Fluence Energy, Inc. (FLNC)
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Earnings Call: Q4 2021

Dec 9, 2021

Sam Chong
Treasurer and Director of Investor Relations, Fluence Energy

Welcome everyone to our earnings call for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2021, which ended on September 30. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that management will make statements during this call that include forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities laws, which are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are neither promises nor guarantees, and are based upon our current estimates and various assumptions and are subject to material risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results or events to materially differ from those anticipated or implied by these forward-looking statements. These and other risks are described in our filings made with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

We encourage you to review these filings for a discussion of these factors, including our annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2021, which will be filed next week. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of today, and the company disclaims any obligation to update such statements for new information. This call will also reference non-GAAP measures that we view as important in assessing the performance of our business. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP measures is available in our earnings materials on the company's investor relations page at ir.fluenceenergy.com. I will now turn the call over to our CEO, Manuel Perez Dubuc.

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Thank you, Sam. I would like to extend a personal welcome to our investors, research analysts, employees, and customers who are listening to our first earnings call as a publicly traded company. This morning, I'm going to share our market outlook and provide an overview of our business for our new investor base. Afterward, I will give an update on some recent developments, and then I will hand the call over to our Fluence CFO, Dennis Fehr, who will discuss the financial performance and as well as provide some high-level revenue guidance. Before I jump into the market outlook, I would like to extend a sincere thank you to the entire Fluence team for their passion and commitment to delivering best-in-class products, services, and digital solutions to our customers. Our team has demonstrated tremendous strength and resilience during the ongoing pandemic.

It is thanks to their contributions that we have successfully completed our IPO, generating almost $1 billion to help drive our next phase of growth. I will start on slide four on the quarterly earnings presentation with an overview of our business opportunity. Climate change is real, and it poses an existential problem. We are finally seeing governments, companies, and citizens take serious steps to address this issue. The electric sector bears great responsibility in leading that effort as the world transitions away from fossil fuels towards renewable energy. In fact, renewables are now one of the cheapest sources of electricity, further accelerating this monumental shift. This huge transformation is driving three revolutions that are happening at the same time. The first is the decarbonization of our planet and the transition to clean energy to help address climate change.

The second is the electric revolution, which is an electrification of everything. The third one is the digital revolution. Machine learning and artificial intelligence are disrupting traditional processes, redefining energy markets, and enabling new opportunities. Fluence uniquely sits at the core of these three revolutions. As clean energy assets proliferate, they also create issues for grid because it was not originally designed to handle intermittent and variable power generation for renewables. Fluence Energy storage systems and digital applications enable the clean energy transformation of the grid. Third-party research shows that the clean energy transition will likely require over $100 trillion of investment over the next 30 years. Bloomberg New Energy Finance also projects 194 GW of installed energy storage capacity by 2030 alone.

As conventional generation assets retire and are replaced by cheaper renewables, the need for energy storage compounds even further as the grid will require energy storage for stability and reliability. This opportunity is immense, and Fluence is well-positioned to maintain our leadership position in energy storage solutions and digital applications. Turning to slide number five. Fluence is uniquely situated to drive the global transition to clean energy, led by pioneers of the energy storage and team members and leaders with the most experience in the industry. Many members of our current team literally invented the use of lithium-ion batteries on the grid. Fluence is a digital disruptor, and customers far and wide recognize the value of our Fluence IQ platform. While still in the early stages, we are already optimizing over 18% of all renewables in Australia with our Fluence IQ platform.

One of the biggest factors that sets us apart from our competitors is our scale. We have one of the largest installed bases that helps to expand our ecosystem, product adoption, and cross-selling opportunities. Our scale is evident by our global offices and supply chain that has enabled us to operate in 30 markets across the world. We are also battery agnostic and do not manufacture batteries. This is a strategic move for us, as battery chemistries are constantly changing and evolving, enabling us to move quickly along the technology curve as better solutions come to the market. Most importantly, we have secured over $1.7 billion in contracted backlog, which provides us with visibility to future cash flows that will be used to grow and accelerate our business. Turning to slide six. I would like to highlight this tremendous total addressable market.

Starting with energy storage products, BNEF is forecasting a 24% compounding annual growth rate between 2020 and 2030. This equates to over 34 GW of new installations in the year 2030 alone. For reference, at the end of the quarter, we had an aggregate of 3.7 GW of energy storage products deployed and contracted. Also, based on BNEF forecast, energy storage services are expected to grow 31% compounded annually between 2020 and 2030. This equates to over 193 GW of cumulative installed services base. For reference, at the end of the quarter, we had approximately 2.7 GW under management and contracted for our energy services. Most exciting is the enormous total addressable market for our Fluence IQ digital platform, where the TAM is nearly 8,000 GW.

