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Earnings Call: Q1 2021

Nov 2, 2020

Speaker 1

Good afternoon. Welcome to Fabrinet's Financial Results Conference Call for the first quarter of fiscal year 2021. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. Later we'll conduct a question and answer session and instructions on to how to participate will be provided at that time. As a reminder, today's call is being recorded.

I would now like to turn the call over to your host, Garo Tumazian. Investor Relations.

Speaker 2

Thank you, operator and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us on today's conference call to discuss Fabrinet's financial and operating results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2021, which ended September 25, 2020. With me on the call today are Seamus Grady, Chief Executive Officer and Charles Ferra, Chief Financial Officer. This call is being webcast and a replay will be available on the Investors section of our website located at investor. Fabrinet.com.

Please refer to our website for important information, including our earnings press release and investor presentation, we conclude our GAAP to non GAAP reconciliation. I would like to remind you that today's discussion will contain forward looking statements about the future financial performance of the company. Forward looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from management's current expectations. These statements reflect our opinions only as of the date of this presentation, and we undertake no obligation to revise them in light of new information or future events, except as required by law. For a description of the risk factors that may affect our results, Please refer to our recent SEC filings in particular the section captioned risk factors in our Form 10 K filed on August 18, 2020.

We'll begin the call with remarks from Seamus and Chhabha followed by time for questions. I would now like to turn the call over to Fabrinet's CEO, Timus Grady.

Speaker 3

Thank you, Garo, and good afternoon, everyone. We had an excellent first quarter with results that surpassed our expectations and reinforces our longer term optimism. Revenue in the first quarter was a record $436,600,000 and was above the high end of our guidance range. Driven primarily by stronger than expected performance in telecom and automotive. With a constant focus on efficiency improvements, gross margins increased to 12% within our target range.

In addition, we continue to effectively manage operating costs. As a result, we also outperformed on the bottom line, delivering non GAAP net income of $1.05 per diluted share. Our business also produced healthy cash flows even as we continue to make growth investments. Operating cash flow was 34,500,000 and free cash flow was $21,900,000. Looking at some of the details of the quarter.

Optical Communications revenue was $344,000,000 up 9% from the 4th quarter. Telecom revenue of $261,000,000 grew faster than anticipated at 14% from the 4th quarter. This sequential increase of more than $30,000,000 in telecom revenue far offset the expected decline in datacom revenue, which was down 4% from the 4th quarter at 83,000,000 As anticipated, inventory issues that we experienced at one telecom customer now appear to be behind us. We also continue to make progress on the transfer of an optical transport system program at Cisco, which is on track to ramp in the quarters ahead. In fact, we ended the quarter on a very high note when we were awarded Cisco's EMS partner of the year at their annual supplier appreciation event.

Silicon photonics based optical communications products represented 25 percent of total revenue in the first quarter, a historic high driven primarily by telecom growth. Revenue from QSFP28 and QSFP56 transceivers also continued to grow and was a record $59,000,000, up 8% from the 4th quarter. As reflected in our strong telecom performance, we continue to see strong growth at faster data rates. Revenue from 100 gig programs was stable at $150,000,000, while revenue from 400 gig and above grew 62% sequentially to $70,000,000. Looking at our non optical communications business, our performance was better than expected with revenue increasing $3,000,000 sequentially to $93,000,000.

Industrial laser revenue declined as expected and was $34,000,000, a sequential decrease of 16%, reflecting broader demand trends. This was more than offset by automotive revenue which increased sequentially to $35,000,000, a record level. A sequential revenue increase of 28% in automotive, was driven by the combination of growth from new automotive programs and by an unanticipated return to growth from traditional automotive programs. Sensor revenue was stable at $2,000,000 in the first quarter and other revenue increased $2,000,000 to $21,000,000. Looking to the second quarter, we expect to see similar business trends to the first quarter.

