Hyliion Holdings Corp. (HYLN)
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Earnings Call: Q2 2023

Aug 9, 2023

Operator

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to Hyliion Holdings' Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call. On the call today are Thomas Healy, our Chief Executive Officer, and Jon Panzer, our Chief Financial Officer. A slide presentation accompanies this conference call and is available on Hyliion's Investor Relations website at investors.hyliion.com. Please note that during today's call, we will make certain forward-looking statements regarding the company's business outlook. Forward-looking statements are predictions, projections, and other statements about anticipated events that are based on current expectations and assumptions. As such, are subject to risks and uncertainties. Many factors could cause actual results to differ materially from forward-looking statements made on this call. For more information about factors that may cause the company's results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements, please refer to our presentation and press release, as well as our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

You are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements. We undertake no duty to update this information unless required by applicable law. Now, I will turn the call over to Thomas.

Thomas Healy
CEO, Hyliion

Welcome to Hyliion's second quarter 2023 earnings call. During the second quarter, we hosted our first-ever Investor Day on June 27th in Austin, Texas, at our headquarters. We had more than 60 in-person attendees and over 400 viewers on the webcast to tune in to learn more about Hyliion's go-forward strategy. We showcased the building of our first production Hypertruck ERX powertrain, as well as unveiled newly planned product offerings and what the go-forward market strategy will be for these products. To start today's call, I'd like to share an update on the market landscape and perspectives on some recent events that have taken place in the electrification space. As you may be aware, last Monday, another leader in the space filed for bankruptcy, and unfortunately, they are one of a number of companies in our industry that have faced financial and other issues in recent months.

We've also seen some providers experience significant losses on their initial units as they seed the market with their products. Hyliion faces many challenges as well, and we are working diligently to avoid the same outcome and to grow shareholder value. Hyliion has been trading near or below our cash value over the last few quarters. However, one of the differences between Hyliion and others in the space is our cash position. In light of this, we continue to assess our business model and strategic priorities to ensure we utilize our capital as effectively as possible. We have seen significant shifts in the electrification space over the past few years that have impacted us and our peers, and we expect that these shifts will continue to impact Hyliion's business model.

For example, we continue to see component price increases from our suppliers, have experienced supply chain constraints that have impacted our development timeline, and have seen both positive developments and potentially wavering on regulatory mandates. As a result, we see fleets adjusting their electrification strategies as they move further along the path to adoption. Going forward, we will continue to look for ways to optimize our business, conserve our cash position, bolster our product offering to help prevent decontenting by OEMs, and deliver solutions that meet fleets' needs. We've already executed on opportunities like our acquisition of the KARNO generator technology and our development partnership with Hyzon to build a fuel cell-powered vehicle. We will continue to look for ways to strengthen our business model and to optimize our business, conserve cash, and deliver products to customers.

Shifting now to the Hypertruck ERX, I'd like to share an update on where we are with respect to launching the Hypertruck ERX powertrain later this year. As just mentioned, we have begun the installation of our first production truck, and we plan to ship 30 trucks by the end of the year. On our Hypertruck ERX commercialization timeline that we unveiled 7 quarters ago, we had planned to begin extended fleet trials in the second quarter of this year. Unfortunately, we have pushed the start of these trials out into the third quarter due to delays in receiving components needed to build our latest fleet of pre-production vehicles. However, we expect to start these trials in the coming weeks. We are presently working with fleets to confirm orders and delivery timing for their initial production trucks.

We see extended fleet trials as the final stage for many fleets in their decision process of procuring our solution. We are presently completely booked through Q4 with trials with various fleets. With the discussions we have ongoing and the interest we've received from fleets, we are confident in our ability to deliver 30 trucks by the end of this year. As we get feedback from these fleet trials and initial adoption, we will assess our ramp-up plans for 2024 and come back with further clarity on our projected volume ramp. Even since last quarter, when we shared that we'd be shifting our delivery ramp and restructuring our Founders' agreements, we have seen further unexpected price increases from our supply base. This speaks to how the electrification market is still in its early stages, and manufacturing, supply base, and pricing are still being worked out.

