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Wells Fargo 20th Annual Healthcare Conference 2025

Sep 3, 2025

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

All right. It's almost good afternoon. It's kind of cusp. I'm Larry Biegelsen, the medical device analyst at Wells Fargo, and I'm thrilled to have Tim Schmid as our keynote speaker today. I should also welcome everybody here to the 2025 Wells Fargo Healthcare Conference. Thank you for making the trip. So back to our keynote speaker. Tim is the Executive Vice President and Worldwide Chairman of J&J MedTech, which is one of the world's largest medical technology companies with annual sales of $32 billion. Tim's been with J&J for over 30 years and served in leadership positions across multiple multi-billion dollar businesses across the globe. Most recently, Tim was Company Group Chairman of J&J MedTech Asia Pacific. The format today will be moderated Q&A.

I'm planning to spend the first part of the discussion on industry topics and the other half on medical J&J MedTech specific topics. So, Tim, thanks so much for agreeing to be our keynote speaker today.

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

My pleasure, Larry. Thanks for being here, and good afternoon, everyone.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

So let's jump in with the industry topics. Tim, talk about the state of the med tech industry today. I think you said you expect sector growth at 5%-7% at your last investor day in 2023. Is that still the case?

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

Sure, Larry. And let me maybe just start with the big picture. You know, we are very fortunate to work in a highly attractive industry. The medical technology sector is roughly $500 billion in sales, and certainly it's not going away. It's being driven by aging populations, greater access to healthcare, and to a new technology that, frankly, is making a lot of surgical and other medical procedures easier for many physicians to do. And so it's an attractive industry. While many people think that J&J originally was a consumer products company, few understand that we started 140 years ago as a surgery business in New Brunswick, New Jersey. That's the basis of J&J. It is our legacy, and certainly it is our future today. As Larry mentioned, we're roughly a $32 billion business. We have market leadership positions in the majority of categories that we participate.

We have 12 businesses with annual sales in excess of $1 billion. Shortly, we will announce the 13th, which is the acquisition and addition of Shockwave to our portfolio. As we look forward, we certainly are excited and encouraged by the recent performance that we've driven. Larry, to answer your question, we are very confident that that rough end market range of 5%-7% is stable. Our expectation and commitment is to grow at the upper range end of that range. What's driving that is really continued portfolio renewal, and really doubling down on parts of our portfolio where we believe we have a right to win and growing in categories that really offer the greatest unmet need and growth and margin profile for Johnson & Johnson.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

That's helpful. So innovation is the lifeblood of the industry. How would you assess the state of innovation in the industry? And what are some of the key areas you're most excited about, either ones that J&J participates in today or ones that you're just monitoring?

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

Larry, I think we are on the cusp of an absolute explosion of innovation. It shouldn't surprise any of you what's driving that. New advances in technology, whether that be AI or robotics, or the demand from customers for personalization of care is really changing the game for our business and certainly for the industries from individual single-use devices to highly connected and smarter devices, less invasive devices. So I think it is. We're gonna see more innovation that really changes lives over the next 10 years than I think we've seen in the last 20-30. When you think about how we view innovation, there's two aspects. Clearly, there's internal R&D. Last year, we invested roughly $3.7 billion in R&D, especially in high-growth businesses like cardiovascular, like digital surgery, as well as vision.

And then, of course, we've been fortunate to leverage the power of Johnson & Johnson's balance sheet and credit rating to make some sizable investments. In fact, over the last couple of years, north of $30 billion invested on really getting into the most exciting and high-growth aspects of med tech such as cardiovascular with the acquisition of Abiomed and Shockwave. And so certainly we'll continue to build our presence in that area given its size, $60 billion segment within med tech growing roughly 8% annually. And so, we see that as certainly an area where we'll continue to double down. At the same time, we've got a big business, and we will look to place our bets on those that we believe will provide best return.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

That's helpful. So let's talk about the policy environment. Talk about some of the changes at the FDA and CMS, et cetera. Have you seen any impact on new product review times, approval timelines, access to healthcare, et cetera?

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

Larry, no doubt it's a dynamic time, but frankly, we've been quite encouraged by the openness of the FDA to collaborate with industry. Now, we think that certainly continued modernization of the capabilities of the FDA, streamlining some of the processes for approvals are tremendous opportunities, and those are on the agenda of the administration. We do think that continuity of leadership and deep clinical expertise is essential, you know, for a high-performing FDA. Even with the recent you know, staff changes, we've been surprised and actually grateful for the fact that we have not seen a significant amount of disruption to approval times or anything of that nature. We're also very confident in the current leadership of CDRH, which is the version of FDA that oversees medical technology.

