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Morgan Stanley’s Technology, Media & Telecom Conference 2024

Mar 6, 2024

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

All right, we're gonna go ahead and get started. Thanks for joining us, Coinbase investors and future investors. I'm Michael Grimes from Morgan Stanley. Really pleased to have Brian Armstrong and Alesia Haas back here again. Thank you for joining.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah, thanks for having us.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

We were here a year ago today, in what seems like five years ago of cycles, because, you know, every quarter is a year, couldn't be more different in terms of the environment, your execution, the industry, the whole thing. So for that, you know, momentous 2023 with the lows and highs, what were the greatest learnings, to just start that off, given how different it is today than one year ago?

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah. Well, maybe the understatement of the century is that the crypto industry is a little bit volatile. So we always, we've been through a number of these cycles now at Coinbase. We try to just be a steady hand. You know, it's never as good as it seems, it's never as bad as it seems. And we made a big shift last year to really cut 45% of the cost out of the business, make sure that we could generate positive, Adjusted EBITDA in any market environment. And then we had a lot of good execution, even with that reduced cost base. So we got our derivatives platform live. We continued to innovate with layer two solutions like Base. We saw, you know, the ETF approvals happen at the beginning of this year.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Yeah.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

A whole bunch of inflows have happened. A number of our competitors ran into massive, regulatory and legal challenges, and so it was very validating of our long-term approach of being the trusted and compliant one in the space. So yeah, just zooming out, I think, we ended up in a really much better spot, and it's, it was a testament to our long-term thinking and making sure that we, we never get too irrationally exuberant or, despair-oriented around crypto. We just try to be a steady hand through the ups and downs.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

So, you know, you're the leader in crypto, leader in stablecoins. Tactically, and/or strategically, how have you stayed ahead of the competition, and what are the competitive moats?

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah. Well, the big one is trust. Yet every few years, there's a run-up in crypto, and we see some companies rush in, and they cut corners to try to get big fast. And what we've found is that that doesn't really work. This is regulated financial services. It does take longer to do things in a compliant way, but that's what creates value long term and make sure that we stand the test of time. So our, our defensibility has been around trust. It's also been around ease of use, of just how do you bring in the next 100 million people into crypto?

Maybe they're not very tech savvy, or maybe they don't even really care about crypto, but they just they don't wanna pay high fees when they're sending money somewhere, or they're an artist and they wanna, you know, have a direct relationship with their fans. So Coinbase has really distinguished itself on trust and ease of use, and I think it's allowed us to become, you know, have an opportunity to become the global leader.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

So a lot of activity in retail, the App Store rankings really spiked to some serious highs. Is that, like, the beginning of a super cycle? And do you expect the retail to continue?

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

Well, should I start with this one.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah, go ahead.

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

And hand it on?

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

You get to take this one. 2021, coming back.

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

Favorite question about what the next quarter is gonna look like.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Yeah.

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

The answer is, we don't know. The answer is that crypto has been volatile, but we've learned to just trust our processes and plan for any environment. As Brian said, we wanna generate EBITDA on all market environments, but we also wanna instill our product team's ability to innovate and drive product through all market environments. So we don't know what the retail investor will do. We don't know what the price will be in a quarter, but we are planned for any scenario in which we find ourselves, and we're very committed to the long-term future of this company.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay. I mean, yeah, anything to add?

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah. I think I'd add to that is that, I think a lot of people just think about crypto as a speculative asset class, and that's certainly how it got started. And so sometimes, you know, price will go up or down, it generates a news cycle, retail comes in, and that's fine as one layer to look at crypto. But I think what people haven't realized is, it actually goes quite a bit beyond that. We see it as a technology to update the financial system writ large, and it certainly is in need of an update. You know, transactions are slow and expensive, and there's unequal access, and there's oligopolies in different countries around the world. And so what we're actually seeing is that crypto is starting to update the financial system.

If you look at things like stablecoins and Layer 2 and making payments fast and cheap and global, and it's starting to be an interesting alternative to things like SWIFT, right? So it's, it's a new set of financial services, it's a new way that people are building applications on the Internet. And so I think, you know, there's another layer to crypto, which more and more people are starting to realize, and I think that's, that's actually the potential of where this is going.

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

Let's just keep piling on then. Okay.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah.