As we have previously shared, we are working to pass along some of these price increases onto fleets, which will allow us to sell the trucks while reducing the gross loss we expect to realize on the first units. Another milestone on our commercialization journey is to achieve or complete our CARB, EPA, and NHTSA certifications relating to the powertrain. I am pleased to share that we have successfully passed all required Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standards, or FMVSS, to satisfy our NHTSA requirements. We also remain on track with CARB and believe we'll have this complete in Q3. Thus, we are confident in our readiness to begin shipping trucks in the fourth quarter. Also, during Investor Day, we unveiled that the next variant of the Hypertruck ERX will be the powertrain in a day cab truck.

When we initially selected the launch of the Hypertruck ERX on a sleeper truck, we believed that fleets would adopt plug-in electric trucks for day cab applications and range extender electric for sleeper truck applications. As fleets have begun adopting plug-in electric trucks, they are finding that the range is much more limited than they expected, and the charging infrastructure either doesn't exist or is difficult and costly to install. Thus, over the last couple of quarters, we have seen increasing interest from fleets in a Hypertruck ERX powertrain on a day cab vehicle. We are therefore moving forward with initial development and are planning to have the powertrain ready in 2025. As we embark on this development, we also plan to incorporate design improvements to help with cost and weight.

We've heard from fleets that the additional weight of the Hypertruck ERX (sleeper variant) will hinder its ability to operate in weight out hauling applications. Thus, for the day cab, we are exploring ways to reduce battery and tank sizes to remove weight in addition to the savings of moving to a day cab. In Q2, CARB passed the Advanced Clean Fleets, or ACF mandate, which will require fleets to start adopting vehicles that qualify for ZEV credits in 2027. I am pleased to share that the Hypertruck ERX powertrain will qualify for the same level of credit as a battery electric or a fuel cell truck will qualify for under this mandate. ACF first regulates adoption of day cab vehicles and then later covers sleeper trucks starting in 2030.

This is an additional reason why we plan to add a day cab variant of the Hypertruck ERX powertrain to our product portfolio. We also outlined our development plans around the integration of the Cummins 15-liter natural gas engine. We presently utilize the Cummins 12-liter natural gas engine, which is CARB and EPA certified for 2023, but the Cummins 12-liter engine will only be EPA certified in 2024, meaning it can't be sold in California. Thus, we'll work to integrate the new Cummins 15-liter natural gas engine into the Hypertruck ERX by late 2024, which is expected to be both CARB and EPA certified. Shifting to the KARNO, we unveiled a representative model of what our planned 200 kW stationary power KARNO generator will look like, including approximate dimensions and its small footprint as depicted on this slide.

We continue to see strong interest that's exceeding our expectations for a stationary KARNO solution that has the ability to solve various problems. We see it as a fit for prime power applications, as we anticipate being able to produce electricity for less than the cost of grid power in most locations. It could also be used for peak shaving to help levelize power demand on the grid and be used to produce electricity in areas where the grid power is unavailable. The KARNO generator offers clean, low-cost electricity, has a smaller footprint than conventional generators, requires limited maintenance, and operates at very low noise levels. The KARNO is also fuel agnostic, able to run on conventional fuels like natural gas, propane, diesel, and even on zero carbon emission fuels like hydrogen and ammonia.

We also showcased how the KARNO units can be stacked together to produce greater power levels while not compromising any of its benefits. For reference, the footprint of a 20-foot shipping container filled with KARNO generators could produce more than 2 MW of power output. This footprint is half to one-third the size of conventional generators and even a tenth the size of some new clean generator technologies coming on the market today. We see the path to the KARNO stationary market as achievable over the next 12-18 months, and it broadens our ability to provide electrified solutions to the commercial vehicle market by powering EV charging units. In the slide presentation accompanying this call, you can see that we've showcased what the key milestones will be for both the Hypertruck KARNO and the KARNO stationary generator over the next few years.

We are planning to begin initial deployments of the KARNO stationary generator next year, and we expect that these will be revenue generating. We are already well underway in discussions with likely customers around their initial deployment of the generator. We are also continuing with the development to integrate the KARNO generator into the Hypertruck powertrain. As we work to integrate and validate the Hypertruck KARNO over the next few years, we plan to be ready for initial fleet trials starting in 2026. The third variant of our Hypertruck powertrain is a hydrogen fuel cell version. A couple of quarters ago, we announced a partnership with Hyzon, where we kicked off the integration of Hyzon's latest 200 kW fuel cell technology with Hyliion's Hypertruck powertrain technology on an initial development vehicle.

