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Earnings Call: Q2 2015

Aug 5, 2015

Operator

Morning. My name is Catherine, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I'd like to welcome everyone to the second quarter 2015 earnings release and operations update for Oasis Petroleum. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by 0. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star, then 1 on your touchtone phone. To withdraw your question, please press star, then 2. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Michael Lou, Oasis Petroleum CFO, to begin the conference. Thank you, Mr. Lou. You may begin your conference.

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

Thank you, Catherine. Good morning, everyone. This is Michael Lou. Today, we are reporting our second quarter 2015 financial and operational results. We're delighted to have you on our call. I'm joined today by Tommy Nusz and Taylor Reid, as well as other members of our team. Please be advised that our remarks, including the answers to your questions, include statements that we believe to be forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to be materially different from those currently disclosed in our earnings release and conference call. Those risks include, among others, matters that we have described in our earnings release, as well as in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our annual report on Form 10-K and our quarterly reports on Form 10-Q.

We disclaim any obligation to update these forward-looking statements. During this conference call, we will also make references to adjusted EBITDA, which is a non-GAAP financial measure. Reconciliations to adjusted EBITDA to the applicable GAAP measures can be found in our earnings release and on our website. We will also reference our August investor presentation, which you can find on our website. With that, I'll turn the call over to Tommy.

Thomas Nusz
Chairman and CEO, Oasis Petroleum

Good morning and thank you for joining us today on our second quarter 2015 earnings call. I'm pleased to announce that we have delivered another strong quarter, coming in above the high end of our production guidance range and below the low end of our guidance on LOE. We're also right on top of our internal CapEx plan for the first half of the year and are ahead of schedule on our plan to lower well costs and live within cash flow. I will go into more detail on these items momentarily, but first, I'd like to focus on where we are currently versus our original 2015 plan. As you will recall, at the end of 2014, well costs for our high-intensity completions were coming in around $10.6 million, and our goal was to decrease those to an average of $9.5 million this year.

During the first quarter, we were able to drive those costs down in the $9 million range, and we're now around $7.8 million for slickwater completions in the core. About half of the cost savings came from service cost reductions, and the other half came from efficiency gains, which tend to be a bit more structural in nature and will likely remain if we pick up the pace of activity. During the first quarter, cash flow outspend, as measured by EBITDA less CapEx and cash interest, was about $103 million. We projected that we would be close to breakeven on this metric for the remainder of the year. I'm happy to report that during the second quarter, we were actually positive by about $36 million, and we continue to expect to be neutral or more likely positive for the second half of 2015.

For the quarter, we completed 21 gross operated wells in line with what we said we would do at 6 to 8 wells per month. We expect to be at the low end of that monthly range for the remainder of the year, completing about 6 wells per month since we've completed 44 wells during the first half of the year versus our full-year plan of 79 gross operated completions. Given the current backdrop for oil prices and mindful of managing our cash flow, we've elected to delay the completion of a number of our drilled but uncompleted wells, even though we expect to come in under our full-year CapEx budget by about $35 million.

While we still have a board-approved budget of $705 million that gives us the flexibility to slot additional wells in if oil prices improve considerably, we're currently planning on spending about $670 million on CapEx in 2015. We've continued to experience outperformance from our high-intensity wells compared to what we originally modeled. Additionally, we have improved uptime performance, resulting in a 3% beat compared to the high end of our first quarter range and another 2.5% beat above the high end of the second quarter. With our year-to-date outperformance, expected continued success, and July operational volumes trending north of 50,000 MBOE per day, we're raising full-year production guidance to 49 to 50,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day, up from the 46 to 49 from May.

With the increase in production guidance in 2015, we're still forecasting relatively flat production throughout 2016 versus the fourth quarter of 2015, which is about 5% higher than originally anticipated. As a reminder to everyone, when we put together our 2015 budget, we used a $50 WTI price for the entire year. We set the plan up to operate the business in a weak oil price environment and to adjust our operations as we pull different levers or realize the different oil price. While WTI topped our budget in the second quarter, we're now back at levels very similar to our original budget. The team has done a great job managing key drivers to cash flow from production and capital cost to LOE and differentials. We've positioned the company well in a less than stellar macro environment.

With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Taylor to go into a little more detail.

