Energizer Holdings, Inc. (ENR)
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Earnings Call: Q1 2023

Feb 6, 2023

Operator

Good morning. My name is Chad, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Energizer's first quarter fiscal year 2023 conference call. All participants will be in listen only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a Q&A session. To ask a question, you may press star, then one on your touchtone phone. To withdraw your question, please press star, then 2. As a reminder, this call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Jon Poldan, Vice President, Treasurer, and Investor Relations. You may begin your conference.

Jon Poldan
VP, Treasurer and Head of Investor Relations, Energizer

Good morning, and welcome to Energizer's first quarter fiscal 2023 conference call. Joining me today are Mark LaVigne, President and Chief Executive Officer, and John Drabik, Chief Financial Officer. A replay of this call will be available on the investor relations section of our website, energizerholdings.com. During the call, we will make forward-looking statements about the company's future business and financial performance, among other matters. These statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results to differ materially from these statements. We do not undertake to update these forward-looking statements. Other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these statements are included in reports we file with the SEC. We also refer in our presentation to non-GAAP financial measures.

A reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to comparable GAAP measures is shown in our press release issued earlier today, which is available on our website. Information concerning our categories and estimated market share discussed on this call relates to the categories where we compete and is based on Energizer's internal data from industry analysis, and estimates we believe to be reasonable. The battery category information includes both brick-and-mortar and e-commerce retail sales. Unless otherwise noted, all comments regarding the quarter and year pertain to Energizer's fiscal year, and all comparisons to prior year relate to the same period in fiscal 2022. With that, I would like to turn the call over to Mark.

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

Good morning, everyone. Before we talk about the results of the quarter, I want to introduce Jon Poldan, who has been with the organization for 13 years. He is Energizer's Vice President and Treasurer. He will lead our investor relations efforts going forward. On to the results. Our fiscal year is off to a strong start. During our call last November, we highlighted how the restoration of margins, free cash flow generation, and debt reduction were key focus areas as we commenced the new fiscal year. Our first quarter results demonstrate significant progress across all of these areas. Let me walk through how we've been able to get off to this great start. It all starts with our categories. In batteries, the category remains resilient despite the economic environment, as it is an essential category for consumers.

On a three-year stack, U.S. category value is up over 20% in the 13 weeks ended November, with volume up over 4% during the same period. In the quarter, global category value was up almost 6%, with volumes down roughly 3%. Consumers prefer our brand, with Energizer outpacing the category. Our value share was up 1.2 points globally versus prior year, behind a strong performance in the U.S. Now turning to Auto Care. Category leading indicators remain strong, and each of our four subcategories has experienced double-digit value growth since pre-pandemic levels. Year-over-year, the category value grew over 3%, with the benefit of pricing more than offsetting volume impact.

While this is the smallest quarter of the year for Auto Care, both Armor All and STP grew share, including in the important appearance subcategory, which represents nearly half of our total Auto Care portfolio. As John will explain in a moment, our first quarter sales did not track with syndicated data across our categories. We mentioned last quarter that retailers entered the quarter with slightly elevated inventory levels, particularly in batteries, which partially contributed to that disconnect. As the quarter progressed, retailers also began to more aggressively manage inventory levels despite the strong consumer demand. After a strong holiday season, many of our customers were either below or at the low end of their historical inventory levels. While this impacted our net sales in the quarter, the strength of our categories, our performance at shelf, and lower retail inventory gives us the confidence in delivering our full year outlook.

Against the backdrop of those strong category fundamentals, our focus on restoring gross margins has begun to pay dividends. First, let's cover pricing. As we discussed in previous quarters, we have taken multiple rounds of broad-based pricing across both battery and Auto Care to offset the inflationary headwinds we were experiencing. We expect to continue to benefit from favorable cons in the first two quarters of the fiscal year. Looking ahead, any additional pricing actions are expected to be more targeted in nature. In addition to pricing, savings from the initiatives under Project Momentum have driven gross margin improvement year-over-year as benefits from re-engineering our products, consolidating suppliers, and improving labor efficiency are beginning to flow through. The Auto Care business has been a point of emphasis as gross margins were impacted significantly by inflation and is one where we are already making great progress.

Our considered efforts around pricing, combined with the benefits of Project Momentum, contributed to a significant improvement in segment profit in the quarter. Project Momentum is not just improving gross margins, it is also driving much improved working capital efficiency, which John will provide more detail on later in the call. The combination of our expanded margins and leaner balance sheet helped to generate over $150 million of free cash flow in the quarter, which we used to pay down over $100 million of debt in the first four months of the year. As we look ahead, debt paydown continues to be our primary capital allocation priority. Now, let me turn the call over to John to provide additional details about our financial performance.

