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Earnings Call: Q4 2020

Feb 23, 2021

Operator

Good day and welcome to the third quarter and full year 2020 earnings release and conference call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing star then zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star then one on a touchtone phone. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Brian Corales. Please go ahead.

Brian Corales
VP of Investor Relations, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Thank you operator. Good morning everyone. Welcome to Magnolia Oil & Gas's fourth quarter and full year 2020 earnings conference call. Participating on the call today are Steve Chazen, Magnolia's Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, and Chris Stavros, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. As a reminder, today's conference call contains certain projections and other forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Additional information on risk factors that could cause results to differ is available in the company's annual report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC. A full safe harbor can be found on slide two of the conference call slide presentation with the supplemental data on our website.

You can download Magnolia's fourth quarter 2020 earnings press release, as well as the conference call slides from the investor section of the company's website at www.magnoliaoilgas.com. I will now turn the call over to Mr. Steve Chazen.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Thank you Brian. Good morning. Thank you for joining us today. My comments this morning will focus on how we plan to employ the characteristics of our business model to drive shareholder returns and update you on our Giddings drilling progress and activity. Chris will review our fourth quarter and full-year results, including year-end 2020 reserves, provide some additional guidance before we take your questions. When starting the company a few years ago, we developed a business model with characteristics that we thought would appeal to generalist investors. The model was supported by maintaining low financial leverage, philosophy of disciplined capital spending sufficient for moderate growth, while generating significant and consistent free cash flow and strong pre-tax margins. We limit our capital spending to within 60% of our EBITDAX, which also helps instill financial discipline throughout the organization.

The chart on slide four of the conference call presentation shows how we've allocated our operating cash flow since our inception in 2018. While drilling completion capital has averaged 60%, most of the remaining 40% of the unallocated cash flow has been used to enhance value on a per-share basis, either through acquiring small bolt-on oil and gas properties or repurchasing our shares. We've also built a significant amount of cash over this period. Last quarter, I indicated that we end the year with a cash flow balance around $200 million. Since this has now been reached, we no longer need to continue to build cash. As a result, more cash will be available for share enhancing activities. The guiding principle within our business model of limiting drilling, completions, and infrastructure spending to within 60% of adjusted EBITDAX will not change.

We expect that most of the unallocated cash flow will continue to be used either for acquiring small bolt-on property or repurchasing Magnolia shares. In the absence of acquisitions, the available cash flow would be used to repurchase our shares. We repurchased 2.4 million shares in the fourth quarter, approximately 1% of our total shares outstanding. We plan generally to continue this pace of share repurchases, which will reduce our overall share count by 4% each year. Aligned with this plan, our board recently increased our share repurchase authorization by an additional 10 million shares, and we currently have approximately 13.5 million shares available for repurchase under the authorization. Just for clarity, we view the 1% as not the cap in this, but depending on the stock price and how much cash we have, it could be more than the 1% per quarter.

In addition to these value-enhancing activities, Magnolia intends to begin paying a cash dividend in mid-2021. The first small fixed semiannual dividend will be paid after announcing our second quarter results. The second payment will include the fixed dividend, plus a variable component to be paid around this time next year based on the full-year 2020 financial results, combined with the current business outlook. The total cash dividend outlays will be capped at 50% of annual reported net income. Initiating cash dividend at this time demonstrates our overall confidence in executing our business plan and the strength of our underlying assets. The dividend is also an additional element of our plan to focus on share-enhancing activities.

This will continue to allow us to deliver moderate production growth while spending within 60% of our cash flow, while providing flexibility to allocate the remaining unallocated cash flow in a manner that is most accretive to shareholder value. Turning to our operations, we made significant strides last year in advancing the Giddings asset from appraisal mode to a multi-well pad development. Turning to slide five of the presentation, our Giddings asset reached record production levels in the fourth quarter. Total production in Giddings increased 39%, with oil production rising 70% on a sequential quarterly basis. Results in the fourth quarter are still in the early stages of reflecting how a development would look like for this asset. Efficiencies for both drilling and completing wells continues to improve, resulting in faster cycle times and lower overall well costs. Today, we have drilled 2 or 3 wells per pad.

