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Earnings Call: Q2 2026

Aug 10, 2026

Summary

Transition to U.S. HPC and AI infrastructure is on track, with strong liquidity and active commercial negotiations across three priority sites. Q2 revenue declined due to Bitcoin exit, but permitting and expansion progress positions the company for 2027 data center launches.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to Keel Infrastructure Corp.'s second quarter 2026 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you would need to press star one one on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised, and to withdraw your question, please press star one one again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Laine Yonker, Keel Infrastructure Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Laine Yonker
VP of Investor Relations, Keel Infrastructure

Thank you. Welcome to Keel Infrastructure's second quarter 2026 conference call. With me on the call today, our Director and Chief Executive Officer, Ben Gagnon, and Chief Financial Officer, Jonathan Mir. Before we begin, please note this call is being webcast with an accompanying slide presentation. Today's press release and presentation can be accessed on our website under the investor section. Turning to slide two. I'd like to remind everyone that certain forward-looking statements will be made during this call and that future results could differ from those implied in this statement. The forward-looking information is based on certain assumptions and is subject to risks and uncertainties. I invite you to consult Keel's 10-Q for a complete list, which will be available on our website and the SEC website.

Please note that references will be made to certain non-GAAP financial measures and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. We invite listeners to refer to today's press release and our file 10-Q for definitions of the non-GAAP measures and their reconciliations to GAAP measures. Please note that all financial references are denominated in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted. Now turning to slide three. It is my pleasure to turn the call over to Ben Gagnon, member of the Keel Board of Directors and our Chief Executive Officer. Ben, please go ahead.

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Thank you, Laine. Good morning, everyone. 18 months ago, we laid out a clear vision for both Keel and the data center industry. We told you that the defining constraint of the most important technology of our lifetime was not chips or capital, it was power. We told you that by the end of 2026, power would be even more constrained and even higher demand. We laid out a clear investment thesis that focusing on developing power in the right places on timelines that matter would be incredibly valuable to prospective tenants and value maximizing for shareholders. We explained the necessary work ahead of time, and we kept you informed step by step exactly how we would transform this company into a premier regional data center developer. We said we would exit Latin America and Bitcoin and become an American HPC and AI company. We did.

We said we would rebuild the balance sheet to enable our transition to an HPC and AI infrastructure company. We did. We said we would be ready to monetize our assets when power was scarcer and demand was stronger. We are. Throughout this transition, we've delivered on our commitments either on time or early. If timelines moved, we told you why. We told you what it meant, and we told you what did and did not change. That's not luck. That's a track record reflecting strategic discipline and consistent execution. Turning to slide four. In May, we shared that management was focused on three things this year. One, advancing permitting and leasing across all three priority sites. Two, securing our expansion capacity. Three, delivering energized megawatts as quickly as possible for our customers. 90 days later, here is where each one stands. First, on permitting and leasing.

I will walk through each site's permitting and leasing update individually in a moment, but I'd like to first highlight the main takeaways here. One, we further advanced permitting across all three priority sites this quarter and have clear visibility on permit completion at each site. Two, near-term power is scarce and our sites have it. That scarcity is doing the work for us. It's why all three sites have multiple potential customers engaged in negotiating, and it's why these conversations start from a very different place than they would have two years ago. This is an important distinction because when your sites solve the hardest and most valuable problem potential tenants have, power, timing and location, the commercial process stops being a pitch and it starts being a negotiation. To lead this next pivotal phase, last month, we welcomed Ganesh Aiyer as President of Keel.

Ganesh has spent his career at the intersection of infrastructure and commercial strategy and joins us after nearly seven years as Chief Business Officer of Digital Realty. He is now leading our commercial efforts, and while he has only been with us about a month, he has already hit the ground running. Second, on expansion capacity. Last quarter, we explained our thesis that the market was not ascribing much value to the unsecured megawatts in our expansion capacity. We also explained that securing these megawatts was an important focus for management and a key value driver for shareholders. First, in Pennsylvania, we've been working closely with both of our utility partners to advance our power applications for expanded capacity.

While we can't provide details today, we are increasingly confident in our ability to convert potential expansion capacity from our 2 GW Pennsylvania pipeline into more signed ESAs, delivering energized megawatts for HPC through 2030. We expect we should be able to provide investors with a fulsome update as early as December or January. Additionally, we advanced our Sherbrooke data center plans during the quarter, securing all necessary local approvals from the city and the local utility, with only provincial approval outstanding. If approved, we will consolidate our three legacy Bitcoin power purchase agreements into a single 96 MW HPC and AI power purchase agreement for a new data center development in Sherbrooke.

