Earnings Call: Q1 2021

Apr 30, 2021

Greetings, and welcome to the Huntsman Corporation's First Quarter 2021 Earnings Call. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. Call. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Mr. Ivan Marcuse, Vice President, Investor Relations for Huntsman Corporation. Thank you. You may begin. Thank you, Melissa, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to Huntsman's Q1 2021 earnings call. Joining us on the call today are Peter Huntsman, Chairman, President and CEO Sean Douglas, Executive Vice President and CFO and Tony Hankins, President of Polyurethanes. This morning before the market opened, we released our earnings for the Q1 of formal presentation of the press release and posted to our website, kunstmann.com. We also posted a set of slides on our website, formal presentation, which we will use on this call this morning while presenting our results. During the call, we may make statements about our projections or expectations for the future. All such statements are forward looking statements, and while they reflect our current expectations, they involve risks and uncertainties and are not guarantees of future performance. Phone. You should review our filings with the SEC for more information regarding the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these projections or expectations. Formal presentation. We do not plan on publicly updating or revising any forward looking statements during the quarter. We will also refer to non GAAP financial measures such as adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income phone and free cash flow. You can find reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures in our earnings release, which has been posted to our website, huntsman.com. Phone. I'll now turn the call over to Peter Huntsman, our Chairman and President and CEO. Thank you, Ivan. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for taking the time to join us. Let's turn to slide number 3. Adjusted EBITDA for our polyurethanes division in the Q1 was $207,000,000 versus $84,000,000 a year ago. This improvement versus the prior year was largely driven by improved margins due to higher prices, primarily formal discussion in the component end of our business, which more than offset the approximate $10,000,000 EBITDA impact related to winter storm Yuri that we experienced in February. Our MDI volumes declined approximately 7% versus the prior year's Q1, formal presentation. Primarily due to a Q4 2020 T and I at our Geismar, Louisiana, which we deferred to this year's Q1, phone some impact related to winter storm Yuri and our planned need to build inventory ahead of our scheduled Rotterdam turnaround. Phone. However, improved margins more than offset the decline in volumes. We will note that our differentiated MDI volumes, 4 markets of construction and automotive have led to solid underlying growth in the quarter. When excluding the impact from storms and turnarounds, Our insulation businesses, including spray foam and our composite wood products business remain solid as markets such as North American Residential Construction phone and renovation remains strong. Many have inquired as to the impact the reported ongoing chip shortage in the automotive industry having on our polyurethanes business. By the end of the Q1, we haven't seen any impact to our customers as our automotive Business was up 12% globally compared to the previous year. We believe this has been a result of our being more European centric 2% to 3% drop in volumes due to chip related slowdowns. We've reallocated this volume of MDI to other areas phone and expect to earn similar margins. We're also pleased to see a strong recovery in our global elastomers business, largely comprised of footwear, phone along with other specialty end use and industrial related markets. The improvement in footwear is being helped by the gradual reopening of economies, phone, which is having a positive effect on the retail markets. The industrial side of our elastomers business correlates somewhat phone with global PMIs, which have continued to expand around the world. Short term and long term fundamentals of our polyurethanes business remains positive. While we are benefiting from some level of inventory restock And our own inventory levels remained below normal levels for this time of year. While we're keeping an eye on the evolving within our order book remains solid. Our margin within the Q1 benefited more than we had anticipated from ongoing tight conditions within the industry. In addition to various planned turnarounds within the industry, unscheduled outages compounded the situation. We were fortunate that our Geismar, Louisiana facility was able to continue largely uninterrupted, Others were forced to declare force majeure due to damages sustained by winter storm Yuri. Previously mentioned, We estimate the negative impact from Yuri on polyurethanes was approximately $10,000,000 This is largely a result of supply chain and raw material constraints. This is a testament to the team that we have at our Geismar, Louisiana facility, their ability to work through these conditions in a safe manner to keep it running. Currently, in the Americas, we believe most The industry capacity is in the process of returning back to full operating rates. Business conditions in China remain solid. Our margins in the Q1 exceeded our expectations. Given the completion of local turnarounds and some announced capacity additions within China, We've seen margins recently recede a bit, though they are generally firm. Within our PONPD joint venture with Sinopec In China, where we own 49%. We benefited from very strong margins, largely the result of industry outages and stronger than expected demand in the quarter. As of the current moment and once in every 4 year multi facility turnaround phone at our Rotterdam MDI plant is nearing completion. We are highly dependent on many other chemical companies conducting turnarounds and everyone meeting to be around $25,000,000 versus the initial $15,000,000 estimate we gave you last quarter. Our facility is about ready to start back up. We're hopeful that we do not experience any further delays from outside that are outside our control. Putting it all together, we remain very positive about the trends that we are seeing in polyurethanes globally. Demand is good. The industry is balanced. Substitution will continue in areas driven by sustainable solutions such as energy efficiency are expected to follow trends will have a very positive impact on the business