BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc. (BTAI)
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Earnings Call: Q3 2022

Nov 10, 2022

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the BioXcel Therapeutics third quarter 2022 financial results conference call. At this time, all participants are on a listen-only mode. If during the conference you require operator assistance, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. After the presentation, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to register a question, you may press star one on your telephone keypad. Just to remind everyone, certain matters discussed in today's conference call and/or answers that may be given to questions asked are forward-looking statements, that are subject to risks and uncertainties related to future events and/or the future financial or business performance of the company. Actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements.

Risk factors that may affect future results are detailed in the company's quarterly report on Form 10-Q, for the quarter ended June 30, 2022, which can be found at www.bioxceltherapeutics.com or on www.sec.gov, which will be updated in its quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2022. As a reminder, today's conference is being recorded. Joining us on today's call are Dr. Vimal Mehta, Chief Executive Officer, Richard Steinhart, Chief Financial Officer, Matt Wiley, Chief Commercial Officer, Dr. Rob Risinger, Chief Medical Officer of Neuroscience, Dr. Frank Yocca, Chief Scientific Officer, and Dr. Vince O'Neill, Chief Medical Officer of Oncology. It's now my pleasure to turn the call over to Dr. Mehta, the CEO and founder of BioXcel Therapeutics. Please go ahead.

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Thank you, operator. Welcome, everyone, and thank you for joining our call today to discuss BioXcel Therapeutics' financial performance and business highlights. The third quarter of 2022 marked a pivotal moment, in the history of BioXcel Therapeutics. In the last few months, we have transitioned to a commercial organization and successfully launched IGALMI. We have made tremendous progress, across all facets of our business and are very excited for 2023 and beyond. We continue to fully execute on our land and expand strategy for lead program BXCL501, to build our neuroscience agitation franchise. In that regard, we have multiple pivotal data readouts from our ongoing trials expected in the first half of 2023. We believe this will allow us to capitalize on the $15 billion agitation market opportunity.

This consists of 139 million episodes, in total for our first three indications, including bipolar disorders, schizophrenia, and Alzheimer's. Agitation is an underdiagnosed and underserved market that has not seen treatment innovation in nearly a decade. IGALMI is approved by the FDA for acute treatment of agitation for schizophrenia and bipolar disorders in adults. There are approximately 16 million agitation episodes of these conditions in the U.S. annually, which are treated in the institutional medical setting. We totally believe the introduction of IGALMI could drive agitation market creation, in a similar fashion as the emergence and rapid growth of the depression market, following the introduction of novel treatment options in the early 1990s. IGALMI is a novel product with a broad label to treat the full spectrum of agitation in schizophrenia and bipolar one and two disorders.

In short, we are blazing new trails in the agitation market. We recently hosted a commercial day and clearly outlined the evolving agitation market dynamics, positive initial momentum, and launch performance matrices. A neuropsychiatric product like IGALMI, with novel mechanism of action, has never been launched to treat agitation in an institutional setting. Our commercial path is unprecedented, with no obvious surrogate. Yet there is a clear demand from hospitals for the pharmacoeconomic benefits, and safety of healthcare professionals and patients. Within the first four months, and with only 26 reps initially covering 700 target hospitals, we have already observed increasing market access, efficient targeting, and highly favorable market drivers. We recorded our first product revenue and are pleased to have extensive market reach and hundreds of formulary reviews scheduled in hospitals within a short span.

Based on these factors, we made the strategic decision to expand our sales footprint across all major geographic markets. By December first, we will increase our sales force and deploy a total of 70 reps to cover approximately 1,700 target hospitals. We now have fully integrated commercial and medical teams, with the necessary infrastructure to cover the entire U.S. agitation market to fuel our growth. To drive additional awareness and understanding of IGALMI, our medical affairs teams have been actively engaging with the medical community and P&T committee members, in addition to participating in leading industry conferences across the country. IGALMI awareness and scientific validation continues, with two manuscripts from our pivotal SERENITY trials recently published in leading scientific journals. We believe all of these efforts will facilitate formulary approval, our key focus, that will result in demand generation.

