Good day and welcome to the ESCO Third Quarter 2018 conference call. Today's call is being recorded. With us today are Vic Richey, Chairman and CEO; Gary Muenster, our Vice President and CFO; and now, to present the forward-looking statement, I'd like to turn the call over to Kate Lowrey, Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you. Statements made during this call regarding the amounts and timing of 2018 and beyond: EPS, adjusted EPS, EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA; growth, profitability, sales, cash flow, orders; success of new products; success in completing additional acquisitions; benefits from recent acquisitions; DoD and commercial customer spending; and other statements which are not strictly historical, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the federal securities laws. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions, and actual results may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements due to risks and uncertainties that exist in the company's operations and business environment, including, but not limited to, the risk factors referenced in the company's press release issued today, which will be included as an exhibit to the company's Form 8-K to be filed.
We undertake no duty to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. In addition, during this call, the company may discuss some non-GAAP financial measures in describing the company's operating results. A reconciliation of these measures to their most comparable GAAP measures can be found in the press release issued today and found on the company's website at www.escotechnologies.com under the link Investor Relations. Now I'll turn the call over to Vic.
Thanks, Kate, and good afternoon. Gary will discuss financials in his commentary, but I'll set the tone today by noting that each of the three quarters here to date, we either beat EPS expectations or came in at the top end of our guidance, which gives me confidence that we'll wrap up the year in solid fashion. In addition to our earnings strength, I'm pleased to report that we're ahead of plan on cash flow and orders as well, and remain active in the M&A market. Now I'll turn it over to Gary for the details.
Thanks, Vic. As noted in the release, we did not call out any specific or unique one-time items impacting Q3 2018's operations, which means our GAAP and adjusted EPS are the same for the current quarter. I'm pleased to report that we again hit the top end of our previous guidance as our Q3 EPS came in better than expected across several financial metrics. As we've done all year, I will focus my commentary on adjusted EPS, adjusted EBITDA, as these are more relevant measures of our operating performance when compared to expectations and the prior year. Before I comment on the Q3 details, I'll recap a few data points that we communicated during previous earnings calls.
As you recall, at the start of the year and before anyone could estimate the impact of then-pending tax reform, we set our original financial goals on a GAAP EPS basis and included a discussion of our expected operating performance, including EBITDA and subsequently adjusted EBITDA, which was expected to increase meaningfully over prior year. Then, in our February release, we raised our GAAP guidance to $3.55-$3.65 per share and communicated our adjusted EPS as $2.65-$2.75 per share. We continue to support these ranges with our May guidance, and we are continuing to support these ranges today. We feel it's both prudent and conservative to maintain these expectations.
We also described the timing of several project-related items that were impacting the comparability of our first half compared to prior year's first half, and we discussed what was driving the increases in sales and earnings that resulted in our significant back half weighting this year. Hitting the top of our expectations for Q3 demonstrates that what we saw early in the year with our back half weighting is playing out as expected, which provides us with some support for the remainder of the year. Now, touching on a few of the financial highlights from Q3, again, we reported GAAP and adjusted EPS of $0.73, which hit the top end of our guidance and was driven by another strong quarter reported by our filtration segment as a whole and our commercial aerospace business in particular.
Within USG, Morgan Schaffer significantly outperformed earlier expectations and delivered an EBIT contribution north of 25%, and Vanguard continues to perform exceptionally well. Test and Technical packaging met their profit plans for the quarter. Looking at Q3 sales in total compared to prior year, sales increased $21 million or 12%, led by significant increases noted within Test, which is up 20%, commercial aerospace, up nearly 15%, and USG, up 32%, including the contributions from last year's M&A. Test sales were driven by a strong backlog conversion to sales, and the commercial aerospace sales increase was somewhat evenly distributed across Mayday, Crissair, and PTI. This helped mitigate the lower industrial and automotive sales at PTI that we described at the start of the year, along with lower space sales at VACCO resulting from project timing.
Our adjusted EBITDA increased by 27% in the quarter to $35.1 million, which in turn drove our EPS to the high end of our range. Also, well above expectations was our year-to-date cash flow from operating activities, which was $54 million or $63 million when you exclude pension contributions we made, which are intended to reduce our ongoing operating costs on the frozen plan. This cash flow allowed us to pay down debt and reinforced our view that our significant cash-generating capabilities over the balance of the year, as well as our existing credit capacity and available liquidity, have us well positioned to continue to execute on our M&A strategy.