We think that we've got a leadership team that is very committed to ensuring both fast and appropriate approvals, but also, you know, keeping the safety of patients in mind. The last thing I'd say is that we're also encouraged by recent authorization on the update to MDUFA, which is an important policy whereby industry provides and supports user fees to ensure the continued rapid approval of appropriate medical technologies. And so, so far, so good. And, you know, I know it's a dynamic space across certainly this market, but we've been encouraged by the administration's openness to engage. And why are they engaging with us? It's because, you know, med tech as an industry is a U.S.-grown industry. We have positions and products in almost every single operating room around the world.

I don't think the administration wants to do anything to disrupt an industry that, frankly, is homegrown here in the U.S. and is a significant contributor to economic growth.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

That's helpful. There is some concern among investors that the expiration of the ACA exchange subsidies and the Medicaid cuts in the one big, beautiful bill could reduce the number of covered lives in the U.S. next year and in 2027 by a significant number. How are you thinking about the potential impact of this on procedure volume?

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

Yeah, let me start with that first aspect of the one big, beautiful bill, and that is the potential change and impact on Medicare payments. It's only two months old, and actually, if you look at the provisions within the bill, many of those aspects that could impact Medicaid only come into play over the next three years, and so our early assessment, and once again, it is early days, Larry, is that we do not expect a material impact to our industry or our business on the back of those changes, given that we're not highly reliant on Medicaid, and so for us, it's not a major concern at this time.

I think it's important to draw attention to, while that created a lot of, a lot of noise around the one big, beautiful bill, there are many aspects of that bill that are very attractive to Johnson & Johnson and to our industry. In fact, our ability to make the recent commitment we made of $55 billion over the next four years, which, by the way, is a 25% increase over the prior four years, was the fact that many provisions within that bill are very attractive to big American companies like us, like us doubling down here in the U.S. Things like our ability to expense R&D investments here in the U.S., and it didn't just start with the one big, beautiful bill.

In fact, changes that happened in the first Trump administration, 2017, with the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, you know, already created an environment for us to really continue to focus on building our presence here in the United States, and that's exactly what we're doing.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

That's helpful. That's helpful. Tim, China's obviously been volatile in recent years, and it's been a growth headwind for J&J MedTech and some of your peers, most of your peers.

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

Yeah.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

What are you seeing on the ground today? And how do companies like J&J continue to operate in that environment?

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

You know, it's dynamic. Larry, I spent the last almost six years of my career before stepping into this role out in Asia. And listen, you know, there are tremendous opportunities and there are tremendous challenges. And we've been fortunate to mostly benefit from the opportunities. You know, today we're the largest med tech company in China. We've been there for almost three decades. There is an insatiable demand for healthcare and for technology. And frankly, there's investment in healthcare, which we think is tremendous. And so by no means are we stepping away from China. We've got a tremendous presence and set of capabilities in China. We're increasingly localizing our capabilities. And we've got a responsibility, frankly, to many physicians and millions of patients that we've built over many decades. Now, the impact of volume-based procurement has been profound for our industry.

At the same time, we're working through that. We expect that China will continue to be a headwind for this year and for 2026. But beyond that, we still see it as an attractive market, just given its size and its scale and the investment in healthcare. Just to put it in context, while this is a bigger proportion of our med tech business, for J&J, only 5% of our sales globally are from China. And so I do think it really talks to the scale of, and the presence we have around the world that allows us to weather, you know, challenges that we're facing in China today. And even in our med tech business, we grew 6% last year, 6.1% in the second quarter, even with that headwind from one of our most important markets.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

That's helpful. So let's transition to J&J-specific questions. Starting at a high level, when Joaquin Duato became J&J's CEO a few years ago, he said that driving the med tech business to become a best-in-class performer was a top priority for him. Where do you think the business is on that pathway today?

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

Yeah, and there's no doubt it is a significant focus for our company. And frankly, Joaquin has put his reputation on the line. And so I couldn't be more grateful for the support that this industry and this sector gets, you know, from him. And let me tell you where it started. You know, if you look back at our performance in med tech, while we are one of the largest, if you look at our performance prior to the med tech, we were growing prior to the pandemic, we were growing close to 2%, Larry. And that was driven by the fact that the majority of our portfolio, while large, participated in lower growth markets. We have been on a tear over the last five years to address that.

