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Earnings Call: Q3 2019

Apr 29, 2019

Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to the Ethan Allen 2019 Fiscal Third Quarter Analyst Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask questions during this time, simply press star then one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press the pound key. Thank you. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Corey Whitely, Executive Vice President, Administration and Chief Financial Officer. Thank you. You may begin.

Corey Whitely
EVP of Administration and CFO, Ethan Allen

Thank you. Good afternoon, and welcome to Ethan Allen's Conference Call for our Third Quarter ended March 31st, 2019. This conference call is being recorded and webcast live on ethanallen.com, where you will also find our press release which contains supporting details, including reconciliations, GAAP information referred to in the release and on this call. As a reminder, our comments today will include forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially. Please refer to our SEC filings for a complete review of those risks. The company assumes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking matters discussed during this call. After I provide some brief details on the financial results, our Chairman and CEO, Farooq Kathwari, will provide updates on the business and on ongoing growth initiatives. We will open up the telephone lines for your questions.

During the third quarter, improved gross margin, cost containment within our expenses, and a lower effective tax rate helped drive a 233% increase in our diluted earnings per share, taking diluted EPS to $0.30, up from 0.09 in the prior year third quarter. Adjusted EPS increased to $0.31, up 182% from 0.11 per share. Consolidated net sales were $177.8 million, compared to $181.4 million. An increase of 1.5% for retail net sales was offset by a decrease of 8.9% for wholesale net sales. The lower wholesale net sales were primarily due to a reduction in sales to the North American retail network. The prior year quarter wholesale sales benefited from delayed shipments during the first half that were getting caught up during the third quarter. Contract sales were the source of strength during the current year quarter, while international sales weakened.

Consolidated international net sales for the quarter decreased 30.2%, primarily due to lower sales in China. Our retail division written orders reflected a 1.4% increase for the third quarter. Gross profit grew by $1.7 million in the current year third quarter, driven by a 200-basis point expansion in our gross margin. For the three months ended March 31st, 2019, gross margin was 55.3%, up from 53.3% a year ago, due to improved retail and wholesale gross margins, together with a change in the retail sales mix relative to total sales. Retail sales were 78.1% of consolidated sales, compared with 75.5% in the comparable prior year period. Operating income was $10.7 million or 6% of net sales, compared with $3.9 million or 2.1% of net sales in the prior year period.

Adjusted operating income was $11 million or 6.2% of net sales, compared with $4.4 million or 2.4% of net sales for the same prior year period. Significant growth in operating income was primarily due to a reduction in national television advertising costs and the benefit of higher gross profit. The effective income tax rate was 24.8% in the current year quarter, compared with 31.2% in the prior year, due to tax law changes from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. During the quarter, we paid $31.8 million of cash dividends, including a special dividend of $1 per share. Nine months year-to-date, total dividends paid of $41.9 million reflect a 73% increase compared to the comparable prior year period. Turning to the balance sheet, we ended the quarter with inventory of $164.6 million, cash and securities of $25.7 million, and 8 million of bank debt outstanding.

With that, I'll turn the call over to Farooq.

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

Thank you, Corey, and thank you all for participating in our third quarter conference call. I'm also pleased that we are also joined by Matt McNulty , who has joined us as the Vice President of Corporate Controller. John Bedford, who was in this position for many, many years, retired. The positive impact of our vertical integration and operating at more normalized advertising expenditures resulted in the strong earnings growth, as Corey just mentioned. Despite lower consolidated delivered sales of 2%, gross margins increased to 55.3% from 53.3%. Adjusted operating income increased by 150.6%, and adjusted earnings per share increased by 181.8%. We have continued to return cash to stockholders. As Corey mentioned, our cash dividends of $31.8 million were paid during the quarter, 130% increase over last year.

As mentioned in our press release, we continue to strengthen our vertically integrated enterprise with many strategic initiatives, including investing in talent, introducing relevant new products, repositioning our retail and our manufacturing and logistics network, investing in technology, and operating our enterprise in a socially responsible manner. On April 17th, we announced plans to further improve our vertically integrated operations with a number of initiatives, including converting our 550,000 sq ft case goods manufacturing plant in Old Fort, North Carolina, to a state-of-the-art distribution center and consolidating case goods manufacturing to our Vermont and other plants. Also announced addition of 80,000 sq ft to our 714,000 sq ft upholstery plants in Maiden, North Carolina, and moving our distribution operations from Passaic, New Jersey to North Carolina.