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

Thanks, Tommy. First, I'd like to remind everyone that substantially all the activity for the remainder of 2015 will be focused in the core of the basin. The area which we define as core, including Indian Hills, Wild Basin, and Alger, has about 825 locations. 701 of which are located in the Middle Bakken or the First Bench of the Three Forks. At the current pace of completions, this equates to 8-10 years of inventory. Not only does operating in the core allow us to drill the highest EUR wells, it also allows us to capture efficiencies through high well density pad operations and reduce costs through infrastructure, which you're seeing play out in both our well cost and LOE.

Our focus in 2015 has remained on capital preservation and solid operational execution with an eye towards remaining flexible and opportunistic in this very volatile environment. During the first quarter call, we talked about dropping from five rigs down to four as a result of efficiency gains to moderate spending in this low commodity environment. Likewise, in the second quarter, we realized the opportunity to further reduce rig count from four to three as a result of higher efficiencies on the drilling side of the business. We now plan to run three rigs for the remainder of the year. We have seen drilling days measured by spud to rig release fall from about 24 days last year to 16 days more recently for wells drilled in Indian Hills. We've also seen efficiency gains on the completion side, improving 40% quarter-over-quarter.

During the quarter, we completed 21 gross operated wells, including 18 in the core, with seven in Alger and 11 in Indian Hills, plus we had one completion in Montana and two in North Cottonwood. This results in 86% of the activity being in the core, with about 60% of our total activity being focused on high-intensity completions for the year to date. As mentioned, we expect to complete 100% of our wells in the core for the balance of 2015, with about 65% of that activity being high-intensity completions. I'll now direct you to our investor presentation, which was updated this morning. The high-intensity wells that we have completed this year continue to demonstrate the same type of outperformance that we have seen in the past relative to our type curves for hybrid completions.

On page nine, you can see the updated outperformance relative to our type curves now averages between 34 and 50.

Ronald Mills
Senior Analyst, Johnson Rice & Company

Yes, excuse me, this is the operator. We're having a private conversation. May I have your first and last name?

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

You are now rejoining the main conference.

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

In Alger, the well counts did not change, but we have more longer data production. As you can see, both areas continue to significantly outperform the base wells. Moving to the next slide, you can see our updated economics run with our latest well cost of $8 million for high-intensity completions and $7 million for a hybrid style completion. As you can see with our new costs, we can achieve 20%-35% IRRs with our high-intensity fracs in the core at $50 pricing. We continue to believe that there is still room for service costs to come down and for additional efficiency gains should we continue in this $50 environment. On slide 12, you can see the performance of our high-intensity completions outside the core, in this case, in Montana. We have talked about these wells before and continue to be encouraged by their performance.

As a reminder, the Jimbo Federal well was our slickwater style completion utilizing all sand instead of ceramic, which resulted in savings of about $500,000. As you can see, the well is performing in line with the average of all slickwater completions using ceramic, and both are materially outperforming the type curve for the area. We believe we can complete these slickwater wells for around $7 million to $7.5 million, which produces IRRs above 20% at $60 pricing. We're not saying we're going to move outside the core right now, but we're really excited to see that through cost reductions and high-intensity performance gains, these areas are positioned to provide good returns in a low oil price environment. Based on this success, we also plan to test all sand in the core.

On page five of our presentation, you can see that total costs for our two high-intensity style completions, slickwater and high-volume proppant are now coming in at $7.8 million and $8.3 million respectively, representing a 26% improvement to our year-end 2014 cost. We plan on completing some all sand slickwater tests in the core during the second half of 2015, which has the potential to save another $500,000 versus current well cost. With that, I'll turn the call over to Michael.

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

Thanks, Taylor. To add to Taylor's comments about efficiency, we have seen significant improvements in LOE, largely due to connecting and moving more volumes on our saltwater gathering pipelines. At the end of 2014, we were around 40% connected, and we have moved that to around 65% connected in the second quarter. Having these volumes move on the OMS system was the primary driver for the 4% drop in our LOE quarter-over-quarter. We are now running about 19% below our 2014 LOE per BOE levels, coming in at $8.26 during the second quarter. As you know, we break out OMS as its own segment, and we reported EBITDA of $10.7 million in the first quarter of 2015. During the second quarter, we grew OMS EBITDA to $17.4 million, primarily due to more saltwater volumes and a pickup in activity in our freshwater distribution business.

