Greetings, and welcome to the Edwards Lifesciences First Quarter 2021 Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to our host, Mark Wilterding, Vice President of Investor Relations.
Thank you. You may begin.
Thank you, Diego. Good afternoon and thank you for joining us. With me on today's call are Mike Musalum, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer and Scott Ullum, Chief Financial Officer. Just after the close of regular trading, Edwards Lifesciences released Q1 2021 financial results. During today's call, management will discuss those Please note that management will be making forward looking statements are based on estimates, assumptions and projections.
These statements include, but aren't limited to, financial guidance and expectations for longer term growth opportunities, Regulatory approvals, clinical trials, litigation, reimbursement, competitive matters and foreign currency fluctuations. These statements speak only as of the date on which they were made, and Edwards does not undertake any obligation to update them after today. Additionally, the statements involve risks and uncertainties, including but not limited to, those associated with the pandemic that could cause actual results to differ materially. Information concerning factors that could cause these differences and important product safety information may be found in the press release, Our 2020 Annual Report on Form 10 ks and Edwards' other SEC filings, all of which are available on the company's website at edwards.com. Finally, a quick reminder that when using terms underlying and adjusted, management is referring to non GAAP financial measures.
Otherwise, they're referring to GAAP results. Reconciliations between GAAP and non GAAP numbers mentioned during this call are included in today's press release. With that, I'd like to
turn the call over to Mike for his comments. Mike? Thank you, Mark. As we anniversary our 1 year impact of the pandemic on our financial results, I'd like to briefly reflect on the current environment and to discuss our 2021 and longer term priorities as a company. I'd also like to touch on Edwards' response to the pandemic and our efforts to better support our patients, employees and the community.
Recall that our sales were dramatically impacted in the last few weeks of Q1 2020 as procedures fell due to COVID disruptions. 1 year later, after an extraordinarily difficult global crisis, I'm encouraged by the signs of recovery and although we recognize that many people are still struggling around the world. Our sales growth this quarter was better than expected across all product lines. Although we expect the pandemic will impact Global Healthcare System, based on the environment as we exited the quarter, we have continued confidence in our positive 2021 outlook. We continue to believe that 2021 will be an important growth year for Edwards with mid teensalesgrowth highlighting the importance of treating structural heart patients even during this pandemic.
We also anticipate meaningful progress on Expanding large underappreciated and underserved transcatheter opportunities in 2021. Recently, We achieved several important milestones. Let me mention 4. Just last week, in transcatheter aortic valve replacement or TAVR, We received approval to initiate a pivotal trial for patients suffering from moderate aortic stenosis. Also earlier this month, Therapies or TMTT, I'm pleased to announce that the first patients were recently treated with Evoque EOS, Our next generation transcatheter mitral replacement system.
Also in TMTT, we initiated the TRISEN-two U. S. Pivotal trial for transcatheter tricuspid replacement. Looking beyond 2021, we remain confident in our long term strategy and our pipeline of innovative therapies. Our patient focused culture drives us and motivates our employees around the world every day.
Our R and D targets breakthrough therapies that can create significant value for patients and health systems, enabling Strong organic sales growth and exceptional shareholder returns. Despite COVID disruptions, we've continued to invest aggressively For future growth. As a reminder, about a third of our research and development investments today are focused on generating A robust body of guideline changing clinical evidence. And although clinical studies slowed during the pandemic, Our dedicated clinician partners are eager to accelerate enrollment in this important research. Regulators have also been supported Then addressing the impact of the pandemic and its impact on clinical studies.
Finally, I want to provide some perspective on how we've maintained our During a time when widespread uncertainty impacted many families across the globe, we have prioritized protecting our employees and have grown our team. We enhanced employee benefits, rewarded performance and protected incentives. We also moved ahead on expanding Edwards' Search and production facilities around the world. We adjusted our agreements to support hospitals as they navigated COVID. And additionally, we provided extra support to the communities where our employees live and work.
In fact, we recently converted 1 of our As a company, we expect that Edwards will be positioned even stronger and be able to help more patients than ever before as the world emerges from the pandemic. Now turning to our Q1 results. We reported $1,200,000,000 in sales This quarter, up 5% on a constant currency basis from a year ago. Recall that our guidance assumed Q1 sales would be in line with the Q1 of last year, which was largely unaffected by COVID. We were pleased with how sales improved as the quarter progressed.
In TAVR, 1st quarter global sales were $792,000,000 Up 4% on an underlying basis. The SAPIEN 3 Ultra platform remains differentiated with low complication rates, ease of use And significant potential for length of stay efficiency. Our average selling prices were stable and we estimated that global TAVR procedure growth was comparable with our growth. In the U. S, our Q1 TAVR sales were flat with 4th quarter and year ago results, and we estimate that overall U.
S. Procedure growth was comparable. Consistent with our guidance on the Q4 earnings call in late January, COVID stressed the global healthcare system during the winter months. We are encouraged, however, that U. S.
TAVR procedures grew as COVID hospitalizations decreased and vaccinations increased during the quarter. Small and medium sized centers played a valuable role in serving patients during the quarter. We continued to activate new centers this quarter as we have been throughout the pandemic. This demonstrates the clear interest of many smaller centers to provide state of the art care for structural heart patients. Outside the U.
