Good morning. This is Sharon Yashai, Head of Relations. During today's presentation, we will refer to our earnings release and financial supplement, copies of which are available at morganstanley.com. Today's presentation may include forward looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially. Please refer to our notices regarding forward looking statements and non GAAP measures that appear in the earnings release.
This presentation may not be duplicated or reproduced without our consent. I will now turn the call over to Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, James Gorman.
Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us. 2019 has started well. In the Q1, our businesses produced solid results and rebounded from the 4th quarter's market dislocation and idiosyncratic events. In our institutional businesses, client participation and balances steadily improved alongside confidence and asset prices.
While activity was not as robust as early 2018, improvement in sentiment, CEO dialogue and boardroom conversations are all encouraging. Our wealth business absorbed lower 4th quarter asset levels and delivered strong results. The margin demonstrated the business's ability to withstand shocks to asset values. In strong investment results, particularly in private real assets and private equity. Broad client relationships have driven net inflows in our global equity strategies where long term performance continues to attract investors.
We remain confident in the firm's outlook and broader economic activity, but we're cognizant that global risks are more balanced. Against this backdrop, we remain very focused on expense discipline, while still investing for growth. This focus is evident in the results. On a year over year basis, total non interest expenses declined 4% even as we continued our investments. Across the board, ROE, ROTCE, the firm efficiency ratio and wealth management margin are in line with or at the higher end of our strategic objectives, ensuring a very solid start of the year.
Consistent with our objective to invest for growth, we announced our intent to acquire Solium Capital, a leading global software provider for equity administration, financial reporting and compliance. This transaction will enable us to bring together a major stock plan administration platform with the leading wealth management business, positioning us to be a top tier provider in the workplace wealth space. Through Solium, we gained a new scalable channel and direct sales force, giving us the ability to target another client population, particularly a younger demographic in its wealth accumulation phase. On a combined basis, we will now have direct exposure to over 2 point 5,000,000 individuals via Solium's workplace services, complementing the over 3,000,000 wealth management clients, our financial advisors already serve in our traditional business. What excites us is the expansion into the workplace, delivering financial wellness services to clients and offering financial advice, education and the ability to transact through their employer.
This deal is aligned with our strategic to round out our product offerings with complementary bolt on acquisitions and we will continue to look for similar opportunities. We recently announced that Colm Kelleher would be retiring from the firm effective June 30. As all of you know, Colm was the Chief Financial Officer during the global financial crisis and was critical in helping navigate the firm through those challenging times. Over the course of his 30 year career, Colm has served in a number of important roles across our businesses, most recently as President of the firm. I'm extremely grateful to Colin for his contributions and it has been a great privilege to call in my partner for the past decade.
As we move forward, the Board and I are very focused on long term development of our management team. So now I will turn the call over to John to discuss this quarter in greater detail. Thank you. Thank you
and good morning. January opened with fragile sentiment and lackluster conviction. While we witnessed a gradual improvement as the Q1 progressed, signs of a December hangover and the U. S. Government shutdown were evident.
Clients took time to regain confidence and industry volumes declined impacting our ISG businesses. Lower asset values at the end of 4Q impacted wealth management and investment management fee revenues. Still, the firm produced solid results. Revenues of $10,300,000,000 declined only 7% year over year compared against the strongest quarter in the firm's history ex DBA. On a sequential basis, revenues increased 20%.
PBT was $3,000,000,000 and EPS was $1.39 The firm delivered returns at the high end of our target ranges with an ROE of 13.1 and ROTCE of 14.9 We continue to focus on expenses while investing in the business. Total non interest expense was $7,300,000,000 down 4% from 1Q 2018. We remain committed to funding investments through tight focus on our more controllable expenses such as marketing and business development and professional services. The firm's non compensation expenses were down 2% year over year despite elevated Brexit related expenses and ongoing investments in technology. Now to the businesses.
Institutional Securities generated revenues of $5,200,000,000 in the Q1, a 35% sequential increase. EMEA rebounded nicely and Asia also demonstrated strength. We saw client activity and engagement gain momentum in the back half of the quarter. Non compensation expenses were $1,800,000,000 for the quarter, a 3% decline from the prior year. Compensation expenses were $1,800,000,000 resulting in a compensation to net revenue ratio of 35%, consistent with last year's ratio.