Our Chief Commercial Officer, Matt Wiley, will walk you through our launch progress to date and will review the launch performance metrics shortly. In addition to our launch progress, our robust clinical pipeline is advancing rapidly. We are extremely enthusiastic about our indication expansion opportunity in Alzheimer's-related agitation. With an estimated 100 million annual agitation episodes in the U.S. and no current FDA-approved therapies for these patients, this represents a large and growing unmet medical need. Five-o-one received breakthrough therapy and fast track designation from the FDA for agitation related to dementia. We are looking forward to announcing top-line data from the TRANQUILITY II pivotal trial in first half of 2023. Also, we will be initiating the TRANQUILITY III pivotal trial by the end of this year.

We are also excited about SERENITY III pivotal program and potentially expanding BXCL501 for at home use to treat agitation associated with bipolar disorders and schizophrenia. There are approximately 23 million agitation episodes of these conditions in the U.S. annually. The top-line efficacy data read out from the SERENITY III pivotal trial is expected in the first half of 2023. SERENITY III has many parallels with the SERENITY One and Two trials, that form the basis for IGALMI's approval. At home use is expected to more than double our current market opportunity with IGALMI. Truly a pipeline within a product, BXCL501 also continues to be evaluated as an adjunctive treatment for major depressive disorder or MDD.

We have already completed multiple cohorts in our phase one dose escalation trial in healthy volunteers and expect to report top-line results in the first half of 2023. Let me turn to OnkosXcel Therapeutics. This wholly owned subsidiary is focused on the sustained growth of the company's immuno-oncology franchise. BXCL701, our lead program, is a systemic activator of innate immunity in development for aggressive forms of prostate cancer in combination with Keytruda. We are pleased about the promising data for 701, in small cell neuroendocrine cancer, or SCNC, recently presented at the Prostate Cancer Foundation Scientific Retreat. Recall there is no FDA-approved treatment in SCNC and a high mortality rate. Our data demonstrated a composite response rate of 33% for the first 15 evaluable SCNC patients and a median duration of nine months in the first five responders.

We have now completed enrollment in the ongoing phase two SCNC trial and expect to present top-line data in early 2023. In addition, today at SITC, we are presenting data on potential predictive biomarkers for BXCL701, in patients with leukemias, including acute myeloid leukemia. We also believe these biomarkers could have potential implications for solid tumors. The poster will be available on our corporate website after this call. We continue to strengthen our intellectual property portfolio. For BXCL501 in this quarter, we had two new U.S. patents issued, two U.S. notices of allowance, and seven patents from foreign offices. We expect these patents will be included in FDA's approved drug products with therapeutic equivalence evaluation, which is commonly known as the Orange Book. Additionally, for BXCL701, we had eight patent allowances/issuances received from foreign offices. In closing, BioXcel Therapeutics has had a remarkable quarter.

We are developing a leadership position in the agitation market, have multiple upcoming data catalysts, and are well-positioned for growth in 2023. I would now like to turn the call over to Matt Wiley to review our launch progress. Matt?

Matt Wiley
Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Thank you, Vimal, and good morning, everyone. As we reported in our commercial day a few weeks ago, we are making very good progress on our IGALMI launch efforts. These efforts are continuing to pay off, and I'm pleased to share some additional updates with you today, specifically in relation to our launch performance metrics. Our market access activities are a critical component of our strategy, so I'll start with our progress with group purchasing organization, or GPO contracting efforts. As we have mentioned in previous communications, the typical contracting timeframe of GPOs averages six to nine months. We have made steady progress and increased our access to GPOs throughout the quarter. We are now contracted with two GPOs, including the largest in the country, covering nearly 50% of the beds in our target universe.

We are in ongoing negotiations with the other leading GPOs and expect to continue to improve our access in the coming weeks and months. As a reminder, the three largest GPOs represent over 90% of our target beds, so we are very happy with our achievements to date. In tandem, we continue to engage with integrated delivery networks or IDNs, focusing on those systems that exert high control to drive further downstream utilization of IGALMI. We are concentrating on 59 high-value IDNs, with formulary voting currently scheduled for 21% of the targeted beds. As part of our ramp-up efforts, we've deployed a team of corporate account directors dedicated to coordinating with our sales team, and driving the formulary and contracting activity. We have learned a lot about the deployment process in the last four months being in the field.

