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Earnings Call: Q2 2022

Apr 7, 2022

Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Kura Sushi USA Fiscal Second Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants have been placed in a listen-only mode, and the lines will be open for your questions following the presentation.

Please note that this call is being recorded. On the call today, we have Hajime "Jimmy" Uba, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Benjamin Porten, Vice President of Investor Relations and Business Development. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Porten.

Benjamin Porten
VP of Investor Relations and Business Development, Kura Sushi USA

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you all for joining. By now, everyone should have access to our fiscal second quarter 2022 earnings release. It can be found at www.kurasushi.com in the investor relations section.

A copy of the earnings release has also been included in the 8-K we submitted to the SEC. Before we begin our formal remarks, I need to remind everyone that part of our discussions today will include forward-looking statements as defined under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.

These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and therefore you should not put undue reliance on them. These statements are also subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from what we expect.

We refer all of you to our SEC filings for a more detailed discussion of the risks that could impact our future operating results and financial condition. Also, during today's call, we will discuss certain Non-GAAP financial measures which we believe can be useful in evaluating our performance.

The presentation of this additional information should not be considered in isolation, nor as a substitute for results prepared in accordance with GAAP, and the reconciliations to comparable GAAP measures are available in our earnings release. With that out of the way, I'd like to turn the call over to Jimmy.

Hajime Uba
President and CEO, Kura Sushi USA

Thank you, Ben, and thank you everyone for joining us today. Before beginning my prepared remarks, I would like to note that Steven Benrubi, our Chief Financial Officer, is attending to a personal matter and won't be joining our call today. I'm very pleased to announce that the strong sales momentum of our fiscal first quarter has continued through the first half of our fiscal year.

Our team has done an excellent job of mitigating the Omicron headwinds that we had touched on in our previous earnings call, resulting in our fiscal second quarter setting a new company record for quarterly sales. These headwinds were more pronounced in the first half of the quarter as illustrated by our monthly comp breakdown as compared to pre-COVID fiscal 2020 figures.

14.5% comp growth in December, 5.6% comp growth in January, and 14% comp growth in February, resulting in full quarter comparable sales growth of 11.3%. As compared to fiscal 2021 results, full quarter comparable sales grew by 183%.

The differences in regional performance that we've seen throughout the pandemic was less pronounced in Q2, with Texas comps of 12.6% and California comps of 8.9% as compared to fiscal 2020. The narrowing of this gap during Q2 was largely driven by weather events and higher rates of quarantined employees in Texas, as well as ongoing recovery in California.

The strength of California's recovery can be demonstrated by looking at comps on a single year comparison against fiscal 2021, where Texas had a comparable sales growth of 74% as compared to California's comparable sales growth of 398%.

The COVID headwinds we faced in this fiscal year's Q2 were more substantial than those of Q1, but it's clear that we are in a fundamentally different place from the same time last year. I'm encouraged by the strong sales that we've seen following the peak of Omicron, suggesting that earlier softness was due to quarantine-driven staffing limitations as opposed to any change in demand.

The renewed sales momentum in the back half of our fiscal second quarter is still going strong, with March revenue of $12.5 million, representing month-over-month sequential growth of 22% over February and a new monthly sales record for the company.

For the purpose of understanding the current state of our business, we believe a month-over-month sales comparison is more useful than a year-over-year comparison due to the magnitude of the impact that government-operating restrictions had on our business performance during March 2020 and 2021. March year-over-year comparable sales growth as compared to fiscal 2021 was 93% and was 2,221% as compared to fiscal 2020.

Turning to off-premises, Q2 revenue was $1.5 million and a sales mix of 5.1% as compared to Q1's off-premises revenue of $1.3 million and a sales mix of 4.55%. Some of you may have noticed, we took a minor price adjustment on March 1 of approximately 1.8%, reflecting our expectations for commodity inflation for the remainder of the fiscal year.

Our value proposition remains as strong as ever, as demonstrated by guest response. Our primary measure of consumer elasticity is per consumer plate consumption, as guests are able to self-manage their ticket sizes with our small plate menu.