We anticipate that telecom will continue to grow at a healthy pace, driven by newer programs and faster data rates. This should largely offset the decline that we anticipate in datacom revenue based on current demand signals. In non optical communications, we expect continued softness in industry lasers but are optimistic that automotive revenue growth will continue and largely offset those declines. It's also worth mentioning that this near term softness in the industrial laser market does not affect our optimism that the industrial laser industry will look to increase outsourcing in the years ahead. In fact, intense competitive pressure could even serve as a catalyst and we remain very well positioned to benefit when this industry transition begins to take place.

We continue to pursue a multi faceted growth strategy. This strategy includes leveraging the growth of the industries we serve combined with investing in facilities and technologies that enable us to further penetrate existing customers and win new customers, both in the markets we currently serve and in new markets. Our first quarter results demonstrate that we are benefiting from the successful execution of this strategy. While we have no control over broader market trends, we remain focused on what we can control. Including investments in next generation manufacturing technologies and in capacity expansion, as well as capitalizing on our early success pursuing system level business and exploring opportunities in new markets that our advanced processes can serve.

As we execute on our strategy, we believe we are very well positioned to deliver superior returns for all our stakeholders. In summary, we're off to a positive start in fiscal 2021. Our strategy is working as strength from newer programs offsets the softness we see in certain markets. We're optimistic that we can continue to leverage our strong reputation in the markets to further advance acquisition as a leading manufacturer of the most complex products. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Chava.

For additional financial details on our guidance for the second quarter of fiscal 2021. Saba?

Speaker 4

Thank you, Seamus, and good afternoon, everyone. I will provide you with more details on our financial results for the first quarter and our guidance for the second quarter of fiscal year 2021. We were very pleased to deliver financial results that exceeded our guidance ranges for the first quarter. Revenue of $436,600,000 was more than $6,000,000 above the high end of our guidance range and a new record. Non GAAP net income was also our record at $39,300,000 or $1.05 per share.

$5 more than the high end of our guidance range, largely due to our revenue upside and gross margin improvement. On a GAAP basis, net income was $33,100,000 or $0.88 per diluted share Now, turning to A reconciliation of GAAP to non GAAP measures is included in our earnings press release and investor presentation, which you can find on our website Gross margin was 12%, up from 11.8% in the prior quarter. This improvement was primarily a result of operating expense during the quarter was $12,500,000 or 2.9 percent of revenue, This produced operating income of $39,900,000 or 9.1 percent of revenue. Taxes in the first quarter were $1,700,000, and our normalized effective tax rate was 4.5%. Turning to the balance sheet and cash flow statement.

At the end of the first quarter, cash restricted cash an investment, top half a $1,000,000,000 for the first time at $503,800,000, an increase of 8,300,000 ended CapEx of $12,600,000, free cash flow was $21,900,000 in the first quarter. We did not repurchase shares during the first quarter due to the smaller open window after our year end blackout period. At the end of the quarter, we had $100,000,000 remaining in our share repurchase program. We expect to implement a 10b5-1 plan in the 2nd quarter that will enable us to repurchase shares even during blackout periods. This program will complement opportunistic open market purchases that remain subject to blackout periods.

Our primary capital allocation priorities continue to be risk mitigation investment in long term growth and returning value to shareholders through share repurchases. With our strong balance sheet, we expect to be active in all these areas in fiscal 2021. I would now like to turn to our guidance the second quarter of fiscal year 2021. We believe that trends we experienced in the first quarter will continue in the second quarter. In Optical Communications, we expect strong telecom revenue, driven by healthy demand from higher data rate products, combined with our newer program This should more than offset export restrictions driven headwinds at any end customers of our customers.

We expect data consultants to continue, with revenue down sequentially based on current Q2 forecast. Still, we believe that telecomscent will offset this weakness for total optical communications revenue that is roughly flat with Q1. In non optical communications, we believe the near term weakness from the industrial laser market will continue in Q2. On the other hand, we anticipate growing demand from new technologies like LiDAR as well as traditional automotive programs continuing to improve. This automotive trend should offset most but not all of the softness from the laser industry.