for the foreseeable future. Looking into the Q2, we see seasonal strength being partially offset by turnaround costs and potentially lower MDI margins in Asia. We would expect the 2nd quarter adjusted EBITDA to be around 5 4% stronger than the Q1 dependent upon the Rotterdam P and I, which should be up significantly versus a year ago period. Let's turn to Slide number 4. The Performance Products segment reported adjusted EBITDA of $63,000,000 compared to $58,000,000 in last year's Q1. We saw growth in our Asia business and strong demand and margins for most of our division's products. This combined with lower fixed costs more than offset the approximate $14,000,000 of headwind phone that resulted in winter storm, Yuri. Total volume for the division declined 3% due largely to the storm and due to the recent discontinuation of certain tolling arrangements associated with the Chemical Intermediates business that we sold this past year. On a pro form a basis, we estimate that our underlying volumes were actually up 6% year over year, following: Leading the way with strong demand in our performance amines portfolio, largely in our sustainability related products, phone, such as amines that are sold into VOC free polyurethane catalysts and into the wind markets. Growth in the construction markets have also benefited our remains, the Gonda coatings and adhesives as well as maleic and hydride business phone that serves the UPR markets. Volumes increased 6% year over year within our maleic and hydride business. Raw material costs have been rising, but we've been successful in passing through price increases to offset higher costs. We believe that some of the lost sales in the Q1 due to the winter storm will be captured in the Q2. This combined with some of the seasonal strength and improved margins should translate into EBITDA growth in the second quarter over the first quarter flow of about 5% to 10% for Performance Products. Let's turn to slide number 5. Our Advanced Materials business supported adjusted EBITDA of $44,000,000 down 8% versus the prior year. The Q1 last year Still experience solid aerospace results before the global pandemic started significantly impacting the commercial aerospace industry. EBITDA declined year over year. As we previously stated, we believe our Aerospace business bottomed in the Q4 of 2020. While we still anticipate full recovery to pre pandemic levels will take at least a couple of years, we did see a sequential improvement in our aerospace sales and we are encouraged that recovery is a bit better than we had anticipated. Phone. When excluding Aerospace, the underlying volumes of our other core specialty businesses experienced growth year over year from improved trends as well as positive contribution from our recent acquisition of CDC Thermostat Specialties and Gabriel Performance Products. EBITDA, including our recent acquisitions and divestitures, grew at 28%. The integration of both acquisitions remain on track, and we are confident that we will achieve the run rate synergies that we communicated phone at the time each respective transaction was announced. We believe that overall fundamental demand is improving in our core businesses, positions, we expect adjusted EBITDA for our Advanced Materials division to be about 10% better than the Q1. Move to slide number 6. Our textile effects division reported an adjusted EBITDA of $25,000,000 for the Q1, which We saw an improvement in volumes across nearly every product category, including formal apparel, which has lagged since the onset of the pandemic When consumers began working from home, tired in sweats and old leisure suits. We believe that the broad based recovery in volumes reflect forward. Pent up demand from consumers in step with the reopening of economies as mobility restrictions are lifted. Consumer sentiment in the U. S. And Europe has increased as well as retail store sales in each region. We believe inventories in the retail channel are still below historical levels, supporting a very strong order book. Sustainability within this channel also remain a focus for our customers. This macro trend continues to favor Our leading technologies that are environmentally friendly in areas such as water reduction, which continues to gain share. Our textile effects division has come through 2 challenging years, including facing trade wars in 2019, followed the global pandemic of 2020. We believe that this business is quickly returning back to near it was where it was in 2018 phone and that should be reflected in our Q2 results as we move throughout the rest of the year. Before starting some concluding thoughts, I'd like to turn a few minutes over Sean Douglas, our Chief Financial Officer. Thank you, Peter. Turning now to Slide 7. We were pleased See a continuation of a strong recovery in the Q1 of 2021. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $124,000,000 year over year and by $49,000,000 quarter over quarter. This is in spite of approximately $25,000,000 of negative impact to EBITDA in the Q1 of this year from winter storm Yuri that slammed the Gulf Coast in February. The overall decrease in volumes year over year is primarily attributed to our Aerospace business where sales in the prior year period were strong before the pandemic. Phone. As Peter has commented, aerospace revenues were down approximately 40% versus the prior year. However, they have bottomed Allowing overall adjusted EBITDA margins to recover to mid teens. Turning to Slide 8. Phone. Regarding synergies from recent acquisitions, we have now exceeded the $20,000,000 target we set facilitated by combining our polyurethane spray foam businesses and creating our Huntsman Building Solutions platform. With respect to the CVC thermoset acquisition, we estimate having already achieved current annualized run rate of approximately $9,000,000 of synergies and are on target to achieve $15,000,000 near the end of 2021. We are also on target to achieve the Gabriel synergies $8,000,000 by early 2023. With respect to our cost realignment and optimization efforts, We remain on target to deliver as previously shared. Of the $40,000,000 polyurethanes target, we estimate having achieved an annualized run rate of $15,000,000 to date. Within Advanced Materials having a $10,000,000 target savings, we have achieved an annualized run rate of approximately $7,000,000 to date. During 2021, we estimate a total net cash full year of spend related to all these combined initiatives of approximately $70,000,000 of which approximately $15,000,000 is CapEx related. Now turning to