A market where new data center energy capacity is nearly impossible to secure and is in high demand. Sherbrooke will be designed from the ground up to support the next generation of hardware and has the potential to become one of the most technologically advanced data centers in all of Quebec upon completion. Third, delivering energized infrastructure as soon as possible. Every commercial negotiation comes down to the same two questions. How fast can I get my first megawatts? How fast and far can I keep growing with you after that? In parallel with every commercial negotiation, we are working constantly with our partners, our manufacturers, and our supply chains to protect the timelines our customers are underwriting. Turning to slide five. Let me share some examples, because most of this work never makes a press release.

This quarter alone, we accepted delivery of long lead time items and the first Vertiv modules at Moses Lake. We will be conducting further factory and pre-delivery inspections with Vertiv as modules come off the assembly line. We completed inspections for backup generation equipment at Moses Lake. We took delivery of several long lead time items in Sharon, including multiple transformers. We began executing final fiber contracts across our three sites, ensuring multiple path redundancy and connectivity will be available before the sites are online. We continue to update our data center designs, improving power density specs so that we can meet customers' hardware requirements. We completed the first phase of construction across all three sites, which is the decommissioning of all U.S. Bitcoin mining operations.

Most importantly, we significantly deepened our bench of subject matter experts across construction, power, fiber, engineering, controls, and other critical disciplines, and we continue to add talent in these areas. Clear, deliberate steps to de-risk our project timelines and ensure we can deliver state-of-the-art infrastructure within the time frames and budgets our customers require. These steps mark the difference between a promise and a delivery date. Step back and look at what all of this adds up to. 18 months ago, we laid out our thesis and our strategy. Today, we are exactly where we said we wanted to be. The market is where we anticipated it would be. We are now active in the commercial process with the sites we wanted to bring to market at the moment we wanted to bring them to market.

We are doing so from a position of financial strength and with permitting largely de-risked. We followed through on our promise not to cap upside by signing leases prematurely, and that patience is now paying for itself. This is our Goldilocks phase. Not too early to matter, not too late to win, exactly the window we built this company to hit. Let me show you what execution looks like on the ground, starting at Moses Lake. Turning to slide six. Moses Lake is shaping up to be a milestone site for Keel. It will likely be the first site fully permitted, the first site to come online, the first site to generate HPC revenues, and upon commissioning, we expect it to return significant equity capital to our balance sheet and become our first source of durable free cash flow.

Permitting Washington works a bit differently than in Pennsylvania. It has allowed us to start site development while we finish the go vertical permitting process, which we expect will wrap up later this quarter. The Bitcoin mine that stood there before is gone, completely removed. Today, the site is being prepared for the Vertiv modules with every piece of critical long lead equipment secured and being actively manufactured. In fact, the first Vertiv modules have already arrived on site, with deliveries continuing from here. When you look at that rendering on the slide, understand that everything in it is bought, contracted, or already being manufactured, including the building itself. We look forward to delivering Moses Lake as our first fully commissioned and energized data center in 2027. The commercial process reflects this. Moses Lake has interest from exactly the potential tenants you would want.

Leading AI companies, GPU clouds, and enterprises that need power now. Inbound activity and negotiations have accelerated throughout the quarter, reflecting just how scarce near-term power is in the Pacific Northwest. Moses Lake serves a different customer profile than our Pennsylvania sites. Faster-moving companies that value speed and a fully operated facility. Due to that customer demand, we may structure leases here on a modified gross basis rather than triple net, with credit support structured to match. That approach lets these tenants move at the speed they need, keeps Keel in operational control, and creates more value for a site with the size and scope of Moses Lake. Turning to slide seven. At Sharon, momentum continues to build. We secured full zoning in April.

Land development was approved during the quarter. Our final environmental permits are submitted and progressing on track, with only a few environmental permits remaining before Sharon is cleared. We also iterated on the designs throughout the quarter, evaluating how to best consolidate the compute capacity, which we believe would be a simpler, less complex build, and an overall stronger product. Sharon is in active commercial discussions today with multiple parties engaging on the site simultaneously and evaluating it for exactly what it is, rare, uncontracted 2027 power in PJM. The structures under discussion here are focused on triple net and include pairing fast-growing AI companies with investment-grade credit support, exactly the kind of structure that enables a high-growth customer to deliver a financable long-term lease. Turning to slide eight. Then there's Panther Creek.

350 MW of secured utility capacity with PPL, two hours from N.Y. and Philadelphia, in the middle of one of the most sought-after AI corridors in America. This quarter, we secured zoning. We secured conditional land development approval, and we refined the data center design for higher density deployments, because with potential expansion capacity to 500 MW or more, that is where customer demand is going. Not just solving for near-term power, but power that can keep scaling for years to come. On permits, we are in the final stages of our last few environmental permits. All have been submitted and are progressing. However, the final process with regulators is taking a few months longer than originally anticipated. For investors, I would like to clarify what this means. One. The final DEP permitting does not change our planned power delivery schedule under the ESA.