We are pleased to share that this development has been going very well. This vehicle is up and running now and completed its initial test drives around a test track just a few weeks ago. This project remains on track and will be complete by the end of this year. I will now turn the call over to Jon to share more about the financials from this past quarter.

Jon Panzer
CFO, Hyliion

Thank you, Thomas, good morning, everyone. Turning to our financial results, for the second quarter, we reported revenue of $266,000 from hybrid system sales, compared to $172,000 in the second quarter of a year ago. Operating expenses totaled $38.5 million, an increase of $6.3 million compared to the second quarter of last year. The YoY increase in spending is due to growth in research and development costs, partly offset by lower SG&A expenses. R&D costs were up $7.4 million in the quarter due to higher expenses related to Hypertruck ERX powertrain development and KARNO. Powertrain development costs were up $3.7 million as we expensed production truck components that were received in the quarter.

I mentioned last quarter that until we complete R&D work on the Hypertruck ERX system, all component purchases will continue to be expensed, even if those parts will ultimately be used in production powertrains that are later sold to customers. The impact of this expensing was partly offset by lower expenses related to other R&D work on the Hypertruck ERX system in the quarter. Going forward, we expect that expensing of production component purchases will have a negligible impact on our R&D costs as we make progress towards Hypertruck ERX system commercialization. The second driver of higher R&D costs in the quarter was KARNO expenses that we did not have in 2022. As a reminder, we purchased KARNO technology from GE late in the 3rd quarter of 2022, and therefore, comparisons of YoY expenses in the first 3 quarters of this year need to account for this difference.

Total KARNO expenses in the second quarter were $3.7 million. In total, Hyliion reported a net loss of $35.2 million for the second quarter, which is up from the $33.5 million loss the company reported a year ago, as lower cost of sales and higher interest income this year nearly offset higher operating expenses. Looking at year-to-date performance for the first half of the year, revenue was $576,000, compared to $512,000 in 2022. Total operating expenses were $70.4 million, compared to $57.9 million in 2022. Again, the increase in expenses was driven by higher R&D expenses of $12.5 million, of which $5.4 million consisted of the expensing of production component purchases, partly offset by lower costs for other powertrain R&D work.

The remaining $7.1 million of higher YoY R&D costs was driven by KARNO expenses in the first half. SG&A expenses in the first half were approximately flat with 2022. Our net loss year to date was $64.1 million, compared to $60.6 million in the first half of 2022. We ended the quarter with total cash, short-term, and long-term investments of $354 million, compared to $422 million at the end of 2022, and $385 million at the end of the first quarter of this year. We spent $31 million in the second quarter, compared to $37 million in the first quarter and $27 million in the second quarter of 2022.

As we discussed last quarter, we are taking actions that will help reduce cash burn and expect that these actions will significantly reduce operating expenses, capital spending, and working capital growth. We continue to hold to the guidance that we shared at our Investor Day back in June of approximately $130 million of total operating expenses, despite the unexpected impact of production truck component expensing this year. We continue to project cash consumption of less than $150 million, including cash operating expenses, working capital growth, and capital expenditures. As previously noted, we ended the second quarter with $354 million of total capital, which gives us flexibility to continue Hypertruck ERX commercialization work, including initial truck deliveries as well as KARNO development work.

We expect to finish the year with a total capital balance of around $275 million, which will give us financial flexibility into the future. We have no plans to raise capital this year, but will remain opportunistic in 2024 and beyond if market conditions are favorable for raising additional equity capital. With that, I'll turn it back over to Thomas.

Thomas Healy
CEO, Hyliion

Thanks, Jon. As we wrap up this call and move to Q&A, I'd like to encourage anyone who hasn't yet watched our Investor Day video to do so. This presentation offers a great overview on both the Hypertruck powertrain technology as well as the KARNO generator. The recording can be found on Hyliion's YouTube channel. We will now open the call up to Q&A.

Operator

Thank you. If you have a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. If you wish to remove yourself from queue, simply press star one again. One moment, please, for your first question. Your first question comes from the line of Donovan O. Schafer. Please go ahead.

