn to our outlook for the third quarter and the full year 2022. We are confident in the long-term durability and predictability of our growth.

At the same time, we wanna be cautious given the recent macro headwinds we saw in the last couple weeks of the quarter. Our revised guidance assumes these trends will continue for the remainder of the year. Since March 31st, 2022, we have seen an incremental strengthening of the U.S. dollar, resulting in foreign exchange headwind in fiscal 2022. We now expect the total FX impact to be approximately $4.8 million on our ARR and approximately $5 million on our revenue. For the third quarter, total revenue is expected to be in the range of $62 million-$64 million or approximately 17% year-over-year growth, 23% adjusted for constant currency. Non-GAAP operating income is expected to be in the range of $1 million-$2 million.

For the full year 2022, total revenue is expected to be in the range of $230 million-$234 million or approximately 21% year-over-year growth, 26% adjusted for constant currency. non-GAAP operating income is expected to be in the range of a loss of $3.5 million to income of $1 million. ARR is expected to be in the range of $202 million-$206 million or approximately 28% year-over-year growth, 31% adjusted for FX impact. In summary, I am proud of our team for another strong quarter. We continue to see strong demand for our solutions as we remain focused on delivering value to organizations who continue to put their trust in us. With that, we'll open up the call for questions. Operator?

Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you might please press star, then one on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the key. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. The first question is from Brian Essex with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Brian Essex
Executive Director, JPMorgan

Great, good afternoon, and thank you for taking the question. TJ, Jim, congrats on the results. Nice consistent performance on the backdrop of, you know, a lot of macro uncertainty. I guess on that point-

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

Thanks, Brian.

Brian Essex
Executive Director, JPMorgan

Sure. I guess, you know, on that point, you know, could you help us understand what you're seeing from a macro perspective? I understand the FX, but, you know, what we've heard across the software landscape with regard to, you know, longer sales cycles, more scrutiny of enterprise budgets, more layers of approval needed to get deals done. Then, you know, to the extent that you might bill in U.S. currency or U.S. dollars, perhaps product becoming more expensive for some of the customers outside the U.S. Maybe if you could bring some of those points out, that'd be super helpful.

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

Sure. Brian, let me address it first, and then TJ can add some commentary on top as well.

Brian Essex
Executive Director, JPMorgan

Sure.

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

I think, you know, partly what you just said, obviously we're seeing some or most of all of that in various different pieces. The first obviously is FX. We called that out in the remarks just prior to the question.

Brian Essex
Executive Director, JPMorgan

Right.

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

We definitely see that as a headwind, and we're gonna see that continuing for the second half of the year. For sure, that's definitely an impact. We did see at the end of the second quarter some elongation of some sales cycles, so we would expect to see that to continue into the second half of the year as well. I think we're trying to be prudent and conscientious of that, and really when you think about it, that's what we've built into thinking about the second half of the year. Those were two key factors in our thinking. FX, obviously the headwind on the more global macroeconomic environment that we're in right now, geopolitical influences.

Trying to be, you know, conservative to a certain degree, but also taking that into account and reflecting that in what we expect to deliver and then what obviously we're sharing in terms of guidance. Then maybe the third thing that is also influencing our kind of thinking internally, and those first two are definitely much more macro-driven, and the third one is maybe a little bit more internally focused, where we're seeing a lot more of our customers and the mix in terms of product mix. We actually sold more migration product in the first half than we were anticipating, which has an impact for us, and I think you and I have talked about this. We don't include migration-

Brian Essex
Executive Director, JPMorgan

Yeah.

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

in our ARR. That product, since the mix shifted, and we actually sold more, which was great, our customers were demanding it, and we were there to satisfy it, but it obviously has an impact on our ARR. We saw that in Q1 and Q2, and we're expecting to see that continue through the second half of the year. We've also brought that into our thinking and kind of adjusted our guidance even on ARR to include both the first two macro conditions and then also the third, which is a little bit more specific to us. We've kind of factored all of those things into our thinking.

TJ Jiang
CEO, AvePoint

Yeah, Brian-

Brian Essex
Executive Director, JPMorgan

Sorry about that.

TJ Jiang
CEO, AvePoint

Thanks for the question.

Brian Essex
Executive Director, JPMorgan

Yeah, sure. Sorry.