Going forward, our plan is to increase some pads to four wells, and we may consider a few larger pads. This should help continue to improve efficiency in the field. We expect total well costs to average approximately $6 million during this year. Importantly, well productivity continues to improve as the six new wells we brought online in the fourth quarter in our initial core area performed better than the average of the previous 14 wells drilled in this area. With a total of 20 wells online for the last 90 days in the 70,000-acre initial core area, these wells have averaged 840 barrels a day of oil and 4.7 million cubic feet of gas a day. This production rate has increased by 4% from the prior level of 783 barrels of oil per day and 4.6 million cubic feet of gas per day for the previous 14 wells.

Additionally, we completed two wells in Giddings, located in an area about 20 miles away from our initial core area that were expected at the time to be gassier. These wells had an average 90-day production rate of 543 barrels of oil a day and 7.3 million cubic feet of gas per day. While these wells had proved to be gassier, the amount of oil production was better than we had originally estimated. This area could provide for additional high return development potential over time. Although product prices have improved significantly from 2020 levels, the disciplined policy around our capital spending remains unchanged. We're currently running one development rig in the initial core area at Giddings. The improved efficiency of Giddings has provided us with the ability to drill at a pace of 20-24 wells per year. This is basically twice what we were running last year.

We also plan to complete 10 operated DUCs in the Karnes area, mainly during the first half of the year. They're expecting a modest increase in our non-operated activity in Karnes. Our 2021 D&C capital is expected to be between 50% and 60% of our adjusted EBITDAX. Although at current product prices, spending is likely to be in the lower half of this range. I think I could say that we're running way behind that 50% level this quarter and probably into the second quarter too. As we build out in the back half of the year, it's going to be difficult to catch up. In summary, we ended 2020 with a very strong operational financial performance, providing us with solid operational momentum that should benefit us during 2021. We are optimistic on the outlook for a full year of development at Giddings.

We remain focused on activities that enhance our per-unit metrics while further lowering our F&D costs and reducing our G&A costs to improve our pre-tax margins and earnings per share. Our plan to spend 50%-60% of our adjusted EBITDAX on drilling completing wells is expected to result in mid-single-digit year-over-year production growth. A combination of mid-single-digit organic growth and reducing our share count by 4% a year would result in production per share growth of approximately 10% per year. That doesn't include the dividend payment. I'll now turn the call over to Chris.

Chris Stavros
EVP and CFO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Thank you Steve and good morning everyone. As Steve mentioned, I plan to review some high-level points from the fourth quarter results and convey some thoughts around our year-end 2020 proved reserves and provide some guidance for 2021 before turning it over for questions. Starting on slide six, Magnolia's fourth quarter 2020 financial and operating results were very strong. The company generated total adjusted net income of $39 million or $0.15 per diluted share and well ahead of consensus estimates. Fourth quarter reported net income was $0.16 a share. Our adjusted EBITDAX was $98 million in the fourth quarter, with total drilling and completion capital of approximately $40 million. D&C capital represented 40% of our adjusted EBITDAX for the quarter, and as a percentage, was better than our earlier guidance due to stronger production, higher product prices, improved D&C costs in Giddings and lower non-op capital.

D&C capital for the full year of 2020 was 58% of adjusted EBITDAX, and in keeping with our business model despite the much weaker product prices during the year. Magnolia started bringing wells online during the fourth quarter after an eight-month hiatus due to much weaker product prices last year. Total fourth quarter production grew 12% sequentially to 60.6 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day. Production in Giddings grew 39% sequentially, with oil production at Giddings growing 70%. Total production exceeded the high end of our earlier guidance, as did production at Giddings, due to better-than-expected well performance. Looking at the quarterly cash flow waterfall chart on slide seven, we began the fourth quarter with $149 million of cash and generated $90 million of cash flow from operations before changes in working capital.

