Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call.
All participants will be in listen only mode until the question and
answer session of the conference.
This call is being recorded.
If anyone has any objections, you may disconnect at this time.
I would now like to turn the conference call over to Johnson and Johnson. You may begin.
Good morning. This is Chris Doolorfas, Vice President of Investor Relations for Johnson and Johnson. Welcome to our company's review of business results for the Q1 and our updated financial outlook for 2021. Joining me on today's call is Joe Wolk, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer also joining Joe and myself during the Q and A portion of the call Will be Alex Gorski, Chairman of the Board of Directors and Chief Executive Officer Joaquin Duado, Vice Chairman of the Executive Committee Doctor. Paul Stoffels, Vice Chairman of the Executive Committee and Chief Scientific Officer.
A few logistics before we get into the details. This review is being made available via webcast, accessible through the Investor Relations section of the Johnson and Johnson website at investor. Jnj.com, where you can also find additional materials, including today's presentation and associated schedules. Please note that today's presentation includes forward looking statements. We encourage you to review the cautionary statement included in today's presentation, which identifies certain risks and factors that may cause the company's actual results to differ materially from those projected.
In particular, there is uncertainty about the duration and contemplated impact of the COVID-nineteen pandemic. This means that the results could change at any time The contemplated impact of COVID-nineteen on the company's business results and outlook is a best estimate based on the information available as of today's date. A further description of these risks, uncertainties and other factors can be found in our SEC filings, including our 2020 Form 10 ks, Along with reconciliations of the non GAAP financial measures utilized for today's discussion to the most comparable GAAP measures are also available at investor. Jnj.com. Several of the products and compounds discussed today are being developed in collaboration with strategic partners or licensed from other companies.
This slide acknowledges those relationships. Moving to today's agenda. I will review 1st quarter sales and P and L results for the corporation and the 3 business segments. Joe will provide insights about our cash position, capital allocation deployment and will spend some time on 2021 qualitative commentary and will outline our updated guidance for 2021. The remaining time will be available for your questions.
We anticipate the webcast will last up to 75 minutes. Now let's move to the Q1 results. Worldwide sales were $22,300,000,000 for the Q1 of 2021, an increase of 7.9% versus the Q1 for 2020. Operational sales growth, which excludes the effect of translational currency, increased 5.5% As currency had a positive impact of 2.4 points. In the U.
S, sales increased 3.9%. In regions outside the U. S, our reported growth was 12.2%. Operational sales growth outside the U. S.
With 7.3% with currency positively impacting our reported OUS results by 4.9 points. Excluding the net impact of acquisitions and divestitures, adjusted operational sales growth was 6% worldwide, 3.9% in the U. S. And 8.2% outside the U. S.
Turning now to earnings. For the quarter, Net earnings were $6,200,000,000 and diluted earnings per share was $2.32 versus diluted earnings per share of $2.17 a year ago. Excluding after tax intangible asset amortization expense And special items for both periods, adjusted net earnings for the quarter were $6,900,000,000 And adjusted diluted earnings per share was $2.59 representing increases of 12.5% and 12.6% respectively compared to the Q1 of 2020. On an operational basis, The adjusted diluted earnings per share increased 8.3%. I will now comment on business segment sales performance, highlighting items to build upon the slides you have in front of you.
Unless otherwise stated, percentages quoted represent the operational sales change in comparison to the Q1 of 2020 and therefore exclude the impact of currency translation. Beginning with consumer health, worldwide consumer health sales totaled $3,500,000,000 and declined 3.3% With declines in the U. S. Of 7.4% and modest growth of 0.5% outside of the U. S, The consumer health results reflect negative comparisons due to prior year pantry loading and increased COVID-nineteen demand, particularly in over the counter medicines, excluding the prior year COVID-nineteen comparison, the Consumer Health segment grew low single digits in the quarter.
Over the counter medicines declined 14.8%. Globally, results were negatively impacted By the prior year comparisons I previously mentioned, coupled with continued impacts of social distancing restrictions resulting in lower cough, cold and flu incidences. Partially offsetting declines were U. S. Share gains primarily in Tylenol, ZYRTEC And Pepcid as well as strong performance of Nicorette outside the U.
S. The Skin Health Beauty franchise grew by 5% from continued growth of Listerine mouthwash due to category growth And strong promotions, partially offset by divestitures. Worldwide growth, excluding divestitures, was approximately 8%. Additionally, the Baby Care franchise grew by 9.5% as a result of strength in Johnson's outside the U. S, primarily in the Latin America Moving on to our Pharmaceutical segment.
Worldwide Pharmaceutical sales of $12,200,000,000 grew 7.1% With strength in both the U. S. Increasing by 6.4% and OUS with sales increasing by 7.9%. Sales in the quarter included a small contribution in the U. S.
From Janssen's COVID-nineteen vaccine following its emergency use Authorization in February. Our strong portfolio of products and commercial capabilities continues to enable us to deliver Strong adjusted operational growth at above market levels with 7 key products realizing double digit growth in the 1st quarter. Our immunology therapeutic area delivered global sales growth of 5.5%, driven by strong double digit performance of STELARA And from Via, offset by continued declines in Rebikade due to biosimilar competition. STELARA continued to show strength in all regions, Growing at 15.4 percent driven by increased market growth and share gains. U.
S. Share increased roughly 4 points in Crohn's disease And nearly 10 points in ulcerative colitis, STELAR growth was partially offset by an unfavorable Comparison to a prior period pricing adjustment in Q1 2020 and an unfavorable comparison to increased sales In Q1 2020, resulting from COVID-nineteen related longer script durations in the U. S. And Europe. Tremfya grew 37.8 percent with strong double digit growth in both the U.
S. And OUS driven by share gains in psoriasis into the psoriatic arthritis indication that was approved in 2020. Our oncology portfolio delivered another strong quarter With worldwide growth of 14.6 percent DARZALEX continued its strong performance growing 42.2% Driven by share growth across all lines of therapy and increased penetration of the subcutaneous formulation in the U. S. And EU, DARZALEX continues to penetrate the frontline setting aided by recently approved line extensions that penetrate new patient populations Posting nearly 3 points of share growth in line 1 in the U.
