Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR)
NYSE: FOUR · Real-Time Price · USD
45.29
-0.96 (-2.08%)
At close: Apr 24, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT
45.75
+0.46 (1.02%)
After-hours: Apr 24, 2026, 7:54 PM EDT
← View all transcripts

Wolfe FinTech Forum

Mar 11, 2026

Speaker 3

Guys, why don't we jump in again? Thank you everyone for joining us on day two of the Wolfe FinTech Forum. Really happy to have Shift4 with us, a company that I'll never forget this IPO, and Chris remembers it as much as I do, just given where he was at Searchlight at the time, you know, as an owner of it. Right in the middle of COVID, a company focused on restaurants and hotels coming public when everyone decided not to do anything but stay home. It was an interesting time, but ended up being a very successful IPO, and really has grown quite a bit since, and has been a very successful company since. With that, we're really happy to have Chris with us. Thanks for joining us.

You've been with us for many years, as we were just saying, but on a different panel.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Yes.

Speaker 3

Happy to have you on the operating role now.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Yeah

Speaker 3

as the CFO of Shift4 Payments.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Thank you for having us. It's always fantastic to be here. This is just a must-attend event in my mind, and I'd like to keep the streak going.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Chris.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

For many years to come.

Speaker 3

Thanks. Let's start with just, you know, it's been, what, four months or so now since you've been in this role, right?

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Almost six.

Speaker 3

Oh, six. All right.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Yeah.

Speaker 3

I mean, when you think about the learnings you've had, you know, shifting from investor to operator, I mean, you've been on the board, but help us understand what you're seeing that's different and what you're learning about the business that is worth sharing?

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Yeah. For context, I've actually even though I'm new in the seat, not new to the company.

Speaker 3

Yep.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

I've been involved with Shift4 Payments for almost a decade now. Well, 10 years running, five years representing the controlling private equity shareholder as a partner at a private equity fund. Five years of that life where I wore a lot of hats in the company, but you know, never got the title recognition. Then five years after the IPO in 2020 as a director. I have had the vantage point of being able to see this business just do extraordinary things. I mean, you're talking about the journey that you know, for all of the folks in this room have probably seen the five years of public life. It's incredible what the company has come through and where the company is now.

The things we do in one year is already like, quite breathtaking. From my vantage point, I actually have seen what is a north of 20x growth in EBITDA in 10 years. It is just a phenomenal growth machine.

Speaker 3

Yeah.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

A compounder of value, and it's just been incredible to see it resiliently navigate through so many different episodes of life.

Speaker 3

Your mic just stopped there.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Oh, sorry. It's been amazing to see the business just evolve through so many resilient phases of life, not least of which COVID as you described it. Even, you know, competing in a zero interest rate environment when money is free and everyone's idea is worth funding, that's something we lived through too. It's a pretty incredible business with a lot of durable modes. Excited to now be back into a front row seat.

Speaker 3

Yeah. No, it definitely has grown into a ton of new verticals over the time that we've watched it. And it's incredible to see the really what's ahead of us with some of the deals you've done. Just before we go into that, I mean, you recently reported fourth quarter gave guidance for 2026. Maybe just explain some of the puts and takes during the quarter and major assumptions that underpin the revenue and volume guidance for the year ahead of us first.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Yeah, sure. To start at the 2026 guidance and sort of breaking it down a little bit into its parts, one of the things that we tried to introduce was really this concept of a growth algorithm. How to deconstruct the business into a few parts that are digestible.

Speaker 3

Yep

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

that are areas that people are trying to get acclimated to. One of the first parts of that is disaggregating within the revenue streams, within the gross revenue less network fees streams, disaggregating tax-free shopping. Calling that out, breaking that out, and then giving a pro forma growth outlook on that component of the business. Separating away from our North Star, which is payments-based revenue.

Within that payments-based revenue, really trying to disaggregate for people an understanding of two distinct narratives. The Americas region, where our most mature market makes up the majority of the payments-based revenue, and is where all of our market-leading products are available and served, and will not, for 2026, have any noise from the annualization of M&A from the prior year. A pretty clean view on the mature part of our business, and you contrast that inside of payments-based revenue to the worldwide segment. Super fast-growing part of the business where we are disrupting what is effectively, a competitive environment of bank terminals that are unintegrated from the perspective of payments.