In the first wave of our sales deployment, we chose 26 high-volume territories covering 700 target accounts and received resoundingly positive traction. We have been able to now reach over 75% of this initial target universe, and have seen significant interest in pull-through as P&T committees continue to add IGALMI to future agendas. These positive results give us great confidence to deploy our full 70-person sales force, targeting approximately 1,700 hospitals. This will equip us to build upon the strong momentum we have made since trade launch in July. We expect to deploy this team in the field by December first. To ensure ongoing optimization and informed deployment of our field force, we have taken a unique approach to our sales strategy by building out a database of 81 billion records spanning more than five years.

With this data lake, we are able to examine and refine our targeting methodology by building a hierarchy of target hospitals informed by the location and frequency of agitation episodes. The model we have today represents the majority of agitation episodes in bipolar and schizophrenia patients, and takes into account nearly 80% of the total psych beds in the United States. Turning now to marketing, we will continue to build on our peer-to-peer programs and digital marketing efforts, for the balance of the year and amplify these efforts in 2023. To date, our peer-to-peer programs have engaged over 1,000 HCPs at speaker venues and conventions, and the IGALMI Now Available digital campaign has yielded significant engagement, with over 140,000 visits to our HCP website. Our understanding of IGALMI's value proposition in this market continues to evolve and strengthen.

Just a month or so ago, new data from the American College of Emergency Physicians was released, showing that more than half of emergency room physicians have been physically assaulted, with one-third sustaining an injury. Bipolar and schizophrenia patients are much more likely to commit emergency department assaults, and the current treatment paradigm for agitated patients may be exacerbating this issue. The dynamic provides a nice tailwind for IGALMI to enter the market, highlighting an additional and previously underappreciated value proposition. In summary, the market conditions and IGALMI receptivity are setting us up for success in 2023 and beyond. We have nearly 50% of our targeted beds under contract with GPOs, with others in process. We have 21% of the target IDN beds scheduled to vote with nearly 41,000 target beds and an additional 15,000 Tier two beds in progress.

Additionally, we have over 120 out of 700 target hospitals scheduled for P&T vote and nearly 350 P&T votes for Tier two hospitals in process. Keep in mind, this is reflective of our initial 26 territory deployment. Both the IDN and P&T scheduled votes have improved since we last reported these figures on Commercial Day, and we expect these votes in process will continue to climb. Additionally, we have added positive formulary wins since our last readout, and we'll provide more specific details on this metric in future calls. Now I'll turn the call over to Richard, who will give a financial update. Richard?

Richard Steinhart
VP and CFO, BioXcel Therapeutics

Thank you, Matt. I will now review our third quarter 2022 financial results. Net revenue for the quarter was $137,000, driven primarily by early trial of IGALMI with limited market access. Due to the company's direct shipping model to hospitals, no wholesaler stocking was expected. Research and development expenses were $22.1 million for the third quarter of 2022, compared to $11.9 million for the same period in 2021. The increase in R&D expenses was primarily attributable, to an increase in clinical trial costs as the company expanded its BXCL501 clinical program for Alzheimer's-related agitation, schizophrenia, and bipolar-related agitation at home use and MDD. Selling and general administrative expenses were $17.1 million for the third quarter of 2022, compared to $14.9 million for the same period in 2021.

The increase in SG&A expenses was primarily due to personnel and costs related to the launch of IGALMI in the United States. BioXcel Therapeutics reported a net loss of $41.8 million for the third quarter of 2022, compared to a net loss of $26.8 million for the same period in 2021. Cash burn for the quarter was approximately $31.5 million, which is consistent with the first two quarters of 2022. As of September 30, 2022, cash and cash equivalents totaled approximately $232.3 million. Now I'd like to turn the call back to Vimal.

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Thank you, Richard. We would now like to open the call for questions. Operator.

