Earnings Call: Q2 2021

Aug 3, 2021

And welcome to Cardlytics' 2nd Quarter 2021 Financial Results Call. Before we begin, let me remind everyone that today's discussion will contain forward looking statements based on our current assumptions, expectations and beliefs, including expectations about future financial performance or results, our financial guidance and cash position for the Q3 of 2021, our ability to achieve long term initiatives to drive long term growth, growth in MAUs or monthly active users, launches by new partners in the coming quarters, the increase in ARPU or average revenue per user, the impact of COVID-nineteen on our business and the economy as a whole, including the uneven recovery and volatility of the economy, Q4 being a seasonal high period for ad spending and consumer spending, the increase in stock based compensation next quarter, continued pressure on our UK results and the anticipated benefits and expectations and goals related to the integration of our acquisitions of Dosh Holdings Inc. And Bridge Inc. For a discussion of the specific risk factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from today's discussion, Please refer to the Risk Factors section of the company's 10 Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2021, and in subsequent periodic reports that we file with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Also during this call, we will discuss non GAAP measures of our performance. GAAP financial reconciliations and supplemental financial information are provided in the press release issued today and the 8 ks that has been filed with the SEC. Today's call is available via webcast and a replay will be available for 1 week. You can find all of the information I've just described on the Investor Relations section of Cardlytics' website. Please note that a supplemental presentation to our Q1 results has also been posted to our Investor Relations website. Joining us on the call today is Cardlytics' leadership team, including CEO and Co Founder, Lynn Loewe and CFO, Andy Christiansen. Following their prepared remarks, we'll open the call to your questions. With that, let me turn the call over to Lynn. Lynn? Good evening and thank you for joining our Q2 2021 earnings call. While we grew Cardlytics platform billings 111% and adjusted contribution 123 percent from Q2 2020, we fell below our guidance. This was driven by us forecasting a faster recovery than we realized in travel, retail and restaurants. Here are the numbers. Cardlytics platform billings were $83,200,000 up 111% year over year. Cardlytics platform revenue, which is equal to billings net of consumer incentives, was $56,800,000 an increase of 101% from Q2 2020 and Cardlytics platform adjusted contribution was $27,600,000 up 123% year over year. To provide investors with more transparency into the quarter, we're providing advertisers spending concentration and growth rates for each of our key verticals. We're also reporting Bridge results as a separate segment to help investors better understand performance and our investments in this business. I want to reiterate that while we're disappointed in the miss, our business is performing well. We believe advertisers spent less than we forecasted for three reasons. First, there were labor shortages. 2nd, retailers and restaurants had supply chain issues. And third, there was an increase in consumer demand, reducing the need for advertising with several key clients. For example, several of our key client restaurants paused their marketing because they couldn't purchase enough critical ingredients. Our men's clothing client halted all of their marketing spend when they realized their supply chain couldn't deliver the inventory they needed to maintain customer selection. As a result, some marketing budgets across our client pace were actually paused in Q2, something we rarely see in our business and or push to Q3. Additionally, as you can see from the new supplemental information, travel and entertainment advertising spend are still down about 75% from Q2 2019 and the UK is still down about 23% from Q2 2019. Our Q3 guidance acknowledges the reality that the pandemic is still affecting our business. Additionally, we're not providing Q4 or full year guidance at this time as we continue to see volatility. Importantly, we're not reducing internal targets or quotas. While our advertising clients remain committed to the platform, they are telling us that marketing budgets continue to be uncertain due to macroeconomic events. As we have discussed in the past, much of our billings are concentrated with large advertisers in verticals most impacted by COVID, highlighting the importance of self-service capabilities to expand our advertising base. Our team is facing the market's challenges head on and focused on achieving the goals we laid out at the beginning of here. With that said, I'm pleased with the progress we've made against the initiatives that will drive our long term growth. We are ahead of plan on every single initiative