Good morning, and welcome to the Green Plains Inc. Green Plains Partners second quarter 2022 conference call. Following the company's prepared remarks, instructions will be provided for Q&A. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. I will now turn the call over to your host, Phil Boggs, Executive Vice President, Investor Relations. Mr. Boggs, please go ahead.
Thank you, and welcome to Green Plains Inc. Green Plains partners second quarter earnings call. Participants on today's call are Todd Becker, President and Chief Executive Officer; Patrich Simpkins, Chief Financial Officer; and Leslie van der Meulen, EVP Product Marketing and Innovation. There is a slide presentation available, and you can find it on the Investor page under the Events and Presentations link on both corporate websites. During this call, we will be making forward-looking statements, which are predictions, projections, or other statements about future events. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results could materially differ because of factors discussed in today's press releases, in the comments made during this conference call, and in the Risk Factors section of our Form 10-K, Form 10-Q, and other reports and filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
We do not undertake any duty to update any forward-looking statement. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Todd Becker.
Thanks, Phil, and good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining our call today. Our second quarter financial and operating results further position the company to succeed in our transformation as we start to gain volumetric critical mass in the last few quarters of 2022 heading into 2023, where we believe we will hit critical inflection points that are proof we are executing on all phases of our plan that we've laid out to you and begin to demonstrate what is possible with our modernized and upgraded platform. Years of planning and execution on our modernization plan have enabled us to run at 97% of operating capacity in the quarter, the highest since Q4 of 2013, and we believe we could still go higher as we continue to optimize the plants that recently started back up in quarters where we don't have turnarounds scheduled.
During the second quarter, we achieved EBITDA above our indications on the prior call. Overall, EBITDA was $84.4 million, including $27.7 million of COVID relief from the USDA. Even without the payment, our EBITDA from operations was over $56 million as margins remained strong and the team executed well to deliver the results we reported this morning. Our financial results also benefited from our natural gas hedging strategy, which we had been mentioning on the calls since late last year. On paper, consolidated margins continued to be positive into the third and fourth quarter, with risk mainly from the physical corn market's historically high basis. Although we have seen some signs of weakness in some of the geographic areas where we operate, but we are closely watching that and the conditions of the U.S. corn crop.
Driving demand remains volatile and could impact overall usage in the last half of the year, but margins have remained steady through July. On paper today, we are tracking mid-teens per gallon consolidated crush in Q3, and in Q4, we are currently tracking much stronger margins with new crop corn factored in, startup of additional MSC facilities, and continued strong contributions from corn oil pricing. Yet, still could be impacted by a smaller than expected corn crop or strong physical corn basis levels continuing through harvest. Overall, we should finish the year in a strong position, both financially and strategically based on today's markets. As I indicated, contributions from low carbon renewable corn oil remain strong as more renewable diesel plants come online over the next year.
In addition, our production yields have also trended higher, with our platform reaching a new high led by our MSC locations averaging 1.2 lbs per bushel of oil yield for the month of June as we continue to seek ways to maximize our overall efficiencies and operating performance. We are constantly discovering new improvements from quality to quantity increases that set the company up, and quite frankly, the industry to be a beneficiary of this by-product contribution for a long time, especially with the latest federal clean energy tax legislation, if it passes, which I'll discuss later on the call. On the commercialization front, we continue to see strong interest in our 50% and 60% protein products from Latin America, Southeast Asia, as well as domestically and other locations worldwide.
I will discuss some of our great progress later in the call when we dive a bit deeper. We also announced an exciting partnership during the quarter with the largest trout producer in the Americas, Riverence, which led to other interests globally for our innovative products. Construction on our MSC facilities is moving ahead, and our Central City location in Nebraska is currently undergoing commissioning and startup activities for its MSC system, which is very exciting. Commissioning will begin in late August at Mount Vernon and early October at Obion. Construction on these projects is nearing completion. Our team did a great job executing on the project, staying on budget and delivering major projects within a few months of when we expected them to start up.
We have begun engineering the MSC project at Superior, Iowa, and anticipate breaking ground in November. Madison, Illinois, is next on the list, and we expect to break ground on that project early next year. These projects will take seven to 10 months to complete in our estimation. We made some progress for permitting in Minnesota, which may lead to those plants being completed earlier than expected as well. We are planning to break ground on our first commercial clean sugar facility in Shenandoah this month. Equally exciting, construction has started at our MSC turnkey JV with Tharaldson Ethanol. During July, we converted a remaining $64 million of 2024 convertible notes to common stock, which continues to strengthen our balance sheet.
With our new revolving credit facility with sustainability-linked targets completed early in the year, which further cleaned up our balance sheet, we now have reduced any material near-term maturities. When combined with the liquidity we have on our balance sheet with over $600 million of cash and a positive outlook for the balance of the year, we remain in strong financial condition to continue executing and deploying capital toward each of our exciting transformation Green Plains Partners increased their distribution for the fourth quarter in a row to $0.45 per unit, and Patrich will dive deeper into the results. With that said, I'll turn the call over to Patrich to review our financial performance.
Thank you, Todd, and good morning, everyone. Green Plains' consolidated revenues for the second quarter were just over $1 billion, $288 million higher than the same period a year ago, driven by higher prices for ethanol, distillers' grains, corn oil, combined with significantly higher run rates. Our plant utilization rate improved year-over-year to 96.9% run rate during the second quarter, comparing favorably to the 79.9% run rate reported in the same period last year. The completion of our modernization program and a focus on continued production improvement reduced fixed cost absorption and will help improve margins long term. For the quarter, we reported net income attributable to Green Plains of $46.4 million or $0.73 per diluted share, compared to $9.7 million for the same period in 2021.
