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Morgan Stanley Technology, Media & Telecom Conference

Mar 4, 2025

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

Great. Hi, everybody. Welcome back. I'm Joe Moore, Morgan Stanley Semiconductor Research. Very happy to have with me two newly minted executives in their current roles: Tom Caulfield, who's the Executive Chairman of GlobalFoundries, and Tim Breen, who is the CEO. Thank you. Welcome, guys.

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

Thanks for having us, Joe.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

So you guys both, I don't know who wants to answer this, but you reported a good Q4. You had some positive commentary on 2025. Can you just kind of recap where we are with GlobalFoundries in terms of the business environment?

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

Yeah, I'll talk about 2024. Maybe Tim will talk about 2025. So in 2024, we started the year. We said Q1 of 2024 would be the low point, and then sequentially we would grow revenue. We did all that. So Q1 low point, Q4 a high point. The thing that sometimes gets lost is the fact that we generated over $1 billion of free cash flow two consecutive years of declining revenue. It just shows the leverage in our business.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

Yeah. It's a really nice aspect of your business.

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

Yeah. And then we said, "Look, going as we head into 2025, that year- over- year, Q1 would be growth," which we've given that consensus, "and that the full year of 2025 would have growth." And the rate of pace of that growth really is about inventory continuing to burn down and the macroeconomics of the consumer wanting to spend. We see a little bit of the uncertainty that's creeping in right now in some of the new policies, but I still think there's, based on where inventories are or the end markets we play in, that 2025 is going to be a growth year. Magnitude, again, depending on consumers. Maybe Tim, you could talk a little bit about the end markets and how we see it.

Tim Breen
CEO, GlobalFoundries

I think the way we think about it, Joe, is think about the macro overall. What's the kind of conditions? What's happened to inventory, and where are we sitting in the inventory digestion cycle? And then what's the GF idiosyncratic share dynamic? And each one is a little bit different. And so you take our four big end markets. Auto, we've had good growth year on year now for every year since our IPO. We forecast that continuing in 2025 on the same basis. That's much more a share story than it is a macro story, although obviously there's a good story of content increase in the car pulling through.

In our communication infrastructure and data center business, we've gone through the end of the transition from the GPU, CPU, single-digit nanometer transition days to now what's really ramping in optical networking, power delivery, SATCOM, other areas of that market. And so what we said bottomed out in 2024, we see definitely growing into 2025. Mobile, relatively flat. Unit growth, not necessarily huge. Our content growth holding steady, especially in the high-end handset, so let's say in line with market. And then IoT has been the hardest one to call, where you've seen quite a lot of inventory digestion. We've now seen a lot of that. And so we'd say modest growth from that base, given how the inventory is behind us, including some small share gain as well.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

Great. We'll focus on some of that. Maybe we could talk a little bit about the transition. So it was announced shortly before your interviews released that Tim, you'll be succeeding Tom as CEO and Tom stepping into the executive chairman role. Can you talk about your focus areas in the first year and outline some of the biggest opportunities? And maybe just give us, for people who don't know, a little bit on your background as well.

Tim Breen
CEO, GlobalFoundries

Sure, sure, sure. So we've had the pleasure to work together for the last seven years in the business, and it's been an incredible journey from the company we were in 2018, very much focused on the leading-edge transition to where we are today and diversifying our end markets. I couldn't be more excited about the strategic positioning the company has today. Three things I think about that are really relevant there. Number one is we've focused our R&D now for many years on the differentiated technologies that play to those secular trends within all those markets I mentioned, whether it's auto or the data center or mobile or IoT, and so we positioned the portfolio quite diversified and quite differentiated in those areas.

Customers want to do more with us, and there's a lot of drivers for that, including some of the need for supply security and diversification, and that's gone through both aspects of the cycle, and so we have definitely a high amount of traction. We also have customers we hardly do anything with today, and that's an upside for me that we can go after, and one of my goals is to penetrate some of those accounts, and the last thing is the geographic footprint. It's been an evolving story, and it's evolved from what was definitely around diversification, supply security, now into thinking about how do you as a company navigate tariffs, navigate a different trade environment, and so I think that's another tailwind that sets GF apart. The way I think about it is our strategy hasn't changed that much.