S. This quarter. ERLEADA continued its global momentum with growth 79.7 percent in the quarter, driven by market share and penetration gains, especially in the metastatic indication. IMBRUVICA grew 5.6% globally with increased volume growth driven by our market leading share And increased persistency as patients extend the duration of therapy. However, this was partially offset by the market contraction due to temporary COVID-nineteen impacts on new patient starts.
Growth was also negatively impacted by one time items, Including the increased demand in Q1 of 2020 related to longer term script durations in anticipation of pandemic related restrictions and higher levels of clinical trial volume in the same quarter last year. Excluding the impact of these one time events, global growth for IMBRUVICA would have been double digits. In neuroscience, our palo Peridone long acting portfolio grew 6.9%, driven by market and share growth due to increased new patient starts and strong persistency. Cardiovascular Metabolism Other declined 4.1% this quarter, driven by continued biosimilar competition for PROCRIT And competitive pressures in INVOKANA, which was partially offset by growth of 11.7% in XARELTO, driven by continued demand and a one time favorable prior period pricing adjustment in the current quarter, which contributed over half of Xarelto's growth End of quarter. Lastly, our total pulmonary hypertension portfolio achieved strong growth of 13.7% With Ophthalmic growth of 13.5 percent and UPTRAVI growth of 20.9%, both driven by market penetration and share gains.
I'll now turn your attention to the Medical Devices segment. Worldwide Medical Devices sales were $6,600,000,000 growing 8%. Growth versus prior year was primarily driven by market recovery from procedures impacted by COVID-nineteen along with continued momentum driven by commercial initiatives and our recently launched new products that are further enhancing our competitiveness across several areas of the business. Additionally, selling days positively impacted worldwide growth by 190 basis points. We expect The full year impact from selling days, excluding the impact of the 53rd week in 2020 will be minimal.
While recovery dynamics continue to vary across procedure type and geography, our results reflect continued momentum With 9 of our 11 priority platforms delivering global growth in Q1 with 6 of these delivering double digit worldwide growth. As you consider regional dynamics, Asia Pacific was the 1st region to be impacted by COVID-nineteen and experienced the most significant sales declines in the Q1 last year. Asia Pacific realized strong market recovery, primarily in China against this low sales base from the prior year. So that coupled with our commercial efforts To expand into Tier 2 and Tier 3 hospitals in China resulted in strong double digit growth in this region. COVID-nineteen remains a dynamic variable in the U.
S. However, the market has been resilient and continues to recover, resulting in growth of 5.4% in the U. S. Sales declined in Europe and Latin America, where there continues to be a higher level of Looking at results for each of our platforms, Interventional Solutions delivered another quarter of strong double digit growth. Electrophysiology grew 25.7% in the quarter, primarily driven by recovery in the market, coupled with the strength of our broad based portfolio, focus on commercial execution and introduction of new products, Such as an update to our Cardo3 system and the Cardo Prime mapping module, which further enhanced our market position globally.
These new product introductions support improved mapping capabilities and reduced ablation times during atrial fibrillation procedures. Worldwide Orthopedics grew 1.2% versus the prior year with continued COVID-nineteen impacts on procedure recovery. Worldwide Trauma delivered growth of 9.5%, reflecting market recovery and success of our newer product position in the anterior approach and demand for the Actus Stem aided by our other enabling technologies in hip navigation. Knees declined 9.9% globally, primarily due to slower market recovery in these more deferrable procedures, In addition to some softness stemming from business mix dynamics, we are on track for commercialization of our Velas Robotic Assisted Solution for total knee procedures in the U. S.
We believe the combination of this launch along with our differentiated Velas digital solutions And a 2 knee platform, including cementless offerings, will enhance our portfolio and support improved performance as procedures continue to recover. Spine declined 0.6%, reflecting the continued impact of COVID-nineteen on this market coupled with some one time stocking reductions In China, resulting from the consolidation to a national distribution model worth about 2 50 basis points globally. The decline was partially offset by success of recently launched products such as Symphony, Conduit and Fibrograft as well as partnerships which further enhance our offerings such as the XPAC Expandable Cage. Advanced Surgery grew 14.3 And we will now begin the Q1 of 2019. Thank you, driven by market recovery and market share gains due to new product launches, globalization of our portfolio, including biosurgery's Surgiflow plus thrombin launch in Japan and commercial investments to expand our coverage in China.
In general surgery, wound closure grew 12% globally with growth of 6.6% in the U. S. And 15.7% OUS. Results were driven by recovery in the markets as well as continued strength of our market leading suture portfolio, including the STRATAFIX Barb Suture family. U.
S. Contact lens growth of 7.2% reflects the strength of our commercial execution and our market leading Acuvue portfolio, Including the recent launch of AccuView Oasis Multifocal Lenses, which were designed to provide clear vision at all distances, Channel inventory increases related to continued COVID-nineteen volatility in support of this new product launch contributed about 400 basis points to growth. Growth outside the U. S. Of 0.9 percent reflects slower market recovery in Japan and Europe.
Global Surgical Vision grew 11.2% due to a combination of recovery in both cataract and refractive procedures as well as continued strength of recent product introductions, including Technis Toric 2 and early success of Technis IHANCE, driving improved share momentum in both the U. S. And OUS markets. Now regarding our consolidated statement of earnings to exclude intangible amortization expense and special items. As reported this morning, our adjusted EPS $2.59 reflects a reported increase of 12.6% and an operational increase of 8.3%.