Entered orders were $201 million in Q3, and coupled with the $388 million recorded in the first six months of the year, this brings our year-to-date order total to $589 million, reflecting a book-to-bill of 1.09 and increasing our June 30th backlog by $48 million or 13% from the start of the year. So, in closing, I feel that our current backlog and program delivery profile supports the outlook for the balance of the year, and when we get to the Q&A, I'll be happy to address any specific financial questions, and now I'll turn it back over to Vic.
Thanks, Gary. Continuing the theme from when we spoke last, I remain confident that all of our businesses are in a solid financial condition with solid growth opportunities and an ability to add and integrate future M&A opportunities. Gary and I just completed our July board meetings at each of our operating units. After being on site and seeing where we were positioned in our various end markets and understanding our growth opportunities, I continue to feel confident that we're well positioned to deliver our projected long-term growth objectives through both organic means and supplemented by targeted M&A. As you know, our original plan anticipated a very steep back half of the year, and now having wrapped up the first nine months as we have, and given the strength of our orders and backlog and project delivery schedules, we see a path to the finish line.
Currently, our recent acquisitions and clearly, our recent acquisitions in USG are making meaningful contributions this year, and for the most part, they're performing ahead of our acquisition plan, which we established when we acquired the companies. As Gary noticed, Morgan Schaffer and Vanguard are performing very well, and we continue to see additional sales opportunities from rationalizing our distribution channels and maximizing our sales efficiency across USG. In filtration, we expected a solid Q3 when we put our previous guidance out, and I'm really pleased to see us outperform on sales and margins and net orders. Filtration-served markets remain strong. VACCO and Westland are benefiting from the Virginia-class and Columbia-class subprograms, coupled with an increase in overall spending on U.S. Navy programs, as well as build rates that continue to accelerate.
PTI and Crissair are growing as commercial aerospace deliveries and overall OEM build rates continue to increase, and Mayday is expecting growth from manufacturing capacity increases and their entrance into the MRO market. Our technical packaging group's future continues to improve as a result of our scale, broader footprint, and leadership positions in several growth markets. In USG, we continue to see growth opportunities across the global platform, including hardware, software, and services. Our rep and distributor network rationalization and our recent cost reductions are showing meaningful results. Moving on to Test, we had a very strong quarter, evidenced by the 20% increase in sales over prior year, and we generally hit our Q3 profit margins by delivering a 13% EBIT margin.
We continue winning new business in Test across a wide range of end markets, including automotive-related antenna test facilities, electric vehicle motor testing chambers in China, and several large custom projects related to the developing 5G market. I continue to feel good about the growth opportunities we'll have across all of our businesses, and I see tangible avenues for additional growth in future years. Regarding M&A, the pipeline remains strong, and we continue exploring opportunities which would supplement the Filtration and Utility segments. Acquisitions remain a key component of our ability to meet our longer-term growth targets, and we have the balance sheet and management capacity to meet our goals while remaining disciplined in our approach. As we begin to look at next year, we will continue to focus on our growth initiatives, as well as continuing to look for cost reduction and margin enhancement opportunities across the company.
Our focus on the cost side is to leverage our asset base to improve our operating efficiency and, therefore, improve our margins, cash-generating capabilities, and our return on invested capital. So our focus remains constant to continue to improve our operational performance and to execute on our growth opportunities, both organically and through acquisitions, therefore enhancing shareholder value. I'll be glad to answer any questions you have.
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, if you have a question at this time, please press the star and then the 1 on your touchtone telephone. If your question has been answered and you wish to remove yourself from the queue, please press the pound key. To prevent any background noise, we ask you to please place your line on mute once your question has been stated. Our first question comes from the line of Sean Hannan of Needham & Company. Your line is now open.
Yes. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question here. First one I wanted to see if I could start with is now that we're entering the last quarter here for you folks, and I think that if I've sensed correctly, you've been seeing some pretty good consistency in general around how your business demand is materializing and really kind of hitting through in that conversion through the top line. So wanted at this point to get a little bit more of a perspective, not guidance, but early-stage viewpoints into how are you thinking about the continuity of the momentum you're seeing into 2019? How should we think about any changes or other viewpoints around your organic growth rates as we particularly apply to a 2019 scenario or any other thoughts that may supplement that, and particularly our modeling as outsiders? Thanks.
Sure. So we don't have our plan put together for 2019 yet, so I'll have to talk in pretty general terms. But certainly, we think that now that we've got some of these acquisitions incorporated, we've gone through some of the rationalization of the rep network and how we're going to market. We've made some changes there, and we think that we'll start to see some benefit of that in 2019. I mean, it's been pretty good so far. I mean, honestly, the integration effort's gone as well as could be expected, I would say, but it always takes some time to get the reps trained. And we had some rationalization of that where we had some that we parted ways with, some that we kept, and so we've had to do some retraining. I'm talking primarily on the USG side here.