We expect to have consolidation costs of $7 million-8 million, 40% non-cash, invest about $5 million in Maiden, North Carolina in our upholstery operations, an additional about $3 million in conversion of the Old Fort, North Carolina location. We expect these changes to provide benefit to gross margins by $5 million-6 million during fiscal 2020, and beginning in fiscal 2021, after the completion of the initiatives, provide the opportunity for 100 basis point to 200 basis point improvements to gross margin. We have strengthened our talent by adding several leaders to our retail network and business development, continuing to develop the strong 1,500 professional interior design management and interior designers. We continue to strengthen our marketing initiatives with addition of relevant products and strong advertising initiatives. In June, we plan to introduce our new modern relaxed product programs and a very strong new consumer finance program.

We continue to position the design center network with relocations and renovations in both North America and internationally, while our business internationally was somewhat down, as Corey just mentioned, we continue to be very proactive in opening new design centers with our partners in China as well as Southeast Asia. We continue to focus on technology in all areas of our enterprise, including emphasis on customer experience. We have expanded our 3D digital capabilities and also implementing Salesforce CRM platform. During the quarter, we were impacted by low orders and shipments to China, as we have just mentioned. We have strong marketing programs and expect the orders to improve in this quarter. We are also pleased with the growth of the U.S. government and contract business. With this brief introduction, happy to open for any questions or comments.

Operator

At this time, I would like to remind everyone, in order to ask question, press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. Once again, to ask a question, please press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from the line of Bobby Griffin from Raymond James. Bobby, your line's now open.

Bobby Griffin
Analyst, Raymond James

Thank you. Good afternoon, Farooq and Corey. Thank you for taking my questions.

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

Yeah, thank you, Bobby. Good to have you on the call.

Bobby Griffin
Analyst, Raymond James

The first I wanted to talk on was just the written orders. I am just trying to connect the dots between the 1.4% for the quarter and then the 5% number that we were told through the first two months of the quarter. Can you help me understand what happened in March? And did the business slow down, or was there any timing impacts with shipments that impacted the 1.4% growth?

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

No. In March, the incoming written business was lower. That impacted it.

Bobby Griffin
Analyst, Raymond James

Was there any changes in marketing message or anything? Farooq, I guess in your high level view and opinion, what do you think drove the change in trajectory?

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

No, it's hard from month- to- month. I think that there is so many factors that people are concerned about what is taking place in the economy, what's taking place internationally, all the news. I think it was nothing particular. I would think that some of that business just went to April.

Bobby Griffin
Analyst, Raymond James

Okay. Did you see a bounce back in April? Can you give us any color on what April orders look like so far?

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

Well, still, you know, as you know, it's today and tomorrow, we should get about between 20% and 35% of the business is done the last two days of the month. We'll see. Really, I think that we've got strong programs in place, and I think that we should continue to grow our business as we move into this quarter.

Bobby Griffin
Analyst, Raymond James

Okay. Secondly, I want to talk on the retail segment, and maybe just a little farther out view on how or what the pathway is for that profitability in that segment. Is there some structural changes that need to be done there from a cost perspective, or is it just all sales growth driven aspect?

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

Well, you know, our business is sort of unique in the sense that you have to take a look at our overall margins, because our retail margins, our retail sales impact our wholesale margins. We have lots of programs into place, and we expect our retail business to grow, and that will have a positive impact on the retail profitability, and especially in the wholesale profitability.

If it were just only the retail business, the chances are some of the retail that we have, we may not have kept them, but they do have a positive impact on our wholesale. End of the day, I want both retail. I want all retail to make money, but our retail does provide an opportunity of improving margins at our wholesale level. If you take a look at, for instance, at operating margin of our wholesale, was what, Corey, about 10% for the quarter?