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

Thanks, Mark. Good morning, everyone. I will provide a more detailed summary of the quarter, an update on Project Momentum, and some additional color on our outlook for the remainder of the year. For the quarter, reported net sales were down 9.6%, with organic revenue down 5.4%. Our initial outlook for the quarter was for low single-digit organic declines due to lower current year volumes in response to pricing actions over the last year, the exit of lower-margin battery business, and slightly elevated retail inventory levels entering the quarter. While our categories performed in line or better than our original expectations, retailer inventory management across both battery and Auto Care businesses at the end of the quarter created additional headwinds of 300 basis points-400 basis points.

The volume declines in the quarter were partially offset by roughly 950 basis points of pricing. Adjusted gross margin increased 150 basis points to 39%, driven by pricing actions, savings generated from Project Momentum, and the benefit of exiting that lower-margin battery business in the quarter. While the cost environment has stabilized, we continue to see elevated operating costs, including material and ocean freight costs and unfavorable currency impacts versus the prior year quarter. Adjusted SG&A increased two and a half million dollars, primarily driven by higher stock compensation amortization, factoring fees tied to rising interest rates, and depreciation expense related to our digital transformation initiatives. The increases were partially offset by Project Momentum savings and favorable currency impacts. A&P as a percent of sales was 7%, up from 6.1% in the prior year.

The increase was driven by planned brand support and shifting spend from Q4 of the prior year to Q1 of this year to better align with the holiday season. Interest expense increased $5.9 million year-over-year, due mainly to rising interest rates, partially offset by lower average debt outstanding. We delivered Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted earnings per share of $145.6 million and $0.72 per share, respectively. On a currency neutral basis, Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted earnings per share were $155.6 million and $0.83 per share, respectively. We also generated over $152 million of free cash flow in the quarter, nearly double our long-term algorithm of 10%-12% of net sales.

We achieved these excellent results by combining strong operating earnings with a nearly 250 basis point improvement in working capital as a % of net sales since the start of the year. In the quarter, we paid down over $50 million of debt through a combination of term loan retirement and open market bond repurchases. Our strong cash flows also enabled us to pay down another $53 million of the term loan in January. Including this payment, we have paid down over $100 million of debt in the first four months of the fiscal year and over $170 million in the previous five months. Our debt capital structure remains in great shape with a weighted average cost of debt of around 4.75 and 87% fixed with no meaningful maturities until 2027.

Project Momentum is also off to a solid start in the quarter with savings of $7.3 million. Our plans are focused on generating savings through network optimization, strategic sourcing efforts, and SG&A savings enabled by our digital transformation. As previously mentioned, we expect the benefits of these efforts to impact each of our segments. The program is on track to deliver $80 million-$100 million in run rate savings, with roughly 80% of those benefits impacting gross margin and the remainder recognized throughout the rest of the P&L. We anticipate $30 million-$40 million of those savings will benefit our results in fiscal 2023. Working capital improvements are also off to a fast start, with Project Momentum generating over $20 million of improvement this quarter, bolstering our efforts across inventory, payables, and receivables management.

We continue to expect our initiatives to deliver over $100 million in working capital improvements over the life of the program, further supporting our free cash flow efforts. Finally, I would like to provide additional color on our outlook for our second quarter and the remainder of the year. We expect our top line in the second quarter to continue benefiting from pricing actions, partially offset by lower volumes, with organic growth in the low to mid-single digits. On a reported basis, we expect reported revenue of flat to low single digits. While our cost of goods will continue to reflect the negative impact of inventory previously built at higher total costs, our gross margin should benefit from both pricing actions and Project Momentum savings, with gross margins expected to improve by 150 basis points to 200 basis points from the prior year quarter.

We expect A&P as a % of sales to be consistent with investment levels in the prior year quarter and SG&A roughly flat on a $ basis. Interest expense is expected to be up $4 million-$5 million from the prior year, driven by higher interest rates and partially offset by lower average outstanding debt in the quarter. Finally, at current rates, we forecast currency headwinds to impact the quarter's pre-tax earnings by approximately $8 million-$10 million. We remain on track to deliver the full year as guided in November. Despite top-line softness in Q1, we still expect low single-digit organic net sales growth led by pricing and recovering category volumes as we progress throughout the year. Pricing, mix management and Project Momentum savings are expected to result in improved gross margins of 100 basis points-150 basis points year-over-year.