EBITDA for the quarter was $84.4 million, inclusive of the USDA COVID payment of $27.7 million, compared to $50.9 million for the same period last year. For the quarter, higher production run rates, improved corn oil yields, and contribution from protein sales allowed the company to exceed prior year's same period performance, which included optimization and mark-to-market gains. For the period, we realized a $0.28 per gallon consolidated crush, significantly higher than the first quarter, but lower than the prior year. Our ag and energy segment also came in higher versus 2021 due to improvements in our merchant activities as well as higher realized margins in our grain handling business. For the quarter, our SG&A cost for all segments was $30.1 million compared to $23.4 million in Q2 of 2021.
The increase of approximately $6.7 million is driven by a number of factors, with the majority coming from increased personnel costs driven by higher headcount and wage pressures, along with higher professional fees in support of our transformation. We expect SG&A to remain higher for the balance of the year, coming in around $28 million per quarter as we support continuous improvement efforts in digital transformation, plant automation, and commercial development, all necessary for execution of our strategy. We believe these efforts will enable the company to sustain lower operating costs and improve margins long term. Of that amount, we expect corporate SG&A costs, which came in about $16.7 million in the quarter, to be right around $15 million-$16 million per quarter for the balance of the year.
Interest expense of $7.8 million for the quarter, which includes the impact of debt amortization and capitalized interest, was $11.3 million favorable to the $19.1 million reported in the prior year's second quarter, mainly as a result of a $9.5 million charge related to a private settlement of a portion of our 2024 convertible notes incurred in the prior year quarter. As noted in my last quarter comments, we projected cash interest expense to be on average about $10 million per quarter, but now expect that number to be about $10.5 million per quarter as a result of a higher rate environment.
Our income tax expense for the quarter was $2.9 million compared to a tax benefit of $4.8 million for the same period in 2021, resulting from a cumulative valuation adjustment to our deferred tax asset, which is reassessed quarterly. At the end of the quarter, net loss carryforwards available to the company were approximately $104 million, which may be carried forward indefinitely. Our normalized tax rate for the quarter, excluding any valuation allowance adjustments, was 19.1%. On slide nine of the earnings deck, we provide a summary of the company's balance sheet. As shown, we ended the quarter with $629 million of cash and working capital debt, net of working capital financing, compared to $698 million for the prior year quarter.
Our liquidity position at the end of the quarter included $604.2 million in cash equivalents, restricted cash, and marketable securities, along with approximately $70 million available under our working capital revolver. For the quarter, we allocated $66.3 million of capital to profit-sustaining and growth projects, including $47.7 million to our MSC protein initiative, about $7.3 million to other growth projects, including our plant modernization initiative, and approximately $11.3 million towards maintenance, safety, and regulatory capital. We continue to anticipate CapEx for the year of $250 million-$300 million based on our 2022 plan and current construction schedules.
Turning to the partnership, we continue to realize consistent performance, earnings, and cash flow, realizing Adjusted EBITDA of $12.9 million, slightly higher than the $12.7 million reported for the same period a year ago. With volumes now trending upward as a result of higher run rates of the parent, we expect volumes well above MVC levels. As a result, the partnership continues to support higher return to unitholders, increasing the quarterly distribution to $0.45 per unit, while maintaining a 1.06x coverage ratio for the quarter. For the partnership, distributable cash flow was $11.3 million for the quarter, in line with the $11.2 million for the same quarter of 2021.
Over the last 12 months, the partnership produced Adjusted EBITDA of $51.2 million, distributable cash flow of $45 million, and declared distributions of $42 million, resulting in a 1.07x coverage ratio, excluding any adjustment for the required principal payments amortized over the last year. Now I'd like to return the call back to Todd.
Yeah, thanks, Patrich. Okay, let's get into it again this quarter. Our progress since we began our transformation has been remarkable, but in some ways we are only getting started as we believe what we are doing with our company is in the early innings of what is truly possible. Our plant utilization levels and corn oil yields are hitting new highs. This is important, as we have said many times, our modernization of the Gen One platform was in preparation for our technology transformation in order for the Gen Two technology platform to run every single day. The financial transformation to recurring, predictable, growing, and non-volatile cash flows is predicated on the total production unit running well, operating safely, and protecting our team members at the same time.
Despite gasoline usage being depressed by high prices at the pump, we have seen ethanol blending remain strong and at times some of the highest levels ever as a percentage of the gallon. We are still the most affordable clean octane molecule on the planet and having the ability to sell E15 year-round for the fourth straight summer. With potential growth in state and national low carbon fuel standards, we believe this will continue to provide tailwinds to the Gen One business. It looks like Congress might be on track to pass a clean energy bill that has potential to be positive for many aspects of what we do at Green Plains.
As proposed, the legislation would extend the $1 per gallon biodiesel tax credit for two more years, which impacts positively our low carbon renewable corn oil, create a clean fuel production credit starting in 2025 for all renewable fuels, depending on greenhouse gas emission levels, create a new tax credit for sustainable aviation fuel, which could include corn ethanol alcohol-to-jet in a positive way, expanding the 45Q tax credit for carbon capture to $85 a ton, which can help decarbonize our company faster and provide $500 million in infrastructure funding to fuel retailers E15 for higher blends. We believe Green Plains is uniquely situated at the nexus of agriculture, technology, and energy to deliver solutions to the market and value to our shareholders.
After our successful protein trial we discussed last quarter, we have turned to executing a global sales and outreach program and are beginning to see success. What is unique about Green Plains is we not only own and control an amazing IP portfolio, but we can do things with our units that are truly only possible because of this. Some of you have seen the end-to-end system that has been built around innovation with three centers all focused on product use and development. Our customers have seen the benefit and can see the benefit of using our MSC Ultra-High Protein products, or for what we refer to in commercial circles as Corn Fermented Protein.