Therefore, we anticipate total non optical communication revenue to be slightly down sequentially. We expect total revenue in the second quarter to be between $420,000,000 to $440,000,000. From a profitability perspective, we are count will be roughly flat with our record first quarter results. We expect EPS to be in the range of $1 to $1.07 per diluted share. In summary, in summary, I'm pleased with our execution in the first quarter and our financial results that exceeded our guidance ranges.

We are proud of the success of various growth initiatives, and our financial performance, and we look forward to continuing to deliver profitable growth as we execute on our strategy. Operator, we are now ready

Speaker 5

Thank And our first question comes from the line of John Marchetti with Stifel.

Speaker 6

Thanks very much. Seamus, I was wondering if you could talk a little bit about some of the in datacom. Obviously, seeing very good telecom strength here, but just wanted to get your take on maybe where we are in sort of this downtrend on the datacom side and maybe looking out maybe a little bit longer term to see what your expectations are for that portion of the business turning around a little bit?

Speaker 3

Unlike maybe some of the prior slowdowns that we saw where a lot of the slowdown previously was driven by pricing. That pricing seems to have stabilized. So that's the good news. The current softness appears to be demand driven, primarily demand driven. We do remain optimistic as demand for data bandwidth and capacity will continue to grow.

So over the longer term, we remain optimistic. But the downturn we're seeing right now is, let's say, more volume driven than price driven. At the same time, our broad portfolio of customer programs in multiple end markets means that the growth in other areas can offset much of the data comes softness we see. So we don't see it as a not necessarily a very significant issue but it is more volume driven, I would say, than price driven.

Speaker 6

Okay. Okay. And then if we move over to the guidance on the telecom side, I'm just curious with all the puts and takes that we've heard from some of your customers and even some of the systems level customers in the industry, how much as you're looking out, I don't know if it's possible, but can you sort of parse maybe what you're seeing from new program demand coming on, your revenue that maybe wouldn't have had a couple of quarters ago versus sort of what the underlying demand is. And we're just trying to, I think, really to look more out into next calendar year to get a sense for maybe how the telecom business continues to perform.

Speaker 3

So we're I would say quite happy with the progress we're making on the telecom side and the growth we're seeing there. We have in the past, we had a metric for new business, which we have we used to call revenue from new business historically, which reference new customers really since the beginning of 2014, which really too long ago. So given that many of these programs are now entering their 60 year, we no longer talk about that metric. We're looking at to see if there's other measures that might make more sense, but the new business that we see, we continue to increase both the dollars and as a percentage of total revenue And that's both new business from new customers and new programs from existing customers. Most of the growth, the majority of the growth would come from new business with existing customers.

But the pipeline, I would say, is quite strong, quite robust And as we've talked about in some of our prior meetings, we're going after, again, both new customers, but also new programs from existing customers and also looking to expand up the way vertically, into the system space with some of the customers who, for whom we're providing component level services today and we're looking to expand that and we've had some success in that regard. So we feel quite positive, I would say, about the pipeline and about the new business wins we've been seeing.

Speaker 6

Got it. And then maybe lastly, Travis, I may have missed it, but did you give any of the 10% customer commentary in the quarter? Was hopping between a couple of calls. So I apologize if I missed that.

Speaker 4

John, this is Charlotte. We have we are only providing 10 and customers at the end of the year. So we haven't provided that. And we continue to speak to our process and provide that at our year end.

Speaker 6

Got it. Thank you.

Speaker 5

Our next question comes from the line of Alex Anderson with Needham And Company.

Speaker 7

So I guess I joined the NIO on that one. So anyway, I was hoping we could talk a little bit about the systems companies coming in, if you could give us some sense of where you are on bringing up Cisco, what the timeline might be. When you think that gets to kind of run rate revenues, And to what extent, you think you're now at run rate relative to, in Panera? And where you are on any additional systems companies?

