Earnings Call: Q3 2018

Nov 13, 2018

Earnings release

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to the Phoenix New Media 2018 Third Quarter Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. There will be a presentation followed by a question and answer session. I must advise you that this conference is being recorded today, Tuesday, 13th November, 2018. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Qing Liu. Thank you. Please go ahead. Thank you, operator. Thank you and welcome to Phoenix New Media's Q3 2018 earnings conference call. I'm joined here by our Chief Executive Officer, Mr. Shuang Liu and Chief Financial Officer, Ms. Betty Ho. For today's agenda, management will provide us with a review on the quarter and also include a Q and A session after the management's prepared remarks. The Q3 2018 financial results and webcast of this conference call are available at the Investor Relations section of www.ifeng.com. A replay of the call will be available on the website in a few hours. Before we continue, I refer you to our Safe Harbor statement in our earnings press release, which apply to this call as we will make forward looking statements. Finally, please note that unless otherwise stated, all figures mentioned during this conference call are in RMB. With that, I would like to turn the call over to Mr. Shuang Liu, our CEO. Thank you, Qing. Good morning and good evening, everyone. Before I discuss our Q3 results, let me first update you on the progress we have made in regulatory compliance. As we announced in late September, we temporarily suspended our iPhone News mobile application and the WAP website, as well as a few of our channels on ifeng.com upon receiving an official government notice. Although a portion of our services was suspended for 2 weeks, our financial results and our public image were nonetheless impacted, and this impact may persist for 1 or 2 quarters. The suspension was part of a border industry wide campaign that the government initiated in the beginning of the year to foster a healthier online environment, and many media outlets received similar notices. We have moved swiftly and decisively in a series of actions to buttress our operations upon receiving the suspension notice. 1st, we have reinforced our journalist training to bolster our professionalism and tact when reporting sensitive topics. 2nd, we have made our custom management, regulatory compliance and risk control procedures more stringent. 3rd, we have realigned our priorities in terms of the types of new content we choose to cover. In our coverage of domestic credit affairs, we will exercise more caution going forward, while allocating more resources to content regarding lifestyle, finance, technology, and entertainment. We believe these measures should better equip us to adapt to the evolving regulations. On the bright side, our users have expressed understanding and encouragement for temporary setback they are experiencing. The speed and the magnitude of which user data have recovered was better than we expected, which demonstrates our user stickiness. We are grateful for our users' unwavering support and for their continued loyalty during this difficult period. We're doing everything we can to restore all of our operations as quickly as possible. Traditional Chinese wisdom says, beneath every crisis lies an opportunity. We're taking this temporary setback as an opportunity to further accelerate the expansion of our content offerings, diversify our portfolios, strengthen our content risk management procedures, and make ourselves stronger and better than ever before. Now, let me explain the opportunities we're seeing in the marketplace and the strategies we have implemented to capitalize on those opportunities. As I've mentioned during our previous earnings calls, we have been actively broadening our content library. We have diversified the range of topics we cover into a serious evergreen and lifestyle oriented content in addition to our core companies in professional coverage of breaking news and current affairs. In the past several quarters, we continue to allocate additional resources to building our exclusive and original content, while also investing in We media. Our ultimate goal is to enable our users to cultivate a happy, healthy and a fulfilling lifestyle through our products. We're confident that by combining our industry leading news coverage capabilities with our premium brand influence and our lifestyle oriented content strategies, will be able to further expand our user and client base. In terms of talent, we have added a media industry veteran to our content operation team. As recently announced, we have appointed Mr. Liu Chun as our Senior Vice President. With over 20 years of experiences in news media, Mr. Liu will oversee the development of our original and proprietary short video content. Mr. Liu has a long track record of producing, distributing and monetizing some of the nation's best known TV shows, including the live interview program, Ruiyue, A Date with Ruiyue, which has won multiple industry awards. We're confident that his extensive knowledge and expertise will significantly enhance our capabilities in monetizing our proprietary video content. In fact, our investment in video content has already started to contribute to our growth in the Q3. Video content continues to be the dominant form of content in our library, surpassing audio, image and text. As we regularly