TJ Jiang
CEO, AvePoint

I just want to comment on overall, the macro conditions that Jim outlined are things that we cannot control. On things that we can control, I just came back from a tour in EMEA, our Munich office to meet with our EMEA management team as well as Japan, first time since COVID pandemic. The overall tenor of our sales leaders and our partners are one of bullishness and optimism. There's still tremendous demand, this shift to cloud and the need for AvePoint's ability to help our customers to scale and deploy across hybrid, complex scenarios, especially also in Japan, where they are a couple years behind, the Europeans, in terms of going to cloud.

A lot of the partners are looking to us to help them accelerate that digital transformation. Macro aside, we think that by continuing to invest in the channel allow us to scale and mitigate some of these macro conditions. Overall, the Microsoft Cloud market, it's vast, and the opportunity in front of us remain very, very large.

Brian Essex
Executive Director, JPMorgan

Right. No, super helpful. Thank you, TJ. Maybe we'll have you maybe follow up on that. How are CIOs thinking from a budget scrutiny perspective? I mean, a lot of enterprises are under pressure to, you know, operate more efficiently and cut costs. It, you know, what is kind of the ROI framework that they're looking at when they're looking at, you know, your migration platform? Is that accelerating adoption? I mean, I'd certainly think that, you know, particularly as they migrate to, you know, kind of a more SaaS-centric platform, that's gonna enable easier deployment and consumption of the platform. But what is that initial hurdle that they have to get over in terms of, you know, is ROI a compelling driver, or is this something that they are just already committed to, and that's what's driving the momentum?

TJ Jiang
CEO, AvePoint

There's definitely ROI drivers. There's momentum to consolidate environments. CIOs need to support both on-prem and in cloud. This plays well into our wheelhouse of being a platform provider. Not only do we make it very cost-effective efficient for them to migrate from legacy as well as different cloud platforms into Microsoft Cloud, but of course, once there, with our new EnPower product line, which is one of our fastest-growing product line, it allow them to do license and entitlement management and delegate administration, which effectively lower the cost of running in cloud. ROI and platform consolidation definitely plays a part. Of course, there's also been consolidation in our ecosystem as everyone know, in especially in the MSP space.

The partners are also looking for consistent track record and steady platforms to invest and be strategic with. That's also AvePoint, it's shining through.

Brian Essex
Executive Director, JPMorgan

Got it. Very helpful. Thank you so much.

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

Thanks, Brian.

Operator

The next question is from Jason Ader with William Blair, please go ahead.

Jason Ader
Co-Group Head–Technology, Media, and Communication, William Blair

Yeah, thank you. Good afternoon, guys. I wanted to ask first about the macro commentary from Microsoft about softness in the SMB space. You talked about elongation of sales cycles. I'm assuming you were talking about enterprise, but are you also seeing some slowdown in the SMB? And then just a clarification, you talked about the last couple weeks of July. I'm assuming you know it's also continued through the first six weeks of this quarter. Is that fair to say?

TJ Jiang
CEO, AvePoint

Yeah. I'll make the first comment. Yes, the elongation, deal cycle are more on the enterprise side.

Jason Ader
Co-Group Head–Technology, Media, and Communication, William Blair

Yeah.

TJ Jiang
CEO, AvePoint

Increasingly our mid-market SMB side is the fast-growing, and bigger percentage of our business, so we don't see that on the SMB side. In fact, we actually see because of the consolidation in the market and on the SMB side, we're actually picking up, again, three digits, continue that fast pace seat growth. We are offering some campaigns and, incentives for partners to switch over to us even faster in SMB side. We don't see any slowdown on the SMB side for us. Again, it's a big market. We have a small sliver. It's for us to grab market share, and I'll leave it to Jim to answer that part.

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

Yeah. On the, I think, the other piece was the elongation in terms of continuation.

TJ Jiang
CEO, AvePoint

For the last two weeks.

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

Yeah. Which we saw at the end of the quarter. Yeah, we're baking that in. We're still seeing some of that, and we're planning, we're assuming, Jason, that continues for the second half of the year. Again, trying to be conservative. That's what we're seeing now. It may turn, it may change, but we're planning as if it's going to continue, and we've kind of baked that into the guidance.

Jason Ader
Co-Group Head–Technology, Media, and Communication, William Blair

Good. Thank you. TJ, how do you interpret the increased momentum in the migration products? Is it just the lingering impact of COVID kind of accelerating the shift to cloud, or is there something else going on there?