Speaker 3

So thanks Alex. So first of all, yes, we did announce the Cisco when we announced that Cisco when, let's say, we said that we expected Cisco to be a 10% customer in FY 2021. We think we're still on track for that. We remain quite optimistic about that and about the pace of the ramp. We think we should be ramped primarily, I would say largely ramped at the end of the calendar year.

We should be largely at the run rate by the end of the calendar year. Again, the let's say the 10% nature of the customer, we talk about that at the end of the year, but we're we're quite happy that we feel we're on pace there and should be an large amount towards the end of the year. In Finera, we did the burn and transfer within Finera, that's now behind us. And of course, in prior quarters Infinera had talked about an inventory correction, which which now seems to be in the past and we're back to the normal run rate. So I would say we're at the run rate right now within Finera.

And then there's other systems out of companies. We're certainly targeting, but it's too early to talk about at this stage. We're very much targeting not a huge number of customers. We don't need a huge number of customers. We just need a small number of significant wins like we have been able to accomplish so far with both Infinera and So we're very firmly targeting 1 or 2 more of those.

Speaker 7

So looking at the Cisco situation, is it fair to say a little bit in the fourth quarter, but not a material number. And then ramping gradually in the first quarter and then hitting your kind of run rate as you exit the 4th quarter or fiscal year, but not take full quarter's worth So the 1st full quarter would be then 3rd quarter. Is that the right process?

Speaker 3

Yes. I think that'd be fair. Yeah.

Speaker 7

Perfect. And then going back to the datacom side for a second, if I could, it's Louis Rising, because the datacom has been reasonably strong from most of the numbers that have been printed. I know you don't tie to any in specific, but obviously, we saw some pretty good numbers out of our rest of the day at the same time that you guys are printing. And there's been other positive commentary around data Tom. So, is that a function, do you think, of maybe some share shift within your customer base to people who may not be in your customer base?

Is it potentially associated with some of the 5G stuff taking a little longer to ramp. What do you think is the behind that softness, as the driver?

Speaker 2

We think it's probably

Speaker 3

more program transition related than share shift. We certainly haven't lost any customers or any programs. Sometimes there might be some share shift going on, let's say, between our customers, to like you say programs that we're not necessarily producing, but it's more likely to be program shifts within our customers where they're transitioning from one program to another and maybe you're ramping down an older program and haven't fully ramped up a newer program. So

Speaker 7

That's not correctly. You had said that that was going to be the case in the 3rd quarter calendar, but that you thought it would rebound in the 4th quarter. Now you're saying that it expected to continue to be weak. Is that because of the delay in that ramp? And therefore, we should anticipate a non seasonal benefit, as if ramps in the normally seasonally weak March quarter?

Speaker 3

Yes, hopefully. I mean, we're still optimistic about that. But that transition that we talked about previously is continuing there. I think that's probably a fair way to look at it. It's the transition is lasting a little bit longer than we'd like that our customer would like, but we still feel optimistic about it longer term.

Speaker 7

So any sense of what drives that transition this differential? And then I'll see you in the floor.

Speaker 4

Alex, this is Chandra. So what we have seen in the last, I would say, two quarters that you mentioned, we also had a transition of one of our particular customer. We thought it was going to be done largely this quarter that transition shift we started to see the higher data rates of transceivers picking up actually. So that could be one of drivers. Why 100 G still remains very strong?

You started to see QSFP56 is coming up and double the transceivers starting to come in the pipeline. So this might be a knock on effect of bringing up the new products and then somewhat tapering off the 100 g and and same time bringing up the higher data rate products. So that's the common denominator we are seeing across many customers rather than any particular share or shift.

Speaker 5

Our next question comes from the line of Dave King with B. Riley.

Speaker 6

Hi, this is Danny on for Dave. Going off the question about Cisco and Infinera, I was wondering if you could provide any additional color around the demand. And around any ramp from Infiner in addition to Cisco?

Speaker 3

I'm sorry, we can't provide any outlook on demand from specific customers. We just we don't want to be for our customers on these on these calls. So, I'm afraid I can't provide that information.