I'd like to now highlight a few noteworthy items that have changed on the statement of earnings compared to the same quarter last year. Cost of products sold improved versus 2020 as a percent of sales due to favorable product mix in the pharmaceutical business and favorable volume and mix in the Medical Devices business. Additionally, the Q1 2020 Medical Devices results included the establishment of a COVID-nineteen inventory reserve, which did not repeat in 2021. Selling, marketing and administrative margins improved due to leveraging in the medical devices business, resulting from the recovery of sales from the prior year's negative COVID-nineteen impact. We continue to invest in research and development at competitive levels, Investing 14.2 percent of sales this quarter.
This was higher than the Q1 of 2020 by 170 basis points, driven by portfolio progression in the Pharmaceutical business. The other income and expense line showed net income of 882,000,000 in the Q1 of 2021 compared to net income of $679,000,000 in the Q1 of 2020, primarily due to higher acquisition, integration and divestiture related activity. However, as a reminder, we treat significant divestiture gains as a special item and these gains are therefore excluded from adjusted earnings. Regarding taxes in the quarter, Our effective tax rate increased from 11% in the Q1 of 2020 to 16.6% in the Q1 of 2021. This increase is driven primarily by the impact of one time items in 2020 that did not repeat.
Excluding special items, the effective tax rate was 16.5% versus 15% in the same period last year. I encourage you to review our 10 Q for further details on specific tax matters. Let's now look at adjusted income before tax by segment. In the Q1 of 2021, our adjusted income before tax for the enterprise as a percentage of sales increased from 35% to 37.1%. The following are the main drivers of change to the adjusted income before tax by segment.
Medical Devices margin improved by 6.40 basis points, driven by inventory reserves recorded in 2020 Associated with the impact of COVID-nineteen, which did not repeat in the current quarter and overall expense leveraging in 2021, resulting from the Medical Devices sales recovery. Consumer Health margins improved by 150 basis points, primarily driven by supply chain efficiencies, including the benefit from our SKU rationalization program. Pharmaceutical margins improved by 30 basis points, primarily driven by favorable product mix, partially offset by increased investment in research and development. That concludes the sales and P and L highlights for Johnson and Johnson's Q1. I'm now pleased to turn the call over to Joe Wolk.
Thank you, Chris. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us today. When we spoke with you this time last year, we updated our Full year 2020 outlook with perhaps the highest level of uncertainty Johnson and Johnson had ever faced, much like every other company in every other industry. COVID-nineteen cases were on the rise, worldwide lockdowns were in effect and most were adapting to new ways of working while maintaining productivity. No one knew how long the pandemic would last and demand forecasts were ambiguous at best.
However, what was crystal clear, What we did know was that the resilience of our business, the strength of our financial position and an unrelenting long term focus to develop and deliver Our life saving medicines and products to patients and customers around the globe would likely lead to a better future. We are stronger as a business than before the pandemic and our Q1 2021 results give us even more confidence in our ability to continue delivering compelling performance in the future. Let me begin with our cash position and capital allocation priorities. We ended the Q1 of 2021 With approximately $9,000,000,000 of net debt, consisting of approximately $25,000,000,000 of cash and marketable securities and approximately $34,000,000,000 of debt. While our capital allocation priorities remain intact, the past year has reinforced the importance of managing our business for the long term through a disciplined approach and a focus on investments for innovation to further enhance our competitive positioning.
In addition to disproportionately investing competitively in our R and D pipelines, we continue to evaluate and capitalize on acquisition opportunities when appropriate to create value over the long term. Paying our dividend and increasing it annually remains a key priority. Earlier this morning, we announced that the Board of Directors approved an increase of the quarterly dividend for the 59th consecutive year by 5%. The dividend increase to $1.06 per share per quarter reflects our recent performance, Strong financial position and confidence in the future of Johnson and Johnson. An indication that our capital deployment is fortifying the foundation for our future Is in part illustrated on this next slide, which details pipeline developments that have occurred since our last call.
I'll highlight a few, starting with our Pharmaceutical business. First, we received U. S. Approval and a positive opinion from the CHMP in the EU for Ponvery in multiple sclerosis, our first NME approval this year. In addition, we completed our BLA filing for SITAcell, a BCMA CAR T for the treatment of multiple myeloma and we anticipate U.
S. Approval later this year. As you know, we are rigorous in focusing on differentiated transformational medical innovation. Despite showing proof of concept in initial phases of the study, we decided to discontinue the Phase 2 development of teslantilumab, Within our medical devices portfolio, the FDA granted approval for Tecnus Eye Hands, a next generation interocular lens. This represents the 1st significant innovation in monofocal technology in over 20 years.
Johnson and Johnson Vision Also announced a collaboration with Menacon to deliver therapeutic contact lenses that manage the progression of myopia in children. We expect commercialization of this product by the end of 2021 under the brand name Acuvue Ability, Pending health authority approval. We are excited to accelerate our entry into this growing and important space for patients, while we continue to advance our Myopia pipeline. As Chris commented to earlier, we are pleased by the enterprise's Q1 results. I'll now provide some insights into So let's start simply with, we remain confident in our business.
Our Pharmaceutical segment is on track with our expectations and in 2021, we expect to deliver a 10th consecutive year of operational above market growth. Importantly, this growth is volume driven, not dependent on price. You may have noticed that we issued our 5th Annual Janssen U. S. Transparency Report last week.
While I'm admittedly biased, This is a very informative read and you'll not only see the average price for our products declined by nearly 6% in 2020, In Consumer Health, Prior year comparisons will be choppy by quarter throughout this year due to the COVID-nineteen pantry loading and demand surges experienced in 2020. However, we continue to expect to grow with the market for the year in those areas in which we compete, driven by our strong iconic brands that consumers rely on every day. We will also continue to focus on maintaining our enhanced margin profile driven by our SKU rationalization and investment optimization programs. In Medical Devices, better execution, new innovative offerings and market recovery Led to growth in the Q1. However, market variables such as patient willingness to seek care, insurance coverage and unemployment rates, Along with the easing of mobility restrictions, we'll influence the rate of recovery as we progress through the year.