S, in the Q1, we estimated TAVR procedures grew in the low double digits on a year over year basis and Edwards' growth was comparable. Although we are off to a strong start, the slow vaccination progress outside the U. S. Provides uncertainty for the remainder of the year. Edwards' underlying TAVR growth in Europe versus the prior year was in the mid single digit range.
Edward's growth in countries with lower TAVR adoption rates outpaced countries where the therapy is more established. Although TAVR centers were more prepared to treat patients, patient flow was disrupted due to regional lockdowns and uncertainty among patients about the urgency of their disease. Sales growth in Japan and other countries was strong As aortic stenosis remains an immensely undertreated disease and we remain focused on increasing the availability of TAVR therapy. As previously noted, we received approval earlier this month in Japan for SAPIEN 3 in patients at low surgical risk. We anticipate increased treatment rates when reimbursement is approved later this year.
In addition to geographic expansion of our TAVR therapies, We remain dedicated to pursuing indication expansions. Our groundbreaking early TAVR trial is focused on patients who have severe aortic stenosis, But without recognized symptoms and who do not meet the current guidelines for valve replacement, we expect enrollment to increase As we and participating sites are motivated to complete enrollment of the trial this year. I'm also pleased to report That we received FDA approval for a pivotal trial for TAVR in moderate AS patients as we expect enrollment to begin later this year. Based on recent trials, we're learning what was once thought of as a benign precursor to severe aortic stenosis may actually be associated with higher rates of morbidity and mortality than previously recognized. Thus, we believe TAVR may be a future treatment option for these patients.
Separately, last week we received SAPIEN 3 CE Mark approval to begin treating patients with A previously repaired or replaced valve in the pulmonic position. Looking ahead to the upcoming virtual uropicr meeting Next month, we expect long term follow-up data from our European registry on SAPIEN-three as well as a late breaking clinical trial results on low risk bicuspid patients. In summary, based on the strength we saw at the end of the Q1, We have confidence that the underlying TAVR sales will grow in the 15% to 20% range in 2021. We remain confident that this large global opportunity will exceed $7,000,000,000 by 2024, which implies a compounded annual growth rate in the low double digits. Turning to TMTT, we're enrolling 5 pivotal trials across our differentiated portfolio of technologies to support patients suffering from tricuspid and mitral valve disorders.
This quarter, we progressed with the enrollment of our 3 CLASP pivotal trials for PASCAL. We continue to expect approval We've also begun treating patients with EVOKE TR in the TRISEN-two randomized pivotal trial In accordance with the FDA's breakthrough pathway designation, this trial will evaluate the safety and effectiveness of the Evoque tricuspid valve replacement system for patients with severe tricuspid regurgitation. In addition, the first patients were recently treated with our next generation transcatheter mitral replacement system called Evoque's EOS through the MiSEN study. This study will evaluate the safety and performance of Evoque EOS, which is designed to advance the treatment of patients with mitral regurgitation with a low profile valve delivered through a sub-thirty French Transfemoral Delivery System. We believe our 2 platform replacement strategy with SAPIEN M3 and Evoque EOS strongly positions us to be the leader in treating these underserved patients.
As we expand our body of clinical evidence, We look forward to presenting meaningful data across our portfolio at the upcoming virtual ACC and uroPCR medical meetings, including multiple late breaking presentations. These include longer term outcomes for transcatheter mitral repair from our CLAST trial and the first report of 30 day outcomes with EVOKE tricuspid replacement from our TRICEND study. Turning to our results. 1st quarter global sales were $16,000,000 driven by continued adoption of our PASCAL system And activation of more centers across Europe. Assuming diminishing COVID related impact, we expect a ramp of sales throughout the year.
We remain confident in our 2021 sales guidance of $80,000,000 as we advance commercialization, stay focused on physician training, Procedural success and patient outcomes. Adoption and favorable real world clinical outcomes remain key drivers to transforming treatment. In summary, we are making meaningful progress toward our 2021 milestones and we continue to estimate the global TMTT opportunity To reach approximately $3,000,000,000 by 2025, we remain committed to transforming the treatment of patients with mitral and tricuspid valve disease around the world. In Surgical Structural Heart, Q1 2021 global sales was $213,000,000 Increased 7% on an underlying basis over the prior year. Despite a soft start associated with COVID, We are encouraged by improvement across all regions over the course of the quarter.
Notably, growth was lifted by premium products It improved as declining COVID cases enabled more hospitals to resume treating surgical structural heart patients. We remain very encouraged by the steady global adoption of Edwards Resilia tissue valves, including continued adoption of the Inspiras Resilia aortic Surgical Valve. We anticipate that adoption will be bolstered by the 5 year data from our commenced clinical trial presented at the recent meeting of the Society of Thoracic Surgeons, which demonstrates the excellent durability of this tissue technology. And we're pleased that in the Q1, we initiated sales of Inspiras in China. Sales in the U.
S. Also continue to gain traction with Connect Resilia, the first preassembled aortic tissue valve conduit for patients who require replacement of the valve, root and ascending aorta, a critical unmet patient need. Finally, we're pleased to announce that we received regulatory approval with reimbursement in Japan for our MITREZ RESILIA valve, a new mitral valve Incorporating our newest tissue technology. Yesterday in Japan, we performed our first commercial cases with this differentiated innovation. In summary, we have confidence in our first and our full year 2021 underlying sales growth in the high single digit range For Surgical Structural Heart, driven by market adoption of our premium technologies.