We've also seen a weakening of the US dollar relative to a number of our currency exposures, and now expect full year negative impacts of $50 million on the top line and $20 million on pre-tax earnings. Combined with continued cost management down the rest of the P&L, we are reaffirming our outlook for Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $585 million-$615 million and adjusted earnings per share of $3.00-$3.30, both of which represent in excess of 9% growth at the midpoint on a currency neutral basis. Now I'd like to turn the call back over to Mark for closing remarks.

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

Thanks, John. We delivered a strong first quarter. Project Momentum is already delivering savings, and we remain confident the program will achieve $80 million-$100 million in run rate savings and over $100 million in working capital improvements. Our ability to execute projects like Momentum and our digital transformation position Energizer to deliver for our customers and consumers while also delivering our financial algorithm and driving long term shareholder value. With that, I will open the call for questions.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the Q&A session. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. We ask that you please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. If you have additional questions, you may reenter the question queue. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. First question will be from Lauren Lieberman with Barclays. Please go ahead.

Lauren Lieberman
Managing Director, Barclays

Great, thanks. Good morning.

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

Good morning.

Lauren Lieberman
Managing Director, Barclays

Just first off, I mean something I've got. I've gotten a few times from people already this morning was just the question on FX being less of a headwind to the full year, but holding the year. Just and I have more interesting follow-ups, but just curious if you could comment on that decision on and, you know why, there wouldn't have been an improvement to the range given FX is less of a headwind?

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

Sure. Let me talk just specifically, Lauren, to the FX treatment. The currencies that moved the most for us were euro and pound. Those are also our largest hedge positions. Coming into the year, you know, we had a pretty significant offset when those were, you know, turned over in the last couple of months. The benefits that you're seeing on the top line aren't gonna flow through to the bottom line as much 'cause the hedge actually reverses. You know, as you know, we average into these positions, so it's gonna take a little while for some of those benefits to come through.

As we talked about, we're only getting, you know, $5 million-$7 million of benefit on the bottom line, incremental to, let me say, versus the downside that we expected originally. We're picking up only $5 million-$7 million. Not a significant change overall to our outlook for the year.

Lauren Lieberman
Managing Director, Barclays

Okay. All right, great. Another question I've gotten is just the gross margin, and this is during the call, just the gross margin commentary for 2Q is a bit, is almost like, let's call it half the expansion maybe of what at least I have in my model for second quarter. Just if there's anything timing related that's worth talking about on gross margin build. I know this quarter was, you know, was well ahead of expectations, wanted to know if you could comment on the 2Q outlook too.

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

Yeah. Well, 2Q I mean partially you get mix impact, so it's gonna be more auto than battery. It's also, you know, one of our smaller quarters. We expect to be 150-200 basis points better than last year. I think a lot of the improvement that we've been seeing will continue to flow into the second quarter. Then as we go throughout the year, we're still expecting 100 basis points-150 basis points of total improvement. We expect, you know, pretty good improvement in Q2 and then full year improvement to be in a pretty good place.

Lauren Lieberman
Managing Director, Barclays

Okay, great. Just any commentary on volume versus price. I know there were the inventory destocking and the exits, which you specified as well. Just reads on, you know, kind of, I guess, elasticity that you would effectively be seeing in market, how that's, you know, shaping up versus what you might have expected. I know market share performance is good, but how would you discuss elasticity? Thanks.

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

Yeah, Lauren, on that one, I think, you know, we're off to a really solid start for the year and largely in line with our expectations. I would say the one unanticipated development that we dealt with is how tightly retailers managed inventory as we worked our way through the holiday season. To your point on elasticity, I mean, the categories performed really well, you know, with batteries up almost 6% and Auto Care up 3%, and that was ahead of our expectations. Obviously at batteries we were able to gain share, so we're outperforming the category. I would say from elasticity standpoint, both are, you know, probably better than our historical analysis would have indicated. We feel like we're in a really strong position.

As John mentioned, we're trending ahead on margin with healthy free cash flow, and we're able to pay down debt. Off to a good start. We're 1 quarter in and recognize we're, you know, we haven't made the year yet, but, you know, certainly good enough for us to be able to reaffirm outlook and get off to the good start that we needed to.

Lauren Lieberman
Managing Director, Barclays

Okay. All right. Thanks so much. I'll pass it on.

Operator

The next question will be from Bill Chappell with Truist Securities. Please go ahead. Bill, your line is open. Perhaps you're muted on your end. Please proceed.

Bill Chappell
Managing Director, Truist Securities

Can you hear me?

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

There we go.