registered over 100,000,000 daily views from our videos in September, the average viewing volume of our video content has been growing from July to September at a rate of 8.3% accordingly. In particular, Adverse Power, a new variety show that we produce in house, achieved a record breaking viewing volume of over 170,000,000 since its release on ifeng.com and various media outlets. In order to diversify our revenue streams, we're also ramping up our paid content and knowledge sharing business. Our major paid services is coming from our digital reading product, which has become an integrated component for our long term growth strategy. Our efforts in cultivating Fanyue into a disruptive growth engine have started to product robust results in financial and operating metrics. By the end of September, Fanyue Mobile Applications has achieved robust growth in daily active user, DAU, which represents an increase of 52% compared with the same period in 2017. For the constant contributor of Fanyue, we continue to leverage our brand influence and access to government resources to help them unlock their full potentials. 1 of the innovative methods we use to help our authors to monetize the full potential of their intellectual property is to create a comprehensive suite of related media content, including audiobooks, comics, films and TV series. By leveraging our abundant content resources, we have created a paid content platform, Juju, to provide audiobooks and knowledge sharing lessons produced by KOLs. Finally, let me provide an update on the recent performance of Yidian. By the end of October, Yidian has reached a record high daily active users of 70,000,000 and its full year guidance remains unchanged. Regarding Yidian's ad block financing, we have made substantial progress during this quarter. Currently, we are on track to complete the planned transaction by the end of 2018. Recently, President Xi Jinping unveiled plans to launch a technology Innovation Board on the Shanghai Stock Exchange to fast track public listings of qualified Chinese technology companies, thus opening up additional opportunities for technology unicorns such as Yidian to tap into the domestic capital market. To summarize, our Q3 financial results were less than optimal as a result of the global macroeconomic uncertainties, more stringent local regulations on advertisement and a temporary suspension notice from the government. Such external factors will likely have lingering impact on our financial performance for the next few quarters. Despite the short term setback, we remain focused on strengthening our content management system, expanding our operations team and diversifying our service offerings. As a leading success story of a new media business going public, following its spin off from a traditional media group, Phoenix New Media has set a number of records in our history. While we remain cognizant of some near term headwinds, we are confident that we have the right strategies as well as a very experienced and capable team in place to weather through any market condition. Just as the Phoenix rise from the ashes, we too will rise better and stronger than ever before. With that, I will turn the call over to our CFO, Betty Ho, for financial update on the quarter. Thank you, Shuang. And thank you all for joining our conference call today. Before I update you on the financial details, I would like to shed light on the impact of the newly adopted accounting standard ASC 606, namely revenue from contracts and customers, which took effect from January 1, 2018. By applying the modified retrospective method under the new standard, sales tax and surcharges, which were previously presented as a component of cost of revenues, are now presented as a reduction item of revenues. Some advertising for advertising barter transactions, which were previously not recognized as revenues, are now recognized as revenues. For comparative purposes, herein, we will provide our financial highlights under the old accounting standard, ASC 605. For the amount and ratios under the new accounting standard, ASC 606, please refer to our earnings release where we have provided financial items under both the old accounting standard and the new accounting standard. Now, let me take you through our financial highlights for the Q3 of 2018. The amounts mentioned here are all in RMB, unless otherwise noted. The difference between GAAP and non GAAP consists of share based compensation and gain or loss from the equity method investments, including impairments. Ifeng's total revenue for the Q3 of 2018 were RMB 355 1,000,000, representing a decrease of 16.6% from RMB425.6 million in the same period last year. Non GAAP net loss attributable to Phoenix New Media for the Q3 of 2018 were RMB21.3 million as compared to non GAAP net income attributable to Phoenix New Media of RMB34.4 million in the same period last year. Non GAAP net loss per diluted ADS in the Q3 of 2018 were RMB0.29 as compared to non GAAP net income per diluted ADS of RMB0.48 in the same period last year. First, I will provide details on our revenues for the quarter. Net advertising revenues for the Q3 of 2018 decreased 16.1 percent to RMB304.6 million from RMB363.1 million in the same period last year. We are seeing the slowdown of the macroeconomics and the tightening of the rules and regulations of the advertisements on certain specific industries, especially on games, financial services and health products, which