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

So let's then explain how that all impacts our revenue as well, which is historically, the majority of our revenue was tied to trading revenue, which then we were really reliant on crypto market prices and volatility. And increasingly, because of the diversification and the efforts to drive utility, we are driving the subscription and services revenue growth, which, as of last year, then got very near 50% of the revenue, and importantly, was up 75% or 78% quarter-over-quarter. So that growth, that utility, is what we think will then drive more stability, more engagement in the sector, and help us weather the ups and downs and volatility of transaction revenues.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

You mentioned this disruption of, you know, financial services broadly defined, or pockets of it. You mentioned payments. When do you think we'll see adoption, you know, crypto rails for payments?

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah. Well, I mean, it's already started to happen. So if you look at a number of emerging markets around the world, people, especially where people have high inflation, they've started to use dollar-backed stablecoins. And so, you know, we made a big effort to get USD, USDC, which is one of the largest stablecoins out there, the ability to send it instantly for free anywhere in the world on Base, which is a Layer 2 solution we can talk about that we've put out there. So we're already starting to see people adopt that in places around the world, and I think, like, it kinda makes sense. None of us really think it makes sense to pay 2% to Visa every time you swipe your credit card. It's just sending bits of data.

It's roughly equivalent to sending a WhatsApp message, which is free and encrypted. Why does it cost 2% when you swipe your card? So, I think, you know, payments are gonna flow to the path of least resistance over time. Crypto rails are already starting to emerge with that. Now, layer two is just coming online, and so, like, inside Coinbase, only about 7% of our transactions are going over layer two today. It should be 99% at some point. And so, as we get these things more natively integrated into our products and the market begins to adopt it, and some of these standards, you know, emerge, I think we'll start to see more and more flowing over layer two.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

So you mentioned inflation, you know, countries with higher inflation maybe have started to adopt those rails sooner. I have this friend in a country with high inflation. When do you think for the U.S.? Is that, like, a year away or 10 years away, or that brackets the.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah, well.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Under and the over.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

I'm now just wondering who your friend is.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Just, just this one.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

President Milei?

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

This one.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Okay.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Javier Milei, yeah.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Okay. I mean, look, there's places in the world where people have a hair on fire problem, right? Where if inflation is, like, in Nigeria, I think.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Standards of living are affected daily.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah. I think inflation was maybe 40% in Argentina.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Right

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Last year. And so, you know, but even in the U.S., inflation was a major issue. I mean, it's a major issue in this-

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Absolutely

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Upcoming election. I think people are feeling this at the, you know, at the gas pump and at the grocery store. So this has become, like, a major.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Rent, rent.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Right. And so if that's a way that people kind of get their first interest in crypto... Now, of course, a U.S. dollar-backed stablecoin is backed by a dollar, which-

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

A dollar, which doesn't hedge you.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Right. But it starts to get people interested in this, and once they start using maybe USD Coin to reduce fees, they're gonna also start to think about Bitcoin and other options which, you know, give alternatives to that. So I think these are all complementary, but usually places that, where the people's next best option is non-existent or terrible are the earlier adopters, and then you eventually see it get adopted in more and more places.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay. So there's been product velocity, 2023 international exchange, licenses, derivatives. You mentioned Base, we'll get to Base. You know, what are you the most excited about product-wise for 2024?

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah. Well, our core products, we have a lot of room to just grow the, grow the core. The core is very healthy, which is around simple trading and, and USD Coin. Those have been driving a majority of our revenue to date. So we're gonna make sure that we grow those, and international expansion is a big piece of that. The other ones are newer businesses for us that we launched in 2023, are derivatives products, both internationally, and we got, Coinbase Financial Markets in the U.S. got licensed to, to do that. I think derivatives have a lot of opportunity. About 75% of trading volume is in derivatives in crypto. And then we have a few, more nascent items.

So, you know, Coinbase Cloud is our developer platform for companies out there that want to integrate crypto into their products and services. I think a lot of the services we've built internally, if we can externalize them, kinda like Amazon did with AWS, I think that could be a really meaningful business. We're getting more interested in payments with stablecoins and seeing if we can show that. But these are all, you know, early bets. So we're gonna make sure we grow the core, advance some of the things that we've already launched, like derivatives, and then try some of these new portfolio bets that are on the horizon.