Corey Whitely
EVP of Administration and CFO, Ethan Allen

Yes. Actually, it was about 12%.

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

12% on the quarter, despite somewhat lower sales, delivered sales from the wholesale, we increased our gross margins. Part of that is, of course, efficiency, and also the impact of the retail is very positive on our wholesale. We've got to combine the two together. That's the nature of our business.

Bobby Griffin
Analyst, Raymond James

Okay. I guess lastly from me is just on advertising expense. You did mention you're now going to run at more normalized levels here in the third quarter. Is that something we can run forward in our model as we expect the introduction of Relax Modern coming on? Is there going to be any big uptick in advertising expense for that introduction?

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

No. You see, our advertising expense has run anywhere between 4% and 6%. I would say at this stage, between 4% and 6% is our normalized rate. In the last year, these two quarters were just extraordinary. We didn't get the benefit we thought we would.

Bobby Griffin
Analyst, Raymond James

Okay. I appreciate all the detail, and thank you again for answering my questions, and best of luck going forward.

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

All right. Thank you.

Operator

All right. Your next question comes from the line of Brad Thomas from KeyBanc Capital Markets. Brad, your line's now open.

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

Hello, Brad. How are you?

Brad Thomas
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Hi, Farooq. Good afternoon. I wanted to first ask about trends that you're seeing in China. Obviously, in your press release, you referenced some softer trends there. What are you seeing in that market, and what's your outlook there?

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

A number of factors impacted. First was-- that they had.. I mean Overall, business in China has been weak, in China, for our partner as well as others. Secondly, last year, they had purchased somewhat of an excess inventory, so they had to get out of that inventory. Third was this whole tariff situation did create issues. People were concerned about the fact of, as you know, how much the duties are going to be, and still are concerned to some degree. All those factors impacted us. Now as we move into our fourth quarter, things are somewhat stable in the sense that they're almost out of the excess inventory they had. There is less of a tension on the whole issue of these duties. They've been very aggressive. In fact, they just opened up, two months back, a major design center for us.

It's 15,000 sq ft in Wuhan, China. They're continuing to also develop some strong advertising and marketing programs as we move forward in the next two quarters. I would think that it would appear to me that the worst is over, and we are moving towards more positive direction.

Brad Thomas
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

That-- that's helpful. Within the wholesale segment, can you give us some more color on where the State Department came in terms of its contribution to 3Q, and how you're thinking about the trajectory of that business in your fourth quarter?

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

Right. We don't give the numbers, I would say that it is positive, both in terms of sales and also margins. As you know, last year, we were competing against a business that was in bankruptcy, and it really impacted our margins. We're back to normalized margins, and also the business is increasing. It's positive developments.

Brad Thomas
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Great. Just lastly from me, I guess as we think about the consumer backdrop, Farooq, a lot of questions about tax refunds and SALT taxes and such. I guess as you go back and look at your sales in your fiscal third quarter, do you think there was any particular noise or pressure that you experienced because of how tax rates have changed for your customers?

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

There is.. There is an impact, especially if you are living, let's say, in the well-to-do East Coast communities. There, people have been impacted with the fact that you can't deduct the taxes, and the real estate taxes are pretty high. We have seen some. Overall, I think that even though there is a lot of competitions out there, as you know. We have people selling a product at sort of pretty major discounts. I see overall, things are somewhat positive as we go into the fourth quarter.

Brad Thomas
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

That's helpful. Thank you so much, Farooq.

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

All right. Thank you.

Operator

Once again, if you would like to ask questions, simply press star, then number one on your telephone keypad. Your next question comes from the line of Jeremy Hamblin from Dougherty & Company . Jeremy, your line's now open.

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

Yeah. Hello, Jeremy.

Jeremy Hamblin
Analyst, Dougherty & Company

Hi. Thanks for taking the questions. I wanted to come back to the commentary on China for a second. You've seen pretty significant expansion of the number of retail centers that you have in that geography, I think from 88 a year ago, up to 102. Given your comments, that it's been sluggish for both you and your partner there, is there risk, is there concern that we potentially have a closure of the number of centers there? Can you give us a state of affairs in terms of how your third-party partner there is looking at the business going forward?