Bill Chappell
Managing Director, Truist Securities

There you go. Thanks. Good morning. Hey, just, trying to understand the inventory reductions at retail during the quarter. I guess, is the plan that for the rest. I mean, did you expect that when you were giving guidance in November? This is all kind of in line with expectations. Was that a surprise by how deep they went, and you're just taking out some of the cushion that you had baked into the year? Or do you expect to kind of make up with battery sales kinda in the off-season?

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

Bill, I think there's a couple different things in your question, and maybe John and I will tag team them separately. I think the first part of your question, you know, we expected, you know, low single-digit declines coming into the quarter. You know, we ended up in mid-single-digit decline. That is entirely related to a change in the way retailers dealt with inventory in October, November, December, most prominently in December as we got towards the end of the holiday season. Really, you know, the low single-digit decline, the mid-single-digit decline is entirely explained by the way retailers dealt with inventory. I would say we are starting to see that revert. I think, you know, the way we said it in the call was there's some retailers that are well below historical averages.

For those retailers that were on the more extreme side of that, as soon as we got into January, we started to see that reverse and start to get back to, but closer to normalized levels. In terms of the retailers that really just trended down to the low end of their historical range, it wasn't as an abrupt change, but we expect that over the course of the year for them to work back to where they've been on a more normalized basis. We are assuming that. We're already seeing it in some cases, but we certainly did see a different we saw a change, particularly as we got into December.

I also think as part of your question, there's a difference between what's in scanner data versus in our results. I think John can decompose that and walk you through the different pieces of that, 'cause that's related, but a little bit different.

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

Right. Yeah, obviously, a lot of the changes are what were in our outlook, there was a little bit of incremental. What was in our outlook and what was the difference between the scanner that we saw in the quarter and our actual reported results, lower current year volumes, universal pricing actions that was in our outlook. The shift in holiday orders, that definitely had an impact. We had talked about, you know, exiting some of this low margin battery business, part of our margin management group. And I think it was the right move to make, and it was definitely accretive to our margins, that did have an impact on the top line.

I think a little bit more what we also saw, you saw track channels perform very strong. Non-track channels were actually lower than that. That was a drag as well on our top line.

Bill Chappell
Managing Director, Truist Securities

Got it. Just to follow up on Auto Care, just kind of your expectations for the upcoming season, I mean, with the understanding of in the four or five years you've owned this business, it never seems to have been a normal year. Either we've had weather or we've had COVID or we've had weather and COVID. Just, you know, what is a normal... I mean, do we expect a normal year? Do we expect easy comps? How, how are you looking at it this year?

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

From the overall year, we expect organic growth, we're expecting organic growth in both Auto Care and batteries, in which is built into the outlook that we provided. You're right, every year plays out a little bit differently than the previous year and certainly than as expected. When we go into the year, you know, you've followed us long enough to remember when, you know, there's been a particularly bad weather year for A/C Pro. We model what we would consider to be sort of normalized demand. It's not an extreme heat, it's not extreme cold. We moderate in terms of what the expectations are in that organic growth call. We do expect volumes to be down, that's consistent with batteries.

As you work our way through the fiscal year, pricing's really gonna carry the day from an organic growth standpoint. Volume's gonna pick up as you progress through. By the time you get to sort of Q4, you're gonna be at flat volumes. Then you're gonna move forward on kind of a normalized category basis, from that point forward.

Bill Chappell
Managing Director, Truist Securities

Got it. Thanks so much.

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

Thanks, Bill.

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

Thanks, Bill.

Operator

The next question is from Jason English, from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Jason English
Managing Director of Equity Research, Goldman Sachs

Hey, good morning, folks.

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

Good morning, Jason.

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

Morning.

Jason English
Managing Director of Equity Research, Goldman Sachs

A couple quick questions. first, I don't understand this timing on holiday orders. Can you provide a little more detail on that?

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

If you recall, Jason, in Q4, we talked about, we were going into the holiday season, slightly elevated inventory levels. There was a pull forward of some orders into Q4 from Q1. We noted that on the previous call. That was at least part, and that was a known item as we provided outlook for the low single-digit decline in Q1. The incremental piece to that as it related to retailers was the inventory destocking that went on as we got into December. They were separate in terms of, what caused the impact on our P&L.

Jason English
Managing Director of Equity Research, Goldman Sachs

Yeah. Yeah. I got that. Okay. Then looking at your gross margin bridge, this is a lot of volume decline, yet you're not calling it out as a drag on gross margin. Why are you not seeing more substantial deleverage there?

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

You know, look, I think we're attacking costs across the board. You've seen, you know, Project Momentum is really going after a lot of that. We have seen some impact, but we've, you know, we had that also last year, so it's flowed through into this year. I think we're in a pretty good spot overall.