In Investment Banking, we generated revenues of $1,200,000,000 a 19% decrease relative to the 4th quarter. After a slow start, momentum and confidence picked up. Advisory revenues for the quarter were $406,000,000 down 45% sequentially. Completed M and A volumes declined 38% relative to an active 4th quarter. Importantly, there has been a pickup in activity levels and pipelines are healthy.
Turning to underwriting. New issue market conditions were more challenged at the outset, but issuance built momentum as the quarter progressed. Our equity underwriting franchise remains strong. Revenues of $339,000,000 were up 5% quarter over quarter. The sequential strength in blocks, follow ons and convertibles offset weak IPO revenue.
IPO volumes witnessed a sharp sequential decline of 79%. Many issuers were sidelined by the U. S. Government shutdown. Fixed income underwriting revenues increased 13% sequentially to $406,000,000 We saw an increase in investment banking pipelines remain healthy and diversified across products, regions and sectors.
CEOs remain engaged. The global equity pipeline has built through the quarter, particularly IPOs and market volatility is subdued. However, as demonstrated by recent market dynamics, future activity may be impacted by macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical events. In equities, we retained our leadership position and expect to be number 1 globally. Revenues were $2,000,000,000 declining 21% year over year and increasing 4% quarter over quarter.
On a sequential basis, derivatives and cash revenues improved with derivatives benefiting from improved markets and corporate activity. In prime brokerage, sequential and year over year revenue declines were driven by lower average balances. Clients gradually relevered and balances partially recovered over the course of the quarter and continue to build. While market indices have rallied materially and sentiment has improved, clients remain cautious. 1st quarter fixed income results were strong following the traditional seasonal pattern.
Revenues in 1Q were 1 $700,000,000 more than doubling weak 4th quarter results. Overall, client activity improved over the quarter. The market was generally characterized by tightening credit spreads, declining interest rates, low volatility and uneven client activity across business lines as well as benefits from structured client activity. Macro rebounded on a quarter over quarter basis. Compared to prior year, our macro performance reflected dampened volatility impacting structured rates and FX.
Macro investors remain sidelined lacking conviction and awaiting clarity around Central Bank policy, Brexit and U. S.-China relationship. Micro results were robust both sequentially and annually driven by particular strength in corporate credit. Tightening credit spreads and increased secondary trading activity resulted in higher client revenues. We saw increased velocity over the balance sheet in the quarter.
Commodities had strong broad based results with solid trading performance and lower structured revenues in Q1 2018. Wealth Management reported quarterly revenues of $4,400,000,000 and pre tax profit of 1,200,000,000 dollars Despite lower starting asset levels, the business produced a PBT margin of 27.1%, demonstrating resilience despite large market drawdowns in the in the 4th quarter. Total client assets ended the quarter at 2,500,000,000,000, an 8% increase versus the prior quarter, reflecting positive asset flows to the firm and the rebound in asset prices. Net fee based asset flows were $15,000,000,000 and additionally, we continue to see improvement in the productivity of our advisors. Transactional revenues were $817,000,000 Movements in deferred compensation plan investments, which significantly impacted 4th quarter revenues, partially reversed in the Q1.
Excluding the impact of the gains on the plans, transactional revenues were down slightly quarter over quarter. Revenues were impacted by clients' defensive posture and the relatively slow syndicate calendar. In particular, we witnessed a rotation out of equities into short term fixed income products. Asset management revenues were $2,400,000,000 The 8% decline from the prior quarter was primarily driven by last quarter's lower ending asset levels. Total bank lending ended the quarter at $71,500,000,000 while funded balances declined slightly quarter over quarter, driven by a handful of large pay downs in the tailored lending book and a modest decline in security based lending, commitments did rise.
The rise in commitments and solid mortgage growth over the quarter are encouraging and we continue to expect mid single digit percentage loan balance growth for the full year. Net interest income growth of 3 percent to $1,100,000,000 was primarily driven by the benefit of the December rate increase and the corresponding impact on our investment portfolio yields. Additionally, we benefited from the increased level of deposits at the beginning of the quarter, which was partially offset by higher prepayments feeds. Strong non compensation expense discipline and the benefit of the retention note roll off more than offset the effect of lower asset values, resulting in a margin of 27.1%. As demonstrated during the quarter, we have levers protect the margin while still investing for growth.