Firsthand from feed formulations, to feed production, to feeding that product to their animals, to seeing the outcome of the use of the product in everything from salmon to tilapia, to pet food, to swine, to poultry. The results of all of this is better customer and customer engagement and commitments. As we said, we are excited to be partnering with Riverence on the development of nutritious feeds aimed at trout and salmon markets domestically and globally, and we're beginning to work on the feed mill in Idaho that will be part of the JV. We continue to see great progress in our discussions with customers in Latin America, Southeast Asia, and domestic markets, as well as other global markets in both our 50% and 60% protein products.
We are in the final stages of securing in-country distribution agreements in key markets that allow us to partner with companies with an existing infrastructure to reach customers without having to expand our own logistics in those markets, allowing us to achieve market penetration more quickly. We expect to have several finalized over the next few weeks. You have to remember, in some markets, these ingredients trade in as little as 50 lbs bag, but the opportunity for expanded margins and good volumes are even greater. This is on top of all the work we are doing with some of the largest customers in the world in pet, and aquaculture, and swine, and poultry. Lastly, on these points, if you are seeing.
As you are seeing, the global protein market shows some of its true colors as prices have accelerated higher recently, which has been beneficial to our margin structures going forward. It is our expectation that our primary product from MSC in 2024 and beyond, as well as increasingly during 2023, will be the production of 60% protein, even as our day-to-day production continues to be around 50% since our primary customers were in the pet space when we started up Wood River and Shenandoah. As we build more and more customer demand, we will pivot to 60% protein as the need for this product remains very strong based on early indications. As I said, one of the strategic reasons we partnered and subsequently purchased Fluid Quip with our partners was the fact that the technology had a lot of upside in terms of performance.
One example of the success is our best 30-day run at Shenandoah happened during the quarter with corn oil yields near 1.2 and protein yields exceeding 4 lbs per bushel, and we are now starting to see yields exceed 4.5 lbs and 5 lbs per bushel as well. To revisit, our Tharaldson JV will be the largest MSC project in the world, and we are taking every step to ensure a successful build and launch. We anticipate that this facility begin commissioning in mid-2023. We're also in discussions with additional potential JV partners, not just domestically, but also globally. I'm confident that some of these will come to fruition over the next several quarters, but our focus remains completing our platform first. Low-carbon renewable corn oil continues to be a strong contributor to our bottom line.
Second quarter had a record high with MSC plants pushing towards our stated goals of 1.2 lbs . Fluid Quip's launch of technology that increases oil yields in a single unit of operation for third parties continues to garner significant interest as a game-changing technology to expand a plant's ability to produce more low carbon renewable corn oil. With the demand growth from renewable diesel continuing unabated, we believe strong pricing for low carbon veg oils, vegetable oils should continue no matter how much corn oil is made in the U.S. As I mentioned earlier, it is further advantaged under the newly proposed federal tax credit program. We have yet to make any announcements about potential partnerships, but we continue to engage in substantive discussions and see strong and growing benefits from our low carbon renewable corn oil strategy in the meantime.
We have always believed this goes beyond merely an offtake agreement, and we can remain patient on this front as the earnings remain a significant contributor to our overall business. We are planning to break ground on our first full-scale Clean Sugar Technology deployment in Shenandoah this month. We believe that our growing bio campus in Shenandoah will be truly revolutionary for our company and the bio economy. While we have great confidence in our ability to produce significant quantities of low carbon dextrose and glucose from a dry mill plant, we also know we have to demonstrate the potential to the market. With that said, because of our work to produce product at our semi-commercial facility in York, we have ongoing discussions with several potential co-location partners and off-takers.
As we speak, our product continues to be validated and accepted as a direct replacement for what wet mill makes with a lower carbon intensity, and we can customize the grade on the fly. We recently signed a letter of intent with a co-location partner who is anxious to work with us on completing their project so they can begin deploy their own revolutionary process in food production. We believe this is the first of many to come from food to chemicals to bioplastics and even more innovative partnerships than that in other areas that need dextrose and glucose in their process. In the meantime, once the facility is complete, we will be able to ship product by truck and rail car to end customers while the over the fence initiatives are completed.
We believe our sugar strategy can accelerate quickly from here, but getting the first one done is our current focus. The last of our strategic pillars is our strategy around carbon, or better said, decarbonization. If the new bill passes with the 45Q increases with direct pay, just about any carbon project can be viable from clean biogenic carbon we produce to the other types as well. The opportunity set will only grow from here. With regard to the Summit pipeline, they continue to make good progress on the rights-of-way, and we are on track for a 2024 and 2025 startup. At $85 a ton, our Eastern plants become very interesting for other potential opportunities, and we should be able to monetize those as well and we continue to look at these opportunities.
I also think patience will be rewarded on any of these programs. We believe alcohol-to-jet will be a reality in the future, which can substantially revalue the whole industry, and we are positioning ourselves to take advantage of that opportunity as well. I will close with that on our strategic topics. As you can see, we have many initiatives that are going to be beneficial for our shareholders now and into the future. We have never quite seen a time like this in the industry that is on the verge of incredible outcomes. While we still deal with the volatility of the Gen One assets and business, we can see the future and has never been more exciting for Green Plains.
Thanks for joining the call today, and we can now start the Q&A session.
Certainly. Ladies and gentlemen, if you have a question at this time, you will need to press star one one on your telephone. We ask that you please limit your questions to no more than two at this time. If you wish to ask additional questions, please rejoin the queue. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from the line of Jordan Levy with Truist.
Morning, all. Can you hear me?
