Good morning. Welcome to the CVS Health First Quarter 2020 Earnings Conference Call. A question and answer session will follow CVS Health's prepared remarks. As a reminder, this call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Valerie Haertel, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations for CVS Health. Please go ahead.
Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to the CVS Health First Quarter 2020 Earnings Call. As a reminder, this call is being recorded. I'm Valerie Haertel, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations for CVS Health. I am joined this morning by Larry Merlo, President and CEO, and Eva Boratto, Executive Vice President and CFO.
Following our prepared remarks, we'll host a question and answer session that will include Jonathan Roberts, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, Karen Lynch, Executive Vice President and President of Aetna, and Alan Lotvin, Executive Vice President and President of Caremark. In order to provide more people with the chance to ask a question during the Q&A, please limit yourself to no more than one question with a quick follow-up. In addition to this call, our press release, and Form 10-Q, we have posted a slide presentation on our website.
Please note that during this call, we will make certain forward-looking statements that reflect our current views, including our financial projections and statements related to our future financial performance, future events, industry and market conditions, and the future impact of COVID-19 on our enterprise. Our forward-looking statements are based on management's estimates, assumptions and projections and are subject to significant uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond CVS Health's control, including the future impact of COVID-19 on our enterprise. We strongly encourage you to review the information we file with the SEC regarding these risks and uncertainties, in particular, those that are described in the Risk Factors section of our 2019 annual report on Form 10-K and the cautionary statement concerning forward-looking statements and risk factor disclosures in our quarterly reports on Form 10-Q.
You should also review the section entitled Cautionary Statements Concerning Forward-Looking Statements in this morning's earnings press release. During this call, we will use non-GAAP financial measures when talking about the company's performance and financial condition. In accordance with SEC regulations, you can find a reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures in this morning's earnings press release and the reconciliation document posted on the investor relations portion of our website. As always, today's call is being broadcast on our website, where it will be archived for one year. Now, I'd like to turn the call over to Larry.
Well, thanks, Valerie. Good morning, everyone, thank you for joining our 2020 Q1 earnings call. These are certainly unprecedented times for us all. At CVS Health, our dedicated colleagues have been working on the front lines in the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic, responding in real time with solutions for consumers and patients across the country. I'd like to take a moment to express my sincere gratitude to our colleagues for their work in all parts of our organization. They are doing a phenomenal job of responding to the needs of our communities, and I could not be more proud of their efforts. Now, as we all know, over the last couple of months, the situation has rapidly intensified as the pandemic has spread from coast to coast.
Federal, state, and local governments, in partnership with the private sector, have worked to curb the spread of the virus and its impact on our population and the economy. At CVS Health, as one of the largest providers of essential services, we are supporting these efforts through our community reach, local presence, broad healthcare offerings, digital capabilities, and our hardworking colleagues, and we are part of the solution during these difficult times.
Let me provide an overview of the actions we've taken in response to COVID-19 with two key priorities in mind. First is the well-being and safety of our colleagues, consumers, and communities we serve. Second is maintaining the continuity of our businesses and operations. To do that, we are making investments to support our consumers, clients, and members, while deepening our relationships and advancing our long-term strategy of being the most consumer-centric health company.
Starting with our colleagues, we took swift action designed to keep them safe while we kept our stores and other operations up and running with minimal disruption. We implemented social distancing practices, enhanced cleaning protocols, distributed personal protective equipment, and outfitted stores with plexiglass barriers. We also provided our colleagues with enhanced benefits and resources, including family support, and announced bonuses for our frontline colleagues for their outstanding work. All of these actions have helped ensure the continuity of our operations at a time when they are needed the most. For our consumers and members impacted by COVID-19, we are providing them with continued access to quality healthcare while relieving some of the added costs and stress resulting from the pandemic. As previously announced, we waived co-pays for COVID-19 related diagnostic testing for all of our insured members.
For our commercial and Medicare Advantage members, we waived member out-of-pocket costs for COVID-19 related inpatient admissions and telemedicine visits through early June. We have taken a broad approach to helping address the mental and emotional health impacts of the pandemic, including access to telehealth and expanding our employee assistance programs for our members.
We're also proactively reaching out to the most at-risk Aetna members to educate them about COVID-19 protection measures and resources available to them, and we're sending care packages to affected members to show our care and support. CVS Pharmacy has waived the fees associated with home delivery for prescriptions and accompanying front-store products for all consumers, and both Aetna and Caremark have worked with clients and their members to support medication access and adherence by waiving early refill limits and extending previously approved prior authorizations for maintenance medications.
For our Aetna contracted healthcare providers, we are streamlining processes, easing administrative policies, making timely payments, and enhancing telemedicine policies to allow them to focus on patient care. To support our communities, we are creating action-based solutions alongside local, state, and federal government partners, as well as industry peers. For example, across five states, we have opened large-scale COVID-19 testing sites. To date, we have administered nearly 9,000 tests with real-time results.
We are also working to further expand our testing capabilities, which will continue to play an important role in helping with the reopening of the economy. We recently expanded our Coram services nationwide, working in partnership with hospitals and providers to help transition eligible IV therapy patients to home-based care, freeing up important hospital capacity. Finally, we are well-positioned to provide medication therapies and vaccines when they become available at our retail pharmacy locations nationwide.
