Costamare Inc. (CMRE)
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Earnings Call: Q2 2021

Jul 28, 2021

Operator

Welcome to the Costamare Inc conference call on the Q2 2021 financial results. We have with us Mr. Gregory Zikos, Chief Financial Officer of the company. I must advise you that this conference is being recorded today, Wednesday, July 28th, 2021. We would like to remind you that this conference call contains forward-looking statements. Please take a moment to read slide number two of the presentation, which contains the forward-looking statement. I will now pass the floor to your speaker today, Mr. Zikos. Please go ahead, sir.

Gregory Zikos
CFO, Costamare

Thank you. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. The continuing market rebound that has begun in the second half of last year has continued into the first half of this year, drawing strength from favorable supply and demand dynamics. Strong consumer demand, low inventory levels, and supply chain constraints have all contributed to record charter rates and longer charter durations. All our containership charters during the quarter have been fixed at increasingly high levels of hire. On the dry bulk side, we are pleased to report the acquisition of 21 additional vessels since we first announced our entry into the sector. Our dry bulk fleet comprises of 37 vessels in total between 32 and 85,000 deadweight with an average age of 10 years. Up to now, 14 ships have been delivered with the rest of the fleet expected to be delivered by year end.

The dry bulk acquisitions result from our decision to invest in this liquid sector, where supply is limited by a low order book and demand is being driven by increased infrastructure spending and commodity consumption. Supported by contracted revenues of $3.3 billion and an average time charter duration of more than four years from our containership fleet, we have 15 containerships coming off charter over the next 18 months and 37 dry bulk vessels operating in the spot market, favorably positioning our company should the currently strong market conditions continue. Moving now to the slide presentation. On slide three, you can see the highlights. Net income for the quarter is $82.8 million and the EPS is $0.67. Adjusted net income is $58.3 million, up 84% compared to the second quarter of last year, and adjusted EPS is $0.47, increased 81% relative to the year ago period.

We have decided to expand into the dry bulk sector by signing commitments for 27 dry bulk vessels, and we have already accepted delivery of 14 ships. The remaining 23 ships are expected to be delivered between now and the end of the year. Moving to the next slide. We have taken delivery of three more containerships during the quarter, and we expect to take delivery of two more vessels between now and the end of the year. Incremental revenues from these vessels are around $200 million. We have also completed the sale of one vessel and expect the sale of two other ships to be concluded within 2021 with a total estimated capital gain of around $32 million. On slide five, you can see our new financing arrangements from last earnings release.

In total, we have concluded financing of about $650 million, and we have new financing commitments subject to documentation of $150 million. All our containership and dry bulk purchases that have not yet been delivered have funding in place. We do maintain a strong balance sheet with liquidity of about $600 million, market value-based leverage of 31%, and no meaningful debt maturities until 2025. On slide six, you can see our new chartering arrangements. We have entered into new or extended the charters of seven vessels at much higher levels. On average, the new charters were fixed at a rate of 2.1 x higher with a longer average duration. Our most recent fixings, the COSCO Guangzhou and the COSCO Ningbo, were done at $72,700 per day per vessel for three years, more than 2.4 x higher than the current rate.

In addition, we have a total of 15 containerships coming off charter over the next 18 months. Moving to the next slide. On slide seven, you can see the chartering of our dry vessels. We have chartered in total seven ships at very healthy rates. On top of this, we have also fixed four vessels whose delivery is expected to occur within 2021. Slide eight. The containership charter market has continued to rise on the back of positive supply and demand fundamentals. The average fleet reached 0.7% in July, indicating a fully employed market. The dry bulk market has also reached levels not seen since 2010 as demand for commodities is surging. We have also paid our 42nd dividend in April, and we will pay our 43rd dividend in the coming August. Slide nine. On this slide, you can see the second quarter 2021 results.

The company generated revenues of $167 million and adjusted net income of $58 million. Based on the above, the second quarter adjusted EPS is $0.47, up 81% year-over-year. Our adjusted figures take into consideration the following non-cash items, the revenues, accounting gains or loss from asset disposals, prepaid lease rentals and other non-cash charges, as well as changes in the fair value of equity securities. On slide 10, you can see our capital structure. Our leverage is comfortably at about 31%, based on current market values. EBITDA over net interest is at 6.2 x when our covenants have a minimum requirement of 2.5 x coverage. On slide 11, you can see revenue distribution for our containership fleet. Our revenue comes from first-tier charters like Maersk, MSC, Evergreen, COSCO and Yang Ming, among others.