We continue to believe the current 1.8 In Critical Care, 1st quarter sales of $196,000,000 increased 4% on an underlying basis, driven by increased sales of technologies for both the operating room and intensive care units. Hemossere orders increased as hospital capital Spending began to show signs of recovery. Demand for our products used in high risk surgeries remained strong And our ClearSite noninvasive finger cuff used in elective procedures also recovered to near pre COVID levels. Our TruWave disposable pressure monitoring devices used in the ICU remained in demand due to elevated hospitalizations in both the U. S.
And Europe at the beginning of Q1. We continue to expect full year 2021 underlying sales growth In the high single digit range for critical care, we remain excited about our pipeline of critical care innovations as we continue to shift our focus to smart recovery technologies designed to help clinicians make better decisions for their patients. And now I'll turn the call over to Scott.
Hey, thanks Mike. Well, we are encouraged by the start to our year. Despite COVID still impacting the global healthcare system in the Q1, We were able to post positive year over year sales growth across all of our product lines and regions as our advanced therapies When we gave guidance for the Q1 back in January. This stronger than expected sales performance Fell through to the bottom line, resulting in adjusted earnings per share of $0.54 which was 8% higher than the Q1 of 2020. The improvement in our sales performance during the quarter was choppy, but we exited the quarter in a stronger position And that gives us continued confidence in our outlook for the balance of the year.
While macro conditions remain variable across our key geographies, We're projecting total sales in the 2nd quarter to grow sequentially to between $1,250,000,000 $1,330,000,000 resulting in adjusted earnings per share of $0.54 to $0.60 As our business continues to rebound from the impact of COVID, We expect sales to strengthen and expenses to grow as travel and clinical trials ramp up. We are maintaining all of our previous sales guidance ranges for 2021. For total Edwards, we expect sales of $4,900,000,000 to $5,300,000,000 For TAVR, dollars 3,200,000,000 to $3,600,000,000 for TMTT, approximately $80,000,000 For Surgical Structural Heart, dollars 800,000,000 to $900,000,000 and for Critical Care, dollars 725,000,000 to $800,000,000 And based on our Q1 earnings, we are raising full year adjusted earnings per share guidance to $2.07 to $2.27 up from $2 to $2.20 So now I'll cover additional details of our results. For the Q1, our adjusted gross profit margin was 76% compared to 76.7% in the same period last year. This reduction was driven by a negative impact from foreign exchange And incremental costs associated with responding to COVID, partially offset by improved manufacturing efficiencies.
We continue to expect our 2021 adjusted gross profit margin to be between 76% 77%. Selling, general and administrative expenses in the Q1 were $331,000,000 or 27.2 percent of sales, compared to $308,000,000 in the prior year. This increase was primarily driven by the strengthening of O U. S. Currencies, primarily the euro and personnel related costs, partially offset by reduced travel spending resulting from COVID.
As I mentioned earlier, we anticipate our spending will increase during the year as travel restrictions subside and we resume a more normalized operating environment. We continue to expect full year 2021 SG and A as a percentage of sales, excluding special items, to be 28% to 29% or 17% of sales. This increase was primarily the result of continued investments in our transcatheter innovations. For the full year 2021, we continue to expect R and D as a percentage of sales to be in the 17% to 18% range, similar to pre COVID levels, as we invest in developing new technologies and generating evidence to expand indications for TAVR and TMTT. Turning to taxes.
Our reported tax rate this quarter was 13.1%. This rate included a 290 basis point benefit From the accounting for stock based compensation, we continue to expect our full year rate in 2021, excluding special items, to be between 11% and 15%, including an estimated benefit of 4 percentage points from stock based compensation accounting. Foreign exchange rates increased 1st quarter reported sales growth by 280 basis points or $30,000,000 compared to the prior year. At current rates, we now expect an approximate $60,000,000 positive impact or about 1% to full year 2021 sales compared to 2020. FX rates negatively impacted our Q1 gross profit margin by 150 basis points compared to the prior year.
Relative to our January guidance, FX rates positively impacted our Q1 EPS by about a penny. Free cash flow for the Q1 was $195,000,000 defined as cash flow from operating activities of $301,000,000 Less capital spending of $106,000,000 Before turning the call back over to Mike, I'll finish with an update on our balance sheet and share repurchase We continue to maintain a strong and flexible balance sheet with approximately $2,100,000,000 in cash and investments as of March 31, 2021. We repurchased 3,600,000 shares for $303,000,000 during the Q1 and have approximately $300,000,000 remaining in our share repurchase authorization. We plan to continue to execute our strategy of offsetting dilution from incentive stock compensation as well as opportunistically reducing our shares outstanding over time. Average shares outstanding during the Q1 were 631,000,000, down approximately 1,000,000 from the prior quarter.
We continue to expect average diluted shares outstanding for 2021 to be between $630,000,000 $635,000,000 So with that, I'll pass it back to Mike.
