ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB)
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Earnings Call: Q1 2022

Apr 28, 2022

Operator

Greetings and welcome to ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. first 1/4 2022 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a Listen-Only Mode. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Ms. Siya Vansia, Vice President of Marketing. Thank you, and over to you.

Siya Vansia
Chief Brand and Innovation Officer, ConnectOne Bancorp

Morning, welcome to today's conference call to review ConnectOne's results for the first 1/4 of 2022 and to update you on recent developments. On today's conference call will be Frank Sorrentino, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and Bill Burns, Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.

These results, as well as notice of this conference call on a Listen-Only Basis over the internet, were distributed this morning in a press release that has been covered by the financial media. At this time, let me remind you that certain statements and assumptions in this conference call contain or are based upon

Forward-Looking information that are being made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Uncertainties and known or unknown risks which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated.

These risk factors are more fully discussed in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The Forward-Looking statements included in this conference call are only made as of the date of this call, and the company is not obligated to publicly update or revise them.

In addition, certain terms used in this call are non-GAAP financial measures, reconciliations of which are provided in the company's earnings release and accompanying tables or schedules, which have been filed today on Form 8-K with the SEC and may also be accessed through the company's website at ir.connectonebank.com.

Each listener is encouraged to review those reconciliations provided in the earnings release together with all other information. I will now turn the call over to Frank Sorrentino. Frank, please go ahead.

Frank Sorrentino
Chairman and CEO, ConnectOne Bancorp

Thank you, Sia, and good morning, everyone. We appreciate you joining us today. We're very pleased to report another strong 1/4 balance sheet growth and strong performance metrics here at ConnectOne.

While Bill will discuss our financial highlights in some more detail, I'd like to highlight that our PPNR as a percent of 1/4 return on assets was again above 1.5%, and our return on tangible equity was greater than 15%, all while our efficiency ratio remained below 40%. Our tangible book value per share was up again this 1/4, increasing by 2% since the beginning of the year.

That's in an interest rate environment where others have experienced significant dilution from reduction in fair value of their securities portfolios. However, these once again impressive financial results really don't tell the whole story of what we're building here at ConnectOne.

First, we continue to invest in and strengthen our organic origination franchise, sorry. By leveraging our strong franchise and Client-Centric culture, we're gaining new clients as well as hiring experienced bankers from revenue generators to tech talent. We're a destination of choice for some of the best business-generating talent in the industry, and a lot of that is stemming from the marketplace disruption created by M&A.

We've also taken proactive measures to retain our top talent with attractive compensation packages. As we sit here today, we clearly see those efforts have enhanced an already stellar team and are paying dividends with yet another 1/4 of annualized sequential growth in loans exceeding 10% and nearly 15% growth in deposits.

Secondly, our pipeline remains near historic levels with strong demand and favorable pricing characteristics across all business lines in our markets. An important part of the success is attributable to expanding our presence and proactively following our clients into new and growing markets. As you know, we recently hired a great team to lead our Florida office, and already at this early stage, we're seeing very promising results.

Traction is exceeding our initial expectations, and the factors that made us successful in the New York metropolitan area translate very well to the growing Florida market. Our culture with a client-based focus is a clear differentiator. We've already originated approximately $150 million in new commercial loans, some from our existing ConnectOne clients with business opportunities in Florida and some from new clients based in Florida.

Deal structures and opportunities are both favorable and in line with the lending to which we have extensive experience and expertise. With that, let's move on to some other initiatives ConnectOne has been focused on. We're continuing to successfully adopt and expand our utilization of technology to remain competitive, to create efficiencies, and to provide real-time solutions.

This includes improvements to internal workflows to support our hybrid work environment and support scale, along with our investments to enhance our data infrastructure, including digital initiatives that also enhance risk management tools and processes.

Look over at BoeFly, even as the number of our franchisor brands on that platform increase, we're turning our efforts towards automated underwriting to improve functionality for the franchisor and franchisee and ultimately increase the profitability of the core business line. These continued investments ultimately allow BoeFly to build for scale.

We're continuously improving the client experience while also achieving greater efficiency and revenue generation to that platform. We're also shifting gears. As you may have seen, ConnectOne became an early member bank in the USDF Consortium.

which is an association of US banks with a mission to build a ne2rk to further the adoption of USDF, which is a tokenized deposit. This is an early step in employing blockchain within the regulatory perimeter in order to offer enhanced solutions for our commercial banking clients. We're also happy to announce that we recently signed an agreement with Nymbus, a leading fintech company to provide cloud-based banking and core services.