Almost looking at it through the lens of integrated payments many, many years ago in the Americas is kind of the environment we see in Europe, and we're gonna disrupt it with market-leading solutions that have been battle-tested in the Americas. When you deconstruct all of those components within the growth pro forma and then subscription and other, a low single-digit growth outlook. You combine it all together and that's the algorithm that we're trying to convey to folks and help them understand. Within actual variables that are probably worth calling out that we have called out.

Speaker 3

Yep.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

One of the biggest ones that's been topical for us for quite some time, especially in the second half of last year, was the same-store sales environment in the Americas in payments-based. What we really tried to say about that same-store sales environment is that for this year, we're trying to give a neutral outlook, a flat same-store sales perspective. That's what's embedded into the guide. Historically, we probably would have had low single digits positive contribution embedded into the guide from same-store sales. If you go back through the history of same-store sales, it would have been positive, a positive contributor in most years.

This year in the guide, we're modeling that or we're guiding that neutral, a slightly negative first half that continues off of the Q4 trends, and then a moderately positive back half, which is just anniversarying on soft comps. That's one thing to think about there. Then, the other thing I'll call out as it relates to the tax-free shopping component of the guide, you know, we're trying to be conservative around the variables that we know are already showing themselves as having some headwinds in front of them. Things like Asian travel tourism tensions between Japan and China.

Speaker 3

Yeah

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

as well as some currency dynamics, where the outlook on the US dollar relative to the euro was a little soft. It's obviously strengthened since we've had the Middle East conflicts and the GCC conflicts. Now, you know, we do still think that it is important for investors to understand that a strong US dollar is net positive to the demand side of tax-free shopping, far more so than the financial translation benefit of a weak US dollar. For us, when we see this US dollar weakening outlook from the big money center banks, et cetera, in a forecast, we have to make sure that that gets into the guide.

On top of all of that, we also just view that the first year you own a business, and this is a bit of my own philosophy from the many years of the seat that I used to sit in, the first year you own a business, you have to be conservative on it. It's just important. It's prudent. A lot of things can go bump. Obviously, the events in the Middle East are a great example of that.

Speaker 3

Yeah. I wanna get into conservatism and guidance in a moment, but before I do, just given the view you have, guys, Shift4 Payments processing is probably the largest processor for hotels that I can think of in the world, certainly for stadiums around the world. Most of the stadiums we all go to, they're processing at this point, and you've grown that extremely well, and restaurants. You have a really good view of a lot of key sectors.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

The experience economy, as we call it, yeah.

Speaker 3

Well, I mean, can you just give us a quick snapshot of what you're seeing happening now at hotels, and maybe it's, is it a K-shaped economy, or restaurants? Stadiums are probably pretty resilient, I would imagine.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Yeah, I would say that, when you actually look at where commerce is happening, you put it well, right? The experience economy verticals where folks are actually going shopping, dining, staying, playing, those kinds of areas, that's where you're gonna find a lot of our solutions. What we see is definitely the continued trend of this concept of a K-shaped economy. We can see it in our data, but actually you can see it in a lot of data. One of the things I often cite, especially in lodging, because lodging in the U.S. is so perfectly segmented from a chain scale standpoint, that when you pull down data from a third-party provider, one of the well-known ones would be like STR, right?

You can see that the economy versus luxury, same-store sales that they're reporting, occupancy stats and the sort, it's pretty clear. You don't have to ask for a proprietary look from anyone. It's pretty clear the dynamics. Anecdotally, we obviously have the benefit of being able to talk to folks, and, you know, phrases that you'll hear is, it's not as if the economy end of that spectrum is soft or weak. In some aspects, it doesn't exist.

That would probably be trend one, probably not that new news to folks, but it is consistent with some of the things we're seeing. I'd say the other thing that we're seeing is that, at least to start the year, things were looking pretty stable. Things were actually looking pretty positive in the Americas, and I would say the only thing to caveat around that was weather. For weather, it would've been a really solidly positive start to the year.