We have $3.3 billion in contracted revenues and the remaining times have a duration of about 4.3 years. On the next two slides, we discuss the containership market. Charter rates have significantly improved since Q2 2020 across all vessel sizes. Spot rates have increased by approximately 300% on a yearly basis. Slide 13. The idle fleet is at 0.7% from a high of 12% one year ago. The order book has risen to 21% as new ordering has accelerated over the past quarters. It should be noted, however, that it takes close to two years to build a new vessel, and the majority of newbuilding vessels that have been ordered will not be delivered until 2023 onwards. In the last two slides, we discuss the dry bulk market. As shown on slide 14, charter rates have significantly improved since Q3 2020.

Although asset values have been trending upwards since late 2020, they have lacked the increase in charter rates. On the last slide, you can see that the power to consumer spending, combined with government stimulus, has created positive momentum in the seaborne commodities trade. At the same time, the order book for the dry vessels remains at historical low levels, especially for the sizes that we have invested in, and fleet growth is expected to decline over the next several years. This concludes our presentation, and we can now take questions. Thank you. Operator, we can take questions now.

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star then one on your telephone keypad and wait for your name to be announced. If you wish to cancel your request, please press star then two. That's star one to ask a question. Our first question today comes from Christian Wetherbee with Citi.

Speaker 5

Hey, guys. Jim's on for Chris. First question I wanted to ask was around the bulk fleet and what your ultimate plan for it might be. Is it something where you see Costamare evolving to having exposure to both markets? Do you see possible split? If you do see a possible split, what size or scale would you want to target? Just some color around how you're thinking about that would be great.

Gregory Zikos
CFO, Costamare

Yeah, look, for the dry bulk vessels, as you've seen, we have invested in those 37 vessels up to now. It's mainly smaller vessels up to Capesize, and this type of asset is something we feel that it does make sense for the future. We cannot predict and are not in a position to predict now whether we're going to continue our purchases in the dry bulk vessels. This depends on market conditions. The second part of the question, what's going to be happening in the future, whether this fleet is going to be split or not. There are a lot of options. Nothing has been decided yet. We have bought those ships over the last couple of months. Only 14 ships have been delivered. The rest are going to be delivered, the remaining 23 will be delivered until year end.

I think it is a bit premature and there is no decision taken. One thing that I need to add, however, is that we have secured the debt funding for all the dry bulk vessels based on facilities we have already in place with European financial institutions. Regarding the delivery of the remaining 23 dry ships, the debt has already been in place, and it is committed.

Speaker 5

Got it. Just as a follow-up to that, how do you actually see yourself balancing the investment between the two? Will you actually be balancing them fairly evenly, or do you actually see more incremental investment going to bulk at this point? Just trying to understand where the incremental capital dollar will go.

Gregory Zikos
CFO, Costamare

Look, I think this is a question of pure capital allocation. We have bought those ships recently because we believe that the economics make sense. This is a market, and in shipping, you need to adapt. I don't know how markets will be over the next quarters or over the next year. All I can tell you is that we are flexible. We can be efficient in executing. We have equity, and we also have access to commercial bank debt. Having all those ingredients in place, I think it's just a question of where we feel that it's better use for our capital. But I cannot tell you from now that we're going to be investing so much in this sector and so much in the other sector. It's all subject to market conditions going forward.

Speaker 5

Got it. Speaking of how the market's evolving one way and another, can you talk about sort of the current discussions you're having with your customers around charter terms? Are you seeing it evolve towards even higher rates? Are you seeing lengths pushed out? What are the terms which are most in play and which direction are they going? Any color on that would also be great, and that's it for me.

Gregory Zikos
CFO, Costamare

Yeah. Look, for the containerships, if you look at the latest figures for the sector, you will see that there is a clear trend, obviously, for higher rates and also for longer periods. If you look at our latest figures, as an example, I will take the two Post-Panamax vessels which have been chartered to have a third charter, a new charter on a forward basis. Those ships will be getting $72,700 per day per vessel, compared to slightly below $31,000 they were getting, or sort of they're getting now. This is for a three-year charter, starting from next year. Charterers are willing to fix for longer periods, also for higher rates, and also on a forward basis, meaning for ships that will be available for delivery Q1, Q2 2022, or even later. This is what we see today.

From our side, in order to optimize our cash flows, we seek to charter for the longest period available at a charter rate that makes sense. If you look at the latest chartering of our Panamax vessel, this has been chartered for $39,000 per day. This is a classic Panamax, a 2011 build, $39,000 per day for close to five years. This is what we see today. Where the market is going to be in two, three, four quarters, we never predict the market. I can tell you that every time, in different market situations, what we're going to be doing. For the time being, we are fixing for a longer period at the highest possible rate, and also on a forward basis, proactively.

Speaker 5

Thank you.

Gregory Zikos
CFO, Costamare

Sure. Thank you. Thanks a lot.

Operator

Our next question comes from Ben Nolan with Stifel.

Ben Nolan
Analyst, Stifel

Good morning, Greg. I wanted to just make sure that I have all my numbers right. Can you maybe give how much CapEx is remaining for the dry bulk fleet in the back half of the year, based on what you've spent so far for the 37?