While we do not expect to keep freshwater at these heightened levels for the remainder of the year, we're now targeting north of $55 million in EBITDA for OMS in 2015. We've highlighted the performance of the White and Hagen Banks wells in Wild Basin on past calls. The wells continue to impress, and we continue to invest in the midstream infrastructure project in Wild Basin. We are currently building the natural gas processing facility and are working on finalizing right of way for oil, gas, and water lines that will ultimately be constructed next year. On past calls and in other discussions, many of you have asked about our opportunity to monetize OMS, both the existing water distribution, gathering, and disposal business, as well as the Wild Basin project.

While we don't have any formal update on timing, we are continuing the process to potentially monetize these assets and are exploring numerous options, and we will give you an update when we have something more definitive. As we've discussed in the past, we are very focused on maintaining control while maximizing the value of this rapidly growing business. We have seen encouraging data points in the market with infrastructure capital coming into the Williston Basin through either strategic acquisitions or through private capital investments at extremely compelling valuations. The good news for Oasis is that we have a strong liquidity position to fund infrastructure until we find the right option to maximize value and keep control. From a liquidity standpoint, we exited the second quarter with only $155 million drawn on our $1.7 billion borrowing base.

We have $1.5 billion of elected commitments, and we expect that the fall redetermination should not have a material impact on this number. Even though we expect banks to run a lower price deck in the fall than they did in the spring, we have a lot of positive momentum to offset lower commodity prices, including lower well costs and LOE, and better differentials. Speaking of better differentials, in 2015, we've continued to see some great pricing out of the Williston Basin. We were below our guidance range of $6.50-$7.50 per barrel in the second quarter, coming in at $5.90 per barrel off of WTI. We expect the third quarter to range between $5.50 and $6.50 per barrel as we continue to benefit from flattening production and additional takeaway capacity in the basin.

Conversely, natural gas price realizations came in a bit light, primarily driven by both lower Henry Hub and liquids pricing. We will likely see a slight step-up in the third quarter in natural gas price realizations. We did see some oil price improvement in the second quarter in WTI, and we were able to layer in some additional hedges for both the second half of 2015 and in 2016. We've increased our position to 28,000 barrels of oil per day at an average floor of $75.61 in the second half of 2015 to 8,000 barrels of oil per day at $63.20 in the first half of 2016 and 3,000 barrels of oil per day at $63.94 in the second half of 2016. On the G&A front, we have continued to manage costs down to all-time lows in the second quarter.

As cash G&A per BOE came in at $3.38, which is down 21% compared to 2014 levels. All-in cash operating costs, including LOE, production taxes, differentials, and cash G&A are down 25% to 2014 levels and totaled $23.71 per BOE in the second quarter. Taylor spoke about our efforts to remain flexible in the downturn. You've seen us proactively manage our services with lower pricing and minimal contract breakage penalties, and we have seen significant operational efficiencies, all contributing to lower capital and operating costs. This has allowed us to outperform on nearly every metric for the year with higher production on lower capital and stronger cash margins with higher realizations and lower operating costs and G&A costs. For the second quarter and through the remainder of 2015, we expect to be cash flow positive while continuing to grow annual production 7%-9% year-over-year.

As we look into 2016, we continue to remain flexible, especially given the uncertainty of the oil price environment. In 2016, at a $50 WTI flat deck, we believe that we can continue to keep capital within cash flow, assuming alternative financing for OMS, which will keep volumes flat and maybe even growing a bit from 2015 levels. If oil price starts to move north of 55 or 60, we will begin shaping a broader capital plan for 2016, which will start showing higher year-over-year growth, still managing to keep cash flow neutral. Additionally, as Taylor mentioned, it is important to note that we have great economics in the core as well as outside of the core.

Our high-intensity production results and recent cost reductions in areas like Montana continue to prove that we have a deep cost-resilient inventory in our extended core and fairway areas that extends well past our eight to 10 years of core inventory. Finally, we mentioned that the second quarter was a tremendously successful quarter for Oasis. Our team did a great job of coming in over our production guidance range, allowing us to increase production guidance range for the year while expecting to come in under budget on capital. With additional production, along with reductions in operating costs, better differentials, and lower G&A costs, we expect to be able to continue to improve our balance sheet and capital structure in the second half of 2015, setting ourselves up for the future.