Donovan Schafer
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Northland Capital Markets

Yes. Hi, guys. Thanks for taking the question. I want to first talk about the Hypertruck ERX, you know, doing those 30 units. Sounds like you said you feel pretty comfortable, like you're on track. You know, being there at the Investor Day and kind of seeing the lifts and everything and the crews working on it, I'm just curious, you know, there's, there's a learning curve with anything like this, and this is kind of the start of being in, like, production mode on these.

Is that at a point right now where you're already, you know, the, the crews that are doing this or the teams that are doing this, they're already kind of at a run rate where if they just keep pumping them out at the current pace, you'll hit that 30, those 30 units? Or is there kind of expected or baked in certain amount of, well, you know, every day they get a little bit better, so it's not strictly kind of a linear improvement. And so there's a certain amount of just expected kind of timing and improvements that'll help you get to the 30 units. Just kind of curious to the nature there, if you can talk to that.

Thomas Healy
CEO, Hyliion

Yeah, it's a good question, Donovan. You had the opportunity to actually see it all firsthand. We are in the ballpark right now from a production standpoint, to be able to achieve those 30 with no drastic changes or no big changes at all. So from that standpoint, your other comment of we are getting faster at installs every single day. Actually, the tack times that the teams have been able to improve have been quite impressive, and we don't think we've gotten all the time out of it yet either. From that standpoint, we have high confidence in the ability with the team that we have, the facility operation setup that we have, to be able to achieve those 30 units by end of year.

The other thing I'll note is we are also, in parallel path, teeing up, mod center, ability and capability to be able to do Hypertruck ERX installs as well. So that's going to, allow us to be able to go scale volume, as we have assistance from mod centers.

Donovan Schafer
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Northland Capital Markets

Okay. That's helpful. Second question is around ASPs. You know, before you talked about them for the Hypertruck ERX being, kind of in the high $300,000s, I'm curious, you know, with the cro- cost increases that you've seen, are we moving to where that may cross over to, you know, to, to hit the kind of $400,000 mark, or, or not? If you can give any color around how we could think about the, the day cab. As I understand it, you can actually even do a smaller battery and still get the full co- get the, the full credit on the day cab.

If you can just, you know, if we can get kind of a rough sense of if it's $100,000 lower or $50,000 lower, or how the day cab would kind of compare.

Thomas Healy
CEO, Hyliion

Sure. Let's first start with the, the sleeper cab variant of it. As you mentioned, in previous call, we, we've expressed high 300s, and that is still where, where we're targeting now. That is already taking into account the benefit that will be received from the Inflation Reduction Act, that $40,000. Still on track for that high 300s. With respect to the day cab, it's, it's still too early to put numbers on that in terms of, of cost and price of that system. As you mentioned, we are targeting some improvements. One is just obviously the shift of going from a, a sleeper truck to a day cab. You know, day cabs are conventionally less expensive in the market.

We are also looking at smaller battery pack while still being able to achieve that ACF credit. Even looking at some place to push the storage, you know, reducing the size of the tanks on the vehicle, just 'cause the range of a day cab is less than what a sleeper is. More to come on what the pricing of a day cab, though, would actually look like.

Donovan Schafer
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Northland Capital Markets

Okay, then if I can squeeze just one more in on the stationary KARNO generator. You know, in the release, you talk about having demo, you know, demo sets deployed in 2024 and also generating revenue. I'm curious if are those kind of two separate buckets or the same thing? You know, would you have one set of demo units and a separate set of units that are out there generating revenue? Or is it kind of like, you deploy some of these, and you call them demo units because, you know, maybe the revenue model, you're, you're selling the electricity, but you keep ownership of the unit, and it's still sort of helping to prove out the concept and allows you to show it off to people and stuff like that.

Would they be the same units or kind of two separate groups or batches?

Thomas Healy
CEO, Hyliion

I think, best way to look at it would be the same units. Obviously, as we go deploy these, and, you know, as I mentioned on the call, we are in discussions right now with the likely early adopter of these. We'll be working with each one of them and looking at, you know, what their potential long-term use case is, and then structuring these, these agreements appropriately. I think, you know, from your standpoint, though, look at them as in the same bucket. Our goal is these early units that, that we'll be deploying in 2024, we will be able to, to generate revenue off of those units.