And, and so we've tried to be really rigorous about our capital allocation and do kind of like a 70, 20, 10, and put 70% in the core, 20% in these, these businesses that are adjacent, and then 10% are kind of venture.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

So, maybe there'll be something similar on the portfolio on international. Last year, Brazil, Canada, Spain, France, Ireland is the E.U. hub. Whether it's over this year or the next few, what's the international expansion vector? Since this is clearly working, where should we expect to see you next, near, near and long term?

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah. So, unless you add anything I missed here. So I think on the international expansion front, we think about it as a go broad and go deep strategy. So on the go broad side, we have our self-custodial wallet, called Coinbase Wallet. We have that live in 190 countries today. It's not really regulated like a financial service business because we never take possession of customer funds. It's more like a software product, and it allows us to kind of be in the long tail of emerging markets with our self-custodial wallet. So that's the go broad strategy. The go deep strategy is with our more centralized products, the retail product, the institutional product.

And there's really about 10 markets in the world that are big enough, where they really justify the investment we have to make to go for our centralized product into those markets. So we have to establish a local entity with its own board, typically, get local licenses and it, the compliance requirements for that, get local bank partners. And so you can imagine the 10 largest or so economies of the world, we have local entities where we're building out those go deep strategies, and the rest is gonna be covered by our self-custodial app. And so we're trying to get global coverage with that approach, but, yeah, anything you want to add on that?

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

I would share that last year we planted flags in a number of new countries. Specifically, the new countries were Brazil, Canada, Australia, and Singapore. When you mentioned the European countries, those were licenses that we needed to obtain to continue marketing and growing in those countries. What you see broadly around the world is the regulatory environment is evolving in a positive way, where you're getting more clarity in a lot of global governance, governments. And so we're just keeping pace and ensuring that we remain compliant in certain markets in which we already operated. But the new flags we planted, and then Canada, Brazil, 2024, we're focused on growing those markets and really moving them from the crawl to the walk stage, or moving them, hopefully, from venture to strategic in terms of their growth. So I don't expect us to be going into another market-

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

I see. More penetration than the like.

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

More of a penetration focus.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah. We'll often go invest in a market once we see regulatory clarity emerging. You know, if you want, we can talk about our efforts there in the U.S. as well, which have been important.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Yeah, go ahead.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Well, yeah, I mean, so in the U.S.—the U.S. is actually a little, a little bit behind. You know, for instance, Europe has already passed comprehensive crypto legislation. Much of the rest of the G20 has made progress on this in a way that the U.S. has not yet. So Coinbase has been very supportive of trying to get regulatory clarity in the U.S. We're doing this, of course, through the court system itself, in our case, and, you know, we feel, we feel very optimistic about our chances of winning that case, but kind of regardless of the outcome, it's gonna create clarity through case law, so that's fine. We're also working through Congress-

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

You don't think the government's provided you clarity?

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

No. I think. Yeah, I mean, the way it should work, right, is the regulator engages in a rulemaking process. This is what the Administrative Procedures Act requires, and then if they publish clear rules, and then we all have to follow it. We've seen clarity in some areas, like around AML, KYC. You know, New York has a BitLicense, for instance. We have a trust company there. So there's some areas where it's clear, but other areas, for instance, you know, is this a commodity or a security? And you have two federal regulators that are having kind of a turf war. That's where we have yet to see clarity in the U.S. And so that's an issue for America. You know, it risks being left behind.

So, we're doing that in the courts, we're in Congress. There's two bills that are going through the House committees right now with bipartisan support, which are great. We're also doing it from a policy and advocacy point of view. So for instance, we gave some money to a super PAC called Fairshake, which is now one of the largest super PACs. It's really started to get a lot of attention in DC, and its mission is to go elect pro-crypto candidates. We also have been contributing to this grassroots movement called StandWithCrypto.org, and their goal is to get a million Americans to raise their hand and say, "You know, I'm a single-issue voter on this." And they're at about 340,000 people who've signed up so far.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

I wanna party with them.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah, well, actually, I went to a rally.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Single-issue voter on crypto.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah. I mean, there's 52 million Americans who've used crypto now, so if we just get a million of them that are really, really advocates of this. I went to a rally earlier this week in L.A., where we had, like, a line around the block, 900 people, packed house.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Great

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

For all for Super Tuesday, like, wanting to elect crypto, pro-crypto candidates. So it's starting to really get attention. I think, you know, there's more people who've used crypto in the U.S. than, like, 5x as many as own an electric car. There's, like, 3x as many as have a union card.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Probably 100x that have bought silver or something.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

It's gotta be.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah, yeah. So anyway, D.C. is really starting to take notice that this is gonna be a major constituency in the November elections, and it's just bad politics to be anti-crypto. Like, who, who are you getting as a voter?