that we have discussed for the last several quarters. Let me highlight some of the key integration, product and client accomplishments. DOSH integration continues to go exceedingly well. By realizing synergies that we planned during the acquisition and post acquisition integration process, We're executing against our plan to eliminate the EBITDA loss by the first half of twenty twenty two. We are now live with 8 neobanks and fintech platforms, including Venmo. Additionally, we have another 14 NeoBank and FinTech platforms coming online over the following quarters. The new partners include a contract with 1 of the most innovative FinTechs in the U. S. This company selected Cardlytics and Dosh as its strategic loyalty partner to enhance customer adoption, retention and card use by rewarding cardholders for everyday spend. With the addition of Dosh, we have positioned Cardlytics to be the platform of choice for fast growing Fintech and NeoBank sectors. Bridge integration, while much lighter than Dosh, is also progressing as planned. We have begun integrating staff functions such as HR, finance and legal, and we are investing resource and capital to accelerate their efforts to achieve significant scale. Recently, we closed a large home improvement client and the business has a strong pipeline with many leading retailers and restaurants. Client feedback on Bridge has been impressive. One of their key partners had this to say about their product, Understanding all of our customers and their engagement levels allows us to deliver a differentiated from our experience. Bridge has enabled us to complement the deep insights we have around our loyalty members with an understanding of our unknown in store customer purchase behavior, along with the ability to reach these individuals to develop an optimal customer relationship. We now have a true holistic view into our customer base that was not possible before. Our Cardlytics platform sales strategy is paying dividends. We continue to see strong year over year growth from new industries like D2C, which was up over 120% in Q2 2021 compared with Q2 2019. In the U. K, we soft launched Nektar Connect to their online and mobile customers. As a reminder, Nektar is one of the largest loyalty programs in the U. K. And is run by the grocer Sainsbury. The next step is a phased promotional campaign to all of Nektar's members. Our focus on Open Banking is showing positive results as enrollment rates and customer engagement are extremely encouraging and have already outstripped initial expectations. We hired Peter Chan from Amazon as our CTO. Peter's impact on migrating to the new self-service platform is already evident. We are making great strides in partnering closely with agencies leveraging our platform. We now have 27 agencies spending money on behalf of 43 clients on the Cardlytics platform. While not all of the agency clients are using our self-service yet, those that aren't are migrating to the new platform. We have created this momentum as agencies understand the capabilities that we will enable over time. As a reminder, we will break out agency spend starting in Q3 of this year. And finally, we continue to invest to further strengthen our bank relationships. We are working with each of our bank partners to find more ways to deliver content to their and improve overall value delivered through their programs. For example, we've established a clear linkage of the program engagement to increases in overall spend, habitual card use and now even increases in savings and investment rates are creating even more support and excitement for our program across our bank partners. Before I hand it over to Andy, I just want to say that despite the headwinds in the quarter, the entire CDLX team is committed to executing against our initiatives. We're leaving no stone unturned to make sure that we finish the year strong and continue to become a leading advertising platform for our customers and partners. Thank you, Lynn. As Lynn mentioned, our financial results continue to be impacted by the pandemic, but I also share Lynn's excitement about and the progress we've made on our longer term product and technology initiatives. So let me review our Q2 financial results. Total billings increased 116% year over year to $85,300,000 Cardlytics Platform billings was $83,200,000 an increase of 111 sent. Total revenue increased 109% year over year to $58,900,000 Cardlytics platform revenue was $56,800,000 an increase of 101%. Our Cardlytics U. S. Revenue increased 95% year over year and our Cardlytics U. K. Revenue increased 2 20%. In the U. S, we saw significant year over year growth in each of our industry verticals. When compared to 2019, however, It is clear that we are still being affected by an uneven recovery with lingering challenges across travel and in some cases retail and restaurant. Our UK business continues to be more severely impacted by the pandemic as lockdowns and restrictions are still unwinding. Consumer spending and ad budgets have rebounded