affected the whole advertising industry. In addition to that, we have also experienced a 14 day suspension starting from September 26. These all have contributed negative impact on our advertising income. Paid services revenue for the Q3 of 2018 was RMB50.4 million, compared with RMB62.4 million in the same period last year. Revenues from digital entertainment were RMB31.9 million compared with RMB52.6 million in the same period last year, which was due to a 65.6% decrease in the MVAS revenues, mainly resulting from the decline in users' demand for services provided through telecom operators in China, while digital reading had been increased by 14.2%. Revenues from games and others for the Q3 were RMB18.5 million, representing an increase of 88.9% from RMB9.8 million in the same period last year, which was primarily attributable to the revenues generated from licensing. Adventure in the Skies, Zhouxiao Binyun Zhuan, a martial arts literature IP owned by the company to a film production company. Non GAAP gross profit for the Q3 of 2018 was RMB174.3 million, compared with RMB238.3 million in the same period last year. Non GAAP gross margin for the 3rd quarter was 49.1% compared with 56% in the same period last year. Non GAAP content and operational costs as a percentage of total revenue was 34.4% as compared to 25.7% in the same period last year. Revenue sharing fees as a percentage of total revenue was 4% as compared to 6.6% in the same period last year. Bandwidth costs as a percentage of revenue was 4.1% as compared to 3.3% in the same period last year. Sales tax and surcharges were RMB29.6 million for the Q3 of 2018 as compared to RMB35.7 million in the same period last year. Non GAAP operating expenses for the 3rd quarter were RMB231.3 million as compared to RMB200.4 million in the same period last year. Non GAAP operating loss for the Q3 was RMB57 1,000,000 as compared to a non GAAP operating income of RMB37.9 million in the same period last year. Non GAAP operating margin for the 3rd quarter was negative 16% as compared to positive 8.9% in the same period last year. Net loss attributable to ifeng for the 3rd quarter was RMB19.6 million as compared to RMB32.9 million in the same period last year. Non GAAP net loss attributable to ifeng for the 3rd quarter was RMB21.3 million as compared to RMB34.4 million in the same period last year. Non GAAP net loss per diluted ADS for the 3rd quarter was RMB0.29 as compared to non GAAP net income per diluted ADS of RMB0.48 in the same period last year. Now, I will discuss our balance sheet. As of September 30, 2018, in the company's cash and cash equivalents, term deposits, short term investments and restricted cash were RMB1.42 billion or approximately 2 100 $6,900,000 Restricted cash represents deposits placed as security for banking facilities granted to the company, which are restricted as to their withdrawal or usage. Lastly, I'd like to provide our business outlook for the Q4 of 2018. As we have stated above, the company has adopted the new revenue standard, ASC ASC 606, since January 1, 2018. For comparative purposes, we are focusing total revenues under the old revenue standard to be between RMB414.2 million and RMB437.2 million, representing a decrease of 10.3% to 5.3% year over year. For net advertising revenues, we are forecasting between RMB374 1,000,000 and RMB392 1,000,000, representing a decrease of 8.9% to 4.5% year over year. For paid services, we are forecasting between RMB40.2 million 45.2 million, representing a decrease of 21.6 percent to 11.8%. We are experiencing a major correction on macroeconomics in China and we expect it will prolong for a period of time. Thus, we will be facing very challenging years ahead. However, we are taking necessary initiatives and measures to expand our revenue streams to paid content services, to enrich our content production through IP and short video production, to increase our product offerings to broaden our user base. As a result, we will continue to invest on our content offerings through investing on We media content, creating more culture or top show related IPs and short videos and adding paid products on audio novels and knowledge payment, etcetera. This concludes the prepared portion of our call. We are now ready for questions. Operator, please go ahead. Thank you, Betty. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. Your first question comes from Frank Chen from Macquarie. Please ask your question. Hi, Sean. Hello, Betty. Thank you for taking my question. I have two questions. The first one is about our new initiatives. In the press release and the prepared remarks, you mentioned multiple times that you are going to diversify the growth drivers going forward. And you mentioned the lifestyle related verticals in past 2 quarters. Can you elaborate more about that and our revenue outlook in these new initiatives? And second is about our core advertising business. You mentioned earlier that the outlook for next year is very challenging. I want to kind of share with me more about how you think of the core ad business outlook into next year amid the slowdown in macro? Thank you. That's all my questions. Thank you. Okay. Thank you. This is Shuang. Let me answer your first questions. Vertigo area is definitely the important area we're going to focus on. As President Xi Jinping pointed out in the 19th Congressional Report, to meet the people's desire for a happy life is our mission. As