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Who do you win?

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

But you're upsetting a lot of people-

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Who do you win?

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

If you come out as anti-crypto.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Same page. Anything to add, Alesia?

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

I would say yesterday was a good day for crypto. Super Tuesday ended up very positive for us.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

It really did. It really did.

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

A great first step.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

And in other ways, too, for our town here that we're in. So strength of the Prime offering, you cited on the call, customer adoption, revenue. What do you really attribute that to on Prime?

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

So Prime, for those who don't know, is our institutional offering that has three major products underpinning it, custody, exchange, and now financing. And we're really proud to see the growth of this product suite over the last two years now. So throughout the winter, throughout 2023, we saw increased client onboardings onto Prime. We've seen growth of our financing business. We now enable our institutional customers to do cross-margin collateral, to really have similar experiences they have in trading other asset classes, and that is really the ambition, to make crypto an asset class on par with other assets that institutional investors want to engage in.

We now have roughly a third of the top 100 hedge funds as clients, and so you're just continuing to see that adoption and crypto becoming more of an allocation of an asset class that everyone engages in. We are really proud of the Bitcoin ETFs now, so we are supporting ETFs through our Prime offering. We custody roughly 90% of all Bitcoin ETF assets. We were supporting 8 of the 11 issuers in the Bitcoin ETFs, and we were named as custodian, then, in 5 of the 8 Ethereum applications. So our infrastructure is really powering a lot of the growth that you've seen in that market over the last month.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

And then sticking, Alesia, with you, 'cause you, you and I, we talked about this actually in the hall, both last year and this year, you know, your financial strategy to survive the dips and survive, you know, the booms and the busts in crypto. How is the company in a different position today than it was, you know, back in 2021, and how have you positioned the financial strategy relative to that tolerance for volatility?

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

Yes. So we have developed a lot of tools to navigate volatility, and I think Brian said it really well when he spoke earlier about the internal mantra is, "It's never as good as it seems," or, "It's never as bad as it seems." And so while the market looks at this, we're trying to just shoot straight across the middle. How we are different than 2021, I think there's a couple things I wanna talk about. One is we now have an employee base of 3,000 people who have lived through a cycle with us. And we say the words "lived through a cycle," but you really have to experience the cycle, work in the cycle, before you really know what those words mean.

In 2018, Coinbase was a much smaller company, so we only had 200 people that had lived through a cycle when we started entering then the 2021/2022 period. Now we have 3,000 that are going to navigate. So that gives us the muscle memory of, "Ooh, let's not be undisciplined. Let's not assume current conditions will persist. Let's be ready for all scenarios." And so, one, it's employee grit, resilience, understanding that makes them better decision makers. Two, it is we have much stronger frameworks, and we push budgeting down to much lower levels, where people feel much more accountable to outcomes than they did in 2021, when we had a little bit more of a shift to focus on growth, growth, growth. And finance knew it was going on, but it wasn't as permeated throughout the company and the culture.

So now everyone sort of understands their drivers, their bottom line, and I think that culture and discipline will serve us well going forward. And third, that I want to point to is just the breadth now of the product offering. So in 2021, institutional was still relatively small. We didn't have derivatives, we didn't have Base. We were still really reliant on trading revenue, on the simple trading platform, and then stablecoins were a growing part of our business, but more as a trading asset. They didn't have the opportunity to have lower cost payments, as an example. So we've really broadened out the number of products that can then become revenue generators going into next market. We've diversified our international footprint, and so I would just say we have over $5.5 billion of the U.S. dollars.

We have over $1 billion of crypto that's liquid, so we have a strong balance sheet. We have earned positive cash flow in 2023. We're lean, we're nimble. We've got a really dedicated employee base that's now ready to drive through this next cycle.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

But other than that.

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

Other than that. The market's really shifted, and our competitive position couldn't be stronger.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

That's a great list. That's a great list. We talked about ETFs. 10 years, so congratulations on the SEC approval for the ETFs. 1 month to be the second largest, you know, passing silver and only behind gold on ETF, commodity ETFs. What does that mean for the industry, and what does that mean for your business?