During the quarter, we sold our equity interest in the Ironwood Gathering system at Karnes for cash proceeds of $27 million. The transaction has no impact to our operating or transportation costs at Karnes. Our D&C capital including leasehold costs was $41 million during the quarter. We repurchased 2.4 million shares of our common stock during the fourth quarter for $16 million, or approximately 1% of our total shares outstanding. Including the recent additional 10 million shares authorized for repurchase by our board, we currently have 13.5 million shares remaining under the total repurchase authorization.

We generated $44 million of free cash flow during the fourth quarter and ended the year with $193 million of cash on the balance sheet. As Steve discussed, and based on the expected uses of our free cash during the year, including potential small bolt-on property acquisitions, share repurchases, and a dividend payment mid-year, we do not plan to build significant amounts of cash during 2021. Our $400 million of gross debt is reflected in our senior notes, which do not mature until 2026, and we do not expect to issue any new debt. Magnolia has an undrawn $450 million revolving credit facility, and our nearly $650 million of total liquidity is more than ample to execute our business plan. A condensed balance sheet and liquidity as of year-end 2020 are shown on slides eight and nine.

Turning to slide 10 and looking at our unit costs and full-cycle margins, our total adjusted cash costs, including interest, are under $11 per BOE. Our DD&A rate has declined to roughly $8 per BOE, helped by Giddings well costs, which have declined by almost 30%, as we are drilling wells twice as fast compared to a year ago levels. Well productivity at Giddings has continued to improve, and so we're seeing better results with lower costs, as is evident through our lower F&D costs. Our full-cycle costs for the fourth quarter of $18.75 per BOE declined by 42% compared to last year's fourth quarter. Our full-cycle margins doubled in the most recent quarter compared to fourth quarter 2019, and despite lower product prices. We would expect our margins to rise significantly based on current product prices and maintaining a full-cycle cost structure at around the current levels.

Turning to our year-end 2020 reserves and D&C costs on slide 11, Magnolia had a very successful organic drilling program during last year. The drilling program added 30.4 million barrels of oil equivalent after adjusting for acquisitions and excluding price-related revisions. Our 2020 capital for drilling and completing wells totaled $195 million in 2020, resulting in a proved developed F&D cost of $6.41 per BOE and replacing 135% of our 2020 production. This F&D level is supportive of our current DD&A rate for our asset base. Turning to guidance for the full year of 2021, we continue to expect our total capital spending for drilling, completions, and facilities to be between 50%-60% of our adjusted EBITDAX for the year. As Steve noted, at current product prices, our percentage of capital outlays would likely be at the lower portion of that range.

We expect to run one operated rig in Giddings and plan to drill and complete between 20-24 wells during the year on multi-well pads and primarily in our initial core area. We plan to complete 10 DUCs in the Karnes area, most of which should be brought online during the first half of the year. Non-operated activity at Karnes is expected to increase modestly compared to 2020 levels. We produced 61.8 thousand BOE per day during last year, and our 2021 capital and activity plan is expected to deliver mid-single-digit production growth on a year-over-year basis. Our fully diluted share count of approximately 255 million shares in the fourth quarter of 2020 declined by nearly 3% from the prior year. We would expect our fully diluted shares to continue to decline through this year as we repurchase our shares.

The combination of mid-single-digit organic production growth and the continued reduction in our fully diluted shares is expected to result in production per share growth of approximately 10% this year. Looking at the first quarter, we expect our D&C capital to be approximately 50% of our adjusted EBITDAX, although as Steve said, it's running a bit lower right now. The majority of our operated activity during the quarter will continue to be focused on Giddings. In Karnes, we plan to start completing some of the DUCs in the latter part of the current quarter, with most of the production benefits seen in the second quarter. Production in the first quarter is estimated to be approximately the same as the fourth quarter levels, which incorporates a rough estimate of downtime due to recent impacts of cold weather in the field.

In addition to the weather-related impact on production, we're also likely to see a modest amount of additional costs associated with these outages related to repairs and other items. Oil differentials should be around $3 per barrel discount to MEH and similar to historical levels. In summary, Magnolia is well-positioned financially into this year, and we expect the positive operational momentum gained from our Giddings results last year to continue to benefit our results into 2021. We're now ready to take your questions.

Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star, then one on your touchtone phone. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. If at any time your question has been addressed and you would like to withdraw your question, please press star then two. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. The first question comes from Umang Chaudhary with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Umang Chaudhary
VP, Goldman Sachs

Good morning and thank you for taking my questions. My first question is on free cash flow allocation framework. You have mentioned that given your strong balance sheet and favorable results in Giddings, you plan bulk of the free cash flow towards share repurchase, dividends, and small bolt-ons versus big acquisitions. Can you provide a framework in terms of how we should think about free cash flow allocation going forward? How are you thinking about potential between share repurchase and dividends?

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Yeah. as we look at it

Historically, we had a fair percentage of the cash flow went to acquisitions. We really don't need acquisitions at this point. They're generally dilutive to us because our finding cost is so low that we couldn't duplicate that kind of finding cost in an acquisition. There might be some acreage or something near our stuff, but to buy producing assets is probably dilutive to our numbers. You should think that there might be some small things there. I don't know how much, but there's nothing right now. We're not going to build any cash. There'll be a small, what we would view as sustainable, two semiannual payments of dividends. Our interest expense is only about $25 million, $26 million a year. We can, out of whatever you want to say is our EBITDA. I think that it'll be a small number relative to that.

At the end of the year, a year from now, we'll look at how much in addition to the semiannual dividend we need to pay. I don't have a fixed number. It really depends on how successful we are in reducing our share count. If we can maybe talk down the stock or something, and buy stock on weakness or that sort of thing, we'll be looking to do that in size. Otherwise, we'll do it at the 1% quarterly rate. I think we don't really know how to answer your question of how big the dividend could be. Again, we would prefer to put the money to work in basically increasing the stock price. We also see a need for dividends going forward. If the current product prices hold, there'll be a fairly sizable special payment over and above the base dividend a year from now.

We're not going to hoard cash. We got plenty of cash for what we need at this point. It just depends on how successful we are in the share repurchase. I think the 1% number, 1% a quarter, you should view as a minimum number, not the maximum. I don't know if that's helpful or not.

Umang Chaudhary
VP, Goldman Sachs

That is super helpful. Thank you. My follow-up is on the proved developed reserves. You have highlighted attractive F&D cost of sub $7 per BOE to add proved developed reserves in 2020. Well cost in Giddings is expected to be lower in 2021 versus 2020. Wanted to get your early thoughts on 2021 expectations with respect to productivity and cost. You highlighted that there's potential for both of them to improve here. Also, if you can provide the oil mix of the 30 million proved developed reserves that you added in 2020. What is the oil mix of those reserves?

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

We'll get somebody. It'll be filed in the K here at the end of close of business.

Umang Chaudhary
VP, Goldman Sachs

Yeah.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Chris will give you the percentage here in a minute. We think the finding costs for the mix that we ultimately anticipate between Giddings and Karnes will be similar to what it was this year. We give you one year of PUDs, basically this year for PUDs. You could look at that number and come up with a very conservative number from looking at what we say we're going to add this year as those PUDs move to PDPs. I think that we sort of tell you that. We'll give you here this oil number in a minute.

Chris Stavros
EVP and CFO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

We can give you the total proved reserves were about 45% oil. I don't have the PDP breakdown on oil. We can reach out to you after the call.

Umang Chaudhary
VP, Goldman Sachs

That'll be helpful. Thank you so much.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Anything else?

Operator

The next question comes from Zach Parham with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Hey guys. Thanks for taking my question. I guess first, you guided to about 5% - 8% total production growth in 2021. Most of your activity's in Giddings, but you do have the 10 DUCs in Karnes in the first half, which will be a little oilier. I guess what would that imply for oil growth on the year or an oil mix for the year?

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

To some extent, it depends on how we drill our wells. We can sort of manage that to almost anything we want. I think for planning purposes you could use the fourth quarter numbers percentages as a guide. Understanding that if for the fourth time in my 40-year career gas prices were to be decent, we got a lot of gas locations we could drill in parts of Giddings. We may drill some more of these wells, these so-called gas wells that produce 500 barrels a day of oil, depending on where we are in the second half of the year. We're laying out our program for the back half of the year, and we don't know how much we're going to spend in development and how much in exploration to prove up additional areas. That's why we're sort of reluctant to talk about the numbers.