Speaker 3

Okay. That's helpful. Let's take it back to guidance for a minute. I mean, listen, last year there were a couple of hiccups on the results versus the initial guide. Investors had thought there was conservatism. It turned out to being more in line at or sometimes even a little shy of it. How do we feel confident that right now you've built in the proper conservatism in the outlook you just gave for the year ahead of us?

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Yeah. I think the way to probably think about some of the variables that you could look to that might be a bit different from prior years' guide. We talked about same-store sales as one, so I'm not gonna belabor that point. You know, that is a low single-digit positive contributor to, we'll say, historical guides, historical points in time, grounded on the fact that it has historically been-

Speaker 3

Right. Now you're calling for flat.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Right. Now we're calling for flat. The other one I would probably call out is that historically you also had the benefit of inflation plus pricing environments that if anyone was to look at their Netflix bill or anything that, you know, you have as an expenditure, over the last few years, you probably got more, maybe in some instances a lot more than inflation plus from a pricing or an ARPU expansion or what have you. I think the payments industry is no different, and so in some historical years within the guides, you would've embedded something that looked a little more inflation plus. I think that's something that I've tried to call out by saying we're anticipating, and it's now gonna age terribly, but we were anticipating a benign inflationary backdrop.

A hard thing to say with $90 oil, but that is.

Speaker 3

Yeah

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

something that we were anticipating within the guide. I do think that those two variables would've been like low single digit positive contributors onto themselves, each individually, so maybe an MSD kind of impact.

Speaker 3

You think you probably did build in a mid-single digit type level of conservatism in the outlook just based on macro factors more than?

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Yeah, I won't exactly phrase it that way, but I would say that, you know, those are the things that more tangibly you can call out as differences.

Speaker 3

Depending on what the macro does. Okay. Let's shift to organic growth. I mean, Shift4 Payments, and I've, as long as I've covered it, has done an amazing job integrating assets that you acquire that really make perfect sense. With that said, investors really are kinda hungry to know what the underlying organic profile looks like. Help us frame what you see as this year's organic profile and how that compares to last year.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Yeah, I think that the growth algorithm introduction that ultimately, depending on how you sort of cut and slice it, you're ultimately gonna land on a place that suggests low double digits as the LDD dynamic. It was very intentional in the way that we tried to break out the components of this growth algorithm so that you could see America's payments-based, again, largest component of the payments-based revenues, that will largely be unaffected by the annualization of any prior year M&A. Mid-teens there, that's about as ex M&A as it gets, for an incredibly mature market in our largest part of our business. The intention of breaking out a pro forma growth component of tax-free shopping allows you to get at the same concept, right?

This is the effect of some sort of an annualization noise. This is what that's doing. Then subscription and other, that's giving us a low single digit. You can basically isolate out the worldwide component of payments-based revenue because that will be very much affected by the annualization of the M&A of Global Blue, of Appetize, and look at the business as a whole and say, "I have a pretty clear picture of what this business is doing excluding the effect of M&A." It's actually no different than, we'll say, the implied fourth quarter in terms of what was happening from a growth standpoint.

When you look at the year, when you look at the fourth quarter, even what should be implied by the first quarter's guide, LDD is the way to think about the business.

Speaker 3

Okay. Just how does that compare to last year?

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

I would say in last year, and it does tie back a little bit to the components that.

Speaker 3

Right

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

You know, we just described.

Speaker 3

The macro stuff too, yeah.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

In terms of these two macro variables of inflation plus and SSS. I think in last year, that would've been, in the third quarter we had reported an 18% rebased growth, and then earlier in the year when SSS was actually positively contributing, we were seeing north of 20%.

Speaker 3

Okay. Let's shift to free cash flow, 'cause as much as, you know, I think investors kind of expected more moderate growth expectations than prior street numbers for top line, free cash was a little bit of a surprise, a negative surprise to the street when you came out with flat guidance effectively year-over-year. There were some inputs in that that I think it's worth sharing and just re-explaining again. You know, help us understand, you know, what informed that flat profile year-over-year. Thinking about what you've talked about medium term for a minute. You know, you talked about a billion-dollar exit run rate exiting 2027 for free cash. Just where do you stand on that and maybe put this year into context with that?