The TAM is so vast because we can optimize not only third-party energy storage products, but also pure renewable assets, such as wind, solar, and hydro, that do not have any storage components. This means the growth potential of Fluence IQ is not limited by installed energy base. As of the end of the quarter, Fluence IQ is optimizing or has contracted 4.7 GW. It's easy to see why we are extremely excited about Fluence IQ future. Turning to slide seven and our quarterly results. In both the fiscal first quarter and full year, we delivered record operational performance in our Fluence ecosystem, comprised of our three business lines. Looking first at new orders. Our contracted MW of energy storage products increased year-over-year by 55%. This resulted in a record 1,300 MW.

Additionally, our services business grew nearly 750% year-over-year, which resulted in almost 2,000 MW, a new all-time record for Fluence. Our Fluence IQ continued to build momentum, as evident by our recent contract awards supporting our recurring revenue growth strategy. Speaking on Fluence IQ, we are extremely encouraged by the performance of our platform. In fiscal year 2021, we booked 2.7 GW of new orders compared to 1.3 GW of new orders for energy storage products, demonstrating the importance of Fluence IQ and its ability to optimize renewables beyond storage. We see substantial growth in all business lines, including our IQ platform, setting the stage for a robust 2022 and beyond.

As we experience this strong growth in order trends, like so many other companies, we have also been challenged by excess of shipping charges as well as other project charges which are compounding effect on the COVID-19 pandemic. In the fiscal fourth quarter, some of our APAC-based customer sites have experienced temporary work interruption due to COVID-19. As such, we were not able to progress our installation work for storage equipment at these affected sites as planned. These temporary customer site closures resulted in delayed revenue recognition as well as unanticipated costs related to these delays. We view these delays as temporary. However, we are realistic that the newly discovered COVID variant, Omicron, could prolong these delays even further. It is still too early to make that determination. We are managing ongoing disruptions in our global supply chain, including shipping of our products.

We have experienced delays in delivery times, increases in shipping rates, and decreases in freight availability. These issues have resulted in delays for a number of product deliveries, driving increases in short-term expenses, including expedited shipping costs and payments for overtime labor. In response, we are working on multiple solutions to improve our global supply chain, including negotiating guaranteed capacity on ocean freight liners with tier-one shipping companies to ensure our products get delivered from our contract manufacturing location in Vietnam to our end customers around the world. We will continue to monitor freight markets closely and take additional measures to protect our customers and our revenue from future supply chain disruptions. This includes establishing a regional contract manufacturing and distribution model.

In the coming several months, we expect to finalize the terms with a contract manufacturer to serve our North American market, and thus reduce our reliance on shipping our products to Southeast Asia to the Americas. I would also like to make a few comments on the recent overheating event that occurred at one of our customer's facilities. On September 4, 2021, a 300 MW energy storage facility owned by one of our customers experienced an overheating event. Fluence served as one of the contractors for this facility to provide and install energy storage technology, which was completed in fiscal year 2021. As our customer reported, the facility experienced an overheating event that resulted in the system shutting down as designed to further mitigate any possible damage. No injuries were reported from the incident.

The facility has been taken offline as teams from Fluence, our customer, and the battery manufacturer investigate the incident. We are currently not able to estimate the impact, if any, that this incident may have in all our financial results. As information becomes available, we will update our shareholders accordingly. Turning to slide eight and some of our recent developments. I am pleased to announce Fluence signing a contract during the quarter to provide our energy storage products to the largest energy storage portfolio in Europe, featuring a total of 105 MW of energy storage system across two different locations. This order was placed by a repeat customer, which we believe reflects the value that we have already brought to that customer. This order was also accompanied by a 10-year service contract, providing us with visibility to future recurring revenue.

Also, we recently announced a significant contract in Australia for the Hazelwood project with our partners, ENGIE and Macquarie. This is a significant achievement for us. The award includes 150 MW of energy storage plus a 20-year service contract, and the assets will be optimized by our Fluence IQ platform. This is the perfect example of our cross-selling opportunities that enable us to expand our ecosystem for all three business lines. Continuing with these exciting awards, I'm pleased to announce we have recently signed our first contract with a customer in Taiwan. This commences our strategic entrance into the Taiwanese market, an area we see tremendous growth over the next 10 years and will play a large part in our overall strategy.

For our services business line, during the fourth quarter, we recognized a 100% attachment rate for our services for energy storage products that we sold in the EMEA region. This is truly spectacular and also builds on our model to generate recurring revenue through our services and Fluence IQ platform. For Fluence IQ, during the fourth quarter, we deployed our platform to optimize the trading of the largest solar farm in the southern hemisphere, with the equivalent output of powering 150,000 homes. Additionally, just in the fourth quarter alone, we added over 1 GW under management as customers are realizing the value that Fluence IQ can deliver. In summary, and turning to slide nine, we have a tremendous opportunity in front of us as a result of the enormous total addressable market for energy, storage, and digital applications.