Two, it does not change the anticipated economics of the project. Most importantly, three, it has not slowed commercial progress or interest. As of today, our earliest RFS date continues to be 2027. For the customers that we are speaking to, we don't believe this will have an impact. Commercial interest at Panther Creek is high, and we believe recent broader market dynamics are also beneficial for the site. Because of the scale of the Panther Creek campus, engagement is led by large, sophisticated AI companies, and we expect interest from the very largest players to deepen as the site reaches execution-ready status on permitting. That is the pattern in this market. The bigger the counterparty, the more they value certainty. With every permit that lands, Panther Creek becomes something only a handful of sites in America can offer.

Near-term power at scale with room to keep growing for years. Today, we have multiple potential customers negotiating across multiple sites simultaneously. Interest across the portfolio far exceeds the capacity we have to lease. These are the counterparties you would want at the table. Hyperscalers, leading AI companies, GPU clouds, and large enterprise. While I cannot name names or reveal particulars, I want you to understand that there is competitive tension in this process, and our challenge is not finding customer demand, but in choosing among it. I also want to be direct about how we think about timing. We have been very clear for the past 18 months about our commercial timeline. We did not rush to the finish line, but rather took the time to de-risk our sites, build commercial interest, and ensure we secure the best economics possible for our shareholders.

A lease is not a trophy for a press release. It is a 15-year commitment of infrastructure, credit and trust. The difference between a good lease and a great one is measured in hundreds of millions of dollars over its life. Holding the bottleneck everyone needs to grow means we are negotiating from strength, and we will focus on optimizing across customers, economics, and cost of capital. We are not going to cap the upside of a generational asset in order to deliver a headline. We remain very optimistic and increasingly confident from the engaged and active tenants in our commercial process. The intensity makes clear that our portfolio is exceptionally well-positioned to solve a wide variety of customers' problems. Secured power available in 2027, attractive locations, and proven delivery partners remain the differentiators driving every customer conversation we're having. Turning to slide nine.

With that, I'll turn it over to Jonathan to discuss our Q2 financial results.

Jonathan Mir
CFO, Keel Infrastructure

Thanks, Ben, good morning, everyone. I'd like to open with a simple message reiterating what I communicated on our Q1 call. We are better capitalized today than at any point in this company's history. That capital position gives us something invaluable in this market, the ability to both advance and de-risk our sites at the pace our customers require, and to make commercial decisions driven by our objective of delivering the best possible long-term, risk-adjusted shareholder returns, rather than being driven by time pressure and liquidity position. I'll walk through our capital strategy in more detail, but first, I'll review our Q2 results. Turning to slide 10. For the second quarter of 2026, revenue was $30 million, compared to $61 million in the second quarter of 2025.

The change was largely due to the decrease in average Bitcoin price and the shutdown of the Moses Lake cryptocurrency mining operations during the quarter. Operating loss for the quarter was $141 million compared to operating income of $11 million in the prior year period. This change includes $63 million of accelerated depreciation relating to mining rig shutdowns at the Panther Creek and Scrubgrass sites. Change in fair value of Bitcoin and realized loss in Bitcoin was $20 million compared to a gain of $32 million in Q2 2025. Loss from continuing operations of $64 million, or $0.11 a share, compared to income from continuing operations of $13 million in Q2 2025. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was negative $24 million compared to $7 million in the prior year period.

This decrease in operating margins reflects a decline in Bitcoin price, an increase in G&A related to senior subject matter expert hires as we scale up to the next stage of our business, and an increase in stock-based compensation year-over-year. Our cash SG&A for the first half of 2026 averaged $23 million per quarter, we are currently tracking $100 million of cash SG&A for the year. The increase versus prior year is driven largely by the high-quality selective senior hires needed to support the commercialization phase of our strategy. The company sold 1,085 Bitcoin for $75 million proceeds during a period beginning April 1st, 2026, and ending August 7th, 2026. As of August 7th, 2026, the company's Bitcoin balance stands at 1,861 Bitcoin. As previously discussed, our intent is to liquidate our Bitcoin position in 2026. Turning to slide 11.

I'll now cover some capital market observations as well as a liquidity update. In June, we closed a $458 million offering of convertible senior notes, upsized from an initial $350 million, having received strong investor demand, which we greatly appreciate. This investor demand allowed us to be thoughtful about who we brought onto our cap table, we're pleased to have added several high-quality, long-term oriented investors as a result. Investor feedback has been positive regarding our clarity on how we will use this new capital. This isn't discretionary or speculative capital. It is earmarked to expand power capacity at two of our de-risked owned sites, Panther Creek and Scrubgrass. We're not using these proceeds to take on new development risk. We're using them to build incremental power capacity at existing sites.