Thanks, Scott. We remain confident in our long term patient focused strategy and our innovation pipeline. To serve the many patients suffering from structural heart disease, we have never stopped investing in our people, our innovative technologies and our new growth capacity. As a company, we expect that Edwards will be positioned even stronger and in a position to help more patients than ever as the world fully emerges from this pandemic. So with that, I'll turn the call back over to Mark.
Thanks, Mike. So Diego, with that, we're ready to take questions now. In order to allow for broad participation, we ask that you please limit the number of questions to 1 plus one follow-up. If you have additional questions, Please re enter the queue and management will answer as many participants as possible during the remainder of the call. Diego?
Thank One moment please while we poll for questions. Our first question comes from Bob Hopkins with Bank of America. Please state your question.
Great. Thank you and good afternoon. One thing that I'd love to get your view on is that kind of stood out in the quarter Is the TAVR growth rate you guys put up in the Q1 outside the United States, and especially outside the United States and excluding Europe, given some of the numbers you gave us. I was wondering if you could just talk a little bit more about that. And specifically, was Japan and maybe China really strong in the quarter?
Mike, just Love your take on what happened outside the U. S. This quarter with TAVR?
Yes. Thanks, Bob. Yes, that's a correct observation. Clearly, OUS did pull our performance up In the quarter and even though Europe grew nicely, most of this came from Japan and other countries. And so Japan It was a pretty significant in size.
And so it really was a meaningful contributor to growth, but it certainly wasn't alone. You could go across Many other countries sort of that normally don't get called out like the Australia's or the Korea's and these kind of places in the world where it's Under penetrated, we just don't have TAVR rates where they should be at. We're really strong growers.
Some of
that may have been that they were impacted earlier by the pandemic and so the year over year comparisons are a bit stronger. But frankly, the numbers were just up. We continue to see that therapy grow in those areas. China, we're very early in that game. It was not a meaningful contributor to those results.
So it's really not a factor.
Okay. And then one quick follow-up on that is just was there anything in particular that you think that gave you better results in Japan this quarter? And then on Europe, I'm just curious, did Europe get worse over the course of the quarter, just following what happened with COVID or was it pretty stable or did it improve like the U. S? Just curious
Yes. So, in Japan, there was no specific thing that drove this. We've been focused in Japan For many years and actually somewhat disappointed that adoption rates haven't been higher. And so this has been a long term and consistent effort and it's really nice Just continue to see the adoption. We are glad to see this approval for low risk in Japan that will start having some meaning later on in the year.
In Europe, it was interesting. It was kind of choppy, I would say, not consistent across all countries. We still saw the countries that were less penetrated probably have a little bit more growth in those countries that had traditionally Been strong. And if you looked at it through the course of the quarter, it exited pretty solid, I think, similar to the overall growth rate Of the quarter, so I don't think there was anything notable there, Bob.
Great. Thanks for taking the question. Very helpful.
Our next question comes from Robbie Marcus with JPMorgan. Please state your question.
Great. Thanks for taking the question and congrats on a good quarter. Maybe the opposite of Bob's question. In the U. S, it'd be great to get a sense of sort of the trends you're seeing, how the quarter went and especially with So many of the adults, particularly the 65 and older population now fully vaccinated.
Are you starting to see Trends improved there. And then maybe I'll just ask the second question upfront. I've heard from a lot of doctors throughout the COVID time that The time from diagnosis to screening to treatment with TAVR is starting to compress. I want to see if you're seeing that on a company level and If so, is that a durable trend? Thanks.
Okay. So let's talk about the U. S. The U. S.
Did improve During the course of the quarter, no doubt about it, but we would call it choppy. It wasn't straight up. So for example, things were tough In January February and clearly got better in March. Although when you got toward the back end of March and you had spring break, you felt that effect as well, But clearly an upward trend. I just remember the sort of the roller coaster that we went on, Ravi, when we first You put out the TAVR estimates of 15% to 20% growth in our December investor conference.
We were feeling pretty good about it. When we got to the end of January and Q1, we're saying, well, we're still in that range, but probably we're a little lower in that range just based on things we're going and then Here they went and recovered nicely. So we feel confident about the 15% to 20% range going forward. So hopefully that helps you get a sense for The U. S, in terms of the question about is it easier, all hospitals are not Identical in the way that they screen patients.
And so although some are more efficient at getting more efficient, Others are more challenging. And one of the things that happens when you have COVID, so in addition to all the tests that You run through. You also have to do COVID tests before you come into the hospital. So it just becomes a hassle for these patients In addition to just the fear factor. So I wouldn't say it's uniform.
Overall, hospitals are going to get a little better, but It's still a battle. The good news is length of stay is coming down. Hospitals are clearly improving in that regard. And maybe some of that is COVID driven, but It seems to be a trend as well.
Great. Thanks for taking the questions.
Our next question comes from Vijay Kumar with Evercore ISI. Please state your question.
Hey guys, thanks for taking my question. And I had 2, maybe I'll start with the first one on the guidance here. Mike, on your comments on 15% to 20%, In January, you felt perhaps low end seems more appropriate. I mean, you just beat Q1 At the high end, it looks like procedures have come back. So I'm thinking, are we should we be looking at the high end of the guide?
And I think that 15% to 20%, just to put a finer point to it, that's versus last year's guide, right? If you look at the actual TAVR revenue numbers, I mean, this is more like a 16% to 26% growth off of actual fiscal 2020 TAVR numbers?