Despite those uncertain dynamics, we remain confident in the full year outlook we had in January. Let
Let me say
a few
words related
to our COVID-nineteen vaccine. Our goal has always been to bring our scientific capabilities and resources to develop a safe, Effective vaccine that would complement other measures to end the global pandemic. To ensure broad access, We announced early on that we would supply the vaccine on a not for profit basis during the crisis period. Given the not for profit commitment, as previously stated, we never anticipated COVID-nineteen vaccine revenue would have a significant upside impact to 2021 adjusted EPS, already projected to grow at 18% or 1.8 times greater than sales growth. Paul will say a few words at the conclusion of my remarks on our COVID-nineteen vaccine.
Regarding vaccine financials, Please note that we commit to providing timely updates to actual results and guidance as warranted. Considering the qualitative factors I just referenced, here is what we expect for the full year 2021. Starting with sales, on an adjusted operational basis, we are increasing our guidance and tightening our range to reflect the ongoing confidence in Sales of $89,300,000,000 to $90,300,000,000 or 8.2% to 9.4%. While we don't offer predictions on currency movement, utilizing the euro spot rate relative to the U. S.
Dollar as of last week at 1.19 Results in a still favorable, but to a lesser degree, currency impact of $1,300,000,000 or a year over year increase of 150 basis Resulting in estimated reported sales in the range of $90,600,000,000 to $91,600,000,000 An increase of 9.7% to 10.9% or 10.3% at that midpoint versus 2020. Regarding the balance of the P and L, we are maintaining the guidance we offered in January for all other items for which we routinely provide guidance. We are however comfortable tightening our range by raising the lower end resulting in increasing the midpoint of our adjusted operational EPS by $0.03 Therefore, our new adjusted earnings per share guidance range is $9.30 to $9.45 on a constant currency basis. While not predicting currency movement, but to provide some direction On the impact of currency fluctuations on our reported adjusted EPS, the estimated benefit is now $0.12 versus $0.15 for the full year. Accounting for that, we would be comfortable with your models reflecting reported adjusted EPS ranging from $9.42 to $9.57 or a midpoint of $9.50 to a range of 17.3% to 19.2%.
We don't provide quarterly guidance, but do appreciate that you find value and us providing some qualitative considerations to keep in mind as you update your models. This slide looks rather similar to what we shared in January With the most noteworthy call out being the negative impact of COVID-nineteen experienced in the Q2 of 2020, particularly in medical devices, It is reasonable to infer that the Q2 of 2021 should have highly favorable comparisons in Medical Devices. Let me close our prepared remarks by acknowledging the Johnson and Johnson colleagues and all they have overcome, but more importantly accomplished over the last year. Driven by our credo, their unrelenting dedication to continue meeting our commitments to all stakeholders has been inspiring. On behalf of the entire executive team, to all 135,000 employees around the world, thank you.
Paul, Chris and I are pleased to be joined by Alex and Joaquin to address your questions. But before we begin the Q and A, let me turn the call over to Paul.
Thank you, Joe. And I'm pleased to provide an update on our COVID-nineteen vaccine and our efforts to address the ongoing pandemic, Which today has taken the lives of more than 3,000,000 people globally. From the very beginning, we have worked to develop and deliver a single shot, Easy transportable COVID-nineteen vaccine to help protect the health of people everywhere and reach communities in need globally. We are committed to Equitable Access and to bringing an affordable COVID-nineteen vaccine to the public on a not for profit basis for the emerging pandemic use. In the last quarter, we announced results from our multi country Phase 3 ENSEMBLE study that demonstrated the vaccine was 85% In preventing severe disease across all regions studied and showed protection against COVID-nineteen related hospitalization and deaths Beginning day 28 after vaccination.
The vaccine has demonstrated protection across all countries studied and with multiple variants of the Virus including the B1351 variant. Based on the robust data we submitted to health authorities, we received Emergency use authorization from the U. S. Food and Drug Administration, a conditional marketing authorization from the European Medicines Agency And emergency use listing from the World Health Organization. We began U.
S. Distribution in March with plans to begin shipping to Europe in April. In addition, given the threat of variance, we collaborated with the South African Medical Research Council on the Sisonke study, an open label Phase 3b vaccine implementation study among 500,000 frontline healthcare workers in South Africa, Where the B1351 variant has become dominant and where there is limited supportive care of our wide availability of COVID vaccines. This variant now makes up more than 60% of cases across the African continent and has been detected in more than 60 countries globally. A single shot vaccine with demonstrated protection against COVID-nineteen related hospitalization and death can be critical tool And for fighting the global pandemic, particularly with protection across countries with different variants.
Last Tuesday, The U. S. Centers of Disease Control and Prevention Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices, or ACIP, reviewed the reports of an Extremely rare disorder involving blood clots in combination with low platelets observed in a small number of individuals Following vaccination with the Johnson and Johnson COVID-nineteen vaccine, out of an abundance of caution, the CDC and FDA recommended a pause in the use of our Asap will reconvene this Friday and we look forward to their review and the outcome of the meeting. Johnson and Johnson made the decision to proactively delay the rollout of our vaccine in Europe and post vaccinations in all COVID-nineteen vaccine clinical trials, While we updated guidance for investigators and participants, the safety and well-being of the people who use our product is our number one priority And we strongly support awareness of the signs and symptoms of this extremely rare event to ensure the correct diagnosis, Appropriate treatment and expedited report by healthcare professionals. We continue to believe in the positive benefit risk Profile of our vaccine and in view of the raging pandemic that continues to devastate communities around the world, Continue to collaborate with medical experts and global health authorities, including the CDC, FDA, EMA, the WHO In the South African Health Products Regulatory Authority, Safra, as we work towards continuing vaccination to end the global pandemic.