Much like at the time of our last pricing event, our consumer plate consumption rates are higher than two years ago in spite of pricing, which we see as a clear indication that the premium value we pride ourselves on at Kura remains intact in spite of ongoing commodity volatility. While pricing is never our first lever, I'm confident that we have yet to approach their price sensitivity and that our pricing power continues to be very strong. Moving on to development, we opened three units during Q2.

Two units in Arizona, which is a new market, and our first unit in San Antonio, Texas. Subsequent to the quarter, we entered another new market with the opening of our location in Watertown, Massachusetts, for a total of five restaurant openings year to date.

Guest reception of these new openings, both in new and existing markets, has exceeded our near-term expectations. While it's early, we believe that the units from our fiscal 2022 vintage have the opportunity to exceed historical AUVs. We are making excellent progress on our full-year development plans.

We currently have five units under construction in various states of completion, and we expect the remainder of our new units for this fiscal year will open in the fiscal fourth quarter. Now I would like to provide an update on what I'm sure is top of mind for everyone in the restaurant industry, staffing, supply chain, and the COVID impact.

As we had mentioned in our last earnings call, we began to see staffing pressures in the latter half of December due to employee quarantining, leading to reduced seating capacity or operating hours at certain restaurants.

These pressures continued through January and were the primary driver of the sequential comp deceleration for that month. The Omicron situation has since much improved, as demonstrated by our February and March results. It's reassuring to see our employees return, confirming that these staffing issues were temporary and driven by external factors, as opposed to an inability to recruit or retain candidates.

Currently, our restaurant staffing levels are approximately 95% of where we would like to be, and we hope to close this small gap in the near future. Over the course of the second quarter, we saw approximately 80 basis points as a percentage of sales of commodity inflation relative to the prior quarter. Our expectation is that our March pricing will offset commodity inflation through the second half of our fiscal year.

As we mentioned in the past, we are relatively insulated with commodity spikes due to the wide variety of our basket. During the quarter, we hired our first VP of Purchasing, who comes from an extensive restaurant industry background.

We are very excited to benefit from his expertise, especially during this period of relative uncertainty in the overall supply chain. The business impact from COVID during the current quarter is much less than that of Q2, which saw the previously mentioned staffing issues during the peak of Omicron. All in all, we remain optimistic about the course of the pandemic.

Now I would like to update everyone on our tech and restaurant initiatives. By our last earnings call, we had rolled out robot servers to 5 of our restaurants. Today, we have robots in 20 of our restaurants, or a little bit more than half of our system.

These robot servers have delivered immediate results in terms of reducing the workload of our front of house employees, which we hope will boost retention and make us a more attractive employer for future candidates.

Guest response has been overwhelmingly positive, both in terms of the whimsy and fun that the robot servers provide and the improvement to customer service resulting from the reduction of non-hospitality focused responsibilities for our front of house employees. While it is still very early in terms of its implementation, initial results are encouraging, and we expect our robot servers to deliver labor savings in the future.

Touch panel drink ordering implementation is going smoothly as well, with rollout complete in 22 units, and we expect system-wide rollout for touch panel drink ordering and robot servers to be completed by the end of the fiscal year.

The growth of our rewards program membership continues to be very strong, with 80,000 new members joining during Q2, for a total of 393,000 members as of the end of the second fiscal quarter. This translates to approximately 11,000 rewards members for every Kura Sushi unit, which is exceptional even in comparison to much larger concepts and a true testament to the intense brand affinity and loyalty that our guests have for Kura.

On that note, I'm tremendously excited to announce the latest addition to our executive suite. In February, we hired Mark Finnegan to serve as our first Chief Marketing Officer. Mark was most recently the Chief Marketing and Information Officer for Barber Grill and has held marketing leadership roles at restaurant companies including Wendy's, IHOP, and Pizza Hut.

We are particularly interested in Mark's dual background in marketing and IT, given how key technology is to our concept. While Mark has only been with us for a couple of months, he's already making huge contributions to the company, and we couldn't be more excited to see where Mark takes us on our journey as a brand.