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

Well, we have seen them being very proactive, aggressive, and I would say they've also been. They've not slowed down, but on the other hand, they have been impacted by the slower consumer attitude, more competition over there. We have not seen any slowdown from them as yet. In fact, if anything, they're growing, and they are also making major renovations and, in fact, introducing our newer products in the next six months in somewhat of an aggressive manner. They have more competition, but so far, they're holding strong.

Jeremy Hamblin
Analyst, Dougherty & Company

Okay. I wanted to come back to another point that was made. You talked about your wholesale segment, which sales were down about $10 million in that segment year-over-year, but you saw a 500 basis point improvement in the operating margins. I don't know if that's entirely tied to allocation of advertising expense or I wanted to see if you could just walk us through that change in profitability dynamic, either you or Corey, just in how we're arriving at that 500 basis point higher op margin despite sales being down $10 million.

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

Yeah. I think Corey can add to it, but I would say it's a combination of lower advertising expenses and our manufacturing operating at more efficiently, including this question of the State Department, the government contract with higher margins. I would say it's a combination of the two factors that has resulted in this increase in gross margins. Right, Corey?

Corey Whitely
EVP of Administration and CFO, Ethan Allen

Yeah. That's primarily it. You had the advertising benefit that helped as well, but really it's our manufacturing efficiency and improved production efficiency.

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

Now, as you know, our objective, we are one of the few ones which are still manufacturing as much as manufacturing as we have in North America, especially in the United States. These changes that we have made will help us to increase our production in Vermont in case goods and continue to be very strong in upholstery in North Carolina, supported by our operation in Mexico. Our case goods is also supported by operations in Honduras. Keep in mind, we opened both those plants in the last 12 years, Honduras six years back, and Mexico about 12 or 13 years back. Those are very vibrant, but combination of our United States and the rest of these North American plants gives us a competitive advantage, and as we go forward, should further help our margins, operating margins, gross margins at the wholesale level.

Jeremy Hamblin
Analyst, Dougherty & Company

Okay. That's helpful. Your backlog looks like it's down about 12% in your retail segment. It's down 22% in your wholesale segment at the end of Q3. You had a pretty strong Q4 last year with total sales were up 5.5%. I wanted to just get a sense of, I know you don't provide quarter-to-quarter guidance, but with those kind of starting points on your backlog and lapping some pretty tough compares from last year, how should we be thinking about the June quarter? Is this kind of an assumption that sales will be down given that the starting points on your backlog as well as written orders that there wasn't significant growth in Q3?

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

Well, I think, Corey can also add to it, but I would just say there are two perspectives on this. In the last year, our delivered sales got benefit from the high backlogs we ended up in the third quarter due to a number of factors, including that we got a fair amount of State Department orders that we had, then we delivered those in the fourth quarter. Our consolidated deliveries last, I mean, shipped sales were $205 million. But when you take a look at last year on our written orders, our written orders in our retail division were down 10.8%. Our wholesale was down 5.9%. If you take a look at that, we have the opportunity. On one hand, yes, the delivery is a challenge. The written gives us an opportunity because last year it was soft.

Corey Whitely
EVP of Administration and CFO, Ethan Allen

With lower backlogs, we have the benefit now of being able to ship product much more timely this year without those high backlogs that we were fighting in the prior fiscal year.

Jeremy Hamblin
Analyst, Dougherty & Company

Okay.

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

I mean, we had higher sales, this time it's much more efficient.

Jeremy Hamblin
Analyst, Dougherty & Company

Understood. Last question from me. I noted that you did access some long-term debt for the first time in a while. My assumption is that maybe part of that was being used to fund the special dividend. It's not a significant amount, but I think just under $9 million. Wanted to just see if you can give some color on thinking about capital structure and use of debt going forward. Is that something where you feel comfortable with your cash flow, and you may access a little bit more debt to fund buybacks or other things? Any color that you might be able to provide on that would be helpful.