We welcome the recent recommendation of Safra to lift the pulse in the investigator led collaborative SisonKi study provided That specific conditions are met. Safra based his decision on the review of the availability the available safety data from Sisonke study as well as adverse event reports in the United States. We look forward to partnering with the South African Ministry of Health to resume vaccinations of healthcare workers in South Africa soon. We are looking forward to the outcome from today's meeting of the European Medicines Agency Pharmacovigilance Risk Assessment Committee, the PRAC, as it is called, And I'm looking forward to working with EMA to ensure appropriate awareness of this extremely rare event and guidance on diagnosis and treatment of this condition. Johnson and Johnson stands ready to resume shipment of its COVID-nineteen vaccine in Europe.
In addition, we will work with member states to resume vaccinations in all Janssen Bayview facility. Since then, we have worked closely with the U. S. Government and with the FDA, including During the ongoing FDA inspection at Emergent Bayview, we will work closely with And helping to bring an end to this global pandemic. In conclusion, I want to note that COVID-nineteen is the most severe global health challenge we have seen in our lifetimes.
Johnson and Johnson is committed to help the world win the fight against COVID-nineteen And be even better prepared for possible future pandemics. Now I will turn it over to Chris to start the Q and A. Great. Thank you, Paul.
Your first question comes from Chris Schott with JPMorgan. Please proceed with your question.
Great. Thanks so much and appreciate all the color on the business dynamics here. I said 2 questions centered around the vaccine. I guess first, how do you see this clotting risk issue being addressed? Is this going to be Just some sort of safety warning to physicians?
Or do you think there's going to be a way to identify certain populations where this might not be an appropriate vaccine? And maybe tied to that, how are you thinking about addressing public safety perceptions given what seems to be a very rare side effect if in fact it has been linked here Once vaccinations resume, if I could just slip another quick one on vaccines in there. I just want to make sure I'm clear as well. On the guidance for 2021, Are there vaccine sales beyond Q1 reflective of that guidance? Or just given some of the uncertainty, has that not been included in the updated guidance?
Thanks so much.
Yes. Let me take the first question. We are working very closely both with FDA, CDC as well with EMA and the Prague On addressing your first question on risk and whether there will be guidance and we'll work closely if that comes out in the course of the week to implement that globally, But also restore the confidence in the vaccine. It's an extremely rare event. We hope by making people aware as well as putting Clear diagnostic and therapeutic guidance in place that we can restore the confidence in our vaccine.
And Chris, with respect to financial guidance, there is nothing in our future outlook with respect to that at this point in time. So we will, when it's warranted, certainly provide updates. Right now, we're just commenting to what was actually experienced in the Q1.
Thanks for your question.
Your next question comes from Larry Biegelsen with Wells Fargo.
Please proceed with your question.
Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. Just two quick ones for me. Joe, can you talk a little bit medical device sales came in Can you talk a little bit about what you're seeing in the end markets with regard to the recovery? And can you also secondly talk about the quarterly EPS phasing?
Why didn't you raise EPS guidance more Despite the beat, Q1 EPS is usually about 24%, 25% of full year EPS, Whereas the guidance implies Q1 EPS is about 27% using the midpoint. So why not raise the guidance more?
This is Alex. Why don't I go first and patients and consumers around the world throughout this pandemic. 2, a very special recognition to the doctors, the scientists, the engineers We've not only been working diligently on our Whether it's market share on all of our major $28,000,000,000 plus platforms, if you look at our pipeline progress and development, We clearly have continued to make progress in spite of a lot of other dynamics. So getting specifically to your question on medical Device Marketplace. What we would say is we're seeing continued improvement through the Q1.
If we look at the last couple of weeks of March, In the United States, most of the major systems were somewhere in the range of 90% to 105% Of their performance back in 2019, if we look across Europe, of course, there's a bit more variability. Markets in Italy, for example, have lagged given the outbreak of COVID-nineteen in the U. K. Where you've seen other markets return more in the 90% to 100% range, although we have continued to see month to month and even week to week progression across those major markets. As was alluded to in the earlier comments, we would expect that to begin to change in a pretty significant way in the Not only as we see more vaccinations, but of course the year on year comparisons.
And again, what I'd like to highlight is The strong performance across almost all of our medical device platforms, if you take a look at Vision Surgery up 11%, And if you take a look at our EP business up 26%. Our Surgery business was well up into double digits across whether it was energy, biosurgery Or Endo Mechanical. Orthopedics, particularly large joints, we saw lag slightly, but we know that these are more elective procedures. We feel we remain competitive and we're quite excited about our Velas launch as well as our fixed bearing cementless options as well. So we remain confident and actually quite optimistic for our ongoing improvement in performance in our Medical Device sector as we head through the remainder of the year.
Joe, I'll hand it over to you for the question on EPS phasing.
Sure. Thanks, Larry. Thanks for the question. And as usual, you have all the numbers at the ready there. So I think I got them all down, but I think the real short story is that I would say on 10% sales We're going to grow earnings about 18%.
And so given the early nature of the year, we challenged our leadership teams in each of our segments and across our functions to see what we can invest today to benefit the future. So I'd much rather hold back a nickel today in hopes of giving $0.10 or $0.15 next year or the year after. And that's really how we're looking at it. As we we have many great opportunities and hopefully you noticed in our P and L, The increase in R and D investment year over year by $600,000,000 you saw the same trend last year for the full year. We're going to look to see those Given we already started the year with very strong expectations, if some of those opportunities don't come to fruition, We'll certainly be happy to revise guidance upward later on this year, but right now we thought that was the best course of action to solidify the long term.
Great.
Thanks, Larry. Appreciate the questions. Rob, next question, please.
Your next question comes from Joanne Wuensch with Citi. Please proceed with your question.
Good morning and thank you for taking the questions. I want to focus on 2 areas. The first one is in Vision Care. And I'm trying to parse through how much of the delivery is Easy comps, share loss and or gain and just recovery in elective procedures. And then I want to sort of put the second one on the table, which is, It sounds like Orthopaedics particularly is lacking.