As a preview of things to come, one of his many projects is the development of the next stage of our rewards program. In past earnings call, we had mentioned that the true potential of our rewards program will only be unlocked once we have the ability to leverage guest data. With Mark, we have the perfect person to spearhead these efforts.

I would like to end my prepared remarks by thanking all of our team members, especially those in our restaurants, for their amazing efforts. In five years, we have gone from having a presence in two states to 11 states and Washington, D.C.

with great responses in each new market. I sincerely appreciate the excellent work that each team member has put in to create the great guest experiences that have enabled our growth and expansion. With that, let me turn the call over to Ben to briefly discuss our financial results and liquidity. Ben?

Benjamin Porten
VP of Investor Relations and Business Development, Kura Sushi USA

Thank you, Jimmy. For the fiscal second quarter, total sales were $31.3 million as compared to $9.1 million in the prior year period. We believe measurement of comp sales growth is most relevant versus the pre-COVID period of fiscal second quarter 2020. On that basis, comp sales grew by 11.3%, with regional comps of 8.9% for California and 12.6% for Texas.

Turning to cost, food and beverage costs as a percentage of sales were 30% compared to 35% in the prior year quarter due to pricing taken at the start of the fiscal first quarter, partially offset by food cost inflation and largely normalized performance as sales volume improved.

Labor and related costs as a percentage of sales increased to 33.1% from 22.7% in the prior year quarter due to the lapping of the employee retention credits recognized in the prior year. Excluding the impact of the ERC, labor and related costs as a percentage of sales in the prior year quarter would have been 46.9%.

The year-over-year improvement in labor and related costs as a percentage of sales excluding the ERC was due to higher sales leverage, partially offset by increases in minimum wage. Occupancy and related expenses as a percentage of sales improved to 7.4% from 17.9% in the prior year quarter, primarily due to higher sales leverage.

Other costs as a percentage of sales decreased to 13.9% compared to 22.6% in the prior year quarter due to higher sales leverage as well. General and administrative expenses were $5.5 million compared to $2.9 million in the prior year quarter.

Excluding the impact of the ERC recognized in the prior year quarter, general and administrative expenses would have been $3.3 million. The increase was primarily due to compensation-related expenses as we made investments in our team to support our accelerated growth plans.

As a percentage of sales, general and administrative expenses were 17.4% compared to 31.6% in the prior year quarter. Operating loss was $1.9 million compared to an operating loss of $3.8 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2021.

Income tax expense was $3,000 compared to an income tax expense of $29,000 in the prior year quarter. Note that we expect to continue to incur nominal income tax expense quarterly irrespective of our pre-tax income or loss as a result of the full valuation allowance against our deferred income tax assets and incurrence of minor income tax payable at state levels.

Net loss was $1.9 million or $0.19 per diluted share compared to net loss of $3.9 million or $0.46 per diluted share in the second quarter of 2021. When adjusting for the ERC benefit for the second quarter of 2021, adjusted net loss was $6.5 million or $0.78 per diluted share.

Restaurant level operating profit as a percentage of sales was 17.8% compared to restaurant level operating loss as a percentage of sales of 14.8% in the prior year quarter. Adjusted EBITDA was $0.4 million compared to -$4.7 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2021. Turning to our cash and liquidity, at the end of the fiscal second quarter, we had $36.4 million in cash and cash equivalents and no debt.

We remain confident we can achieve our annual guidance given our fiscal second quarter results and subsequent business performance. As a reminder, our full year guidance is as follows. We expect total sales between $130 million and $140 million.

We expect general and administrative expenses as a percentage of sales of approximately 17%, and we expect the opening of 8 - 10 new units with net capital expenditures per unit of $2.1 million. Now, I'll turn the call back to Jimmy.

Hajime Uba
President and CEO, Kura Sushi USA

This concludes our prepared remarks. We are now happy to answer any questions you have. Operator, please open the line for questions. As a reminder, during the Q&A session, I may answer in Japanese before my response is translated into English. Please bear with us.

Operator

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. The confirmation tone will indicate that your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue.

For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment please while we pull for questions. Thank you. Our first question comes from Andrew Strelzik with BMO Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.