We have positioned ourselves as a market leader with our scale, experience, and first-mover advantage. Not only that. We are seeing very favorable momentum from foreign and domestic governments relating to policies and regulations, most recently seen at the 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference. In addition, recent U.S. legislation, including the enacted infrastructure bill and the pending Build Back Better bill, are extremely supportive of our strategy and business. The infrastructure bill was a good first step to paving the way for increased grid stability and reliability, but we are even more encouraged by what we are seeing in relation to the BBB bill. This potential legislation may enable our industry to accelerate deployments on the pace needed to decarbonize the electric sector by 2035, which is aligned with the Biden administration's stated priorities.

Additionally, enactment of this legislation will create the stable, long-term demand signal needed to accelerate the clean energy transition and to incentivize a robust energy storage supply chain domestically and abroad. Ultimately, the BBB bill will allow our customers to green light more projects, many of which were previously shelved due to not meeting internal rate of return requirements. While we are hopeful the bill moves forward, we do not include any potential upside of government subsidies or policy changes in our business model. That would be an incremental benefit. I would like to thank our founders, Siemens and AES, who created Fluence as a joint venture in 2018. We will continue to operate with the tagline, Fluence, a Siemens and AES company, as they will continue to support our mission.

As a global player, we are managing through supply chain challenges stemming from the global pandemic, and we are taking short-term and long-term actions to mitigate the ongoing and future shipping delays. We view these delays as temporary, with the impact being strictly a shift in revenue recognition, which we expect to realize in the coming quarters. Finally, we have a best-in-class balance sheet and a strong visibility to future cash flows, thanks to our significant backlog of $1.7 billion. This growing backlog will enable us to continue to invest in our people and our business so that we can transform the way that we power our world for a more sustainable future. With that, I will turn it over to Dennis.

Dennis Fehr
CFO, Fluence Energy

Thank you, Manuel, and good morning to everyone on the call. During today's call, I will recap our fourth quarter and fiscal year 2021 results, discuss our outlook for fiscal year 2022, and talk through our capital allocation plans. As Manuel stated, we delivered a record year of new orders and have been successfully populating our ecosystems from both sides. We achieved record order intake of energy storage products and came out very strong on Fluence IQ orders. Turning to slide 11, talking you through the numbers of the first table. In fiscal year 2021, we contracted a record 1,311 MW of energy storage products and a record 1,959 MW of energy storage services. Services MW exceeded product MW because we successfully sold service contracts on products sold in previous years.

Overall, our aggregate attachment rate on services as of September 30, 2021, was approximately 74%. This attachment rate is very encouraging as it is a continuous proof of our ecosystem strategy and provides us with recurring revenues and visibility to future cash flows. As already elaborated, we are seeing very strong demand for our Fluence IQ with a total 2,744 MW contracted, which provides future cross-selling opportunities for our products and services. Now moving to the second table. Despite delays in supply chain and temporary site restrictions due to COVID-19, the amount of MW that we deployed for our energy storage products more than doubled, growing 111% from the prior fiscal year. Due to our strong contracting and in part due to the delays, contracted backlog MW grew 43%.

Our product pipeline is being driven by strong tailwinds from the market and demand for our proprietary sixth-generation product and stood at 14,160 MW at the end of fiscal year 2021. Turning to energy storage services. Assets under management grew 180% while contracted backlog grew 322% from the prior year, driven by the strong contracting activities and attachment rates mentioned earlier. Like our storage products, our services pipeline remains robust, standing at 10,930 MW at the end of fiscal year 2021. Moving to our Fluence IQ digital platform. During Q1 of fiscal year 2021, we acquired AMS. Since that time, our digital product has demonstrated tremendous growth and strong prospects for future growth.

At fiscal year-end, digital assets under management was 3,108 MW, while contracted backlog was 1,629 MW. Our digital pipeline was 3,301 MW at the end of fiscal year 2021. Let me point out that our digital pipeline typically converts about 3x faster than our product and service pipeline. Our combined assets under management and contracted backlog for the digital business exceeds our products deployed and contracted backlog, reflecting the importance of Fluence IQ for our ecosystem and demonstrating that the growth of Fluence IQ is going beyond energy storage. Turning to slide 12. Our fiscal year 2021 revenue grew 21% to a record $681 million, versus $561 million for fiscal year 2020.

In the fourth quarter, revenue decreased 21% as a result of the mentioned shipping and COVID-19 related delays, whereby revenue recognition was delayed from the fourth quarter fiscal 2021 into fiscal year 2022. We view the delays of revenue recognition as temporary, with expectations that they will be resolved by H2 of fiscal year 2022. Let me point out that this is strictly a shifting of revenue and does not represent any contract terminations. Turning to slide 13. Gross profit for fiscal year 2021 was -$69 million, compared to $8 million in fiscal year 2020. In the fourth quarter, gross profit was -$59 million.