With all the hard work of our employees, we've quickly repositioned Oasis to be able to continue to grow and make solid returns at a much lower oil price in 2016 and beyond, while continuing to spend within cash flow and preserve our strong liquidity position. I'll now turn the call over to Catherine for questions.

Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your touch-tone phone. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. Our first question comes from Neal Dingmann with SunTrust. Please go ahead with your question.

Neal Dingmann
Analyst, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey

Morning, guys.

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

Morning, Neal.

Neal Dingmann
Analyst, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey

Hey, just a quick question, Tom. You guys, obviously, liquidity-wise, are doing very good. You've got, obviously, big benefit when I look at probably the cash basis or even the potential of the Oasis Midstream Services or all that infrastructure development you all have. I'm just looking at the Slides 13 and 14. Your thoughts anytime soon or down the line about potentially monetizing either of those?

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

Yeah. On the midstream business, we have looked at a number of options, and like we said in the prepared remarks, we've got a lot of things that we're evaluating now. Obviously, there are a number of options. We've seen a lot of capital come into the Williston on the infrastructure side at pretty compelling valuations. We're focused on maintaining control and getting the highest value. We'll continue to work down that path. We do think that something can come here in the near future, we'll give you guys a little bit more when we get something a little bit more definitive.

Neal Dingmann
Analyst, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey

Okay. Then just lastly, one follow-up on that. Slide 11 certainly was the case this quarter, and it's evident by the stock price today about this improving economics with the higher recoveries and lower cost. Going forward, is that higher intensity completion, is that what we should assume? I guess, how should we think about that versus that base completion economics?

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

Sure. As we've talked about, we've continued to ramp up the percentage of our completions that are high intensity, 20% last year. First half, it was 60%. Second half, it'll be 65% of our activity. If we continue to see this type of performance that we've seen in these wells, we'll push that up closer to 100% in 2016.

Neal Dingmann
Analyst, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey

Got it. Thank you all.

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

Thanks, Neal.

Operator

Our next question comes from Stephen Berman with Canaccord. Please go ahead with your question.

Stephen Berman
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Thanks. Good morning, guys. Maybe a question for Michael. The comments surrounding flat to moderate production growth in 2016 and generating cash, I think that would imply a CapEx budget with a three in front of it. Is that a fair assumption? What are you thinking for spending next year based on comments you made earlier?

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

Yeah, Steve, on the D&C side, what we've said about 2016 in this kind of an environment, we called it around $400 million or just under $400 million. I think that with where costs are, et cetera, we think we can keep production, albeit at even a higher level because we performed well this year. Next year, we can keep that flat to growing a little bit, still in that $350-$400 range on the D&C side.

Stephen Berman
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Okay. Thanks for that. Just one follow-up. What are you seeing from your non-operated working interest partners? I know there's been some non-consent given where oil prices are. I guess with companies focused on their main areas, it's maybe hard for the non-op partners to say no. What's been your experience lately with that?

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

It's been a bit of a mix. We've got a few partners that have been going non-consent, and really as the year has worn on, we've seen a little bit less of that. I think that's probably a reflection of

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

Well costs coming down as much as they have. There is still a portion that we're seeing non-consent, but we've planned for that within our budget numbers, and we think we're in good shape.

Stephen Berman
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

All right, great. Thanks, guys.

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

Thanks.

Operator

Our next question comes from Michael Hall with Heikkinen Energy Advisors. Please go ahead with your question.

Michael Hall
Analyst, Heikkinen Energy Advisors

Thanks. Good morning, congrats on the solid update.

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

Thanks, Michael.

Michael Hall
Analyst, Heikkinen Energy Advisors

I guess I just wanted to circle back on the well cost side of things again, sorry if I missed this in the remarks or questions so far, what would you say may be a target well cost might be for the first or the beginning of 2016 or by year-end 2015 on the high-intensity completions in the core?

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

As we talked about, we're at seven eight for slickwater in the core right now. If we continue to see reductions, that's really going to be both on efficiency side and on service cost. We'd like to think going into next year, we'd be able to get them down another 10%, we're going to have to continue to monitor.

Michael Hall
Analyst, Heikkinen Energy Advisors

Okay. Just on the slickwater versus the high-volume proppant, I guess, how should we think about how you're evaluating between those two options currently?