We can hear you. Thanks, Jordan.
There you guys. A clearly nice clean quarter you all put up both from the higher crush spread and just operationally. It looks like it was a really clean quarter. I wonder if we compare this to 2Q 2021 where we saw kind of a similar margin environment. Can you maybe walk us through how you're thinking about GPRE today compared to a year ago, both operationally and from a financial performance perspective? What I'm getting at here is I know y'all don't break out high pro in the other segments just yet, but what are sort of the barometers we should be looking at to track that all the work y'all are doing and have done and continue to do in the transformation are starting to flow through to the results there?
Yeah. I'll talk a little about it and let Patrich talk more specifically. Q2 of last year included some one-timers from optimization to mark to market. This was a much cleaner quarter, just kind of shows the capability of our system, higher operational run rate, better contributions from corn oil, better contributions from protein and all of our initiatives that are taking place. I think when you look at it's really we don't really compare those two very well. I think what you're seeing is the future of our company this quarter versus last year at the same time. You know, you saw a lot of noise that was still happening within our business. I think our ability to increase the capabilities of the plants that we have.
Even back then, some of those plants weren't even online or they were online at a very low operating rate. I think really where we're at today going forward is that what we had said is we got to have a really strong Gen One, generation one platform so the Gen Two can be built to and operate and succeed every single day. That's really what we're seeing. From the technology side, we have more deployments coming on and, you know, we have Shenandoah and Wood River running a full quarter. Overall, I think the company is in a very different position than it was a year ago.
That's great. Maybe as a follow-up, if we can jump back to a release a few months back with the Riverence announcement. I know you mentioned in your prepared remarks the feed mill you're starting to do the work on. Maybe if you could just walk us through some of the timeline there and then the implications of that partnership both with Riverence and with other customers in the aqua space.
I think the key point there is they're a great partner, good friends of the company. You know, we're working together on best outcomes for their production using our products in many different ways and working together on developing those rations. I think what we get out of that, you know, they have some of the leading genetics, if not the leading genetics in salmon in the world, and we get to see how our product performs. If you've been to Shenandoah, and many of you have on the call, we're actually doing trials right now on those products.
What that really did is it garnered attention globally from the industry, and we've seen our related activity accelerate because of that with large players around the planet that need alternatives to what they've had in their rations before to feed, whether it's a variety of aquaculture species. I think what it did is it put us on the map to say, you know, we have unique solutions for the global aquaculture industry, where they can get into plant-based corn fermented products that, you know, we've shown in the past on some of these calls and in our investor meetings what it looks like when you feed a product like this from flesh to performance to feed conversion ratios to the ability to start to reduce their dependence on soy and the anti-soy nutritionals.
I think, you know, it was just the first step in a multi-step process, but it really put us on the map from that perspective. I think what's unique about Green Plains is, and I said it in my remarks, was because we do own the technology, we can do different things with this technology that really nobody else can in the world. That's it. Whether we wanna increase yield of pounds per bushel, or whether we wanna increase protein or additional characteristics, we can start to maneuver back and forth on all of those, depending on the customer needs. But we have a lot of interest in this product in aquaculture globally, and especially towards the 60% protein because of that announcement.
That's great. I'll take the rest of those, rest of my questions offline. Thanks, guys.
Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Adam Samuelson with Goldman Sachs.
Yes, thanks. Good morning, everyone.
Morning, Adam.
Morning. Todd, I was hoping to maybe talk a little bit about some of the actions in Congress right now. As you look at your network today, that Clean Fuel Producers Credit in 2025, what do you think the CI score of the footprint would be, or could be at that point, when you factor in Summit and the sequestration there? Just to confirm, 'cause you can't. My understanding is you wouldn't be able to double dip between 45Q and the Clean Fuel Producers Credit. Just the legal entities would be separated so that you could still participate in both programs as needed economically.
Yeah. I'll just talk a little bit about CI score, and we have Devin Mogler here, who's our Government Relations VP as well. He may comment a little bit about that as well while you ask the question. From a CI perspective, you know, we know the first step that we're going to do is reduce the CI because of carbon sequestration. Obviously, whether it's on a pipeline or whether it's direct inject, or whether it's in other products, whether it's, you know, something like that, you know, our CI starts to go down significantly.
Beyond that, even on some of our products as well, we're seeing opportunities around taking some of our platform and doing something called in-situ fermentation, which reduces CI scores on a portion of that into an advanced biofuel opportunity as well. That's happening in Gen One right now, which is not commonly known in the world. The Gen One platform will start to produce probably across the board in many plants, some advanced biofuels as well because of how fermentation has been changed over the years. You know, from our standpoint, when we look at Congress and what they're talking about, obviously the biodiesel extension is helpful to renewable corn oil.
The sustainable aviation fuel, we strongly believe and have a great conviction now that corn ethanol or ethanol-to-jet and alcohol-to-jet is gonna become more of a reality, I think, than people are giving this industry credit for. Obviously, the $85 really allows us to focus on projects that we maybe were on the edge of being successful but now can be very successful. Things like our Eastern plants, where maybe we didn't have perfect geologic formations underneath the plant, but now you can start thinking about piping it 5 mi or 10 mi to a better geologic formation because the tax credit allows you to do that, and I think that's beneficial to us as well.
When we kinda get to 2025, just on the base business, a lot of our plants that are on pipelines or are doing projects could be, you know, going from an average score of 65 or 70 down to an average score of somewhere between kind of 30 and 40. Before we even get started on other opportunities like the way that we produce energy. You know, as there combined heat and power is a topic we have basically to take ingredients that we produce or maybe sell cheaply to convert that into energy. Those are all on the verge as well.