Gregory Zikos
CFO, Costamare

Yes. For the 23 vessels to be delivered, for the dry bulk vessels, the 23 to be delivered, the debt has already been committed, our equity CapEx requirement is going to be in the region of $100 million. $100 million-$120 million, depending on the leverage. We can go 50%, 55% leverage. We'll see. I think the $100 million-$120 million equity CapEx commitment for the remaining of the dry bulk vessels, this is the right estimate. Now, for the containerships that we have a couple to be delivered, there is no incremental equity CapEx commitment. For the whole fleet, it only is $100 million-$120 million, which is going to be covering all the 37 dry bulk ships.

Ben Nolan
Analyst, Stifel

Okay. That's very helpful. What's the total like? I’m trying to get a sense of how much you've spent in total for all 37.

Gregory Zikos
CFO, Costamare

Look, we haven't given a total number. If you see that sort of on average, these are 10-year-old ships, close to, I would say, 50,000 deadweight. You can sort of get a picture, I mean, how much it's going to be. We don't give a full number. It's definitely more than $500 million debt and equity, but we don't give the exact number.

Ben Nolan
Analyst, Stifel

Okay. That's fine. We'll see in time with the filings. To that end, though, it sounds like you're still very much in the market to continue to build on that fleet, so 37 is not sort of the terminal number here by any means. Is that a fair assumption?

Gregory Zikos
CFO, Costamare

Look, this is up to market conditions. As mentioned earlier, we cannot predict how the market is going to be over the next quarters. It's also a question of capital allocation. Of course, we are looking at dry bulk vessels, but at the same time, we have also been actively in the containership sector. Let's not forget that. During the last quarters, we also took it from the beginning of the year, we did acquire a substantial number of containerships and accepted delivery of a substantial number of vessels as well. For instance, I can mention the five 11,000 TEUs where we bought the York Capital Management out of those vessels, plus some other acquisitions. It's all subject to market conditions. We are flexible. We have the cash, we have equity. As mentioned, we have access to commercial bank debt.

All those deals have been fully funded from a debt perspective for those 37 vessels. As long as we have debt integrity in place and we can be flexible and efficient in executing, I think it's all upside. I cannot tell you from now how many ships. It depends.

Ben Nolan
Analyst, Stifel

Okay. Now switching gears a little bit over to the container side of the business, obviously you've been pretty busy there. There have been, as you highlighted, a bunch of new vessel orders. Really, to me, an almost shockingly number of new vessel orders. Obviously the liners have still been very much in the market to do that and find people to own the ships for them. Where do you stand on that? Are you guys interested in having those conversations or the economics at all in a place that would get you to be active there?

Gregory Zikos
CFO, Costamare

You refer to newbuildings or to secondhand ships?

Ben Nolan
Analyst, Stifel

Newbuildings. Sorry, yeah. Newbuildings.

Gregory Zikos
CFO, Costamare

Yes. We look at newbuildings and traditionally we have been doing a lot of newbuilding transactions over the last years or even decades. Yes, we look at newbuildings, but we need to make sure that, first of all, there's going to be charter coverage in place and the numbers need to make sense from a return perspective. Of course, there have been a lot of deals. We need to make sure that the returns are such so that the transaction is going to be justified. Yes, we do look at newbuildings like we have always done. I think there is something, of course, we will let you know, but it has always been an area of course, of our focus and interest .

The thing is that the transactions we've seen up to now, I think that the returns that from our side we saw didn't justify entering into those contracts.

Ben Nolan
Analyst, Stifel

Right. That was really my question is, so far relative to, let's say, other opportunities, the economics on a newbuilding transaction right now or here before haven't been the best use of your capital. Is that sort of how you've looked at it?

Gregory Zikos
CFO, Costamare

Look, we believe that, first of all, we will continue looking at the newbuildings, this for sure, and sort of depending on the deals we see, we will decide whether we proceed or not. At the same time, the dry bulk vessels we have bought, as you've seen, of course it is in the spot market, but those ships today they are getting $25,000, $28,000 a day. They have a very low breakeven. We definitely think that these are deals that do make sense from a pure returns perspective. Also I need to highlight here that we have a dry fleet of the 37 vessels, and we can be opportunistic there based on where we feel the market will be heading.

At the same time, let's not forget that we have the buffer of the $3.3 billion of contracted revenues from Costamare, from the containerships with a time charter duration of north of four years. We have been chartering on a forward basis ships at very high rates, which definitely provide a buffer and also a downside protection. The downside protection, it is there, and at the same time, opportunistically, we try to enhance our equity returns also with the dry bulk fleet.