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

It's

Michael Hall
Analyst, Heikkinen Energy Advisors

High-volume proppant to the slickwater, I guess, is also what I'm trying to think about.

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

Yeah. Really, Michael, what we're doing is testing each of those high-intensity completions across the position in the core. We've got a mix in Indian Hills, in Alger, and we'll do the same thing in Wild Basin. Then based on the success of one or the other, depending on the area, we'll make a move to something that's more reflective of that style completion. By the end of this year, we're going to be in a better position to make that call, and then you'll see us start to modify the completion design around that data.

Thomas Nusz
Chairman and CEO, Oasis Petroleum

I think it gets driven by the rocks, right? Depending on where you are in the basin, ultimate performance varies between the two techniques. As Taylor said, we're testing both, and we'll just optimize off of that.

Michael Hall
Analyst, Heikkinen Energy Advisors

Okay, it's not like you pick one. It's more custom fitting it to the individual area that you're active in.

Thomas Nusz
Chairman and CEO, Oasis Petroleum

Yep.

Michael Hall
Analyst, Heikkinen Energy Advisors

Okay. The comments around the potential to be flat to growing modestly within cash flow next year. The comment there also, Michael, was assuming some sort of midstream monetization. Am I to understand then that the gap would be fully covered by the midstream monetization? Was that the intention of that comment? Just want to make sure.

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

Yeah. No, I think that's exactly right. Any midstream monetization, I think, that of the ones that we're looking at can cover that gap on infrastructure spend, which will be just over $100 million, as well as a little bit of other non D&C capital.

Michael Hall
Analyst, Heikkinen Energy Advisors

Okay. The E&P capital itself would be fully funded internally?

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

Correct.

Michael Hall
Analyst, Heikkinen Energy Advisors

Okay. As we think about the midstream monetization avenues you're looking at, how should we think about the potential for that to change cost structure down the road?

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

Yeah, it depends on obviously how we monetize that, Michael. The OMS obviously provides some benefit on LOE as well as some benefit on capital. Given that we like to keep control, obviously most of that's going to stay within Oasis. We'll have to see. At this point, we'll still continue to consolidate, et cetera, on a similar basis, and any smaller minority partner, it would come out below the line.

Michael Hall
Analyst, Heikkinen Energy Advisors

Below the line. Okay. It's very helpful. Appreciate it, guys. Congrats again.

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

Thanks.

Operator

Our next question comes from Biju Perincheril of Susquehanna. Please go ahead with your question.

Biju Perincheril
Analyst, Susquehanna

Hi. Good morning.

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

Morning.

Biju Perincheril
Analyst, Susquehanna

I'm looking at some of the enhanced completions, both slickwater and high proppant volume. It looks like you see a more consistent pickup in productivity when these wells are drilled on tighter spacing. First of all, do you agree with that observation? If you do, I was wondering is there an explanation of why that may be the case?

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

I don't know that we've necessarily seen a higher pickup at tighter spacing, those really are the two things we've got to understand. One is what is the uplift as we do these high-intensity completions? Very importantly, what is the uplift when you do it in spacing? Drilling out a full DSU and doing all of those fracs close together, we've got to get that right, that's one of the things we'll continue to work on is spacing with the high-intensity fracs. We think we've got a pretty good answer right now. We'll continue to perfect that as we go, every year you'll see us modify that spacing plan a bit, we think we're in pretty good shape.

Biju Perincheril
Analyst, Susquehanna

Okay. Is it fair to say that the tighter spacing, you haven't seen any deterioration or more interference?

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

At this point, the well results continue to show a consistent uplift, and so it wouldn't indicate interference.

Biju Perincheril
Analyst, Susquehanna

All right, great. Thanks.

Operator

Our next question comes from Ron Mills with Johnson Rice. Please go ahead with your question.

Ronald Mills
Senior Analyst, Johnson Rice & Company

Good morning. Hey, guys. With another three months of production data that you show on slide 10, the well performance continues to get even better. When you look at your acreage position across Indian Hills and Alger, how repeatable do you think those results are? Within that core area, do you think there's potential variability across that position?

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

Yeah, Ron, based on what we're seeing right now, if you look on the map on Page 9, you can see there's a fair spread of where these tests are for the high-intensity completions. We're seeing pretty consistent uplifts, we're feeling good that you're going to see that same type of performance across not only the whole core position, but as you get into areas like Montana, really seeing great uplift as well.