Speaker 6

Okay. Got it. That's fair. And, well, I guess, an additional question would be, are there any verticals that you're particularly excited about? You mentioned the autos and telecom earlier.

What's giving you the confidence in these 2 sectors? And, how should we think about that going forward?

Speaker 3

Yes, I think there's a few areas. So there's you mentioned automotive for us. Traditional automotive came back quite strong actually in the quarter. A little bit unexpectedly, but maybe for us more exciting is the new automotive, especially LiDAR. We've had some We've had some good, good solid wins in that space and that area is growing for us and it's a really good fit for us.

In addition, the industry laser business, even though that whole sector is somewhat down, it's very much underpenetrated from an outsourcing perspective. So we feel very very positive about that sector longer term. 3rd would be the system business and vertically integrating, moving up the value chain for our customers. We've some really good success there. We'll be very selective as we pursue that business.

We're not just chasing revenue. We're chasing high quality revenue from high quality customer so far, we've been very successful. I would say quite fortunate in that regard. And then the 4th area is if you like the broader area of precision sensors generally focused on some of the markets we serve traditionally, but also medical and some other markets. So we feel we have a really good, let's say, mix of segments and sectors that have enough in common for us to be very effective at and do a very, very good job for our customers but also that provide good diversification for us.

So we're quite optimistic, I would say, about our longer term growth prospects and I think it's shown through if you look at our growth over the last, the last while it's been quite robust in the face of, several headwinds like COVID and Huawei and whatnot So, so we, yeah, we remain quite optimistic.

Speaker 5

And we have a follow-up question from the line of Alex Anderson with Needham.

Speaker 7

Okay. Thanks. So I wanted to talk a little bit about the Industrial Laser business. The primary one of your primary customers obviously reported this morning and they had a very steep decline in the trailing period, but offered sequential flat numbers saying that they believe that that business is finally bottomed. And I know that you've been picking up some share, as well.

So I'm trying to understand how do I, look at the industrial laser business, which normally seasonally stronger in the first half of the year next year as well. So is it, is there something beyond the current, the obvious customer that is also seeing some weakness to cause it, a conservative guide sequentially into the upcoming quarter?

Speaker 3

No, I think it's more to do with that industry generally. We're currently we don't produce all of the products if you like for all of the customers. So we're really at the whim of the demand in the marketplace for the customers products for the products we do produce. The strategy is more around deeper outsourcing penetration. Those companies we believe who are not just that heavily outsourced will need to outsource more and more.

Where we really plan to capitalize. So there's kind of a short term versus the anceralx and a long term version. In the short term, we're at the whim of what happens in that marketplace longer term, we feel very positive about the industry laser, if you like segment for us generally. It's a really good fit for us. So far, any of customers we have in that space.

We've done a very, very good job for them and we think we can continue to expand the outsourcing. We can expand our relationships with those companies as they increasing the outsource.

Speaker 5

Thank you. We have another follow-up question from the line of John Marchetti with Stifel.

Speaker 6

Seamus, I know you don't have any real direct exposure to Huawei, but with some of the key customers, certainly indicating that that revenue stream is continuing to weaken as we look out over the next several quarters. How do you think about that market for you or that share that that rep sense, particularly as we look out into next calendar year, how quickly maybe can some of that get reallocated, particularly with your production lines, does it require a tremendous amount of rework to go from Huawei, say, to a different systems level vendor. And just trying to think of maybe how we think about that as a headwind as we're looking more into calendar 'twenty one?

Speaker 3

Thanks, John. Yes, a couple of parts to the answer. I'd say first of all, the impact to us last quarter, let's say, the quarter just ended was, was, I would say negligible, if you can appreciate the the sanctions and everything else came very late in the quarter. Therefore, the quarter was pretty much set and we were able to pull in and ship most of what was needed by I think 14th September was the date there. So there was a very minimal impact in Q1.