In fact, in 2018, about 20% of our portfolio participated in high-growth markets, so north of 5%. Today, it's close to 50%. How have we done that? We've divested. In fact, we've generated about $5 billion of cash over the last seven years in divesting of businesses that don't meet our strategic priorities or we think would fare better in the hands of others. And of course, adding to the portfolio, doubling down on the highest growth category within med tech, being cardiovascular, with massive acquisitions, both starting with Abiomed and Shockwave. And so today, about 50% of our portfolio is in markets growing north of 5%. And you've seen that reflected in our results. And so the first one has been changing the portfolio. And by the way, we're not done. Our goal is to be best in class, not just the largest, best in class.

And so that's the first one. The second one is we've made significant changes to our operating model. In fact, over the last 18 months, we've moved 35,000, there are roughly 70,000 people in med tech into individual business units, moving away from a highly centralized management structure to more decentralized. And why have we done that? Because each business within med tech is unique. Specialization really matters to our customers. And allowing our businesses to move at speed and with greater efficiency to serve customers, we think is essential. And we're already seeing the benefits of that. And so those two drivers, Larry, both in terms of shifting the portfolio and driving a more efficient and effective and faster organization, we think are essential. And we're proud of the progress, but certainly more to do.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

So, Tim, you set a goal of growing at the high end of that 5%-7% market growth for J&J MedTech. On the Q2 call, you talked about being very confident in reaching the high end, you know, between, I think, the 2022 to 2027.

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

2027. Yeah.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

I guess my question is, you know, do you think you can achieve that organically? If I look at kind of the first half, you know, growth was about 5% constant currency adjusted operational, which is your definition of organic. Can you still grow at the 5%-7%, to high end of 5%-7% organically, or do you need to supplement that?

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

We'll continue to review the portfolio, both looking at businesses that we need to cull as well as businesses that we want to add to the portfolio. To be clear, Larry, when we stood up at our EBR in late 2023, we committed to that 5%-7% over 2022-2027 operationally, inclusive of everything. We're very confident that we will deliver against that. You'll know that we had a softer first quarter, which I'm sure we'll get into talking about a little later, but a really nice rebound in the second. We made firm commitments in the second quarter that you will see acceleration, H2 versus H1. We're very confident that that is exactly what's going to happen. We remain committed to that commitment of 5%-7% at the upper range over that period.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Okay, well, you preempted my next question, which was how you're thinking about the second half of the year for J&J MedTech relative to the first half. Maybe I'll add the second part, which is any early color on just puts and takes for next year.

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

You know, I won't give a lot of guidance for 2026, given where we are in the year, other than to commit to that range that we mentioned earlier but why I feel confident in stronger performance in the back half is very clear. Firstly, you know, we had a bit of a stop-start on our electrophysiology business within the cardiovascular business unit in the first quarter. We saw tremendous growth in the second half, in the second quarter. In fact, 9% sequential growth Q1 versus Q2 with acceleration in the quarter. We are absolutely back with PFA and an EP, and we are not backing down. We are by far and away the worldwide market leader in that space, and our expectation is you will see continued performance there. That's number one. Obviously, we have the new acquisitions of Abiomed and Shockwave.

The portfolios continue to grow. Tremendous new evidence around the benefits of those technologies, both double-digit businesses. Shockwave, as I mentioned earlier, will be our $13 billion platform. We saw 22% growth in the second quarter in cardiovascular, and so we do think that's going to be a tremendous growth driver for the future. We've seen strong, stable growth in our surgery business driven by biosurgery, as well as our wound closure businesses, both growing about 7%. Even with the competition from surgical robotics, we're seeing robust growth in one of our largest and most profitable businesses. Vision is absolutely on a tear. We had a challenging 2024 due to some portfolio gaps as well as some capacity challenges.

Our contact lens business continues to grow, especially with the launch, recent launch of the ACUVUE OASYS MAX 1-Day, which is the first and only disposable contact lens for patients suffering with astigmatism and presbyopia. And then I think you've seen the resurgence of our IOL business, which is by far and away the fastest growing premium IOL business, where we are taking a significant share in Asia, in Europe, and most importantly, here in the U.S., on the back of the success of our Odyssey launches. We do have opportunity. Being given the portfolio we have, there's always opportunities, Larry. Our ortho business was a little soft in the first two quarters, better in second quarter, and we see improvement there also on the back of tremendous innovation.