Operator

Thank you. We'll now be conducting a question and answer session. If you'd like to be placed in the question queue, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you'd like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing star one. Once again, ladies and gentlemen, if you'd like to be placed into question queue, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you'd like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing star one. One moment, please, while we pull for questions.

Now, ladies and gentlemen, that is star one to be placed into question queue. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you'd like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing star one. One moment, please, while we poll for questions. Our first question today is coming from Greg Harrison from Bank of America. Your line is now live.

Greg Harrison
Senior Research Analyst, Bank of America Securities

Hey, good morning, guys. Glad to see the progress. Thanks for taking our questions. How should we be thinking about the timing from here on the 470 P&T decisions you cited and the rate at which you could expect those to convert into formulary wins?

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Good morning, Greg, thank you for your question. I will pass it on to Matt.

Matt Wiley
Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Yeah. Greg, those are currently scheduled between now and the end of the year or into Q1 of next year. So we would expect that, you know, should those agendas actually go to vote on time, which, you know, these things can get pushed, but typically, we would expect the majority of them to happen on time, then they'll go to vote. Once the decision is made to put IGALMI on formulary, one of the things that I had provided in the Commercial Day is the expectation of uptake. Over the course of a year, both emergency department physicians and psychs, the majority of them would expect to try IGALMI within that first year post formulary access.

Greg Harrison
Senior Research Analyst, Bank of America Securities

Got it. That's helpful. Then on the OnkosXcel side, what are your expectations for the differences between the 701 monotherapy arm and the Keytruda combo? Just trying to think through mechanistically what the expectation could be for 701 response alone.

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Vince, do you want to take that question?

Vince O'Neill
SVP and CMO of Oncology, BioXcel Therapeutics

Sure. Happy to do that. Hi, Greg. I think the bottom line is we don't know how seven zero one will behave as monotherapy in a cold tumor. We know 701 has single agent activity in a hot tumor, and that's melanoma, and that was data generated by Point Therapeutics quite some time ago. We do know from the preclinical work that we've done extensive preclinical work, and we've presented a lot of that it really seems to be the synergy between the checkpoint and 701 . That's probably the best answer I can give right now. We don't know, but we think that primarily, fundamentally, it is the synergy between the two drugs.

Greg Harrison
Senior Research Analyst, Bank of America Securities

Got it. Well, thanks for taking the questions and congrats on the progress again.

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Thank you, Greg.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is coming from Colin Bristow from UBS. Your line is now live.

Colin Bristow
Equity Research Analyst, UBS

Hey, good morning, and thanks for taking the questions and congrats on the continued progress. First one on OnkosXcel. Just curious when you expect to provide a more substantive update and sort of details for the path forward and structure there. And then the second one, more of a broad sort of conceptual one on BXCL501. Just what is your best guess on when you'll be in a position to, I guess, A, report a sales number that you're sort of enthused about, and B, sort of provide ongoing sales guidance. You know, I know this is a much-debated topic, but I think it's an important one from an investor standpoint. Thank you.

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Thanks, Colin, for your questions. Regarding the sales guidance, as I said, that we are in a currently unprecedented area because a product like IGALMI with a novel mechanism of action, has never been launched in an institutional setting. What we are doing, as you can see, is building our launch matrices. Once we build robust confidence in those matrices, based on that, we will start providing the guidance. With that, I can pass it on to Matt to provide more details.

Matt Wiley
Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Yeah. Colin, I think that the way I would frame it up is this. I mean, we said that the process for formulary access typically takes six to 12 months. We have a lot of activity ongoing with just 26 reps in the field. That's about to change. You know, the early progress that we're making is very encouraging. Certainly getting on formulary is when we can truly open up a true demand driving activities. We would expect that as these formularies, are adopted in these hospitals, that our team is gonna be able to very rapidly pull through demand. Now, we do know, and I mentioned this earlier, that there are uptake expectations and trial expectations based on market research.

Some of the early enthusiasm from early formulary hospitals, gives us good confidence that when the formularies do get approved in the hospital, that the demand will shortly follow. We feel really good about that. To just dovetail on Vimal's point, this is unprecedented. You know, no neuropsych drug has been launched in the emergency department. We're breaking new ground here, but we feel really good about the response we're getting.