Jason English
Managing Director of Equity Research, Goldman Sachs

Okay. gents, it sounds like you're looking for your categories to firm volumetrically as the year progresses. You came in highlighting how consumption level from both the value and volume perspective are still above pre-COVID levels.

Why wouldn't we expect a continued reset lower? In other words, why shouldn't we expect volumes to remain a headwind for much longer than your guidance suggests?

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

Well, I think we're seeing the categories perform in a really healthy way, Jason. You know, we've had negative volume trends as we did in this quarter. We just expect them to moderate as we get through the quarters. I mean, one, you're gonna see pricing settle into the market. You know, last year was a very active year from a pricing standpoint. That obviously has an impact on consumer behavior. You have the general macro trends that's impacting consumer behavior. Really, I think at the end of the day, batteries in particular are an essential category to consumers. They continue to shop the category and, you know, it showed those healthy trends as we got through holiday and we expect.

Also as you get through the year, Jason, you're gonna have, you know, mitigating impacts of the COVID comps as you work your way through this fiscal year, because at this time last year, we were still having a little bit of elevated demand from COVID, not to mention, you know, some of the overall category dynamics.

Jason English
Managing Director of Equity Research, Goldman Sachs

Okay. Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question will be from Nik Modi with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Nik Modi
Managing Director, RBC Capital Markets

Yeah, thank you. Good morning, everyone. I was hoping you can comment on inventories, but not necessarily battery inventories. I'm more worried about end market demand and inventory levels, you know, for what batteries go into. I'm just curious on kinda how you guys think about that. Have you kind of thought about that in terms of the guide and, you know, would that present any potential risk down the road?

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

Are you talking in terms of the consumer inventory levels, Nik?

Nik Modi
Managing Director, RBC Capital Markets

Yeah, no, I'm talking more about, you know, end market demand for controllers and, you know, TV remotes and things like that because, you know, the retailers are obviously skinning down on inventories across the board, but I feel like there's still a lot more that they might hold back on as it relates to some of those more discretionary items. That's kind of where the question's coming from. It's not pantry inventory, it's more retailer inventories of things that batteries go into.

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

Understood. Well, I do, I do think, Nik, in terms of as you worked your way through the pandemic, you saw a great deal of pull forward of consumers purchasing devices as they were stuck at home during the pandemic, and gaming controllers were certainly one of them. You know, when consumers buy devices, the great thing is that just expands the installed base that they have in their home. Sixty percent of the devices that consumers have in their homes take primary batteries. Those devices are still there. What's really gonna drive our consumption is gonna be the usage of those devices. There is an ample installed base of devices already existing within consumer homes to more than drive our categories.

What we want to make sure is, you know, one, as, you know, devices consistently, they'll roll off in terms of usage or, you know, some devices convert into battery on board, but you see new devices come online. I would say that, you know, what we're seeing in new devices is roughly the same % of those devices take primary batteries. There's a constant replenishment in consumers' homes for batteries. Then, you know, as they engage with those devices, as they utilize them more, then the change-out frequency increases and they consume more batteries. The consumption of batteries per household is still up. We would expect that to continue. We just would expect the growth to moderate. I think we said a number of times the category is larger coming out of the pandemic.

From a growth rate standpoint, it will revert back to where it was pre-pandemic but off of a larger base. I would say from a device universe standpoint, from an installed base standpoint, category is as healthy as it's been in a long time.

Nik Modi
Managing Director, RBC Capital Markets

Very helpful. Thank you. I'll pass it on.

Operator

Thank you. The next question will be from Andrea Teixeira with JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

Andrea Teixeira
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. I have a clarification question on the inventory following up on the non-track channels on the performance that you called out. Was it mostly on the sellout basis or an inventory drawdown at your largest e-commerce partner? If that's so, is that mostly normalized at this point? Another question on distribution. You gained a lot of share during COVID, do you see any potential changes to that? You are lapping, understanding you're probably lapping a lot of that this year. Wonder if what's happening there from a distribution standpoint. Thank you.

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

Andrea, on the first point, it was a lot mostly sellout, but probably both impacted the performance there.

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

On the distribution side, you're right. I mean, we did gain a lot of distribution during the pandemic. We've had a very long run of share gains, particularly in the U.S. Any distribution gains or losses is built into the outlook we provided. You know, I think we've mentioned a number of times, share is not the ultimate objective for us. I think if, you know, from a share standpoint, if we were to have share moderate or if we were even to lose a little bit of share, but we were able to improve the financials of our business, that's an okay trade-off for us. It is not something that we're focused on in terms of preserving it. We're more focused on improving the financials and driving gross margin improvement.

you know, thus far, we've been able to hold share while doing that at the same time, which is a great place to be in.