Do you have a view on when that may recover? And just more broadly speaking, is there a pattern to
Hey, Joanne, this is Alex. Thank you very much for your question. Look, in Vision Care overall, we think our performance was solid. We have seen the contact lens business and the surgery business be significantly impacted Over the course of 2020, we have seen gradual improvement in the back end of last year and as we started out the 1st part of this year. We think our Vision Care or Contact Lens business is in very good shape.
We think our share position is stable to increasing. We think we've seen definitely an improving position in our vision surgery business, part of that being comps, but also part of it due to new innovation launches that were mentioned earlier in Chris and Joe's comments, and we believe that our lineup for new lenses, whether it's our anti allergy lens or multifocal and contact lenses, And the improvement that we're seeing in our Surgery business will continue to bear out in stronger performance and in share gains through the year. Regarding Orthopaedics, as noted in our comments, we saw very strong performance, for example, in our trauma Business growing in excess of 9%. We saw good rollout in our hip business at about 3.5%. And as I mentioned in my comments, knees, which we think are perhaps the most elective of the procedures in terms of being able to delay, We're lagging somewhat, but the indicators are that we would expect based upon some of the surgical planning reports that we saw, especially through the end of Q1 that it looks as though performance for Q2 and Q3 should be on good trends and we expect that to as patients gain confidence to go back into the hospitals and we see systems work their way through backlogs And as of course, in our business being global, as we see Europe come more back online as well following vaccinations as we move through the second and third quarters.
Thank you.
Thanks, Joanne. Appreciate the question. Rob, next question, please.
Your next question comes from Bob Hopkins with Bank of America.
Please proceed with your question.
Great. Thank you and good morning. Joe, I was wondering if you could comment on how your 2021 EPS guidance might look if you exclude the impact of COVID reserve release and the spending on the vaccine, just wanted to kind of maybe get a sense for EPS for the true underlying business. And then I'll just state my the second topic I'd love you to comment on as well is, just wanted to get your latest thinking on the potential to shift to More of a for profit model as we potentially exit the emerging phase. I realize it might be a little early to talk about that, but just wanted to get your latest thinking on the potential to shift To shift post the emergent phase of this pandemic?
Thank you very much.
Yes. Thanks for the questions, Bob. With respect To the impact of, I'd say, COVID-nineteen vaccine investing, in the quarter, it was, let's call it between For $0.05 $0.10 for the quarter, I'm not overly concerned about that because as you heard from Paul, we are going through the rigor of The scientific reviews, it appears that there is a very path forward that we'll find out about here in the next couple of days. And we're going to do all we can to make sure that that important solution to address the global pandemic gets back into the marketplace. So we think we'll recover that even in the not for profit model.
With respect to pricing and dynamics, I think you're probably correct in your initial assessment that it's a bit early. But let me turn it over to Joaquin Keen to give you some thoughts that we have on that topic.
Thanks for the question. Our focus from the beginning in this pandemic was to be a Partner in addressing this humanitarian crisis. And as a consequence, in order to make sure that we facilitate access globally, We decided to go with a non for profit model. Our focus now remains to be able to be a But today, our focus is to address this pandemic and be an important partner in making an impact globally in stopping COVID-nineteen.
Thanks, Bob. Appreciate the questions. Rob, next question please.
Your next question comes from Josh Jennings with Cowen. Please proceed with your question.
Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. I had a follow-up to Bob's question just on The vaccine and just how revenues and expenses flow through the P and L. Just wanted to make sure Or sanity check, 100,000,000 doses by midyear in the U. S, 100,000,000 more by the end of 2021, 200,000,000 doses in Europe, for instance, are those guaranteed contracts?
And just in terms of the risk sharing model and the not for profit model, just want to make sure that your downside is In terms of expenses going forward or already incurred and where those contracts sit?
Yes. Thanks for the follow-up, Josh, as you can imagine, it is very fluid, but there's nothing in the guidance today that should give That there is a very viable path forward. We'll learn a lot more in the next couple of days through the regulators. We'll let the process play out, But investors should feel very comfortable with our EPS guidance to protect against any downside that may be envisioned, although I don't see that as likely at this point.
Yes. Maybe just one add on as it relates to Bob's question and Josh your question too. I mean just keep in mind when you look Underlying performance, right, pharm as a segment, which was less impacted, top line strong above market, and we continue to improve margins there as well. And you did see Margin improvement as well in Consumer. So while there's certainly many impacts from COVID year over year, I think when you really look underneath the underlying results, There's strength both on the top line and bottom line that's a factored when you look at this year.
That's a good I think this is going to be a choppy year, so we have to look selectively at year on year comps. And if you just look at, let's Call what was a normal quarter at least as we knew it back in the Q1 of 2019, you look at our respective businesses, you have Consumer is up about 8% this quarter versus Q1 of 2019. So again, that suggests other strong underlying business. Pharmaceuticals is up about 17.5% and Medical Devices is approaching 4% on that same comparison. But I would say that's a very strong 4% when you consider we still have, as you heard in our commentary, many delayed procedures or paused elective procedures In the marketplace, which simply didn't exist in the Q1 of 2019.
So across all three parts of our business, I think there's A real good takeaway there that the business is healthy and strong. You couple that with the investment we continue to make in R and D at elevated levels. I would hope folks feel really good about not just our performance of today, but our future performance on the horizon. Great.
Thank you. Thanks, Josh. Rob, next question please.
Next question comes from Louise Chen of Cantor Fitzgerald.
Please proceed with your question.
Hi, thanks for taking my questions. So my first question was, do you have any thoughts on potential corporate tax increases in the U. S. As well as potential drug And then second question is on silva cel. I know you're expecting approval this year.
Where do you expect it to fit into the treatment paradigm if it is approved? And do you
Great, Louise. Thanks for the questions. I will address Tax reform as best I can. Obviously, that's a fluid situation. Then I'll turn it over to Joaquin and Paul for your other questions.
With respect to tax reform, we share A lot of rhetoric about a race to a bottom. I don't know why folks are anxious to have a race to the top in terms of rates either. And I can give you one example in one industry and that's Johnson and Johnson where when tax reform was passed in 2017, we committed to Increasing our investment in the U. S. By 15% over the upcoming 4 years versus the preceding 4 years.