The actions we have taken all point to our strategy of making healthcare access local and simple while helping people achieve their best health. We have worked to accelerate pilots and innovation, and in conjunction with additional actions such as relaxing regulation, we are seeing a new normal emerge. In the near future, there will be an evaluation point of what worked and what didn't, and as a result, we expect that elements of today's new norm will become part of tomorrow's everyday routines.
While the actions we have taken in response to the pandemic come at a cost, we believe these investments in our people and our businesses are the right decisions and our differentiated offerings have enabled us to play a key role in responding to the pandemic. What has been the response to the actions we have taken?
Well, it is clear our consumer-centric digital strategy has become even more relevant in the current environment as people are using technology more while they stay in place. We've achieved higher levels of engagement across our digital assets in Q1, a trend which began in January and accelerated with COVID-19. Let me provide you a few examples. Utilization of telemedicine for virtual visits through MinuteClinic is up about 600% compared to Q1 2019. Retail prescription home delivery is up more than 1,000%. Additionally, we saw a fourfold increase in the number of consumers adding front-store items to their prescription deliveries. Let's call it the front-store attachment rate. We also saw a double-digit percentage increase in app usage across CVS Pharmacy, Caremark, and Specialty year over year. As an example, in Specialty Pharmacy, digital refills were up approximately 50%.
In our Aetna Health app, we engaged more households in Q1 than we did in the first three quarters of 2019. To support our COVID-19 testing sites, our team used our digital platform to quickly launch a streamlined experience, which has enabled online screening and scheduling for testing, with 85% of consumers highlighting a positive experience. We are pleased to see higher rates of customer satisfaction and loyalty thanks to our colleagues' hard work and innovation, and we will continue to mobilize our resources to support nationwide efforts to combat the virus. With that, let me quickly touch on our first quarter results and how COVID-19 has impacted our business performance. In the quarter, we delivered adjusted earnings per share of $1.91, with total revenues of nearly $67 billion, up 8%.
Our underlying core performance was strong. In March, COVID-19 related business activity added approximately $0.10 to our Q1 adjusted earnings per share. Our performance reflects an acceleration of prescriptions dispensed, strong front-store sales, and a modest reduction in discretionary medical utilization, all largely driven by COVID-19. Now, we have been able to maintain an adequate supply of medications to meet the increased demand from our customers, benefiting from the scale and expertise of Red Oak. Setting aside the impact of COVID-19, our Q1 results demonstrate the continued success of our integrated healthcare strategy, which is resonating with stakeholders across the healthcare system. Now, we are leaving our full year 2020 adjusted EPS guidance range unchanged at $7.04 to $7.17. Eva will take you through the key considerations on our guidance.
It is important to note that there are a variety of actions and market forces that will present opportunities as well as risks as we move forward. Rest assured, we are diligently working to minimize the adverse effects while harnessing the opportunities to expand access to affordable care and deliver cost-saving solutions to our clients and their members. CVS Health will continue to fight this pandemic on the front lines. This challenging time demonstrates the importance of our holistic, consumer-centric, enterprise-wide approach. We are committed to supporting the nation so that we come out on the other side stronger together with the communities that we serve. With that, I will turn the call over to Eva.
Thanks, Larry. Good morning, everyone. Like Larry, I want to take this opportunity to thank all of my colleagues for their hard work, courage, and dedication as we navigate this difficult time. As Larry mentioned, the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic brought about new challenges to all of us, and CVS has been adapting our business operations to support our key stakeholders. Through this pandemic, we've continued to advance our cost reduction priorities, including delivering integration synergy goals and our transformative goals to become a more digital enterprise.
The rapid changes across the country in response to COVID-19 have led us to accelerate some of those initiatives. In light of the COVID-19 uncertainty, we also took steps to enhance our liquidity and strengthen our capital. We issued $4 billion in bonds in March as a preemptive measure against cash needs in a severely adverse scenario.
While this debt will add about $15 million additional interest expense monthly, it puts us in a strong liquidity position to weather potential crises with access to over $5 billion of cash and short-term investments at the end of March, as well as $6 billion available by issuing commercial paper or borrowing under our backup credit facilities and strong operating cash flows.
Once we return to normalcy, we expect to repay the incremental debt. We will also continue to prudently manage our operating expenses and will reduce our planned capital expenditures by $200 million this year. Our long-term leverage target remains unchanged. We continue to prioritize paying down our debt and maintaining our dividend, with no share repurchases planned until we meet our leverage target. Moving to first quarter results, adjusted earnings per share was $1.91, nearly 18% higher than prior year.
Consolidated revenues increased 8.3% year-over-year, with growth coming from all segments. Our business performance exceeded our expectations due in part to strong execution and our ability to meet elevated consumer and member needs resulting from COVID-19. We generated $3.3 billion of cash from operations and returned approximately $650 million to shareholders through cash dividends in Q1. Turning to our operating results for the quarter by segment, Pharmacy Services total revenue increased 4.2% year-over-year. Specialty Pharmacy revenue increased 19%, reflecting the full benefit of IngenioRx that we started onboarding in Q2 2019. Brand inflation also contributed to the increase. Total revenue growth was partially offset by the previously disclosed client losses and continued price compression. Total adjusted scripts increased 12.4%, with approximately 125 basis points related to COVID-19 activity.