This decrease is driven by $68 million of non-recurring expenses in Q4, which included $16.7 million related to non-recurring excess shipping cost, $48.2 million related to project charges which are compounding effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, and $2.6 million related to the 2021 cargo loss incident. Adjusting for these non-recurring items, we generated adjusted gross profit of $15 million in fiscal year 2021 versus $9 million in fiscal year 2022. In the fourth quarter, adjusted gross profit declined in line with the decline in revenue. As Manuel already discussed, we are taking steps to help mitigate the impact of continued ocean freight challenges, such as securing guaranteed availability with tier one shipping companies. The shipping delays have compounding effects on additional expenses that we are required to incur, such as additional expenses for contractors waiting on equipment and other project charges.

For the first half of fiscal year 2022, we are forecasting at least $50 million-$55 million of non-recurring expenses related to shipping and other COVID-related items, whereas the $72 million in fiscal year 2021. We are currently seeing that these expenses are decreasing from Q4 2021 to the first half of fiscal year 2022. Continuing to slide 14. EBITDA in fiscal year 2021 was impacted by the same non-recurring expenses as the gross profit. In addition, there are $4.8 million of non-recurring IPO-related expenses which did not qualify for capitalization. Other than that, we increased our expenses to support the future growth of the company, which drove the adjusted EBITDA to negative $65 million in fiscal year 2021. Moving on to slide 15 and our revenue outlook.

Based on our current contracted backlog of $1.7 billion, we are providing guidance for FY 2022 revenue in the range of $1.1 billion-$1.3 billion. Our guidance takes into consideration of potential delays in revenue recognition resulting from shipping and COVID-19 related delays, and our ability to recognize revenue from our energy storage products on a timely basis in H2 FY 2022. Turning to slide 16. We would like to highlight the seasonality that we have in our revenues and order intake. This seasonality is due to customers' desires to have products operational in time for summer in the Northern Hemisphere. Historically, we recognized approximately 70% of our revenue, mostly in our fiscal second half. This is aligned with our patterns for order intake. As a result, fiscal first half results will usually be lower compared to our second half.

However, for this upcoming first half of fiscal year 2022, there is a caveat to the seasonality in that we expect a good portion of the delayed revenue from the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2021 will be recognized during H1 fiscal year 2022, leading to a slightly stronger revenue during that time. Moving on to page 17. As we look ahead to our next phase of growth, we would like to highlight our capital allocation strategy, which is bolstered by the strong balance sheet that we have set in place following the IPO. With a post-IPO debt-free cash balance of approximately $850 million, we are well positioned to invest to further strengthen our ecosystem. As we deploy capital, we will always stay true to our strategic framework of enhancing unit economics.

Expanding recurring revenues and developing structured offerings, with a primary focus on the former two initiatives. M&A is an additional avenue to help us executing our strategy, and we have a strong track record of making and integrating strategic acquisitions such as AMS. This concludes our prepared remarks. Operator, we are now ready to take questions.

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, you'll need to press star one on your telephone. To withdraw your question, press the pound key. Our first question comes from Mark Strouse with JP Morgan. Your line is open.

Mark Strouse
Executive Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan Chase & Co

Yes. Thank you very much for taking our questions, and welcome to the public markets. Can we just dig into the comments around the project timing? Can you just talk about what gives you the confidence in claiming that you think that there will be a rebound in the second half of this fiscal year? Is that just the macro that you're seeing, or is that based on specific commentary from your customers?

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Thank you, Mark, and good morning, and thanks for welcoming us to the public market. We're very exciting times. Yes, as we mentioned, the shipping delays, we've seen some level of stabilization on the shipping and reliability of those. That, you know, we're getting the equipment to the site. They're being installed and commissioned. We already mentioned about some of the delays and other costs, but we are confident that they will be progressing. We have the people on the ground, and we have, you know, we're understanding where the bottlenecks are, so we're very confident that we will get those sites in operation fairly soon.

Mark Strouse
Executive Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan Chase & Co

Okay. Thanks, Manuel. Just a quick follow-up on the Fluence IQ business. There were some pretty impressive metrics that you were providing during your IPO as far as the customer savings that your customers were experiencing. Is there any update to that in the few months that we've had since the IPO? Any other encouraging metrics that you're able to go out to new prospective customers with? Kind of a quick follow-up to that is, you know, how should we be thinking about the potential revenue sharing upside from those contracts when we think about your guidance for the coming year?

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Thank you, Mark, for the question. Yes, indeed, we're very excited about our latest wins. They all demonstrate that our ecosystem that we're creating and populating across the three business lines is working well with all those cross-selling opportunities and the optimization that we're getting from the Fluence IQ platform is very well received by the market, is getting more and more momentum. I would like to give a chance to our Chief Digital Officer, Seyed, to give us a little bit more color on those big wins that we had and we demonstrated.

Seyed Madaeni
SVP and Chief Digital Officer, Fluence Energy

Sure. Thank you, Manuel. Seyed here. Just to answer some of the specifics of your questions, yes, we're seeing a lot of momentum on the platform KPIs. Just to summarize it for you and since inception, we submitted over 200,000 economic bids in different wholesale markets, which is pretty impressive and exciting. Our SLAs uptime and runtime has been greater than 99.99%, which is pretty impressive. We're also continuing to provide upside to our customers based on their asset class and the geography they're located. A lot of momentum in terms of the KPIs and the product performance. Just wanted to note that. In terms of the continuous growth, you're absolutely right. We had a pretty strong quarter.