Investment Management produced very strong results. Revenues of $804,000,000 were up 18% sequentially and were the highest for the segment in over 5 years. This was driven by $191,000,000 of investment revenues. Investment strength was broad based across products. The sequential increase was supported by the rebound in global markets and the absence of last quarter's impairment charge.
As noted historically, this line item has the potential to be lumpy. Total AUM of $480,000,000,000 was up 4% versus the prior quarter with long term AUM of 3 $21,000,000,000 increasing 7%. The increase in long term AUM was primarily driven by strong market related growth. Asset management fees of $617,000,000 were down 2% sequentially. The higher management fees on the back of improved average AUM over the quarter were offset by lower performance fees.
As we have mentioned before, as a result of the revenue recognition accounting rule implemented in 2018, a significant amount of any year's performance fees will be recognized in the 4th quarter with a small amount being recognized in this Q1. Total expenses increased by 3% quarter over quarter, driven by higher carry compensation, which offset a decline in non comp expenses. Turning to the balance sheet. Total spot assets of $876,000,000,000 increased 3%, driven by client activity, primarily in equity sales and trading and ISG lending. The higher balance sheet drove an increase in RWAs resulting in a decrease of our common equity Tier 1 ratio to 16.5% from 16.9%.
During the quarter, we repurchased approximately $1,200,000,000 of common stock or approximately 28,000,000 shares at $42 and our board declared a $0.30 dividend per share. Our tax rate in the Q1 was $19,900,000 excluding $101,000,000 of intermittent net discrete tax benefits. We continue to expect our full year tax rate will be similar to the 2018 tax rate excluding intermittent items. The vast majority of our share based award conversions took place in the Q1. Markets in the second quarter have been constructive.
Pipelines are healthy in Investment Banking and higher asset levels will support fee based revenues in our Wealth Management business. We are keenly aware that open and functioning markets and economic stability are instrumental in supporting confidence and activity levels moving forward. With that, we will now open the line to questions.
Thank Our first question comes from the line of Brennan Hawken of UBS. Your line is open.
Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. First question is on non comp expense. We saw a pullback nicely here in the quarter. Can you help us think about how we should think about the amount of flex that you have in that line to potentially offset environmental pressure if we see that flaring up again at maybe a bit of a context around fixed versus variable?
Yes, sure. I'll take a shot. And as you said, we thought we had a nice quarter on the non comp side. We continue to make investments. You'll see that in the IP and C line in terms of technology.
And where we've been able to tighten really has been in around marketing and business development and professional services. We did see an uptick in Brexit expenses, but we were effectively able to self fund those. And again, we continue to see opportunities and levers, if needed, in those sort of more controllable, if you will, line items like marketing and business development and professional services. We did also see, as you would expect, year over year, a decline in some of the execution related expenses given the decline in revenues. But again, a nice quarter for us on the expense side, 71% efficiency ratio, well below our target of 73%.
Okay. Thanks for that, John. And then switching gears to Solium. James, I know you referenced it and provided some high level context around how you're thinking about it strategically. But maybe could you help us think about how you see this fitting in a bit more granularly in the different businesses?
My guess is it's primarily a wealth management customer acquisition tool potentially, but I would think that it might play in a bit on the banking side too, particularly in developing relationships with privates. It comes along with frictional cash. So there seem to be a few different levers here that can help. Can you help us try to think about how you see those playing out after the deal closes and you onboard? What type of a time frame should we be thinking about before we can start to see some of these impacts?
Is there a conversion that needs to happen? How could you help us a little with the blocking and tackling around that? Thanks.
Sure. Well, I think you've answered most of it, Brendan. Thank you. Strategically, this is pretty obvious to me. There are basically three ways to 3 major channels for reaching wealth management clients.
1 is through some sort of advisory platform, whether it's financial planners, advisors, etcetera. And we were I'd say we're kind of A plus in that zone. The second is through the pure direct. That's not been a core focus of us and there are some very big established players there. And the third is through the workplace and through increasingly what's called financial wellness, whether it's financial planning, education and obviously conversion of stock plans, stock option plans, 401s, IRAs and the like.