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah, the ETFs were a massive, massive milestone. Number one, they were a regulatory approval, and it just shows a steady drumbeat of getting more licenses, more approvals. This is becoming a regulated, licensed business all over the world. You know, the ETFs were approved by the SEC, and the courts had a role in that, but it's an approval nonetheless. The other thing is that I think we saw fears from some people that this would cannibalize, you know, activity on our direct platform, and actually, it was completely the opposite. So we saw $8 billion of net inflows into ETFs, but we also saw net inflows into our retail product and our institutional product. It actually played out how we expected, which was the ETFs were new pools of capital.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Gam expansion, yeah.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah, it was.

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

A catalyst, a catalyst of growth.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

For sure.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

New pools of capital got unlocked. It just created a broader awareness, more trust, and we saw increased activity on our platform, too, where people want to hold crypto directly or other types of crypto assets or actually using crypto. So it was really massive, and I think, you know, BlackRock, in particular, had a ton of volume flow in, which was really great. And then, you know, as Alesia mentioned, we were custodying 90% of it, and so it just felt good. It showed that we had the strength as the trusted player in the U.S., and I can't say enough good things. Now, we're seeing these Ethereum ETF applications be filed, and so I think, you know, we're named as the custodian in five of the eight of those.

So I think we'll see more and more of these, these kind of asset classes emerge in the traditional system.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

You know, maybe this is an analogy to your, or analogous to your political discussion of, you know, who loses. You know, one of the larger asset gatherers didn't head the BlackRock path and looks exposed.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

And so if that has a signal for what happens on Ethereum or what happens on the next wave, that could also be something politicians are taking note of, asset managers are taking note of, banks are taking note of on, you know, what being negative accomplishes.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Totally. I mean, their clients are asking for this, so, you know, just good client services. If there are approved regulatory approved products that your clients want, you know, what, what are you doing if you're trying to block that?

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

It's the business you're in. It's the business you're in.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

So let's talk about Circle. You have the strategic partnership, you have the investment in Circle, stablecoin, up to 25% of the business. So talk to us about the stablecoin business and that partnership.

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

I'll start, and then you can add on. So starting in 2018, we started a partnership with Circle, as we believe that stablecoins would be an important, like, utility and, and infrastructure layer that needed to be within crypto. And in 2023, we amended that collaboration agreement and entered into a new arrangement to just really simplify terms, clarify economics and roles, and help us for the next wave of growth of USDC. So just to quickly articulate what that arrangement is, is that Circle is the sole issuer of USDC, Coinbase is a distributor of USDC. We resell USDC, and for that, we have an economic arrangement whereby all of the USDC on our platform, after certain fees paid to Circle as issuer, we get to collect 100% of the interest income from the underlying USD reserves.

Circle gets the same thing for anything on their platform, and anything that's not on our platform, we share 50/50. And so that has just made it really clear for us to go forward and market. Now our goals are growth. We had a hard year in 2023 when USDC depegged, we stabilized, and over the last now 8 weeks, Q1, we've seen USDC market cap rebound about $4 billion from year-end. So we're really starting to see trough and growth again in this asset class. We're expanding with payments, as Brian alluded to, but more importantly, we're also just driving what we consider core use cases of what USDC was already strong in. Those are DeFi, those are the trading asset, and so we're working through incentive plans, we're working through deeply integrating it with our products.

For example, our international exchange is all quoted in USDC pairs. This will drive behaviors of market makers and more adoption of USDC versus U.S. dollars because it's a 24/7 instant settlement asset. And now, being able to do transactions for free, instantly, globally, on USDC, on Base, we think that just opens up use cases, and we wanna make sure we're here to drive that adoption and that value add.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah. I just want to underscore, I mean, I think stablecoins are a really big deal. When I go to D.C., you know, we don't call it a stablecoin there, we say it's a digital dollar. And by the way, you know, China has a digital yuan, built on blockchain. They created it in 2019. Many people that I speak to there are very interested. You know, they're not, like, some big fan of Bitcoin or something, but they really want to have a digital dollar that ensures that we maintain the reserve currency in our competition with China globally. It's a matter of national security. It's a way that the U.S., you know, projects soft power globally, all kinds of things, like economic sanctions, et cetera.