Yes. No, thanks, P. J. We feel pretty good about the fact that we're putting pretty specific guidance out there in the first place and guidance not that simple During the age of COVID, we did we do feel better about it. We probably would tend to guide people more toward the middle of the range, Vijay, of course, it's possible for it to be higher and lower.
And this is going to be somewhat dependent on what your perspective is about COVID. So even in the U. S. Or certainly across Europe, if COVID is more challenging, it will put pressure on our numbers. If things go if vaccinations go nicely and COVID really we start winning the battle, it helps us trend towards the higher end.
But I feel like there's Pretty balanced in the guidance that we tried to advance.
Understood. And then I did have one, Perhaps a more bigger picture question, Mike. I guess the question we've gotten is how de risked is mitral? Because if I had to make a thesis, Michael, it's going to be a really big CAM, much bigger than CAVER. I guess the question was, look, you've had CoAP versus MitraFR, patient selection matters.
Then when I look at your trials, you have 2 different trials on the replacement side SAPIEN M3 and the EVO. Is that A 2 valve strategy, is that perhaps Edwards trying to take a portfolio approach? Are these valves different? Or I guess I'm trying to ask how do you risk us mitral? Are we at a point where we know exactly what patients we need to And this is just a question of our client before, Michael ends up being much larger than tower.
Thanks for that, BJ. Well, you can probably get a sense in terms of how dedicated Edwards is to pursue Transcatheter Mitral and TriTEST, We really think it's a big opportunity. We think it's within our reach and we think the time is right for us to go after it and we're going after it with a lot of energy. You know, we're pursuing it with a toolbox. To say it's derisked would be overstating the situation at this point.
It certainly is not derisked. There's leaflet therapy out there right now that has a fair amount of data around it, But there is still limited data on replacement, limited data in tricuspid. And I think each time you see results From these trials and you see them actually in human use, you start to see more and more derisking and more and more clarity And frankly, more clarity on which patients are appropriate for which therapies. And I would say that's not fully known at this point. We have some pretty good ideas and Maybe we know more than most because we have so many technologies advancing in this space, but there's still more to learn.
And so I'll turn your attention mostly to these big clinical meetings where they'll be reporting the results from mitral and tricuspid trials to get a sense for Us getting a better understanding of the opportunity.
Understood. Thanks, guys.
Our next question comes from Larry Biegelsen with Wells Fargo. Please state your question.
Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. Mike, one on early TAVR, one on PMTT. Just on early TAVR, just a clarification, Mike, I thought I heard you say earlier that you expect to complete the Trial in 2021, maybe that's just enrollment, but the clinicaltrials dot gov was just updated in April. It says primary endpoint will be reached in December 2021.
So my question is, can you just tell us kind of what the status is on enrollment and when we could expect to see a data readout there and I
have one follow-up.
Yes. Sorry if there was a lack of clarity on it. What I meant to infer is we're Driving to achieve enrollment completion by the end of 2021. You may have also gotten from my comments that enrollment was A little lighter than we like in Q1 and that anticipates actually that we're going to have increased enrollment as the year goes on and COVID gets a little bit more Under control. So we're working hard to get there.
Remember that there's a 2 year endpoint on this trial as well.
That's helpful, Mike. On TMTT, can you talk a little bit more you seem to be getting traction nice traction there, a little bit more about what you're seeing in the mitral And tricuspid business is there. I don't know if you're willing to kind of split out mitral versus tricuspid, But any color you're willing to provide would be helpful. Thank you for taking the questions.
Yes. Thanks, Larry. Yes, at this point, Clearly, there's more sales in mitral than there is in tricuspid. Tricuspid is pretty new. Still, I mean, it's been a pretty impressive ramp In tricuspid, we're pleased with what we're seeing.
We think the opportunity is a nice one, but still the opportunity is at least the sales right now Yes, to a great majority related to Mitral's. There's still more centers That are doing this. And so for Edwards, actually activating sites is important, very careful training, trying to make sure that we get great outcomes. Those are all critical success factors. But I don't know if that helps Those are all critical success factors, but I don't know if that helps answer your question.
It does. Thanks for taking it.
Sure.
Our next question comes from Josh Jennings with Cowen. Please state your question.
Hi, good evening. Thanks for taking the questions and congratulations on a strong start to the year. I want two questions on TAVR. The first Just on low risk bicuspid, the PARTNER 3 bicuspid registry data has been made public. And just wanted to get a Sense of from you, if your team is relaying the penetration of TAVR into the low risk bicuspid opportunity, where it sits and with the registry data on hand now, where can that go?
And the follow-up question is just Thinking about the replacement cycle for TAVR, it's still very early, but as younger patients are getting implanted with TAVR and the TAVR and TAVR opportunity out in The out years maybe even past 2024. But Mike, do you mind just framing up what needs to be done clinically to bring TAVR and TAVR Into a place maybe where Tavern Savage sits today? Thanks for taking the questions.
Yes. Thanks, Josh. So let me take a shot at this. So overall, we're pleased with our bicuspid data. I don't have anything specific breakout To share with you, we routinely treat a lot of bicuspid patients.