Obviously, if we spent it all in development, we would be on the high end of the guide low, the guidance we're giving you. Maybe through the guidance.

Zach Parham
VP of Equity Research, JPMorgan

Thanks. I guess that's when you talk about drilling 20-24 wells in Giddings in 2021-

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

That's a single rigs results.

Zach Parham
VP of Equity Research, JPMorgan

Okay. That's not necessarily the plan for 2021.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

No.

Zach Parham
VP of Equity Research, JPMorgan

It sounds like you're not ready to give a split of development between the core area and the delineation area. You're more waiting to see what happens with commodity prices in the back half of the year?

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Yeah. Commodity prices. We have to have a plan. We don't want to waste money. We want to spend on delineation or whatever you want to call it, or exploration, however you want to describe it, in a way that's thoughtful and doesn't overwhelm the program and confuse people. Our original thought was to add a rig at the beginning of the year, drill a pad in Karnes, and then go and do drilling Giddings. The Giddings results have been so strong that, frankly, the Karnes wells are not competitive. We're rethinking how we're going to manage the back half of the year in a way that is thoughtful.

Zach Parham
VP of Equity Research, JPMorgan

Got it. Thanks for the color. That's all for me.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Sure.

Operator

The next question comes from Steven Decker with KeyBanc. Please go ahead.

Hey guys. Just want to ask about the six new wells in the core area of Giddings. Is there anything that's really driving that better performance there that you can point to? Thanks.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Over time, we learn how to drill and complete the wells better. There's nothing physical about it. It's simply we learn where people tend to view all, even in the Permian, they tend to view all this as the same from well to well, and it's really not. As you accumulate more data, you become more efficient in deciding where and how you're going to complete the wells. It also makes you pick better locations. It's fundamentally caused by experience. It isn't really caused by anything like phase of the moon or something.

Steven Decker
Analyst, KeyBanc

Clearly less drill time.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Less drill time.

Steven Decker
Analyst, KeyBanc

Less time in the hole.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Yeah. When you spend less time in the hole, you get better results. I mean, that's just a fact. Yeah.

Steven Decker
Analyst, KeyBanc

Okay great. That's all for me.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Thanks.

Operator

The next question comes from Don McIntosh with Johnson Rice. Please go ahead.

Morning Steve. Appreciate the color on the dividend and the share repurchase program. I was wondering if you could maybe give us some context for how you would prioritize those at higher or lower prices. If oil keeps ticking up to $65 or $70, or maybe we have a pullback here to $50 or $55. When it comes to the dividend and the share repurchase, where do you stack those up?

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

We have some fundamental views about the company's earnings potential over time. If there's a pullback in oil prices to say, we obviously didn't plan for $60 oil going into the year or whatever it is. We continue to plan basically for significantly lower oil price. If we get more cash, we would prefer to use it to repurchase shares because that gives us more growth per share. We only have $400 million of bonded indebtedness. There's no real debt to pay down. Our interest expense is $25 million. That's not a very likely use. If we have extra excess cash, we'd probably distribute that. It's also, I think, useful to remember that the company is a purchaser of shares, not a seller of shares. The management are purchasers of shares, not sellers of shares.

Our goals are not necessarily to push the stock price up as much as possible. In fact, our goal, our objective is sort of the opposite. On the other hand, I own 7 million shares. My wife thinks dividends are great.

Don McIntosh
Analyst, Johnson Rice

Great. Thank you. Then maybe just one operational question. Sounds like you all are pretty enthused with what you've been able to get done at Giddings. In the past, you've talked about preserving Karnes inventory for higher oil prices. Just if you could kind of revisit that. Are we there today? It sounds like pretty set plans for at least the first half of this year.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Yeah.

Don McIntosh
Analyst, Johnson Rice

breaking back in Karnes?

