Geron Corporation (GERN)
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Nov 4, 2026, 11:31 AM EST - Market open
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Earnings Call: Q3 2026

Nov 4, 2026

Summary

RYTELO revenue reached $60.1M, up 27% YoY, and management expects 2026 revenue toward the high end of guidance. European rollout begins in Germany, while IMpactMF was discontinued after the DMC judged it unlikely to meet its survival endpoint.

Operator

Hello, and welcome to the Geron Corporation third quarter 2026 earnings call. I would now like to turn the call over to Dawn Schottlandt, SVP Investor Relations and Corporate Affairs. You may begin.

Dawn Schottlandt
SVP of Investor Relations and Corporate Affairs, Geron Corporation

Good morning, everyone. Welcome to the Geron Corporation third quarter 2026 earnings conference call. Before we begin, please note that during the course of this presentation and question-and-answer session, we will be making forward-looking statements regarding future events, performance, plans, expectations, and other projections, including those related to our 2026 financial guidance, our current RYTELO commercialization strategy, and related opportunities in the U.S. and the EU, the therapeutic potential of RYTELO, other anticipated clinical and commercial events and related timelines, the sufficiency of our financial resources, and other statements that are not historical fact, which, of course, involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events, performance, and results to differ materially from those contained in these forward-looking statements.

Therefore, I refer you to the risks and uncertainties described in today's earnings release and other heading risk factors in Geron's most recent periodic report filed with the SEC, which identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in these forward-looking statements and future updates to Geron's risk and uncertainties disclosures, including in its upcoming quarterly report on Form 10-Q. Geron undertakes no duty or obligation to update its forward-looking statements. Joining me on today's call are several members of Geron's management team: Harout Semerjian, Chief Executive Officer, Ahmed ElNawawi, our Chief Commercial Officer, Dr. Joseph Eid, Executive Vice President, Research and Development, and Chief Medical Officer, and Michelle Robertson, our Chief Financial Officer. With that, I'll turn the call over to Harout to discuss Geron's progress in the third quarter.

Harout Semerjian
CEO, Geron Corporation

Thank you, Dawn, and good morning, everyone. We continue to execute our strategy to build a leading hematology company. We're delivering consistent RYTELO demand growth, reinforcing our confidence in the lower-risk MDS U.S. commercial opportunity and RYTELO's growth trajectory over the next several years. We also initiated a gated commercial launch in targeted European markets that gives us the optionality to scale up RYTELO's availability through partnerships. Last week, we announced the discontinuation of the IMpactMF trial evaluating imetelstat in relapsed and refractory myelofibrosis following a recommendation by the independent DMC. We believe this is the right course of action for patients and for Geron. In the third quarter, we continued to see increased prescribing from community practices, leading to a quarter-over-quarter demand growth of 10% and net revenue growth of 5%, or $60.1 million. This represents a 27% increase in net revenue year-over-year.

This performance keeps us on track to achieve the mid to high end of our full year 2026 net revenue guidance range of $220 million-$240 million and reinforces our confidence that RYTELO has a long growth runway in the U.S. This year, we started executing our ex-U.S. go-to-market commercial strategy, focused on addressing unmet patient needs and broadening access to RYTELO while prioritizing U.S. price integrity. Recent developments, including the exclusion of orphan drugs like RYTELO from the CMS GLOBE model, gives us the opportunity to serve more patients globally. We initiated a gated commercial launch to make RYTELO available in targeted European markets, beginning with Germany, where RYTELO is expected to be commercially available by the end of this year.

In Europe, our approach enables us to retain strategic control of pricing without having to establish full infrastructure in each market or commit to a large upfront investment. This hybrid model also allows us to remain flexible and open to partnership opportunities. To support our global reach, we recently increased our engagement and presentations at multiple international medical meetings and were encouraged by the interest from hematologists in key markets. We will continue to explore opportunities in other geographies where we believe we can help address the significant unmet need of lower-risk MDS patients. As we continue to strengthen our operations, another area of focus for us is financial discipline, where our investments are intentional and targeted. Our operating expenses were down 9% year-to-date compared to the prior year, reflecting our continued focus on operational efficiency.