TJ Jiang
CEO, AvePoint

Yeah, it's really interesting. We get increased demands in migration, especially in EMEA. There's quite a bit of momentum there across hybrid deployments. A lot of big migration deals across our enterprise customers. It's continued to pick up pace in consolidation platforms. We think part of that is ROI driven. It's a very interesting phenomenon.

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

Yeah. Usually, you know, Jason, we see more of it focused on new customers coming in, where they're coming in as a, you know, the tip of the spear being migration in a lot of cases. In the first two quarters of this year, and particularly second quarter, we saw more of our existing customers using our migration products, right? Engaging us there, which is a little different than in the past, and I think it goes to what some of what TJ was saying, again, trying to de-risk a little bit and be more, you know, focused and have a hybrid solution on their end. Migration is a key element to be able to do that.

Jason Ader
Co-Group Head–Technology, Media, and Communication, William Blair

You interpret it as just acceleration to cloud?

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

Yeah. Exactly.

Jason Ader
Co-Group Head–Technology, Media, and Communication, William Blair

That's what's going on.

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

Exactly.

Jason Ader
Co-Group Head–Technology, Media, and Communication, William Blair

Yeah.

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

Yes.

Jason Ader
Co-Group Head–Technology, Media, and Communication, William Blair

Customers, existing customers that may be in the cloud a little bit already, but now they're just kind of saying, "You know what? We gotta just get there faster.

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

Yeah, and consolidation as well. Absolutely.

Jason Ader
Co-Group Head–Technology, Media, and Communication, William Blair

Got you. Okay. Last one for me, just for you, TJ. Which specific SKUs are you seeing the most momentum? I know you've talked about that in the past and love kind of a real-time view on what's doing really well in your product set?

TJ Jiang
CEO, AvePoint

Yeah. As I mentioned, this whole EnPower product portfolio, which is part of our Control Suite, continue to gain real good momentum. It's along the line of SaaS Management. We're increasingly investing into that area to essentially help customers once they're in cloud to better control costs and better control access patterns and delegation and also multi-tenant management. As customers get into cloud and realize the nuances of data sprawl, that becomes a very important topic. We continue to see Control Suite to be a fast-growing SKU. Of course, having said that, our Resilience Suite, as we mentioned before, in the last couple quarters, is 50% of our business, which is led by Backup as a Service, especially with the ransomware detection and recovery capabilities.

That continue to be a big piece of our revenue.

Jason Ader
Co-Group Head–Technology, Media, and Communication, William Blair

Very good. Thanks, guys. Good luck.

TJ Jiang
CEO, AvePoint

Thank you, Jason.

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

Thanks, Jason.

Operator

The next question is from Derrick Wood with Cowen and Company. Please go ahead.

Derrick Wood
Managing Director, TD Cowen

Great. Thanks. Congrats on a solid quarter. I wanted to ask about the progression of the new hunter/farmer model and just trying to think of potential headwinds or tailwinds. I guess one, you know, how is sales retention been trending through these changes? Two, you know, assuming most account changes have been made, how are you feeling about setting up for kinda stronger upsell, cross-sell in the second half?

TJ Jiang
CEO, AvePoint

Okay. Yeah, great question. The hunter-farmer specialization model, as we mentioned earlier, the accounts are all allocated. It does take time for the new account owners of existing base to introduce themselves to the customers and establish a relationship to do the upsell and cross-sell. You're absolutely right. It does take time to do that, and we expect that will uplift the upsell and cross-sell dollar values in second half of the year. Of course, Jim also talked about the occurrence of migration projects that were part of the upsell into existing accounts. We see a lot more migration in existing customers. That's part of the equation, even though that doesn't necessarily contribute to our ARR number today. Yeah.

In terms of churn, though, that's a very good question. We, like all tech companies, are experiencing higher than historical churn. Historically, we're actually much better than our industry peers in terms of controlling high retention. Q1 , Q2 this year, we do see higher than usual churn for us, even though compared to our industry peers, we're still below those churn rates. Having said that, though, we've now in Q3 starting to see that come down because the market is cooling, and we do see some tech companies announcing either hiring freezes or shedding of workforces. We see that churn pressure going down second half of the year.