And so very confident in what we communicated in the second quarter and that the second half will be better.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

That's very helpful. Before jumping into the individual businesses, let me ask you how you're feeling about the J&J MedTech portfolio today. You've participated in other areas in the past, such as diabetes and diagnostics, which you exited. Could we see you either enter new areas, white spaces, or exit from existing ones in the future?

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

Absolutely, Larry. And I think, I mean, it's why I think J&J has stood the test of time. And we've made some difficult decisions over our history, most notably in 2023, when we exited the consumer products business and spun out Kenvue. And within MedTech alone, as I mentioned earlier, last seven years, we've generated $5 billion by divesting of businesses that we think will perform better elsewhere. The most recent example of that was our Acclarent business, which was an ENT. We divested of that in the second quarter of last year. We are constantly looking at adding to our portfolio, as we have with Abiomed and Shockwave, V-Wave, Laminar, and others, as well as continuing to look at businesses that will perform elsewhere. Obviously, I won't divulge what those plans are, but expect continued evolution of our portfolio.

And why that is so essential is getting that percentage of businesses growing north of 5% above the 50% that it is today. To get the best in class as a med tech company, we think we need to be north of 60%. And so we will be very aggressive in looking to achieve that.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

So I think I heard you. Let's move on to cardiovascular. You've touched upon it a few times today.

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

Yeah.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

I think I even heard you say maybe doubling down there earlier, but if I look at a high level, your cardiovascular business, you're number one in many areas you participate in, but you're number four overall after Medtronic, Boston, Abbott, which is unusual for J&J. If I look at ortho and other surgery, other areas, you're number one in vision, et cetera. This is a space where I think contracting across service lines and the presence in the cath lab tends to be important, so how important is it to you to be kind of number one or number two in cardiovascular devices overall? Or is it just, is it more important to just be number one in the subsectors you participate in, or to number two?

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

Larry, it's a great question. And there's one thing I have learned. You guys don't reward us for size, right? You reward us for performance. And so our goal isn't necessarily to be number one in an entire category like cardiovascular, which is by far the biggest $60 billion category. Our goal is to be number one in the businesses that we participate. And that's frankly what I've seen you reward. And so, no, we're not going up to number one or number two, but we certainly want to be number one in the areas we've participated. If you look back prior to the acquisition of Abiomed and Shockwave Medical, we were actually number six, Larry, not number four. Only had presence in EP. We made a specific decision to lead in heart failure with Abiomed, which has been an absolute home run.

And then we built on, we bolted on Shockwave, which drove our presence deeper into interventional cardiology, allowed us to play in coronary artery disease and peripheral artery disease. And so we're certainly increasing our tentacles within cardiovascular, but we're being very deliberate around not just participating, but leading. And if you actually look at the decisions to acquire Abiomed and Shockwave, these are two categories north of $1 billion growing strong double-digit, where we have no competition today. We are creating those categories in the same way we did our EP business. And so we think that's the winning formula. Will we look at other opportunities in cardiovascular? Most likely. At the same time today, our focus is really actively integrating those businesses. They're big acquisitions. It's not easy, but I can confidently say that we are delivering results ahead of our deal expectations.

And we believe that those are going to be annuity growth businesses for the next couple of decades.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

So, Tim, how are you thinking about the evolution of the cardiovascular device business going forward? And specifically within cardiovascular, structural hearts, one of the fastest growing areas. Do you feel it's important to participate in this area at some point?

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

You know, obviously, those have been, there've been a fair amount of rumors out there, and I'm not going to comment on those at all. You know, we constantly look at opportunities across our entire portfolio, not only in cardiovascular, for where we can lead. You know, and we typically have a very simple formula, but an effective formula to how we assess these opportunities. Number one, it starts with strategic, sorry, scientific. Is there a significant unmet patient need, and does the company have a technology that can really address that? That's the first one. The second one is strategic. Do we have a right to win? So is it an adjacent business? Do we have capabilities we can leverage, just like we did with Abiomed and Shockwave? You know, and then the third one is financials.