In an internal transition like this, you're not seeking a change of destination, but you want a change of pace. And what we want to be able to do with the three of us playing different roles between Tom, myself, and Niels Anderskouv is really accelerate the pace and drive in that destination faster. And I think we couldn't be a better place to do that.

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

Yeah, I think that's the biggest part of the transition. No one's going anywhere. We're taking on different roles, and it's the best way to use the three of us. Niels now becomes the COO, with Tim being the CEO, and then I get to free up some bandwidth to think about more strategic things for the company.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

Great. Well, maybe, Tom, you could talk a little bit about that, the decision to move into an executive chairman role, what that means for you, where you'll be spending your time in that executive role.

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

Look, the first part of it, we'll talk chairman first, then the executive part. I'll take over from Ahmed Yahia Al Idrissi, who's done an amazing job as our chairman, to do the right governance and the things that protect shareholders and how we manage our company. But on the executive side, there's things that really need more time to focus on. First, you think back to 2020 with the new administration and how important semiconductors started to become on everybody's radar. We spent a really important amount of time and an important resource for the government, understanding the industry and how to go create that supply chain security, diversification, and local sourcing. And so me getting the opportunity now with some bandwidth to be constructive with the U.S. government and new administration is an important part of that mission.

The third thing for most companies is the kind of that horizon three, five to ten years out. We need to spend more time with universities and research institutes to leverage the work we do there to help steer that innovation towards GF. And it's an area I've always had passion, and now I'll have a little bit more time to spend on that. And the third thing is we've kind of earned the right over the last seven years or so to be a little bit more strategic in this industry. The things that we can do to build on our company, not just organic but inorganic, typically those things just take more time and effort, and we need to create that bandwidth. And that's why I view this organization will create bandwidth for both Niels, Tim, and I to be able to do that.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

Congratulations on the role. I think congratulations really on, as you said, the last seven years, the position you were in chasing EUV without scale to really pursue it, doing all kinds of things that maybe weren't customer-friendly before you came into the role. You guys have really done a good job of kind of cementing your role in the semiconductor economy.

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

So the operative word is you guys. Tim and I started this seven years ago. And the amazing thing about it is we both got to touch so many parts of the business just because they needed it. And Tim's been a co-pilot this whole time. So it's a very natural transition for us to be doing this.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

Great. Good to hear. Thank you. So maybe we could talk about geopolitics. You guys talked about the importance of that with a change in administration. There's focus on tariffs everywhere. The supply chain geographies are back into focus, maybe with a different slant than we had under the CHIPS Act. Can you talk about how GlobalFoundries is positioned to take advantage of that and just in general how you think about geopolitics for you?

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

Yeah, look, I think, as Tim highlighted before, our footprint is more and more becoming an advantage, and we seem to focus a little bit on the U.S. part of that, and we should, but remember, we have great government relationships and footprint in Singapore and Germany, and we need to make sure we nurture those relationships equally. When I think about what's happening in the U.S. and what our customers are telling us, it first starts with if you have a global footprint and it's a mailing address, it doesn't do anything for your customers, so what does it mean? You need to diversify all your factories so that you have the opportunity to multi-source for them, and we spent the better part of Tim's tenure as the COO doing that diversification.

It wasn't about bringing new things in as much as it was making sure that every platform or a large fraction of our platforms can be multi-sourced in the different regions. When I think about what the U.S. is trying to do right now in bringing semiconductor manufacturing into this country, it needs two things. When I think of the ITC and the CHIPS bill, it was about creating global competitiveness to add capacity. But it didn't solve the demand part. At a very high level, maybe a simplistic view, I think the tariff part now creates the demand to match the capacity .