Slide 9. We ended the quarter with approximately $2,100,000,000 of liquidity. During the Q1, we redeemed in full our 2021 euro notes at par by paying the U. S. Dollar equivalent of $541,000,000 We also completed the acquisition of Gabriel Performance Products for approximately $250,000,000 Our net leverage ratio as of March 31, 2021 based on an LTM adjusted EBITDA is approximately 1.2x. We expect to spend approximately $330,000,000 in capital expenditures this year. This includes an estimated $80,000,000 of spend on our Geismar splitter phone that is expected to be completed mid next year. This also includes a current year incremental spend of approximately $30,000,000 on High return growth projects commence this year in our core downstream platforms. As a reminder, we announced on our prior call that we had collected $73,000,000 from the sale of property in Switzerland, which we are in effect reinvesting in these growth projects. We built working capital in the Q1, although to a lesser degree than originally expected given the impact of winter storm Yuri. Following. However, our inventory levels, particularly within our polyurethanes business, where we are just coming out of our quadrennial cluster turnaround in Rotterdam remain Our free cash flow for the Q1 of 2021 was less negative than we had anticipated, phone largely because of lower working capital levels and higher adjusted EBITDA than originally expected given the strong recovery. On our prior earnings call, we had shared that we expect that our free cash flow conversion for this year to be somewhere near 20%. Given our current outlook on this year, we would estimate this to be more around 25%. On a pro form a basis, Considering the incremental spend on growth projects, synergy and cost optimization initiatives, our estimated cash conversion is more towards 40%. In light of our strong balance sheet and confidence in maintaining strong free cash flow, we announced yesterday that our Board of Directors had approved A $0.10 per share per annum increase in our dividend. This is a 15% increase. Peter has repeatedly commented that we would maintain a competitive dividend. We remain committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet and strong free cash flow, while we continue to build our downstream businesses, realign our costs and return value to shareholders. Peter, back to you. Thanks, Sean. Let's turn to Slide 10. A topic of increased focus by our investors and analysts is how much of Huntsman's business is sustainable. Most obvious and surface level answer to this point to our large and growing businesses that address markets such as energy efficiency, forward looking statements. But the fact of the matter is that in my opinion, nearly all of our business address sustainability in a very real way. At Huntsman, we continue to look for ways to do more with less, helping phone to bring real and sensible solutions to our customers. Just for the record, the U. S. Chemical industry is responsible for only about 3% to 4% of the total forward looking statements at Huntsman have gone through a significant step change for the better. We'll be reporting these numbers in addition phone. We have been issuing this annual report since 2010. Sustainability is nothing new at Huntsman. We continue to look formal ways to improve our operations and reduce our emissions. While we are open to looking at opportunities such as electrifying our facilities utilizing other alternative energy sources. The adoption of many of these technologies are decades away phone and in some cases do not even exist today. In Huntsman's view, the best way to reduce carbon emissions is to bring solutions to our customers phone and help them reduce their emission footprint. Examples of this would be our insulation business, including spray foam, which is also able to utilize our Carol polyols that use feedstock made up from up to 60% recycled PET waste. Other examples are in the light weighting of airplanes and other forms of transportation. We're also helping to improve batteries through our ultra pure ethyl carbonate portfolio. I could go on naming many other examples that help reduce emissions. I would maintain that Huntsman is actually carbon negative phone as we provide the means and solutions to help our customers and end users reduce their emissions well beyond the emissions that we are actually generating, and our best sustainability stories are in some of our biggest and most profitable businesses. Phone. We are very excited about where our company is heading and are looking forward to increased energy standards and the trillions flow of stimulus dollars that are flowing globally towards the construction, manufacturing and transportation sectors. Our business is sustainability, phone and we expect to benefit significantly from such global trends and measures that are being taken. Phone. Another often asked question from investors is where we are relative to our current view of normalized EBITDA. Phone. With the exception of our Chinese and European MDI component polymeric sales, we have been temporarily That have been temporarily experiencing above average margins, the remaining businesses within our portfolio are approaching or already at historical normalized levels. Having said that, we're still a far cry from all cylinders running. When our new Geismar splitter is completed and fully integrated, it will contribute around $30,000,000 of additional EBITDA. We also have yet to capture approximately $40,000,000 of annualized cost savings per year from our cost optimization plans. On each of these EBITDA enhancements, we are on target to deliver as committed. Furthermore, We're still running greater than $50,000,000 per year shy on aerospace, which we fully expect to recover over the next few years. With the exception of commercial aerospace, which we expect will eventually fully recover, our portfolio is stronger and better capital on high return projects that will bolster these businesses and complement continued M and A opportunities. These capital projects provide excellent growth opportunities in areas such as batteries, semiconductors and other mega trends. On our last call, I mentioned that if that we felt optimistic about rebounding back to our normalized levels of about $1,100,000,000 of adjusted EBITDA. That will give the results of our Q1 combined with the number of self help projects in which we are now engaged. Forward dividend amount by $0.10 per share from $0.65 to $0.75 This represents a 15% increase. We continue to look at appropriate M and A opportunities