Ronald Mills
Senior Analyst, Johnson Rice & Company

Okay. As it relates to slide 10 and just with your production guidance, you obviously brought the low end up 6% or 7% this quarter. To the extent that wells continue to perform tracking the million-plus barrel range at Indian Hills and call it 850,000 or 900,000 barrels at Alger, how much headroom would you have on future production guidance? Maybe it addresses your growth comment, Michael, based on additional production history in these areas.

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

Ron, we've actually factored in that uplift in the high-intensity wells. We modeled 25%-30% uplift. There is a bit of potential upside on top of that relative to some of the performance you're seeing.

Ronald Mills
Senior Analyst, Johnson Rice & Company

Okay. From a relative, just because of the way the wells have held up, you have the higher initial productivity, and you talk about potential EUR uplifts of 10% to 30%. How much more history would you like to see before you feel more comfortable if that EUR uplift can be greater than that 10% to 30%?

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

If you ask our reservoir engineers, they'll tell me five to 10 years, I think by the end of this year and as we get a little more into the next year, we're just going to get more comfortable. I think that clearly it's at least the 10%, the 30% is feeling pretty good, we got to continue to do the work. That's not only seeing this production history, also we're doing a lot of work on modeling simulation, subsurface analysis, we got to pull all those tools together to make a final determination.

Ronald Mills
Senior Analyst, Johnson Rice & Company

Okay. What's even more impressive about the production growth is it's occurring even as you continue to build your uncompleted well inventory. I know you had originally entered the year at 70 to 75, planned to exit around that same level, I think you have more uncompleted wells in hand now. Where do you now expect to end the year in terms of uncompleted wells?

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

We're probably going to build that backlog of completions a bit. We entered 70 to 75. We're likely to end up end of the year in the 80s, maybe mid-80s range. As we talked about, we've been a lot more efficient on the drilling side, that pace of drilling has just resulted in a few more wells piling up in that waiting on completion inventory. Relative to where we are at mid-year, we're at 93, we'll work that down obviously from now till end of the year being in the mid-80s.

Ronald Mills
Senior Analyst, Johnson Rice & Company

Perfect. One last one, just Michael, on the midstream assets, I know you have gone from 40% to 65% or 68% of your wells going through the system. I think we had talked about potentially getting to 75% or 80% through the system by the end of next year, and the Wild Basin assets really starting to contribute a full year of EBITDA in 2017. If you just look at that EBITDA run rate of $50 million to $55 million today, on the existing OMS assets, is that something that can grow on the order of to $60 million, $65 million by the end of next year, and Wild Basin can add $40 million to $60 million in 2017? Or how do we think about the EBITDA growth potential?

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

Look, I think that your numbers are generally in the right direction. The EBITDA, like you said, of Wild Basin production will start in the latter part of next year. It does take a little while to get fully up to speed. On a run rate end of 2017 basis, you're probably in the right ballpark on that front. Then, like you mentioned, the saltwater disposal side, while we're at $55 million for this year, we can continue to grow that. As we get to that 75% and 80% connected or running through our pipelines on saltwater disposal, hopefully it's in that range that you're talking about, $60 million to $70 million.

Ronald Mills
Senior Analyst, Johnson Rice & Company

Thanks. Just looking for the color to try to apply how the KMI and Hess deals would look. Hey, I appreciate it, and we look forward to next quarter.

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

Thanks, Ron.

Operator

Our next question comes from Gale Nicholson with KLR Group. Please go ahead with your question.

Gale Nicholson
Analyst, KLR Group

Good morning, everyone. Just looking at 2016 forward, at what point do you guys start considering maybe further scaling back the drilling activity and putting more capital towards the completion front in order to work down that backlog of wells down?

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

I think, as Michael mentioned in his comments, if we stay in this price environment, $50 price world, you're going to see us work down some of that in 2016. likely it's something more like a three-rig scenario, and you're completing wells at about six a month, a little faster than you're drilling. might pull that down by 20 range. still early for us working on that program for next year.

Gale Nicholson
Analyst, KLR Group

Okay, great. just looking at the high-intensity completions, especially in the Lower Three Forks best results. When you look at that data, do you feel more confident about the high-intensity completion potentially unlocking more Lower Three Forks potential across your entire acreage, which is just not in the core? is it too early to tell?