Because what's the sense of building capacity if no one's incented to bring the demand? The tariffs could be the incentive to bring the demand. I still think you'll need some of that funding to make the cost competitiveness level the playing field versus adding capacity elsewhere. It's a little bit of a fluid situation. But again, net-net, CHIPS, ITC, create capacity, tariffs to create demand, and have those two come together.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

Maybe if I could follow up a little bit. Every time I see you in this forum and other places, I've made a big deal out of these automotive OEM relationships that you constructed. Because automotive OEMs didn't know who GlobalFoundries was before the shortage of a few years ago. Now the shortage has eased. Is there still that awareness of the supply chain? Are people still very focused on where things are being built and their availability to procure in all types of environments?

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

Yeah, I think it went from there wasn't enough supply, and they needed awareness for that. Now with the geopolitical dimensions of this, say, "Well, now I got to make sure I have the supply in the right spot, not just where the total is." And we're finding, and Tim coins the phrase all the time about the silicon awareness. Look, we have this whole transition going to take place in AI,

and how is AI going to change our industry and the cost to do a design and the barriers to enter for OEMs and for Tier ones and other system houses to decide to do their own designs because AI will democratize that cost structure. And those are the things that we're playing for, leveraging the fact that there'll be a broader set of customers and a broader set of needs of where they'll want their stuff built. This is the kind of future for GF.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

Great. Maybe we could talk about China as an opportunity. I feel like people for the last few years have focused on the CapEx and what happens with China local sourcing, but it seems to be also an opportunity for you guys. Can you talk to that a little bit?

Tim Breen
CEO, GlobalFoundries

Yeah, Tim, I mean, we have a relatively small amount of China business today, and that's why I think of it actually as an upside more than a risk for us. And there's sort of two drivers of that. One is you have plenty of Chinese customers who have global aspirations in terms of their businesses. And for them, they honestly think about supply diversification in the same way the rest of the world thinks about the other way around. And so they talk about non-China, non-Taiwan sourcing. And in most cases, they're actually diversifying away from Taiwan and away from domestic manufacturing and saying, "Could for me, the U.S., Europe, and even Singapore be a good solution for my business?" And think about the auto OEMs who have global ambitions, but also industrial companies and others, handset makers, and so on.

So number one is we're an avenue for that, and that's just driving some good business our way. But the second piece of it is we have customers who sell significantly into China for their products, particularly in the automotive space. And they're saying, "I do want to have some manufacturing locally in China." And that's where we're exploring partnerships where for a specific product, a specific technology for very much a specific customer, can we establish a local partnership to make that product and that product only?

And I think we feel there's some good win-win opportunities there where our customers get what they want in terms of local sourcing, but we're not going to enable a broad kind of technology license to a bunch of companies who will then compete with us, but really have made those specific technologies where they have that local demand. Those two things, by the way, reinforce each other because with that, you have more engagement on the ground, and you can build on your business. I'm actually quite bullish on the opportunity for us in China, given the base we're starting from.

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

Yeah, and the key is the answer for us isn't to go create additional manufacturing footprint in China. We better do it in a partnership, as Tim described.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

Yeah. Okay, great. And then just in general, the global footprint that you have, I mean, I think there's an obvious sort of advantage from being a U.S. manufacturer, but you mentioned you have facilities in Dresden, in Singapore, I think still coming in France. Can you talk about the opportunities that come from those additional geographies?

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

Yeah, I think it comes back to we could build what our customers want on the technology platforms where they want it for a lot of different reasons. The key is to make sure it's diversified. So you say, "Well, if I want to source in the U.S., well, that's great. I have a factory, but it doesn't build what you want." And so we have the ability, working with the European Union, with the Singapore government, to continue to add modular expansion. Look, if we had to go create a global footprint today, that incremental cost of going greenfield is huge. That first wafer might as well be a gold bar, right?

Now, if you can take the scale you already have and then add capacity first within the four walls and then maybe add new modular space and cleanroom space, it's much more capital efficient, and your return on those investments becomes much quicker, especially when you add capacity that unlocks existing capacity you have because the first tools you'll put in your modular expansion are pinch point tools. So for us, when we think about our global footprint going forward, it's not about creating new areas of adding capacity. It's about expanding the existing facilities and keep driving scale there: U.S., Singapore, and in Germany.