Amanda Morley
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Hi, this is Amanda Morley on for Andrew. My question is, given the current environment, have you recently seen any notable changes in consumer behavior as it relates to number of plates per customer, traffic, wait times, et cetera? Are you seeing any regional differences that you would call out?

Hajime Uba
President and CEO, Kura Sushi USA

Thank you for your first question. Oh, sorry. Go ahead.

Benjamin Porten
VP of Investor Relations and Business Development, Kura Sushi USA

Yeah, go ahead, Jimmy.

Hajime Uba
President and CEO, Kura Sushi USA

Oh, okay. Amanda, please allow me to answer your questions in Japanese.

Benjamin Porten
VP of Investor Relations and Business Development, Kura Sushi USA

Hi, Amanda. To answer your second question first, in terms of regional differences in consumer response, in Q2, we saw minor pressures in Texas relative to typical, just given that we had greater incidences of quarantine staff, and we had some weather events. Having entered Q3 in March, the operating environment's very similar to Q1.

We're not really seeing any major differences between region. California naturally has a greater degree of conservatism when it comes to the pandemic. I mean, Los Angeles County has just removed their vaccine mandates for indoor dining. Indoor mask mandates have been dropped across the state. It's about as good a situation as it's been since we've entered the pandemic.

In terms of the overall sort of pandemic situation, we were really encouraged to see in Q2 just how quickly we were able to rebound from Omicron. It's been the fastest recovery we've seen since entering the pandemic, and I think it says a lot about consumer psychology, where they're at.

In Q1, we mentioned that we'd taken pricing in September and to give context to that, we discussed plate consumption rates. The Q2 plate consumption rates haven't changed whatsoever since Q1, and both of those are meaningfully higher than pre-pandemic plate consumption rates per person.

This is really encouraging because, you know, whenever you take pricing, there's a concern that there may be a delayed response, a delayed pushback. Now that we're six months in from taking that September price, we know that the pushback or the lack of pushback is, it's holding.

Amanda Morley
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay, great. If I could just fit in another question. Can you provide an update on your tech initiatives as it relates to improving table turn times? I know, for example, I believe, the handhelds have now been fully rolled out for the entire quarter and the robot test is being expanded. Have you been able to quantify exactly how impactful that has been?

Benjamin Porten
VP of Investor Relations and Business Development, Kura Sushi USA

It's a little bit difficult for us to quantify just given all of the noise in Q2 between Omicron, weather events in certain markets. Also because we've rolled out these initiatives so rapidly in succession, it's hard to tease out right now the specific impact of any given initiative.

Right. That being said, in terms of the three initiatives that we're focusing on for this fiscal year, the robot server rollout, the tableside payment, and touch panel drink ordering, we have two major goals.

The first is to drive sales, as you mentioned, through improved table turn times. The other is to reduce labor as a percentage of sales. Looking at initial results, we're confident that these initiatives are gonna contribute to both of those goals.

Hajime Uba
President and CEO, Kura Sushi USA

Great. Thank you so much.

Benjamin Porten
VP of Investor Relations and Business Development, Kura Sushi USA

Thank you, Amanda.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Jeremy Hamblin with Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Please proceed with your question.

Jeremy Hamblin
Senior Research Analyst, Craig-Hallum Capital Group

Thanks, and congrats on the strong results. I wanted to start with unit openings and make sure that I confirmed what I heard. I know that you opened a location in Watertown, Massachusetts. I think what you indicated was that the remaining openings for the year would all open up in fiscal Q4.

You know, I think you had indicated that previously it's roughly 4-5 months between the time when you break ground and when you complete a store and it's ready to open. First, I wanted to confirm the timing of those openings. Second, I wanted to understand, you know, we've heard a lot about permitting delays, construction, build delays, and whether or not you're experiencing any of that.

Benjamin Porten
VP of Investor Relations and Business Development, Kura Sushi USA

Sure. I'm happy to answer this question. Jeremy, to answer your first question, yes, you heard correctly in that we expect all of our remaining store openings for the fiscal year to be in Q4. Given that, you know, it's only a three-month period, we're gonna be trying to spread out the openings as evenly as possible throughout the quarter to reduce stress on our opening teams.