Then, you know, see that as a great kind of seeding into the market to be able to then hopefully go scale volume from there.

Donovan Schafer
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Northland Capital Markets

Okay, great. Thanks, guys. I'll take the rest of my questions offline.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Steven Fisher of UBS. Your line is open.

Steven Fisher
Managing Director and Research Analyst, UBS

Thanks. Good morning. Just to follow up on that KARNO question, I know you plan to generate revenues in 2024. Can you just give us a sense of the path and timing to gross margin positivity on that KARNO stationary generator? Is that something that you sort of even have in your line of sight at this point, or is that something is much further out and needs a bigger scale?

Jon Panzer
CFO, Hyliion

Hi, Steven, this is Jon. Hey, great question. You know, we're excited that next year, even though we just, you know, acquired the KARNO technology, that we have an opportunity to, you know, put some units in, in demonstration service and even get some revenue for them. You know, we, we haven't projected yet or shared our expectations in terms of gross margin, but we don't, we don't think as we ramp up KARNO, you know, we'll, we'll do the demo units, but then we do expect that we'll be able to ramping up sales in 2025 and beyond, that there's not a long pathway to positive gross margins. I wouldn't want to give you any specific numbers just yet, as we kind of work through the engineering on it.

We think it's, KARNO overall is a pretty good story, and that, that story is not a long one in terms of getting to the being able to forecast those things, but we're just not quite ready yet.

Steven Fisher
Managing Director and Research Analyst, UBS

Got it. That's helpful. Then in terms of the, the day cab, how does the development of that product affect your cash burn?

Thomas Healy
CEO, Hyliion

Yeah, so I'll, I'll start it off, and Jon can chime in more as well. So we'll be utilizing a lot of the same team that we already have in Austin, Texas, taking the knowledge and a lot of the development we've already done on the sleeper truck, carrying it over to a day cab. As we mentioned, you know, there'll be some improved, you know, cost benefits, some weight benefits onto that solution, so there still is engineering spend. I'll let Jon touch on that.

Jon Panzer
CFO, Hyliion

Yeah, you know, I've been, I've been, you know, trying to share, you know, we talked about this a little bit at Investor Day around our cash or expense outlook for next year. I did that in the context of what we spent the last couple of years. Also, if you note and look through the comments that I made today about our expenses with and taking out some of the unusual costs related to R&D component expensing, you know, we're flattening out. You know, I projected this at the beginning of the year, that SG&A would be flattening out. R&D is looking to flatten out, too, even with the addition of KARNO.

as Thomas mentioned, as we complete the you know, the R&D work on the sleeper truck, those people will be shifting over, and that money that we had spent, you know, in the past towards sleeper truck development will shift over to these other things, including the 15-liter engine and the day cab. I guess what I'm getting at here is, you know, I don't wanna forecast too precisely, but we, we don't expect a big, you know, ramp up in spend or a big additional cash burn to get the day cab. It's the next follow-on product that we're really talking about there with the day cab and the 15-liter engine.

Steven Fisher
Managing Director and Research Analyst, UBS

Okay, terrific. Thank you very much.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Bill Peterson of J.P. Morgan. Your line is open.

Mahima Kakani
Research Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Hi, good morning. This is Mahima Kakani on for Bill. Thanks so much for taking our questions. Maybe to start, could we get some clarification around what type of component issues you've been seeing that's led to delays in building verification vehicles, and what the expected, if any, impacts would be on your deliveries later this year for the ERX?

Thomas Healy
CEO, Hyliion

Yeah, I think the... what we saw was really components that were coming in, ensuring that they met the proper quality specifications that we were laying out to our supply base. We saw that there were some deficiencies there. Then we were able to work with the suppliers and make improvements, in the products that they were producing for us, to be able to, to meet those standards. Things like sheet metal, making sure the tolerances are correct, the paint specs are correct, as well as wiring harnesses, making sure they were, they were built to, to both the spec that we had outlined and to make sure that those specs were, were gonna meet the, the, the harsh conditions of the roads out there.

That's really what, what led to some of those delays. I think our team had done a great job in forecasting out, you know, when we needed components and supplies. Unfortunately, we just saw that some of the material that was coming in didn't quite meet the specifications and the demands that we were looking for it to, to meet. You know, the supply chain base worked very well and diligently to, to then correct those issues. I'm pleased to say that we're now in the process of building out those remaining pre-production development trucks.

