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Piper Sandler 37th Annual Healthcare Conference

Dec 2, 2025

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Thrilled to have you. Maybe just to kick things off, wanted to touch on the implied Q4 guidance. You know, the Q3 print, nice bounce-back quarter. You beat the top line. You crushed EPS numbers. You did reaffirm the full-year guidance for 2025 on revenue, which implies a decent step up quarter over quarter. I guess the question is, it's not a typical year for Inspire. Just how much visibility do you have in the business? Just give us some confidence that you're going to be able to achieve the Q4 implied guidance.

Tim Herbert
Chairman and CEO, Inspire Medical Systems

Very good. Yeah, we have been very happy with the third quarter. We knew in the beginning of the year it was always a challenge as we're launching Inspire V. There were challenges with that. We held back on opening new centers in the first half of the year, kind of held back a little bit on direct-to-consumer and building awareness to give us time to get that product out. The Medicare challenges with 64568 got cleared up in July to allow for people to use that code with Inspire V. That really kind of kickstarted Q3. We made very good progress in converting all the centers from Inspire IV to V. The fourth quarter is just a continuation of that and really cleaning up the transition of the rest of the centers.

We wanted to just reaffirm that revenue because we already had a significant step up from Q3 to Q4 in revenue. We also had some cleanup on the earnings per share, which was really positive as well. We did increase our guide on earnings per share for the rest of the year. The team's working hard. We do have the visibility that we see. We know December is always the busiest month of the year for implants because everybody has their high-deductible insurance plans that they want to make sure they get their procedure done by the end of the year before that high-deductible or out-of-pocket resets on January 1. Yeah, continue to progress through the quarter and working hard.

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Okay, perfect. Tim, inventory levels, how should we think about those in Q4? I think you're transitioning from the Gen IV to the Gen V system, working through some inventory. Is it net neutral in Q4? Is it a headwind? Is it a tailwind? Just kind of what's the.

Tim Herbert
Chairman and CEO, Inspire Medical Systems

Yeah, two different inventory things. What we're talking about is field inventory and inventory that people carry. I think it's going to be a little bit more net neutral. We will continue to burn down the Inspire IV inventory, but it tends to get replenished with Inspire V. It tends to be a little bit of the net neutral. I think we should have most of that taken care of by the end of the year. There'll be some carryover in the next year, but I think that is a pretty minor impact going forward. We've been pretty successful at transitioning everybody into V.

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Yep. And that's a great segue into the next question, which is the transition for the Gen V system. You finished Q3 with more than 75% of U.S. accounts doing Gen V procedures. Where is that number today? Where do you expect to finish the year?

Tim Herbert
Chairman and CEO, Inspire Medical Systems

I think the training is complete with the surgeons in the United States. Obviously, we'll continue to train additional surgeons as we go. I think the contracting is well over 90%. The SleepSync is over 80%. We are really able to kind of transition. I think the two key elements of this whole Inspire V launch, one, having proper inventory to support the launch. Number two, getting that Medicare software or CMS software updated for 64568 with Inspire V was really kind of the key that let us get through the logistics of contracting, training, SleepSync, and transition. Once July 1 when CMS updated the software, then it's just go. I was able to really kind of lean in and get that conversion. That's why we're in pretty good shape right now.

As we finish out the year and transition next year, I don't know if this will really be a topic. We'll be focused on V.

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Okay. Fantastic. One other kind of temporal dynamic I wanted to touch on, patient warehousing. I can't recall if that actually came up on the Q3 call or not, but what is the status there of some of those patients that were maybe warehoused earlier in 2025? Have they been treated? Are they going to be treated? Are they on the schedule? Just what's your take on the warehousing dynamic?