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

Still a little early to tell. We're doing half of our completions in the Three Forks and were high-intensity. When you look at the lower benches, we've really pulled back that inventory in the lower benches to a more limited area now, and some of that being in Alger and some of it within Wild Basin area. We've actually continued to see good results in those areas, even in the second and the third benches. We'll continue to look at those results and apply some of the high-intensity completions as we do those.

Gale Nicholson
Analyst, KLR Group

Just for clarification, the 100% sand slickwater test in the core, will that be $500,000 less than the $7.8 million with 100% ceramic?

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

Yep, that's correct.

Gale Nicholson
Analyst, KLR Group

Okay, great. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from Dave Kistler with Simmons & Company. Please go ahead with your question.

David Kistler
Analyst, Simmons & Company

Good morning, guys.

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

Hey, Dave.

David Kistler
Analyst, Simmons & Company

One last one on the DUCs. Can you just break out for us, when you think of your $7.8 million well cost, what % of that is drilling, what % of that is completion, just in terms of thinking about working that inventory down in 2016, potentially, and the cost associated with that?

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

It's about 30% of that is drilling, on the order of $2.5 million, something like that, of the 7.8.

David Kistler
Analyst, Simmons & Company

If we think about it in terms of if the sand actually works in terms of 100% sand, that $500,000 would apply directly to the completion component.

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

Correct.

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

Yep.

David Kistler
Analyst, Simmons & Company

Just one on the credit facility. Obviously, ample liquidity. You set your facility below what was the approved level. Any early discussions? I know that it doesn't expire for quite some time, but any thoughts, color you can provide on that? If I missed that early in the call, I apologize.

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

Yeah, Dave. What we said about the credit facility is that we do have the 1.7 borrowing base. 1.5 is the committed level. We do feel like that's not going to materially change. That 1.5 committed level is not going to change drastically. We do expect the banks to have a lower price deck. We think we can partially offset that with better differentials, better LOE and well costs, et cetera. All the work that we've been doing for the last six months here, setting us up in a better price environment, also helps us on the bank deck. We feel like that liquidity position still remains strong.

David Kistler
Analyst, Simmons & Company

Outstanding. Thanks for that clarification. Sorry if it was duplicative. Then last one, just in terms of productivity improvements that you guys have been seeing from slickwater and from high proppant, what are the other things you guys are working on as well? Lateral landings, tighter perf clusters, and any kind of progress you can talk about on that front that might also increase recoveries per well?

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

David, we continue to work it really on both sides, the completion side of the business to improve performance. So there's a number of things that we're looking at. Stages are definitely one of those. So we've done higher stages in some wells, and we'll continue to test the potential impact of that. The other piece is just on the cost side and really working to come up with some step changes in how we drill and complete the wells. There's some things that we think could really make an impact on that side, but still too early to talk.

David Kistler
Analyst, Simmons & Company

Okay. I appreciate the color and sorry for pushing on something you're not ready to talk about yet.

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

Thanks, David.

Operator

Our next question comes from Dan McSpirit with BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead with your question.

Dan McSpirit
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Folks, good morning, and thank you for taking my questions. The first one, what is the decline of base production today, and how does it look at next year, at midyear, and at year-end in light of the change in the applied completion technique?

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

Yeah, Dan, what we talked about on previous calls is that at the beginning of this year, we were in a 35% decline rate. When you look at the 2016 number, it's going to be more like 25% to 30-ish%. By the end of 2016, obviously, it continued to go down, which sets us up well to, if we have a $50 or call it strip pricing for longer, where we've taken our well costs and operating costs, et cetera, it gives us even that much more ability to continue to drill within cash flow and grow that production. That decline's coming down, it's very helpful for us.

Dan McSpirit
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Got it. Then, as a follow-up, you mentioned in your prepared remarks that infrastructure capital was coming into the basin, whether that's the Hess deal or others. Under what valuation or multiple do you see this capital being put to work? I'm just asking in an effort to get a better handle on what to expect in terms of value for your own business.

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

Yeah. Look, I don't have perfect visibility into all the data, but it seems like from what is publicly disclosed, it looked like there was acquisitions that were done on a, call it 10x EBITDA multiple, but off of a 17 or 18 EBITDA number. Which, if you start backing that into what kind of an EBITDA multiple on today's EBITDA, would suggest more like a 16x-20x multiple. As well as private equity money that came in at a very similar type valuation of, call it 16x-20x current EBITDA, but obviously there's significant growth in those assets. We do feel like our infrastructure assets have a similar amount of growth potential, and pretty visible growth potential based on where we know we're going to be drilling and where our infrastructure assets are going to be positioned.