Ben Nolan
Analyst, Stifel

Mm-hmm. Yeah, for sure. All right. Well, one last one. You talked to sort of the order book on newbuildings starting to creep up, but it doesn't really take effect until 2023. As you do look out to 2023 and the order book being over 20% now, is it getting to a level where you're starting to be a little bit more cautious or think that maybe a correction is possible at some point?

Gregory Zikos
CFO, Costamare

Look, I cannot predict the market. The 20% order book today, of course, compared to the 5% or 7% we had a couple of years ago, it looks a high number. Compared to the 60% order book we had in 2008, it's low. It's all supply and demand. We cannot predict. If it is a newbuilding transactions with a charter cover that which will make sense, we will definitely consider that.

Ben Nolan
Analyst, Stifel

Okay. All right. Thanks, Greg.

Gregory Zikos
CFO, Costamare

Thank you. Thanks.

Operator

Our next question comes from Omar Nokta with Clarksons.

Omar Nokta
Analyst, Clarksons

Thank you. Hi, Greg.

Gregory Zikos
CFO, Costamare

Yeah. Hi, Omar. Good morning.

Omar Nokta
Analyst, Clarksons

Morning. Yeah, just wanted to ask maybe a little bit more about the dry bulkers, and I know you talked about it with the last two questions. Just so you know, you mentioned basically the acquisition going forward and really based on market conditions. I guess, if we think about conditions as they are today, and if they were to stay, is there a critical mass that you want to achieve in the dry bulk business? Are you comfortable with 37 being the number, or have you had internal discussions about a certain target number that you'd like to get to feel that you've got a very good base of operations to work with?

Gregory Zikos
CFO, Costamare

No. We don't have a specific target number. We just look at target values, charter rates, and we think a bit about the sector. If you have a predetermined target, let's say 50, 70, 100 vessels, whatever that is, then, in order to achieve that, at some point, you are not going to be looking at the transaction economics. You're going to be just looking at ways to meet your target. If it's something that makes sense, we might continue. If not, then we don't have to grow. We will pause. The same thing we did for containers, where we did a lot of acquisitions the last quarter of last year and the first couple of quarters of this year, and then we stopped because we felt that from a capital allocation perspective, it made more sense to invest in the dry bulk fleet.

We don't have any predetermined growth rate, neither for the containers, nor for the dry bulk. There is no minimum growth rate target also for the whole fleet, for the whole company.

Omar Nokta
Analyst, Clarksons

Okay. No, that's fair. I understand that. What do we think then about back to the container business, you've sold a handful of older, smaller ships. How should we continue to think about those sub 2,000 TEU vessels? Are those, you think, going to be monetized here in this market?

Gregory Zikos
CFO, Costamare

Look, if these ships, especially the smaller ships, older age, if they continue to be chartered at healthy rates that make sense, we may not dispose of them. It depends. If we feel that the equity released from those disposals is going to be accretive compared to holding onto those assets and continue trading them, we may sell them. It's all a question whether the equity released is going to provide us with returns higher than keeping the vessel, continuing operating the ship at the today's levels, and then take a forward view about our residual value risk at the expiry of the time in charter, this particular case. Again, we want to be very flexible. We don't need the equity. We don't need the cash.

It's just a matter of capital allocation, what we feel is going to be making sense for our shareholders and eventually for our equity returns. This is the only question. We don't need to grow or we don't need to sell. As long as we have no restrictions there, and as I mentioned, as long as we can be flexible and opportunistic, we're going to continue the same way.

Omar Nokta
Analyst, Clarksons

Okay. Got it. Greg, finally, just how do you see the dividend evolving? Obviously, you've got a pretty deep backlog at the moment, as you mentioned, you've got four years of contract visibility on the container fleet. I know you took the dividend up from $0.10 - $0.115. Are you guys having any discussions or just any thoughts about a further boost from here, considering just how much the earnings quality is becoming?

Gregory Zikos
CFO, Costamare

Look, we like dividends since we own close to 60% of the company, and this is our main income from shipping. We did raise the dividend some months ago, 15%. As I said, we discuss everything. The dividend, it is a board decision. I'm not authorized, but I think the last dividend increase was pretty recent. The board, every quarter, it reassesses its dividend policy. We'll see. Let's not forget that we have very recently increased it. We have used our capital for a lot of acquisitions, which we believe make sense. We have been chartering on a forward basis containers at increased charter rates. I don't see why the dividend cannot be also increased in the future. Let's not forget that we did increase a couple of months ago.

I think this discussion there, I think it is a bit premature, at least.

Omar Nokta
Analyst, Clarksons

Okay. Thanks, Greg. That's it for me.

Gregory Zikos
CFO, Costamare

Thank you. Thanks a lot.

Operator

This concludes our question and answer session. I'd like to pass the call back to Mr. Zikos for closing remarks.

Gregory Zikos
CFO, Costamare

Thank you very much for being here with us today. We look forward to speaking again during our next quarter conference call. Thank you very much. Bye.