And I think what will be interesting is what we mentioned in this upcoming meeting, I believe it's UroPCR. You're going to see a report of a pretty significant registry of patients That are bicuspid trait patients that have been treated with transcatheter technology. So that should be an interesting data point And help give you some good insight, that's just here within the next couple of months. In terms of Where we are in the journey for TAVR in TAVR versus TAVR and TAVR, you hear clinicians talking much more about how do I plan a lifetime therapy, right? What should be for a given patient, given their age, given their disease, What should be the first treatment?
What might be the second? Should it be surgery first, TAVR second, TAVR first, then surgery, then another TAVR and all that. And that's a very active discussion. I think there's been some really strong evidence that says TAVR and TAVR is good As well as TAVR and SAVR. So those are both proven to be realistic options.
And so now it's trying to sort through for any given patient What's the best therapy? And it's on the podium pretty regularly and I think we're on a pretty steep learning curve in that regard.
Thank
you. Our next question comes from Cecilia Furlong with Morgan Stanley. Please state your question.
Great. Thanks for taking the question. I guess I wanted to start off with TMTT again. And just really, As you're expanding in Europe and you think about the $80,000,000 in 2021, really what's coming from kind of further Account penetration versus account expansion as you factor that into your guidance?
Yes. Thanks, Celia. The short answer is, I'm not sure. Clearly, more sites is an important component here. I also know that there's an increase within the existing sites, but probably site expansion is the biggest part of that.
If you were to just pick 1 versus the other given the outcomes.
Okay, great. Thank you. And I guess I did want to turn back to Tavern Japan and just what you're seeing there, Really just ahead of low risk reimbursement, if that has changed dynamics in terms of just interest versus kind of what you've seen historically and not being
Yes. Thanks, Celia. Yes, we believe that Clinicians and the environment in general is pretty disciplined in Japan and that clinicians Do treat to get to approved guidelines. And so we don't think that there's a lot of low risk That's in the current numbers. And so we expect that to be a positive boost.
Having said that, as we've talked about before, Treatment rates in Japan compared to where they should be are just low. There's almost as many elderly in Japan as there are in the United States, But it's still a dramatically less treated. So we still have work to do. There's still potentially a lot of upside there. We're pleased to see the growth rates, but We're not pleased at the penetration rates yet.
Okay. Thank you, Mike.
Sure.
Our next question comes from Matt Miksic with Credit Suisse. Please state your question.
Hi, thanks so much for taking the question. So I'm hoping, Mike, you could shed some light on just a couple of dynamics that we get questions about often and how they potentially Affecting the growth of the TAVR business globally and I guess maybe especially in the U. S. So these two things and I'll keep it to one question Our first, the idea that TAVR somehow benefited during COVID, this idea of a Preference for TAVR over SAVR driven by length of stay and that potentially maybe that rolls back towards SAVR over time somewhat. And then the second is sort of what you contemplated in terms of you gained an awful lot of share, a fair amount of share from your largest competitor over the past year and a half or so.
And how much you contemplated sort of having to feed that back and maybe What you've seen on that front so far as it compares to what you've assumed?
Yes. Well, thanks, Matt. So a couple of things. I mean, clearly, we've heard clinicians and hospitals talk a lot about their focus on length of stay and about how helpful it is If they don't have to utilize their ICU or have patients that stay in the hospital. Having said that, I would say that if you were to take the U.
S. Mix, for example, of TAVR versus SAVR during the pandemic, that's remained relatively Flat. They're really we haven't seen TAVR versus SAVR or vice versa advantage very much during the pandemic. It's been pretty Stable. And so it's difficult to know if that's COVID related or If it's just a sign of the times, but that's the observation.
Go ahead. Okay. You also asked you also the second part of the question was about share. Yes. We feel pretty good about our competitive position.
We're really pleased with the performance of SAPIEN 3 Ultra. It's Demonstrated not only to be easy to use, but low complication rates and its length of stay has been remarkable and people have really been able to count on it During the pandemic, I don't know anything that's going to change that. We continue to be aggressive innovators and we'll continue to advance State of the art, but we've got a lot of positive feedback from clinicians.
Fair enough. Thanks.
Our next question comes from Joanne Wuensch with Citibank. Please state your question.
Good evening. Thanks Thank you for taking the question and nice quarter. Is there a way to quantify backlog of patients that have put off a procedure during COVID-nineteen?
Yes. Thanks, Joanne. It's a tough one. We do think about that a lot. In general, we don't think that there's a significant backlog of patients.
Clearly, it's variable Across centers, there might be some centers actually that have some, but we don't think that that's significant. More of what we found during the pandemic is that At the same time, when centers have a capacity problem and it impacts their implants, it also tends to impact their screening. You don't necessarily get this backlog built up. They tend to move more or less in parallel. So it's not one that tends to drive a big backlog.
Thank you. And as a follow-up question, I'm sort of curious, what you're sort of seeing in terms of the clinical trials? It sounds as if you've restarted many of them. Are they back To what I would call sort of a normalized run rate in terms of enrollment? And thanks.
Yes. Thanks, Joanne. Yes, we never officially stopped any clinical trials. They were clearly slower In the Q1, and so that was a factor. Actually interestingly enough, The Class IID trial actually enrolled pretty nicely in the Q2, so it wasn't uniform.