significantly from last year. We anticipate some continued pressure on our UK results over the next few quarters. As Lynn mentioned, we have provided new information on ad spending on the Cardlytics platform by industry. Both retail and restaurant spending grew in excess of 110% year over year, but we expected both of these industries to rebound at an even faster pace when forecasting at the beginning of the year. Our stronger than expected results in March reinforced this expectation. Specifically our Coralyx platform revenue was $16,000,000 in January, dollars 15,000,000 in February and $22,000,000 in March. During Q2, our Coralyx platform revenue was $17,000,000 in April, dollars 20,000,000 in May and $20,000,000 in June. These monthly fluctuations reflect the volatility of consumer spending and ad budgets in our key verticals, and it presents us with some challenges in accurately forecasted short term results. Adjusted contribution was $29,600,000 an increase of 139% year over year. Prolific platform adjusted contribution was $27,600,000 an increase of 123%. Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $5,700,000 compared to a loss of $7,700,000 in Q2 of 2020. Our adjusted EBITDA loss includes an incremental $10,000,000 of operating expenses related to our recent acquisitions. As mentioned last quarter, we expect a larger EBITDA loss in Q2 than Q1 as our investment in Dosh is reflected for a full quarter and Bridge is included for roughly half of the quarter. As I mentioned earlier, we have begun executing on a plan to integrate and rationalize the Dosh operations and representing Bridge as a separate segment within our external reports. Bridge operated at nearly breakeven adjusted EBITDA in Q2, but we have an investment plan to support the expected growth in that business. Here are a few other items outside our EBITDA results that are worth mentioning. First, in Q2, we incurred $14,000,000 of acquisition and innovation costs, and these costs are excluded from adjusted EBITDA. A significant portion of this relates to diligence and transaction costs. We are incurring a small amount of post acquisition integration costs, so we expect to incur some additional costs throughout the rest of the year. 2nd, our stock based compensation increased from $7,000,000 in Q1 to $13,000,000 in Q2. About half of the increased rates awarded is issued in connection with the DOSH acquisition, and assumption of options originally issued by Dosh. The other half predominantly relates to our annual retention grants to employees. We expect stock based compensation to be up a couple of $1,000,000 next quarter, driven by the Bridge acquisition, the Dosh integration and a few new hires. We ended Q2 with $251,000,000 cash and cash equivalents compared to $614,000,000 at the end of Q1. The change in cash is largely due to the Bridge acquisition, which closed in May. Minimum cash earnouts for Bridge shareholders are expected to total $48,000,000 in May of 'twenty two $19,000,000 in May of 'twenty three. In addition, we have another $50,000,000 still available to us under our loan facility at this time. Our balance sheet and liquidity remains strong. And while we're always evaluating our capital structure, we see no immediate need to raise additional funds. MAUs increased 7% year over year and were flat sequentially. As Lynn mentioned earlier, we have great momentum with neobanks and fintechs to Dosh, putting a very innovative client that we just recently signed. And expect many new partners to launch over the next few quarters. ARPU during the second quarter was $0.34 compared to $0.18 in the prior year. We expect ARPU to increase on a sequential and year over year basis throughout the rest of the year as we continue to grow our revenue at a faster rate than our MAUs. We had 32,900,000 shares outstanding at the end of Q2 compared with 31,800,000 at the end of Q1. Weighted average shares outstanding during the quarter was 33,000,000 compared to 27,100,000 during Q2 of 2020. This largely reflects the equity issuance last March and the shares issued in the Gosh acquisition. Now turning to guidance. In Q3, we expect total billings of between $85,000,000 $95,000,000 total revenue of between $57,000,000 $66,000,000 and adjusted contribution of between $27,000,000 $32,000,000 This is below our prior expectations as we believe we'll still be dealing with an uneven recovery in Q3. And also lowered our expectations for ad spending for return within travel this year. Given the volatility we expect in our key industry verticals, we've decided to wait to provide Q4 guidance until we have more visibility. Based on the current macroeconomic climate, we expect Q4 to continue being a seasonal high point for most on HUD spending and consumer spending. However, we expect a high level of variability of these market dynamics and each industry we operate in and is still working through unique challenges of varying degrees that may result in later decision making on campaign launches. Additionally, several of our largest