Tim Herbert
Chairman and CEO, Inspire Medical Systems

Bring that back a little bit for everybody. When we talk about patient warehousing, we're talking about patients who are aware that the fifth generation is available. They want to wait to receive therapy until they can get that Inspire V rather than receiving an Inspire IV. We think that phenomenon is pretty well cleared up. I think the patients who wanted to wait are in the queue if they haven't already received the Inspire V device. Again, that's the secondary last probably time we'll be talking about this as well as we kind of work through the year. That patient warehousing is pretty well complete.

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Yep. Okay, perfect. On the Q3 earnings call, you did give an early indication of top-line growth for next year, 10%-11%. Maybe just unpack that for us, walk us through the key puts and takes in that framework, both on the tailwind and headwind side of the business.

Tim Herbert
Chairman and CEO, Inspire Medical Systems

I think we wanted to put a message out there to kind of get everybody on the same page to be able to have a starting point for where we saw 2026. It was not our formal guidance, but we wanted to put out an early indication for what to expect. We did comment that on a competitor's conference earlier in the year, I think we will come out and pre-announce our revenue for the year and give full-year guidance at that point. We just want to make sure that we gave an early indication for everybody to get consistency and a point to be able to move from.

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Yep. Okay, perfect. I feel obligated to move on to reimbursement, which is.

Tim Herbert
Chairman and CEO, Inspire Medical Systems

The subject.

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

The subject is yours. Very nice reimbursement change for CPT code 64568 for calendar year 2026. Double-digit bump for physician reimbursement. The bigger change, the New Tech APC for the facility moving to $1,580, 40%-50% year-over-year increase for the facility reimbursement using round numbers for simplicity. How do you think about any potential impact to the business? What are you hearing from customers about the increase?

Tim Herbert
Chairman and CEO, Inspire Medical Systems

Excitement. I think that's pretty important. CMS has been working on this for the full year. We just got done talking about how CMS was already transitioning Inspire V to 64568 and updating the software in July. Inspire V new tech applies well into the New Tech APC. Not a lot of surprises. I think the end game, I think, is people want to have a Level 6 APC, ambulatory payment classification. Right now, it was a Level 5, but there's always a little bit of a cost differentiation that just didn't work. I also think that CMS was looking at it with a Level 6. There wasn't enough data, enough volume to be able to justify that today.

The New Tech APC is a nice tool that allows a bridge to be able to collect additional data to be able to kind of lean in. Probably the end game, several years down the road, it will be a Level 6 APC. For the meantime, this New Tech APC really works well. It's great for the hospitals. It's wonderful for the patients to be able to gain access to therapy and improve the economics with Inspire. Yeah, we're very happy about it. Customers are happy about it. We're spending a lot of time now to make sure all the customers are aware of that as they update their contracts with the commercial payers. It'll have an effect across the board.

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Yep. Fantastic. And pricing strategy, to ask it bluntly, does this change Inspire's pricing strategy? Will you look to increase price? Or is $25,000 still a good assumption for USASP?

Tim Herbert
Chairman and CEO, Inspire Medical Systems

I think that we know how the calculations work. We know that we need to be supportive with that. We know that there's going to be benefits to the hospitals. The hospitals also understand how the economics work. At the end of the year, when they look at the number of procedures proposed or conducted in the past year at the different cost points, it affects that costing. The team's looking at this very closely right now on what our strategy will be moving into next year. This is obviously an opportunity, something that we need to look at closely. This does take effect January 1. Times of the essence to make sure that we're leaning in on that and that we're already working the awareness with our site. More to come on that.

Yeah, we understand how the system works and where we need to be.

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Okay. Fantastic. You mentioned this earlier, Tim. New Tech APCs are kind of, these are my words, but transitory vehicle, collect additional data. How long do you expect to be in the New Tech APC? Where do you think reimbursement for your technology kind of shakes out over the long term?

Tim Herbert
Chairman and CEO, Inspire Medical Systems

Yeah, I think it'll stabilize over several years. I would expect us being in that New Tech APC for quite a period of time, at least three years probably before they establish a Level 6 APC. That's kind of the new thing, a new Level 6. It's been in the works for some period of time. I think it'll be a while before things kind of stabilize out to get the right reimbursement levels. Ideally, it's going to be right where it is right now.