Colin Bristow
Equity Research Analyst, UBS

Great. The OnkosXcel sort of update path forward structure.

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Colin, can you please repeat that question?

Colin Bristow
Equity Research Analyst, UBS

Just in terms of your plans for OnkosXcel, you know, just more details around the path forward and structure there.

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Sure. OnkosXcel, as we presented the initial data update for our first 15 patients in SCNC, that's very encouraging. With 33% composite response rate and durable responses in a tumor where there's no approved therapy. We have completed the full cohort of now 28 patients, and that data is now getting analyzed and will be presented early next year. With this data in hand, we will explore all the possible strategic options, including partnering as well as third-party investments. OnkosXcel, we are very excited with the progress for 701, what we have seen in SCNC.

Colin Bristow
Equity Research Analyst, UBS

Okay, great. Thank you.

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Thanks, Colin.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is coming from Robyn Karnauskas from Truist. Your line is now live.

Speaker 15

Hey. Hi. Thank you so much for taking my question. This is Anmesh on for Robyn. I have one on IGALMI. What are the main positive highlights and also pushbacks that you observed, if any, and that you are hearing from your discussions with the peers and physicians?

Matt Wiley
Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

First of all, thanks for the question, Robyn. I haven't really heard any negative pushback on the product itself. Of course, directors of pharmacy are always gonna question the price, but that isn't truly a negative. Actually, when we think about the value proposition of IGALMI and the potential for, either throughput or the reduction of staff injuries and things of that nature, administrators and hospital pharmacists do understand that value. A lot of what we're hearing is the onset of action is very favorable. The expectation in just reading through the product profile and hearing our IGALMI story, they truly do understand the value proposition. We're getting great response. Keep in mind that prior to launch, we conducted market research where we provided just a product profile.

Just based on that product profile, the intent to use the drug was 20%. After we told the complete story that we're now using in the field, that doubled. They expect two out of every five patients to get this drug. That's a pretty compelling set of market research, and that's playing out in the field. We're hearing the same thing from our reps.

Speaker 15

Okay, great. One more on dementia market. Looking ahead to the dementia market, how would a launch in nursing homes and long-term care facilities be different from schizophrenia or bipolar market? Do you anticipate adoption in dementia market being faster or slower than the schizophrenia or bipolar market?

Matt Wiley
Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Robyn, we're doing the work now to create a market entry strategy, and so we'll communicate that over time when we have better clarity on it. Suffice to say, the early market research that we're seeing is very compelling, and that there's definitely an unmet need in this market. We expect it to have really good penetration into that market.

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

It's a different market dynamics because it's not in an institutional setting. As Matt said, we are developing a market entry strategy, and we'll lay it out more close to our data readout.

Speaker 15

Oh, okay. Got it. Thanks. Thanks for taking my questions.

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Thank you for your question.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is coming from Chris Howerton from Jefferies. Your line is now live.

Speaker 14

Hi, y'all. This is AJ for Chris. Two questions for me. My first one is about the launch. Are you seeing any early trends in use concentration, geographic or otherwise? Do you have reorders yet, or is it still kind of too early?

Matt Wiley
Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

I'll answer the second part first. Yeah, we've seen reorders. I think the first part of your question of are we seeing any geographical adoption or concentrations geographically, that's not been the case. Where we're seeing our early orders is pretty much where there's interest or where there's early formulary access. That's anywhere within the 26 territories that we have currently deployed.

Speaker 14

Gotcha. Okay, my second question is about MDD. Is the intention for at-home use similarly, you know, episodic based, as in bipolar schizophrenia, or what are the goals of the phase one study, given that we already have a good idea of 501 safety profile?

Rob Risinger
Chief Medical Officer, Neuroscience, BioXcel Therapeutics

This is Rob Risinger with CMO. The major depressive disorder will be a daily dosing regimen. It's not an as-needed regimen, so it will be taken in conjunction with their SS or SNRI, serotonin or norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor. We know that BXCL501 affects at least seven of the 17 items of the Hamilton Depression Rating Scale. We know, for example, it will improve or augment sleep and treat insomnia. That's three items on the scale. For example, we know that patients report, regardless of the illness we've studied, they report an improvement in anxiety. We know that's a major component of depression, so will be a daily regimen. That is the readout that we'll get from the daily dosing study. What is the regimen that seems to help people?