This industry is decarbonizing right in front of our eyes, and it might take a few more years, but I would say this industry is somewhere gonna be, somewhere between zero to 35 on average overall. Devin, you wanna talk a little bit about the clean production fuel credit?
Sure. As Todd mentioned, after two years, the biodiesel tax credit shifts from a $1 across the board to being based on greenhouse gas reductions, and so that further advantages.
Our DCO. It gets the CI credit not only at the federal level for being low CI waste oil, as well as a California or a Canada or a Washington State or Oregon credit as well. I believe there's a lot of upside there on being able to double dip on that low CI of DCO.
Just to be clear, the ethanol as well would qualify that you sell just generically apart from just the renewable diesel from corn oil.
Correct. With a low enough CI, as long as it has greater than a 50% GHG reduction, it can qualify for that program as well, in addition to any California credits.
Yeah. Okay, perfect. That answers my questions. I'll pass it on. Thanks so much.
Thanks.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Kristen Owen with Oppenheimer.
Great. Good morning. Thank you for taking the question. Wanted to ask a little bit about the 2022 outlook that you provided last quarter, the 140-160 corn 40-60 Protein. how much of that roughly would you say we've captured to date? And I'm really just trying to think about sort of the exit velocity of that business as you get these additional facilities online in the back half of the year, and what that means for those businesses in 2023.
Yeah. I mean, we're still basically on track to hit within the ranges of those numbers, subject obviously, we wanna make sure the plants start up well. Corn oil pricing still remains it's off its highs, but overall, still remains at a premium to soybean oil today in the market. I think with more plants coming on in the last half year and into next year, you know, I think we'll continue to remain strong relative to soybean oil pricing. We have a great product with a low carbon score, and we're seeing a lot of strong demand from that. From the protein standpoint, you know, we're really focused on escape velocity out of 2022 into 2023.
When we leave the year, we will have about 560 million gallons of our 950 million gallons converted and operating into 2023, sorry, and more coming on in 2023. When we start to look at, you know, our 2023 outlook, our corn oil volumes will go up, our protein volumes go up, and that's really when we start to see critical inflection points, especially if we can get our partnership in North Dakota started up in middle of next year, get Superior online as well as quickly as we can. We're learning how to build these a lot better, faster, quicker, and potentially even cheaper with some of the material pricing coming down.
You know, right now, we remain kinda on track with our guidance through 2024 and 2025, and we're seeing some things even within that that makes us very confident we can hit those numbers and beyond.
That's really helpful, Todd. Wanted to ask one follow-up question related to the Riverence agreement. You sort of talked about what that means for this particular market, but I'm just wondering what the cadence of customer conversations has been like since you made that announcement. You touched on it briefly in your prepared remarks, but just wondering if you could expand on that for us. Thank you so much.
Yeah, thanks. I'll talk a little bit about it, and I'll let Leslie be our basically now because of that announcement. You know, it's really, that is a really important announcement just on its own merit. I mean, I think the partnership is extremely valuable to both parties. I think what we're doing in potential product development is gonna be valuable. What it allowed us to do is really kinda go around the world and talk about and meet with players that need replacement protein products.
As you see reduction in production, whether it's gonna be from the Black Sea, whether it's gonna be from South America, you know, we're seeing some of the true colors of the protein markets collide, especially what we're seeing in fishmeal as well with Peru and some of the quotas there. As we indicated, we are in process of finalizing several distribution agreements that we believe will not only be completed over the next several weeks, but we'll start to execute on those. Those are everywhere from South America into Southeast Asia, into the Mediterranean and Africa, as well as even in Mexico, that we're working on a distribution agreement.
Those are countries that, you know, Green Plains has a nice reach around the world, but we're not in country storing and distributing products. We found great partners around the world that have great customer contacts, whether it's gonna be in aquaculture, swine, and other areas, and pet even in some markets, that now we can really move our product more efficiently and quicker into markets. It really led to the reach out back to Green Plains from global customers, you know, wanting to see the results from trials in aquaculture, wanting to see the positive results that we get in lack, you know, the pigmentation and sometimes the opposite from ingredients derived from corn.
I think generally, it really has led to expanded activities, not only in country distribution agreements, but really with some global players that are looking for alternative protein ingredients. Leslie, you wanna just close on that?
Yeah. I think the other thing to recognize is that the Riverence agreement or an announcement came on top of 60 Pro announcement from earlier this year. When we made the decision that we wanted to go deep in aquaculture because we see the tremendous growth opportunity, a lot of things have been set in motion. You know, to put it in a positive perspective, it was really more a positive tidal wave that is coming.
The response from not just the critical players in the feed industry, but just the embrace to continue development on the ingredients by, you know, doing the test, as Todd mentioned, you know, some showing data for growth, absorption, digestibility. Everything came together really nicely. It's another piece of confirmation. That partnership, yes, it really shows how participants in the value chain can really deliver better quality ingredients and better quality fish.
Great. Thank you so much.
Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Manav Gupta.
Hi, guys. I want to quickly revisit this entire reconciliation bill, climate bill. Finally, it looks like the administration is doing a lot more on to fight climate change, and there are multiple provisions in there, blenders tax credit extension, sustainable aviation fuel, and 45Q credits. Now, that are indirectly impacted by BTC, but directly impacted by 45Q credits. Help us understand, when you look at that bill, which are the things which excite you the most and you think GPRE benefits the most from?
Well, I mean, you basically mentioned what's really exciting about that bill. You know, it just basically cements the fact that the ingredients we're making and the products we make are in demand and decarbonization is the path forward. We focus on obviously lowering our carbon scores across the board on all of our products. A low carbon corn oil, it's gonna be low carbon proteins. We're gonna have low carbon sugars going into clean chemicals, green chemicals. I mean, all of this is basically telling us that we were ahead in our thought process around investing behind these products across the board. From the standpoint of alcohol-to-jet, you know, that's probably the one that I think is really underplayed relative to what our company and even this industry.