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Yep. Okay. Fantastic. Maybe just one more. Commercial payer rates. Does the New Tech APC have any influence on kind of how your commercial payers pay for the technology, cover the technology? Or is it?

Tim Herbert
Chairman and CEO, Inspire Medical Systems

I think a lot of the Medicare Advantage, which other commercial payers are triggered off the Medicare payments. A lot of the commercial payers are also just triggered off that as well. I think several of the hospitals will have to go and update their renewals with their own contracts with commercial payers. It is up to us to make sure that they're aware what that Medicare reimbursement rate is to be able to work from. Everybody knows that commercial payer rates tend to be a multiple of Medicare. It kind of ripples through the entire system.

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Okay. It sounds like it is fair to assume that commercial payer rates.

Tim Herbert
Chairman and CEO, Inspire Medical Systems

Will likely increase as well. For sure.

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Okay. Okay. Fantastic. Maybe switching topics here. Gen V utilization. You gave some statistics early in the year, I think it was the Q2 earnings call, about the centers that adopted the Gen V device. They had seen 20% + volume increases on a year-over-year like-for-like basis. Wondering if you have any updated figures, similar statistics that you can share as the rollout has continued to progress or even just any anecdotal color on the utilization topic.

Tim Herbert
Chairman and CEO, Inspire Medical Systems

Yeah. I think that we plot that. We track that closely. We do see those centers that have fully transitioned to Inspire V do have increased growth over those that are with IV. That also says the higher utilizing centers are the ones that transitioned to V first. They do see the benefit and can move forward with it. Let's talk about V, though. The positive acceptance of Inspire V is pretty universal. Number one, it starts with ear, nose, throat surgeon not placing the pressure-sensing lead between the intercostal muscles. That really is an impactful part of the process. It makes it much easier for the surgeon to do the procedure. We've been showing a 20% reduction in surgical times from the data from the clinical studies that we've run with Inspire V.

More importantly, the outcomes with Inspire V have been very solid as well. Not to mention the safety performance has always been very strong. The acceptance of V across the board has really been universal. Now, of course, with the reimbursement, that really is a tool to be able to lean in on further.

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Yep. Fantastic. Just a follow-up there would be new surgeons trained. I've always kind of thought about the low-hanging fruit for Inspire is to add a second or a third implant at an existing center. Is Gen V helping with those efforts? Are you seeing progress there? How do we think about number of kind of surgeons trained going forward?

Tim Herbert
Chairman and CEO, Inspire Medical Systems

Yeah. I think we'll look at this in a couple of different fashions. Number one, the reimbursement is going to have a positive impact too because of the margins that hospitals can receive for proper reimbursement. That allows them to do more procedures and train more surgeons and kind of lean in. The challenge we've had with current reimbursement levels is it's very difficult to do Medicare cases in an ambulatory surgical setting. When we have ear, nose, and throat surgeons, a lot of the ENTs, the private practice, they want to spend their time in the ASC. They don't want to be in the hospital. It's a whole new group that this reimbursement change brings into play. Not to mention Inspire V not having that pressure-sensing lead. It really yields itself for procedures done in the ASC. We've already formed an ASC Tiger team.

It's going to be a big push next year to bring in new surgeons from private practice and those that have their own ASCs now that we have a reimbursement level that can support that across the United States, not just in the higher-paying geographic areas. I think that we're going to really be looking to increase the number of surgeons trained to drive utilization. It's really going to be a big push to kind of excite ASCs to kind of accelerate because today it's only 20% of the procedures performed.

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Right. I know there was a lot of focus on ASCs in past years and maybe hasn't quite materialized. Perhaps that's reimbursement related. This procedure seems very well tailored for an ambulatory surgery center. Where do you think that mix could kind of go over time? Would you expect ASCs to have higher throughput than hospital outpatient department?