What's the tolerability if given, again, on a daily or even a twice daily dosing?

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

This is again our strategy to move to medical settings, and this will be at-home setting like our SERENITY program.

Speaker 14

Okay, thank you.

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Thank you, AJ.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is coming from Yatin Suneja from Guggenheim Partners. Your line is now live.

Yatin Suneja
Senior Managing Director, Guggenheim Partners

Thank you. two for me as well. First one is on TRANQUILITY. Could you just frame for us the expectations for that study? It's gonna be done in the first half of 2023. What do you expect to show? If you can maybe further elaborate a little bit on the MDD side. It seems like you have completed a few dosing schedules. What are you learning from the safety perspective, given it is, you know, more of a daily dosing than episodic? Just articulate that for us so far, the learning that you learned from the healthy volunteer studies. Thanks.

Rob Risinger
Chief Medical Officer, Neuroscience, BioXcel Therapeutics

Sure. I'll handle those in reverse. Your last question first. The study's ongoing, the daily dosing study in healthy volunteers. The fact that it's ongoing and we continue to enroll cohorts testing greater and greater doses, it's an MAD study or multiple ascending dose study, means that it has been well tolerated. We've not run into a stopping criteria whereby you would not dose the next scheduled cohort. We have tested a range of doses and continue to escalate. We've not reached what is commonly called a maximum tolerated dose, and I view that as a very positive thing. The study, when it will read out is when we finally have a maximum tolerated dose.

When we reach that point, we'll then be testing it in conjunction with an SNRI, and that will then enable the trial in or a proof of concept trial in major depression. Turning now to your first question about TRANQUILITY. The readouts for the TRANQUILITY II study will be very similar to what we reported for TRANQUILITY I. The primary efficacy measure is the change from baseline and the PANSS Excited Component at two hours after the first dose. We have repeated doses, so we'll report about the safety and tolerability of both first dose and every dose, that they may receive whenever they have an episode of agitation over that three-month period. We will also be reporting some of the efficacy measures that are secondary or exploratory. For example, the Pittsburgh Agitation Scale and Clinical Global Impression.

Those will be what we should be able to report in the first half of 2023.

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Just Yatin to add to what Rob said, it is pretty much a similar study what we have seen in TRANQUILITY one, which formed the basis for breakthrough therapy designation with the FDA. Pretty much everything is same, except here we are following up for three more months after first dosing each patient.

Yatin Suneja
Senior Managing Director, Guggenheim Partners

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you.

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is coming from Graig Suvannavejh from Mizuho Securities. Your line is now live.

Graig Suvannavejh
Managing Director, Mizuho Securities

Thank you. Good morning, and congratulations on the progress. I did have a question just on what you reported for sales. Certainly, you have been telegraphing for some time that it would be slow and gradual. I think perhaps this might have been a bit slower than we were anticipating. As we think about the fourth quarter and perhaps into 2023, should the expectation be that it will be

Kind of similar to this, and then there's a kind of inflection maybe after year one. Just any color on how we should be thinking about the uptake curve, and then I have a follow-up. Thanks.

Matt Wiley
Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Yes Greg, it's Matt. I'll handle that one. You know, as we mentioned at Commercial Day and reiterated again this morning, we have over a dozen formulary wins. The expectation of uptake after a formulary win, you know, you can kind of look back in the market research we did to see what that looks like. You know, it's roughly 37% or so in emergency department and psych physicians expect to try IGALMI within the first six months or so post-formulary approval. I think things are falling in line based on those metrics. We expect there will be a very nice acceleration in formulary approvals over the next couple quarters, and so we'll see improving metrics in true demand over that time.