And that's what Solium really does for us. It's like the I don't know if you ever saw the I was growing up in Australia, used to watch these ads on TV about Victor Khaim, where he said he liked the razor so much I bought the company. So he went and bought the company, but we liked Solene so much when we outsourced to them when we went and bought the company. And you're right, this isn't just getting access to 2,500,000 prospective clients, by the way, when their assets convert over from the stock plans, they convert into Morgan they'll be converting into Morgan Stanley accounts. So that's a very important part of the initiative.
The other parts, as you pointed out, treasury functions, pension management, other forms of cash management, which we do through the investment management group, the private wealth and financial advisory teams will continue to focus on C suite and senior executives. The IPO and banking teams where it's a small company potentially going public will come in and obviously offer those services. So there are 4 or 5 ways into what is about I think it's about 3,000 small companies they have on their platform. Ours tend to be bigger. We have about 300.
And I just think it's a very exciting, relatively inexpensive frankly against the size of Morgantown is very inexpensive in terms of absolute deal size. It obviously wasn't cheap on a multiple basis. But I see it as buying the technology and giving us access to a new channel with multiple verticals into it.
And then just briefly on timing, we would expect the deal to close shortly. There is clearly some conversion and technology builds and combining that we'll do it probably is a 12 to 18 month type of conversion period and then would expect to see the synergies that James talked about thereafter. So we're very excited about it.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Mike Mayo of Wells Fargo. Your line is open.
Hi, John. You used a lot of adjectives saying the pipeline is healthy, improved. And I'm just wondering if you can put some numbers on the backlogs, especially the IPO backlog. I mean, there's a lot of chatter in the market about the number of IPOs upcoming. And I guess you get more than your fair share in tech IPOs.
Can you quantify kind of what you're seeing? What's in the pipeline? What's maybe a little after the pipeline? What other period do you compare this to?
I will try to give you a little bit more context, although I think the adjectives were our attempt to give you that context. 1st and foremost, we're number 1 in global equity and IPOs. That's not just a tech comment. That's a broad based franchise that we're very confident in. And as you know, given the sort of December hangover, the earnings season as well as the government shutdown, we did see a significant portion of the IPO calendar get pushed out, not canceled, but pushed out.
We also then saw over the course of the quarter, increasing buildup of the pipeline in the IPO products. So we feel very confident about the health of the backlog and the size of the backlog. And right now, we do have a pretty constructive market in terms of equity vol and just overall valuation. So assuming those markets stay opening and functioning, we feel very good about the ECM product and the ECM opportunity. This quarter, we had strength.
Really, we sort of pivoted to blocks and secondaries and converts. So a smaller number than general, but still a strong number relative to what the opportunity set was. And as I described, back depend on the market's openness and willingness to bring these things bring these deals from the pipeline into the market.
All right. And then a separate question. Just on the wealth management margin, I mean, that's just going from 24 percent to 27%. It seems like there could be some one time items or noise in that. I guess what's your outlook for that?
And James, I know I always ask this, but with the rebound in the asset values, it seems like you sandbag with your pretax margin of 26%, 28%, now 27% in the middle of that. But why not raise that target? Where do you think that will be ahead? And was there any noise in this quarter?
Well, Mike, I think we're going to have this ongoing discussion probably for another decade. Let's see. I don't know that a midpoint result is a sandbag, but anyway, we'll take that offline. Listen, the first quarter
had
there weren't any peculiar one off things and John will correct me if I'm wrong about that, but there weren't the business at scale. I mean, the bottom line, the business has scale. A point of margin on $4,400,000,000 of revenue is $44,000,000 If you manage expenses tightly, which the team did, they had decent activity in the secondary stuff, not great, but decent. They manage it tightly. You can move the needle quickly.
And we there's no I've been saying this for many, many years. This is the ultimate scale business. If you put down the railway tracks in the right way, it rolls. Every now and then, there's a little sand on the tracks, which creates some friction. And every now and then you're going downhill, it goes a little faster.