Tim Herbert
Chairman and CEO, Inspire Medical Systems

Yeah. I think we can look at some of the comparables that we have in neuro stimulant and see percentages, 40%-50% of procedures done in an ASC. I think that's achievable. I think what kind of works for the surgeons because they're partial owners and they help control the schedule. They have just more flexibility in an ASC. Some of our top sites will have two rooms for Inspire procedures where they're completing a procedure. As they clean that room, they go across the hall to a different room and go back and forth. That's where we see sites doing double-digit procedures in a given day. I think that as we go to ASCs, that provides that flexibility to be able to really let them increase the utilization.

Obviously, the reimbursement really kind of opens the door to be able to go down that ASC pathway. That is what's really so exciting about it.

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Yep. That's a great color. Switching topics again, replacement curve. I have to admit I haven't taken a lot of questions on this recently. You first commercialized in 2014, I believe. Batteries last maybe 10, 11 years if I'm remembering correctly. How do we think about a replacement curve opportunity that's on the come? Patients coming in for a second device.

Tim Herbert
Chairman and CEO, Inspire Medical Systems

Right. Kind of overshadowed by this reimbursement news is the reimbursement for replacement devices actually went from a Level 4 to a Level 5 APC, which is wonderful, right? That means when patients come in, most patients coming in now from 2014 and 2015, they have an Inspire II device, right? They will have that replaced with an Inspire V device. We will leave the sensing lead behind and only the stimulation lead plugs in because naturally the sensing is now incorporated as part of the Inspire V. we are already seeing replacements starting to tick up. That is exciting, right? We are still expecting a high replacement rate of up to 80% of patients who receive therapy coming back. The battery life has been shown to last 10 and a half, 11 years.

Those patients from 2014 and 2015 are just coming through right now. That is just a new revenue stream that we will continue to add as we continue forward.

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Yep. Okay. Perfect. Feel obligated to ask a question on GLP-1s. Let's maybe tackle that. The Q2 earnings call, I think, was the first time I had heard the company talk about GLP-1s impacting the funnel or maybe being a near-term transitory headwind. I thought the commentary on the Q3 call, so more recently, was a little bit more balanced, upbeat in terms of the impact on the funnel. Did I interpret your comments correctly? What are you seeing in terms of the impact of the funnel today? Is it headwind, net neutral, tailwind?

Tim Herbert
Chairman and CEO, Inspire Medical Systems

No. I think you interpreted them correctly. I think that after the Q2 call, we went out and did our own work. We went and interviewed all the sleep physicians and wanted to get a feel for how are they changing their practices around GLP-1s and other tools to treat sleep apnea. That's kind of the nice environmental change that we see is sleep physicians now have tools to be able to treat obstructive sleep apnea. People go to their family practice doctor to get a GLP-1 to lose weight and feel better and look better, right? If they get a diagnosis of obstructive sleep apnea, the insurance company may pay for it. What the sleep physicians are seeing is an increased diagnosis rate of sleep apnea. That's driving their business, right? They have more patients coming in.

It's just expanding the overall pie for patients diagnosed and who need to be treated. We know that these patients are not going to just get a GLP-1 and left on their own for a year to see if it takes care of their sleep apnea. They're going to be put on a CPAP at the same time they receive a GLP-1. If they're not compliant to the CPAP, they're going to be looking for alternative therapy. I think it's going to be a strong, favorable tailwind for Inspire in the future. Today, it's still in the early days of GLPs coming out and being prescribed and insurance companies reimbursing. I think we're having our own transition period with Inspire V. We have a big backlog of patients. Now, we're really not seeing too much of it right now.

I think that'll turn around in the near future and continue to be a tailwind. We already talked to our practices who are already seeing patients on GLP-1s now receiving Inspire therapy. We think that's really going to be a positive going forward.