We are on track to actually invest about 25% more in the U. S. Over that 4 year period and that's more than $30,000,000,000 Now what does that mean in terms of the U. S. Economy?
It means more jobs. I mean, we as Johnson and Johnson employ 3,000 more people today than we did So I think when you look at where the U. S. Sits with respect to OECD countries, right now we're at the middle of the pack, maybe even skewing a little bit towards the bottom in terms of competitiveness. If we were to raise rates even to 25% and you include tax from states, we become the highest rated Developed country in the world with respect to tax rates.
So I think it's something that we need a little more fact based dialogue on and Joaquin, let me turn it to you to test the other items.
Thank you. So with regards to pricing reforms in the U. S, that was your question, Luis. So we continue to expect that there will be pressure
to do something to reduce
patient out of pocket costs. To reduce patient out of pocket costs. And in that context, the industry could potentially be seen again as a Pay for in another budget reconciliation package for ACA reform or infrastructure legislation. We believe that The negotiations with Ardigar could be collaborative and the overall value that innovation It's bringing to society as highlighted by our contributions in COVID-nineteen will be understood. So that's the way we see it now.
We think that the most important thing in any price bill or any price reform is to be sure That patients experience and reduction in the out of pocket costs and Johnson and Johnson will be a constructive partner In that regard, we think that also that patient cost setting should be based On the net price of medicines and in that sense, we continue to support that type of reform. I also want to take a step back and look at our pharmaceutical business in the context of pricing reform. I believe that The type of portfolio and growth that we have based out very well in this situation, Our growth has been based on volume. Our net price declined in 2025 0.7% and this is the 4th consecutive year that we have net price declines. And we are Able and ready to growth in that environment based on having a very broad based portfolio with 11 products of more than $1,000,000,000 and R and D based model that allow us to have Very differentiated pipeline.
In 2020, we invested $9,600,000,000 in R and D, which is About 2 times what we invest in sales and marketing. So we believe that these negotiations could be collaborative and that in that Contes, the Johnson and Johnson Pharmaceutical business is especially well positioned based on our ability to drive Growth based on volume and in our very broadly diversified portfolio. So about our BCMA CAR T that we filed in the Q1 of 2020, that was an important milestone In our pipeline, our initial indication, it's going to be for patients with multiple myeloma that have progressed On available established therapies, over time, we see BCMA CAR T and Our BCMA CAR T specifically progressing into earlier lines of therapy, you could see a moment in which young and fit patients may have
Beginning, we selected the BCMA CAR T based on its double binding, and that has yielded a superior profile with In the high 90s overall response as well as very high MRD negativity rates and lasting effect and so
One is really on the devices. And I think, Joe, you alluded to this when you were talking about growth Comparisons to 2019, but there was still a COVID impact in Q1. And I guess I'm just trying to get a sense of how Q1 Sort of shaped up as you worked through the months. Did you see a strong recovery in March in the device And do you feel like, and this might be an ambiguous and kind of difficult question to truly answer, but I guess do you feel like the worst is behind us Even regardless of how vaccinations continue to roll out and what variants might do? And then I have one vaccine follow-up.
Hey, Danielle, this is Alex. Thanks a lot for your question. We do there expect to see improving trends in medical device arena. If we take a look at the Q1, There was some irregularity just based upon what we are seeing with the virus and on a global basis in January versus February or March. But overall, it's Clear to us that we're seeing improving trends.
And as Joe alluded to in his earlier comments, we would expect that just given
And what are the alternatives for the volumes that were supposed to be manufactured out of Emergent, if in a worst case scenario, Emergent is prevented from being able to produce for the next few months.
Thank you, Daniel. Look, as Paul said, our goal remains Ensuring that all drug substance for our COVID-nineteen vaccine meets our high quality standards and at the same time that we secure Emergency use authorization for the drug substance manufacturer at the Emergent Bayview facility. At this time, As we continue in discussions with the FDA, it is premature to speculate on any potential impact that this may have on our timing of our vaccine deliveries. So we will expect to work with the FDA To work this inspection, at least to close this inspection this week and then we will work with the FDA and Emergent to address those But at this time, it would be premature to speculate on any potential impact that this could have on our delivery timing.
Great, thanks. And then just real quick to build on Alex's comment, maybe just to give you a little bit of color. We're obviously looking at procedures closely, surgical procedures, Imaging as well. Diagnostics is actually outpacing surgical procedures. It accelerated through the quarter.
It's almost in line with where we were Pre pandemic, so that's a positive sign, although the situation, of course, remains fluid. And then many important procedures such as colorectal, And again, sequentially improved through the quarter and actually grew year over year. So again, we're seeing positive signs across. And I think you saw that in our results and pockets of our business, Advanced Surgery, for example, growing over 14%. So We're continuing to look at everything.
The situation remains fluid, but there's definitely positive signs of the trends that we're seeing. Thanks, Danielle. Rob, next question please.
Next question comes from Matt Miksic with Credit Suisse. Please proceed with your question.
Thanks so much. So I've got one sort of utilization related question on procedure trends and then Follow-up for Alex, if I could, on digital strategy. So first, devices up 8.8%, stronger than the Street was expecting. The mix also a bit stronger than expected on Advanced Surgery and maybe a little bit Slower has come up on Q and A here than expected and these, which you mentioned, Alex, is a couple of times being more deferrable. The question is, should we read through this
as a bit of
a shift to higher acuity procedures within your portfolio? And then maybe how should we see the recent rise in hospitalizations potentially affecting the trajectory of recovery over these procedures over the next Months and quarters. And then as I mentioned, I have one follow-up on digital.
Sure, Matt. Thanks a lot for the question. Look, Matt, overall, I wouldn't read Too much into just these recent results regarding a significant shift over on our portfolio. I mean, we remain very committed and optimistic about the underlying unmet need and demand across our surgical portfolio, our orthopedics portfolio and our Vision Care portfolio. But as we alluded to earlier, there are some procedures that in terms of your ability to defer and how electable they truly are that may have a near term impact on timing.