Working in partnership with Nymbus, we'll be building a niche-focused offering, providing us a new avenue to collect deposits. We're set to kick this project off in the near future, and we'll share more details as we progress. You know, supporting our industry-leading efficiency ratio is our ability to leverage technology and streamline internal processes.

Bill Burns
Senior EVP and CFO, ConnectOne Bancorp

A great example of this you've heard me discuss before is our partnership with nCino, which has been instrumental in this regard. We partnered with nCino in 2017 when our total asset size was just $4 billion to help deploy a single cloud-based platform throughout the organization and business lines. Today, we've more than doubled in size, and yet we've been able to create efficiencies as we continue to build scale.

We look forward to sharing our progress in the quarters ahead. In summary, this has been an exciting time at ConnectOne. We're Well-Positioned, our capital position remains strong, and we continue to internally generate capital to support growth. As you saw in our press release this morning, the board of directors today announced another increase to our common dividend, an increase of nearly 20%.

We continue to be opportunistic with share repurchases, having about 2 million in authorized capacity at the present time. Morning, everyone. There continues to be a tremendous amount of excitement and optimism here at ConnectOne. As Frank just mentioned, we've been focusing our resources on accelerating organic growth.

At the same time, we're embracing technology and making investments and progress on several fronts. You know, even with that increased investment and the associated additional expense, we continue to produce superior financial metrics with stability across the board. The PPNR as a percent of its average assets actually exceeded 2.15% for the 4th consecutive 1/4. Our return on tangible common equity again exceeded 15%, and that was without the benefit of any reserve releases.

Our efficiency ratio for the 1/4 was 38.7, and that's improved from just slightly above 40% in the prior year first 1/4. Our net interest income contracted by just 4 basis points but remained above 3.70, near historic highs for ConnectOne. The fact that our tangible book value increased while most of the industry saw decreases was due to a disciplined approach to securities investments during the low rate environment of the pandemic.

We chose to stay out of the market and let securities run down. Combined with that, we were effective at hedging most of the existing portfolio. You know, really behind all this is the strong organic loan growth we maintained at good spreads, which enabled the investment discipline and hedging strategies I just mentioned. I just wanted to make one more point here.

All of our securities are in the Available-For-Sale category, so complete transparency there. There's no hiding of the fair value adjustment. All in all, ConnectOne is faring quite well in a rising rate environment. The NIM remains high, and we continue to grow per share book value. Now let me turn to the income statement and give you guys some color.

Net interest income was flat sequentially. That I expected, but was up a significant 15% from the first 1/4 of last year. Average loans for the 1/4 grew by 10% from the year ago 1/4. Combined with that, the margin expanded by 15 basis points over the past year. In terms of the net interest margin, just to repeat, our margin has been expanding throughout the pandemic and today remains at or near historic highs.

We continue to originate loans at favorable rates, and spreads on the asset side are improving, in my view. Loan origination for the 1/4 was an average w8ed rate of about 3.8%. Based on our pipeline, indications are for origination yields to be above 4% for the second 1/4, could be as high as 4.5%. Our dynamic modeling continues to show asset sensitivity.

Although I expect the margin to remain relatively flat for the remaining nine months of the year, I just want to remain cautious with respect to any guidance as we are seeing competition for deposits heating up. Now let me turn to non-interest income. This line item came in lighter than I expected and the Street expected, but most of that was due to a valuation charge against the CRA fund that we hold.

Excluding that valuation charge because of the rise in interest rates, we were about $300,000-$400,000 below expectations. You know, BoeFly had a good 1/4. They recorded fees in excess of $400,000.

The franchisors utilizing this platform have increased significantly over the past few quarters. I can't promise exactly what that will translate into, but the trend is clearly positive. Gains on sale of loans were down. Some of that was residential and some of the decline was commercial. I've mentioned this before, that there will be some volatility in gains on sale numbers. My expectation for the rest of 2022 is for that number to increase from the first 1/4 levels.

Just one last item, there's gonna be some additional BOLI this 1/4, so we're gonna probably add about $200,000 per 1/4 going forward. Turning to expenses, we grew 4% sequentially, as I did indicate on the last call. Hires, salary increases, wage inflation, and the assertive stance we've been taking to both add to and retain our team.