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

You understand that the Karnes wells don't compete with the Giddings wells. The finding cost is much higher and the payback is similar. The rates of return are much higher in the Giddings wells. You allocate your [inaudible] when we talked about this other plan, it was less obvious, at least less obvious to us. As long as that remains true, that's what drives our whole plan, is the returns, if you will, on the Giddings wells. As long as they stay sort of like this, we're going to be light on Karnes and heavier on Giddings, and we're going to avoid doing PDP-type acquisitions because it doesn't compete. If you have an industry that's challenged over time, shall we say, you need to really be cautious about spending money just for growth, just to add, and not generating real returns.

If you look at our EBIT calculation for interest and taxes, the DD&A rate is sort of like the finding cost, a little bit more, but sort of like it. The earnings are actually real earnings for us and indicative of what the program looks like in an earnings basis. We're going to try to make that better over time. We don't want to degrade that either by just throwing a bunch of money at stuff. The Karnes wells, just like the Giddings wells, will be there for a long time. The locations are not going away.

Don McIntosh
Analyst, Johnson Rice

Okay thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Noel Parks with Tuohy Brothers . Please go ahead.

Good morning.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Morning.

Noel Parks
Managing Director of CleanTech and E&P, Tuohy Brothers

Actually, talking about where we are with crude prices having improved as much as they have, I think we're at nearly $15 more now than where we ended the year. I was curious about the non-core inventory at Giddings, and in this price range, does any of that become a possibility?

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Sorry?

What inventory?

Noel Parks
Managing Director of CleanTech and E&P, Tuohy Brothers

Oh,

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

You cut out.

Noel Parks
Managing Director of CleanTech and E&P, Tuohy Brothers

Oh, so sorry. The inventory outside the 70,000 core acres. Just with significantly higher oil prices, does any of that come close to being in play now?

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Well, we drilled two wells way outside it, those two so-called gas wells. Those are clearly economic in this environment, and there's probably more that is also.

Chris Stavros
EVP and CFO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

They had a lot of oil, as we said.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

It made almost 600 barrels a day of oil. The short answer is yeah, there is. On the other hand, we're maximizing our returns per dollar, and we're not going to run out of these high return locations anytime soon.

Noel Parks
Managing Director of CleanTech and E&P, Tuohy Brothers

Great. Sorry if you touched on this already, but for your long-term planning for crude, are you sticking with mid-forties as your baseline number? Are you considering-

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Yeah. $45-$50 and $2.50 or so for gas.

Noel Parks
Managing Director of CleanTech and E&P, Tuohy Brothers

$2.50 for gas. Okay, great. I think that's all for me.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

I wouldn't take those numbers to the bank. Those are planning numbers. I have not a great record, except in gas, of predicting prices.

Noel Parks
Managing Director of CleanTech and E&P, Tuohy Brothers

Right. No, fair enough. Thanks a lot.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Nicholas Pope with Seaport Global. Please go ahead.

Morning.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Morning.

Nicholas Pope
Managing Director and Analyst, Seaport Global

I had a question on your lease operating expenses. It was a lot lower than I was expecting. Looked great for the quarter. I've seen a lot of other operators as activity started to restart in the second half of the year. That number climbed up with workovers and everything else, just activity ramping up. You all's dropped a lot from third quarter. I was hoping you could talk a little bit about where operating expenses are and as activity has ramped up, where we I know you don't guide to that necessarily, but where should we expect third quarter and fourth quarter, that drop?

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

You know.

Nicholas Pope
Managing Director and Analyst, Seaport Global

What should we expect going forward?

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

In the workover activity, is sort of real. It comes and goes and makes the numbers lumpy. The other point is the production is up considerably. The cost per BOE has come down. When we went through the valley of death in the second quarter last year, we looked at every nickel we were spending on production, and we found some things that we should have done that we didn't do, that we've now done. Right-sizing compressors and that sort of thing. We work on what we can fix. We work on operating costs, we work on G&A per barrel. Those are things that's sort of in our control, and we keep our capital under control, so our finding cost stays under control. We're very focused on this EBIT calculation.

There'll be probably a little more this first quarter from fixing the lives of the wells, but not a lot more, but a little more from that. Production, it will be similar to the fourth quarter. Otherwise, it would've been up, if it wasn't for the loss for the lease.