consumption upgrade accelerates, more opportunities emerge in industry verticals, especially in mobile based verticals. Phoenix New Media has accumulated a rivaled vast customer base in verticals, especially in auto, finance, technology, fashion and real estate area. So we have consistently ranked the top traffic generator on the PC platform. So next stage, our strategic focus is how to marry our immerse traffic and our premium brand with our extensive advertiser network to capitalize on emerging opportunities in each of the lifestyle verticals. One of our strategies to enable the Chinese consumer to cultivate a happy lifestyle. We aim to build an ecosystem involving around the middle class desire to become very informed in all aspects of life, including food, clothing, home decor, travel, healthcare, parenting and so on. As we potentially collect the return on investment in Yidian, we plan to accelerate our ecosystem development through a combination of potential acquisitions with organic growth and innovation. We will expand our business model to encompass e commerce and service based transaction fees, in addition to page view based advertising fees. So that represents a major shift of our future business model. But at the present stage, it's hard to quantify the exact revenue stream going forward. In constructing our content for each lifestyle verticals, we'll not only leverage our own apps and our distribution channels on Weibo and WeChat, but also actively expand onto third party platforms so that we can satisfy our users' demand for service beyond information gathering. We will target the upper and middle classes, anchor our foothold in a few key verticals, such as real estate, finance, fashion and engineer innovative products and device original monetization masters. In the next in the coming months, we're going to recruit new talents, new team with a focus on fashion and entertainment areas. We'll not only rely on our own platforms. We're going to make it a content driven and fee based model. So that, that will jumpstart our initiative on vertical areas. I hope this answers your question. Betty? Hi, Frank. This is Betty. Let me address your second question. The decrease of advertising revenues in the 3rd quarter, as you know, was mainly due to the slowing down of the macroeconomics, which led to a cut of advertising budgets and the tightened regulations of the advertisements on medical and health products, gaming and financial services, etcetera. And these are in addition to the 5 day suspension in late September, within the total of the 14 day suspension. And the suspension impact, we understand that it will continue through the 1st 10 days of Q4, and we expect the tightened regulation of the advertisements and the slowdown of the macroeconomics will prolong. As a result, we expect our advertising income for the full year will be flattish or slight decrease. As we expect the restrictions on the specific industry on advertisements and the slowdown of the macroeconomics will prolong, we are unable to provide a 2019 outlook due to too many uncertainties. Okay. Thank you, Sean and Betty. Very helpful. Thank you, Your next question comes from Binbin Ding from JPMorgan. Please ask your question. Binbin has removed the request. We will continue on with the next question. And your next question comes from Liqin from First Shanghai Securities. Please ask your question. Hello, management. Here is from First Shanghai Securities. I have one question. During Q3, your web page has been published by the Office of the Central Cyberspace Commission and stopped upgrading for around a month and suspended business. So are you the only one punish? And how do you see the ecosystem of Internet news websites? Thank you. Hi. Thank you. This is Shuang. The recent suspension was the most severe penalty that we have received in our company's development. However, we're not the only one single out for this penalty. Earlier this year, many popular live streaming and media apps were actually taken down. We are one of the several Internet companies to have received suspension notices. These suspensions are part of the sweeping regulatory campaign to clean up Internet content. Our users understand the regulatory challenges we are facing and convey their loyalty and support towards our brand through their uninterrupted usage of our products. Our operating data has recovered better than we had expected. More strict regulations are within our projection of the media industry trend Because we are one of the most influential news media outlets in China, we take the responsibility to cope with the government and to stay compliant with regulations. I think we will continue to strengthen our Internet content review process. We'll be more prudent in our news coverage of current affairs. We also firmly believe that more regulatory oversight will foster healthy development for the entire media industry. This will also benefit professional content providers like us in the long run. Thank you. Your next question comes from Binbin Ding from JPMorgan. Please ask your question. Thanks management for taking my question. Apologies, I was cut off just now. My first question is regarding your video and content strategy. So can management elaborate your video strategy, especially after the deployment of Liu Sheng Zhong to oversee our video business? And you mentioned Mr. Liu's focus will be on the development of short video content. So how does our