Tim Breen
CEO, GlobalFoundries

Joe, if you remember in the last upturn, what we saw is people wanted capacity, but they also wanted it yesterday. So when you've got a footprint like that, your time to market is much, much shorter. Because we spent this time in the last few years, it's not been easy about cross-qualifying the fabs, transferring technologies. We have a lot more optionality about where to build so we can hit the right market moment as quickly as possible. I think preparing for the upturn has been the word of the day for the fabs because we know this industry will go through the cyclicality. The question is, how can you respond quickly when it does?

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

The first response for us right now is kind of our utilization. We have roughly, call it three million wafers' worth of capacity depending on mix with productivity improvements, things that we have in place. We have time to grow into that capacity as customers forecast maybe higher demand than that to continue to add capacity above that.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

That effort to be able to build stuff in multiple geographies, do customers have to re-qual? How difficult is that? Can you just give us an example?

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

The best way to do it is upfront. When you do a product qual, just do it for two fabs. It's always painful to have to go back and do the work over again because then you're tying up engineering resources to do a redundant thing rather than a new thing. And so upfront, our customers are being a lot more thoughtful about dual qualify. And we need to get to a point to them, once it's dual qualified, we'll just decide where we'll build it for you. You don't have to decide which location you want to build in.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

I mean, other foundries have multiple locations as well, but it seems like that's. I don't hear other people offering that quite as much as maybe you are.

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

I don't think they do it to the same level of diversification. I think they're more location than they are diversification.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

Yeah. Okay, got it. So maybe talk about growth. Where do you see growth coming from the next several years? I mean, at the IPO, your focus was automotive, and you've definitely executed to that in one of the more challenging automotive environments. Can you talk about the next few years and what markets you're looking for growth?

Tim Breen
CEO, GlobalFoundries

Yeah, I think we're obviously very bullish about the long-term growth drivers across our end markets. I mean, the transition of the auto space hasn't fully happened. It has a long way to go in terms of content growth. Regardless of the pace of electrification, we see all the content that we're playing in, whether that's sensing, imaging, battery management, all of these areas are going to be driven by what's happening. So this age of the software-defined vehicle definitely is a tailwind for us longer term. And again, we're starting from a relatively small base of share, so we have plenty of upside, I think, in auto growth. The data center, obviously, that's where the industry is obsessed right now with the amount of CapEx going into the data center. And while we're not playing in that CPU, GPU arena, we're focusing on all of the problems around it.

The two big problems that everyone sees is, number one, how do I get my power in the data center as efficiently as possible and avoid 5%-10% losses all the way from the grid to the chip? And that's a big value driver for the hyperscalers and for those investing in data centers. But then also, obviously, getting data to those GPUs and so on that are hungry, they sit idle half the time or more than half the time because they can't get the data that's there. And some of the innovation we've done initially in areas like TIAs and drivers, but now into pluggable and linear optics and now into co-packaged optics, really provide a good roadmap for data delivery in the data center for more efficient processing and lower power.

And so, data center, we think long road of growth and an area we're actually probably ahead from a technology point of view. Obviously, there's a lot of work to do to get those architectures mature and see those transitions. So I'd say data center, very, very exciting. Satcom, we've seen a very strong growth there. Think of it as covering the remainder of the world with satellite connectivity in a cost-effective manner. Obviously, a number of players have driven that transition. That plays to RF. It plays to amplifiers, areas we know very well from our RF franchise. So we see good tailwinds in that, which we're heavily engaged on. And then mobile, I don't think we're ready to count mobile out as a form factor.

And we think probably the device ecosystem will change, but the needs will remain the same: connectivity, low power, compute, display, control, and so on. I think about form factors like glasses. I think about we're not done with kind of fully building our personal ecosystem of devices. And that could drive big inflection points of content growth for us. And we continue to focus on, again, where can we be differentiated to win those sockets as they come to market. Some of them will look like the phone sockets, but some will look completely different, like the display in your glasses, for example.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

Yeah, maybe if I could follow up on that. I remember back when we first met, Tom, I would sort of describe GlobalFoundries as like a legacy node company. And you said, "Hey, we're trailblazing in these nodes. We're doing new technologies." A lot of the things you just mentioned, pretty exciting stuff. Do you feel like others are as focused on areas like co-packaged optics or wide bandgap, different materials and capabilities?