Nicholas Pope
Managing Director and Analyst, Seaport Global

Got it. That makes sense. I wanted to clarify, there was a comment about that Ironwood sale. Did y'all say you don't expect transportation costs?

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

No.

Nicholas Pope
Managing Director and Analyst, Seaport Global

Had you predicted that?

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

It was really a passive investment that came with the original deal. We didn't do anything to encourage. Somebody bought out the people who were running it before. They offered us the same deal. We weren't generating any cash from it, never generated any cash. It generated a small amount of earnings, but not much. We thought that we could use $25 million or $27 million more than they could. We took it, but we didn't do any new contracts or anything like that because it was always partially owned. We owned about a third of it, and somebody else had it. We always had a contract. It's a market contract. We're the major customer on the line, so you would guess that we would know what our activity would be and maybe better than somebody who just bought it.

Nicholas Pope
Managing Director and Analyst, Seaport Global

All right. Well, that's all I needed. I appreciate the time.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Thank you.

Nicholas Pope
Managing Director and Analyst, Seaport Global

Thank you.

Operator

As a reminder, if you have a question please press star then one to be joined into the queue. The next question comes from Neal Dingmann with Truist Securities. Please go ahead.

Well, Steve my question, you have so much acreage, and obviously good acreage in Giddings. Would you all consider drilling partnerships or anything of the like in that order to maybe advance that acreage more?

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Generally, I don't like to give away money. The problem with dealing with the people who do that, this is like the old I used to have a guy I worked for, and every time I'd get into some trouble, he would say, "Well, if you're going to play in the mud, you expect to get your boots dirty." If you're fooling around with these guys, you're going to get your boots dirty. The goal is not to make the business more complicated.

Neal Dingmann
Managing Director of Energy Research, Truist Securities

I get it.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

We run a fairly straightforward, simple business. If he brought somebody in, he'd want some of the $5 finding cost well. Why would I do that? Even though it's stretched out over a long period of time, the value's still there, and I just don't believe When we started this three years ago, I mused the only way anybody's ever made money in the oil business, you could guess oil prices correctly, but I don't know anybody who ever was able to do that successfully over time. Put that aside. The second thing would be that you've got optionality for very low price. That is, in my prior employer, that was a thought process there. Here, same thing. I knew that there was a lot of oil in place in Giddings.

I didn't really know how to get it out or whether we'd be successful or not. I knew I wasn't paying much for the option. To sell the optionality to some guy who's going to dirty my boots, strikes me as not a lot of fun.

Neal Dingmann
Managing Director of Energy Research, Truist Securities

Like the answer. Just what you and Chris are thinking these days on laying hedges or just in hedges in general.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

I look at other people's results, and I noticed huge losses on mark- to- market on hedges, which goes to the principle that predicting oil prices is difficult, especially about the future. Gas, I've always had a sort of negative view, and so we hedged a little bit of gas. We don't really need to buy the insurance. Oil fluctuates over time, and if you don't get when it runs up, and you don't get to reap that, you're going to wind up with below average prices. I don't believe that some guy at Goldman Sachs is in some sort of philanthropic activity where he's selling you this protection for free. He strives to make money.

Sometimes you might beat him, but on average, if you do it all the time, you're going to get a below average price for it because he's selling protection insurance, and we don't need to buy the insurance. That's why we carry low debt and the cash. We went through the second quarter. It wasn't fun. We went through the second quarter without really using, except for some working capital changes, not really losing anything. We could've survived that.

Neal Dingmann
Managing Director of Energy Research, Truist Securities

Yeah. All unhedged, yeah.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Yeah. We were unhedged. There are some things that we know how to do. Forecasting oil prices is not one of them.

Neal Dingmann
Managing Director of Energy Research, Truist Securities

No, I'm glad to hear it. It seems like the bank's the only ones that make money on those. Thanks Steve.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Thank you. I think we're... Go ahead.

Operator

This concludes our question and answer session. The conference has also now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

Steve Chazen
Chairman, President, and CEO, Magnolia Oil & Gas

Thank you.