and clients develop their marketing plans during Q3. So we expect to gain more clarity in the next few months. We remain very excited about the long term potential of Cardlytics and the combined value with Dosh and Bridge. Our focus is squarely on execution and making sure we have sufficient resources and investments to achieve near term results and continue our progress on our important long term initiatives. So with that, I'll turn it back over to Lynn. Thanks, Andy. There's still significant uncertainty in the market right now given COVID-nineteen trends, but we believe our business will continue trending towards a position of strength through this uneven recovery. We're looking forward to executing on our plan and acquisition integration for the second half of twenty twenty one. With that, I'll open up the call for your questions. Thank you. Our first question comes from Jason Kreyer of Craig Hallum. Your line is open. All right. Thank you for taking my questions. Just a couple Clarification items, if you don't mind. So in terms of the metrics you provided, it looks like MAUs were down about $1,000,000 quarter over quarter. Just wondering if there was an explanation on that. And then when we look at the Q3 guide, obviously, you're providing a wide range of outcomes, but it looks like the low end of the Q3 guide would actually show a lower sequential movement from the Q2 level. So I'm just trying to understand the logic and kind of the puts and takes that would drive a sequential reduction there. Hey, thanks. This is Andy. On your first point on MAUs, while we did add of a few million MAUs with the launch of U. S. Bank. We actually did have a few million MAUs also come down from a planned wind down of a processor. We've been working with them for a while trying to get them to do the things that were necessary We really have a successful program. We actually have had less than $50,000 of revenue from that partner this year. So They were actually unprofitable. And so as we've talked a lot about kind of where we're going as a platform, it just really didn't make any sense. So that's what that was. And then on your point on the Q3 guide, yes, you're right. I mean, we have Certainly, there's a lot of uncertainty. We decided to keep the guide fairly wide still. There's just a lot of things that we're trying to work through with visibility. Certainly, we talked about travel and some of the continuing challenges that we have there that are in the market, right, from a supply and demand perspective. We really just continue to see some You can have a midpoint there, right. We do anticipate things that continue to progress. We've seen continued increase quarter over quarter. We expect that to continue. And that why guys is because of the lack of visibility that we have right now. Got it. I appreciate the color, Andy. I want to squeeze in one more just on the more strategic side. But in terms of this the enhanced platform that U. S. Bank is rolling out. Just wondering if you can kind of reset the expectations on where we go from these from the current point in time, Other financial institutions you expect to add there like and at what point in time you think you get critical mass where you've got several institutions utilizing that platform. Yes. Thanks, Jason. It's Lynn. What we've publicly said is there is one very large bank that will be going live on this from a new experience in the back half of this year. So starting next year, we'll have significant MAUs on the platform. And then what we've also said is we expect most of the rest of the MAUs to adopt the platform over the course of 2022, So that by the time we get into 2023, we will have the majority, probably not all, but the majority of MAUs on a new version of the user experience. And just to add to that, we are already it's very early. U. S. Bank is, of course, a good nice midsized bank, and it's very early, but we're already seeing very encouraging results with significantly higher click rates on ads that have pictures, not a surprise, as well as significantly higher click rates on ads that are with the categorization features that we've added. So early times, but very exciting. Perfect. Thank you. Appreciate the time. Thank you. Our next question comes from Aaron Kessler of Raymond James. Your line is open. Great. Thanks guys. Maybe just a couple of questions. I wonder if you can just discuss the advertiser Pipeline a little bit and maybe specifically DTC trends, looks like they may have flattened out, but looks like they may have been because of the recovery in some of the other verticals as a percentage of revenue basis. Just may quickly on the kind of the ARPU calculation, just to clarify, you're excluding bridge from that. I was off by a penny there just to clarify that. Thank you. Yes. Andy, I'll let you take the Yes, I was going to clarify that, yes, the bridge is not included in our ARPU calculations. The MAU number is really just a Cardlytics only platform number and then the revenue generated from the Cartlix