Whenever we need external capital, our commitment is to be clear on the uses of that capital and why we believe the associated long-term risk-adjusted returns create value for our shareholders. Taken together, we see the convert offering as having been both a vote of confidence from the market and a direct enabler of the next phase of our strategy execution, including pipeline growth through expansion capacity. Moving on to liquidity. Total liquidity as of August 7th was $819 million, compared to $533 million reported at the beginning of May. To reiterate, we believe our current liquidity supports site development through lease signing, expansion capacity opportunity, and fully funds our cash SG&A through 2028. Before we open the call to Q&A, let me touch on observations about capital markets conditions as they bear directly on how we plan to fund construction at our sites.

First, in respect to project-level high-yield debt financing, we're comfortable with current market conditions. Even with spreads widening, we believe there's adequate depth for the amounts we would raise and prospective returns to equity capital remain attractive. Second, an investment-grade off-take directly or wrap remains critical to obtaining efficient debt financing. The cost of financing against a non-investment grade partner is meaningfully higher and has less market depth. However, at least for now, capacity is available in the market to finance both against investment-grade and selective non-investment grade customers. We continue to believe that an investment-grade customer wrap with durable lease terms is the best choice for shareholders in most circumstances. Lastly, our liquidity position enables us to evaluate any potential capital requirements on a post-lease basis when we expect our cost of capital to decrease.

In summary, we believe that current market conditions leave us well-positioned to finance each site's construction smoothly and on terms that will create value for our shareholders. Turning to slide 12, I'll turn it back to Ben for some closing comments.

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Thank you, Jonathan. Before we open the line for questions, I want to say a quick word about why Keel's doing all of this. Every generation builds its defining infrastructure, and it always gets built before the world agrees it should be. The railroads, the electric grid, the highways, the internet. Intelligence is ours. Work is no longer measured in joules. It is measured in tokens. While the price of a token has a ceiling, the value of one does not. We named this company Keel for a reason. The infrastructure we are building is the foundation that enables the next generation. We are not competing with anyone's ideas about AI. We are powering the people who have them. 18 months ago, this was just a thesis for Keel. Today, we are a company executing in exactly the window we saw coming. Operator, please open the line for questions.

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star one one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. Our first question is going to come from Gareth Gacetta with Cantor. Your line is now open.

Gareth Gacetta
Analyst, Cantor

Hi, guys. Thank you. It's Gareth. I'm for Brett. I was hoping you could touch on kind of the political environment around data centers kind of across the U.S. I know you mentioned that these kind of developments haven't really changed the power delivery schedule or also kind of the commercial progress among potential tenants. Can you just talk about how these potential tenants are looking at the regulatory backdrop and what that might be impacting on their timeframe?

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Happy to do that, thanks for the question, Gareth. The regulatory backdrop and the political backdrop is something that we obviously are watching very, very closely. Clearly there's a lot of headlines around in the U.S. right now with moratoriums and regulatory actions and kind of new frameworks or new policies or new tariffs that are being proposed and being suggested. I think, the reality is that every time that that happens in a place, it's going to increase the value of the other sites that are not impacted by those regulations. Obviously in a market dynamic where there's so much growth happening so fast, sometimes some markets need a little bit of time to catch up. I think one of the advantages that we have here in Pennsylvania is Pennsylvania is kind of enjoying this second mover advantage.

It definitely wasn't the first to jump up there and start building data centers. They've really had a lot more permits and rules and different steps and hoops to jump through in the first place. I think that the reactions that you're seeing across the country are due to the huge influx of data center demand and applications. I think Pennsylvania had a pretty good framework in place already for large industry, large manufacturers, very large kind of consumers coming in to build industrial capacity. I think it set us up, I think it probably can accrete some value to Pennsylvania to see these actions taking place in other sites, because that capacity still needs to come in the United States. Those are the areas that there's going to be continued opportunity in.

Gareth Gacetta
Analyst, Cantor

Great. That's super helpful. Maybe just a quick follow-up. Could you touch on your current pipeline? I think it's about 480 MW you guys have secured, but could you just provide any color on how much of that pipeline is exposed to this application process?

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

We've got two different buckets of energy. We've got our secured, and we've got our expansion capacity. As of right now, all of our secured capacity, we believe, is unimpacted to date. We're going to continue to monitor that very closely. The expansion capacity may be impacted by future changes or future policy implications. Right now, everything is progressing incredibly well on securing our expansion capacity. I mentioned it briefly on the call. We're working with our utilities on a daily basis. Our applications to secure our expansion capacity, which is almost 2 GW across the state, is going very well. We're increasingly confident that we're going to be able to secure additional power. Look forward to giving investors the update as early as December or January.

Gareth Gacetta
Analyst, Cantor

Great. Thanks for taking the questions.

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Thanks, Gareth.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question will come from Greg Lewis with BTIG. Your line's open.