Is it going to deliver the returns that you, and certainly we expect at J&J? And that's really the philosophy we'll follow. You know, our goal is to participate in areas of high growth, high margin, and where we can win.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

That's helpful. Let's, before moving on to surgery, address your EP business. I heard your comments earlier. I mean, it sounds like you feel like you've turned the corner there. How should we think about your EP growth going forward? And do you feel your internal pipeline will get you back to market growth? And in the past, the hallmark of Biosense Webster was actually you were the market leader and you would outgrow the market, which is pretty unusual.

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

It is.A nd that comes from 20 years of commitment to building that space and the science within it. Do we think that we are at an inflection or turning point? Absolutely, Larry. I think you know that for good reason. We decided to halt the launch of our VARIPULSE technology here in the U.S. in the first quarter, which was painful, but clearly the right decision for patients, most importantly. When you look at the growth of that business through the second quarter, we are absolutely back. Rest assured that while we are not the market leader in PFA today, we are by far and away the market leader across electrophysiology. The winning formula in electrophysiology isn't just a new catheter, a new PFA catheter. It's three components.

And this is what builds our confidence around why we can continue to win. Number one, it is a full portfolio of catheters, both RF and PFA. RF is not going away for those complex cases. PFA is certainly becoming the dominant modality. And what you need is a full portfolio of PFA catheters. We started with VARIPULSE. And by the way, there are no safety concerns with VARIPULSE. And that was a concern around the halting of the launch here in the U.S. We've done 15,000 cases. We have a neurovascular event rate of below 0.5%, which is industry benchmark. We had a study coming out of the European Society of Cardiology last week, 800 patients in Europe, zero strokes, right? And so we know we've got a highly effective, safe product that continues to perform.

Clearly you can see that in our second quarter results, and you'll see that through the remainder of the year. We're adding a dual-energy device, already doing cases in Europe. We have CE Mark approval. Think about a catheter that allows a physician to both use PFA and RF technology depending on what they need in the same procedure. We think that's going to be a home run. We have a product called OMNPULSE under development, which is a large-tip focal catheter. And so building out the portfolio of catheters, we think, is the first one. The second one is mapping. And I know you've heard me talk about this at nauseam, Larry, but mapping is the gateway to electrophysiology.

The ability for an EP to be able to see where they're navigating in the confines of the heart to make sure that they're ablating in the right spot really matters, and even today, where we're not leading in PFA cases in the United States, we map the majority of cases. Why do we do that? Because physicians trust that we have the best mapping system with CARTO, and by the way, we still make money. The economics come from the catheters. They come from the CARTO system or whatever mapping system's being used, and the ultrasound and navigation catheters where we also lead, so mapping, we believe, is essential, and we'll continue to invest in CARTO to make sure we stay ahead there, and then the third one, which a lot of people don't quite understand, is the importance of service in the cath lab.

If you go into any EP lab, it won't be just the electrophysiologist in there and their staff. It is a Johnson & Johnson mapper. We have 5,000 of them around the world who are an essential part of the provision of care, highly trained technical mappers who are helping those physicians deliver the best outcomes. And so for those reasons alone, Larry, we are confident that we will maintain our leadership position over the long term. We still have work to do to catch up on PFA, but we are in the early innings. And rest assured that we are not going away.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

That's helpful. So let's transition to surgery now. You've been growing arguably, you know, below market recently because of competition from Robotics and China VBP, which you mentioned earlier. What's the near-term outlook for surgery before we get into the OTTAVA question?

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

Yeah. I mean, firstly, I know there's a lot of excitement around surgical robotics, and I'm going to touch on that because it's exciting for us as well. But you've got to remember that we are still the largest company in the space of surgery. And surgery has three components to it. It has open procedures, which are still prolific around the world, laparoscopic procedures, and robotics. We lead in open as well as in laparoscopic procedures. We have two multi-billion-dollar businesses in surgery, both in biosurgery as well as our wound closure business, one of the oldest J&J business, growing 7%, both of them growing 7% in the second quarter. So highly profitable multi-billion-dollar large businesses there.

We are seeing competition on some of our instruments, specifically with in endocutters as well as energy, mainly on the back of the advent of surgical robotics. But we're confident that we're going to be a player there. We're not going to be number one overnight, but we certainly believe that there is lots of room for competition in the surgical robotic space. There are 300 million procedures done across the world every year. Less than 6% of them are done robotically. Over time, given the benefits of robotic surgery, the growing evidence base about the reduction of variability of procedures, over time, the majority of procedures will be done robotically. Not all with sophisticated robots, but we believe that it is a place that is so ripe for disruption.