So I think we'll get a little pickup from that next year as a result of having everybody in-house for a full year and people understanding the products and getting familiarity with selling those. Beyond that, I think we'll continue to see solid growth in the aviation market. Those are strong markets. I think the MRO work that we're doing at Mayday in Texas is starting to pick up. It's always a little harder start than you anticipate it's going to be, but we're really starting to see some traction there as well. So I'd say overall, as we go into next year, we'll see the type of growth that the end markets support, and that's probably kind of mid-single digits I would see. Hopefully, we'll get some kind of one-off projects, which we do from time to time, which will provide some additional growth to that as well.
But again, we're not quite to the end of the year yet, but we're in the process of pulling those plans together.
Okay. That's helpful, Vic. Thank you. And then you had touched on some of the efforts that have been continuing in terms of the integration, and as I specifically think about, say, a Vanguard or Morgan Schaffer and so forth, perhaps you or Gary, can you give us some viewpoints around as you made those acquisitions and thought about where can you influence margin production out of those businesses and either ultimately where you think you could get them to or the pace of being able to get there? Can you share some color on where do you feel that you stand, and has anything changed? Do you feel that maybe you might be able to squeeze out even better margin out of some of those acquired businesses, or maybe has the pace either been a little bit faster or slower? Some viewpoints around that would be great.
So let me answer that. What we've seen in Vanguard and Morgan Schaffer in particular are actually better than what we'd anticipated going into this. So I think that's really good. So I think the game there is really more of a volume game, and we've started to see some of that because, again, one advantage of being able to take a smaller business that were very successful businesses, but now they've got a much larger distribution network. And so we think the real benefit there is going to be able to accelerate the top line for those businesses because they're already pretty profitable. I mean, certainly, we're going to work together with those businesses. I think they bring a lot to the table. We bring a lot to the table, and we'll work together to see if we can't do some things differently there.
Also, with the addition, particularly of Morgan Schaffer, that allowed us not to do some development well, actually, with both of those businesses, to do some development, which we had planned to do in the out-year to kind of replicate some of those projects. So you have some kind of avoided cost there, and I'd say also just the ability to have the engineering teams work together will provide some efficiency there. Manta, I think we will be able to get those margins up some. Their margins aren't equivalent to what we're seeing of some of the other businesses in USG, and I think that's just a matter of helping them with the manufacturer efficiencies, as well as I think we'll be able to grow their top line as well.
Okay. And then last question here. A lot of times, I'll still really kind of look at a combined scenario of filtration and tech in terms of assessing some of the bookings you have here. But in general, that came through in the quarter really strongest, I think, in about two years. And so anything to incrementally read into that beyond how much may be relevant, say, for this next quarter? Obviously, it's a very seasonally strong quarter, but any more perspective around that would be great. Thanks so much, folks.
Right. Thank you.
Thanks, Sean. Well, I'll take that one just and then Vic can add some color around kind of the business, and I'll go through the numbers here. The nice part within filtration is all of our individual operating units had a positive book-to-bill, which obviously bodes well. So to Sean's question, there's not really any individually significant catalyst that drove that. We didn't book the next five years of Virginia-class, so there wasn't any extraordinary one-off items, so that's really a good positive. And the fact that it spread across the applications is really well. So if I had to pick one thing to call out, on the Airbus A350, they buy in instead of buying every month, they buy once or twice a year, 12 months in advance kind of thing. And the distributor restocking orders, they don't come in every month.
So I had to really dig down deep to pick out two things that had slightly above-average contributions. One is we had a little higher level of A350 orders, which will deliver over the next 12-18 months because they try to buy about a year ahead. The distributor stocking orders, which normally happen about this time of year, tended to be higher, and I think that's supported by the build rates that you see around that. It's not extraordinary, but it's really great from our side to see all five of those units getting an uptick in the quarter. Our hope is that we replicate that as we go forward, but a lot of that's just the general buying patterns of the customers that we're very pleased with.
Yeah. The only thing I would add is I don't think you can read too much into one quarter, just like with the sales. I mean, we always have project timing, whether it be entered orders or big projects. And particularly when you got kind of a big half in the second half of the year, you can have some projects that ship from third quarter to fourth quarter or vice versa. So I think, obviously, quarterly results are important, but I think we really have to look at our business kind of on a full-year basis.