as to our core platforms for growth offering significant synergies, Expand our margins and free cash flow conversions. As we have said consistently, we are committed to our investment grade balance sheet. In short, I feel that we're off to a very good start this year. Now on a personal note, we announced earlier this month that our CFO, Sean Douglas, is resigning to accept call and the senior leadership of this church. For the past 4 years, Sean has been at my side and has been a wonderful CFO. Over the past 30 years, Sean has also served the broader interest of this company and our foundations. During Saum's tenure, we have transformed this company from a polystyrene plastics producer laden with 5 to 8 times debt phone to an investment grade market leader in differentiated and specialty chemicals. Sean, you lead this company, our foundation and the culture we embrace today phone call. That my friend is a true legend. Thank you. Operator, at this time, we'll take any questions that are ready to go. Thank you. Our first question comes from the line of Bob Koort with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed with your question. Thank you. Good morning. Peter, I guess one comment I consistently hear from shareholders is Maybe a desire for some return of capital via repurchase rather than dividend. It sounds like you're pretty optimistic about the forward and that phone. You talked about maybe the M and A market's got a little froth to it. So when might you expect you guys to start deploying some of that capital towards a share repurchase resumption? Thank you. Well, Bob, very good to hear from you. Yes, that is something that we are continuously looking at and it's something that I think I publicly have stated that our number one priority is our cash to deploy that capital into investment opportunities, M and A opportunities. And beyond that, we're going to be very carefully looking at share repurchases and dividends. And we obviously made a decision on dividends here in our last Board meeting that took place 2 days ago. But I think that that's something on an ongoing basis. My preference would be To see us deploy our capital smartly in M and A opportunities where we've got a good fit, where we've got and our product portfolio and technology. I think that's probably the fastest way to create shareholder value. Though having said that, phone. Just because we have it, doesn't mean we are going to be forced to spend it. So I think that we'll continue to be prudent and we continue to look for those opportunities And the share buybacks will continue to be part of that evaluation going forward. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Alex Yefremov with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question. Thank you. Good morning, everyone. And Sean, congratulations on moving on to new adventures. Peter, could you talk about component MDI market in China? It's been soft lately. What do you think is going on there? When do you do you have an idea when we could see stability or maybe of an improvement in China market? Well, I think that we did see some tightness that really started in the Q4, where we saw component price This is the more commoditized end of our business that we saw really over about a 2 week period. We saw component prices rise about 20%. Again, that's a 20% in prices over a 2 week period. This was largely driven because of outages and because there's very strong economic demand taking place as China recovers It's economy on a post COVID sort of a world. I would say that in the 4th and first quarter, We probably would have somewhere around $40,000,000 or so of over earn. Now of that $40,000,000 ish or so of over earn and that might be $40,000,000 $45,000,000 now on a quarter to quarter basis, I'd say that about 1 third of that was European and 2 third on formula pricing. And so we don't see the fly up in North America like we do the rest of the world, nor do we see the sudden drop in North America like we do the rest of the world. As we look into the Q2, I think that we'll probably see that over earned And on those similar sort of ratios, probably around $20 ish, $1,000,000 give or take a couple of 1,000,000. I would say though that as we look at pricing over the course of the last couple of weeks, it is stable. I don't see it falling at the present time. Phone. And I think that we've I'm hoping that throughout the rest of the second quarter and so forth that We ought to see some stability in that pricing. I will just note it from the public notifications that have been discussed in as well. We have some very significant turnarounds that will be taking place in the 3rd Q4 in the industry, not in Huntsman, but in the industry that will be hitting China later in the year as well. So, as I've said in past calls, I think that as we look at the overall NDI capacity utilization. We're probably globally right now running pretty close to 90%. And so you see a large disruption or closure take place around the world. You'll see the impact of that, I think, reverberate pretty quickly. Phone. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Kevin McCarthy with Vertical Research Partners. Please proceed with your question. Good morning. Peter, I was wondering if you could update us on your view of supply chain inventory in polyurethanes. We hear a lot about tightness in both isocyanates as well as polyols going into urethanes. What did your volumes run at HBS? And what is your outlook for the next few quarters as these dynamics start to normalize? Well, I think that when I talk about the vision that we have and orders and so forth, you're probably looking at a month or 2 Into the future. So I certainly don't want to sound as though I'm speaking for the rest of the year, but these trends that we're seeing, our inventories are quite low. I think we probably could be moving even more products through HBS if we had it. Now, of course, we can cut off customers, but We do have some customer commitments and contracts and so forth that we're going to fulfill. And we're doing that right now. But we're seeing, I think, much stronger than normal growth taking place in our HBS business. And I think that that sort of growth is twofold. It's new houses that are being built and it's also I mean, can you imagine being A sales representative for selling insulation in the state of Texas after the devastating freeze. So I think that it really goes Along an entire spectrum there. And I think that those are the sort of trends in energy conservation phone. As you see the possibility of tax credits and so forth being given to people that are reinsulating their homes and using better products than what traditionally have been used and so forth. But I think that we're going to continue to see market share gains in our HBS business and in those sectors of downstream MDI that we want to be focused in. Phone. Right now, I'd say that, again, to summarize your question, inventories, I think, on both From what we see from our end, from our business, are quite well in that entire supply chain. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Mike Sison with Wells Fargo. Please proceed with your question. Hey guys, nice start to the year and congrats again Sean. We'll miss you. Peter, when you think about polyurethanes, it looks like We're going to have a record year in 2021. I know it's a little bit early, but when you think about growth in 2022 and beyond, can you maybe walk us through What are the variables there in terms of continuing to grow that business? How does the splitter affect it? I know you're more differentiated now and then maybe acquisitions potentially over the next couple of years and where can that EBITDA potentially go? Well, I think that we have a great opportunity. Great question. I think we have a great opportunity to increase our margins. I've said in the past that I'm not sure that our Polyurethane business necessarily needs more tonnage, though again, I want to be very clear. We are going to be operating our facilities and debottlenecking our facilities and trying to get every ton out of our facility, the very best we can. But I think that we need to be focused on how do we maximize the margin on a per ton basis. And as we look at that going forward, I think it's going to be opportunities for us to align ourselves with customers that are further downstream, customers that are taking a higher blend of products that are coming out of our MDI splitters, that we continue to invest and grow our downstream businesses like HBS. We're going to continue to be looking at acquisition and opportunities, not just in spray foam, but in other areas where we can consume phone, particularly the lower margin more commoditized grades of our MDI and consume those internally and upgrade those internally. So again, I think that we've got a great portfolio of volume within our business. We've got a great opportunity, I think, to We continue to look for ways where we can expand incrementally on that volume. But I think what I I think what we'll continue to be mostly focused on is how do we bottom slice and how do we take the lowest margin segments of that business phone and continue to upgrade that. That's why we've invested in our splitter. We've revised and continue to invest in cost reduction. We'll align our R and D around those customers and those applications that return us the most money. And we think longer term sustainability is going to continue to be very important for us. So I and again, I think from a macro basis, when I look at the overall industry, I just don't see a lot of new capacity over the next couple of years. It's going to be coming into a market that is today operating probably somewhere in the very high 80% to 90% capacity utilization. Floor. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Frank Mitsch with Fermium Research. Please proceed with your question. Hey, good morning. And Sean, it has been a pleasure to work with you. So obviously wishing you all the best. And if I could also wish you an early happy birthday. Thank you very much. I'm an old man now too. So Frank, thank you very much. Much appreciated. Phone. Yes. I mean, the reason why I knew is Peter informed me as to what he was planning on getting you and you are going to be so surprised. That's fantastic. Michael will be the more surprised. Hey, Peter, if I'm trying to level And if I figure $25,000,000 and that includes a $25,000,000 negative impact from the turnaround, every 4 year turnaround. However, You're over earning by about $20,000,000 you just said. So that kind of gets us back to that $320,000,000 level. If that's Right. You indicated that normalized EBITDA, people are throwing around the number of $1,100,000,000 It doesn't seem like we're that far off from that level. Is my math quasi right? And am I in the ballpark here? Franco, probably one of the few times you ever heard somebody tell you this, but I think your math is probably pretty close. Now the fact that A dyslexic like me is telling you that ought to worry you. But I think when I look within our own guidance and our own expectations to what I am presenting to our Board of Directors. We are singularly a few $1,000,000 part one way or the other. Again, I think from what we have in the Q2 and from what our vision is for the rest of the year, I would concur with what you're saying. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Hassan Ahmad with VoLembe Global Advisors. Please proceed with your question. Good morning, Peter. Good morning, Sean. Good morning. Sean, it was great working with you. Best of luck, my friend. Peter, question, just wanted to revisit MDI pricing in China, Particularly with sort of a focus on the second half of the year. I mean, I know the first half has been sort of a little sort of tricky. We saw obviously some incremental capacity coming online. There was chatter of, call it some inventory rebuild leading into Chinese New Year. So obviously, with all of these puts and takes in mind and something that you mentioned about Sort of incremental turnarounds in the back half of the year. Could we be in a situation relative to right now in H2 in China, where supply demand fundamentals are actually tighter and we may actually see potentially another run up in pricing there? I think that right now we're probably looking at a pretty stable I mean that's what we'd like to see. I talked earlier about that run up of kind of 20% in a week or 2. I see prices have kind of gone back to that pre Chinese holiday sort of time period, they feel like they've kind of stabilized in this area. And I I think that with the number of the facilities that are back online in China and the economic growth They've been experiencing slowing just a little bit, but still seeing significant growth. Phone. I think we're probably looking at, hopefully, stability between now and the end of the year. Now having said that, there have been some very large T and I some maintenance work that includes over 1,000,000 tons of capacity that's been pushed off to the second half of the year. But usually, I mean, unless there's a problem with that, usually those projects will build up inventory beforehand. Phone. And unless there's some unforeseen problem with restarts or something of that nature, hopefully, We'll see stability throughout the rest of the year. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of John Roberts with UBS. Please proceed flow of your question. Thank you. Best wishes as well, Sean. Peter, another company in the epoxy market is targeting 30 Do you think Huntsman has a better or worse mix than the competition? And any thoughts on that kind of target? I think our mix is far, far better than the competition, but I'm slightly biased in saying that. So, without knowing who you're talking about or anything, Look, if we're able to earn it, we're going to earn it. Phone. And I think we've got a great batch of customers and so forth. I think that again, we are Probably a bit different than our competition and the amount of volume that we're moving into the aerospace industry. That might seem like a bit of a frustrating position for us to be in right now, but I think over the past decade and over the decade to come, That position is going to serve us extremely well. It's been a very reliable earner for us phone and with margins that are on the high end of our spectrum of customers that we have globally. Phone. I think that in an area like epoxies, I really don't compare us with our competition because we really don't compete a great deal phone with the more widely recognized epoxy producers around the world. I think our biggest competitors we have in that business Really our smaller blenders and formulators that are downstream. And those are the people that we probably are competing phone more aggressively, again. So, again, I don't I'd say tongue in cheek about us being far superior than our competition. I really just don't see us competing head to head with a lot of them. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Matthew Blair with Tudor, Pickering, Holt. Please proceed with your question. Phone. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for taking my question and congrats to you, Sean. I had a question about Huntsman's EV exposure. Could you just generally talk about how much product you would place on an EV versus a traditional ICE vehicle? Yes. And Matthew, I hope you recognize your question from last quarter and about the dividend. So you have a profound influence on our thinking as a company. So thank you very much. Yes. Look, on an EV vehicle, really the biggest difference that you are going to see Between an ICE vehicle, internal combustion engine, an ICE vehicle or an EV is going to be the motor phone and probably the wake. And as you think about that, we don't really supply a whole lot into the motor, into the drive side, we have a number of formulations and a number of projects that we're presently looking at it, particularly With the battery industry, the 1,000,000,000 of dollars that are coming 100 of 1,000,000,000 of dollars, I'd say, that are coming with the electrification, The battery R and D, the battery manufacturing is coming to the United States as well as the great state of Texas and those projects are underway right now. We think that there's Significant opportunity for this company to be getting into carbonates and into other chemistry That we'll be supplying and we hope to be in a position where we're able to announce some of those joint ventures in the near future with Huntsman phone by working with the battery manufacturers. So in the EV side, from the powertrain side, I would see that that is a plus Huntsman, we actually would be selling more into that area. Now the other category between an ICE and an EV that I see is overall weight. And most of these EVs, since they are really new vehicles, they're not just I'm just taking an older vehicle and using the same frame and just putting batteries on it, but they're redesigning the entire car. And most cars today that are going to be completely redesigned from the ground up or from the frame up, we're going to be very conscious about weight. And when you think about light weighting and when you think about Using composite materials rather than metal, you think about adhesion instead of welds, That is certainly going to be an advantage to Huntsman as well, when you think about lightweighting. But I also think that lightweighting is going to be on both EVs and ICE. And then the 3rd area, when you think about comfort and you think about the sound insulation phone within the car itself. Paul, I think if you're driving a car where you can drive for hours on end and not have a sore back, Not feel cramped, but you're probably sitting on an MBI produced seat. If you're getting out of the car after an hour or so driving your And you're grouchy. You're probably sitting on a non NBIC. So as these cars are being redesigned and refocused and so forth, We hope that they're moving towards more comfortable seating and but that's going to take place both within ICE and within an EV. So I really I think that if you were to take my preference, I would think that we're going to be advantaged more by an EV Than we are on an ICE vehicle. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of line of Angel Castillo with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed with your question. Hi, thanks for taking my question. Just wanted to Touch base, I guess, a little bit more on Performance Products. So a very soft quarter there and the margins for EBITDA look to be above 20%. So 2Q also very strong. Just curious as we think about that margin versus what you've done historically in that segment. I believe in the past you've talked about This business is an area where you could improve and then continue to, now that you can focus on a little bit more, specifically continue to drive better value there. So How do you think about margins longer term and just how do we think about kind of the progression from 2Q to the back half of the year for Performance Products? Phone. Yes. So on the back half of the year, one of the advantages we do have on the first half of the year is going to be the reliability consistent consistency of reliability in manufacturing 2nd half of the year, we're going to be having a number of smaller turnarounds. These are facilities that by and large Don't come down every couple of years. They usually come down for a week or 2 every year. And we're going to see some of those in the second half. So if we're A bit muted in the second half. It's not because and those are going to probably impact the quarterly numbers, they were $5,000,000 to $10,000,000 ish. Phone. Now having said that from a manufacturing point of view, when we last saw EBITDA performance on a quarterly basis where we are today, I think it's interesting to note that the vast majority of the profitability in the business was coming from a single application and that was wind largely coming from China. And as we look at the wind contribution margin today versus wind and that's our amine products that are going into To wind, it's a catalyst when they make the wind blades. That was 60% higher previous, as you go back to 5, 6 years ago, that was about 60% higher. So, we've actually seen wind margins fall, phone, which I may not say is necessarily a bad thing. What we've done is we've diversified our customer base more than just being reliant on one product. I would also say that when we look back in past years when we are operating at this level of profitability, we also in our maleic and hydride business, we We had a number of our competitors that were operating at subcapacity design, And we had a lot of maintenance problems like multiple facilities that were down at the exact same time, which caused the malay prices to go up. Malaic prices right now are strong. Everybody is running. UPR downstream and the everything from lube additives on through on the lake and hydride are running very well. And margins are there because we have a good customer base and because we've got good applications, not because Customers are down. So, when I excuse me, the competitors are down. When I look at the overall margin today in Performance Yes, I think you're right. It's a good margin today. And I would hope that these sort of numbers, again, barring Some effect on some maintenance projects are going to be done later in the year. This is and ought to be a 20% sort of margin business. And I think the long term prospects for it are very strong. Phone. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of P. J. Juvekar with Citi. Please proceed with your question. Yes. Hi, good morning, Peter. Good morning. And good luck to Sean. Sean, thank you. We miss you. Floor. Thank you. Thanks for your slide on Slide 10 for ESG efforts. And my question is, you're taking recycled PET bottles into Terrell polyols, you mentioned you can take up to 60% ARPET. 1 of the peers, Eastman, Is doing molecular recycling of PET? So I guess my question is, as demand for recycled PET goes up and PET is much more Easier to recycle than polyethylene. Do you think those arpeit prices could go up? Phone. No, I don't see that happening anytime soon. I mean, as I look at the source of our PET and we're taking PET both post consumer and post industrial scrap. There's we're it was all I cannot speak for Eastman, Just for our efforts, we're using the equivalency of 1,250,000,000 and a half bottles a year of recycled PET. That's a small debt. We've got a lot more that we can be doing as an industry. We've got a lot more that we can be doing. I commend companies like Eastman And our efforts, the challenge of recycling any plastic is to be able to upgrade the value of it. Anybody can take a plastic and melt it a used plastic, melt it down and make it into a park bench. You're not going to be able to take ultimately take 1,000,000,000 of pounds of plastics and convert them all into part benches. You've got to be able to take a PET bottle or a polyethylene or polypropylene. You've got to be able to take it and actually recycle it hopefully Into something of equal value or in the case of our polyols, something of even greater value. And so I think these are the initial steps. I think they're relatively small in the overall market, but I don't see the post PET industry In the foreseeable future, when I say that, I mean at least the next 5 years to 5 to 10 years. I don't see there being I wish there was, but I don't see there being a George, I'd love to say that we're taking 100% of the world's PET that's being consumed and we're upgrading all of it. But It's going to be, we got some more work ahead of us. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jeff Zekauskas with JPMorgan. Please proceed with your question. Thanks very much. I have a question on the polyurethanes slide. Your MDI volumes decreased 7% year over year, but the year over year volumes were flat. How fast did the non MDI volumes grow in the quarter? What are they And are the margins comparable to MDI? Yes. I think that as we look at that, most of that volume is around And that's what we're blending with MDI to create specific effects, downstream effects and so forth and HPS in particular. And so phone. As we're doing that, that's something that we certainly want to be doing is blending more polyolp with more MDI, because in doing that, We're creating greater differentiated chemistry down below. So that's an area where we've seen significant growth. Phone. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of David Begleiter with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed with your question. Thank you. Peter, just on Aerospace, with that market beginning to bottom or turn as we speak, Do you think you could still get back the entire, I think, roughly $80,000,000 EBITDA loss last year or could you even do maybe better going forward? I think that we'll do better going forward. We've got I think that the idea that you're going to be producing You are going to be producing planes 5, 10 years from now with the aluminum content that you had a couple of years back. Just I don't think it's going to happen. I think when you look at the next generation 320 Airbus, the wing of the next generation 777X, The Boeing 787 and so forth, if anything, these are going to be having more Carbon composite materials on a per plane basis. I'd also note that with the recent acquisition of the CDC Specialty Polymers Group, we've there's additional exposure there, been a bit frustrating for This year, but longer term, that additional exposure into the Aerospace business is going to be significant. It's going to be something that we're going to be continuing to guard Right now and make sure that we're nurturing it. We're caring for it now because I think longer term, it's going to add to what would otherwise be a normalized EBITDA in the aerospace industry. Thank you. Our next Question comes from the line of Matthew Deo with Bank of America. Please proceed with your question. Good morning, everyone. And I guess just to reiterate Everyone else's sentiments, congrats, Sean, on your next steps. It seems to be a little bit of a theme here for Huntsman CFOs. So good luck there. Peter, Ben, you