Because this industry capability to really make alcohol-to-jet sustainable aviation fuel a reality, there's only one industry that can gain critical mass to give the world significant quantities of sustainable aviation fuel, and that's gonna be the ethanol, and that's gonna be the alcohol in ethanol industry and the alcohol we produce. Now, technologies have to continue to get pulled forward, but whether it's what you've seen out in the market already or things that, you know, are in the background because there's other technologies that I think you're gonna see get pulled forward, you know, there's gonna be multiple opportunities to create a sustainable aviation fuel from alcohol as well.
You know, I just think when you look at all of this, even the infrastructure on E15 and higher blends, the $500 million allocation there, you know, and we continue to press and try to get MLPs, even though somewhat a nascent industry today of MLPs, there has been some talk of even going to renewables and MLPs as well, and we continue to press forward on that. I think across the board, generally very positive to ourselves, our industry, others that make renewable diesel, any company that really can benefit from any of these, including carbon capture. Devin, you want anything else on that?
No.
Perfect. My quick follow-up here is, I think on the last quarter call, you were very clear that as you took this transformative process, there were initial parts where there was a negative cost absorption. That was one of the reasons your earnings were coming in a little weaker, both in 4Q and 1Q. What you had indicated was that majority of that negative cost absorption part had already been done. When we look at 2Q, it looks like it's in line. I'm just trying to understand, does that statement still stand true that a majority of that negative cost absorption associated with the transformation process is now behind GPRE?
Yeah, I think that is correct in general. We had absorbed a lot of negative costs as we were modernizing our plant so that we could set ourselves up well to execute against our transformation. Because a generation one plant has to run every day, has to run well, and has to run towards a lower cost. That's the reason we've spent a lot of time and money on, you know, getting our plants with high energy use down to lower energy use. Now, I still think from the standpoint of where the industry is today and where we're at today, we've seen significant inflation in some of the chemicals that we use. So I think some of that ultimately, as inflation subsides over time, will come back down. That has driven the general cost of the industry higher.
Labor costs obviously had gone higher, that probably won't reverse. Then some other just, you know, things that have inflated during the last couple of years potentially will drive costs lower. It's really for us, it's about running these plants as hard as we can every single day, making sure our whole platform runs well. You know, as the wet millers say, it's all about grind, baby, grind. You know, from a dry mill standpoint and what we do in conversions, we look a lot like a wet mill after our conversion. That means you have to grind every single day as hard as you can. The plants, for the most part, are fully set up to do that.
We have some final little things that we continue to work on that seem to stay a little bit longer. But overall, our modernization program is effectively complete, but it's never done, you know. I think we're gonna continue to see where we can drive costs more out of it in the future.
Yeah. Thank you for the detailed response. Congrats on a good quarter, and we all hope this bill passes, so we can decarbonize faster. Thank you, sir.
Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Eric Stine with Craig-Hallum.
Hi, everyone.
Hey, guys. How are you?
Hey. Hey, doing well. How about you?
Good.
Good. You know, I just wanna talk a little bit about clean sugars. You know, just curious as you think about that, obviously you started with high pro and you're progressing there. I mean, for clean sugars, do you expect a similar timeline in terms of when you get the commercial momentum? Is that a few years out or you know, kinda given some of the progress you're making in other areas, does that potentially speed up the timeline on the Clean Sugar side?
Yeah. I think what we laid out for 2024 and 2025 is still holds at least from the rollout standpoint. You know, Clean Sugar is a bit, little bit of a longer game. You know, we start to build our Shenandoah plant as we speak, and we're working with large customers that need dextrose for their processes. You know, the great thing about what we do is it's lower carbon. We make the exact same product that comes out of the current production of a wet mill. We can make it in 95 DE, 43 DE, and give them product refined or unrefined, filtered or unfiltered, and we can give them anything they wanna do on the fly.
That's a very different proposal than what they can get traditionally in the past at a co-location, because a lot of them don't really want some of the sugars that are only available to them. We give them a different alternative. We're talking with customers that range from, you know, 20 million- 30 million pounds a year to 300 million pounds a year and bigger right now as we speak. We're trying to convince them that we are the best alternative to build their co-location site, and we're starting to make great progress. In our first site in Shenandoah, the great thing is it's a great community and a great county, and they give with excellent workforce.
That's part of when you co-locate next to Green Plains, you wanna make sure the workforce is there for the co-location plant. We're starting to see that as our first step in Shenandoah. We signed our first LOI, which we're very excited about. It's a fantastic opportunity to prove out and continue to prove out our technology. We think that ultimately, you know, as we had said, the margin structure is significantly greater in sugar than it is in protein to start. Now, 60 Pro, it starts to get up there. In terms of the first cut margin in sugar, it's still significantly better than anything we can do in protein.
Again, quantities may be a little bit smaller to start, but ultimately over the next kind of five to 10 years, our view is that we own the leading technology, we have the leading technology. We're willing to put our money where our mouth is, build the plant, and we have significant customer engagement opportunities both domestically and globally for these products. I'm very excited about it.
Got it. That's great color. Maybe last one for me, just turning to the renewable corn oil and renewable diesel space. I mean, just your updated thoughts on whether you prefer long-term contracts, potentially spot or a mix of both, you know, maybe where your expectations are now, knowing your work can turn something in the future.