This discipline is enabling us to update our full year 2026 total operating expense guidance range from $220 million-$230 million. With $339 million of cash on hand, we have a strong balance sheet to fund our current operations, which gives us flexibility to pursue business development opportunities. With that, I'll turn it over to ElNawawi to provide more detail on RYTELO's commercial performance and our execution.

Ahmed ElNawawi
Chief Commercial Officer, Geron Corporation

Thank you, Harout. We are pleased to report our fourth consecutive quarter of demand growth for RYTELO, reinforcing the need for this drug and its potential long-term value as a preferred treatment in second-line lower-risk MDS. In the third quarter, we achieved a 10% demand growth for RYTELO compared to the second quarter of this year, an 8% increase in prescribing accounts, predominantly from community practices, expanding our footprint to more than 1,700 accounts since launch, with first and second-line patient starts on a rolling 12-month basis at 36%. We believe that RYTELO has the potential to deliver consistent quarter-over-quarter growth for years to come, driven in large part by continued adoption in the community setting, where there are still thousands of patients that can benefit from RYTELO.

Our focus is on accelerating that adoption through targeted personal and non-personal engagements that reinforce RYTELO's differentiated clinical efficacy in second-line lower-risk MDS patients, while continuously educating heme/oncs on dosing and management of cytopenias. RYTELO's unique mode of action as a first-in-class telomerase inhibitor, its broad label, and position in NCCN Guidelines provide a strong foundation to drive durable long-term growth. Turning to our efforts in Europe, we're taking a gated operational approach where we drive regulatory engagement and local reimbursement process to ensure RYTELO reaches the appropriate patients at a price that reflects its unique value. Our model allows us to broaden RYTELO's access with a staged upfront investment while preserving flexibility for the future. We have already initiated our launch in Europe and plan to make RYTELO commercially available in Germany by the end of the year, with France to follow in 2027.

We're encouraged by the interest we're seeing across markets, supported by investigator experience with imetelstat and the significant unmet need in lower-risk MDS. I now turn it over to Joe to discuss our medical and scientific engagement efforts.

Joseph Eid
EVP of Research and Development and CMO, Geron Corporation

Thanks, ElNawawi. Last week, we announced our decision to discontinue the phase III IMpactMF trial evaluating imetelstat in JAK inhibitor- relapsed and refractory myelofibrosis. This decision was based on the recommendation from the independent data monitoring committee, informing us that the trial was unlikely to meet its primary endpoint of overall survival. Importantly, there were no new safety signals observed in the trial that changed the known safety profile of imetelstat. We are committed to unblinding the data, conducting a detailed analysis of this rich dataset, and sharing findings at an upcoming medical meeting that may help inform future research. We are deeply grateful to the patients and families, as well as the investigators and clinical teams whose dedication made this research possible.

Turning to lower-risk MDS, this quarter we presented at leading hematology meetings, both global and regional, further communicating the growing body of evidence supporting RYTELO's differentiated profile, including evidence of disease-modifying activity. Just as importantly, these meetings created meaningful opportunities to engage directly with the medical community, exchange insights, and deepen scientific dialogue around the evolving treatment of lower-risk MDS. At SOHO, we continue to build strong momentum through impactful data presentations, sponsored education, and broad KOL engagement powered by a coordinated full-team approach. Our lower-risk MDS real-world evidence poster showed meaningful hemoglobin improvement with imetelstat despite short treatment duration and later-line use in U.S. community oncology practice in the immediate post-launch period. This marked the second real-world evidence presentation this year, adding to the growing body of evidence that reinforces findings from our phase III IMerge trial and the safety, efficacy, and tolerability profile of RYTELO.