Keep in mind, we don't stock the wholesalers, so we are doing a drop-ship model directly to the hospitals. There's no stocking inventory to be concerned with. We recorded this first quarter of revenue with 26 reps in the field. You know, we're in the midst of expanding that. We will have 70 deployed by December first, and we think that that's gonna have a meaningful improvement, and acceleration on all of these metrics. I don't know if that's helpful in framing how you examine your uptake in your models, but I think that's how we think about it, and certainly we feel really bullish about the early signs that we're seeing.

Graig Suvannavejh
Managing Director, Mizuho Securities

Thanks, Matt. Maybe my other question just has to do with the $137,000 in sales that you did in fact record. You know, by the math, if you divide by 105, that's about 1,300 strips. I guess the question is, those strips that were used, were they bought basically or purchased through contracting, or were there hospitals that bought using the WAC price? I'm just trying to understand the dynamics of the actual films that were used. Thanks.

Matt Wiley
Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Yeah. One of the GPO contracts came online later in the third quarter. A lot of those units would not have been impacted by that sort of contract. You shouldn't really be thinking about too much gross-to-net deduction. There is some, but you wouldn't expect a lot of those contracts that would impact the GTN a little bit more to really be in place in a fulsome way in Q3.

Graig Suvannavejh
Managing Director, Mizuho Securities

Okay, thanks again.

Matt Wiley
Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Thanks, Greg.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is coming from Ram Selvaraju from H.C. Wainwright. Your line is live.

Ram Selvaraju
Managing Director, H.C. Wainwright

Thank you. Can you hear me?

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Yes, we can hear you.

Ram Selvaraju
Managing Director, H.C. Wainwright

Just two quick ones. Firstly, I was wondering if you could comment on, whether you expect inventory stocking to be a feature of any future label and extension indications for IGALMI going forward. If, in other words, the absence of inventory stocking is a feature that is specific only to the initial approved indication, and would not necessarily be applicable in the future. The second question is with respect to the cadence of completion of enrollment in the ongoing clinical trials of 501. If you could just give us a sense of that. I know you've provided us with the timeline for announcement of top-line data, but if you could just give us a sense of when you expect those clinical programs to reach full enrollment, that would be helpful. Thank you.

Matt Wiley
Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Hey, Ram, it's Matt. On the wholesaler stocking question for future indications, you know, typically when you go into a retail setting, you would go full line in the channel, which means that we would stock the wholesalers and there'd be some stock inventory there. That is wholly dependent on whether we intend to use that traditional distribution model. Right now, that is a good operating assumption. Secondarily, for Alzheimer's dementia, we would have to cross that same bridge. Is it gonna be in wholesaler? Is it gonna be in specialty, or some hybrid of each? I think as we get our market entry strategies in a more complete form, we can communicate that out to you at a later date.

If we go full retail, you would expect to see that there'd be some wholesaler stocking in the distribution centers.

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Good morning, Ram. Regarding your other question about the clinical trials, Tranquility II is progressing on track. As you can see, we already had DSMB meeting, and that normally happens, like, when you are well advanced in your clinical trial. Enrollment is progressing well. As I indicated, there are two components. After first dosing, patients are followed for three months. We are well into that process, and lots of patients have completed the three-month period as well. We will provide guidance once we have the full enrollment, as we reach that point. In addition, that was for the Tranquility II. Rob, you wanted to add something on the Serenity III side?

Rob Risinger
Chief Medical Officer, Neuroscience, BioXcel Therapeutics

Yeah, Serenity III will be initiating before the end of this year. Serenity III, recall, is similarly designed to Serenity I and II, our pivotal trials, which enrolled in a matter of months, even during the peak of COVID.

Perhaps because of isolation. We have now opened enrollment in the SERENITY III to both bipolar patients and patients with schizophrenia. We believe we're using the same site, same design, same raters. We believe this will be equally, if not faster enrolling than our pivotal trials were. We fully anticipate and are confident in reporting top line for SERENITY III in the first half of 2023.

Ram Selvaraju
Managing Director, H.C. Wainwright

Thank you.

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is coming from Sumant Kulkarni from Canaccord Genuity. Your line is now live.