You can see some of the diversity of the product applications that we're deploying. The Hazelwood project is being pretty impressive for us. Can add more color there. Just to go back and tie that to the holistic vision that we're pursuing, which is to transform the way we power our world, I should note the power of combining smart, connected energy storage systems, digital applications and services. That's been showcasing itself for the Hazelwood project and many projects to come. Let me pause there to see if that answers your question. Happy to elaborate further.

Mark Strouse
Executive Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan Chase & Co

Yes, it does. Thanks, Seyed. That's it for us. Thank you very much.

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Thank you, Mark.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Maheep Mandloi from Credit Suisse. Your line is open.

Maheep Mandloi
Director and Lead Equity Research Analyst, Credit Suisse

Hey, good morning, and thanks for taking the questions and welcome to the public markets. One question-

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Thank you, Maheep.

Maheep Mandloi
Director and Lead Equity Research Analyst, Credit Suisse

Hey, Manuel. One question on the free cash flow. I think just trying to understand, you gave a clarity around these delays and it's more transitory and expect to realize them in the second half. Does that impact any of your prior free cash flow assumptions for the next year?

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Yeah. Thank you very much, Maheep, for your best wishes. Let me pass to our CFO, Dennis, to give you more color on your specific question.

Dennis Fehr
CFO, Fluence Energy

Right. Hi. Good morning also from my side, and thanks for the question. Overall, it does not change our view for the entire fiscal year 2022, but certainly it impacts the timing within the fiscal year 2022. As we are seeing, some of these topics being r esolved this in the first half of fiscal year 2022. We do expect that certainly cash flow will be impacted by that throughout the first half, versus in the second half, we will see a stronger recovery there and then to close out the year as we expected.

Maheep Mandloi
Director and Lead Equity Research Analyst, Credit Suisse

Got it. Then, just on the battery supply, I know you previously talked about having enough supply for 2022 and 2023. As you're kind of like looking into procuring more batteries for beyond that, are you seeing any challenges in the market? We keep hearing about supply constraints. Just trying to understand your visibility on that.

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Thank you, Maheep. As we stated, yes, we are battery agnostic. We have secured a significant capacity that will cover our immediate needs. We announced our strategic partnership with Northvolt in Europe. We're talking to top-tier battery manufacturers also in the U.S. that eventually will come online. We are truly diversifying our supply chain, and we're going regional on sourcing for the three large regions, the three large areas where we're doing business. On that regard, that goes you know exactly in the direction that we design our strategy, and we are regionalizing our contract manufacturing and supply chain.

Maheep Mandloi
Director and Lead Equity Research Analyst, Credit Suisse

No, I appreciate that, color. Just one last one from me and then I'll back. Just more housekeeping. The services contracted backlog seemed flattish quarter-over-quarter. I know you added more contracts in the quarter for services as well. Just trying to understand that, or if I'm missing anything over there. Thanks.

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Thank you, Maheep. I think that is not exactly what we're seeing, but I'm giving Dennis a chance to give you more and more specific numbers in that regard. Actually, they're going up.

Dennis Fehr
CFO, Fluence Energy

Right. Hey, Maheep. Yeah. In S-1, we disclosed 1,198 MW contracted backlog as of June 30, and we increased that to 1,918 as of September 30. We are seeing basically a 60% increase within the quarter in line with the strong contracting which we have seen.

Maheep Mandloi
Director and Lead Equity Research Analyst, Credit Suisse

Perfect. I'll follow up the rest later on. Thank you.

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Thank you, Maheep.

Operator

Thank you. We have another question from James West with Evercore ISI. Your line is open.

James West
Senior Managing Director of Equity Research, Evercore ISI

Yes. Thanks, guys. Good morning. Congrats and welcome again to the public market. Manuel, I was curious if you could describe the level of demand that you're seeing in the market today. It seems to have hit some type of tipping point in the last six months or so. I know the last time we connected, you were, you know, you were nice enough to give me time, but you were on a plane that was, you know, taking off, and so you had to jump off at the end there. It was, you know, certainly, you were going to see customers and there, you know, there seems to be this acknowledgement worldwide of we need to get going fast on energy storage.

I'd love to hear your kind of commentary around, you know, what's maybe changed in the market, what the tipping point was, and how customers are thinking about this now.

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Yeah. Thank you very much, James, and thanks for the opportunity to tell what we're seeing. It is true. There's a significant demand building up everywhere in the world. The fact that we just expanded to a new market in Taiwan. We got, you know, record year orders on every single of our three business lines. We are not even counting on additional regulation or any subsidies that might come from, you know, the infrastructure bill or BBB or any other new regulation in other parts of the world. We have seen out of the United Nations Climate Change Conference the very strong commitment, for example, from India.