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

No, you made a point about how you define innovation. The industry spent the best part of its first 40 years innovation with size of transistor. And it doesn't mean it's not. It's an important part of the mix. But the innovation we bring in adding embedded memory for security, adding connectivity for range and quality of voice on your phone, these are all the things that we spend our $600 million a year on R&D to make better with our customers. We were meeting with a customer yesterday who was talking about they're going to win because they're going to give better performance at the endpoint of the range of cell towers.

And so the most important thing their customers are telling them is, "You got to keep me from having to build more infrastructure and make sure that you have the ability to have the power amp and the LNA work at the limit of the range of my infrastructure." And they said, "The only way we can do this is with your technology. There's no other solution for it." Those are the stories we like to hear because those are the ones we've invested in. And the key for us is the measure. If we're differentiated, it means we have single-source business. And still, a high fraction of our design wins in our funnel are all on things we've invested for differentiation because our customers needed to make their products winners in the market.

Tim Breen
CEO, GlobalFoundries

I think the other part of it, Joe, actually just to build on it, is the innovation is not just process technology innovation. It's also how the design and technology interact. And you'll see more from us around. Think of it like the next iteration of design enablement. How do we provide much more reference circuits for our customers to do things faster and learn and accelerate? We're seeing that in GaN with the acquisition we made there and so on. So that'll be an area that we'll continue to innovate as well.

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

Yeah, our customers are actually asking for more of that content and building blocks and that enablement, and that becomes another, as Tim said, an area of differentiation for us.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

Well, and I saw that at the time of the IPO already, you were developing this kind of more of a partnership culture than what had existed a few years earlier. And I guess maybe segueing to the long-term supply agreements. At the time of the IPO, you had several years of coverage. Obviously, it's different when there's oversupply versus the shortage that we had. But how are you finding the long-term supply agreements and how important is that to your business going forward?

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

So first, why did they come? They came because customers wanted certainty of supply and certainty of price. Our customers were driving more of that than we were. And the reason we were interested in it is because we were making investments to create the capacity they needed. So there's this win-win partnership. At our peak, we had an excess of $30 billion of long-term revenue under those agreements. We sit here today, we're around $15 billion because they amortize. Most of those were put in place in 2022, and some have been renewed. So the era of LTAs is over. We're only kind of halfway through them. Now, some of them needed to be restructured and rethought through given the dynamics of the marketplace, but they always created a framework for how do we use this to create more business, more longer-term and durable business for GF.

When I think about who wants LTAs today, it's customers that have sockets that last 10, 12 years. Think of it in the automotive industry. They win a socket, they're going to need that. And so certainty for them is not, "Well, next design cycle next year, I could be designed out. I have to be careful about what I sign up for." They're thinking about a long-term roadmap that they know they're designed in for 10 years. And so they're the ones that are very interested in not only creating new ones, but extending the ones they have as they start to work through it. And a lot of our automotive business is tied to the long-term agreements because of the nature of that business.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

Okay, great. Maybe talk about capital deployment. You've had a lot of free cash flow generation. As you said, it's one of the strengths of the model that it becomes much less capital intensive when things slow. So you generate a lot of cash. Can you talk about uses of cash and how are you thinking about those priorities?

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

Job number one, keep generating cash. Job number two, keep generating cash. The deployment of us, we have to be smart. It always comes in three flavors. One, what's the best use of your cash on your balance sheet debt versus cash? You've seen we've done two buybacks of debt just because it made good business sense and good use of our cash. The second one is, is there a way to give it back to shareholders, and then the third one is keeping dry powder so that you can build your business in an inorganic way, and I think for us, that's how we think about our cash. Number one, generate it. Number two, continue to generate it, and it's a good problem to have, especially where Tim and I started seven years ago.