So, look, overall, If we look at our underlying trends, not only versus 2020, but as was noted earlier, also versus 2019, We're seeing growth rates consistent overall with what we see for this market. At about the 5% range over the long term. And we've been very explicit in our goal to grow at or faster than the markets where we compete. That's number 1. Number 2, we're actually very excited about some of the opportunities that we have for launches.
I think in total, we have Cro is another great add on in our EP business that is already growing in excess of 20%. And if you look across our Endo Mac, our energy business here too, we've got really nice add on innovations as well as throughout our Vision Care portfolio. And of course, longer term, the significant opportunity that we see in digital surgery, that team has continued to make very solid progress and we're excited about the long term prospects there as well. So no, overall, We see a lot of opportunity across our medical device portfolio.
That's great. And maybe just a segue on your second point there about Digital, you mentioned robotic knee systems on track. Monarch, obviously, leading the market in robotic assisted lung and ORTAVA It's sort of tracking through clinicals and validation. The question is, is what else? You've built out this portfolio of artificial in some artificial intelligence robotic surgery applications and technology.
What are the white spaces? Where else do you see investments when in digital?
Sure. Well, look, we believe we're in a very, very early innings of digital, Matt. First of all, if we just look at the overall penetration rate of digital surgery, It's about 10% in the United States. It's just a couple percent on a global basis. And So we think if you consider the overall trends of how Technology can be utilized in some of these procedures.
If you take a look at our global footprint, we think we will be well positioned there in the long term. As you mentioned, our We said from the very beginning, look, we're building this for the decades. We're not just building this for the next quarter. And we're optimistic about the progress that that team has been making to ensure that we've got A platform that, 1, can truly make a difference for patients in surgery the 2, that's differentiated and 3, that also allows us to integrate Not only the robotics aspect, but also the digital component that we think long term can truly help show Very significant differences in surgical outcomes. And also just to give you one example of an application, We've mentioned this before, but in Johnson and Johnson right now, and I think this exemplifies the unique nature of our diverse portfolio.
Several years ago, we embarked on something that we call the lung cancer initiative. And as we know, unfortunately, lung cancer continues to kill more people than Just about any other type of cancer, and we know that all too often, patients are diagnosed far too late in the And we're quite excited about an early application with Monarch where we're not only able to go out and potentially do a diagnostic procedure through bronchoscopy to identify, for example, lung nodules. But we're working right now on how can we deliver oncolytic agents, viruses and other immune type agents locally and how could we really think about The treatment paradigm being shifted in the way that we fundamentally think about lung cancer by combining pharma, Medical device, some of these technologies in very new, unique and innovative ways. So Still much more work to be done, but we're very excited about some of the early prospects that we've seen thus far. And again, I think it exemplifies kind of our unique position to bring these different Clinical development, discovery as well as regulatory capabilities and eventually commercial together.
Great. Thanks, Matt. Appreciate the question. Rob, we'll take our last question now.
Yes. The question comes from the line of Terence Flynn of Goldman Sachs.
Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. Recently, there's been some new post marketing data reported for Xeljanz and the FDA pushed out the PDUFA dates of Several JAK inhibitors. You guys are developing a pan JAK inhibitor for IBD. We just love your latest perspective on the risk benefit Profile of the category here and next steps in your development program.
And then just as a follow-up, just wanted to confirm that you're on track to Supply 1,000,000,000 doses of your COVID-nineteen vaccine this year. Thank you.
So thank you for the question on immunology. Look, I'm not going to Comment on the safety of the oral JAK inhibitors. What I can tell you is that we have a very strong and robust Pipeline in immunology driven by our 3 existing assets, Symphony, Estelara And Tremfaya, Esterara and Tremfaya had very strong quarters with close to 40% growth in Tremfaya And 15% in Stelara. In Stelara, we continue to grow share in GI, both in Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis. And Tremfya is the 1st and only IL-twenty three that does have both indications, PSA And PSO and it's continued to gain share in both areas.
Moving forward, we are excited about our possibilities in immunology with our Oral agents, as you mentioned, 1, we have 2 in Phase 2. 1 of them is a pan JAK oral that we think could be important. We'll have To see the data and broadly in immunology, we also are excited about the possibilities of nipocalimab, which is our FcRn antibody in pathways that are auto antibody mediated with very rare diseases That could create a pipeline in a product. So for us, immunology remains a core area of growth and focus. And we believe we are in Very strong position to continue to drive growth in the coming years, but even beyond 2025 too.
Yes, maybe Terence, just to pile on to what Joaquin outlined there with the strength of our pipeline. So in Pharmaceuticals specifically, we're looking at 10 new filings that could be new products or indications in 2021, 13 in 2022 and 26 In 2023, so you can see that R and D investment incrementally paying off. With respect to your second question regarding I want to be respectful of the process by which the regulators are going through. We are remediating what we need to remediate. We think that will lend itself to a positive outcome.
It should be in addition to all of our We'll take our next question from
the line of John. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.
Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.
Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.
Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.
Thank you. Thank you.
Our next question
comes from the line of We do have some of our best personnel on-site at Emergent, so they're benefiting from our expertise, and we should know more in the next couple of days.
Great. Thank you, Tyrants, and thanks to everyone for your questions and continued interest in our company. Apologies to those we couldn't get to because of time, but don't hesitate I'll now turn the call back to Alex just for some brief closing remarks.
Well, let me end where I began. First of all, by thanking all of you for your insightful questions and your ongoing support And also by thanking all of our associates at Johnson and Johnson, almost 140,000 who have been working 20 fourseven, particularly over the last 15 months during this We appreciate your ongoing interest and your support and look forward to updating you at our next quarterly call.
Thank you. This concludes today's Johnson and Johnson's Q1 2021 earnings conference call. You may now disconnect.