They are announcing a substantial amount of energy storage going to that market. They are expanding their regulation where every renewable project should have energy storage associated with it. We're looking at that market. It's the fact that we are expanding in our three regions. Yes, we're seeing a significant worldwide adoption of the technology and understanding that it's impossible to decarbonize the planet just with renewables, that we need energy storage, smart solutions with digital optimization on top of that.

James West
Senior Managing Director of Equity Research, Evercore ISI

Maybe a follow-up here, more of a housekeeping item, but the contract manufacturing rollout of additional facilities, when should we expect to see some of those come online, ex, you know, what you've been doing in Vietnam, to you know somewhat distribute your supply chain?

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Yes. Thanks for that question, James. This goes exactly on our strategy direction. We already have selected contract manufacturing in Europe and in the U.S. We are negotiating those terms that it will expand and give us flexibility to our capacity to deliver products to those regions or between regions. It significantly reduces our exposure to shipments or any logistic delays. Also, it will allow us eventually, if there's some elements of local content that is being required, it will give us the flexibility and the optionality to do that. We're moving in exactly that direction, and it's very much our strategy.

James West
Senior Managing Director of Equity Research, Evercore ISI

Will those come on early, you know, calendar 2022?

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Yeah. We think that might be up and running by the end of 2022.

James West
Senior Managing Director of Equity Research, Evercore ISI

Okay.

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Perhaps the first half of 2023. Yes.

James West
Senior Managing Director of Equity Research, Evercore ISI

Okay, got it. Thanks, Manuel.

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Julien Dumoulin-Smith from Bank of America. Your line is open.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith
Senior Research Analyst, Bank of America

Hey, good morning, team, and congratulations indeed again. Thanks for the time. Just to follow up here on-

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Sure.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith
Senior Research Analyst, Bank of America

Just thinking through 2022. You know, how are you thinking about the incremental or the degree to which Hazelwood, for instance, is an incremental project or what have you, versus how you were thinking about things through the course of the year? Really if you can try to quantify some of the mitigating factors when you alluded to logistics and trying to, you know, contract this ahead of time, et cetera. You know, order of magnitude, you know, how much could that help offset some of the impacts here? Again, just trying to understand some of the puts and takes, maybe degree of conservatism reflected in the numbers here.

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Yeah. Thank you very much, Julien, and good morning. Again, thanks for your kind words. We're so happy that you are here with us and following our story and our success. I mean, what we have seen in the Hazelwood contract and project is exactly what we want to do around the world. It's a very significant customer that is understanding our technology, is taking advantage of it. It's entering into a market that they see as promising and financially attractive.

By having this Fluence IQ platform on top of that with, you know, revenue sharing type of potential, it really brings, you know, value to not just the customer, but our offering and our ecosystem concept. On the shipping delays, yes, we have taken, you know, short-term measures and long-term measures that I discussed about the long-term ones, which is the full regionalization of our supply chain, contract manufacturing and logistics. On the short term, yes, we're talking to the top-tier freight liners to secure capacity and to have a very good schedule that is usually a few months ahead of us.

On specific numbers, I will allow Dennis to give us more color, but what we can say is that we've seen a stabilization both in prices and reliability.

Dennis Fehr
CFO, Fluence Energy

Yeah, let me come back to the Hazelwood item where Manuel already highlighted, and let me highlight again the tremendous win where we're really able to sell all three items of our ecosystem. Therefore, as you may remember, Julien, from our discussion, that we have been very conservative in the regards how we look at the performance contracting side, and we see a tremendous upside on the digital side of the business, and that is contract. The products and the services side are basically in line with what we have contemplated in our business plans, and we are also quite proud of that we have achieved that.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith
Senior Research Analyst, Bank of America

Excellent, guys. Thank you. Just if I can follow up here, nuance here. You talked about some project delays getting pushed from 2021 to 2022. You provided this calendar year approximate percentage of revenue. But presumably, as we think about 1Q 2022 more specifically rather than the generic number that you guys provided here, in theory the first half should be stronger than the percent revenues that you guys talked about here on sort of the generic go-forward basis, right? I just wanna sort of clarify the bridge 2021 to 2022 versus this sort of ongoing guidance.

Dennis Fehr
CFO, Fluence Energy

Right, Julien. Our seasonality stands with the typical 70% in the second half. As I also covered in the statement before, we certainly, with this delay, see a slightly stronger revenue than the normal seasonality in H1, but it's not to the level that we would see that H1 is becoming stronger than H2. Certainly there is some higher number there than the typical 30%, but not up to a level of 50% or more.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith
Senior Research Analyst, Bank of America

Got it. All right. Excellent. I will leave it there, guys. Thank you so much. Cheers.

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Thank you, Julien.