platform. Got it. Yes. And then on the D2C question, I think it's much more what you observed, Erin, which is other categories are starting to come back. So D2C is still growing, but as a Percentage of the overall business as the other categories are coming back. It looks like B2C is flattening out, but they are it's absolutely still a very, very fast growing category Got it. And just how do you feel about kind of the advertiser pipeline right now kind of with the sales force? Is there any further details there? Yes, I mean, look, I know it sounds split because we did just have a miss, but we also grew adjusted contribution 123% year over year, which is higher than I think any other digital platform out there. So we feel great about the pipeline. We talked about the momentum we're seeing Agencies, which are bringing in a lot of new logos and new clients. Our current clients are still very excited by the platform. The pipeline is robust. So I know it sounds split, but there is nothing wrong with the core business. We just over forecasted recovery. Got it. Great. Thank you, guys. Thank you. Our next question comes from Kyle Peterson, Needham. Your line is open. Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for taking the questions, guys. Just wanted to see on the some of the feedback you guys have been getting from Some of your clients, maybe how much of the shortfall this quarter is from some of these kind of labor and supply chain issues? And how much of it is, maybe from some of this pent up demand kind of creating a little bit of an air pocket? Just want to see from you guys like what you guys are hearing. Yes. I mean, I'll jump in and then Andy, certainly feel free to add color. We certainly would have It'd been in the range, probably above midpoint had we not seen campaigns pause in the middle of the quarter. And the campaigns that paused in the middle of the quarter were because of very like labor issues or lack of chicken or things like that. I do think we would have been above the high end of the guide, had we not seen some advertisers just decide to Basically not advertised because they didn't need to because of the demand. So it's obviously a bit of both. But clearly the pausing of Campaigns that were already committed budgets. It's something we have rarely seen. I mean, honestly, I don't ever remember seeing it. I'm sure it's happened in the past, but I don't remember, have recent memory of it, and it really was because of those issues. And like I said, we would have been comfortably inside our guide and probably above the midpoint had it not been for those. Okay. That's helpful. And then Just a follow-up on Bridge. The ARR breakdown and the revenue breakout in the release is Super helpful. But just wondered if you could give us any additional color either on the bookings momentum that they're seeing or How we should think about how the ARR will kind of roll into revenue moving forward? Yes, I mean, look, you will see a fairly standard, I think, Yes, relationship there as it relates to some of these other software platforms, if you will, right. Like we're going to continue to grow that ARR. And as those become realized, right, we'll see that move through revenue. But I think we have quite a bit of good momentum on that Part of the business, right? And we talked a lot about really trying to drive that scale and going to market and having conversations jointly, has already begun. So Kyle, just to give you some tangible numbers there. When we acquired Bridge, they had one full time salesperson. They're now up to 3, and we're investing heavily. So we are going to really blow out the pipeline. That's the goal. That's always been the objective. But obviously going from 1 salesperson to 3 and people take time to train, etcetera. So it's going to be a multi quarter journey to really get them to material scale, but we're very focused on that right now. And then the clients we are calling on, we've identified 25 very high potential clients. These are clients both that could really benefit from Bridge, but also could benefit from Bridge and Cardlytics combined, and we're going after them pretty aggressively. All right. That's great color. Thanks, guys. Thank you. Our next question comes from Doug Anmuth of JPMorgan. Your line is open. Hey, this is Davey on for Doug Anmuth. Thanks for taking the questions. First one on the challenges that your the core verticals are saying. When you talk to them, where do you think they are in solving those challenges? Do you think they're Please turn the corner or do you think things will get a little bit more challenging before it improves? And then on just the contribution as a percent of revenue, it suppressed 50% for the first time this quarter. And even if you exclude The bridge contribution is close to 49%. And it seems like you guys are guiding to that being in the high 40s percent level. So Just curious what drove the increase and how we should think about that going forward? Yes, I'll take the first part. Andy, you can take the second part. I think I mean, it's hard to predict the future, but I think the supply chain shortages that impacted a couple of our clients, Those seem to be going away, but I will say the labor shortages are not. As an example, I tried to redeem a Burger King offer. I was really craving onion rings the last Couple of days and I sent my daughter to go get me onion rings. 