There is not a physician or a healthcare system CEO on the planet that isn't looking for competition here. Clearly, our, you know, the predecessor has been very dominant and clearly very effective, and it will take time. But, we are confident that what we have with OTTAVA, which is truly a unique offering within surgical robotics, is going to be a, a home run. And it will not only be, it will not be the only investment we make in surgical robotics because we believe that is a, a growing opportunity for the future. Last thing I'd say on, on OTTAVA, as we've mentioned, we're currently in the clinical trials. We're doing cases as we speak, and, we expect to conclude that work and submit for approval in the first quarter of 2026.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

That's helpful. A couple of follow-ups on OTTAVA. One is I thought you made a bold decision to skip the feasibility arm and go directly to a U.S. IDE. I guess is there , it sounds like you're happy with how things are progressing, based on the comments you made today and on the Q2 call, and I think at SRS as well.

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

Yeah.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Just want to confirm that. And, and how are you feeling about kind of your ability to be at least, let's just say number two after Intuitive Surgical? What's the goal? What, what do you think is a reasonable goal for you to have in soft tissue robotics over time?

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

Well,certainly our expectation is not to be a distant third or fourth. We are very confident that we can be a solid number two. It will take, it takes time, right? These are very different businesses, installing capital, which they're not giving away. It takes time, Larry. But we believe we have an offering that will absolutely compete. Otherwise, we wouldn't be doing this, right? When I think about the benefits of our system, and it's really the unique architecture, it's the only system where if you walked into a lab, you wouldn't even know that it was a robot. The arms come from outside, from underneath the bed. Why do physicians and clinical staff like that? Because it's a smaller real estate within the operating room, less booms and carts coming in.

It has twin motion, the opportunity for the bed as well as the arms to move simultaneously, which is really important in complex cases. And finally, what surgeons are asking for is, give me those best-in-class Ethicon instruments on a robot. We'll be the only company that can do that. The final thing I'll say, and I know you heard me talk about this at SRS, Larry, is I'd urge everyone to think about robotics, not just about the robot itself. Over time, we expect that the robot will become table stakes. The real benefit is actually the leveraging of data. 300, imagine 300 million cases around the world and what data can be extracted from those procedures that allow then us to provide real-time feedback to physicians while in the procedures or for subsequent procedures to improve their performance. That really is the value.

Think about the iPhone you have. Yes, we love the fact that it's a phone and all the rest of it, but it's actually the ecosystem that Apple provides around it that really creates the value, the access to connectivity and the apps and the entire ecosystem. That is where we believe the future, that's the future of surgical robotics. Yes, having a robot is important, but it's really leveraging that data and connectivity, which we believe is really going to make a difference for patients. And for us, that's Polyphonic. When we launch OTTAVA, it will come with an open, not a closed, an open digital ecosystem that allows many folks to innovate on our platform.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

That's super helpful. Thank you. Okay. Ortho. You touched upon it earlier.

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

Yeah.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

That's one business where the performance has been a little bit challenged. Second quarter improved over first quarter. What do you need to do to drive J&J's ortho growth closer to the market growth rate of, call it 3%-4%? And one additional question there for you. If I look at the kind of hip and knee market in the second quarter, it did slow. To give you credit, you talked about the backlog from COVID being exhausted second half last year.

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

Yeah.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

I think you called it right. You were first. But we did see a pretty big deceleration in the second quarter. So how are you thinking about J&J's ortho business going forward, which was close to flattish, I think, in the second quarter, right?

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

Yeah.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

And how are you thinking about just the overall market?

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

Yeah. And Larry, no doubt we need to do better. We need to do better here, right? And in such a big portfolio, there's always going to be opportunities, and this is certainly one of our most important ones. Just to put the results of the first half in context, one of the factors certainly was the fact that we had a tough competitor with the backlog from the first half of 2024. The second one is I'd remind everyone that we had the ortho restructuring program, which also impacted our sales. And then the third one, frankly, in all transparency, was tough competition, right? When I look at the second quarter, it was better than the first, and I'm very confident you're going to see increases, improvements through the third and fourth quarter. Why is that? It is all about innovation.