Greg Lewis
Analyst, BTIG

Yeah. Hi. Thank you, and good morning, and thanks for taking my questions. I was hoping to kind of talk a little bit about the permitting process. I noticed you talked about some of the environmental permitting, just I's that we have to dot and T's we have to cross. As you're working with your data center partners, I'm curious, is there like a dual process around how we could address some permitting issues? The reason I'm asking is one of the things that we've heard is sometimes the backup power generation, if it's diesel or natural gas, tends to trigger some environmental permitting challenges or just things we need to address, versus maybe using backup batteries as a solution. Just kind of curious if that's something that we're exploring just in case the environmental permitting takes longer or is just a slower moving process maybe than we thought.

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Yeah. Thanks, Greg. To answer your question, you're certainly right that when going for environmental permits, especially on the backup generators, those can be challenging. There are ways that you can manage that. There are different quality of generator efficiencies and quality of emission controls. Certain generators are easier to get permitted. Certain generators are more difficult. Really, it depends on how much you expect to use the generators and the associated emissions over the year. A data center project can have the same backup generator, but based on its expected uptime, could have two very different permits. It's a bit of a complex and nuanced situation. We're always striving to find the ways to speed up and compress those timelines, especially if it's something like permitting.

We do evaluate all the solutions out there with regards to BESS or different generator solutions to try and keep that process as quick and as efficient as possible.

Greg Lewis
Analyst, BTIG

Okay, great. I was hoping, Ben, you could talk a little bit about Sherbrooke. I guess just now that the power's been across the site or however that's viewed by potential customers. I guess the 9,600 MW across one site. What does that actually mean from a marketing perspective for Keel?

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Yeah, that's a great question, Greg, and I'm happy to speak about the Sherbrooke project. We've got a decent sized portfolio in Quebec. Quebec represents a market that is very captive. There's a lot of legislation in both Canada as a country and Quebec as a province that really strongly incentivizes data sovereignty at the national and at the provincial level. Unfortunately, it's just been very hard to secure new electrical capacity for data centers. What we have in the province of Quebec is we've got a huge energy portfolio, but specifically approved for Bitcoin mining. What the approval that we received on Sherbrooke was for consolidating three different Bitcoin mining power purchase agreements we have into a new single power purchase agreement specifically for HPC and AI.

That one piece there, the change in the industrial use case, is the big change here that enables us to actually move forward with developing an HPC and AI data center, once we have the last sign-off from the provincial minister. The reality is that because the legislation is there and because the demand is captive, we think that Canada and Quebec largely can charge a little bit of a premium on the exact same compute, because they just are that much more captive and the capacity is just that much more scarce.

Greg Lewis
Analyst, BTIG

Super helpful. Thank you very much.

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Thanks, Greg.

Operator

Thank you. The next question will come from Mike Grondahl with Northland Capital Markets. Your line's open.

Logan Hennen
Analyst, Northland Capital Markets

Hey, morning guys, this is Logan on for Mike. Thanks for taking our question. Ben, first, can you provide a formal update if Keel is still targeting three leases announced in 2026, given the extended timeline now for Panther Creek? Maybe just an update on how demand has evolved over the last 90 days since that target was announced. Thank you.

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Yeah, happy to cover that, Logan. We're still in active due diligence and negotiations at all three of our sites. I think the commercial process is going incredibly well. At every three of our priority sites, we've got a lot of very interesting and sticky potential tenants who are working through the negotiation process. I think at this time, while we're working through the negotiations, we're just going to continue to focus on working through those negotiations and the multiple parties as trying to give a clue or an indication as to where any particular negotiation for any particular site or tenant is at. We remain incredibly optimistic and confident based on the commercial process so far, based on the continued process that we have with permitting across all three sites, as well as the other background works with the engineers, the supply chains, the fiber contracts.

Everything is continuing to move forward. I think the closer you get to an energization date, the more valuable your energy becomes by the day. It becomes an easier and easier commercial process when you're working through a 2027 delivery date, as opposed to a 2028 or a 2029. That continues to keep us incredibly confident, optimistic, and it also helps to keep our potential tenants very engaged.

Logan Hennen
Analyst, Northland Capital Markets

Great. Yeah, appreciate the insight there. One more from us. Can you formally update us on the Scrubgrass site, where that's at today, how that site's progressing, and the demand you're seeing for that 2028+ power?

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Yeah, sure. Happy to give an update on Scrubgrass. Although there isn't much of a substantive update to give. Scrubgrass is what we call a pipeline site. This is a very exciting 1 GW+ campus in Western Pennsylvania. Right now, the process for Scrubgrass is really in the energy application stage. We have been working with the local utility there for a detailed load study for 750 MW, and we've also been working on the pipeline and engineering, as many investors know, for a pipeline to support 550 MW of on-site generation with CCGTs and an IPP who would come in and deploy the turbines, finance, operate, and sell the power to the end customer. At this stage, we are still working on securing the power.