Great. Thanks so much, folks.
Right.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Drew Lipke of Stephens. Your line is now open.
Yeah. Good afternoon. Thank you for taking the question.
Yes, sir.
Just first on or maybe to follow up on that last question in Filtration, can you talk about some of the trends that you're seeing in commercial aftermarket? I know many aftermarket exposed peers are posting pretty robust growth right now. Theoretically, I would think you would get a mixed benefit from there as well. So can you just talk about the trends that you're seeing there and maybe the visibility that you have as we look out over the next couple of quarters here in aftermarket?
I'd say the trends are good. The visibility's tough. I mean, because where we're kind of at on a tier two, tier three basis, we don't always get as much insight as we'd like to see in two quarters out. But I'd say the trends are good, particularly what we're seeing at Crissair, what we're seeing at Mayday. Those are kind of more quick-turn businesses, and so I'd say we're seeing a little more pickup there than maybe some of the other companies where they're very program-driven. But the OEM business does seem to be picking up and seems to be solid. We also have some of that PTI as well. If you kind of look at VACCO and at Westland, not as much, just because those are really kind of project-related businesses.
But where we have aftermarket, I'd say good trends, but not as good a visibility as we'd like to have. That's nothing new.
Yeah. Okay. With Embraer E2, I know that's an important platform for you. How do you think about the Boeing partnership? I mean, on the one hand, it greatly helps the sales outlook. On the other hand, Boeing's talking about supply chain synergies and cost reductions there. Just be curious to hear your thoughts on that partnership.
Yeah. I mean, I think it's too early to tell. I mean, it's such a big deal, and the devil's in the detail, as you say. I'd say we'd probably say from more positive than negative. I mean, there's always a lot of discussion about consolidation of suppliers and cost reduction, but those things take a lot of time. And sometimes they make a big difference. Sometimes they don't. But I'd say our early view is more positive than negative.
Okay. And then I apologize if I missed this earlier, but what's the proper tax rate we should be modeling either for the year or for the fourth quarter for implied and guidance?
Yeah. I'd say as you look at Q4, I'd put it somewhere in the range of 24%-26%. And we did get a positive impact in this quarter. And I'd say we have a, everybody says they got a great tax department, but I think ours pays for itself multiple times over. But I think after tax reform, there's some strategic things we're doing to lower that rate. It's $25 million operating costs, and I think we're doing a couple of good things, but those are one-time things that's not going to be replicated. So I'd say on a go-forward basis, pick the midpoint of that and say 25% would be the right way to think about it for Q4.
All right. That's helpful. Thanks, guys.
Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jon Tanwanteng of CJS Securities. Your line is now open.
Good morning, gentlemen, or evening. Thank you for taking my questions. Vic, Gary, I might have missed it in the beginning, but how does the M&A pipeline look over the next three to six months? Are there opportunities there, and where are you focusing, and are valuations reasonable?
Okay. We get a couple of them there. I'd say valuations are always tough. I think we work really hard to try to get businesses before they get into an auction. If they get into an auction, they get a little bit higher, but I think we still are pretty disciplined about that. Pipeline looks pretty solid. We've got a couple of things we're currently looking at and a number of things that we understand are coming to market in the not-too-distant future. The Farnborough Air Show was a couple of weeks ago, and of course, we had a good representation there, and we had an opportunity to speak with a lot of folks, investment bankers primarily, that were looking at bringing business to market.
This is always a little bit of a slow time just because it's summer, but we've got insight into a number of things that are either active right now or will be coming out after Labor Day. But yeah, I'd say it's pretty robust. And continuing with what I mentioned in my comments, I mean, our primary focus really is in the filtration business and in the USG space.
Got it. Thanks. From a longer-term perspective, how do you think of inorganic growth over the next three years as part of your growth strategy? Are you where you want to be from a portfolio standpoint, or do you want to be more concentrated or broader in any of your businesses to hit those targets?
I'd say all the businesses right now are good, solid businesses. They have slightly different growth rates, but I'd say not dramatically. I mean, what we do see with some of our businesses is particularly with the test business, we may have a larger program that will come in that will accelerate the growth rate for a year or two. But I'd say those businesses are all in a decent spot. Organic growth's never as good as you'd like it to be. I mean, so that's something we spend a lot of time working on and interestingly. I've been having a discussion with our board last week, and I was the division president, so what we can do to accelerate that organic growth rate. I mean, we've obviously had some good opportunities with acquisitions.
We think we'll continue to do that, but obviously, you get a better return by having a strong organic growth rate, and we're focused on that.