But I'd say most of our trials We're impacted. We think that the clinicians that we're working with, they're eager to get back at it. To say we're back at pre COVID rates, I think would be an overstatement, but I think we should start building back up again. And as we mentioned, I think the regulators have been pretty good thought partners in this as we try and really react to What COVID has done to clinical trials?
Thank you.
Our next question comes from Danielle Antalffy with SVB Leerink. Please state your question.
Hey, good afternoon, everyone. Thanks so much for Taking the question. Mike, I have one TAVR question and one Pascal question for you. First on TAVR in Japan. So you've talked a lot about how Japan has sort of, I don't know if, under So you've talked a lot about how Japan has sort of, I don't know if underperformed your internal expectations is the right way to think about it.
But what is going on there and what is Edward like what's going to change the tide in a meaningful way in Japan? And then again, just one quick follow-up on that.
Yes, thanks. Daniel, it's multifaceted in Japan in terms of what's going on. We think there needs to be More centers in Japan amongst other things because in many cases, patients like to stay Within their own region to get treated and we don't have TAVR centers in all regions, There is still some pretty high requirements for TAVR centers to begin in Japan. They actually have to be cleared By an external panel and so it's not just between us and the clinicians. And We're hoping that low risk, it has the possibility of being a catalyst to be able to help Along the way and maybe simplify this journey for clinicians and patients.
Okay, got it. Okay, that's helpful. And then On PASCAL, big catalyst potentially coming next year with the late 2022 U. S. Launch.
What can you talk about as far as the learnings in Europe, as you're opening new centers, I mean, has your progress in Europe, I appreciate COVID has had an impact here, but Has your progress in Europe given you sort of a blueprint for what you might how you might approach the U. S? Maybe talk a little bit about that if you could. Thanks so much.
Sure. Yes, you're right Joanne. Naturally, we're learning quite a bit In Europe, as you might imagine, what we stay focused on and I think we've been pretty vocal about this is trying to maintain a really, I Call it a high touch model. So we stay very close to clinicians, try and help make sure that they have terrific outcomes, that they're very well trained And that they get incredible results. And we think we can't do anything more important than that to really drive The adoption of the therapy on long term basis.
We're optimistic about the U. S, it's very large. Even though things have been we've had nice growth in Europe, The pandemic doesn't make it easy. You can imagine the biggest user of this technology is Germany and when Germany goes through tough times, It doesn't make it so easy. So we're a bit dependent on this, but we're going to apply much of the same strategy in the U.
S. That we applied in Europe.
Thank you.
Our next question comes from Anthony Petrone with Jefferies. Please state your question.
Thanks. Congratulations, strong start to the year. I'll have two questions and I'll ask The first would be on early TAVR for asymptomatic patients. Just wondering if you could provide some high level comments on sort of the latest view on the asymptomatic opportunity and then once we sort of get there in the next year or so with data, how How influential the findings from the study will be at opening up asymptomatic? And then on existing U.
S. Centers, Maybe just a refresh on where the average TAVR volumes are today and when you think about fewer hospital in days, How significant of a driver could that be to average utilization that average utilization number? Thanks.
So, let me start with the asymptomatic trial, the early TAVR trial. We think this is a really important trial. One of the obstacles for patients to be treated is they can have severe aortic stenosis and if there's uncertainty whether they have Then they're not treated because that's what guidelines say. That assessing and identifying symptoms is a very sketchy It's subject to a lot of misinterpretation. So if we took that requirement out of The equation, we think it would be very meaningful.
And if you could simply take some echo measurements and say, hey, this patient has a severe aortic stenosis And that drives treatment. That simplifies the diagnosis dramatically and would make a big difference. So we think that's important. The second question, I didn't fully Dan, do you mind Anthony saying it again?
Sure. When you look at the average U. S. Volumes in U. S.
TAVR centers Today, is there a number where average utilization is just in terms of monthly surgical volumes? And when you think of fewer hospital in days as a driver, Does that have the potential to move that average utilization number higher?
Okay. So, we've seen new hospitals come into the system and that's been that's helped with growth. Have the ability to add capacity, if that's really underlying your question and that they do that quite well. They can do it By adding days, they can do it by adding clinicians and we found them routinely able to do it and not really be a big burden To them. And so it is clearly helpful when the length of stay is shorter, but some of it is their own practices.
If they're able to do, For example, multiple TAVRs in a day, that really helps. If they're able to discharge patient faster, that helps. And all those are improving. And also, I would just say generally their desire to be able to increase capacity. So it's We're getting to a place where TAVR is becoming far more predictable than it had been in the past and that really helps hospitals' ability to
plan. Okay. Thanks again.
Our next question comes from Adam Maeder with Piper Sandler. Please state your question.
Hey guys, thanks for taking the questions and congrats on the nice start to the year. Maybe just sticking with the capacity theme, I wanted to ask about new U. S. TAVR centers and kind of where we are today. I think there was a lot of optimism in 2019 with the new NCD That would spawn a couple of 100 new TAVR centers.
COVID-nineteen has obviously been impactful, but just wondering if we're starting to see some green shoots again and new centers open up or are we Not quite there yet. And then I had a follow-up. Thanks.
Yes. Thanks, Adam. I hope your follow-up is for Scott Ullum. He's getting lonely over here without any questions. But Let me get to your question.