Until we have secured the power, and we have a firm final understanding of how big the site's going to be by what time, we're not doing the engineering work for building out the data centers or planning out the data centers. We have not submitted any permits or any proposals at this time. We're really focused on securing the power and working through what we call a master grading plan and kind of a site campus layout plan so that we can know, as soon as we get the power approved, where we're going to want to build buildings, how we want to build buildings. The size of the buildings, the number of the buildings, the cadence, and that sort of thing.

At this stage, it's still really in the energy application phase, and we should be able to provide investors an update as early as December or January.

Logan Hennen
Analyst, Northland Capital Markets

That's great, Ben. Thank you.

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Thank you, Logan.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is going to come from Michael Donovan with Compass Point. Your line's open.

Michael Donovan
Analyst, Compass Point

Hi, thanks for taking my question. Mike, I was hoping we could discuss the cadence for RFS. Are you still expecting 30 MW for the first data center and then expanding it by the 80 MW?

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

We've been working on that, Mike, and we've been working on how do we compress our timelines as much as possible, and also how do we improve our power density. As of right now, we haven't updated it, but we are looking at ways that we can compress it into one 110 MW phase.

Michael Donovan
Analyst, Compass Point

Okay, that's helpful. At Moses Lake, is an additional 10 MW at this site still an option?

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

No, we've decided to give up that option, and we are just focusing on the 18 MW in Moses Lake at this time, and we have given up the option.

Michael Donovan
Analyst, Compass Point

Appreciate it.

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is going to come from Bill Papanastasiou with Chardan. Your line's open.

Bill Papanastasiou
Analyst, Chardan

Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Can we please double-click on the environmental permitting process? Are you seeing a higher bar being set given the recent political headwinds on building data center capacity? More specifically, how would you assess the likelihood of environmental permitting approvals today relative to prior quarters? Thank you.

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Thanks, Bill. Yeah, happy to dig into that a little bit. Really, when you look at our permits across both Sharon and Panther Creek, they're really kind of the same permits at both facilities. They're all environmental. It's largely associated with sewage, which is a pretty standard permit to apply for and get. It's not one that tends to be controversial, as well as the ground stuff. Things that deal with erosion, water, storm water, is basically what the rest of the permits entail. These are engineering-focused. Like I said, they're not generally politically sensitive or subject to a whole lot of opinion. It's really just the engineering work. One of the things that we've mentioned on previous calls, I think people have asked about our relationship with the OTO, which is Pennsylvania's fast track office. Josh Shapiro has a fast track office for permitting.

That's actually run out of the DEP because the DEP is well-known for taking the longest line item in the permitting process. That's actually split up into two departments. There's a eastern DEP, and there's a western DEP, and it's the eastern DEP that tends to be the one that's a bit more overworked, and it takes a bit longer to go through the permitting process than the western one. It's really just a matter of working through the backlogs. These are pretty standard permits. This is a well-known process. We remain incredibly confident, the most confident we've ever been, on completing our permits for both Panther Creek and Sharon today.

Bill Papanastasiou
Analyst, Chardan

Appreciate that. Apologies if this was mentioned then, the conditional approval at Panther Creek, what are the conditions attached to that? Thanks.

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

There's too many conditions to name, but to give you some examples, conditional approval will include things like you need to adjust your setbacks, or maybe you need to adjust the height from 62 down to 60 or just something like that. They're pretty standard recommendations. It'll be very specific. They'll usually be very numeric, and it's make the following recommendations or implement the following systems or achieve the following conditions. They are not hard to comply with, and the real advantage of having that conditional approval, it's a very clear checklist of everything that you need to do so that that conditional remove goes away and you are just fully permitted. It's a very clear prescription or recipe or however you want to think about it for getting there.

If they don't want to get you approved, they wouldn't be providing such a clear roadmap for that success.

Bill Papanastasiou
Analyst, Chardan

Understood. There was a prior question on Quebec. Can you talk about that opportunity? How ripe is the sovereign AI market in the province, and how do you see Keel capitalizing on that? Thank you.

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Yeah. We've spoken with a number of different industry experts, especially in the province. We think that rates generally in Canada are higher than they are in the United States, it's hard to put a firm figure on that. Generally speaking, they are higher. What we see is that there's some nice diversification benefits for us as a company. We have the U.S. Canada diversification element. There is the element where in Canada, you don't have to worry about regulatory changes with regards to tariffs and all of those other items which might impact the cost of a data center. We think that delivery in Canada could potentially be cheaper than in the United States, and we think the market could potentially be worth more than it is in the United States. The challenge with Canada is the same challenge we've always had with Canada.