So I wanted to add to that is on the inorganic side, because you kind of asked that question, do we plan an M&A growth rate perspective? I'd say back to the conversation on multiples, we obviously are prudent in how we look at ROIC and that sort of thing. As we look at deals, I'd ask you to kind of think of the reverse end of it as to debt. I don't see a situation here where Vic or the board or myself will be feeling comfortable levering up to 4x or 5x. That's not the deal. You're not going to see us buying a $500 million or $600 million company anytime soon because the inverse of that is the debt side of it.
I think what we've done in the past, picking off $20 million, $30 million, $40 million revenue companies, is what we're really good at. That doesn't mean if something comes on the market for $100 million, we won't go get it. I would say if you just kind of think of it in that perspective as you model out inorganic growth, it would not be awkward to add $25 million or $30 million a year over on the side of your model for M&A that kind of fits our sweet spot, if you will.
Great. That's helpful. Yep. Then finally, just, was there anything that pushed out of Q3 into Q4 from a project standpoint? If so, what was the size and impact?
Yeah. We had a little bit both at Doble and at Test Business that we thought was going to happen in the third quarter. They got it pushed through the fourth quarter. I just kind of alluded to that earlier. I mean, when you have some project-driven business, those things do fluctuate from quarter to quarter. Apparently, the customers don't pay as much attention to our quarter end as we do, so sometimes things can move around a bit.
Great. Thank you.
Thank you. As a reminder, ladies and gentlemen, if you have a question at this time, please press star one on your touch-tone telephone. Our next question comes from the line of Liam Burke of B. Riley FBR. Your line is now open.
Thank you. Good afternoon, Vic. Good afternoon, Gary.
Hey.
Vic, you mentioned well, the growth out of the USG business was 32%. You highlighted the strong performance of acquisitions. How was the organic growth contribution to the segment this quarter?
Yeah. I think, Liam, if you look at it in the mid- to high-single digits for this quarter, that'd be fair. So if you put it somewhere six to eight and here's just kind of a general reminder. We had Morgan Schaffer and NRG for half, essentially half of Q3 last time. And then so what happens is as you go forward, part of our strategy, as Vic mentioned, relative to the aggregation and the rationalization of the supply chain, what happens as time goes on is you start to lose a little bit of visibility into where the products are sourced relative to if a distributor is carrying a Vanguard or something like a Manta product here and there. We generally keep track of it, but you're going to start to see over time kind of a blended conversation as we go to market.
Our go-to-market strategy is kind of a one-co, if you will. So I think we still have visibility very clearly now because, again, we're tracking it for this first year. But I think as you get into Q4 and you get into 2019, that conversation gets a little more blurred because of, for instance, using the online monitor, and we buy a Morgan Schaffer dissolved gas analyzer that goes into our prime product. So who gets to record the sale for that kind of thing? So that's just one example of products that kind of change their name, if you will, as you go across. So it's a really long answer, but I just wanted to make sure that we reinforce the fact that our goal is to make USG look like USG as opposed to the individual components.
We will continue to share specific commentary with you folks until it becomes a little bit less relevant. But I'd say for now, if you thought of 6%-8%, it'd be a fair number, but then it's going to get a little muted going forward.
Okay. Still on USG, you had nice sequential order growth. You highlighted new products. Is there any particular market or business that saw a nice uptick in new product adoption?
I'd say the two biggest things that we're seeing a little pickup in is our DUC product, which we talked a good bit about historically, and then the inline systems that we're selling to customers. I mean, over time, as you know, most of the products we have kind of have to take transformer offline and do the task, put it back online. Ideally, utilities would like to have sensors inline all the time, measuring all the pieces of equipment. Obviously, that's a very expensive proposition, but we are seeing more and more adoption toward that. And so it is, and that's one reason we really were interested in buying Morgan Schaffer because that dissolved gas analysis is such an integral part of doing online analysis. So I would say those are the two areas where we've seen the most kind of new product growth, if you will.
In addition to that, we're continually working to upgrade the products that we currently have because technology changes. We have things that we've had in the field for 10+ years, and you just need to continually, in a business like that, upgrade those products. And so we have a good product roadmap to upgrade those core products while at the same time deploying new products like the online monitoring and the DUCe.
That's great. Thank you, Vic. Thank you, Gary.
Yeah. Thanks, Liam.
Thank you. I'm showing no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the call over to Mr. Vic Richey for closing remarks.
Okay. Well, thanks to everyone. I look forward to talking to you at the next call.
Thank you.