Operator

We have a question from Brian Lee with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

Brian Lee
VP of Equity Research, Goldman Sachs

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking the questions. Good morning. Couple sort of modeling-related ones, if I could. If I calculated it right, I think the revenue pushout was about $120 million or in that ballpark. Is that fair? And how many projects were impacted? And you mentioned seeing this all getting recognized in the first half of fiscal 2022. What's kind of the cadence you're expecting between Q1 and Q2, 50/50? Or are we gonna see more of that revenue rec on the pushouts in one particular quarter versus another?

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Thank you. Thank you, Brian. Again, thanks for a good morning, and thanks for your good words about us. On the specifics, I will pass Dennis to give us more color on that, on your question.

Dennis Fehr
CFO, Fluence Energy

Right. Hey, Brian, good morning. In regards to the pushout, basically, you're right that there has been that pushout from Q4 into Q1 or the first half of fiscal year 2022. I think the number which you mentioned is somewhere in the ballpark range. We would expect a larger portion of that to be recovered in Q2 and probably somewhere in the range of 30%-40% of that in Q1 fiscal year 2022.

Brian Lee
VP of Equity Research, Goldman Sachs

Great. That's super helpful color. Just a second one, and I'll pass it on. You know, nice backlog growth here. I think the last quarter, you guys, in June had mentioned $1.3 billion. Now you're at $1.7 billion contracted backlog. I know you give it on a volume basis. Any sense, rough ballpark what the mix is of that $1.7 billion, on a dollar basis between, energy storage products, services and digital? I guess just in that context, seems like the revenue guide $1.1 billion-$1.3 billion, given the backlog at $1.7 billion, it would be supportive of hires.

Just wondering if you could remind us how you define backlog and kind of comment a bit on the mix to give us some context there as well. Thanks, guys.

Dennis Fehr
CFO, Fluence Energy

Sure, Brian. Out of the $1.7 billion, we have approximately $1.3 billion on the product side, and then the remainder is basically on the recurring side of the business. That means on the services as well as of the digital side. In that regard, when you think about the guidance of $1.1 billion-$1.3 billion, and as we also stated in our prepared remarks, that we are certainly still looking also about H2 potential delays there, and therefore, we have put out the guidance of $1.1 billion-$1.3 billion based on what we are seeing in the backlog.

Brian Lee
VP of Equity Research, Goldman Sachs

Okay. Just last one to clarify on the, you know, the non-storage product portion of the backlog at $400 million. What’s the average duration? It’s not 12-month backlog. It’s backlog that, you know, represents sort of forward two- to five-year revenue. Could you know, remind us what you characterize that as on the services and digital?

Dennis Fehr
CFO, Fluence Energy

Right. In typical assets, a mixture between the service and the digital sides. On services, we are seeing somewhere 10-12 years, and on the digital side, somewhere in the range of three to five years. In that regard, overarching this revenue is up to, or this backlog covers up to 12 years. Certainly, it was a bit more forward-loaded pattern here due to the digital side of the mix.

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Yeah. If you allow me to elaborate a little bit on that. There are two elements here that are very significant. The first one is that we got 100% attachment rate on services in the EMEA region, which is fantastic. Overall, almost 75%, 74% attachment rate overall, which is also a very high number. It brings and it ratifies, you know, the confidence that we're seeing from our customers that, you know, the whole package, the whole ecosystem that we are offering in the three business lines, it makes a lot of sense for them and brings value to them.

The fact that the Hazelwood project has a 20-year service contract is a testament of, you know, the value that we are creating and providing to them.

Brian Lee
VP of Equity Research, Goldman Sachs

All right. That's great. I'll pass it on. I'll also echo everyone else's congrats. Thanks, guys.

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Thank you very much, Brian.

Operator

We have a question from Stephen Byrd with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

Dave Arcaro
Executive Director of Equity Research, Morgan Stanley

Oh, hi. This is Dave Arcaro on for Stephen Byrd. Thanks so much for taking my question, and congrats on the IPO. I was wondering if I could just touch on Fluence IQ. Could you give an update on where things stand in the development pipeline for the next set of software apps and any indications, initial customer conversations as to what the, you know, interest level and demand might be, for the next round of software?

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Thank you very much. Good morning, Dave. I will pass to Seyed to give us more color on what is happening with the Fluence IQ platform. Overall, you know, very exciting, very positive, very good feedback from our customers.

Seyed Madaeni
SVP and Chief Digital Officer, Fluence Energy

Sure. Thank you. Thanks, Steve. Just a little bit more color in terms of Fluence IQ. We are continuing to see strong demand in the markets that we have a presence, that's the National Electricity Market in Australia, where we own about close to 20% of renewable share. We expect to continue to grow in that market. California is being pretty strong for us. We expect to continue to grow. But unfortunately, what we saw in the recent Texas climate environment, the reason I say unfortunate is because, you know, there's a lot of public sacrifices that being made. Our software is gonna be centerpiece in that market, we're ramping up development of our ERCOT application to be released this year.