Pharmacy Services adjusted operating income increased 24.7% versus last year, driven by Specialty Pharmacy volume, our continued improvement in purchasing economics, and an increase in generic dispensing rate. Growth in the quarter was partially offset by the previously mentioned client losses and continued price compression. Within Pharmacy Services, there was minimal impact from COVID-19 to operating income during the first quarter. We continue to progress nicely in Pharmacy Services' 2021 selling season, with more than 70% of renewals complete with a strong retention rate. Moving to Retail Long-Term Care, COVID-19 had a meaningful impact on segment performance, with our retail pharmacies meeting essential needs of consumers and patients. Total revenues were up 7.7%, with adjusted operating income up 27.7% year-over-year. A few key factors drove the results. As Larry mentioned, we delivered strong pharmacy and front store volume.
Adjusted script growth of 8.2% was primarily driven by the continued adoption of our patient care programs, COVID-19 related volume, and Leap Day. We estimate COVID-19 impacted adjusted script growth by about 200 basis points. Front store total revenues increased 8.5%, of which a significant portion was due to COVID-19. Before the surge related to COVID-19 began, front store total revenues were up about 2%. Adjusted operating income growth was driven by strong sales performance, benefit from generics, front store margin improvements, and lower SG&A, with SG&A reflecting favorable resolution of legal matters and our ongoing modernization efforts. The growth was partially offset by continued pharmacy reimbursement pressure. COVID-19 contributed about 40% of the adjusted operating income growth for the quarter, including the impact of additional operating expenses. Moving to healthcare benefits, total membership increased 2.4%, or 554,000 sequentially.
Consistent with our strategic focus, we are pleased with our strong sequential Medicare Advantage membership growth of 11.3%, outpacing the industry average. In Medicaid, we're also pleased with the strength of our sequential membership growth, driven primarily by the acquisition of Illini Care. Commercial membership is down sequentially, primarily due to a decline in public and labor. On a year-over-year basis, total revenues increased approximately 7.4%, primarily due to strong government products growth.
Operating expenses increased versus prior year, primarily due to the reinstatement of the HIF and our government membership growth, including higher costs related to the onboarding of IlliniCare members. This increase was partially offset by savings initiatives, including integration synergies. MBR was 82.4%, primarily reflecting an improvement from the return of the HIF. During the quarter, we also saw reduced discretionary utilization related to COVID-19 that started in mid-March.
This was partially offset by the growth in our government business and the impact of Leap Day. In Medicaid, while we are pleased with the membership growth, we are experiencing pressure on our MBR due in part to a heavier and longer flu season, as well as higher cost claimants in certain states. Healthcare benefits adjusted operating income was slightly lower year-over-year, reflecting all the factors I just described.
COVID-19 had a modest impact on the healthcare benefits segment for the first quarter as the deferral of discretionary utilization more than offset the impact from lower net investment income, including realized capital losses. The corporate segment adjusted operating loss increased by $54 million over 2019. This was predominantly related to higher legal and transformation costs. In addition, the segment recorded realized capital losses related to the capital markets volatility in Q1.
Going below the line, interest expense was lower by approximately $50 million due to the lower average debt for Q1 2020 compared to 2019. Prior to COVID-19, our underlying core business performance was strong. While acknowledging the inherent and unprecedented uncertainty surrounding the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic and its impact, we are leaving our full year 2020 enterprise GAAP EPS and adjusted EPS guidance ranges unchanged at $5.47 to $5.60 and $7.04 to $7.17, respectively. Cash flow from operations guidance for the full year of $10.5 billion-$11 billion is also unchanged. This view is subject to a number of key considerations, including the significant uncertainties that continue to exist around the severity and duration of the COVID-19 pandemic, including its impact on the U.S. and global economies, consumer behavior, and healthcare utilization patterns.
Additionally, the timing, scope, and impact of stimulus legislation and other governmental responses to the pandemic remains to be seen. The financial impact of these factors on the company will become clearer in the months to come. Given the unusual situation this quarter, I will elaborate on what we are seeing for select metrics in April. Our slides provide the March comps along with the April comps for additional context. Prescriptions are about flattish in both Retail Long-Term Care and Pharmacy Services compared to April 2019, as we saw the March pull forward of prescriptions reverse and a drop in new prescriptions related to lower physician visits. Front store sales are down about 11% compared to April 2019, as increased basket size was more than offset by a reduction in store traffic as shelter in place took hold.
The reduction in discretionary utilization that healthcare benefits started to see in mid-March continued through April. Based on what we know today, our MBR could be at its lowest level in Q2. Early data for the month of April suggests decreases in utilization of about 30% across an array of services compared to April 2019. We cannot predict what impact delays in utilization will have on its members with chronic conditions, as missed treatment could adversely affect their health.