Derrick Wood
Managing Director, TD Cowen

Okay. TJ, thanks. Helpful color. Jim, one for you. If I look at your guidance for Q3 and the full year, we obviously can back into Q4, and, you know, it insinuates kind of flat revenue quarter-over-quarter. I know you saw a similar dynamic last year, but historically, I did think that was one-time last year. Historically, you did have, you know, decent sequential strength in Q4. Can you just talk about the dynamics on that revenue progression? Then just, you know, the guidance would insinuate that you're kinda exiting Q4 with about, you know, mid- to upper-teens revenue growth, but you're guiding to, you know, 31% ARR growth at year-end. It's a pretty big delta.

Could you talk about why that's such a big delta and how we should think about that potentially converging in 2023?

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

Yeah. Maybe the first piece of that first in terms of thinking about Q3 and Q4. I think, again, this is where we're really trying to be conscientious, and you're right, that historically, we would think about Q3 being a strong quarter because of our public sector and that being a driver, a key driver in Q3, and then Q4 historically being, you know, software industry, Q4 being stronger. What we're trying to do there is really just be conscientious and be somewhat cautious in terms of you know, the bigger macro environment as to what's happening. Just trying to be a little bit conservative there and not get out over our skis too far. Again, that's really the pullback there, is just trying to address it in that way.

Again, nothing more than that, really no major shift. We would still be thinking about it the same way in the longer-term environment that our Q3 would be strong and our Q4 would ultimately be stronger. In this year, based on what we're seeing in the market right now, we're just trying to be conservative. In terms of ARR, we definitely have this mix in terms of ARR and revenue. Again, we're just seeing that as we lay out the forecast for the rest of the year, we do have a little bit of that mix that will show us roughly getting to 31%, about 28%, without FX impact, and then about 31% assuming the FX impact.

You know, that's really just the forecast of where we are and what we see in those dynamics. We're being as conservative as we can on the revenue side and think we're still being conservative on the ARR side, but we're gonna get to that 31%. As I mentioned, I think there's three impacts on ARR. We've got the FX impacts. We have the macroeconomic environment that we're trying to shift a little bit downward. Then the third component is the migration component to our business that we don't include in ARR. Those three components are impacting, but again, I think we feel pretty strong about getting to the 28% pre-FX and then taking into account FX getting to that 31%.

Derrick Wood
Managing Director, TD Cowen

Okay. All right. Thank you.

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

Thanks, Derrick.

Operator

The next question is from Kirk Materne with Evercore. Please go ahead.

Kirk Materne
Senior Managing Director, Evercore

Yeah. Thanks very much. Two questions from me. I guess, TJ, just to start, can you just talk a little bit more about some of those enterprise deals that are seeing elongated sales cycles? Is it price sensitivity from the buyer? Is it additional approval from higher up? Are there, I guess, things you all can do from a sales perspective to help, you know, make sure those type of deals don't get pushed out too long or don't get pushed aside for say, you know, three, six months? I guess, if you saw some of that elongation have, you know, the ones that maybe you thought would close in June start to close in July.

I'm just trying to get a sense on, you know, what are maybe the driving factors there, and if any of those have started to settle out a little bit?

TJ Jiang
CEO, AvePoint

Right. Great question. Overall, we're actually pretty happy with the momentum of our enterprise continued business. The elongation in some of the accounts are due to the additional approval process. What we think actually continue to help us is our additional focus around security. Actually, recently, we just obtained another level of security certification. So those type of cloud ops and cloud security validation really helps move along this approval process in large enterprises, along with obviously data sovereignty and multiple instances around the world. So yeah, we're working to streamline some of the process on our side, including click-throughs agreements. Also, another new avenue we found to be able to accelerate approval process is leveraging channel.

We have leverage channel for medium to small businesses, but now we're looking at also leveraging channel for large enterprise customers. What happens is when those large enterprise customers typically have a procurement through a partner, those agreement and T&Cs has already prenegotiated, so it actually abstract out kind of the negotiation on our side. We're gonna try that as well as a way to accelerate deal cycles. We think that that's a really potential good way to leverage channel.

Kirk Materne
Senior Managing Director, Evercore

That's helpful. Jim, can you just remind, I guess us, do you have deals that come up for renewal from a SaaS perspective? Is there anything similar in your contract that you guys can use? I guess, if you have those levers, are you pulling them right now or are you trying to leave them alone? I guess, just give us a sense of kinda how you guys think about pricing right now from a product perspective?