And that's the important thing is the assets were priced at a very low level on December 31, relatively low level, and the business delivered notwithstanding. Now, as you know, we had 2 of the 3 months included the benefit from the compensation deal running off, which ran off at the end of January. By the way, I haven't noticed any attrition resulting from that, which I didn't expect and we didn't get. And we'll get 3 months of that coming into the 2nd quarter, assets priced more favorably in the 2nd quarter and we'll see how we do with expenses. But there's no magic to this.
It's pretty consistent. You're going to have a really bad quarter is 24.5% margin. We used to dream of having margins which had 15% on them. So I'll take that as a really bad quarter and if a really good quarter surprises the upside of the range that we talked about the 26% to 28%, so be it, could happen.
Yes. I would just mention, the idiosyncratic events were really around the Q4, not around the Q1. So I think the Q4 was depressed by some of the things that we did. And the Q1 was just shows the benefit of scale and our ability to pull levers and sort of manage between growth and investment.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Glenn Schorr of Evercore ISI. Your line is open.
Hi, Glenn. A question on just what to expect even though you can't expect too much. On fixed seasonality in the Q1, I'm sure is as strong as it's ever been. You put up very good results. I just want to make sure we get our expectations in the right place regarding seasonality.
And then on the flip side of that in equity trading, I think public volumes are overall light, but my question is, what are you seeing on reengagement of PB client balances on margin? Thank you.
Yes. I'll try to take that. On the FID side, you are absolutely correct. Q1 has a seasonal strength to it. I would say, certainly 4 out of the last 5 years, the Q1 is the strongest quarter of the year and we'll have to see how it plays out, but that's the general historical seasonality to that business.
We had a nice quarter, as I mentioned in the call, a nice rebound from a disappointing Q4 and the business, we have a lot of confidence in that business and continues to do well. On the equity side, we came into the quarter with activity levels low and average balances or balances quite low given the volatility in the December timeframe. As I mentioned, we did see PB balances grow steadily throughout the quarter. I would say they are still below the levels that we saw sort of in the 1st 9 months of 20 18, but they have steadily increased and continue to increase in this quarter. But it's interesting that the sentiment in that space, although the markets have rebounded, I would say that the participants are still quite cautious.
But balances are clearly rebounding, but just not back to the levels we saw in a very strong 1st 9 months of last year.
Okay. One quick one, John. There's a lot of news flow related to Lyft and Morgan Stanley's potential participation in helping original investors hedge. I know you can't talk about a specific issue. What I want to ask is what's normal course of business?
How does that what takes place behind the scenes that we don't see? And then if you could comment anything on that particular instance, that would be great.
Yes. But I mean, we can't obviously, we can't comment on it, Glenn, but we are in the market making business on behalf of clients. I mean, that's what you do in this industry. And there's no from our perspective, there's absolutely nothing done wrong in dealing with those particular shares, but that's for another day.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jim Mitchell of Buckingham Research. Your line is open.
Hey, good morning. Maybe just pivoting to capital, I mean, now that you've kind of taken a look at the new G FAST scenarios, how are you feeling relative to last year with respect to the CCAR submission? And how should we think about that?
Yes. As you know, we just submitted our plan here at the beginning of the month. So we have no particular color or context about the results. We'll get those at the end of June. I think you saw in January what we said is and we continue to say we have sufficient capital and we would like to return 100 percent of our earnings going forward.
The test, as you saw, certainly some of the metrics in the test and the macro factors were less severe than they were last year. And we started the year with roughly the same balance sheet and more capital. So we were in a stronger position. But we'll have to see what the results come out in January. But I would continue to say that we believe we are capital sufficient and we would like to continue to return our earnings to our shareholders.
Okay. So no change
to the 100%. And maybe just a follow-up on
the deferred comp. Can you help us just understand if there was a material P and L impact? I would assume there was some offset in comp, but if you could just sort of help with that.
Sure. And I would say you sum it up properly, which is that the PBT impact, both in terms of dollars and margin is actually quite minimal. You do see some variances in revenues and comp where you'll see the most differences. But overall, from a PBT standpoint, this quarter, there was virtually no impact to the bottom line. On a margin basis, the vast, vast majority of the time, the margin will be diluted by movements in DCP because we're generally pulling out very low margin dollars from both revenue from the PBT line.
So revenue expenses come out at a low margin basis. So it's dilutive to the margin. But again, from a bottom line perspective, very limited impact this quarter.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Steven Chubak of Wolfe Research. Your line is open.