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Yep. Okay. Fantastic color there. Maybe switching gears to the device competition. There is a second player on the market that's starting to launch their technology. What are you seeing from this new competitor? How do you think about competitive dynamics going forward? How are you thinking about any impact in 2026?

Tim Herbert
Chairman and CEO, Inspire Medical Systems

Yeah. I think centers will try the new technology. I think that's okay. I think that's their job to try new technologies. We just make sure the expectations are there that they're going to have the same level of outcomes. When they implant Inspire, they know that there's consistency there. They know what the procedure is. They know the expected outcomes. The safety is unmatched. They know what to expect. They know the support that they're going to receive. We just put out new data from two independent universities that talked about the impact of cardiovascular health. It showed over 4,500 patients over 10 years in a government database, TriNetX, that they showed improvements in health outcomes of Inspire over CPAP and certainly over non-treatment.

That's probably a bigger impact than even the reimbursement impact when we can show true health outcomes and the impact that that's going to have. That just shows the stability that Inspire has. We set the bar very high for what the expected outcomes are and what customers should expect out of Inspire or anybody else entering into the field. We're going to keep developing new technologies like Inspire V. We're already working on Inspire VI and beyond. The digital programs we have with SleepSync are making it much easier to manage the patients going forward. Yeah, we're going to continue to set the bar very, very high. It's important that all the physicians have that same level of expectation for whatever therapy they prescribe delivers.

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Yep. Fantastic. Ezgi, maybe one for you on the P&L. I'm going to kind of leave it a little bit open-ended here. But any quantitative or qualitative color that you want to share, whether it's gross margin, OpEx, below-the-line items as we think about 2026?

Ezgi Yagci
VP of Investor Relations, Inspire Medical Systems

Yeah. Absolutely. I guess starting on the gross margin line, as you all know, the transition to Inspire V has been accretive to our gross margins. This is a, we got rid of the pressure-sensing lead, which was a very expensive and complicated SKU to make. As we get rid of that, there's some upward bias on the gross margin line. When we think about OpEx, we will continue to support our DTC initiatives and most likely increase our DTC spend. There are a lot of other areas where we're being much more disciplined. You should anticipate that operating margins will increase next year on a GAAP basis.

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Okay. Fantastic. About a minute left here. I'm going to try and get through two more questions. I guess the first is longtime CFO, Rick Buchholz, who's here somewhere, not on stage, but here somewhere in the, I think, the room or the building. Stepping aside at the end of the year, just any update on the CFO search and when we should expect that role to be filled?

Tim Herbert
Chairman and CEO, Inspire Medical Systems

No. We have several good candidates. We did a nationwide search to find somebody who has that experience to really take it to the next level. We are in the interviewing process right now with several candidates and really making very good progress there and hope to make an announcement very soon.

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Okay. One last one, pipeline. I wanted to ask about CC C because the competition, emerging competition, feels like they're kind of targeting these patients with their respective technologies. One way or another, Inspire's contraindicated today. It's 20%-30% maybe of patients with moderate to severe obstructive sleep apnea. What is the strategy for CC C and how quickly can we get there?

Tim Herbert
Chairman and CEO, Inspire Medical Systems

We're going to separate these out and talk complete concentric collapse. Really, what we're talking about is a combination of tongue-based collapse and lateral wall collapse. Hypoglossal nerve stimulation moves the tongue forward and addresses tongue-based collapse, all competitors. Nobody addresses lateral wall. That's a different muscle group that you need to stimulate. We do have dual-channel stimulation going to address not only tongue-based but lateral wall. The good news is the GLP-1s do help patients lose weight and reduce the neck circumference. That helps the lateral wall collapse. I think that's why GLP-1s and hypoglossal nerve stimulation work in concert with each other. All the technology is still moving the tongue forward. We're taking that the next step to go to a dual-channel device. We're making very good progress with that.

We look forward to reporting back on that.

Adam Maeder
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Yep. Stay tuned. We covered a lot of ground in 25 minutes. We'll wrap there. Thank you again for joining.

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