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Yeah, sure. What did we talk about on free cash flow? Let's start there. What we tried to give people visibility into is the free cash flow bridge and why year-over-year adjusted free cash flow is expected to be flat at $500 million. That's our as a guide point. The biggest component of this is the annualization of interest expense on one side is a year-over-year headwind to free cash flow, and then the reduction in interest income.

Speaker 3

Right.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

is probably something that also people didn't necessarily pick up on. For context, we were carrying cash balances that were quite high last year. If you looked at the Q2, for example, Q2 earnings or Q2 Form 10-Q, you would've seen a $3 billion cash balance sitting on the books at a time when interest income was actually generating quite a high rate. You normalize for those two effects, and that gets you the vast majority of the way in terms of the bridge.

that you need to model. The second part of it becomes this concept of the Global Blue both timing of close and seasonality of the tax-free shopping business. Tax-free shopping is a seasonal business where in the first half of the year it's free cash flow consumptive, so it does not generate much free cash flow. In the second half of the year, the working capital unwinds, and it becomes very free cash flow generative. In a year, it just looks like a free cash flow generative business, in a conversion rate that isn't that far off from the broader business's overall conversion rate.

The issue is that we closed on the business on July 3, so in 2025's numbers, you get the second half effect of the positive, and you don't have the first half effect.

Speaker 3

The bleed.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Of the low consumption. I think when we came into this year, you know, I would argue that yeah, the communications I think as I rewind the clock, I think the communications could have been better such that a business that was public that, you know, we had assumed in the business of retail, which is obviously seasonal, we would've assumed that to be maybe less of a surprise. The fact that it is now sort of an understood, I hope understood, fully transparent kind of part of the equation, I hope that's now fully out there. The last part of the free cash flow piece is the component that is we are investing.

Integrating the business this year of Global Blue is also about expanding pan-regionally across EMEA and APAC. As we do those things, we are investing and that shows up in the free cash flow bridge. That shows up in a lot of forms of investments such as investments in go-to-market infrastructure, and investments in, we do call it out as well, investments in AI. Within that whole bridge when you step back, the majority of it is the capital structure annualization. You have the effect of Global Blue, and you have the effect of-

Speaker 3

Right

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

of international expansion. The second part of your question, how does that now flow into the previous goal, an aspirational but achievable goal of a $1 billion exit run rate $27 figure, that had been previously described. I would say that it is important for people to understand that the algorithm that you look at in 2026 for free cash flow, that's what you should be focused on, that's what I'm focused on.

Speaker 3

Okay.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Right? I'm not here to provide an outlook in my first year as a CFO, in my first year in setting the guide. I think what people need to hear from me is 2026. They need to understand how do you model the growth algorithm of the business? How do you model free cash flow in the business? I really want you to take away from it that in that bridge, the incremental free cash flow conversion is called out at 60%. That is the number to look at for modeling incremental free cash flow conversion. So you pick your sort of approach to adjusted EBITDA dollar growth, you convert that at 60%, and it would be hard to get to a significant expansion on overall adjusted free cash flow from the 42, right?

You're gonna grow probably single-digit percentage points on the 42, but the math of it is fully laid out. That's probably my number one most important takeaway for people when they ask me about, you know.

Speaker 3

Okay

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

free cash flow, because I'm not here to set some sort of a guide point.

Speaker 3

Okay. All right

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Beyond 2026.

Speaker 3

I think we understand. All right. Just building off of what you were talking about with Global Blue, I mean, international expansion, it should provide for, I think, a nice cross-sell opportunity when you think of internationalization of the business for even more than you've already done.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Yeah, absolutely. I mean, it is one of the most exciting parts of the business right now. It's because you have to start with like the macro of the framework, the competitive framework, the industry structure in the markets that we're expanding into. We're going after unintegrated bank terminals.

