Independence Realty Trust, Inc. (IRT)
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Earnings Call: Q2 2020

Jul 30, 2020

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Q2 2020 Independence Realty Trust earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question- and-a nswer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one on your telephone. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. If you require any further assistance, please press star zero. Thank you. I would like to hand the conference over to Ms. Lauren Torres. Ma'am, please go ahead.

Lauren Torres
Investor Relations Representative, Edelman Smithfield

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us to review Independence Realty Trust second quarter 2020 financial results. On the call with me today are Scott Schaeffer, our Jim Sebra, our Chief Financial Officer, and Farrell Ender, President of IRT. Today's call is being webcast on our website at www.irtliving.com. There will be a replay of the call available via webcast on our investor relations website and telephonically beginning at approximately 12:00 P.M. Eastern Time today. Before I turn the call over to Scott, I'd like to remind everyone that there may be forward-looking statements made in this call. These forward-looking statements reflect IRT's current views with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual results could differ substantially and materially from what IRT has projected.

Such statements are made in good faith pursuant to the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Please refer to IRT's press release, supplemental information, and filings with the SEC for factors that could affect the accuracy of our expectations or cause our future results to differ materially from those expectations. Participants may discuss non-GAAP financial measures during this call. A reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the most direct comparable GAAP financial measure is attached to IRT's most current report on the Form 8-K available at IRT's website under investor relations. IRT's other SEC filings are also available through this link. IRT does not undertake to update forward-looking statements in this call or with respect to matters described herein, except as may be required by law. With that, it's my pleasure to turn the call over to Scott Schaeffer.

Scott Schaeffer
CEO, Independence Realty Trust

Thank you, Lauren, and thank you all for joining us this morning. The second quarter was our first full quarter impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic and undoubtedly posed challenges to all of our stakeholders. While the path forward remains uncertain, we are encouraged by a gradual road to recovery supported by the dedication and perseverance of our employees. Over the past quarter, we focused on the following key priorities. First and foremost, we directed our efforts towards protecting the health and well-being of our employees and residents and keeping our community safe and clean. Second, we provided flexibility to those residents demonstrating financial hardship with their near-term monthly rental requirements by creating payment plans, waiving late fees, and halting evictions. Third, we focused on driving leasing traffic and maintaining occupancy to support the overall health of our portfolio and to position us to capitalize on the eventual economic recovery.

For example, leasing traffic was up 27% in the second quarter of 2020 versus a year ago. Fourth, we took the necessary steps to maintain significant liquidity, including continuing to tightly manage our property operating and capital expenditures, as well as managing the timing of investments as it relates to our Value Add Program. Staying on the topic of our Value Add Program, demand for renovated units has rebounded and remained strong, prompting us to restart this initiative at all five communities we had paused during the first quarter. Our Value Add Initiative has been and will continue to be foundational to our strategy. Since its inception two and a half years ago, we've completed renovations at 3,252 units, generating a total return on investment of 16%.

Our value add program also provides us with tremendous flexibility to adjust timing and investment in order to best navigate near-term market conditions. Nevertheless, with 3,884 units remaining to be renovated over the coming years, we see an attractive runway for future growth embedded within our existing portfolio. As we look to the second half of 2020, we remain cautiously optimistic and confident in our ability to manage through the current environment. We are well aware that the situation remains fluid and plans at the state and local level could be altered at any given time. As of today, total portfolio occupancy stands at 94.1%, a 160 basis point improvement since the end of last year. We've collected approximately 97.2% of July rents, which is consistent with collections in June. I would also like to highlight that IRT continues to maintain a strong balance sheet.

We have ample liquidity with no significant debt maturities until 2023. Our total liquidity position is approximately $248 million at quarter end, which includes unrestricted cash, as well as additional capacity through our unsecured line of credit and future proceeds from the remaining portion of our forward equity offering from February of this year. This reflects our efforts to be financially flexible to not only weather near-term uncertainty, but also move quickly to enhance our portfolio and create long-term value. In summary, and on behalf of the whole IRT team, I'd like to reiterate that we remain committed to our residents, communities, and shareholders. Our long-term aspiration of being the leading middle-market multifamily owner and operator across non-gateway markets remains clearly intact. We have set a strategy that over time will continue to yield strong business performance throughout various cycles.