Q2 will reflect a significant increase in COVID-19 related operating expenses over Q1 as we recognize the investments we made in the business continuity and other initiatives Larry mentioned. The quarterly cadence of earnings is likely to vary from historical patterns, and other key performance metrics are likely to play out differently than we expected at the time of our last earnings call.
Given all of the moving pieces, we are not providing our more detailed guidance today. With that, let's open up the line for questions.
Thank you. At this time, if you have a question or a comment, please press star one on your touchtone telephone. You may remove yourself from the queue by pressing the pound key. In the interest of time, we ask that you please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up, and please pick up your handset to allow optimal sound quality. We'll take our first question from Lisa Gill of JPMorgan. Your line is open.
Good morning. Thanks for taking my question, thank you, Larry and team, for all that CVS is doing on the front lines. Let me just first start. Eva, one of the comments you made is that there was a strong underlying core versus your expectations in the first quarter. Can you just maybe talk about what areas performed better on the core side than you were expecting?
I know you're not going to give any incremental guidance, but I just want to understand how we think about the front end and the impact to overall results. You talked about the April update, and I appreciate that being down 10.9% on the front end. If it stays like that for some period of time, how does that impact the overall results as we think about the core guidance that you gave?
Hi, Lisa. It's Eva. Thanks for your question and your comments about everything the company is doing. I think as we commented on the strong underlying core, right? I'll start with the PBM. You saw really strong top line and bottom line growth with specialty leading the way. We're realizing the benefits of some of the initiatives that we had started last year in underlying sales in the PBM. We're pleased with that, and the performance we reported was above our initial expectations. Additionally, as you look at the retail business, again, strong performance ex-COVID-19. Pleased with the front store comps of 2% prior to COVID-19. Continued strong script growth, and we reported over 8% script growth. When you adjust for COVID-19, you're still above 6%, and that's the continuation of our patient care programs and what have you.
From a healthcare benefits perspective, I'd say our results were largely in line. We're pleased with the growth in the government sector. On the Medicaid front, as I outlined, we have some MBR pressure that we're working through. Lisa, on the guidance question, I'll say there are a host of assumptions underneath us leaving our guidance unchanged. It's based on other factors. As you look at states coming back on board, I don't think it's consistent across the country, right? It'll be state by state, and we've really tried to factor all the different pieces in. John, I don't know if you want to add anything on the front store.
Lisa, listen. All categories are obviously down in April, coming off from the peak in March. It's still very early. We have very limited data. We are seeing that as shelter in orders are lifting, we return our hours of operation to the normal hours, we're beginning to see sales improve. Still early. The early view is improving.
Lisa Gill, it's Larry Merlo. Just maybe one final point on it specific to front store sales. Keep in mind, front store now represents 8%, 9% of enterprise revenues. Team's done a great job in terms of, you think about the underlying ex-COVID-19, the sales performance was around 2%. That reflects a lot of the activities that we've talked about in the past around personalization.
Lisa Gill, I think one of the things that we're seeing and learning is, and we talk about things that are happening today that are part of today's norm, but things that will migrate from today's norm to tomorrow's everyday routines. As you heard in our prepared remarks, we've seen a dramatic increase in home delivery. One of the questions that we've always had is: How do we increase the front store attachment rate to prescriptions?
Again, we've seen a fourfold increase in terms of those prescriptions being accompanied with a front store purchase. We think that's an opportunity that we can capitalize on as we begin to return to, I'll say, a new normal environment.
Great. I appreciate the comments. Thank you.
Our next question comes from Eric Percher of Nephron Research. Your line is open.
Thank you. Eric Percher and Josh Raskin here from Nephron. Maybe building on the last question of what a new norm may look like, you spoke to some of the shifts occurring in mail, complex Specialty Pharmacy shift, and home infusion. How material are these? Do you see the shift, I think mail is 5% of all scripts, as being material? Obviously across your models you can capture that in a couple of ways. I'd love to hear the same on specialty and infusion, and whether you think there is share gain from the hospital channel as well.
Yeah, Eric, it's Larry. Maybe I'll start and then ask Alan to talk more specifically on mail. I think the Coram, the home infusion is a great opportunity. It ties back to something that we've talked about many times. When you think about how do we provide care in the right care setting with the variables being convenience as well as cost. Our infusion nurses have made 60,000 visits since the pandemic began, which is a great example of what we're talking about in terms of, we freed up important hospital capacity by working with the hospitals in terms of expediting discharge back into the home for those patients who needed to continue to require IV therapy and were well enough to do that within the comfort of their home, and we're able to provide that service.
Eric, a lot of this goes back to the strategy that we've been talking about for the last couple of years in terms of what we can do to make healthcare local and simple, whether it's in the community, in the home, or in the palm of your hand.
Eric, it's Alan Lotvin. I'll add a couple of points. One, on home delivery, we've seen increase in home delivery in mail, but I think when you think about mail and the power of our enterprise, we have the ability to bring prescriptions to people's home, not only through traditional mail, but also, as Jonathan talked about, through home delivery from retail. That's also up dramatically. The last point I would make is that as we talk about the early view into what we're seeing with mail and specialty in April, we're not seeing the same patterns of decline that we're seeing in the retail network.