We're bringing solutions that win and have battle-tested winning proven capabilities in the most competitive market in the world. That feels like the right place to therefore invest your incremental and marginal dollars. So when people ask, you know, "Could you accelerate investment and really close the gap on the market leader on restaurants in the U.S.?" I say, "I could, but I'll generate a heck of a higher return going after unintegrated bank terminals in the European market where we're bringing battle-tested market-leading solutions." That's just a better utilization and allocation of capital. But I think that it's an exciting place also because we just made an investment in a business that gives us day one pan-regional, full across the board European infrastructure and APAC infrastructure, but let's focus on Europe for a second.

Global Blue, as much as the cross-sell is exciting, as much as the market-leading position within a very killer application within retail of tax-free shopping is all exciting, to us, one of the most underappreciated elements of the asset is day one pan-regional instant infrastructure.

Speaker 3

Yeah.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

on which to bring all of our products into, right? That is something that, I think is, one of the most underappreciated aspects, of the business. You have to appreciate too that when we get the core product of Shift4 One, which is tax-free shopping, plus payments, plus currency solutions, all into a single device out into the market, targeting for 15 countries this year, right? When that gets out there, you have to appreciate the amount of payment platform development that also has to happen so that local payment methods, local wallets are all accepted, all the operations support, provisioning infrastructure had to be in place.

Speaker 3

Yep.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

All of that is totally usable for every other of our card-present solutions serving the experience economy. Oh, by the way, we have a lot of customers that are just waiting for us to turn the lights on, that'll follow us into the market.

Speaker 3

I mean, look, when we think about Shift4 right now and going ahead, you have, let's call it $250 billion of end-to-end volume. I mean, you have $100 billion of volume you could attack just with Global Blue of SMBs.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

SMB, yeah

Speaker 3

out of the $500 billion that Global Blue has. That should make perfect sense, I think, for your solution that you can bring over onto your platform.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Yeah, that's exactly right, and that's gonna be the focus area. It's interesting because it's a business whose backbone was built on enterprise because serving the largest global luxury brands in and having like an 80% market share doing it, they are excellent at that. The SMB DNA that Shift4 has to bring payment solutions that actually end up becoming, as folks in this room will know, just a really good unit economic proposition in SMB. Like when you do payments, SMB is a really powerful part of the economic segments. If you're doing tax-free shopping, enterprise is what keeps all the lights on, and it's the best place to be because the volumes are so good.

For us, we actually are bringing an SMB first DNA into a business that has been less focused on its SMBs.

Speaker 3

Right

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

tens of thousands of SMBs because a small boutique in Milan does want to have and offer tax-free shopping, but they are not nearly as valuable to the Global Blue business, to the tax-free shopping business as pick your luxury global brand. It's an interesting synergy that we bring to the table on just focus, on competency. An enterprise-first business meets an SMB-first business, and we now have a product set that will make the unit economics of SMB super attractive when you put together tax-free shopping, plus payments, plus currency solutions. We're gonna go after that opportunity as the primary focus.

Speaker 3

I mean, has there been any evidence of success you could point to so far? How's it been going, and just what's the timeline on this? 'Cause again, this is, I think, probably one of the most important data points to get the stock working, is success with this integration.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Yeah, look, I think that, being live in multiple countries, with multiple merchants on a product that's never existed before is a huge proof point, and it's a huge point of pride. To be able to then set a target, where you actually want to expand very quickly in opening multiple countries at once, which does mean not just this product, but all of the payment infrastructure in behind it, that is no small feat. From that perspective, essentially, when are you actually gonna start seeing the realization of the $80 million of revenue synergies? I think that that remains on the pace that we guided to. I think that it's on us to be able to prove that that could be accelerated.

I'm not here to make a change right now around the previous guidance that was set around revenue synergies.

Speaker 3

Just remind us the timing again?

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Yeah. $80 million fully realized in the 2027 timeframe.

Speaker 3

Okay.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

You'll actually see proof points in the year of 2026. But ultimately, I'm not here to change the outlook on the overall.