Yes, we're probably approaching something around 800 centers In the U. S, it's interesting, even during the pandemic, there's been an increase each quarter, maybe 10 to 20 centers Per quarter and so it's gradually increased. We've been impressed that centers have actually come online during the pandemic, which tells you about their desire To be able to bring the TAVR treatment to the structural heart patients. So we've been doing nicely. I think at the time of the NCD, we thought the number might go to 850.
We really don't have any update on that at this point. So maybe that gives you a sense of where we are.
That's really
helpful, Mike. Thanks for that. And apologies to Scott, but one follow-up on the TAVR side of things in the pipeline. Just it's been a little bit of time here, I think, since we've gotten an update on the SAPIEN X4 program. So just wondering if there's Any new developments you can share there?
And is that something you still plan? I think you're planning to move that to a pivotal trial at some point in 2021. So Is that still the case? And just when will we learn more about the feature set and product design? Thanks so much.
Yes, thanks. Yes, at this point, Adam, we're not Prepared to share more about the feature set of the product line. We are still expecting to begin a clinical trial in 2021. And I think maybe even from a bigger picture perspective, although we're really pleased with where we are on TAVR, we're just not going to stop innovating. We continue to find opportunities for us to improve this therapy and make it better for patients and we're just going to stay relentless in that regard.
Thank you. Our next question comes from Matt Taylor with UBS. Please state your question.
Hi. Maybe I'll try to get Scott to his off. I was just wondering with slightly you had better than expected Growth across the product lines in Q1 and you basically raised guidance by the beat for the year. But I'm just curious, At least from a high level standpoint, are you feeling better about the year now that you have one card turned over here, 1 quarter under the belt? And why not raise Guidance more, is that out of an abundance of caution or have things gotten worse to the point where you don't feel comfortable doing that yet?
Well, look, we're pleased with what happened in the Q1, both in terms of sales and how much of that fell right through the bottom line. Just to take you back, remember at our investor conference in December where we laid out guidance for all of 2021, we said it was assuming 3 things. And that was That we get through the winter months, that vaccinations get widely administered and that hospitals remain open. And when we got to January and our earnings call in late January, it felt pretty bad. I mean, we felt like things had probably Well, the margin gotten worse, not better since our investor conference.
But here we are now having seen the results of the Q1 and we're feeling positive and Still confident about the guidance that we laid out originally in December. We think it's going to be choppy. It has been choppy in the Q1, although there are certainly signs Strength and it's the reason why we still feel confident in the guidance that we've laid out for the Q2 and reiterating the guidance for the full year.
Okay, great. Well, thanks guys.
Our next question comes from Pito Chickering with Deutsche Bank. Please state your question.
Thanks guys for fitting me in here. One for Mike, one for Scott. First one for Mike. As the world begins to recover post COVID, I'm Curious if you're seeing any changes within your referral channels. You talked about smaller centers, outperforming larger centers.
Have you seen the local Docs help drive increased diagnosis of patients within their markets?
Yes. Thanks, Pito. I think it's not fair to say that we've really Seeing meaningful changes in the referral centers. One of the things we have seen though is and then we just hear this anecdotally that patients maybe are Less likely to travel long distances to a center of excellence and they're more likely to want to stay local to their centers. And so that's Probably been in there to some extent, probably driven some of the behavior during the pandemic.
Okay. Fair enough. And then for Scott, I get the cost will increase as travel and conferences begin to pick up again as revenues begin to recover a year. But And if you can quantify how much travel conferences will generally impact expenses throughout the year?
Yes. We're not going to break down Travel versus the other expenses, but know that there are a couple of different drivers of our expectation that expenses increase. 1 is just actual travel and people out in the field. 2 is, more training, more time going in person to society meetings to the extent that those start Becoming more in person. And then of course on the clinical trials, and we're expecting that clinical trial enrollment will continue to increase.
That's a number that shows up in our research and development expense line item on our income statement. So those are at least some of the pieces that will be influencing our overall expense ramp And the rest of 2021.
Great. Thanks so much.
Our next question comes from Jayson Bedford with Raymond James. Please state your question.
No one's asked about the strength in surgical and I realize there's a comp dynamic, but I can't remember the last time surgical Grew faster than TAVR. So just a couple of questions on that. Can we assume most of the strength was from international markets? Were there any Stocking orders that impacted growth and you also mentioned growth was helped by premium products. Any way to parse out Procedure growth versus dollar growth?
Thanks.
Yes. So a few things. One is, you're right, surgical Rates dropped pretty precipitously in late March. So some of that is comparable. So that should go into account.
But actually, the U. S. Was Quite strong. It certainly was comparable, if not slightly stronger than the global rates. And so I think It certainly was broad globally, but the U.
S. Was good. And I don't know if that ended up answering the question. Thanks.
Thank you. That's all the time we have for questions today. I will turn the floor back to management for closing remarks.
Okay. Well, thanks all very much for your continued interest in Edwards. And Scott and Mark and I welcome any additional questions by telephone. Back to you, Mark.
Thank you. This concludes today's conference. And just a reminder to access a replay of this call, you can dial 877-660-6853
or 201-612-7415.
Once again, the number is 877-660-6853 and use conference ID 13717,235. Once again, conference ID 13717,235. This concludes today's conference and you may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you all for your participation.