So I think, now that we have U.S. dollar-backed stablecoins, and they're starting to be fast and cheap, and these are really gonna become the new rails, instead of, you know, SWIFT or ACH, some of these things that take three business days or whatever, that's really, that's really, really important, and it's essential, really, for America. So it's getting another massive constituency of people very interested and engaged in why crypto needs to succeed. You know, there's great—I love Bitcoin, it's digital gold. We should have guaranteed scarcity from mathematics. I think it's a brilliant innovation in the world. We should have U.S. dollar-backed stablecoins. We should have, you know, all these other things being NFTs.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

L2 and.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

DeFi, and L2. Right? So these are all, really important innovations that are happening, and anyway, it's, it's a good talking point in D.C.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

So let's talk about L2 and Base. Can you take us through... Explain Base, as layman's terms as you can.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

And then how that's fueling the industry and your business.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah. Blockchains need to become more scalable, and when blockchains first came out, everything was happening on Layer 1 with Bitcoin and Ethereum, and it took, you know, anywhere from a few dollars to $25, and maybe anywhere from a few minutes to a few hours to confirm every transaction. So they were distributed, they were decentralized, it was a computer science breakthrough, but it was kinda slow. And what we've seen now is that Layer 2 is coming online. You can think of it kinda like when the internet went from dial-up modems to broadband, and everything got faster, a bunch of new applications got enabled. And so, Layer 2 is basically just making every transaction in crypto faster and cheaper.

Now, Coinbase has a role to play here because there's a handful of different L2s that are out there, layer two solutions, and we decided to work with one of the existing platforms called Optimism and have an economic arrangement with them. But we built basically on top of the Optimism decentralized protocol, our own layer two solution called Base. And people like developers that are out there building apps, they've really kinda gravitated toward it because they're looking at it and saying, "Okay, well, there's a big trusted company who's putting their weight behind it," right? It's kind of like Google putting their weight behind Chrome or Android. Even though it's open source, it has a big company as a sponsor that they know is gonna continue to improve upon it and give it distribution.

That's the other thing we're doing, actually. In Coinbase's applications, we're making Base a default, and we have an opportunity to give distribution to third-party developers who will build their apps on Base, and then they can get users through Coinbase's platform. Base is emerging as a layer two standard that lots of developers wanna build on. We have opportunities to monetize it, not just with our economic arrangement with Optimism, but also by getting what are called sequencer fees. This is all still early days, but I think it's a really interesting. It has the potential to really create a strong network effect and interesting economic opportunities for Coinbase over time.

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

Today, we're focused on getting developer activity on the platform, building liquidity, and really just embedding Base as, like, a default layer for developers to come to.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

So Optimism, your partner, has, you know, their own L2 network. Are you collaborating, competing? How does that work?

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

It's collaborative. So they, they.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Are they interoperable?

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah. So they built it as an open standard, and they really want companies to come in and build on top of it. So they were thrilled that we came in, "All right, cool, we wanna use this." We evaluated the different ones out there. We liked Optimism the best. So it's very collaborative, and that's partly why they were willing to share economics with us.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay, okay. Well, let's get a couple questions that get towards the future. You know, we've talked about a lot of Optimism, so let's stay on that for a moment. You're, it's pretty, the table's pretty set, it feels, and you still have to execute, but, you know, what's the future from here, as you now have this strong position, you've got the moats, regulatory leaning, but not done, international, layer two, multi-product, you know, what do you see, what's the, what are the drivers for the next five years?

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Okay, well, let me, let me start, and then I'll have you jump in. So, I mean, part of it is really just expanding our core, our core business today. I won't, I won't dwell on that, but it's important to note that that alone, I think, has enormous potential, and if, if we just continue, more and more people are gonna keep coming into crypto as layer two comes online and we, we do more international expansion and payments come online, and and these kind of things.

I think that, like, the really interesting potential for this is that this shift is happening where people initially started thinking about crypto. They often get their first, their feet wet with crypto by saying, "Oh, this is an asset class, and maybe it's digital gold or something, and I could own a piece of it, maybe it'll go up." So it's kind of speculative. It's a new asset class. It's kinda interesting. But the potential of it is much bigger than that. It's actually the chance to have Coinbase be someone's primary financial account in their life, right? The way that they do payments for everything, the way that they get payroll, the way they borrow and lend. You know, we have some of these products in there today for direct deposit.