It was your firm that lent us $500 million for 365 days just to get us through a tough period. And sitting on cash today is a little bit of a luxury for us, but we'll make sure we always do the right thing for our shareholders. And keeping a certain amount of that free for us to be nimble if opportunities come across is an important part of that strategy as well.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

In any sense of what inorganic growth might look like, I mean, would that just be fabs? Would that be capacity or capability? Not looking for any specifics, obviously, but just how would you think about inorganic?

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

I think it's about how do you bolt on capability that's relevant to your customers in the end markets that are growing disproportionately higher. What are we missing? What ingredient are we missing? Are customers asking us for more reference designs? Is there something we can do in that front that we can bolt on and accelerate that?

Tim Breen
CEO, GlobalFoundries

The theme will always be highly customer-centric, something that customers are driving for. And how do we accelerate our differentiation in the area? And like I say, the definition of differentiation is changing, including some of the softer aspects because customers want to focus their dollars on software and other things they want to do. So they want actually more innovation from us on things like IP and so on. So you'll see more in those areas.

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

Last year, we bought a company called Tagore, and it was all about bringing in reference designs our customers wanted us to have to build on. Now, we could have spent the better part of three years doing that ourselves versus just bolting that on. Those are the type of things we look for. And those were customers that led us to that acquisition of what they wanted to see from us.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

Okay, great. So before I open to the audience, anything else that you want to leave us with today that we didn't capture in the questions?

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

I'll let you go first, and I'll.

Tim Breen
CEO, GlobalFoundries

Sure. No, I think, look, we're obviously very excited about it. The industry goes through its chapters. I think the long-term tailwinds are very strong. And I think that gives us a lot of confidence that we can leverage this model that we built from a customer perspective, differentiation perspective to grow. I think we're very happy also with the financial model that we can generate free cash flow as we grow. We can accrete margins as we grow. And so this is an area now we're in that flywheel mode. And obviously, we have to execute through that. But we couldn't be more excited about the positioning of the company.

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

Yeah, look, first, it starts with revenue, well, where does revenue start? The sockets we're winning now. These are the sockets that become top-line growth for us. The beauty about our model is the flow-through is outstanding. High fixed-cost business, even down from our high of $8 billion of what we did last year, huge ability to generate free cash flow. So if you look at from our design win funnel that's going to drive our revenue growth, and what does that mean in the financial performance of the company? It's super exciting. What we need is a little bit of the economy and consumer demand to pick up to make the electronics industry hot and exciting again.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

Great. Well, I appreciate that. Let me see if we have any questions from the audience. We have one over here.

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

That's you.

What's your attitude towards III-V materials and foundry, in particular, using a fab?

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

Yeah, can you just read the question for the webcast? Because he didn't have a mic.

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

Yeah. So look, for us, our III-V play is GaN. We think there's the right combination of digital performance and power or RF you could bring. For us, we don't see a good play in SiC because there's not a lot of digital you could bring to the mix. So there's not a lot of margins you can all provide in a foundry fabless type of model. So our focus is SiGe and gallium nitride in those materials. And we have leadership technology in both of those, some of it in 200 millimeter and some of it in 300 millimeter.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

And a lot of RF capability in CMOS as well, right? You have a lot of RF capability in CMOS.

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

Yes. RF SOI and CMOS. Not at this time. It's typically on the laser side, and for us, that's more of a buy than a make.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

Thank you for that question. I think we have questions up here in the front.

Thanks for taking the question. So you mentioned your LTAs. You mentioned auto is a big part of that. Just wondering, so last year, 2024, what proportion of your auto revenues would have come from LTAs?

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

Yeah, I'm trying to do a little math in my head. The lion's share, I would say.

Is that going to be true this year as well?

Yes.

Tim Breen
CEO, GlobalFoundries

Generally, it's a market where customers' desire for certainty, and given their long product cycle, is motivating them to have and extend LTAs as well. In fact, we extended one LTA in that space early last year as well for that reason.