Additional data presented at the 88th Annual Meeting of the Japanese Society of Hematology and the 2026 Annual Meeting of the German, Austrian, and Swiss Societies for Hematology and Medical Oncology further highlighted the durable clinical outcomes observed with imetelstat and expanded the growing body of evidence supporting its differentiated profile. Across the presentations, phase III IMerge findings and real-world experience reinforce the durability and clinical relevance of treatment outcomes, including findings suggesting that treatment-emergent cytopenias may reflect an on-target effect associated with meaningful clinical outcomes, such as hemoglobin improvement and transfusion independence in lower-risk MDS. Importantly, the presentations also demonstrated growing scientific interest and investigator experience with imetelstat outside the U.S. as we continue to deepen engagement with the global hematology community.

Beyond congress presentations, we continue to strengthen the scientific foundation of RYTELO through two manuscripts published in peer-reviewed journals, further expanding the body of evidence supporting imetelstat's role in lower-risk MDS and its potential to address significant unmet need. Looking ahead, the 68th ASH Annual Meeting in December will provide another opportunity to build on this body of evidence with new data across lower-risk MDS and other hematological diseases that will further inform our understanding of RYTELO's clinical potential. Our six accepted abstracts at ASH reinforce the clinical and biological evidence of RYTELO, and we look forward to sharing additional details later today. Our progress has been recognized beyond the medical community. We are honored to have been nominated for the Prix Galien USA Award for Best Product for Orphan or Rare Diseases.

This recognition represents decades of pioneering work in telomerase inhibition and, most importantly, a sustained commitment to addressing significant unmet needs for people living with lower-risk MDS. It is a meaningful acknowledgement of the science behind RYTELO and the potential to translate that science into better outcomes for patients. I'll now hand it over to Michelle to walk through the financials.

Michelle Robertson
CFO, Geron Corporation

Thank you, Joe, and good morning, everyone. For more detailed results from the third quarter, please refer to the press release we issued this morning, which is available on our website. Our third quarter financial results highlight the progress we are making on our commercial strategy and operational excellence. We are in a strong financial position with a balance sheet that enables targeted and disciplined investments into further growth opportunities, including business development. In the third quarter, total net product revenue for the three months ended September 30, 2026, was $60.1 million compared to $47.2 million in Q3 of 2025. Gross to net deductions decreased to 19.3% for the three months ended September 30, 2026, compared to 21.6% for the same period in 2025. For the remainder of 2026, we continue to expect gross to net to be in the low to mid-20s.

Research and development expenses for the three months ended September 30, 2026, were $12.7 million compared to $21.1 million in expenses for the same period in 2025. The decrease in research and development expenses was a result of lower headcount costs from the workforce reduction in December 2025 and lower clinical chemistry manufacturing and controls costs. For the remainder of 2026, we expect continued investment in CMC and our clinical post-marketing commitments, offset by lower employee costs. Due to wind-down activities, we do not expect any significant decrease in spending on our MF program in 2026. Selling, general, and administrative expenses for the three months ended September 30th, 2026, were $35.7 million compared to $39 million for the same period in 2025. This decrease was primarily due to lower general and administrative personnel-related expenses as a result of the workforce reduction in December 2025.

Total operating expenses, excluding COGS, for the three months ended September 30, 2026, were $48.3 million compared to $60.1 million for the same period in 2025. As of September 30, 2026, we had approximately $339 million in cash equivalents, restricted cash, and marketable securities, compared to $327 million as of June 30th, 2026. We are committed to maintaining our financial discipline and are well-positioned to fund growth from our current operations. We are reiterating our 2026 RYTELO net revenue guidance with the expectation we will come in at the mid to high end of the $220 million-$240 million range, reflecting consistent quarter-over-quarter net revenue growth throughout the year. We are lowering our total operating expense guidance from $230 million-$240 million to the range of $220 million-$230 million.

This reduction reflects our ability to drive continued operational excellence while also making strategic investments into RYTELO and future growth opportunities. With $339 million in cash, we are well-positioned to execute on our financial and strategic priorities through the remainder of the year. With that, I'll turn the call back to Harout for closing remarks.