On top of that, we must maintain the highest commitment to our most important stakeholders. In particular, we have an obligation to protect our employees, to encourage diversity and inclusion, and create a culture that drives long-term value creation. We are committed to providing our residents with a high quality and safe community, regardless of the environment outside their door, that they have a place that they are proud to call home. With that, I'll turn the call over to Farrell for an operational update. Farrell?

Farrell Ender
President, Independence Realty Trust

Thanks, Scott. Good morning, everyone. I would first like to thank our entire operations team for their continuous efforts behind protecting and supporting our residents, properties, and communities. They've done an incredible job ensuring that we comply with the highest safety standards and offer an environment that is welcoming to our existing and prospective residents. In particular, our on-site teams led the effort to improve total portfolio average occupancy in Q2 to 92.9%, from 92.5% in Q1. For July, our average occupancy rate increased another 90 basis points from Q2 levels to 93.8%. The average occupancy across our same store portfolio, not including our value add communities in the second quarter, was 94.3%, and as of today is 94.8%. This increase is due to a coordinated effort to offer flat to minimal renewal rates, resulting in higher resident retention with a goal to maintain occupancy.

On a lease-over-lease basis for the same store portfolio during Q2, new lease rates increased 1.4% and renewals were up 2.4%, yielding a combined lease-over-lease rental rate increase of 1.9%. For July, new leases have increased 1.1%, while renewed leases are up 0.7%, with a blended lease-over-lease rental rate increase of 0.9% for our same store portfolio. As expected, and as we highlighted on our last earnings call, Q2 rent growth moderated as compared to previous quarters. This reflects our focus on supporting occupancy during the pandemic. While leasing traffic slowed in the first half of Q2, trends began to improve in the second half of May and into June, resulting in quarterly traffic exceeding the year ago and continued into the month of July.

This encouraging trend reflects our efforts to target prospects more efficiently, moving away from traditional internet listing services to more paid search, social media, and display ads. Additionally, we have our campaigns designated by unit type so that we can easily adjust availability and optimize our spend accordingly. Our property management team remains focused on strict adherence to CDC guidelines and safety measures with persistent deep cleaning of our facility common areas and have created an online reservation system for many of our amenities, such as our fitness centers and pet spas, to limit the number of residents in support of social distancing. Our leasing teams has enacted a hybrid model of in-person and virtual tours and are converting tours to applications at a much higher rate this year as compared to last year.

For example, during Q2, we converted 37% of our tours, generated 3,237 applications versus converting 29% or 2,841 applications in the second quarter of last year. The location of our properties in cities and counties less impacted by COVID, as well as the tremendous efforts from our on-site teams, are the key drivers behind our ability to increase traffic, convert more tours to leases, and drive occupancy during these turbulent times. While we are optimistic, this pandemic is not over yet. We will continue to carefully manage our communities to support occupancy while reducing costs whenever possible. Turning our attention to our value add program, we completed 227 units in Q2 while continuing to see solid rent premiums. Last quarter, we announced that we had taken a more selective approach to our value add program as we look to balance supply and demand for renovated units.

This involved pausing five projects in progress and delaying the start of renovations at six other communities. In the second half of Q2, we began to see pent-up demand for our renovated units, and in the month of July have averaged 18 more applications per week, a 33% increase as compared to July 2019. We reinstated renovations at all of the five paused projects, value-add properties due to more favorable market conditions and a clearer view on return on investment opportunities. The remaining six communities have not started yet. We are carefully monitoring each individual project in order to determine when best to begin renovations. Looking ahead through the remainder of this year and based on what we know today, we anticipate completing approximately 500 units in the second half of 2020, bringing our total renovations for the full year of 2020 to approximately 1,050 units. I'll now turn the call over to Jim.