Along the same lines of early views, are you seeing any change in pre-authorizations on the HCP side relative to that 30% decline, where that may move?
Hi, Eric, it's Karen. In April, in pre-auth, we saw almost a 40% decline in prior authorization. In utilization, it's down 30% through April. I would tell you that as states are opening up, however, we are seeing an uptick in pre-auth and pre-cert, but not dramatic increases yet.
Thank you.
Our next question comes from Ann Hynes of Mizuho Securities. Your line is open.
Hi, good morning.
Good morning, Ann.
Morning, Ann.
Just for clarification, Eva, I know you said that the Healthcare Benefits segment results were in line with your estimate. When I look at your prior guidance for Healthcare Benefits, the operating profit guidance was up 5% to 6.7%. Is that decline of -4.5%, was that Q1 2020 decline in line with your expectations going into the year? Would be my first question, and my second question is, I know you touched this in your prepared remarks. Can you just remind us some of the initiatives you did in 2019 in Specialty Pharmacy, which resulted in such strong results? Thank you.
Yeah, sure. Ann, on the healthcare benefits, yeah, I would say the results are largely in line, as I said before, and as you think about the results, a couple of things. Our operating are elevated in Q1 as we're onboarding the growth in the Medicare business that we spoke to, as well as IlliniCare and bringing that acquisition on. Recall, I spoke last year to some stranded costs related to the Aetna PDP divestiture. We're aggressively working that down as we go throughout the year. That said, I did highlight some of the pressure on the Medicaid MBR. That certainly is something we're working through. I'll let Alan provide some additional color on some of the specialty initiatives.
On the specialty side, Ann, we've expanded a program we call Specialty Expedite, which is a way to simplify the process of getting prescriptions started for both physicians and patients in short as a time. It's been very well accepted in the provider community. We've continued to refine Specialty Connect, our approach to allowing patients to pick up or drop off prescriptions, specialty prescriptions at retail is a very, very popular approach. Again, resonates very strongly in the provider community. We've really continued to drive our digital adoption and the ability to interact with our specialty members via text and secure messaging, which again creates just a tailwind for us as we work more closely with these patients.
Ann, it's Larry. Maybe just one final point. Keep in mind, when we talk about 19% Specialty growth, that now includes the Specialty business within Ingenio in those numbers as well.
Okay, thanks.
Our next question comes from Charles Rhyee of Cowen. Your line is open.
Yeah. Thanks for taking the questions. Just to follow up from an earlier question around, John, I think you were responding to Lisa's question around the experience you're seeing in the reopened states. Any more details you can give, like a breakdown between not just pharmacy, but also front end? Is it foot traffic that is accelerating? Talk about maybe how consumers are responding as they are going back to sort of a normal life as first. Just going back, I think earlier in the prepared remarks, talked about strong retention rate in the PBM business. Maybe talk about what new business activity looks like this year. Is it fair to think that with all the disruptions that employers are seeing, we should expect a lot less new business activity? Thank you.
Charles, this is John. I'll start. If you look at where most of the COVID positive cases are, we're seeing more of a significant sales impact, both in the front and the pharmacy than we see in other areas that are less impacted. As the shelter-in-place orders are lifted, we're turning back on our marketing programs of personalization. That is a big part of our sales-driving programs. We're also returning our hours of operation back to normal. As an example, 75% of our stores reduced their front store hours of operation, and it was about 12% of the hours of reduction. We'll return those back to normal as the communities open up. In pharmacy, we did less of an hours reduction, about 2%. Listen, it's still very early, but we are seeing some positive trends, as I said earlier.
In pharmacy, we're seeing less of an impact, and I think a lot of that is due to our home delivery program that Larry talked about in his remarks. I think the biggest headwind we're seeing now in pharmacy is really around new therapy starts. You've seen doctor visits are down, and as a result of that, we're seeing about 25% less or lower new therapy starts for April than we saw a year ago. This includes new maintenance prescriptions as well as prescriptions for acute events, and they typically grow about 7% each year. In certain drug classes, such as antibiotics, new starts are down 40%-50%. As physicians start seeing patients again, we expect this volume to normalize.
I'll jump in, Alan, on the new business question. I'll first talk about retention. As Eva mentioned, we're about 70%, a little over 70% of the way through our own book. We're at a 97%-98% retention rate, so we're very happy with that. With respect to new business, we'll talk more about that next quarter, but I will tell you that RFP activity is consistent with what we've seen over the last two years. We have not seen much of a slowdown. Obviously, I can't predict what's going to happen as we get towards the end of the year, but as of now, we're seeing roughly consistent what we've seen in the last two years.
Thank you.
Our next question comes from Ricky Goldwasser of Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.
Hi, good morning, everybody. Question is focused on your Medicaid comments around some of the higher cost. If we look forward, there was an article yesterday that talked about states that are starting to cut Medicaid rates. What are your thoughts about how prevalent that's going to be this year, next year, and the impact on margins? I think your long-term target at Investor Day was low single-digit to mid-single-digit. How should we think about the potential impact of rate cuts on that?