Andrea Teixeira
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

No, that's fair. The other fine point on just on a clarification on a commentary of getting out of one of the I believe contracts. Is that something that we, if you can kind of parse out that or bridge that change in the quarter, if I understood it correctly, and then what's the impact for the next few quarters?

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

It was OEM business, so very low or no margin on the battery side. You really won't, you know, it won't be very visible to you other than in our financials.

Andrea Teixeira
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Right. Not on the top line.

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

It'll continue through sort of at that pace.

Andrea Teixeira
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay. All right. Thank you.

Operator

The next question will be from Kevin Grundy from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Kevin Grundy
Managing Director, Jefferies

Hey, good morning, everyone. Question on the guidance, and I'm just trying to sort of reconcile a bit the tone on the call versus the way the market is digesting your quarter today. It sounds like from your perspective, this is currency is a little bit better, but, you know, you're still, like, within the range. Are you toward the midpoint of the range? Are you toward the high point of the range? Is it currency got a little bit better, but the first quarter may be a little bit worse, so it kinda gets you squarely back to the midpoint of the range? I'm just trying to sort of understand, based on what you know and understanding the volatility of the environment, how you guys are just kinda digesting the quarter relative to the full year guidance.

I have a follow-up on the Nielsen data.

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

You know, Kevin, I'll probably risk repeating something I've said earlier, but I'll kind of kick it off, and then John can maybe get into specifics as, you know, we walk through the outlook. Certainly the, you know, the tone from our perspective is intended to be that we're off to a great start. I mean, categories are performing better than we anticipated through Q1. We did have the inventory issue with retailers that we're working our way through, and we're already starting to see that reverse as we get into Q2. Margins, you know, trended ahead of our plans with great work on pricing, but also the Project Momentum, which is off to a fast start. We've been able to really, you know, advance that program and have great line of sight to $80 million-$100 million of savings.

Working capital's, you know, off to a great start with $21 million, we're gonna have $100 million of improvement over the course of the program. You know, all of that, I think, gives us great confidence as we head into the rest of this year, it also lays the foundation for a great 2024 as well. I think we feel great about the start to the year. Certainly a lot of work to do. You know, the only unanticipated development, like I said, was in the retail inventory space, you know, we're working our way through that, you know, this quarter. John, anything on sort of specifics on the outlook?

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

Yeah. The only thing I'd add, Mark. Kevin, you hit on the FX. It's a slight benefit from what we originally had in our outlook. I'd also say if you look at the way we're calling gross margin for the full year, there's a little bit of headwinds going into the back half. And what we're seeing is some of our raw material costs are a little bit higher, as well as some of the energy surcharges that we're seeing. you know, we're still calling for 100-150 basis points up, but probably not as much push here as we had, you know, if it was just the FX and that's not a little bit of headwind.

Kevin Grundy
Managing Director, Jefferies

That's helpful. One follow-up, I would also agree with Lauren's point earlier. I think some of it around transactional FX is probably driving some of the disappointment. Setting that aside, just tying together some of the commentary around the Nielsen data and then the retailer commentary and destocking, should we expect now, given your commentary that you feel comfortable, it was sort of a seasonal sort of dynamic, that your U.S. business should start tracking much more closely to what we see in the Nielsen? 'Cause obviously the gap was very, very wide. I'm just trying to connect your commentary with you seem reasonably comfortable with where they are now.

Is that to say that investors should be relying much more closely, again, on sort of what we see in terms of retail takeaway in the Nielsen going forward? I'll pass it on. Thank you.

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

Yeah. Kevin, that's a great question. I mean, I think certainly as inventory levels would recover, you would expect, you know, Nielsen as well as our financial results to track more closely together. I caution a little bit 'cause there are other things which impact our business, you know, both positively and negatively at times, and one is the untracked channels that we've mentioned. The other piece is the international part of our business, which is frequently not captured in the, in that scanner data. I would say yes, as inventory levels sort of recover, that there will become a closer alignment. How closely remains to be seen, both given, you know, sort of the ordering patterns of the quarters, but then also the other untracked pieces of our business which impact the overall financials.

Kevin Grundy
Managing Director, Jefferies

Okay. Understood. Thanks for the time, guys. Good luck.

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

Thanks, Kevin.

Operator

The next question is from Robert Ottenstein with Evercore. Please go ahead.