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

First is we wanted to please all our analysts by taking debt, because everybody says you folks have no debt. I hope the analysts are happy. Having said this, we gave, you know, what was it? Over $30 million of dividends. That was, we needed some cash in the short term to some degree to use our cash on hand and the debt. As we go forward, we're going to take a look at what makes good sense. I'm not interested, as you know, I've gone through all kinds of, we had a 90% debt, and we had all kinds of stuff. I've gone through all of those things, you know that. I don't mind taking debt. As we go forward, we'll continue to return money to the stockholders. In the past, we've done it in the repurchase of our company stock.

We spent over $600 million of stock we have purchased. And so when you take a look at this, as we go forward, we'll see whether we need to have some debt. I'm not going to have too much debt. I've gone through that period.

Jeremy Hamblin
Analyst, Dougherty & Company

Got you. Thanks for taking the questions. Good luck.

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

All right. Thanks.

Operator

Once again, if you would like to ask question, simply press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. Your next question comes from the line of Cristina Fernández from Telsey Advisory Group. Cristina, your line's now open.

Cristina Fernández
Analyst, Telsey Advisory Group

Good afternoon, Corey and Farooq. I have a couple of questions on the gross margin. To start on this quarter, how should we think about, of the 200 basis points improvement, just the natural sort of help from the mix between retail and wholesale versus sort of lapping those manufacturing inefficiencies you had last year, because it seems like that could have been sort of the biggest component of the benefit this year.

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

There was a number of factors. We did take a price increase last September, October, which also contributed to increase in gross margins. On the other hand, we are also giving even bigger savings. Yeah, we can have on one hand higher margin, but then we give it away on savings. We got to balance all of these factors. You got higher, we got a price increase, but then we have higher savings. We have better manufacturing margins. As you can see, our retail margins and wholesale margins both improved. The wholesale margins improved the gross margin level, and obviously it improved at the operating level because of this question of less advertising. As you go forward, it's hard to say, but I think the levels that you see is there's an opportunity of maintaining those levels.

Cristina Fernández
Analyst, Telsey Advisory Group

Then looking to fiscal year 2020 and beyond, with the planned consolidation you're doing, you quantify $5 million-6 million next year. Beyond that, another 120 basis points. Can you help us understand, is the initial part just cost savings, and what needs to happen to be able to capture that next leg, the 100 basis points to 120 basis points longer term from this specific plan consolidation you're doing?

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

Well, by producing, by increasing our volumes in Vermont, that has an opportunity of increasing our gross margins in Vermont. Second, it will also, to some degree, add products in our Honduras plant, which has higher margins. Thirdly, some of the product will be outsourced. That also increases margins. Those are three factors that will help us increase our gross margins at the wholesale level. That we see going forward.

Cristina Fernández
Analyst, Telsey Advisory Group

When should we expect this to start contributing next year?

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

Well, as we said in our press release, that we're going to have some benefits in our next fiscal year, and we'll continue. We should see some benefit next year because we will be consolidating this production. We're already doing it, into Vermont and to other plants. It'll also give us an opportunity of Certainly, there's some startup costs and things of that nature, but I think we should start seeing the benefit of it starting in next fiscal year.

Corey Whitely
EVP of Administration and CFO, Ethan Allen

Yeah. Mostly in the second half.

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

Of next fiscal year.

Corey Whitely
EVP of Administration and CFO, Ethan Allen

Yeah.

Cristina Fernández
Analyst, Telsey Advisory Group

Okay. Thank you. One last question on marketing. If my math is correct, I estimate about 3.5% of sales were spent on marketing this quarter. I think in prior calls you talked about 5% spend for the year. Is that still the target, or should that come in below that 5%?

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

No, we spent advertising this year, if you take, is about 4.1%. If you take a look at it, that's what we spent this third quarter. As we go forward, it's going to be between 4% and 5%.

Cristina Fernández
Analyst, Telsey Advisory Group

Okay. Thank you.

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

All right.

Operator

Once again, if you would like to ask a question, simply press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. At this time, there are no question on queue. Presenters, you may continue.

Farooq Kathwari
Chairman and CEO, Ethan Allen

All right. Well, thank you very much, and thanks everybody. Any questions, comments, anything else, please let us know. Thanks very much.

Operator

Thank you. That concludes today's conference. Thank you all for participating. You may now disconnect.