Hey, Ricky, it's Karen. Relative to your first question on the pressure we're seeing in Medicaid, there's really two factors. One is that we had a longer flu season that impacted Medicaid, and the second was really around some unusually high, high-cost claimants in the Medicaid business. Relative to the Medicaid business on a go-forward basis, it's a little early to tell. We are working very closely with our Medicaid states. We expect to see, obviously, improved enrollment in Medicaid as we continue to see unemployment increase over time. We haven't had any states come back and cut rates on us yet, but obviously we would manage our medical costs and our operating expenses to try to maintain those single margins as appropriate.
Ricky, it's Larry. One final point, as you look forward, I think that your question around Medicaid margins, it's really an open question at this point. If you go back and look at the stimulus activity out of Washington, now there's dialogue beginning on a stimulus four, and some of this could really be framed as a policy question that the stimulus to date has not addressed the issue of individual subsidies for COBRA, as an example. Acknowledging that there's going to be a relationship between what happens to the Medicaid rosters, assuming unemployment does increase to some number, versus what happens with COBRA if there are subsidies applied for individuals to enroll in COBRA. That's something that we'll be watching closely and having discussion around.
Just one follow-up on that. Do you have any view around what would be the risk profile if you're going to see that uptick in Medicaid enrollment? In past, you used to see sicker population actually signing up to the Medicaid benefit. Do you think that given what we're seeing in COVID and how it's impacting cross-section of the population, that you might have a different risk pool and maybe kind of like younger population signing up? Just wondering what your thoughts are on that.
Ricky, I think if we look at historical patterns when we've seen unemployment, you look back at 2008, 2009, when we saw increases in Medicaid as well. What we saw was a more healthy population come in. I would expect to see that as well because we've got commercial business, relatively speaking, healthy. I would think the risk profile would change somewhat and skew to a healthier group.
Our next question is from Justin Lake of Wolfe Research.
Thanks. Good morning. Couple things here. First, can you help us understand the $0.10 benefit that you discuss here in terms of how much benefit to the bottom line from incremental revenue that you can talk to us about? Thoughts on incremental costs from COVID in March that might have offset some of that benefit, and how we should think about the incremental costs from COVID going forward for the rest of the year. Just my follow-up would be that what was the benefit of the legal resolution in the quarter in the pharmacy business that you noted in the results? Thanks.
Hi, Justin. It's Eva. I'll take that question. I think if you look at the $0.10 benefit, we outline this on our slide 19, I would think about Q1. You could see the benefit really largely coming from the Retail segment as the other segments really had a pretty modest impact. There are some puts and takes. I think that as you think about the margins, the investments that we've made and that Larry outlined, a lot of those investments are largely going to hit in Q2, given the nature of those underlying investments. I would think about the benefit. There are some investments, but more generally in line with underlying margins as the other investments on compensation and what have you, and the additional protective gear has really ramped as you came toward the end of the quarter.
Going back to your other question on the Retail Long-Term Care segment, you could see year-over-year, we have favorability in our underlying cost. I'm not going to explicitly break out the legal matter. Year-over-year, we had some costs last year. We had some favorability this year. Net-net, it was a positive as you look at that outside growth.
Okay. Thanks for the call.
Our next question is from Michael Cherny of Bank of America.
Good morning. Thanks for all the details so far. I want to kind of summarize a few questions you had. Larry, you went through a lot of details early on some of the benefits you're seeing tied to the increase in telehealth, tied to some of the other dynamics on the ability to deliver at home. As you think about the pause you're taking on some of the longer-term investments, longer-term strategies, and particularly around HealthHUB, is there anything you're learning through this pandemic that can better educate you on how to think about the HealthHUB build-out, given that there are a lot of dynamics in place that would appear at this point to have people that want to stay away from the average traditional retail store versus coming into more?
Just balancing those dynamics with your approach towards having this incremental differentiated front-end healthcare service at a time where the entire world is rethinking how much time they want to spend outside their house.
Yeah, Michael, it's a great question. I touched on this a bit earlier, that what we're seeing, we see validating our strategy. We talked about some of the use cases that we're seeing play out, and whether it's home delivery, telemedicine, and I'll touch one that absolutely is in the community, and that's testing. Michael, when you think about, we call it our triad of care in the community, in the home, in the palm of your hand. Think about that as what we're defining here is omni-channel for health, and each one plays a role. As individuals, we'll need all three in terms of what we do, when we do it, and how we do it. Back to your question, the learnings and the experience that we're seeing, number one, it validates our strategy.
Number two, we're looking to further optimize what we're seeing to become part of an everyday routine. I'll speak to the role of testing in the community as being an important part of diagnostics that, yes, we're focused on COVID testing today, but there's a broader universe of diagnostics and monitoring that we see becoming an important part of our HealthHUB strategy. Look, we're evaluating all of the products and services roadmap. I'm sure you're going to see us accelerate some of the things that are on our drawing board as a result of what we're experiencing.
Got it. Thanks, Larry, so much.
Our next question is from Ralph Giacobbe of Citi.
Thanks. Good morning. Was hoping you could bifurcate the commercial risk membership decline between economic factors versus either a loss or just shift to ASO. How you're viewing the economic backdrop, specifically as it relates to the commercial market. Just to follow up to that, is there any greater appetite to get back into the exchanges in a bigger way at this point? Thanks.