A couple of other items I want to mention. These 2 things, special items essentially offset one another. There was an additional earn-out charge for the BoeFly acquisition, and that was offset by a favorable lease termination. That was something we had written off at a higher level as a merger charge in the Bank of New Jersey deal.

In terms of any additional future BoeFly charges, we've still got a little to go later this year, but it's under $1 million, and that would be the last of any expense associated with BoeFly earn-out. Also wanted to make you aware that we reorganized the OpEx section of the financials. We have now one line item that now essentially is technology expense. I think that'll be helpful and add some.

Great job of strategic spending on technology, but they've also reduced the cost of core and legacy systems. Going forward, I think some of the same trends will continue. Quarterly sequential growth in expenses probably in the 2% range. I will give you guys an update on that after the second 1/4. Just wanna talk a little bit about CECL provisioning.

Many banks released reserves in the 1/4, while others added modest amounts. We were in that latter category, adding a small amount of reserves, $1.5 million. The reserving first reflected loan growth, but it also reflected that we made some minor qualitative adjustments to our CECL model, and that reflects an expectation that economic forecasts could trend in a negative direction. Keep in mind, these are macro forecasts.

It is not an indication at all of credit quality or ConnectOne. Our non-accrual assets have declined for the second straight 1/4, while delinquencies and Charge-Offs remain very, very low. Before turning back to Frank, I wanna add a couple things. Look, we're very optimistic about performance in 2022. Strong loan growth is anticipated and marginal pressure is likely to be moderate.

We're building Non-Interest income at BoeFly through SBA and CRE loan sales. Expenses do continue to grow to support our growing businesses. For a few comments, given the strength of our earnings and capital position, we have a great deal of financial flexibility. First, we have the capital to support double-digit organic growth.

Along with that, there's still room for continued dividend increases and share repurchases. As always, although our strength is organic growth, we continue to opportunistically explore growth through M&A. You know, as you know, deals are hard to come by, but we have a track record of being financially disciplined, and we're gonna stick to that. With that, I'll turn it back to Frank.

Frank Sorrentino
Chairman and CEO, ConnectOne Bancorp

Thank you, Bill. In closing, ConnectOne delivered strong performance for this first 1/4. More importantly, we expanded our market presence, and we continue to invest in top talent to support our clients as they expand in capability and in reach. We also launched several initiatives to extend the technological foundation we've built while also exploring new opportunities as we participate in shaping the future of commercial banking.

As we move through the rest of 2022, I'd like to reiterate that we're projecting strong, organically driven growth, which will be supported by the investments we've made in our talent and our technology infrastructure, and we expect our financial performance to remain among the best in the industry. We're excited about our future, and we look forward to updating you in the quarters ahead. With that, I'd be happy to take your questions.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we will be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in a question queue. You may press star 2 if you would like to remove your question from the queue.

For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment, please, while we poll for questions. Thank you. The first question comes from the line of Matthew Breese with Stephens. Please go ahead.

Mattew Breese
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

Hey, Bill, I wanna go back to your comments on new loan yields being that 4%-4.5% range.

Bill Burns
Senior EVP and CFO, ConnectOne Bancorp

Sure.

Mattew Breese
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

Are we essentially nearing the point of it being positive to the core portfolio? Then, you know, maybe along the same lines, could you just give us some color on, you know, commercial real estate, multifamily spreads? I've been hearing that there had been some spread compression through March, but sounds like it's starting to reverse.

Bill Burns
Senior EVP and CFO, ConnectOne Bancorp

Yes. Truth to all of that. We are seeing the point where the loan yields are adding to our portfolio. That obviously helps us, as rates are rising. Yes, the spreads were very tight on multifamily. We're seeing some relief there. Even on that end, the expectation is for higher yields. As you know, multifamily is typically lower margins and what sticks, you know, in terms of loan growth that can affect the total yield on our portfolio.

Mattew Breese
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

Okay. The other thing is, you know, one thing that stands out is despite, you know, on paper the balance sheet being relatively interest rate neutral, the loan to deposit ratio is on the fuller side. Could you talk to me about the incremental funding sources and the ability to protect and maintain just an overall lower cost of funds? Maybe along those lines, what are expectations for betas through the first-

Bill Burns
Senior EVP and CFO, ConnectOne Bancorp

Yeah.

Mattew Breese
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

100 or 200 hikes?