Mahima Kakani
Research Analyst, J.P. Morgan

That's really helpful color. Thank you. Then maybe a second one. Can you tell us a little bit about your philosophy on building up ERX inventory versus getting these initial 30 trucks to customers? Like, is there a certain, you know, level of inventory that you feel comfortable having as, as you ramp up in 2024 and beyond?

Thomas Healy
CEO, Hyliion

Yeah. The focus right now is obviously those 30, both securing the orders and then, getting those trucks built out and in the hands of customers. We look at 2024, one of the things that we're looking at closely is, how does these extended fleet trials go? How do these initial adoption of units go, the Founders units later this year? Using that input to really look at, you know, what the 2024 volumes are expected to be. We plan on coming back with further information on that as we get a little bit further ahead.

As we mentioned on today's call, we think we're, you know, weeks away from being able to start these extended fleet trials, which for many fleets, this is kind of their final gating item before making order commitments, right? That's expected. That, you know, is something that I think the industry is demanding, and rightfully so, is they want to actually experience technology in their operations first for a period of time before they're willing to place order commitments. That's something that is not uncommon to just Hyliion.

Mahima Kakani
Research Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Okay, great. Thanks so much for taking the questions.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Andres Sheppard of Cantor Fitzgerald. Your line is open.

Andres Sheppard
Lead Equity Research Technology Analyst, Cantor Fitzgerald

Great. Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Congrats on the quarter, and thanks for taking our questions. I just wanted to maybe start off by clarifying the cadence of the 30-unit delivery for this year. Should we expect the vast majority in Q4, or might there be some material deliveries in Q3? Just trying to, you know, understand that, what that breakdown might look like. Thanks.

Thomas Healy
CEO, Hyliion

Later this year, Q4 target. We'll be going through the build of the trucks. We actually started the first build of a production truck during Investor Day, and then, you know, we're looking at more the Q4 timing of when deliveries will start taking place. Just to walk through the process, what we've lined up is we'll be sourcing decontented chassis from PACCAR Peterbilt. We'll be then doing the upfit of our powertrain technology in Austin. As I mentioned, you know, going forward, we'll also have the ability to do that at mod centers as well as in Austin. That vehicle will go back to PACCAR, go through final end-of-line certification.

The VIN will be put on the vehicle, then it would be ready to, to go out to customers. That will enable these vehicles to also achieve that ACT credit that we've been talking about. That's the process, but in terms of when the deliveries will get back to, to fleets, we're looking at Q4.

Andres Sheppard
Lead Equity Research Technology Analyst, Cantor Fitzgerald

Got it. Okay, that's what I thought. Thanks, Thomas. Maybe a question for Jon here. In terms of gross margins, you know, I know we're not providing too much visibility around those, but, you know, is it realistic to target positive gross margins at some point throughout 2024, or, or is this perhaps more of a 2025 story? Thank you.

Jon Panzer
CFO, Hyliion

Yeah, I think it is still a little bit early to tell. You know, as we noted, we're still working on our order book for next year, and that's contingent upon these extended fleet trials that we're about ready to kick off. So, you know, volume drives costs, and so getting that order book in place and also some of the design changes we're working on, and also working on getting the powertrain getting to the point where we're selling powertrains. Those all play into our expectations for timing on gross margin. You know, as we noted, we're not expecting, you know, big losses right out of the gate, but we do, we do expect some red ink.

It's a little bit early for us to share expectations there because of all of those things. You know, but you can be sure we're working on it, you know, very hard.

Andres Sheppard
Lead Equity Research Technology Analyst, Cantor Fitzgerald

Got it. Okay. Thanks, Jon. Maybe just one last one, if I may? You mentioned, you know, that given your current liquidity, you know, you don't anticipate any, any capital raises this year, but that you will remain opportunistic for next year. I'm just wondering if you could maybe elaborate a little bit further as it pertains to next year? You know, how are you thinking about potential capital raises? Are you leaning, you know, towards equity or debt or one, one way more than another? Just, just trying to better understand how you are thinking about it as it pertains to, to next year? Thank you.