Speaker 3

When we think about profitability of the company now, 'cause obviously when you integrate assets, there could be some impact to margins and noise short term. I mean, how do we think about overall margin profile of the core business, more the mature assets, I guess you could say, and just levers you can use to drive margin expansion over the medium term?

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Yeah. I'm glad you asked the question that way because it is a tale of two different markets, right? The idea that you have an Americas mature market where the margin profile is really attractive, that's embedded within the business, and then you have our expansion. This is putting aside the Global Blue transaction. Just the expansion into any new region, any new market is gonna come with a margin headwind, because until you get the density, the gross profit density in a country, you will have a lower margin profile, just the laws of physics of it. That's what we're experiencing as we continue to expand abroad.

When you think about the EBITDA margins of the business overall, this idea that, you know, the guidance would suggest sort of a 47% EBITDA margin, that EBITDA margin profile does still have within it the expansion headwinds. Yes, it has a combination of the profile of Global Blue, which we had previously disclosed was a low 40s EBITDA margin business. You know, being in a new country, and in the case of Europe, multiple new countries, you have much lower margin profiles as you build up density. I do think that it is prudent to understand that there are puts and takes within where that EBITDA margin can go.

In some respects, the faster we're growing, the more we're growing inside of these expansion markets, the more you might see some of that, some of those margin headwinds. We will do what we've done historically, which is try to find places to allocate capital and try to build up density more quickly, which then might allow us to potentially improve upon those margin profiles. I do think people need to understand that about this interplay of fast growth and expansion, what is due to margins, versus if we can allocate capital, we might be able to improve margins.

Speaker 3

Right. Okay. DCC, Dynamic Currency Conversion, has been an opportunity for you guys really more so now, especially in light of Global Blue having that offering you can utilize. Are you gonna be ready to use that in the U.S. for the World Cup? I mean, where are you on that opportunity? 'Cause it seems like consumers coming into the U.S. should wanna use it. We haven't historically seen it in the U.S. that much.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Yeah. It's interesting 'cause it's. I would say in. I'll step back, and let's not even just call it DCC. Like, FX-based revenue or currency-based revenue products that we can bring to consumer-to-business payment environments is one of the most exciting things that is, again, an underappreciated component of what we acquired within Global Blue. Because, yes, it is an opportunity to cross-sell probably first and foremost our European base.

Speaker 3

Yep.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Right? The idea that you can actually bring a DCC solution that's up and running and working, and cross-sell it onto our European base, that is a really attractive revenue synergy opportunity. This idea of bringing it to the U.S., which for folks that have followed us for a while, we were actually developing our own DCC solution. When we acquired Global Blue, we were able to actually put that on pause and bring this solution in. The adoption of DCC, the consumption of it isn't that prevalent in the U.S. because for the most part, travelers understand that everything is indexed against the US dollar. It's less about the opt-in and the usage of it.

Where it becomes incredibly competitively important is that on the margin, there are hotels that when they run the RFP, do say, "Do you provide DCC?" We've actually lost RFPs on the basis that we actually didn't.

Speaker 3

Okay.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

That's why we were developing it to begin with. I would say it may not have as pronounced of an impact on, we'll say the take rates or the adoption or the upticks, but I think competitively, if you are gonna win things like the World Cup or other massive global events, it's just like you have to have it just to play. That actually shows up in hotels, and that actually shows up in other forms of international commerce that, you know, might be trying to come to the U.S.

Speaker 3

Time-wise, by the World Cup?

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

You got it.

Speaker 3

All right. I wanna leave time for the audience for a couple of questions. Let me ask you a couple of quick ones. Just Bambora's, I think, around $80 billion volume opportunity to convert over. Where are you on that? What's the timeline on that? 'Cause again, I mean, that's something you've done well with gateway conversions before on. Then when I think about all the other deals you've done, I mean, have you really integrated everything properly, whether it's Vectron or Givex or Finaro. It seems like a lot, and just wanna make sure you guys have done what you need to do on those deals before you move on to the next.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Yeah. I like that question. It's like a question I would ask when I was on the board. Are we there yet? Are we realizing yet? Obviously the Bambora transaction just closed, but in the sign-to-close process, you get a lot of time to plan. We are really confident in the underlying ability to execute on gateway conversions. That is probably the most successful transaction type in terms of the payments cross-sell or the monetization of payments off of any other payment-adjacent product. It's something we're very excited about and why you really couldn't walk away. Why we're excited about that deal.