Bill Burns
Senior EVP and CFO, ConnectOne Bancorp

Yeah. No, good question. There's a lot to the question there. It's a little bit of a moving target. You know, right now deposit rates are. We're starting to feel pressure. However, even those higher deposit rates are lower right now than our wholesale costs of funds. You know, I typically use a very conservative approach when I look and analyze spreads using our highest wholesale cost of funds to calculate spreads.

That's usually the Federal Home Loan Bank. We're picking up spread in that we can use deposit to fund more of the growth right now. I think that'll. I hope I answered your question, but it's like kind of a mix right now.

You know, rates, deposit rates are going up, but they're actually helping to add to the spreads.

Mattew Breese
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

Got it. I mean, maybe going down a different path, but getting to the same outcome. You know, if we do get a +200 basis points of Fed hikes by the end of the year, could you provide some Longer-Term core net interest income guidance, you know, by the end of this year? I'm assuming, you know, the outlook is NIM flat, but what is NII gonna actually do?

Frank Sorrentino
Chairman and CEO, ConnectOne Bancorp

Yeah. No, our models are showing like a 2%-3% increase with a 200 basis point.

Mattew Breese
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

That's

Frank Sorrentino
Chairman and CEO, ConnectOne Bancorp

You know, there's different ways people look. You know, I think we've had this discussion before offline. You know, banks look at it differently. Some do static, some do dynamic. It's hard to compare apples to apples.

I just feel comfortable that we're gonna be able to maintain our margins, you know, one way or the other, through this. Since we never, you know, our margin never got compressed. It widened over the last year. I just feel comfortable that, you know, we're gonna have stable margins and stable returns, you know, in the coming year.

Mattew Breese
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

Understood. Frank, you had mentioned Nymbus as a third party that you were using. You know, their suite of products and services is pretty robust and includes core systems. Have you taken it that far and considered using them as a core system provider? You know, what do they offer versus the traditional big 3 in that regard?

Frank Sorrentino
Chairman and CEO, ConnectOne Bancorp

How you doing, Matthew? I think that Nymbus offers us an opportunity to custom design a vertical for a new line of business, potentially where we will use their core and we will use their ability to really with laser focus identify what a particular client niche needs and how to attack that particular vertical.

You know, the purpose here is certainly for deposit gathering, but there'll be some lending opportunities there too. I don't think that any of our existing capabilities can do what we anticipate doing together with Nymbus. I'm pretty confident that it's going to allow us to be very, very hyper-focused in a particular, you know, in a particular client vertical.

Mattew Breese
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

Over time, I mean, I forget who you use right now as a core provider, but over time, do you anticipate fully moving to Nymbus in that regard?

Frank Sorrentino
Chairman and CEO, ConnectOne Bancorp

It's hard to say, Matthew. I think you realize the entire world of the core is moving around pretty dramatically. You know, it used to be pretty easy to take the top 3 and use them as punching bags. I don't think you can do that today. I think even you know, companies like FIS and Fiserv and others, Jack Henry are being pretty progressive about how they're thinking about the future.

What I do think I see is in the past it was you had to identify a core and you ran everything on your bank, you know, in concert with one basic operating system. Today, it's just not that way.

You know, it started when once APIs came out, and you could now start to attach all different products and services to whatever core you had. Now, you know, it's not uncommon for banks to run multiple cores. I think that's what we're gonna see going forward.

Mattew Breese
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

Interesting. Okay. Excited to see where you go with this. That's all I had. Thanks for taking my questions.

Frank Sorrentino
Chairman and CEO, ConnectOne Bancorp

Great, Matthew.

Siya Vansia
Chief Brand and Innovation Officer, ConnectOne Bancorp

Thanks, Matthew.

Operator

Thank you. Again, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. Next question comes from the line of Michael Perito with KBW. Please go ahead.

Michael Perito
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, KBW

Hey, everyone. Good morning.

Frank Sorrentino
Chairman and CEO, ConnectOne Bancorp

Hi.

Michael Perito
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, KBW

An update on kind of the product roadmap there on that platform. You know, I think when we had some conversations in the past, there was discussions about adding some new layers to that and maybe even some, you know, fee and other fee income opportunities like interchange or cards or deposits or things of that nature.

Just curious where you guys are in that thought process and, you know, maybe just a broader comment overall about how we think this, the fee income growth could trend in that for that business specifically over the balance of this year.