Yeah, there's nobody willing today to anybody in the world that's gonna say, "I'll pay you this." Well, they would if it's cheap enough, but I'll pay you this much for your oil for the next 10 years. That's not what's happening in the market. It's a little bit more of, you know, what's the opportunity set? You know, how does Green Plains share? How do Green Plains shareholders benefit from that? You know, if I wanna just sell oil and lock in price, I have three years of a forward curve in Chicago Mercantile Exchange. I can go and start to hedge oil or find somebody in the over-the-counter market to do that as well. So if I just wanna hedge oil, I can do that. If I want to
I'm never worried that I won't have a home for the industry actually, in general. We're not worried that we won't have a home for this oil. It's a significantly lower carbon intensity than what happens in soybean oil and other veg oils. There's only one lower than us today. I think we're gonna continue to drive those carbon scores lower. We'll see what happens if CARB takes a relook at that again because of the carbon sequestration or how oil qualifies in low carbon fuel markets. We're very confident that what we have is very valuable. As we get to the end of our program building out our own plants, we'll be pressing towards 400 million pounds a year.
While not the biggest in the world, we're, you know, top five of corn oil producers. We think we provide a very strategic feedstock to somebody who wants to make it very compelling for us to lock our volumes in. But it's more. You know, we're not just looking for an offtake, we're looking for a partnership. We're looking for some opportunities that really drive above and beyond just us selling oil as a company. I think we're gonna get there. You know, we continue to remain in discussions with several parties on different opportunities that we think would be beneficial. You know, I think it's just a matter of time.
In the meantime, look, if we stay and we don't do anything, it's gonna be a fantastic contribution to cash flows in the future.
Yep, understood. Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Ken Zaslow with BMO Capital Markets.
Hey, good morning, guys.
Good morning.
Can you talk about the economics of high protein? How much will you actually realize in profitability of what the economics imply?
Yeah. We initially said when we rolled out our 50 Pro, or basically as an alternative to soybean meal at 48 Pro-50 Pro, we initially said that initial margin is $0.12-$0.15 a gallon equivalent. We also said, when you kind of go higher than that, it goes to a little bit higher in the low 50s, it goes $0.15-$0.25 a gallon equivalent. We're still in the 60% protein in that $0.40-$0.50 a gallon equivalent as well. That's obviously has some contribution from oil from the oil uplift. On top of that, the protein per unit value of protein, as we said, maintains a higher value because of the finite amount 60 Pro and above versus 50 Pro and below.
We're still on track for all of those. That's gonna be what the product mix will be. You know, the interesting thing, what we found with our technology is that if we have a customer who says, "I only need 48% protein," we could run our plants a lot harder and actually increase our margin structure. Because when we talk about making and we initially said we were gonna make 3 lbs-3.5 lbs per bushel, we are now talking to 4 lbs- 4.5 to 5 lbs per bushel. Our yields are going higher, which then allows us to run harder. If we see maybe a 48% protein customer in large volumes, we might make more money doing that than selling a 50% or 52% customer in small volumes.
We're really starting to play around with product mix and yield and production. That's the uniqueness of owning a technology versus buying a technology. You know, when we have the founders and, you know, 40 engineers that all they do all day is build these things and add technology around these things, we get to see what the best of the best is relative to this technology. As I indicated, we've seen yields as high as 5 lbs per bushel, which is literally unheard of in high protein relative to who we compete with, you know, around the world in corn. You know, we're, you know, it's a bit of a product mix, but overall, all of the margins are holding.
In fact, if you press harder, with even maybe a lesser protein, you actually could make more money because of yields. There's a little bit of that going on as well, but we're very positive on the margin structure that we've laid out and some increases that are even going on from there.
My second question is, in 2023, what do you expect your product mix to be? Like, how do you kind of give some ranges of what you think? How much will be 60%? How much will be 48%? And how do you do that? Is there a composite profitability that you can assign to that? That would be very helpful.
Yeah. I think that's something we'll probably work on over the next several quarters as we look at our takeaway capacity at the end of 2022, and we're just gonna start to go into negotiation season for 2023 and 2024 with customers. I think it'll be a mix, probably a bigger mix still towards 50s, low 50s versus 60 for 2023. Once we get into 2024, our goal and everything we're doing at Green Plains around this technology, around our product development, around our customer development, is to flip the script in 2024 and start to produce higher levels 60 Pro versus 50 Pro.
That's really when we believe 2024 will be the time when we start to get a good critical mass in those higher proteins, and even looking at ways that we could drive proteins even higher than that. I think it's a bit of a mix in 2023, and we'll give you more guidance on that towards the end of the year. Then 2024 is when we'll be able to flip that a little bit more.
I look forward to hearing from you. Thanks.
Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Craig Irwin with Roth MKM Partners.
It's Craig Irwin. Thank you. Todd, you know, you were really clear in your prepared remarks that, you know, the second half of this year should be a pretty healthy financial outlook. But during the quarter with geopolitical events and some of the other happenings, the volatility in corn has been a fairly active discussion among shareholders and people looking at the stock to potentially accumulate here. Can you maybe unpack for us what volatility in corn looks like, potential positives, negatives, for the third and fourth quarters? Can you maybe give us a little bit of color on your position for these quarters? And how should we think about, you know, the fact that corn's been coming off since a certain country started exporting again?
Is this something that maybe does help us a little bit more in the back end of the year?
Yeah, I don't think it's just a corn story necessarily. You know, I think when we look at corn, certainly, you know, we had a view that that overall corn we're fundamentally at $8.50, bearish corn at that point because we felt like Ukraine became the storage of the world and the U.S. became the residual supplier to the world. That kind of all happened. Now we've seen the market structures come back where the job of the U.S. market again is to be the residual supplier to the world. We're seeing that in the term structure, and we're seeing that in the ultimate price of corn today. Now, how we finish this crop is going to be critical to the ability for the U.S. to have a good crop.