Frankly, our competitors in certain spots have done better than we have. When I look at ortho alone, we had 18 510(k) approvals in 2024, 40 outside of the U.S. We have a dearth of innovation coming into the space that we will, we certainly expect will, will continue to prop up our results. We have our VOLT plating system. We are number one global in the trauma space, new plating system, which is, which we believe is going to be an absolute game changer in our spine business, which has been a bit of a laggard. We're just launching our VELYS Spine robot as well as our TriALTIS thoracolumbar system. Specific to your question in hips and knees, Larry, we're addressing some of the portfolio gaps with the Uni VELYS knee system, which we've launched in the U.S.

We had another gap with the ATTUNE revision hinge, which we're launching in the back half of the year. And finally, we have our KINCISE 2.0, which is the only impactor used in orthopedic procedures, both hip and knee, that with an indication for both of those procedures. And so we believe that combination of implants with digital technology will continue to drive our performance. And so.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Any concerns about the underlying market and procedure volume?

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

Not really. I mean, Larry, we're still trying to better understand that we've seen a bit of a slowdown of revision procedures, and we think that probably relates to the fact that we're seeing less variability and better outcomes, which is great for patients, but not really. I do think that, you know, the movement of procedures into the ASC channel is continued to be a tremendous growth drive, and we think we're well positioned there, so no, no, no cause for concern from our perspective at this point in time.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

And the last category we didn't talk about was vision care. You made some positive comments on, you know, the momentum in that business, particularly on the surgical side with your IOLs. Just how are you thinking about kind of, it sounds like you're pretty confident that that business is going to be at least a mid-single digit grower going forward.

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

I mean, today, you know, we're not the largest eye care business, and our intention isn't necessarily to be the largest. We want to be the best performing in the categories that we just started to participate. We are by far and away, by far and away the worldwide market leaders in contact lens with ACUVUE, one of the most prolific Johnson & Johnson brands. We had a challenging 2024 on the back of some capacity and product gaps last year. We've addressed those, and we're seeing continued performance improvements as well as share gains both outside of the U.S. and in the U.S. on some of those changes. And so, and by the way, this is by far and away the most profitable eye care business in the industry.

If we can continue to deliver those strong single-digit numbers, mid-single-digit numbers, we believe that's success. The other aspect I'd mention is, you know, when we make an acquisition, our goal is to make sure that it delivers. We had a bit of a stop-start with the AMO acquisition. We believe that we've addressed those concerns. If you look at the results of our surgical vision business, two consecutive quarters of growth here in the U.S., 9% growth in the second quarter, and accelerating on the back of incredible innovations with the best premium-selling IOLs with TECNIS Odyssey, as well as PureSee outside of the U.S., we believe that one is going to be a tremendous growth driver for our vision business.

Vision tends to be one of the smaller businesses, roughly $5-6 billion in sales, but absolutely critical for our future.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Look, $5 or $6 billion is big for most companies.

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

We're fortunate.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

The cataract market was soft in the first half of the year. Any idea why or any and when that rebounds?

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

Yeah, Larry, we saw some of that, but not in, you know, these, especially the contact lens business that in certain markets is more susceptible to macroeconomic challenges. It's a cash pay business in certain markets. A little bit of softness there, but nothing that we're concerned about right now. And, you know, continuous, robust growth, especially in the markets that matter the most, places especially like the United States. And so we saw some of that, but not data that we would suggest as a trend at this point.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Last question. What's underappreciated about J&J MedTech that we didn't cover?

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

I think, firstly, we appreciate the fact that our performance is being recognized. When we look at the performance across Johnson & Johnson in the second quarter and seeing both of our businesses, in Innovative Medicine as well as MedTech perform better than expected, and you've seen the performance of our stock since then. And so we think that that is, you know, hopefully a vote of confidence, and our expectation is to build on that. You know, I think, Larry, also, you know, I think it is being recognized now, but where we came from being a slower, large slow growth business to now being more competitive, roughly 6% last year, 6.1% in the second quarter, we're not done, right?

When we look at the leadership positions we have in the highest growth areas with the greatest unmet need as we build in cardiovascular, as we bring OTTAVA to market in surgery, as we build on our vision business, we believe that position for better performance. We wouldn't say we're best in class yet, Larry, but that is certainly the expectation, and that is our plan to deliver.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Perfect. Tim, thank you so much for being here. Really appreciate it.

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

You're welcome. Thank you.

Lawrence Biegelsen
Senior Medical Device Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Thank you so much.

Tim Schmid
EVP and Worldwide Chairman, MedTech Johnson & Johnson

Appreciate it. Thank you.

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