Jim Sebra
CFO, Independence Realty Trust

Thanks, Farrell, and good morning, everyone. Beginning with our Q2 2020 performance update, IRT recorded net income available to common shareholders of $789,000, down from net income of $14.7 million in the second quarter of 2019, the latter of which benefited from a $12.1 million net gain on the sale of assets. During Q2, core FFO grew to $18 million, up 6.8% from $16.9 million in Q2 2019. Core FFO per share during Q2 was $0.19, in line with Q2 2019. Turning to our same-store property operating results, NOI growth was 1.2% in the quarter, driven by revenue growth of 1.7%. Rental rates for these properties increased year-over-year with an average monthly rent of $1,098 this quarter, up 4% since Q2 last year.

While this includes value add communities, we did see rental rate growth at our non-value add same store communities, with rental rates in Q2 increasing 2.8% over the prior year. During the second quarter of 2020, and as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, we recorded a provision for bad debt aggregating $723,000. Of this amount, $690,000 related to the 54 same store portfolio. This provision represented 1.4% of total second quarter revenue. Net bad debt totaled $751,000 in the second quarter of 2020 compared to $337,000 in Q1 2020 and $236,000 in Q2 2019. Excluding this bad debt reserve, we would have delivered rental and other property revenue growth of 3.1% in the second quarter versus 1.7% as reported. Furthermore, the bad debt provision we recorded reduces the future risk of any billed revenue that we have not yet collected for Q2.

To put it in context, we ended the quarter with $1.4 million of gross receivables, including those receivables that were part of our deferred payment plans offered to residents. Subsequent to June 30th, we've collected $333,000 of these gross receivables in July, and after considering the bad debt provision, our net accounts receivable leftover from Q2 is $355,000, about a third of a penny per share. We believe that we are adequately reserved and feel good about collecting those remaining net receivables. On the property operating expense side, same-store operating expenses increased 2.3% in Q2 2020 with higher property taxes and property insurance expense offset by lower maintenance costs and other expenses. Our non-controllable costs, consisting of property taxes and property insurance, which was renewed during Q2, increased 6.7%, while our controllable costs, consisting of all other categories of operating expenses, decreased 20 basis points.

This reflects our ongoing initiatives to tightly manage our cost structure when and where appropriate, particularly during these uncertain times. Turning to our balance sheet, as of June 30th, our liquidity position was $248 million. We had $11.7 million of unrestricted cash, approximately $137 million of additional capacity through our unsecured credit facility, and $99 million of remaining proceeds from our forward equity raise. Subsequent to quarter end, we used our unsecured line of credit to prepay, without penalty, $32.1 million of property level debt with a weighted average interest cost of 3.9%. This saves us close to $700,000 of interest cost a year when compared to the interest rate on our line of credit, which is 1.6% today. We closed the second quarter carrying just over $1 billion of debt with no significant debt maturities until 2023.

Our normalized net debt to adjusted EBITDA was 9.2x at the end of the quarter. Clearly, the increased bad debt expense was the main driver of the increase from nine to 9.2x this quarter. If we use the remaining proceeds from our forward equity raise to delever, our net debt to adjusted EBITDA would decrease to 8.2x . Regarding our dividend program, IRT's board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.12 per share, which equates to a 71% payout ratio on $0.17 of AFFO for Q2. As mentioned last quarter, the retention of capital from the revised dividend now puts us more in line with our peer group on a dividend payout ratio basis and gives us more financial flexibility with the potential to allow for accelerated deleveraging.

With respect to guidance, we believe it is prudent to keep it suspended at this time and anticipate resuming the practice of providing full year guidance when there is sufficient clarity on economic conditions. With that said, let me summarize a few key assumptions that have implications for the second half of this year. First, we will continue to prioritize resident retention and occupancy while driving rent growth where appropriate. Two, we plan to continue our cost mitigation efforts, which will include lower controllable operating expenses than we initially guided earlier this year. Three, we will assess any future capital accessing activity with the intent to redeploy cash or explore asset sales as opportunities arise. Four, we expect a lower interest rate environment and therefore lower interest expense in the second half of this year. I'd now like to turn the call back to Scott. Scott?