Hi, Ralph, it's Karen. Relative to membership, we lost two very large public and labor cases, and they were fully insured cases, which is really reflecting the decrease in overall membership. On a year-over-year basis, as you know, we also have a decline, a small decline in small group. As you know, we've been pushing on small groups to move it from insured to ASO, and we continue to see those trends. Relative to the question on unemployment in the last six weeks, we do expect to see declines in the latter half of the year. We already are seeing some membership decline in April in our commercial book as a result of the economic downturn. However, we are seeing an increase in our Medicaid membership as well in April.
That's really what we're seeing, but we do expect, depending on how this plays out and the duration of this, that we'll continue to see decreases in our commercial book.
The exchanges?
I'm sorry. Oh, in the exchanges. As you know, we aren't in the exchanges today. It is something that we continue to evaluate, and we'll continue to look at it. We obviously won't be in in 2021.
Okay. Thank you.
Our next question is from George Hill of Deutsche Bank.
Yeah. Good morning, guys, and thanks for taking the question. I have two. First, for Eva, I'm wondering if you can unpack the PBM performance a little bit, maybe talk about the benefit of the improved purchasing economics, and the cost savings versus lapping Ingenio planning, and the negative impact of rebate guarantees. Then I guess a follow-up for Larry, strategically, I guess, how are you thinking about home delivery versus mail? You talked a little bit about the retail attachment rate. Walmart is launching a two-hour home delivery service. I guess, do you see this as an answer for CVS to challenge kind of the incursion of online into retail? Thank you.
George, I'll start with your question around the PBM. As you look at the first quarter growth, right? It's outsized relative to how we spoke about the full year prior to COVID. I think as you look at that in relation, right? The Q1 operating income growth is above what you would think about as a full year, given the specialty benefits that Alan spoke about earlier, disproportionately benefiting Q1 as we have the annualization of some generics, and the new sales initiatives that Alan spoke about. We also have some timing related to other accruals. At the core, though, specialty is performing very well. On the rebate headwind, I would say we continue to manage that and the shape of the curve that I've described numerous times, that 2019 was the peak.
It would come down in 2020 in diminution or be de minimis in 2021. That continues. That continues to be a benefit, as well as just cost management and benefit from integration synergies.
Then, George, on your home delivery question. George, think about the discussions we've been having probably for the last year in terms of how do we make sure we don't leave any white space for disruption. We started home delivery in a few markets, and I think it was last fall where we expanded it coast to coast. George, you think today about you can pick up your prescription inside the store, in most of our stores through the drive-through, in the mailbox, at the front door, or at the office. We're experimenting with UPS in terms of maybe on the lawn through a drone. It's who do you want to be in terms of what makes the most sense for you from a convenience and access point of view in any given point in time?
When you look at our integrated model, we can satisfy all avenues of access and convenience.
George, this is John. The only thing I would add to that is the reason our home delivery program was so successful as this pandemic took hold is we have 70% of our retail customers engaged digitally, so it was very easy for them to make that transition. I think that will help us as people decide how they want to get their prescriptions in the future.
Yeah. That's helpful. I have a bunch of follow-ups, but we'll take them offline. Thanks, guys.
All right. Thanks, George.
Thank you, George.
We'll take our next question from John Ransom of Raymond James.
Hey, good morning, everybody. I was wondering, and for Karen, what the medical loss ratio would've looked like in the first quarter without COVID?
The COVID had minimal impact on the quarter, so, you can look at that loss ratio, and it's minimal. It obviously will have a big impact in April as we're continuing to see big utilization drops.
Great. My follow-up is, when we look at the commercial marketplace, you're able to combine Aetna and the PBM in a single package. Do you think that we would see more, what I would call cross-subsidization, as you go to market, i.e., maybe using guaranteed rebates, or some other such thing, such that the margin in the two businesses is less and less relevant as you sell them as a single package?
When we do that today, we obviously will price the whole case, and we'll look at the whole case and price it to get a margin that we want to get on that total case. Not necessarily subsidizing one for the other. We look at the whole case and what we want to write it at.
Karen, just to add to that. We'll look at the value that can be generated across the enterprise as we move forward.
Yeah.
Great. Thank you.
Our next question is from Lance Wilkes of Bernstein.
Yeah. Good morning, again, thanks a lot for everything that the CVS team is doing out there in the community. Just wanted to talk on HealthHUB a little bit and wanted to focus on two particular aspects. One is, if you could talk a little bit about how telehealth is integrated in or how separate it is within the MinuteClinic and now the HealthHUB structures, and what your thoughts are going forward with that. I guess the follow-up is, given some of the instability in the physician practice, in urgent care environment today with the drop-off in volumes, those are going to become much more significant acquisition targets going forward. Is acquisition an important part of how you're going to build out capabilities as you look at HealthHUB and maybe the expanded care delivery of retail?