That's where the most recent markers were.

Dan McSpirit
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Got it. Thanks again. Have a great day. Thanks.

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

Bye, Dan. Thanks.

Operator

Our next question comes from Brad Carpenter with Cantor Fitzgerald. Please go ahead with your question.

Brad Carpenter
Analyst, Cantor Fitzgerald

Hey, morning everyone, and congrats on the quarter. Just a few quick ones for me, and I apologize if I missed it in the prepared remarks, but it was good to see a little bit of hedging activity on 2016 production at reasonable levels, and I was curious how you guys think about hedging additional production as we head into year-end. Would you be comfortable if the '16 strips at about $51 now, or would you like to see a little bit higher before layering on additional hedges?

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

On the hedging side, we're going to continue to monitor where we see it playing out. Typically, when we see big movements in prices over short periods of time, we try to stay a bit out of it. As it moderates a bit, we'll continue to look to layer in. We have been able to put in some good hedges into '16, and we'll continue to look for opportunistic times to be able to go back into the market and get a little bit more.

Thomas Nusz
Chairman and CEO, Oasis Petroleum

I would say that with cost structure coming down the way that it has, what used to look like $60 looks like something maybe a bit less than that. I don't know exactly at this point what that is, whether it's $55 or $56, $57. With the movement we've seen in cost structure relative to where we were before, it gives us a little bit more comfort in maybe pulling that down a bit or We're under-hedged at this point. I wouldn't be surprised to see us lay a little bit in somewhere in that $55-$60 range.

Brad Carpenter
Analyst, Cantor Fitzgerald

Okay, great. That's very helpful. My second question, I'm a bit hesitant to ask, but I figure I might as well go ahead. You obviously have great liquidity. 2H is supposed to be cash flow positive and 2016 more or less neutral. On top of that, you do have substantial inventory within your current footprint. Have you guys been looking at any potential acquisitions given all this, either within the Williston or outside the Williston, or are you not comfortable looking at acquisitions at this point in the cycle?

Taylor L. Reid
President and COO, Oasis Petroleum

I think it's prudent to

Thomas Nusz
Chairman and CEO, Oasis Petroleum

See what's in the market at all times. First order for us is, if you look in and around our core positions, if there are opportunities to continue to core up, at a minimum, I think you got to consider that. Things that, there are ways that acquisitions, not only from an NAV standpoint, from a balance sheet standpoint, help us out, then I think you got to look at that as well. I think you always have to keep your head up and your eyes open.

Brad Carpenter
Analyst, Cantor Fitzgerald

Okay, great. I appreciate it, and congrats again on the quarter.

Thomas Nusz
Chairman and CEO, Oasis Petroleum

Thanks.

Operator

Our next question comes from Subash Chandra with Guggenheim Securities. Please go ahead with your question.

Subash Chandra
Analyst, Guggenheim Securities

Hey, guys. Good morning. Thanks for taking my call.

Thomas Nusz
Chairman and CEO, Oasis Petroleum

Morning.

Subash Chandra
Analyst, Guggenheim Securities

Just wanted to get a little bit of color on the gas ratio moving forward. We saw it move up to about 12% this quarter from 11 in one Q. Just wanted to see how you see that developing moving forward and in the context of the increased production guide.

Michael Lou
EVP and CFO, Oasis Petroleum

Overall, our gas rate across our reserves is about 12%. There are certain areas that have a little bit more gas content. Like Wild Basin has a slightly higher gas content, but overall, across our program, it's going to be in that 12% range.

Subash Chandra
Analyst, Guggenheim Securities

Great. That's very helpful. Thank you.

Operator

This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Oasis Petroleum for closing remarks.

Thomas Nusz
Chairman and CEO, Oasis Petroleum

We're very pleased with how our organization has responded to a lower price environment and continue to focus on solid execution across the board. Some of that comes from the organizational planning and being prepared for the downturn. We feel we're very well positioned to continue to deliver in a depressed price environment and maintain tremendous optionality for the future. Thanks for joining us on the call today.

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.