Hi, good morning. So I wanted to start off with a question on April tax seasonality and the NII outlook. So deposits took a decent leg down in the quarter as clients reengage at the pretty consistent industry trend. I'm just curious if tax seasonality is expected to be a little bit more pronounced in 2Q following the changes in the tax law? And maybe just separately, I was encouraged to hear that the reaffirmation of the loan growth target of mid single digit year on year.
I'm just wondering in the context of a flattening yield curve, if we should still are you still comfortable with the original guidance of NII growth being up mid single digit as well?
So I'll go backwards. Yes, on both guidance for loan growth and guidance for NII. The loan balances this quarter were down slightly, really being driven by pay downs. We had nice production across the platform. Mortgages, you saw, was up.
We were impacted by the paydowns in both SBL as well as in tailored. We've had a very nice start to the Q2. The 1st 2 weeks have been very active, particularly in the SBL product. We surmise that is the result of the tax season this quarter and whether or not we end up in a higher or lower level relative to normal seasonality. But we've clearly seen some very strong production and balances in the SBL product here in the 1st 2 weeks.
So again, we feel very good about the mid single digit guidance on loan growth and NII, even though clearly expectations around rates in the forward curve are different than when we started the beginning of the year.
Thanks for that color, John. And just one follow-up for me on some of the fee income drivers in the quarter. I mean, having looked at what your peers have reported, clearly, the firm wide results were quite impressive. I was just wondering if you could provide any insight into how much of that fee strength that we saw in Investment Management, transactional activity in wealth and other sales and trading is sustainable. And it's clearly a strong result.
I just want to gauge how much of that strength is recurring and what we should be comfortable run rating in our models.
The 3 components on the MSIM, again, the fee based revenue, I mentioned the performance fees and then investments can be lumpy, but the investment management should be tracking AUM and AUM growth. And we as you saw what happened in those line items. The second one on other sales and trading you mentioned or just other?
We lost them.
Again, fees in general, there is we feel very good about the results. There wasn't anything particularly unique in the results outside of the investment management comments I made about investments being lumpy and the performance fees. We feel very good about the performance. The DCP transactional revenues is the one item. As we called out, DCP did impact transactional revenues to the positive.
Had it not been for the reversal of DCP, transactional revenues would continue to be soft. A lot of that was the calendar and sort of the defensive posture
of our
retail clients. So we did see the increase in deposits coming in, in the December timeframe. We saw that bleed out over time in the Q1 and a lot of that went to short term fixed income product, which has a lower commission schedule. So again, transactional revenues are soft and we'll have to see how sentiment changes or shifts as the year progresses. But that's one place that I would highlight.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Christian Beaulieu of Autonomous. Your line is open.
Good morning. So maybe another question on expenses and sustainability. Just trying to understand how sustainable the non comp numbers in Wealth Management was. So I think $7.39 for the quarter, which I believe is the lowest since Smith Barney was acquired. So obviously, very strong discipline there.
But is that the new normal? Should we just run rate that forward in our models? Or how should we think about the go forward here?
Again, it was a nice non comp quarter. We do have in terms of the non comps, there are obviously some seasonality related to the expenses and FICA and whatnot. But we've shown an extremely good discipline in this business. We made significant technology investments over the course of the last year or 2. We'll continue to balance investment and growth in that area.
But as James mentioned, this is really a scale business and we have the ability to really manage that expense base tightly and you're seeing that. So year over year, as you mentioned, it's down 3% and there wasn't anything chunky or interesting in that other than real discipline and focus.
I'd just add 2 things, Christian. 1, more narrowly, just there will be some integration costs with Solium. I think the deal is closing in May. Am I right, John? Sure.
There'll be some integration costs with that, some technology investments and so on. That's not obviously huge given just the size of the business, but that may bounce the numbers around a little bit over the next couple of quarters. I don't know exactly, but my guess is a little bit. But more broadly, we came out of last summer and sat as a management committee, I think in September and just came to a view that the revenue outlook for 2019 did not appear at point that it was likely to exceed 2018. I think we'd had an incredible start in 2018.