Speaker 13

Hey, guys. This is Kyle speaking for Sumant. A few questions from us. Since your launch, have any IDN voted no to IGALMI, and any instances where hospitals refused to move IGALMI to the voting stage? Another question, any potential obstacles that can delay the timing of currently scheduled formulary decisions? Maybe one last question. Any feedback from patients on self-administration and potential difficulties, as well as any caregiver experience on that? Thank you.

Matt Wiley
Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Regarding your first question on IDNs, right now we have about 40,000 of our targeted IDNs that's in process. Those are scheduled to vote, but we have not had votes yet. To date, we have not had any negative response for IDN votes. I did not, Kyle, get your second question, so I'll move to the third real quick, and then maybe you can repeat it. Patients, we've only spoken to hospital pharmacists that have observed some of the velocity with IGALMI. The feedback that we're getting from them is that the drug's working as expected, that the patients are able to take it, and that we've seen some improvements in discharge time, et cetera, and that it's well tolerated to the profile that we present.

Rob Risinger
Chief Medical Officer, Neuroscience, BioXcel Therapeutics

You know, I haven't heard of any patient difficulty or anything like that from administration perspective. What was your second question, Kyle?

Speaker 13

Yeah. Second question is, any potential obstacles that could delay the timing of the formulary decisions?

Matt Wiley
Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Well, I mean, you know, I think one of the things that our guest speaker, at the commercial day expressed is that the P&T committees handle a lot of things beyond just drug evaluation for formulary inclusion. A lot of things. Because the agendas and schedule can change, those are risks to getting formulary approval. We've seen a pretty good cadence of P&T committees meeting and, you know, assuming that they have quorum, we would expect to be reviewed. We believe that we put ourselves in position for positive formulary review.

Speaker 13

Okay, great. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is coming from Corinne Jenkins from Goldman Sachs. Your line is now live.

Corinne Jenkins
Stock Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Yeah, good morning, everyone. Maybe just on SERENITY III, could you just share with us some of the powering assumptions there, particularly given we know pretty well the dose-dependent response with IGALMI?

Rob Risinger
Chief Medical Officer, Neuroscience, BioXcel Therapeutics

Sure. We saw a very consistent dose-dependent response, and we compared, for example, SERENITY I in patients with schizophrenia with SERENITY II in patients with bipolar disorder, and there's very little, precious little difference in their response. Knowing that it's a very consistent response, the FDA has agreed that we can enroll both patients with bipolar disorder or patients with schizophrenia in the trial. We have a total N. It's not on clinicaltrials.gov. It will be very shortly, but the N is much smaller than the SERENITY I or II trials. Again, we know it's a very high effect size number needed to treat in the range of two or three. Our total N is around 200, and that gives us greater than 90% power to detect a difference from placebo, in patients with schizophrenia or bipolar disorder.

Corinne Jenkins
Stock Analyst, Goldman Sachs

On the TRANQUILITY III study, just curious, what are the gating factors that are still outstanding between now and initiating that trial in December?

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

I think the gating factor has been to make sure that TRANQUILITY II, can be completed on time. These are pretty much same CRO and like, you know, same site, similar sites, pretty much. Also, gaining the experience and learning from TRANQUILITY II, to make sure we can deploy all of that experience and completely focus on TRANQUILITY III when it does begin, as TRANQUILITY II is tailing off. Otherwise, there was no other gating factor.

Corinne Jenkins
Stock Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay, understood. Just what does a December initiation imply with respect to potential readouts? Is that kind of a 2H 2023 idea, or is there any reason to think it would be earlier beyond that?

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

I think once we have our first patient dose and we have good handle on the Tranquility full enrollment, then we will be able to provide a guidance on Tranquility III data readout when the data readout is expected. But as you can see, size is pretty much similar to Tranquility II. How long did it take us to complete the Tranquility II starting from first dose, patient dose, which was somewhere around May timeframe.

Corinne Jenkins
Stock Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Yep, makes sense. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We've reached the end of our question and answer session. I'd like to turn the floor back over for any further closing comments.

Vimal Mehta
Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, BioXcel Therapeutics

Thank you everyone for joining us today and for your interest in BioXcel Therapeutics. Have a great day.

Operator

Thank you. That does conclude today's teleconference and webcast. You may disconnect your line at this time and have a wonderful day.

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