Harout Semerjian
CEO, Geron Corporation

Thanks, Michelle. RYTELO has grown for four consecutive quarters, placing us on track to achieve our 2026 net revenue guidance and maximize our long-term growth potential. Beyond RYTELO, our financial strength gives us the flexibility to explore business development opportunities to build a leading hematology company. Operator, we're now ready to start the Q&A session.

Operator

Thank you. Our first question comes from Tara Bancroft of TD Cowen. Your line is open.

Tara Bancroft
Analyst, TD Cowen

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. It's great to see the reduced OpEx guidance this year. It all makes sense. I'm wondering how we should think about OpEx expectations really going forward, especially with the MF phase III not factored in. If there are any savings from that, maybe you could tell us also what you plan to put that towards in terms of future pipeline or any thoughts regarding that. That would be great. Thank you so much.

Harout Semerjian
CEO, Geron Corporation

Yeah. Thank you, Tara. Maybe that's a question Michelle can address.

Michelle Robertson
CFO, Geron Corporation

Yeah. Thanks, Tara. Yes, we reduced our OpEx for 2026. What I would say about the go-forward investments, we'll continue to be very disciplined in our capital allocation. You will see some increases next year as our Europe strategy matures, as well as the post-marketing commitment in clinical trials. So, although the remainder of the OpEx will be steady, we will see some increases for those two material items.

Tara Bancroft
Analyst, TD Cowen

Okay, great. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Gil Blum of Needham. Your line is open.

Gil Blum
Analyst, Needham

Good morning, and congrats on the progress here. So, definitely seeing consistent growth quarter- over- quarter, kind of in the low, in the single digits. What do you think could cause a rate change or change in the rate of uptake that would be more of an acceleration? Is this something we should expect, or should we continue to see this kind of consistent growth over time? I have a follow-up. Thank you.

Harout Semerjian
CEO, Geron Corporation

Thank you, Gil. As we have communicated multiple quarters ago, the way we look at RYTELO's growth, if we do things well, is it will deliver consistent growth quarter- over- quarter. We are very pleased today to announce the fourth quarter of that strategy in action, where we continue every quarter to increase demand, to increase sales, to increase penetration in the first-line, second-line market patient segment, and to reduce OpEx. We believe that is a winning strategy on the long term. That is kind of where we are, Gil. I know sometimes people ask us, "What is the exact inflection point?" We continue to maintain this is a growth quarter- over- quarter if we do this well. We do believe that there are thousands of more patients who can benefit from RYTELO for many years to come.

That's why we do see the long-term perspective of RYTELO growth quite good. But the curve of the growth is really what we are pleased with, and we think that this is something that we can continue to grow. I hope that that answers your question. And I think you had a follow-up?

Gil Blum
Analyst, Needham

Yeah. That was helpful. And just given the financial discipline here and a pretty meaningful cash position, you guys mentioned BD a couple of times. Is there a specific character product that you're looking for? Is this likely a heme/onc asset? I mean, any guidelines that you can give us to what you're thinking of? Thank you.

Harout Semerjian
CEO, Geron Corporation

Sure. Yeah. No, I mean, so if you step back and look at where we are as a company, we have a very healthy base business in RYTELO in the U.S. that's growing every quarter, and we reiterated our mid-to-high level of our guidance of $220 million-$240 million, right? So, that's from a U.S. perspective.

We're also today very excited to share that we're strategically the work that has happened ex-U.S., especially in Europe over the last several months, especially on the pricing side, puts us in a very good position to actually make the RYTELO available in a commercial setting, starting with Germany before end of the year, and then rolling into other countries such as France next year, while maintaining optionality of partnership, which is really a win-win strategy that doesn't put us in a situation where we have to shell out a lot upfront. We do it in a very, very specific way. Now, coming to BD, this also allows us, especially now with the MF overhang behind us, obviously we're going to be looking into that very rich database and truly understand what are some of the trends in myelofibrosis.