Jon Panzer
CFO, Hyliion

Yeah, sure. You know, you know, I, I've shared, I shared at Investor Day that, you know, we're, we're slowing cash burn. We've reduced our estimate for this full year by, you know, $50 million from where we started the year down to an expectation that it would be, you know, no more than $50 million. We still feel good about that. You know, we're trying to keep it as low as possible to extend our options, right?

So, you know, you could extrapolate what we've shown, what we showed today on the slides and say, "Hey, you know, we don't really need to raise capital in, in next year, in addition to this year." The point about being opportunistic is, hey, you know, if the opportunity arises, and we've, we've seen some stocks of some companies, you know, increase a lot due to better prospects and so on. You know, if that were to show up, we, we would probably look to the capital markets. I don't see. You know, I see that being probably more of an equity, pure equity type of a play versus, you know, anything else. So again, the whole idea is to give us some flexibility to, you know, execute on our, our strategy.

You know, as Thomas outlined it, you know, we see, we see big opportunities out there. There's a little bit more work to do to get a day cab, you know, get the cargo opportunities, figure out the best way to build the sleeper cab ERX. All of those things, and then the other, you know, strategic opportunities that we hinted at today, just keeping open-minded about what those might look like and how they might unfold. Those are all things that are playing into, you know, our capital forecast. You know, I think the good news is we have a lot of flexibility.

We've created that flexibility and, and runway for ourselves, and, and, you know, we're, we're not just assuming that, you know, things are going to turn around in, you know, 3, you know, 6 months or so. We're being very strategic about how we think about using our capital and how that aligns with our strategic plan. Again, we've, we've got, we've got flexibility. We're really watching it carefully, and, and we'll just see how things go.

Andres Sheppard
Lead Equity Research Technology Analyst, Cantor Fitzgerald

Got it. Okay. That, that's super helpful. I appreciate that. Thanks again. Congrats on the quarter, I'll, I'll pass it on. Thank you.

Jon Panzer
CFO, Hyliion

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Mark Delaney of Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

Mark Delaney
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Good morning. Thank you for taking my questions, and thanks for all the details on the KARNO. I believe you mentioned in your prepared remarks that some suppliers have been increasing prices, and therefore, the BOM cost of the ERX could be higher than you'd been thinking earlier this year. I'm hoping you could clarify a bit more on that topic. Are you able to give us a better sense of the magnitude of the increase that you're now thinking about in terms of the ERX cost? You know, maybe give us a sense of the breadth of suppliers doing this. Is it, you know, a single component or two that's driving the increase, or is it a broader-based set of changes? Sure.

Thomas Healy
CEO, Hyliion

I'll first start with kind of the overall theme for maybe it's even more than a year, a couple of years, is just significant component price increases. You know, what we shared on the last earnings call was that was what one of the reasons that it drove us to, "Let's go back and revisit these founders agreements." We need to pass some of those price increases on to end customers. That, you- as we heard on, or as we shared on today's call, even since then, we've seen some more component increases. You mentioned that, you know, those are in the thousands of dollars range. And so, what we're seeing is that, that price increasing from suppliers is not lightening up just yet.

From that, you know, I don't see that it's gonna change our pricing at this stage. You know, we just wanted to add that color to the market of, you know, still seeing price increases. This is not unique to Hyliion by any means. You know, one of the things that we've seen is, as others are out reporting earnings, some are taking very significant losses on shipping out vehicles. You know, Jon touched on that a little. We don't see that we're in the same boat.

We are gonna be operating at a loss on these initial trucks, but, but we'll be working diligently to pull that cost out of the product as we go forward here, and then we see day cab as another market opportunity for us to go after as well.

Jon Panzer
CFO, Hyliion

You know, Mark, I might add to that, you know, as people would expect, when you've got, you know, a new industry forming and especially in the Class 8 market, that doesn't have a lot of volume yet, you're talking about things like battery systems and, and, and e-axles and so forth. The, you know, the industry really needs to mature and get to the higher volumes, and I think naturally you'll see, you'll see pricing coming down over time. It's just, we haven't yet reached that volume-driven inflection point on pricing, and we're dealing more with the inflationary sides of it that are working the other way. It's just, you know, part of it's time, part of it's design, part of it's, you know, procurement and, and so forth. Those are the things that are affecting us.