But we do have multiple opening teams now, and so we are able to open stores in parallel. As you mentioned, the permitting delays are really the main factor in terms of uncertainty for construction times. That's going to impact the cadence of the openings in Q4. But everything else, we're doing everything in our power to control.

You mentioned stuff about like material delays or whatever. One important change that we've introduced is that as of our first location in San Antonio, we've used our first domestically manufactured conveyor belt and furniture.

Typically, we ship this in from Japan or China. It's substantially more expensive from freight, and it can be a 4-5-month period, whereas this U.S. factory, it's based in Virginia, so it's a 4-5-day delivery to San Antonio, which as you can imagine, gives us a lot more control over construction time. We're really excited about this partnership.

Jeremy Hamblin
Senior Research Analyst, Craig-Hallum Capital Group

Great. Thanks for that color. I also wanted to confirm, as you were providing some color on sales trends, I think that you indicated that March was up 22% versus February. Some of that might be just the number of days in the month. But I think that calculates to about, like, $10.2-$10.3 million versus, I think you said March was $12.5 million in sales.

I wanted to understand, you know, it sounds like plate consumption rates have remained stable. The additional price increase, 1.8%, even though that you did take some price in some of your markets in December, you know, what was the sense, given what we think is significant pricing power that you have?

You have a lot of peers who are taking more like mid-single digit, in some cases, high single digit price increases. You know, how did you think about whether or not to be a little bit more aggressive? Is there some thought to potentially taking additional price increases in calendar 2022?

Benjamin Porten
VP of Investor Relations and Business Development, Kura Sushi USA

Sure. Just to add a note before I dig into this, Jeremy, I just wanted to mention that we didn't have a price event. We didn't take any pricing in December. You might be confusing that with the September pricing. In terms of pricing power and our aggressiveness with pricing, I think we're being very diligent about it. We never like to grow margin.

We don't like to drive margin through pricing. The pricing that we've taken in March is really, it's to offset increases in minimum wage and what we anticipate in terms of commodity pressures. What we know is that delivering a great value has always been core to our brand.

Even in spite of the pricing that we're taking, the purchasing power of the vast, you know, the rest of the sushi industry being so fragmented is just not nearly on the same scale as we are. The mom and pops are having to take far more price than we are. In spite of the pricing that we're taking, value delta continues to grow. We're very much in a, I think we're pretty happy with our position right now.

Jeremy Hamblin
Senior Research Analyst, Craig-Hallum Capital Group

Okay, great. And then your other operating cost line item, you know, that was up about $700,000 sequentially versus your revenue increased about $500,000. I wanted to just get a better understanding. I think that line item includes utilities, repairs and maintenance, insurance, credit card fees, stock comp expense.

Could you give us, you know, a little bit more detail on exactly where, you know, the pressure was on that? You know, which of those line items was causing that sequential increase, and whether or not that's maybe a good baseline to think about on a go-forward basis for that, you know, other operating cost line item. Thank you.

Benjamin Porten
VP of Investor Relations and Business Development, Kura Sushi USA

Sure. Going forward, we expect other costs to be closer to Q1 than Q2 as a percentage of sales. Q2 saw a number of one-time costs such as, you know, we do restaurant deep cleans. Whenever we did shift quarantining, we swapped out all of our uniforms system wide. There were just a number of minor one-time costs that happened to coincide in Q2, but Q3, we're expecting something much closer to Q1.

Jeremy Hamblin
Senior Research Analyst, Craig-Hallum Capital Group

Okay, great. Thanks, so much. Best wishes, guys. Great job.

Benjamin Porten
VP of Investor Relations and Business Development, Kura Sushi USA

Thanks, Jeremy.

Hajime Uba
President and CEO, Kura Sushi USA

Thanks, Jeremy.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Matt Curtis with William Blair. Please proceed with your question.