It's just a very hard market to grow in organically. If you're looking to achieve a 1 GW growth in Canada, that's probably a very high hanging fruit, and much higher hanging fruit than trying to achieve 1 GW at a campus like Scrubgrass in Pennsylvania. For the power that we have, we believe that working through to get that approval, working forward to make sure that we have the clear path and all the permits, all the support needed and secured for us to develop a data center, we believe we can generate some pretty attractive yields in Canada.

Operator

Okay, thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star one one on your telephone. Our next question will come from Stephen Glagola with KBW. Your line is open.

Stephen Glagola
Analyst, KBW

Hey, thank you. Ben, how should investors think about the significance of the August 20th Department of Environmental Protection meeting for Panther Creek? What are the key decisions or milestones that need to come out of that meeting? Thank you.

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Very routine meeting. I don't think you should be thinking about this as a special or a unique thing. It's just another routine meeting.

Stephen Glagola
Analyst, KBW

Okay. All right. That's good to know. I guess a higher level question for you would be, when you're evaluating prospective tenants, to what extent does your view of the long-term model or landscape influence your willingness to partner with a particular AI lab?

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Well, that's a very interesting question. One that we actually think about a lot because the market is changing quite quickly. Even just last week, actually, we were talking about the entire company at Keel has adopted Claude for our enterprise AI solution. A year ago, none of us were using Anthropic. We were all using ChatGPT, and now that's completely changed. I think that model, or I think the market is going to continue to change and adjust. This is a market where the incentive is very high. There's a lot of people who want to push for the top. We do expect it's going to continue to change. We think that Anthropic's found a nice niche in the enterprise market, which is the one that we've always been identifying as the one that's really going to be driving this industry forward as opposed to retail.

It's going to be the enterprise consumers. Maybe they develop a little bit of a moat here. We're going to try and stay as agnostic as possible with regards to the models because as we've said before, a lease is really not a trophy for a press release. It's a 15-year commitment. The gap between a good one and a bad one is measured in hundreds of millions of dollars. We're not in this for the company who can only pay their rents for one year, right? We're in this to find the companies who are going to be able to give us long-term contracted, predictable revenue for one to two decades.

Stephen Glagola
Analyst, KBW

Thanks, Ben.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is going to come from Nick Giles with B. Riley Securities. Your line's open.

Nick Giles
Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Yeah, thanks, operator. Good morning, guys. A lot of good questions asked already. I just wanted to zoom out and ask, Ben, what do you really see as some of the biggest risks at this point? It seems like you made some progress on the supply chain front. Curious if there's any kind of further mitigation you can do there. Thank you.

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Thanks, Nick. I think the biggest risk at this point is probably just broader macro. The reality is that there's still very little 2027 power that's available in the market. We have a really strong position because we have a very reasonable amount of the 2027 leasable capacity remaining. I think broadly speaking, that Well, actually keeps all of our potential tenants incredibly engaged. It keeps them incredibly sticky. They're all looking to solve the exact same deployment problems. There's a real strong advantage there towards having that 2027 power that everyone is so focused on delivering. I think the broader market is probably what we're watching the most. How are capital markets evolving and changing? How are the financing opportunities for the market changing? What's happening with interest rates and broader risk on, risk off sentiment?

How is the market processing the increasing amounts of intercompany financings that we're seeing across the industry? I think those are the things that were really the bigger risk factors for the business. Fortunately, those are things that the entire industry kind of equally faces together. Given we have that 2027 power that's in high demand, we're incredibly highly confident with our portfolio and moving forward with the commercial processes for all of our sites.

Nick Giles
Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Great. No, that's good to hear. Then just maybe on the CapEx side, I was curious if you kind of have any rough sense for where that could shake out and if there's a kind of development cost or a certain yield to cost hurdle that you're looking to achieve on any signing.

Jonathan Mir
CFO, Keel Infrastructure

Hi, this is Jonathan. Thanks for the question and good to talk to you this morning. We continue to suggest that you use the rule of thumb industry averages that you might see in equity research for purposes of your own modeling in terms of construction costs and yield on costs. That should work well for you.

Nick Giles
Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Fair enough. No, appreciate that, Jonathan. Then just one more if I could. I think all the BTC sites have been decommissioned now. Should we really be zeroing out revenues for the balance of the year?

Jonathan Mir
CFO, Keel Infrastructure

At the beginning of the year, we made clear from our liquidity forecast that we were assuming there would be no cash contribution from BTC embedded in any of our forecasting. We still do have rigs up in Canada. As a practical matter, they might contribute two or three Bitcoin a day. Again, all of our discussion around liquidity and projected liquidity assumes that the Bitcoin business provides no cash over the course of the year.

Nick Giles
Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Got it. Okay. Thanks for the clarification, appreciate the update, guys.

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Thanks, Nick.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is going to come from Martin Toner with ATB. Your line is open.