I think there's definitely areas of fantastic results. I think we've seen some probably slip in yield over the last couple of weeks because of this weather and what you see at this record heatwave that will last another five to 10 days. Notwithstanding that, the rains in the Midwest have set at least Iowa, Nebraska, Minnesota, South Dakota, North Dakota up well to deliver, and that's kind of the most important states. I think the Mid-South a little bit dry. Overall, we probably anticipate today's yields lower than what the USDA had probably put out. You haven't made any money in the last five years betting against the corn crop and weather.
I think that's mainly the driver here of the reduced prices overall, as well as obviously, you start exporting out of the Black Sea, you've got tens of millions of tons of more corn hitting the market. On top of that, you know, as we had said earlier, the Russian wheat yields were significantly better than we expected, and those are hitting the market as well, which is why you saw the wheat market help drive the corn market lower. You know, when you look at it, ethanol still remains a significant discount to gasoline, you know, whether it's $0.50 or $0.80, plus you have the RIN on top of that.
You can go a long way in corn before you really start to affect this industry because in terms of higher, because the economics of blending ethanol are so favorable. It helps reduce gas prices today. The RIN market helps reduce gas prices today. We've seen expanded blends. You know, even with some of these higher stock levels, we've seen margins maintain themselves. We're gonna watch it closely. I think the bigger thing that we have to watch in the U.S. is we saw some very elevated corn basis levels this summer that. But we are still able to make a margin with those elevated corn basis levels. I think, you know, we're really a lot higher than the historical highs.
When you're paying $150 and $200 over the futures for corn in Nebraska, and you're still able to make a positive margin, I think it tells you that ethanol is not gonna go away anytime soon. It's an important part of our fuel supply, and we see more and more demand for the product every day. We've seen good exports as well. I mean, it hasn't been what it is in some years, but I think the world wants cheap molecules. Overall, you know, I think from here, not a lot of downside left in the corn market, and probably more risk to the up. Corn crop's pretty smart, and betting against the weather in the last five years hasn't done very well.
Yeah, that makes a lot of sense. My next question's about corn fermented protein. In your press release, you're very clear that you expect this current quarter to be one of your strongest in new orders. You know, I assume that's maybe predominantly 50 Pro, maybe a little bit of 50 Pro. But more importantly, would you expect these to be announceable orders, or orders that we might have to wait until the next earnings call to hear about? Is there a possibility we start to hear about tonnage commitments in these different contracts?
You know, I think the thing we have to do is be very careful about what an announceable order is because, you know, we announced our pet food relationship, and anybody that makes any product with any protein now is trying to steal the business away, but we have a great relationship with them. We don't wanna just lay out our playbook to everybody in the world to see where we're gonna sell this product. I mean, we have product moving into many markets globally, and I'll let Leslie just talk a little bit about that. I mean, we have now great momentum coming into this quarter, whether it's gonna be, you know, 50 Pro. If somebody wants a little lower with higher yield, we can do that. If you 60 Pro, we can do that.
I think we're gonna see a variety of orders come in this quarter, not just for nearby, but also. Really what we're waiting for is the programs to start to kick off for 2023 and the campaigns, and that's really what we're setting ourselves up for. I think we could see strong interest in 60 Pro product for 2023 volumes. I think we'll have very strong interest in our 50 Pro Plus product for later in the year in 2023 volumes. We've been setting ourselves up. Remember, we haven't had any product to sell. We've had Wood River and Shenandoah.
Customers that buy high-value products don't want. They wanna see the production running before they give you big orders that are bigger than what you can produce today. I think we're finally able to show these customers globally that we can provide a volume into 2023 that have never been available before. Leslie, you wanna talk a little bit about maybe some of our progress we're making specifically in some countries and without kinda giving our whole playbook away?
Yeah. Well, let me try. I think the point you're making here, and I would like to echo that, is it's imperative for us that as we've established and positioned ourselves to build very strong and deep relationships with some of the major players in the world, again, those names would not come as a surprise to you, that they also have a certain sense of, you know, view on their own proprietary diets. As we're trying to help them, it's to our advantage to really become a nutritional partner to them that solves problems, because when we move into a diet, other people move out of the diet. It's a very delicate balance that we're trying to address here. We understand, of course, that the market would like to see all of this broken out.
For us, it's really that going deep in those relationships. You can imagine that the multinational companies, feed companies in the world have markets that we can access today, some of them that need some more development for tomorrow. It's you know, we started this journey several years ago, and I mentioned earlier in response to the other question about the aquaculture progress, it's really picking up. We have to respect the fact that some of our partners are even saying, "We wanna benefit from your technology platform, from your ability to make our products better." But it's also not something that they want to announce immediately, due to, as I said, the aforementioned position in the market.
Thanks for taking my question.
Thank you. Now I'll hand the call back over to President and CEO, Todd Becker, for any closing remarks.
Hey, thanks everybody for being on the call. As you can see, we're making great progress and product, by the way. We are really optimistic for our performance out of 2022, operating well over half our platform with more coming on in 2023. I think that's really when we will start to see the critical mass that we need to start putting up good results in all of our segments, including our corn fermented protein, our Ultra-High Protein production.
We are seeing great evolution of this product, innovation around this product, customer acceptance of this product, and we could see inflection and almost to a point where we know in 2023 when we really start to see a different Green Plains appear in your eyes. Until then, you know, as I said, we're in great financial shape, should finish the year with positive margins. We gotta watch some things to make sure of that, but based on today's market, it's there for us to deliver. We have a lot to do, but right now we're executing well. Thank you for your continued support, and we will talk to everybody next quarter.
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.