Matthew Curtis
Analyst, William Blair

Hi, good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. I have a question on off-premises mix. It ticked up, I think, to 5.1% last quarter, if I heard you right. I'm just wondering how this trended in March. Relatedly, given that you've talked about some of the units you have in the pipeline, having features designed to make off-premises more frictionless, I was just wondering if you could tell us when some of these might be expected to open.

Benjamin Porten
VP of Investor Relations and Business Development, Kura Sushi USA

Sure. In terms of the off-premises mix, the bump in Q2 is largely driven just by colder weather. It's a trend we've seen every year, and I'm sure it's a trend that the rest of the industry sees as well. Q3, the off-premises mix is closer to the Q1 range.

In terms of the units in our pipeline for the more frictionless off-premises, those won't enter until at least fiscal 2023. Examples would be stores with pickup windows for order ahead orders, but nothing like a drive-thru. The off-premises is nice to have, it's gravy for us. Overwhelmingly, the major driver of growth, both in terms of top line and bottom line for us, is gonna be unit growth.

You know, just given that we're barely 10% into our white space potential, there's just so much more to be gained by focusing our energies on that as opposed to off-premises. Our focus remains on unit growth as opposed to improving off-premises sales or mix.

Matthew Curtis
Analyst, William Blair

Okay. Well, if I can actually just follow up on development for a moment. I mean, given all the success you've been having in new markets, are you still committed to a 50 split in the future years, or are you considering a meaningful acceleration or expansion into new markets, potentially starting next year?

Hajime Uba
President and CEO, Kura Sushi USA

Well, Matt.

Benjamin Porten
VP of Investor Relations and Business Development, Kura Sushi USA

You're flipping in and out a little bit. Were you asking if our mix of units is going to be skewed a little bit more towards infills in the future?

Matthew Curtis
Analyst, William Blair

No. I'm asking if it would be skewed more towards new markets in the future.

Benjamin Porten
VP of Investor Relations and Business Development, Kura Sushi USA

Oh, got it. Going forward, we do expect a mix for about 50/50 between new markets and existing markets in the near term. That being said, we are now in 11 states in D.C., and so naturally, as the number of new markets enter, the number of remaining new markets is just gonna shrink, and so that ratio is just gonna skew naturally. We do want to expand our presence to most of the major metropolitan areas, so that's gonna continue to be a focus for us.

Matthew Curtis
Analyst, William Blair

Okay. Understood. Thanks very much, and, good luck.

Benjamin Porten
VP of Investor Relations and Business Development, Kura Sushi USA

Thanks, Matt.

Hajime Uba
President and CEO, Kura Sushi USA

Thank you, Matt.

Operator

As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. Our next question comes from George Kelly with Roth Capital Partners. Please proceed with your question.

George Kelly
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Roth Capital Partners

Hey, everybody. Thanks for taking my questions. Congrats on a strong quarter. First, just wanted to better understand March, the $12.5 million number that you gave. Just wondering if there was any kind of unique promotion to highlight there that drove business or anything else. Were you still negatively impacted in any markets by COVID restrictions during March?

Benjamin Porten
VP of Investor Relations and Business Development, Kura Sushi USA

Right. In March, our brand IP collaborator was Sanrio, which is an extremely well-known brand. We've partnered with them in the past, and it's been very successful and it's proven to be just as successful for us this time as well.

In terms of the COVID impact from March, it's been extremely limited, pretty much the same as, you know, other good times of the pandemic troughs in the pandemic spread. The impact to us has been basically minimal or nil. In the prepared remarks, we'd mentioned that we're about 95% of where we'd like to be in terms of staffing.

In terms of that 95%, that means that we're able to keep all of our restaurants open for full operating hours and, you know, full seating for pretty much all of our restaurants. Closing that gap of 5%, that would allow us to improve table turns a little bit more.

That's our immediate focus for the near term, is to close that gap. The sales momentum that we've seen in March is extremely strong. It's very much in line with Q1. If we can close this gap, we think we can, it's possible that we could even outperform what we've seen in Q1.

In terms of staffing issues generally, you know, people are debating whether or not this is primarily COVID driven or if this is gonna be an issue even following the pandemic. Our approach is to, you know, cover our bases as much as possible. We're just assuming that staffing difficulties are gonna continue.