Martin Toner
Analyst, ATB

Good morning. Thanks so much for taking my questions, and congrats on the progress. A question about timing. Now that Panther Creek, which is the flagship or crown jewel asset, not to put words in your mouth, is delayed likely relative to the others, how do you think that changes timing for deal announcements? Is it possible a tenant wants all three and therefore it'll take a little bit longer to sign it? Which one do you think will go first?

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Thanks, Martin. We have an internal betting pool in terms of which site is going to go first, but it's really hard to pinpoint exactly where that's going to land out. You don't really know what's going on in the background with each customer, and generally speaking, they're going to be as aggressive as their back pipeline of demand is there. They're going to be quite aggressive depending on what's unique to them. With regards to a timing for Moses, Sharon, Panther Creek, and whether or not one potential tenant could be interested in all three, I can confirm that we have multiple tenants who want all three sites. That doesn't mean that's how we want to run the process, or that's how we necessarily want to be building our portfolio.

We'd rather be looking at trying to keep tenants focusing on individual sites, get them focused on one site that they can take down. Then look at how they can build potentially a pipeline of growth with us beyond that first asset. Many of the tenants that we've been speaking to recently are not just interested in an asset. They're interested in finding a development partner that they can continue to scale with predictably over time. That's how a lot of these conversations are going, is how do we get on with Moses Lake first. Then how do we also sign up for a second site or continued expansion in 2028 and 2029 with you? Same thing with Sharon and same thing with Panther Creek. Whether or not that impacts the timing for Panther Creek is not certain right now.

The commercial process is still incredibly active, nobody seems to be batting an eye. As long as our RFS date remains 2027, I don't think there will be any impact here on our commercial process.

Martin Toner
Analyst, ATB

That's very helpful. Thank you. Has the RFS date within 2027 changed for any of the sites?

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

For Panther Creek, we've always been end of year 2027, and same here for Sharon, end of year 2027. I don't believe that we've pushed back our Pennsylvania sites. I think Moses Lake has been delayed maybe a couple of months since our original guidance. It's still going to be the first site that we expect to have online in next year.

Martin Toner
Analyst, ATB

That's fantastic. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is going to come from Brian Dobson with Clear Street. Your line is now open.

Brian Dobson
Analyst, Clear Street

Hey, guys. Good morning. I guess as you're looking at your portfolio, where would you like to add additional resources or expand in existing ones? I suppose, are there certain geographies that you're favoring more than others at this point?

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Thanks, Brian. That's a great question because we are looking at how we continue to grow our pipeline beyond 2027 through 2028, 2029, and 2030. We do still have a global view, we do have a strong, I think, preference for the East Coast, specifically the U.S. Northeast and the Midwest areas. We think those areas have tremendous energy resources and tremendous inference potential over the next couple of years, and going to be likely the areas where we see the greatest opportunities for HPC and AI infrastructure build out. It's early days. There can always be amazing opportunities outside of those areas, and we're certainly not going to be closed off to those amazing opportunities. I think generally speaking, that's going to be where we focus.

Brian Dobson
Analyst, Clear Street

Great. Thanks, Ben. I guess in recent weeks, you've seen governors from New York and Texas, I guess, put an increased level of scrutiny on data centers. Do you think that this is something that we might start to see in other important energy regions? Ultimately, do you think it favors established players like yourselves?

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Thanks, Brian. The trend right now or the winds right now indicate we probably are going to see a few more headlines like this in the coming months. I think Pennsylvania represents a really, really unique centrist state in our view. This is a state that is very, very focused on energy and heavy industry. It's very, very blue in the major cities, and it's very red everywhere else. When you look at Josh Shapiro and kind of the politics of Pennsylvania, they do represent a very unique kind of centrist position for the United States these days.

It is one of the least polarizing states, in my view, in terms of the politics, because they do know that they need to balance out the trades, the industry, the energy, all of those sort of employment opportunities, which is what drives Pennsylvania, with the other concerns on the other side of the hall. We think that this is a great place to be is in Pennsylvania. We think that if states want to block themselves off from the best economic opportunity for development in decades and could be for the next couple of decades, we think that's pretty shortsighted. When you look at what one of these data center investments does for communities, for revenues, for employment opportunities, for tax budgets, for the schools and for the roads and what have you, these are transformative for the communities that we're investing in.

We think that they're very, very excited about the projects because of those investments, because somebody is actually looking to do that. We think it's pretty shortsighted, but we'll probably continue to see a few more. Generally speaking, we think Pennsylvania is in a sweet spot.

Brian Dobson
Analyst, Clear Street

Excellent. Thanks very much.

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Thanks, Brian.

Operator

I am showing no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back over to Ben for closing remarks.

Ben Gagnon
CEO and Director, Keel Infrastructure

Thank you all for joining us today, and thank you to the entire Keel team, whose work this quarter speaks louder than anything I've said on the call. We'll see you all in November with more to show you. Thank you.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.