Robert Ottenstein
Senior Managing Director, Evercore ISI

Great. Thank you very much. 2 follow-ups from the opening commentary. Can you give us maybe a little bit more color on the planned savings, what particular operations functions are involved? Maybe most importantly, are those savings gonna fall to the bottom line? Are they net of reinvestment in some of the systems improvements you're talking about? That's the first question. Then possibly related to that, I was just wondering if you could give us more detail, more specific detail on the working capital programs and other debt paydown programs and, you know, given everybody's desire, right, to manage working capital, what gives you the confidence that you're able to execute on them? Thank you.

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

There's a lot in there, Robert. Let me start to chip away at it, and then you can kind of direct us in places that maybe we didn't cover. I'll just sort of re-remind you and others on the call about the, you know, the overall details of the program. $80 million-$100 million by the end of 2024. Cost to implement the program is roughly 50% of savings. We achieved $7 million of savings already in Q1, $21 million working capital benefits already in Q1. We expect $30 million-$40 million of savings in fiscal 2023 from the program. It's gonna be split roughly 80% gross margin, 20% SG&A. Then the balance would be achieved into 2024.

The intention is certainly for that to drop to the bottom line. I wanna be careful in saying that, though, 'cause I don't wanna get ahead of ourselves and provide 2024 guidance prematurely. That's certainly the intention of the program is to claw back margins, improve earnings of the enterprise as we go through this program, and to be able to drive incremental earnings power as we get into 2024 and 2025. John, maybe in the working capital.

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

Yeah.

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

Kind of the details of that.

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

The only thing I'd add to that, Mark, is on the $30 million-$40 million that's gonna drop, that really is very much in gross margin. That's helping us drive those gross margin numbers this year and offsetting some of those, you know, inefficiencies that might come as some of those volumes came down to an earlier question. On the working capital, Robert, you know, we've, you know, really prioritized inventory and continue to do that even outside this program. Over the last quarter, you know, we've taken out close to $100 million of our working capital. We were able to go after inventory, AR and AP. It'll continue to be a high focus. I think you'll see some normalization as we go throughout this year.

This was a very good quarter for us. Obviously close to 20% free cash flows or percentage of sales is, you know, we're calling for more like 10%-12% for the full year, and I think that'll give us the opportunity to really fund, you know, Project Momentum in the back half of the year. Free cash flow is, you know, really a positive number for us this quarter, and we expect it to be, you know, really strong throughout the rest of the year. As far as debt paydown, still number one priority for us for capital allocation. As we talked about in the prepared remarks, we've paid, you know, almost $170 million over the last five months.

Something we'll continue to focus on as we go throughout the year.

Robert Ottenstein
Senior Managing Director, Evercore ISI

All right. Have you kinda disclosed and had approved your working capital objectives with your supply chain? All right? 'Cause there's 2 sides to every kinda transaction.

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

We understood, Robert. I mean, there's certainly a counterparty in some of these changes we're trying to drive through, but we have confidence in our ability. I mean, some of the things are just better internal work, working capital management, which, you know, are sort of unilateral actions we can take and have taken to implement. It's also working with your counterparties to improve your working capital, and we certainly have confidence in our ability to do that.

Robert Ottenstein
Senior Managing Director, Evercore ISI

Terrific. Thank you very much.

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

Thanks, Robert.

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

Thanks, Robert.

Operator

The next question is from William Reuter with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Speaker 15

Hi, this is Marianne for Bill. Thanks for taking our questions. First, I know you touched on some of the value share increases in the quarter, but are you seeing any signs of trade down to private label?

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

We are not. Private label, particularly in the battery category, is basically flat. You're seeing some increases in international markets, but, as of now, private label is, you know, just staying consistently flat in the reporting periods we've seen thus far.

Speaker 15

Got it. I know debt reduction is your primary focus, but is there any potential for M&A? If you could share your expectations for debt reduction for the year, if you have one.

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

I think with our stated priority of debt paydown, I mean, M&A would be on the sideline. I mean, I think it's very difficult to speak in absolutes with something like M&A, but with our stated priorities and, you know, our point of emphasis of paying down debt, M&A would certainly be a secondary consideration right now for the business.

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

We're looking to pay down around a half a turn from the beginning of the year, and that's both through debt paydown and earnings growth.

Speaker 15

Great. Thank you very much.

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

Thanks.

Operator

The next question is from Carla Casella from JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

Carla Casella
Managing Director, JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Hi. Thank you. Did you say which of the how much of the debt paydown was bonds versus term loan and, in each of the quarters that you did some buybacks?

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

Yeah. In the first quarter, it was about half and half bonds versus term loan, and then when we paid down, it was all term loan to start the second quarter.

Carla Casella
Managing Director, JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Okay, great. You mentioned about this quarter, there were some timing differences in the brand support. I'm wondering, as you go into spring, summer, and next holiday, is there any change in your cadence of brand support? Is that dictated by kind of what's going on with the retailer? Or is that something you can set months in advance, meaning was it a surprise change?