2 days in a row, she went to Burger King and they were closed. They didn't have enough employees. So I'm still worried about labor shortages, supply chain shortages, hard to predict, but right now those seem to have gone away or at least dramatically declined. Yes. And on your second point, we do have of a bit more enhanced incentives this quarter than we've had in recent periods. We've talked about that, right. That dynamic is where and the banks are helping to fund enhanced offers, right, through their FI share. So what that does, that will to suppress our GAAP revenue, right, but it's actually it's neutral to our adjusted contribution. So if you're looking at adjusted contribution as a percentage of revenue that can be distorted a little bit in those periods. But even when you look at adjusted contribution as Percentage of billings, which is probably a better way to kind of look at that. You will see it is a bit higher than normal. We don't expect to have that be probably as high on the Cardlytics side going forward. We've talked historically about that being about 30% to 32% and that's where we actually see it going longer term. There was a little bit of noise here in the quarter, but the view of 32% is where we see that going. Got it. Thank you. Helpful. Thank you. One moment please. I'm showing I have a question from Charles Knobman of Wells Fargo. Your line is open. Good afternoon and thank you for taking my question. A few of the companies we follow in the payment space had reported an acceleration in trends in the UK during July. And given your exposure, I was wondering if you could comment if you're seeing anything similar given some of the re openings in that region. Yes, I think we've seen actually some nice improvement, significant improvement, especially when looking at a year over year basis, as they've kind of started to unwind a lot of the lockdowns and restrictions, which they're still in the process of winding this I think there's a very similar dynamic in the UK, right, that we've had in travel here in the U. S. I think we speak to that So a couple of different times, right, where you have just not near enough of a need for demand generation. But as far as the spending, we do see that spending starting to come back. And I think really now it's more about making sure we get the ad budget and the consumer spending, which we need both of those. Okay. Okay. And as a follow-up, I appreciate the color on Slide, maybe Slide 11 with the 13 rather with the offer activation rates by industry. I was just curious, looking across those industries, where you see the most potential upside in activation rate? Yes, it's a good question. Sorry, Andy, did you want to take that? Go ahead. I was going to say it's a great question. I mean, what we know is, first of all, let's start with some basic stuff. Everybody eats. So we think restaurants are always going to be our highest click rates by far. I did mention the fact that, we're seeing some really nice engagement with U. S. Bank The new UI, restaurants are some of the key places where we're showing some pictures. So I think those have there's some real potential there. You take something like subscription, I don't think you're ever going to see it go much higher. Subscription is kind of a low engagement, but high value Offer is the way we think about it. So the more fast, fun and frequent a category is, the higher the click rates are going to go over time. And the more infrequent the category is, the lower the click rates are going to be, but the higher the revenue generation is the way to think about it. But restaurant, retail, the kinds of things people do frequently and every day, I think those click rates could go dramatically higher. Yes. And especially one thing to note too, I'd say grocery is probably one where as we start talking about SKU level offers and those types of things, right. There's probably a significant move that can happen over time, you virtually walk into that opportunity. Great. Thank you for the color. Thank you. I'm showing no further questions at this Tom, I'd like to turn the call back over to management for any closing remarks. Thanks. So look, we had a miss. There's no ifs, ands or buts about it. We're horribly disappointed. But at the same time, it was over forecasting in a very uncertain time. There is nothing wrong with the core business. We still grew our adjusted contribution 123%. So we apologize for the miss, but we are heads down fully focused. If you invested in this business for the long term, all the long term stuff is still here and even more robust than it was a quarter ago. Thanks, everyone. We appreciate your time.