We're seeing a lot of volatility in that market, resembling what we see in the Australian market, in absence of a centralized capacity scheme. ERCOT market entry is top priority for us. We're investing heavily in the software development application to support power market optimization with Fluence IQ in the ERCOT market. To your point, as we kind of talked about during our Analyst Day as well

The goal here is to further kind of develop applications that go beyond power markets. That is addressing dispatch applications for vertically integrated utilities where we don't see a presence of power markets. We're also thinking about mid-term portfolio management applications, long-term investment applications. All of that would be part of the business plan and the product development in fiscal year 2022 with an aim towards commercialization in fiscal year 2023. We're on track there, making a lot of progress, obviously investing in the team and talent to support us with that vision, but things are shaping out good.

Dave Arcaro
Executive Director of Equity Research, Morgan Stanley

That's really great color. I appreciate that. Maybe just one follow-up on the demand side of things. I was just wondering if you could give some color on geographically, how is the backlog split? Where are you seeing the strongest demand in the different countries that you're operating in, maybe heading into 2022? Thanks.

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Just to clarify, David, on the Fluence IQ platform or overall?

Dave Arcaro
Executive Director of Equity Research, Morgan Stanley

I was thinking more overall, in terms of the energy storage product, portfolio overall beyond just Fluence IQ.

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

No, we're seeing, to be honest, we're seeing a demand, you know, picking up in all markets. The fact that we enter into Taiwan, the fact that we have the record largest project in Europe, the fact that we keep growing very fast in the California market with the Fluence IQ. So we have you know, we have examples that you know, contracts being awarded in all three regions with record levels in all of them. It is a totally synchronized, you know, growth trajectory for all three regions, which is very encouraging.

Dave Arcaro
Executive Director of Equity Research, Morgan Stanley

That's great to hear. Thanks so much and congrats again.

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Thank you very much, David.

Operator

Thank you. Our last question comes from Tom Curran with Seaport Research. Your line is open. Tom, please check your mute button.

Tom Curran
Senior Equity Analyst, Seaport Research Partners

Sorry. Good morning, and to quote Bruce Willis in Die Hard, welcome to the party. Curious about how much visibility and certainty you have on your role within AES's renewable strategy. From 2021 through 2025, we understand that AES is planning to add 4 GW per annum of solar capacity. What percentage of that do you expect to include storage? And given that represents assured locked-in demand for Fluence, how are you modeling those orders internally? Is there an annual floor for AES orders that we can assume?

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Yes. First, you know, thank you very much, and good morning, Tom. And thanks for your kind words. We're very excited about this new chapter in our history of now being a public company. Yes, indeed, you all know AES is a shareholder, is one of the founders, and I thank them along with Siemens to establish this JV and have the vision that where the market will be going. They proved to be true and to be right on their decision. So we're all very happy and excited and thankful for that.

Yeah, on the specific, you know, pipeline, AES has been, you know, upgrading their pipeline and the annual commitments. We have a very strong communication with them. This business is not new. It has been there for years. We're going, you know, hand in hand with them. What we expect is, you know, 100% of whatever they are, including a percentage they are including their own projects and expansion. We will be with them. We will be providing our smart solutions, services and digital Fluence IQ along with them, and we, you know, we're very excited. That is part of our projects and our plans.

It's part of our business plan. The fact that they are increasing their own numbers is, you know, a tailwind for us.

Tom Curran
Senior Equity Analyst, Seaport Research Partners

Manuel, we can assume that whatever percentage of that new solar capacity they'll be building that they're gonna include storage for, that you'll be winning 100% of that. That will exclusively go to Fluence?

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Yes. Yes, that's true.

Tom Curran
Senior Equity Analyst, Seaport Research Partners

If I could just squeeze in one more follow-up before we run out of time here. Where are you expecting the energy storage products division's adjusted gross margin to exit fiscal 2022 at?

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Dennis, you would like to take that one?

Dennis Fehr
CFO, Fluence Energy

Right. Basically in line with what we have stated in our model during the IPO process, you can take that as a proxy.

Tom Curran
Senior Equity Analyst, Seaport Research Partners

Great. Still on track for that.

Dennis Fehr
CFO, Fluence Energy

Yeah.

Tom Curran
Senior Equity Analyst, Seaport Research Partners

Thank you for taking my questions.

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Thank you very much, Tom.

Operator

There are no other questions in the queue. I'd like to turn the call back to Manuel Perez for closing remarks.

Manuel Perez Dubuc
CEO, Fluence Energy

Thank you very much, operator. Thanks to everyone and all our. I would like to thank again. I did it at the beginning of my speech and my words. Again, I would like to extend a sincere thank you to the entire Fluence team. They have been extremely passionate, strongly committed. They have shown strength and resilience because of the COVID pandemic. Thank you, everyone. Thanks to our customers, investors, analysts. They made this possible.

We are, you know, so happy that, you know, given all the circumstances and the headwinds, we keep growing, we keep beating our own records and expanding and truly changing the way that we power our world for a more sustainable future. Thank you. Thanks, everyone.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

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