You know, you can Coinbase Card allows you to spend USDC or crypto at any place that that Visa's accepted. We have Coinbase Commerce, which is a nascent business, right? It's allowing people to accept crypto payments online. So I think if Coinbase can become people's primary financial account, and we can start to get a larger and larger percentage of global GDP running over crypto rails, it starts to get really interesting as really kind of the next iteration of the global financial system that's faster, cheaper, more equal access, and more global, right? So that it's not like every country running their own proprietary ancient system.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Right.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

That's where this is going, and it's a technology to update the global financial system.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

That's a powerful answer. So what do you think is still misunderstood about Coinbase?

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

I don't—you wanna jump in here? I feel like

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

I don't, I think people are getting to know us a lot better. So this is three.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Last year was a step function.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah.

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

Absolutely. I think what's misunderstood is just how broad the product portfolio runs and how many different use cases we have our fingers in. I think what's also potentially misunderstood is these commercial arrangements. We talked about how we're partnered with Circle to bring forth stablecoin as an ecosystem infrastructure layer. We're partnered with Optimism to bring forward Base as an ecosystem infrastructure layer. And many of our products right now, I would say, are supporting the development so that developers can go build more apps and more use cases in crypto. And in a way, then, we are touching different parts of every transaction that happens in crypto. So even though we don't custody 100% of all assets that are underpinning ETFs, we also have the exchange, we also have the trading products.

Other asset issuers in the ETFs will still be trading to get the Bitcoin to put into a different custodian. We are touching many, many parts of this ecosystem, and I don't think that that is fully understood.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

It's an unusual business model, is why. That's an unusual business model, to be touching that many parts.

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

It has so many parts. And so we wanna be B2C, we wanna go direct to customers, and we wanna serve them in many ways. But oftentimes, we will find ourselves in a B2B relationship, and we think we have lots of growth opportunities ahead just because we have built so many core tools deep in the stack.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

So we'll get ready for audience questions in a minute. Oh, no, even now, we're gonna get ready for audience questions now. Go ahead. We got, we got them everywhere.

Speaker 4

Thank you. I have two quick questions. First on just DeFi, we saw the recent proposal by Uniswap regarding their utility token might having some sort of rep share. Does that have any positive impact on Coinbase if, you know, that gets at all adopted? And secondly, anything around your Coinbase Ventures portfolio, where does the venture strategy fit in, and why are you carrying it at cost when, you know, there are many investments there that are worth a lot more? It might just be an accounting thing, but just want color on that. Thank you.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah. So I'll start with Uniswap, and then I'll turn to you for ventures. So, for those of you who don't know, Uniswap is a decentralized exchange. It's a really cool piece of technology. And Coinbase is actually, through our products, you can trade on our centralized exchange or on a decentralized exchange. And so we actually think these are very complementary, and we're supportive of both. Now, Uniswap's been making some moves with their own UNI token, and, I'm not sure if there's a way that we're directly gonna benefit from that, but I do think that we should continue to be supportive of decentralized exchanges. And there are, you know, there's fee generation opportunities for us over time with that.

It's not something that we specifically focus on in our financials at this point, but, I'll just suffice to say we're very pro-decentralized exchange and centralized exchange. I think they're both gonna exist for a long time.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

I'm going here, and then.

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

Speaking about ventures.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah, one more on ventures.

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

Let me just quickly answer ventures.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Oh, that's right, ventures. Go ahead.

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

All right. For those who don't know, we have a very active role playing in the venture portfolio, where we invest in early-stage startups. We're typically in passive roles, but this enables us to see the breadth of what's going on in the ecosystem. It enables us to think about what are future business development arrangements, where do our customers wanna be, and help what we call a thousand flowers bloom in the ecosystem, but also then bring that value back to our company and our product roadmap.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Go ahead.

Speaker 5

Thank you very much. I've got a quick question on —s o, on—c an you elaborate more on the ETF impact to the whole market dynamic? So basically, money flowing into ETF, and ETF will buy through Coinbase and custodize. So, so you mentioned that around 90% are custodized here, right? So, so basically —b ut, versus previous cycle, because there are many, like, individual buyers, like, 2, 3 years ago, and, and, and, and they are on much higher commission, but, the institutions have a lower commission. So how should we think about this cycle versus previous cycle for Bitcoin trading revenue for Coinbase? And also, correct me if I'm wrong, that other than Bitcoin probably on a lower spectrum of commission percentage, but other cryptos are higher.