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

Sure. Good question, Kirk. You were breaking up on our end a little bit there, but I think I got the gist of your question around contracts up for renewal pricing. I will tell you there's a couple things we're doing there. One is, in most of our new contracts, and even going back into last year, we are building in price escalations into the contracts so that when they are up for renewal, there is effectively a feature already built in for an escalation. That’s number one. Then when we think about pricing, there are certain areas in our product suites where we can improve pricing, where it's not as competitive, and then there are other areas where it is competitive.

We look at the pricing really on a product-by-product basis, not just across the board and, "Hey, can we raise prices or not?" It's literally at a product-by-product basis. Then in each individual account, we're looking at them as they're up for renewal, what's the value proposition, the engagement, all of those things to consider where we can improve our pricing and margin, we're looking to do that. Again, the biggest key for us is building it into the contracts up front. That was something we started more and more last year, and it continues now. Again, having that built in gives us the best chance, you know, when it's up for renewal.

Kirk Materne
Senior Managing Director, Evercore

That's helpful. Actually, if I could steer your answer to Derek's question on sort of the 3Q, 4Q. Are you seeing anything different right now in terms of your government customers, maybe in the way they think about SaaS products versus, say, term deals or the way they wanna be sold? Do you see any change in that this year? It would obviously have an impact on Revenue Recognition. I was just kind of curious how you guys are thinking about that. Thanks.

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

Yeah. Thanks, Kirk. Right now, no. I mean, I think overall, I would say that, so we're not seeing any changes there. That's a group that historically has done some hybrid as well and not a complete migration over to SaaS. When I think of our percentage, when you look at our Q2 revenue allocation kind of splits between SaaS and term, which would be our hybrid piece, I think you're gonna see similar trends in Q3 and Q4. I wouldn't expect any, you know, significant change there. I would expect it to be similar to Q2.

Kirk Materne
Senior Managing Director, Evercore

Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Nehal Chokshi with Maxim Group. Please go ahead.

Nehal Chokshi
Managing Director, Northland Securities

Yeah, thanks. That's actually Northland Capital Markets, if that's all right. Year-over-year growth for incremental ARR has been flat for 1H 2022, and your updated guidance implies that that incremental ARR accelerates to about 30% in 2H 2022. Have you seen evidence yet that that acceleration in incremental ARR is starting to play through?

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

Yeah. We are seeing it already. So kind of alluding to some of the slowdown we saw at the end of Q2, but we are seeing in terms of the pipeline build and all of those kind of, let's call them leading indicators that we would see going into Q3 and Q4 are really strong, and so give us that confidence that those numbers that you just alluded to for Q3 and Q4, you know, are very attainable.

Nehal Chokshi
Managing Director, Northland Securities

Got it. Great. On a year-over-year basis, your sales and marketing was up quite a bit year-over-year, but on a QoQ basis, it was down. What's going on there in terms of a QoQ trajectory on sales and marketing?

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

There's two elements, right? One is there's an FX component to it that we, on the expense side, right, actually benefit from. That's one component. Then the second component, just the way some of the timing of our expenses work. You're gonna see a bigger tick up in Q3 for some of those expenses. Some of our marketing expenses kind of just you know, obviously have a timing issue to them in terms of when they're actually incurred. Then we also obviously, as TJ alluded to before, had higher than expected turnover in some areas of the business, including sales. And that's been now rectified, but we saw some of that impact in Q2 as well. Part of it's timing, part of it is FX.

Again, you're gonna see, obviously you'll see improvements there in Q3. You're gonna see continued investments, including more marketing spend, but again, that was just related to timing.

Nehal Chokshi
Managing Director, Northland Securities

Okay, great. I presume that you do not have any FX hedging programs in place, correct?

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

We don't have any hedging programs that we're working on. If you think about it, we have a little bit of a natural hedge built in between our revenue and expenses, as you've seen even in Q2.

Nehal Chokshi
Managing Director, Northland Securities

Right. Okay. Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Brett Knoblauch with Cantor Fitzgerald. Please go ahead.

Brett Knoblauch
Managing Director, Cantor Fitzgerald

Hi, TJ and Jim. How are we doing? Just a couple questions for me. First regarding headcount, had some pretty big increases kind of across all segments on a year-over-year basis. How do you think you're positioned now? Do you expect that pace of headcount growth to remain robust, or you expect that to kind of level off?

TJ Jiang
CEO, AvePoint

A lot of the headcount growth is our investment, you know, into lower cost regions. For example, we expanded our Vietnam office in terms of R&D headcount as well as our Philippines office in terms of operations support. A lot of the headcount comes from there. We are looking at creating redundancy and doing some de-risking in the current macro climate here. We think it's a short-term situation as we drive towards efficiency over the longer term to potentially consolidate some of the functional roles. But yeah, at the same time though, the business is growing at a nice clip. The market in front of us is massive. We're not looking at slowing down our business growth.