Frank Sorrentino
Chairman and CEO, ConnectOne Bancorp

All right. I would start and maybe Bill can add some color, but I would say that what we're doing with BoeFly today is thinking about the entire client journey that enters through the BoeFly platform and, you know, where they ultimately wanna go and how we can support the needs that they have and do it in a either frictionless or a lot less friction than exists today on the platform.

You know, the first thing we're looking at is what does the core platform do, which is to supply an opportunity for a franchisee applicant to obtain financing, and how do we do that in the most cost efficient and, you know, highest revenue producing way for us. I think we're doing that today.

We're actually building out the entire loan pipeline from beginning to end for anyone that enters the BoeFly platform. That's the core. Repeat clients who come back to BoeFly for additional funding opportunities, where they didn't have product before, and now we're building that capability.

Opportunities on the franchisor side, and then, you know, when you think about BoeFly having a loyal client, of course, we can start to think about all the other products and services that a financial company would want to provide. The first or the next most logical being all the payments and Near- or Long-Term radar. The first part is really getting this whole loan product set really done in an automated no-friction where we pretty much eliminate most of the competition that's out there for that type of business.

Michael Perito
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, KBW

Do you have any sense of the timing?

Frank Sorrentino
Chairman and CEO, ConnectOne Bancorp

I just have this all being done this year. We're actually piloting right now some of the complete loan product. We're working with technology vendors. We'll be able to discuss exactly how that entire loan pipeline works for all the products that we supply at BoeFly.

Simultaneous to that, we're working on some of the other products, see what they'll look like and, you know, what we'll be working on next. We really wanna get this entire loan pipeline under wraps and working well and be able to demonstrate to the marketplace, you know, what they expect before Year-End. We will have those discussions.

Bill Burns
Senior EVP and CFO, ConnectOne Bancorp

Mike, this is Bill. I just wanted to add that behind it all, the volumes through BoeFly are increased on the market. I think last time we spoke with you a few months ago, it was 80 or 90. We're well over 100 now.

That's the key to the traditional referral fee for another bank to place the loan. The other things we're talking about are just gonna be additive to that, you know, which includes franchise and potentially you know doing the entire underwriting process at ConnectOne, which right now, for the most part, we don't do that. Hope that's helpful.

Michael Perito
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, KBW

You know, it is. I just wonder, like, what could make it improve. Is it fair to say that BoeFly could be an area of possible improvement? I mean, it sounds like you guys are investing pretty heavily today. I don't know if you guys break out or are willing to break out kind of what the return metrics of that platform look like.

But, you know, is it fair to say that it's probably from a net bottom line standpoint, not contributing as much as it could in future periods as some of these initiatives, you know, take hold that you're investing in today? The loan growth side, you know, the pipeline commentary is strong. I imagine you guys feel pretty confident on the line of sight for the next 1/4 or 2.

As we move beyond that, obviously, you know, the economic outlook becomes a little bit more subject to opinion. For customers that might be helpful around, you know, their outlook or their positive outlook or their concerns or just anything of that nature would be great. Thanks.

Frank Sorrentino
Chairman and CEO, ConnectOne Bancorp

I think it's a tale of 2 stories. We certainly see a bit more thoughtful about whether they're, you know, entertaining a construction project or buying a commercial property or starting a business or buying a business. Given the amount of money that's in the economy today, you know, the health of the consumer today, how much liquidity still exists both on business balance sheets and personal balance sheets.

I think we are gonna have a reset. I think we are gonna slow down the inflation rate. I think we are gonna see a higher interest rate environment, which is gonna force people to make different financial decisions. The backdrop to all of them are seeing tremendous M&A going on. There's an enormous amount of disruption.

We're picking up some great talent today, which is gonna offset any of the entire New York metropolitan area and, you know, Florida. I think there's and every one of those markets is being affected by what I said before about the M&A coming, the slowdown that's just naturally happening in the economy and taking a bigger piece of the pie.

Michael Perito
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, KBW

That's really helpful, uncertain, Frank. Thank you both for taking my questions.

Bill Burns
Senior EVP and CFO, ConnectOne Bancorp

Thanks, Michael.

Frank Sorrentino
Chairman and CEO, ConnectOne Bancorp

Thanks, Michael.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we have reached the end of question and answer session.

Frank Sorrentino
Chairman and CEO, ConnectOne Bancorp

Thank you for joining us today for our first 1/4 report. We certainly look forward to coming back to you in future quarters and speaking about our results as we move through 2022.

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