Lance, this is John. I'll take telehealth and MinuteClinic. We have the capability to do telehealth in MinuteClinic in every state that we operate in. Larry spoke about the significant increase, I think it was 600% in telehealth visits. It's going to be an integral part of how we go to market moving forward. We just got some recent consumer research in that compares last year consumer sentiment to this year's consumer sentiment, and this is one example. Where would they prefer to get their flu vaccines? We saw a significant uptick in consumers that are interested in getting their flu vaccines in their local pharmacy as opposed to their doctor's office. It's a good example how MinuteClinic will be able to provide services like that, plus telehealth, and provide the convenience and choice that consumers are looking for.
Great. Just on how you're looking at maybe the opportunities that could present themselves with respect to the practices that are out there, and I guess a follow-up on the telehealth, are you actually having telehealth deployed using the MinuteClinic clinicians, or is it in a centralized format?
Yeah, Lance, we actually have both, where the telehealth is integrated with MinuteClinic as well as telehealth with physician is accessed through our digital applications. We talked about the percent increase. Aetna's seeing about 60,000 telehealth engagements on a daily basis, which is a dramatic increase as well. It's not just, one of the things we were looking at is it COVID related? The answer is no. We're seeing an increase in, I'll say, PCP utilization, as well as an increase in, let's call it behavioral health concerns and other type of specialist services. We do believe that it plays a complementary role to what we're doing with our HealthHUBs, and it brings us right back to community, home, and hand.
Great. Thanks.
All right. Leo, we've got time for two more questions, please.
Certainly. We'll take a question from A.J. Rice of Credit Suisse.
Hi, everyone. Glad to hear everyone's safe. I appreciate all the comments that were made about the economic impact on the health benefits business. I wonder if we could broaden it out. Obviously, it's been 10 years since the last economic downturn. How do you think the other businesses respond, and how are they maybe positioned differently today versus the last time we went into an economic downturn?
Yeah, A.J., it's Larry. A.J., look, it's probably premature and a difficult comparison because, to your point, a lot has changed over the last 10, 12 years, and there are still an awful lot of uncertainties as to where we're going to be in the latter part of this year. I will say the nature of our business is, to a degree, recession resistant.
I wouldn't describe us as recession-proof, and whether it's what you're looking at around the role of our retail asset, and you think about our strategy that we've talked a lot about, the Triad of Community, Home, and Hand, and the fact that as you think about the provision of healthcare in a more challenging economic environment, cost will become a bigger issue, and we believe that we have the assets and the capabilities when you think about the cost associated with care provision and the offerings that we have with our integrated model.
Larry, if I could just add, AJ, as you, looking back at the past, this is an unprecedented situation and so many unknowns. As Larry highlighted, we're a different business. We have a lot of diversified assets. Karen got some questions on Medicaid. In our PBM, we have a very large Medicaid. You heard in Larry's prepared remarks around the health services that we're offering and expanding and accelerating some of our diagnostic testing. There's a tremendous amount of moving pieces, and we're going to work to really drive the business forward in these challenging times.
Okay. Thanks a lot.
We'll take our final question from Steven Valiquette of Barclays.
Great. Thanks. Good morning, everyone. Hope everyone's staying safe. Hopefully, you can hear me okay. Just a quick follow-up question regarding those April prescription trends. I'm curious if there is any way from your analytics capabilities to determine how much of the slowdown in April is tied to the pull forward in March versus the reduction in physician visits. You mentioned that 30% reduction in utilization of an array of healthcare services in April. Are in-person physician visits in particular down in line with that 30%, or is it higher or lower from your view, just separate from telehealth, obviously?
Hi, Steven. Karen. I'll give you the pieces in April relative to utilization. We saw pharmacy about flat. We saw inpatient down over 30%. Outpatient was down about 25%. Our physicians were down almost 35%. All other, which would be our lab and our radiology and home health kinds of services, they were down about almost 50%. It just gives you sort of a broad array of the pieces that contributed to the 30% reduction in utilization.
Steve, this is John. We saw a lot of 30-90-day conversions in March in pharmacy. That did take some prescriptions out of the April pipeline. I would say when I talked about the new therapy starts being down, we think about it as being in line with physician visits. As physician offices start open and patients start coming back, we expect that volume to normalize.
Steve, the one thing that I do want to emphasize, because I'm proud of the work that we've done at CVS, and quite frankly, I'm proud of the work that our industry has done. The continuity of the pharmaceutical supply chain is not something that you've seen a lot in the news. Everyone has worked hard to make sure those with chronic disease are staying adherent to their medications and not compounding this problem that we have today with COVID with another problem that would just gridlock our healthcare system. It's really been a job well done in that regard. With that, let me just wrap up, and again, we're very pleased with our underlying business performance in the quarter.
We believe, as you've heard from the dialogue we've had in the Q&A, that our integrated innovation-driven healthcare model is proving to benefit participants across the healthcare system in these unprecedented times. It will continue to do so both through the crisis and well into the future. We remain focused on growing CVS as an integrated healthcare enterprise. We'll continue to invest for sustainable long-term growth. Thanks again for joining us this morning. Please stay safe and healthy. We'll talk to you soon.
This does conclude today's CVS Health First Quarter 2020 earnings call and webcast. Please disconnect your line at this time, and have a wonderful day.