Scott Schaeffer
CEO, Independence Realty Trust

Thank you, Jim. In closing, I'd like to thank our team for their dedication and hard work. Our success has and will continue to be a reflection of our strong team, portfolio, and simple capital structure. We are well positioned to not only withstand near-term volatile market conditions, but also to be ready to move quickly to capitalize on future growth opportunities. At this time, operator, I'd like to open the call for questions.

Operator

Sure. As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star one on your telephone, and if you need to withdraw your question, just press the pound key. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from the line of Austin Wurschmidt from KeyBanc. Sir, please go ahead.

Austin Wurschmidt
Analyst, KeyBanc

Hi. Good morning, everybody. On the value add renovations, so you guys have made some strides building occupancy, and I'm just curious, with the plans to recommence these renovations, if you think you can still hold or improve occupancy from these levels. It sounds like, correct me if I'm wrong, you're pushing, I guess, opportunistically a little bit harder on renewal rates where appropriate. Can you give us a sense of where those are going at out today?

Farrell Ender
President, Independence Realty Trust

On the value add, Austin, similar to what we managed through the past couple of months, we'll monitor it on a weekly basis, and if we see rents drop, we'll make decisions based on real-time information. There are a select few properties on the renewal rates that have really good occupancy and really low exposure. We're going out 2%-4% on those.

Austin Wurschmidt
Analyst, KeyBanc

Where is that across the entire portfolio?

Farrell Ender
President, Independence Realty Trust

No. Just properties where we are 94+ with minimal exposure in the next 60 days, so that we can maintain that 94+ occupancy.

Austin Wurschmidt
Analyst, KeyBanc

Got it. Understood. You mentioned as one of the priorities in the back half of the year, being opportunistic. I'm just curious if you can give us a sense of what you're seeing across the transaction market for assets that are consistent with your strategy, both the buy and the sell side.

Farrell Ender
President, Independence Realty Trust

Yeah. I think it's still a little too early to tell. We're just seeing deals come to market. I think that there's still a lot of capital out there, and I think that in some of the markets we're in and the good sub-markets, you're going to still see a lot of competition. We're analyzing the markets. We're in the markets, we're looking at the deals, and as we see something that may fit our portfolio, we'll go after it. I think it's still a little too early to tell.

Austin Wurschmidt
Analyst, KeyBanc

Understood. I'll yield the floor. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Nick Joseph from Citigroup. Sir, your line is open.

Nick Joseph
Analyst, Citigroup

Thank you. Maybe just following up on that. If you think about the $100 million of the unsettled forward equity, what's the current order of what you would use those proceeds for between opportunistic external growth, redevelopment, or just de-leveraging?

Scott Schaeffer
CEO, Independence Realty Trust

Hey, Nick, it's Scott. I think it's really a little too early to tell. As Farrell said, there's some deals coming to market, but there's been, as far as I know and can see, there's been no real price discovery yet. There seems to be a little bit of a disconnect between what sellers are willing to sell at and at the moment, what buyers want to pay. We'll do whatever generates the best return for the company. Obviously, we have a focus on de-leveraging, and that's an important aspect of our future. If we see really opportunistic ways to put this money to work and creatively, I think we will consider that.

Nick Joseph
Analyst, Citigroup

Thanks. I appreciate the comments on the operating strategy. Which markets can you currently drive rent growth today, where you're favoring rent growth over occupancy?

Farrell Ender
President, Independence Realty Trust

Huntsville has been performing for the past several quarters. It's a market we'd like to expand in just because of their significant job growth, and it's high-wage job growth. Atlanta is still a market, while seeing supply pressure, the assets that we have in that market are doing very well. That's another market that we're looking to expand into in the right situation.

Scott Schaeffer
CEO, Independence Realty Trust

I think I would add to that, Nick, that it's more of a property focus than a market focus. We've worked over the last couple of years as we've acquired properties to modify the expiration schedule of leases to be more in or during what is the leasing season. This year, obviously, leasing season was a little delayed. What it means is that now coming into the fall and then through the winter, our exposure to lease expirations declines dramatically. If we have a property with a high occupancy and very few lease expirations, it gives us the chance to actually push rents on those renewals and on any new lease that we're quoting.