Our Q2 guidance incorporates a headwind of about $25,000,000 to $30,000,000 from customers impacted by the Huawei sanctions. So that's That's incorporated into our Q2 guidance. And in other words, were it not for the sanctions, we'd be guiding $20,000,000 to $25,000,000 to $30,000,000 above our outlook today. So it's a it's a not insignificant impact. It's a sizable impact but we've been able to overcome that headwind and still guide guide up.

As regards, how quickly our customers can convert over and how quickly we can convert over production lines. The converting of production lines is I don't want to minimize the impact, but it's quite small. The pacing item, we believe will be more to do with those other non Huawei customers getting the qualifications done. In a timely manner. They have to qualify, the products And that can take time sometimes.

So we don't anticipate any great delays on our partners in some cases, our customers have been adding capacity to produce these products. And I think our customers remain quite optimistic about the products to have this and really excellent products there will be, I would say, a transition over the next couple of quarters as our customers transition over to non Huawei customers and we're ready to support them do whatever it takes to make sure they're successful there. But I don't think there's any hugely gauging item or pacing item from our side. It's more to do with the end customer just qualifying the products. Does that make sense, John?

Speaker 6

Absolutely. Thanks so much, Seamus.

Speaker 3

Operator, if you're still on the line.

Speaker 5

And I'm sure we have another follow-up question from the line of Alex Anderson with Needham.

Speaker 3

Thank you, operator.

Speaker 7

Great. Thank you very much. So two questions, both on kind of progress in the front. One is what's going on with your Israel prototyping facility. And second one, is, could you give us an update on where you are on the production expansion, and plans?

Speaker 3

Sure. So first of all, in Israel, we have a lot of, I would say, very exciting activity going on in Israel right now. With a high level of with the facility up and running, we have a high level of interest from customers and that's both existing Israel based customers of ours, but also a lot of interest from new customers, new to Fabrinet customers. We've won some business. It's not huge in terms of revenue, but it's hugely important in terms of bringing on new business and new customers.

Of course, Alex, as you know, driving revenue is not necessarily the focus of new product introductions facility. The focus of NPI is more on winning new programs and new customer relationship. With quick turn and prototyping and other late design stage services as the enabler, if you like, of growth. And in that context, the goal then of course is still very much ultimately to drive volume manufacturing to Thailand. I would say in that context, we're very happy with the progress there.

And really have a lot of activity and a lot of interest and have won some business there. The second part of your question to do with

Speaker 7

me before we get off of that, are those new customers to fabric it altogether?

Speaker 3

Some are, yes, some are new customers to Fabinate and they're in the I would say in the communication space, but also in other non communications areas such as new automotive, medical defense and aerospace and other segments that are, that are, I would say new and exciting for Fabrinet. So yes, plenty of plenty of opportunity there. It really is a very, very busy hotbed of technology and activity.

Speaker 7

Perfect. And on the capacity expansion progress in Thailand?

Speaker 3

Yes. So obviously, we're very happy. I would say I'm excited to have a solution for increasing capacity at our main campus in Pinehurst for the customers who who want to expand there. We started the expansion in the fourth quarter and it will take several quarters until it's completed. Because unlike, let's say, a new building in a sense is more straightforward because you just build the building.

Whereas with a move like this on an already busy campus, there's a lot of moving around that has to happen before it comes into full effects. But we we're I would say the project is underway And at the same time, we continue to attract new customers to the Chamboree campus. And we're seeing much increased production volumes there and evaluating what our next expansion steps might be.

Speaker 7

Great. Thank you very much.

Speaker 3

Thanks Alex.

Speaker 5

Thank you. And I'm showing no further questions. I will now turn the call back over to CEO, Seamus Grady, for any further remarks.

Speaker 3

Thank you all for joining our call today. We're pleased to have exceeded our guidance with you as we look ahead as well as meeting with some of you virtually at the Needham Conference in November and the MTM conference in December. Thank you and goodbye.

Speaker 5

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating and you may now disconnect.

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