But given that that's really it never was really part of our base strategy, at least not in the last couple of years. It was always treated as an upside. Now we are in a good situation to really pursue BD opportunities. So, we have a winning team in the U.S. from a commercialization perspective. What would make the most sense is really to bring in another asset to put it in the bag of that team that's shown its ability to grow RYTELO and to get into other hematology/oncology assets. As you know, 80% of this business is actually in the community, so it can really be any asset in hematology or oncology that is predominantly a community disease.

That's as a first kind of bullseye, and then we would keep the right to be opportunistic beyond that, given that our approach of being very selective, targeted where we invest and really drive value through that has now been taking life over the last four quarters, I would say. And we do believe we can do that with other assets. We are not competing with a Pfizer or a Novartis with needing assets with $2 billion, $3 billion peak sales. Assets that have a few hundred million potential peak sales is plenty for us. And then we can pursue a string of pearls approach with that over the next several years. So, that's what we are excited about, not just for the base business, but also where we can go with BD. Did that help answer the question, Gil?

Gil Blum
Analyst, Needham

Yep, very helpful, and thank you for taking our questions.

Harout Semerjian
CEO, Geron Corporation

Of course.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Stephen Willey of Stifel. Your line is open.

Stephen Willey
Analyst, Stifel

Yeah, good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. Maybe just a quick housekeeping question for Michelle. Any notable changes to inventory during the quarter? I just have a follow-up.

Michelle Robertson
CFO, Geron Corporation

No, Stephen. We just remain within our two to four guidance that we shared in the past, two to four weeks.

Stephen Willey
Analyst, Stifel

Just curious about how you're thinking about the opportunity here in Europe. I know that you're initially entering a very limited number of markets, but can you maybe speak to any differences in how the disease might be managed there, just relative to the U.S.? I guess when I look at REBLOZYL, they're generating, I think, less than 20% of their sales ex-U.S., which I'm sure is partially pricing-based, but would perhaps suggest some differences in terms of how the disease is managed.

Harout Semerjian
CEO, Geron Corporation

Sure. Maybe I'll start off, and ElNawawi can supplement as well. Look, I mean, from a patient perspective, it's really the same size of number of patients that we have in the U.S. Within the U.S., we've said about 8,000 patients would be eligible for that second-line patient population. Then, as you know, European average age is even older. So, it's at least that number of patients from a macro perspective overall. The reason, obviously, we're choosing Germany to go with, I mean, that is the country where you have a meaningful path for innovation in a healthy pricing point in line with the innovation that we can bring. ElNawawi, do you want to add on top of that additional reasons to believe?

Ahmed ElNawawi
Chief Commercial Officer, Geron Corporation

Sure. A couple of points maybe, Stephen, is that you referred to REBLOZYL, BMS's drug. They've gone through several price iterations because of their broader label and multiple indications. We are a single indication drug with an orphan designation, which does give us high scoring, especially in Germany's reimbursement perspective. Plus, the market is not as diversified in terms of treatment options in Europe compared to the U.S., where in the U.S., we see a much higher use of HMAs in second and third line, which does not reflect what the European markets are doing. So, we see a bit of differences, and time will tell.

Harout Semerjian
CEO, Geron Corporation

Yeah. Just to be also address the REBLOZYL point you made, Stephen, I mean, it is, if you probably know that in most European markets, it is restricted to RS positive. I mean, typically larger pharma has to think about their portfolio overall, especially protecting larger products like their PD-1s. We don't have that hindrance in the way. So, we have a label that we can pursue, especially in an RS negative patient population, orphan designation. HMAs are not as entrenched in Europe, older population. As you know, the clinical trial we had, IMerge, was predominantly European trial. So, there's significant advocacy as well from the medical community wanting to see RYTELO available for their patients.

Stephen Willey
Analyst, Stifel

All right. Very helpful. Congratulations on achieving profitability. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. I show no further questions at this time. I would like to turn it back to Harout Semerjian for closing remarks.

Harout Semerjian
CEO, Geron Corporation

Thank you to everyone joining our call today. We look forward to updating you on the progress in the next several quarters. Thank you.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.