Mark Delaney
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Yeah, no, that, that, that, that all makes sense, and, you know, appreciate the color. Yeah, I guess to, to, you know, follow up on that topic, I mean, as you, as you're thinking about price cost, you know, you know, in terms of some of these factors, what, what you can pass on and, and, and what Hyliion may have to absorb, do, do you think, you know, that price cost dynamic gates production, in, in 2024? I, I realize you're, you're still formulating the, the exact, build plan, as, as you said in your prepared comments, but, you know, curious if the, the, you know, potential losses maybe, limit, how many ERX units in 2024 you, may wanna, manufacture and, and sell. Thanks.

Jon Panzer
CFO, Hyliion

Yeah, Mark, that's a, that's a great question. We've, you know, we've actually addressed this a little bit in the past, you know, recently. That, you know, as you, as you think about the, the changes and I'll call it the shift in strategy that we outlined, you know, a quarter ago, where we said, "Hey, we, we really want to control and, and meter the ramp-up of, of this product because of, because of all of these challenges." You add to that, that we see all the, you know, the opportunity around the day cab and, and KARNO and so forth, that, that we definitely want to get our trucks out there, get miles on it, prove out the powertrain technology and reliability.

We do have this, this change where the 12-liter engine that we have won't be certified in California next year. That doesn't mean we can't sell trucks. We'll continue to sell them, but, you know, we're not rushing to put out trucks as quickly as we were maybe 1 year ago or even further back, because that's, you know, not necessary to get where we want to be, which is to have, you know, like I said, the day cab truck, working on design changes that'll take costs and weight out. You know, 2024 will be a year we're gonna continue to sell, but it's not the, you know, it's not a, a strategy where the more we get out there, the better.

We wanna, you know, be very thoughtful about the volumes and the ramp up as we, as we work on these other things that we've outlined today. Again, that will kind of help us really in all areas of, of proving out the product, managing our, our capital, cash flow, and those type of things. Yeah, so you might say there could be some metering of that, just depending on, you know, those, those factors, the interest level, the, the price level, component level, and so forth, as we, you know, get, get through next year.

Mark Delaney
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, Goldman Sachs

understood. Thank you.

Operator

If you would like to ask a question, press star one on your telephone keypad. Your next question comes from the line of Chris Phibbs, of CP Investment. Your line is open.

Jon Panzer
CFO, Hyliion

Excellent. I gotta take this.

Chris Phibbs
Analyst, CP Investment

Hey, guys. Can you hear me okay?

Jon Panzer
CFO, Hyliion

Yeah.

Chris Phibbs
Analyst, CP Investment

All right, thanks. Regarding sales, as far as your plan, for the market, are you guys planning on having, like, field sales, like reps in the field, or, mostly working with, like, OEMs, or doing more of, like, a online presence or a combination of all?

Thomas Healy
CEO, Hyliion

Sure. It's definitely not an online presence type of a market. You know, the commercial vehicle space is very used to, you know, meetings in person, face-to-face discussions about how they're gonna be speccing their trucks. What's conventional for Tier One suppliers in this space is that you do have a field sales team, but you're also working closely with the OEMs. You want to go out and educate the fleet on your technology and on your solutions, so that then as they're going and placing brand-new truck orders through their dealers, they're speccing your product. That will be our goal, as we move to that, that model of being a powertrain provider as opposed to the full vehicle seller.

That is something that is very customary in the industry and a model that we look to, to slot into.

Chris Phibbs
Analyst, CP Investment

Do you guys currently have any reps in the field, or when would you start actually ramping up sales reps?

Thomas Healy
CEO, Hyliion

We do already have sales reps that are doing exactly what I just mentioned, as well as, you know, right now, in the beginning, we'll be transacting the entire truck sale, but then quickly move over to selling the powertrain as opposed to the entire vehicle.

Chris Phibbs
Analyst, CP Investment

Awesome. All right, thank you.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call over to Thomas for closing remarks.

Thomas Healy
CEO, Hyliion

Thank you, everyone, for joining today's call. Also appreciate everyone who attended in person or virtually during Investor Day. For those of you who haven't, strongly encourage you to go to our YouTube channel and watch that presentation. It's a couple of hours long, but it gives you a great amount of detail both on the Hypertruck powertrain solution as well as the KARNO. Thank you for joining today's call.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.

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