So, on last cycle, I mean, the previous, like, 2020-2021 cycle, so, how does Coinbase benefit from these other coins? And what do you see this time of cycle? Is it similar to last cycle, or this time it's just Bitcoin, not Ethereum and others? Thank you.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

Yeah, I, I can start off, and then you feel free to add anything. So the ETFs have been very accretive to us. So it's true that they have lower fees, but they're unlocking new pools of capital that previously couldn't hold cryptocurrency directly. Right. And so we've seen $8 billion of net inflows from that, but at the same time, we've seen net inflows to our retail and institutional products. And I think there's a difference in the —y ou know, if you just want exposure to the asset class, and you can only hold ETFs, and you only want Bitcoin, that's a great option. Some people wanna actually hold Bitcoin to do something with it, and, you know, to spend it or to earn rewards on it with different crypto or hold different crypto assets.

We're seeing that the ETFs are having a positive accretive effect. I think it's good. It's a regulatory checkbox, it's increased, it's a branding, marketing moment. It's just generally increasing awareness and more money flowing in. So every time crypto gets integrated into a new piece of the traditional financial system, whether it's an ETF or a bank or some payment processor, I think we might get some people who ask that as a question, like, "Well, what does that mean for Coinbase?" We see it as all beneficial. We want crypto to be integrated into every piece of the traditional financial system. So every time a new company or a new product gets added or something like that, we think it's good.

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

Yeah, and I would just say, as we shared on our Q4 earnings call, again, quarter to date, it's just been net positive, as Brian shared. We disclose in our financial statements the allocation of trading revenue and assets on platform to the different assets. Bitcoin has always been amongst the largest, but most of our customers hold more than just Bitcoin. Like, the vast majority hold at least two assets, and they are coming, as Brian said, to the platform to learn about crypto, to engage more deeply in the crypto markets. We saw pretty strong adoption of staking throughout the last two years, once Ethereum became liquid and stakeable.

I think that we're gonna continue to see growth in that behavior with the long tail, not just in Bitcoin, not just in Bitcoin and Ethereum, but people are still engaged in the breadth of crypto assets that we trade on our platform.

Speaker 6

Grimes, the last question over to here. Here. Okay.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

You can use this one.

Speaker 6

Yeah.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

You got it? You can use this one.

Speaker 6

So thinking of crypto, it seems like take rates get taken to zero, 'cause it's, like, the ultimately competitive environment. So Uniswap does half of your volume but with one-tenth of the employees, and then USDC, you capture 100% of the yield, but there's also projects like Ondo, which I believe you're an investor in, which is like a yield, passes along some of the yield to the holders of the stablecoin. But just I, I'd love to hear your thoughts on the sustainability of margins in the industry and, yeah, how to think through that.

Brian Armstrong
CEO, Coinbase

I'll start off and then turn it to you. So we agree, I think over medium long term, there's gonna be margin compression. I mean, why wouldn't there be? That's happened in every other industry. But I don't think we've seen any margin compression so far, and I don't think it's gonna happen that soon, and the reason is that, I mean, our two major competitors just ran into. One blew up, one ran into a massive legal trouble. It turns out it's really hard to run this business. You have to be excellent at cybersecurity, at compliance, you know, at marketing and engineering, like, a lot of different types of technology, and it's not been commoditized yet. The industry is also moving so fast.

You know, every week there's some new asset, there's a fork, there's a new way to earn rewards, there's some stablecoin, there's some payment opportunity, there's a borrow lending thing. So if this industry matures at some point and just starts to slow down from an innovation point of view, I think we will see more commoditization. So far, it has not commoditized at all. In fact, in every cycle where it's like things come down, we see other players retrench, and you know, they were kinda tourists in crypto. "Oh, we added some features, now we're not focused on it." Coinbase is 100% focused on crypto, so I think we're gonna continue to have a disproportionate share of people who want to do something in crypto. It's like, "All right, that's the place I'm gonna go and do it."

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

I think we're after the buzzer, unless it's a critical thing to add.

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

I just wanted to share.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Jump in.

Alesia Haas
CFO, Coinbase

We increased last year and raised market share.

Michael Grimes
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Awesome. Nice to add. We're after the buzzer. Thank you, Brian. Thank you, Alesia, very, very much.

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