The second part though, this idea of integrating in general, I think the pace of progress that we have around integration is, continues to meet what our expectations are as a culture that constantly preaches delete the parts, get flat, stay flat, we integrate, truly integrate.

Speaker 3

Yeah.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

At an operational level, at a revenue model level, and from our perspective, the pace of those integrations is going as we would expect. That said, we have stated in the past that we do think, and we can analyze this, that there is a 200 basis points-300 basis point opportunity with some of our older acquisitions that still, from a margin standpoint, that could still probably be further optimized, further integrated, and that remains.

Speaker 3

Okay. All right. Last question for me is just capital allocation. I mean, I think you have $500 million left on your current buyback offer.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Sorry. Go ahead.

Speaker 3

When we think about your use of capital going forward, you know, I'm curious to know if M&A is still gonna be a big part of the story given how much you've already done and need to probably keep digesting. Just let the audience know what your strategy is and your thought process is there.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Yeah. I'll start by pointing to one of the things that's been an incredibly consistent part of what we've done is operate with a capital allocation framework that allows us to be very thoughtful about driving the best relative returns with capital across acquisitions, across organic investments into customer acquisition, across, you know, managing things like share repurchases, and the sort. I don't think anything should be viewed as a change to the way with which we look at the capital allocation framework that we've published and talked about for a long time, and that it is a balancing act across all of those fronts.

Now to your question though, when you sit in an environment that we've just been in and continue to be in, where we're seeing quite a valuation change, a valuation paradigm shift for fintech as a sector as a whole, and certainly ourselves, it is hard not to ignore how compelling the opportunity of share repurchases continues to be. I don't think we shied away from it in the third quarter results, when the share authorization was first announced. I don't think that has changed in our tone. I do think that remains an important part of the capital allocation framework.

Really high bar, meaning, like meeting the high bar of relative return from an acquisition standpoint, there are things that are starting to show themselves as hitting that bar. They may not be large things, but they are things that hit the bar and strategically advance and accelerate an existing priority. Things like European card-present distribution tuck-ins and the sort.

Speaker 3

Okay.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

I think that those are gonna be things that we're always gonna be balancing.

Speaker 3

Okay

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

within the capital allocation framework.

Speaker 3

Probably have time to take one question if anyone has. Yeah, I think Scott.

Speaker 2

I guess, Chris, on the stadium opportunity, you guys have obviously shown a ton of success around, you know, adding new stadiums, really kind of capturing the market there. Just wondering if you could talk about sort of where the incremental opportunity is, from here on stadiums, whether it is continuing to add new venues, expanding share of wallet, just that overall opportunity.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Yeah. I'd say it's two fronts, knowing that the time is tight. One of the biggest and most exciting, which isn't necessarily something that's new for an audience like this, is that there are a lot of revenue centers inside of stadiums and entertainment as an environment and F&B and retail is where you're gonna find us most prevalent. The ticketing opportunity can be a volume jump that is multiples of what is in F&B and retail and sort of the opportunity for us to continue to get the payments volume of the ticketing side of the business, both season as well as event-by-event ticketing, that remains a huge opportunity of growth within sort of this land and expand of stadiums and entertainment.

The second one is, we are the market leader on stadiums and entertainment with commerce technology solutions in one of the most competitive markets in the world in the Americas. We are just starting on everywhere else. The ability to bring that product globally into the EMEA region, where we have our well-invested infrastructure, the APAC region, et cetera, that's a really exciting opportunity for the team.

Speaker 3

Okay. All right, guys. I think we'll stop there. This was great.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Great. Thank you very much.

Speaker 3

Chris, thank you so much, guys.

Christopher Cruz
CFO, Shift4 Payments

Yeah.

Powered by