Nick Joseph
Analyst, Citigroup

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Neil Malkin from Capital One. Sir, your line is open.

Neil Malkin
Analyst, Capital One

Thank you, guys. Good morning.

Scott Schaeffer
CEO, Independence Realty Trust

Morning, Neil.

Farrell Ender
President, Independence Realty Trust

Morning.

Neil Malkin
Analyst, Capital One

First question. Can you just maybe talk about the difference in dynamics or strength on the ground at the five properties you restarted versus six that you didn't yet, that are still pushed out, and what you need to see to get that going again?

Farrell Ender
President, Independence Realty Trust

Yeah. The five that we paused is really a supply issue where we were building up inventory heading into leasing season. As we know, leasing season got pushed. When we saw in March and April that we had, again, decent inventory without a lot of traffic, we paused them until we saw that demand, which started to pick up, and that enabled us to restart those. The other six, we are ready to go. Just with all the uncertainty in the market, we think it's prudent to just wait and see how the next couple of months look, and then we'll be ready to go.

Neil Malkin
Analyst, Capital One

No, sure. I think some of the markets that you've still delayed, I think they're in markets you're currently active in terms of renovation. I guess, do you just have less confidence in your ability to get those rent bumps in the six versus the five that are restarted? Is that a fair assumption?

Scott Schaeffer
CEO, Independence Realty Trust

No.

Neil Malkin
Analyst, Capital One

Are you-

Scott Schaeffer
CEO, Independence Realty Trust

This is Scott. I don't think that's really the main issue. For us, it's that there still seems to be some uncertainty in the market, appropriately so. To start renovating the property or the units in the properties will put pressure on occupancy. All things being equal today, we're in a good place. However, if we start seeing the economy shut down again and traffic starts to slow, we don't want to have built up an inventory of renovated units and then just sit on them because we don't have the new lease opportunities coming in. As we see how things progress over the next 90 days, we'll be better able to make a decision on traffic going forward and demand. It'll give us a clear picture of whether or not we should start these renovations or not. Because the renovations, there's no question, it puts downward pressure on occupancy. We want to make sure there's good traffic and demand before we do that.

Neil Malkin
Analyst, Capital One

Okay. Great. Then I was wondering, in your markets, as we've seen the Sun Belt see a rise in COVID cases earlier this month, if you're seeing any notable impacts in terms of traffic, et cetera. Then also for existing tenants or residents, have you seen more people come to you, requesting a rent deferral just as a $600 a week federal supplement is set to expire at the end of the month?

Scott Schaeffer
CEO, Independence Realty Trust

We haven't, although August rents aren't due until Saturday. We'll have a more clear picture of that in the first couple of weeks of August. I do expect the government to get something done. However, it might be a little delayed, but I can't imagine that they won't get some sort of stimulus done. As far as the hotspots, I will tell you that we only have one employee today out of 500 that is quarantining. Even though some of our properties in Florida and in Texas, which are two of the hotspots, and you've heard about North Carolina, we are not seeing it within our staff. We are not seeing it within our residents. We're hopeful that will continue. We've known or we hear that in Florida, which is now the number one state for the infections, it's really mostly on the East Coast. We're on the West Coast. In Texas, it's been a lot in Houston and we're not in Houston, we're in Dallas. Even though things are reported as the state as a whole, we're confident that we're not in the specific area where most of the hotspot is happening.

Neil Malkin
Analyst, Capital One

Okay, great. The last one for me, I think something that Nick or Austin mentioned, you do have that remaining forward in your pocket, I guess you could say. I think the value add market has been impacted more than the maybe stabilized or core A market. Are you seeing that kind of play out or maybe a source of opportunity in terms of lower buyer pool or pricing and maybe if you could comment at all on would that be a trade you're willing to make issuing that later in the year and potentially getting some value add communities?

Farrell Ender
President, Independence Realty Trust

Well, I do agree with you. We think there will be some opportunity with everything in the past three years has been marketed as a value add, even if it's a two-year-old product. I do think there'll be some opportunity there where people haven't been effective on their value add, or haven't achieved the rents that they thought they were going to. It hasn't presented itself yet. I do think over the course of the.