touched on this a little bit. Obviously, we have some MDI over earning in the short term, but we're probably nearing the end of the global capacity build out. So phone. Even if we do loosen up here a little bit in the second half, how long do you think it takes before we tighten again? And What do you envision for earnings or at least maybe margins for the industry between 2020 2, 3 and 4, that type of timeframe. Well, I'm not sure we're I certainly can't speak for the industry because I think one of the things we've seen in the last couple of years is I think you've seen a real bifurcation of corporate strategies. And we certainly have cast our lot into further downstream. Now again, that's not going to be to say that we neglect the upstream of the business, but I think I publicly have said that we will not alone on our own use our balance sheet to go out and build $1,000,000,000 MDI capacity grassroots project somewhere around the globe. Would we be willing to do it with through partnerships and so forth where we're not stressing our balance sheet over it? That's something that would have to be very appealing to us and to our shareholders, but we will be deploying further capital adding the upstream tonnage and so forth. And look, I'm not saying one's right and one's wrong. We feel very comfortable with where we're going. Phone. And I would prefer with Huntsman that we are trying to move towards a higher margin with greater stability, phone. Not necessarily greater volume, but just greater stability. And we've got that hopefully, as we build out that downstream, we'll accomplish that. Phone. I have also said that in past calls that if we decided today to go out and build a new facility, grassroots facility or even a significant expansion upon our existing facilities, this is a multi year process. If you're really thinking about a grassroots facility, that is a new site It doesn't exist today. And you're starting with nitrobenzene and going all the way down through aniline and MDI and splitting and so forth. You're looking at a $1,000,000,000 plus investment to build a minimal world scale capacity and you're probably looking at anywhere from where you are building around the world, anywhere from 5 to 8 years. And we have seen some false starts and stops here In North America, and I think that's just a testament as to how difficult it is to build these facilities. So Yes. I'm not here saying that we're going to just get tighter and tighter and tighter as an industry, but is that you kind of project out a 6% growth phone. And you kind of project out what would, in my opinion, be your normal incremental expansion of 2% to 3% growth per year that you just have through greater efficiencies in operations and technology know how and so forth. The industry does kind of get tighter and tighter over the course of the next couple of years. And it is a regional industry by and large. Phone. And so you're going to see some parts of the world that are going to be tighter than other parts. But by and large, I think it's going to be formal presentation. A balanced to snug industry over the course of the next 3 to 5 years. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Edlain Rodriguez with Jefferies. Please proceed with your question. Phone. Thank you. Good morning, guys. Peter, in terms of the impact of the semiconductor shortage on auto production, You've talked about maybe reallocating some of those products to other end markets. Can you elaborate on what end markets You supply and that have similar or better margins than that and were those markets undersupplied before? Phone. Sure. As was announced earlier, we've got Tony Hankins here, our Divisional President over Polyurethanes. And so Tanya, I'm going to and one of my questions too would be why don't we get higher margins than just the automotive margins. Anyway, why don't you go ahead and answer that? Thank you. Good morning. Thanks for the question. Yes, these the automotive products we manufacture are very specialty formulations going into the high end auto market. But there are common characteristics to other markets such as High end furniture, for example, where we supply viscoelastic grades into high end furniture. So there's a direct comparison, if you will, between high end seating and high end furniture. The margins there are good or even better in some cases than in the auto market. So there's an opportunity, and that market is growing very fast at the moment. We sold out into those areas. So this is very easy for us to dive our products into those other high end opportunities we have. Operator, I think we'll take one more question. And we've got Lyondell who's Starting their call, I think, here at the top of the hour. And I'd hate to deprive my friend, Bob Patel, any of his audience. So I have a couple of good tax questions. I probably could think of form. But anyways, let's take one more question, operator, and we'll wrap up the call. Thank you. Our final question this morning comes from the line of Arun Viswanathan with RBC Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question. Great, thanks. Maybe you can just comment a little bit on the long term, Peter, and congrats, John, as well. Phone. But you noted $1,100,000,000 of normal EBITDA. What would you kind of view as peak at this point with the changes that you've made to the portfolio? Thanks. Yes. I'd hesitate to use the word peak just because I hope that if our portfolio is Truly integrated and downstream, we might see some times where our more commoditized products, as we've pointed out in our MDI business are tight and you're going to experience higher than normalized earnings For a quarter or 2. But as I think about peak sort of performance and performance products or advanced materials, even textile effects And the majority of our MDI products, in polyols and so forth. I don't see those products really peaking, if you will. I see them They ought to be growing it better than GDP. We ought to be able to expand margins faster than GDP sort of growth. Phone. And again, depending on the macro economy of which we're dependent, I would hope that we would be able to see a normalized number that Continuously improves and equal to the EBITDA improvement is going to be generating That level of cash of around 40%, high 30s, 40 ish percent that we've been very consistent in being able Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our question and answer session and thus concludes our call today. We thank you for your interest and participation. You may now disconnect your lines.