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

Yeah. I think maybe just one additional comment on that. I think if you think of the Q3 and Q4 guidance that we just put out, we obviously kind of broke down revenue too based on the thinking that we've kind of already illustrated, but we're keeping our operating income guidance the same. What we're thinking there is that we're actually gonna manage those expenses. To answer your question about like the growth, it obviously will decline as a percentage because again, we're gonna manage to those original kind of targets for non-GAAP operating income.

I think it's important there that we recognize that in this economic environment right now where we're being conservative and understanding what the revenue could be, we also wanna take the same approach on our expenses and be much more, you know, conscious in terms of how we're investing and understanding that if we're being conservative on the revenue and understanding that there's impacts there, we also need to be prudent on the expenses. So again, we're doing that, and we'll you'll see that reflected in Q3 and Q4.

Brett Knoblauch
Managing Director, Cantor Fitzgerald

Understood. Thank you. Then on the rebrand of EduTech and MaivenPoint, can you maybe remind us how big of a business that is and maybe where that ranks as a priority or maybe a growth driver over the medium term?

TJ Jiang
CEO, AvePoint

Yeah. We always say the vertical solutions is one of our growth drivers. We currently just don't disclose those specific business verticals, but it's a business that's growing really nicely for us. We're actually very excited about that. The rebranding showcases a pivot towards corporate learning and development, which is a much, much bigger market in addition to training management. We're also looking at LinkedIn Viva Learning integration. Yeah, it's one of our high growth verticals. We always say that, you know, on top of our confidence platform, this data orchestration, security and governance platform, we're now showcasing vertical solutions as a way to continue to extend and increase into accounts and increase the ARPU. Education space is really a shining example of success there.

Brett Knoblauch
Managing Director, Cantor Fitzgerald

Okay. That's helpful. Maybe just one more on the share repurchase activity. I guess, have you guys continued to buy since the end of the quarter? You know, how should we think about that going forward? Is it on a predetermined schedule or a bit more ad hoc?

TJ Jiang
CEO, AvePoint

Yeah, good question. So yeah, up through June 30th, we had spent about $10 million in that buyback program. We did continue subsequent to the end of the year or end of June. I would expect, you know, right now it's a little bit more systematic, but I would expect that we will spend roughly about $10 million as well in Q3. It may be a little bit. You know, the beauty of the program that we have in place, as you know, is it gives us flexibility. One of the things we were looking to do in implementing a program like this was that we did have flexibility. It's been more systematic up until this point, but we do have the flexibility to kinda discontinue, restart, and do, you know, a variety of things.

That flexibility is good as we think about other uses of cash over the next, you know, quarter as well. It gives us that flexibility to adjust.

Brett Knoblauch
Managing Director, Cantor Fitzgerald

All right. That's very helpful. Thanks, guys. Really appreciate it.

Jim Caci
CFO, AvePoint

Thank you.

TJ Jiang
CEO, AvePoint

Thank you.

Operator

This concludes the question and answer session. I would now like to turn the conference back over to TJ for any closing remarks.

TJ Jiang
CEO, AvePoint

Thank you. I'd just like to say that we continue to make strong progress on our strategic priorities in this uncertain economic and geopolitical environment. Throughout our company's history, we have shown our ability to weather dynamic market environments by growing while being prudent with expenditures. Our go-to-market strategy positions us well for new logo acquisitions, a growing partner ecosystem, and the ongoing expansion of existing customers to whom we deliver exceptional service today. This quarter, I had the opportunity to spend time in Munich with our EMEA leadership team and talk about the continued strong demand we see from our customers and partners, as well as the value we are providing with our solutions across complex deployment scenarios for their digital transformation initiatives.

As I mentioned earlier, just last week I was in Tokyo for the first time since the COVID pandemic, where I met with all of our top Japanese partners and saw firsthand how excited they are with AvePoint being able to help advise them and accelerate their SaaS transformation. This speaks to the robustness of our growing partner ecosystem. We know it's a privilege to have our shareholder trust and faith in our ability to navigate the current market conditions, focus on consistent execution, and ultimately deliver long-term shareholder value. Thank you.

Operator

The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

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