short video initiative differentiate from other platforms? And what kind of synergies shall we expect from our original news content and short video content? My second question is a housekeeping question on your top advertising categories and their revenue contribution. I understood you are not unable to provide a very detailed outlook to 2019 outlook, But can we share some initial feedback from the advertisers when we negotiate with them on the annual contract for 2019? Thank you. Hi, this is Shuang. Let me answer your questions regarding video. We believe that video will be one of the essential trends of online content. Phoenix New Media has a strong brand influence. We have a competitive advantage in the categories of culture content and interview programs. We have chosen now to break into the video market through in house produced TV drama or variety of shows. Instead, we have found out our own niche. We pioneered new programming formats through the combination of culture, interviews, cross discipline and reality shows. It's a new format. It's different from the current popular other popular forms. Our pan culture and pan entertainment concept is in sync with the broader industry trends. It also appeals to the younger demographic. Specifically, this kind of model also has been proven by our the latest show, While we remain prudent in our cost control, we'll differentiate ourselves through our ideas, creativity, understanding of consumers and ability to grasp the current political situation. Liu Chun was appointed as our Senior Vice President, actually signifies our commitment to the video content. He brings on board not only his own expertise, but also a team of actors to improve our production, distribution and monetization of video content. As to short form video, there's 2 fronts we're going to focus on. One is the Phoenix TV content library. Phoenix TV, in the last 20 years, has produced many popular talk show, documentary and celebrity interviews. So it's a good mind for us to leverage. But in the past, we haven't done a good job in packaging it. We make it a tailor made product to target our middle class users. That's something we're going to improve and catch up. The second area is short form video covering international affairs, especially the culture, travel, lifestyle related areas. Phoenix TV has more than 50 stations overseas, has a big team of professional reporters. So but as you know, the TV prime time is quite limited. So there's a huge opportunity for us to leverage this professional team to strengthen our coverage of international affairs, especially on the car tourist destination, like Paris, like Milan, like Rome, London, Tokyo, all these places, we have branch offices there. We have journalists there. So they will help us to cover the breaking news and also the high profile exhibition, fashion show and local culture events. This will further diversify our content offering, strengthen our user segments. So these are two fronts we're going to strengthen in our going forward short form media business. Hi, Binbin, let me take you let me answer your second question. Our top 5 advertising categories are being auto, food and beverage, e commerce, Internet services and financial services. Among all, our auto category has been always among all, it has always been the biggest category out of all these 5 categories. And it has been always been our top categories for the past quarters. And for the food and beverage, mainly this quarter is coming from wine industry. As compared to before, it may also coming from food and beverages. But this quarter, particularly in this category, our wine business has been doing very well. In terms of 2019, we believe the macro condition has just started and it will continue to the next year. We are seeing cutting budgets from our advertisers and with the intensified competitions, we believe it will be very challenging in 2019. So, as I said, we are unable to quantify a number now because of there are too many uncertainties. Understood. That's very helpful. Thank you. Thank you, Your next question comes from Jason Pierre from UTM Securities. Please ask your question. Hello. Thanks for taking my question. Would you like to give us more information about Yidian? How many users and how many does the broader channel contribute? And the second one is, should we expect the same challenging situation for Yidian for the next year? Thank you. Hi. Let me take the first cut and then Shuang can supplement if I missed anything. Yidian has over 70,000,000 users as of this month. And actually, its revenue guidance has remained unchanged. Last year, it was about RMB1.5 billion in terms of revenue, and this year, we are still expecting it to be doubled and is on the right track. And your second question regarding Yidian was? I mean the guidance for the next year for Yidian. We haven't provided any guidance at this point yet, but this year's revenue guidance is to be doubled as of last year at about RMB 3,000,000,000 revenue. Okay. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I would now like to hand the conference back to the management for closing remarks. Thank you, operator. We have come to the end of our Q and A session and our conference call. Please feel free to contact us if you have any further questions. Thank you for joining us on this call. Have a good day. Thank you. Thank you. Bye. Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may all disconnect.