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

No, it wasn't a surprise. Last quarter, we had talked about shifting some of this into the holiday season. That's why you saw it higher. I think in general, you know, our biggest quarters are gonna be first quarter and third quarter because you've got the holiday for battery, and then you've got the summer for the Auto Care. You know, I would expect, you know, as we talked about 5% to 6% for the full year, but you're gonna spike in the first and the third quarter. You'll be the lowest in the second, and you'll be also lower in the fourth.

Carla Casella
Managing Director, JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Okay, great. Can you give a little more clarity? You mentioned about some costs. You made some comments on the costs when you called out material ocean freight. Can you just talk about any more color you can give there? Is it still inflationary? When we should see the costs come down and how much of that is because what you've locked in versus just where the markets are?

John Drabik
CFO, Energizer

We're about 75% locked for the year in our total cost positions, and that's inventory on hand and, you know, what we've already experienced. We're in pretty good shape, you know, for knowing what's coming down the, you know, down at us for the rest of the year. What we are seeing is a little bit of headwinds in some of these metals really on the battery side, so zinc, lithium. We're also seeing energy, which energy impacts our own plants as well as some of the conversion costs for those metals. All of that's a bit of a headwind for us as we're building this next round of inventory for the back half. We've seen, you know, ocean freight moderate.

We had kind of anticipated some of that in our outlook, so it's not a big upside to what we were originally calling, but it's still a positive. I did call some outperformance in the first quarter of warehousing and distribution, which was mostly in North America, and that also was a little bit lower than we had anticipated. A positive there.

Carla Casella
Managing Director, JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Okay, that's great. Thanks.

Operator

Again, if you have a question, please press star then one. The next question is from Hale Holden from Barclays. Please go ahead.

Hale Holden
Managing Director, Barclays Investment Bank

Good morning. I just had two quick ones. You called out in the script, negative headwinds from higher factoring rates, and I was wondering if you could sort of give us a sense of what that looked like and if it changes your view on whether factoring is an attractive source of cash.

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

Yeah. That's a good question. We called it out because that factoring goes through SG&A, and it is, you know, kind of variable rate. We are looking at whether, you know, we can optimize that. I think. To the extent that we use it might be less. We'll also look at, you know, We have multiple programs. We'll try to find the ones that are the best for us, but it is something that we're evaluating.

Hale Holden
Managing Director, Barclays Investment Bank

Great. The second question was, I was wondering if you could tell us, which bonds you bought back in the fourth quarter. I can wait for the queue if you need me to.

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

Let me follow up with you on that one. I can get you the details.

Hale Holden
Managing Director, Barclays Investment Bank

Great. Thank you very much.

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

Thanks, Hal.

Operator

The next question is from Brian McNamara from Canaccord Genuity. Please go ahead.

Brian McNamara
Managing Director, Canaccord Genuity

Hey, good morning, guys. Thanks for taking the question.

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

Good morning.

Brian McNamara
Managing Director, Canaccord Genuity

I hate to, you know, beat a dead horse on the inventory levels. You guys mentioned the stocking at retailers. I'm curious which business or channel inventory is in better shape at the moment, Auto Care or batteries? Secondly, I'd be curious your opinion of consumer inventories in terms of pantry loading or lack thereof in both businesses. Thank you.

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

We're happy to revisit this. Obviously, it's an important point. I think from a consumer standpoint, we continue to see consumers buying for immediate needs. We do not anticipate, nor are we seeing that pantries are loaded from a consumer standpoint. You know, they are migrating either to larger pack sizes or smaller pack sizes, depending upon the individual consumer. Value means something different to most consumers. In the overall research that we're seeing, we are seeing that, you know, a very high % of consumers are buying for immediate need. You know, retailer standpoint. You know, look, when you go through October, November, December, it's a critical quarter for batteries. You tend to see inventory levels shift quite a bit during that time period.

We are now entering peak season for Auto Care, so it'll be inventory builds as we work our way into the spring season, which, you know, Q2 and Q3 tend to be the big quarters for that business. I would say we're seeing a recovery on the battery side, which was the main impact that you saw in Q1. In Auto Care, we're also gonna see a recovery, but that's also just gonna be because you're heading into peak season.

Brian McNamara
Managing Director, Canaccord Genuity

Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mark LaVigne for any closing remarks.

Mark LaVigne
President and CEO, Energizer

Thanks once again for joining the call and ongoing interest in Energizer. Hope everyone has a great day.

Operator

Thank you, sir. The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

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