We've really made hiring, training, and retention really the top priority. I think it's been, like, the key theme for the last couple of earnings calls. We're gonna really continue to drill into staffing. I think the efforts that we've been making over the last, you know, half a year, that's what's delivered that 95% level.

George Kelly
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Roth Capital Partners

Okay, great. Another question from me. Just, there were several positive comments in your prepared remarks just regarding these new units that you've been opening. I guess I have two questions. The first one is, I think that you mentioned that your target unit level economic profile, you might just be needing to sort of revise that higher as far as AUVs and store level profitability.

Did I hear that right? Can you be any more specific about how that's changing? The second question is, what is it that you think you're getting better at? Are you picking better locations, doing better marketing? Like, can you give us any idea of just where you think that improvement is coming from?

Benjamin Porten
VP of Investor Relations and Business Development, Kura Sushi USA

Sure. To answer your question about the new unit performance, a lot of this is driven by our the strategy we take in 2020 and 2021 in terms of unit growth. While pretty much every other restaurant company was turtling up and limiting their CapEx costs, we felt that this was a huge opportunity in terms of capturing prime real estate that might have been otherwise inaccessible or more difficult for us to access. We're extremely pleased to see that that strategy has paid off. The units are as productive as we'd hope they'd be.

In terms of AUVs and new unit expectations, it's still very early into, you know, into these store openings, but we see plenty of room for opportunity for exceeding the 3.5 million AUVs that we've seen historically. Beyond that, we're not giving new unit guidance or expectations today, but we hope to do that once we've had a normalized operating environment for a longer period.

George Kelly
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Roth Capital Partners

Okay. Thank you very much, and congrats.

Benjamin Porten
VP of Investor Relations and Business Development, Kura Sushi USA

Thanks very much. Thank you, George.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from James Rutherford with Stephens Inc. Please proceed with your question.

James Rutherford
Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

Hello, good afternoon. Thanks for taking the questions. I want to touch on commodity inflation. I'm just curious what visibility you have into commodity prices and kind of year over year inflation in the back half of the year and what your expectation for those rates would be.

Benjamin Porten
VP of Investor Relations and Business Development, Kura Sushi USA

Sure. In terms of commodity inflation, we saw about over Q2 80 basis points as a percentage of sales in terms of commodity inflation, which the September pricing was able to offset. In pricing that we've taken, as of March first, it expects to offset, you know, commodity inflation as well as minimum wage inflation.

To give you some context for minimum wage, on January first weekend, we saw about 1.25% as a percentage of sales minimum wage inflation. You can kind of work backwards from that to get our expectations for commodity inflation.

One thing that we'd like to touch on again is it's the fact that our basket has over 100 items and the fact that our top five purchases make up about 25% of our overall purchase makes us extremely resilient in terms of commodity spikes. It's one of the main reasons we've been able to keep, you know, our COGS flat. In fact, not just flat, but at historical bests when that's just not been the case for everybody else. We're really glad to have this advantage.

James Rutherford
Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

Understood. Yeah, and it makes a lot of sense. Second question is on technology. I'm curious when you've implemented the robot servers and other pieces of technology, how much improvement in table turns that you've seen, and if that's going to be a material sales tailwind as you finish rolling these out through the system.

Benjamin Porten
VP of Investor Relations and Business Development, Kura Sushi USA

Right. The robot server rollout that, you know, over Q2, that largely coincided with the shift quarantining, and so it's extremely difficult for us to be able to work out the robot server impact on table turns, just given that there was understaffing in many of our restaurants generally.

But again, we're very excited about the robot servers. The response from our customers as well as our servers has been phenomenal. You know, we expect to fully roll out by the end of the fiscal year and hopefully there will be enough normalized operational time for us to give you a more concrete update.

James Rutherford
Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

Okay. Perfect. Thank you, Jimmy. Thank you, Ben. Best of luck.

Benjamin Porten
VP of Investor Relations and Business Development, Kura Sushi USA

Thanks, James.

Hajime Uba
President and CEO, Kura Sushi USA

Thank you, James.

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.

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