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

The more I think about it, I can't think of too much of that business that wasn't under LTA, again, because of the nature of it.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

It seems like those customers are behaving a certain way when lead times get short, but there's still the memory of what happened two years ago and still a desire to avoid that ever happening again.

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

There's a memory, and then there's the acting on the memory. And I think that's a mixed bag. It's very bespoke to the particular customers and how they think about their supply chain.

Tim Breen
CEO, GlobalFoundries

But what you don't have, Joe, is you don't have rapid socket switching wins and losses that drive uncertainty for them. So they can commit. They have to think about inventory, but they don't have to think about, "I may lose next year," which case, what do I do with this, right?

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

Yeah. Good point. Yeah, thanks. Any other questions? Sorry, one in the front. Bring the mic back up.

Just comment on the potential impact of the CHIPS Act. How are you thinking about that from a funding standpoint? And then second question. Yeah, thanks. First question, just CHIPS Act impact. How are you thinking through it? And second is, how are you thinking about all the AI ASICs? I think it's been publicly talked about your relationship with Groq and other companies. How are you thinking about that market? Thanks.

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

Two very diverse questions, so let's talk about it. I touched on it before. Look, it's a very fluid situation. But you say, what's the end game? The end game is the U.S. wants to have more semiconductor capacity for a lot of good reasons, economic supply chain and sovereign security. You need to do two things, I think, to have that happen. You have to create competitiveness on the capital investment required to create that capacity, and you need demand, and I don't think one or the other is enough. I do believe you need CHIPS and the ITC to create the capacity, and the tariffs is to kind of create the dynamics to make the demand want to come home, and I think as we get through a little bit of the fluidity of the situation right now, that's where this thing will land.

You'll find that the combination of the two is you'll get the outcome you're looking for. And maybe there's some days where CHIPS looks like it's not as in favor or not. I think it's just too early. Over time, an understanding of how demand and capacity need to play off one another will let this thing land in the right spot. Remember, ITC is 25%, CHIPS is 15%. So there's still big incentives for capacity. And then your second question, I wasn't quite sure.

Tim Breen
CEO, GlobalFoundries

AI accelerators like Groq.

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

AI accelerators, yeah. Look, why don't you take that, and then I'll ask.

Tim Breen
CEO, GlobalFoundries

So I think there are two categories, right? I mean, Groq is a very specific case, and we're very excited to see what they're doing. And they've picked their niche called inference and so on. And I think they're actually building a pretty good play there. And good luck to them. That's a product that we designed a long time ago together, and we're making for them. I think our broader AI content will more likely be what I mentioned around the data center power, data delivery, and so on. We're obviously not going to compete on the GPU, CPU, and kind of core AI accelerator market. However, you'll find AI workloads at the edge and at the endpoint, which need, for example, low power and have other issues, connectivity integrated, and so on. Those are areas that are more in our wheelhouse.

So I think there's plenty of growth in AI. And we get the question a lot about what do we think about things like DeepSeek because it just proves that model innovation is only just getting started. Model innovation, especially smaller models, means more applications running on different devices, especially that edge and endpoint, which we think is a good tailwind for us.

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

Just building a little bit on your question, when we think of companies like Groq or PsiQuantum, these are relationships that started six, seven years ago that are actually getting to the marketplace now. The life cycle in our industry, we get used to sometimes the product life cycles are quick, but some of the semiconductor buildouts of startups getting to real value, you need to have a wide net all the time because you never know who's going to be the big winner in this. We think we have the best partnership with the best opportunity for quantum compute and PsiQuantum.

Groq's another example. Started six, seven years ago, right, with even a little bit different business model, not knowing where the world is heading. And now they're a player in inference. For us, it's to make sure we're constantly engaged with startups and give them a disproportionate amount of attention so that they stay with us. Some won't make it, but a lot that do if they become big customers in the future.

Joe Moore
Head of Semiconductors Research, Morgan Stanley

Questions? We have 45 seconds left, so we'll just wrap it up there. Thank you guys so much. Congratulations on your new roles.

Tom Caulfield
Executive Chairman, GlobalFoundries

Thank you.

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