We'd had the 2 best quarters in our history and the Q3 was very close to that. We've never broken $10,000,000,000 in revenue and we had 2 in a row and then a $9,800,000,000 and we were right frankly. The 4th quarter turned out to be disappointing from a revenue perspective. We could see the decline coming. We didn't know how the turnaround would happen.
The shutdown appeared imminent and then actually happened. The trade wars were hiding up, was taking down sentiments. So There was a lot of negativity building through the end of the year. And around September, October, we started taking a hard look at expenses because you can't change expenses once you're in the middle of the quarter. It just it doesn't work.
I mean, there's very little pure discretionary stuff you can just stop. You can stop people traveling, go into client stuff and some That will save you a few $1,000,000 But if you're going to make a real move, you've got to be quite strategic about it. And the team started focusing on this September, October, November. Even some of that didn't come through till where it had started the quarter, it didn't start day 1. But there's a whole machine around expense management here, which we've had for a few years that started with Project Streamline and we kind of re upped that machine again, turned the engines back on and got them going and they did a great job.
So my view is, we keep this disciplined. I'm not the world remains uncertain. I'd love to think the next 3 quarters are better than the last 3 quarters of last year, but I'm a betting man. I'm not sure I'd make that bet right now. The world is uncertain.
And until we see more clarity, we're going to be very disciplined. It's not a panic. We it's just good smart expense management. 3% decline is not a massive move, but as you saw in the margins on some of these businesses, it really helps. So that's the general philosophy.
Until we get greater visibility and confidence that the outlook is an up revenue outlook year over year, we're going to manage it tightly.
That's really helpful color, James. I really appreciate that. Maybe just switching a bit here back to, I guess, Solium or more broadly, just like a broader wealth management or digital wealth management strategy, is there any thought here of building a sort of Merillad style platform to better serve, as you said, the younger demographic and maybe customers more digitally, which is one part of the question. And maybe the second part of the Solium question is, are there any revenue dis synergies we should be aware of? I know that I believe some of your competitors are served by Solium.
So not sure if those deals carry over when you close the deal in May.
A couple of things, and I'll take a first crack at this. As you know, we've been significantly And one of the real
exciting things about the
Solium deal is that And one of the real exciting things about the Solium deal is our ability to use those digital investments more broadly with this younger demographic and this sort of emerging investor demographic as people build wealth in the workplace. So we've spent significant resources building out our virtual advisor as well as our Access Investing, which is a robo platform. So we'll be able to provide digital advice and digital applications to these younger, less affluent customers as they build wealth and then hopefully channel them into the broader FA traditional model that we have. So that's one of the exciting elements of it. And then in terms of the second part of your question on just the costs or the programs, this is a very exciting space.
Employers are looking for full service solutions for their employees. The combination of Solium and their sort of state of the art technology combined with our platform, both on the digital side and the full service and our ability to deal with things like 401, pension benefits, as well as our goals based planning, our digital platform. And then lastly, financial education and wellness. This is a real interesting comprehensive product offering for employers and we would expect the growth to accelerate as we combine these platforms over the next couple, as I said, 12 to 18 months.
I'd just add, from a strategic perspective, I mean, it's always fun to talk about new stuff and a lot of the media attention and sometimes investor attention gets very focused on what's new and sexy and different and Solvium kind of checks all of those boxes. But it's small. I mean, let's be realistic here. I mean, it's a I think it's a very interesting strategic play that will play out over a number of years and puts us squarely in a space we want to be in, but it's small. We have a $17,000,000,000 revenue business in wealth management that has nothing to do with Solen right now.
That is the main game, driving the margins in that business, shifting the assets onto the annuitized platforms, building out the bank and lending products. They are the massive moves that are going to take place over the next several years. I think the wealth management through our Asia platform is very important as that continues to grow. So I just I don't want to dampen the enthusiasm. I just want to put in context that to win in workplace and losing the advisory would not be a good answer.
Our job is to win in the advisory, crush that and add these other verticals as opportunities permit and an opportunity opened and we took it.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Devin Ryan of JMP Securities. Your line is open.
Great. Thanks. Good morning. So last quarter, you guys talked quite a bit about M and A opportunities and Solium was announced soon after that, so maybe some foreshadowing there. I'm just curious if you're still actively looking for opportunistic M and A here, whether it be GWM or asset management.
And last quarter, you'd also mentioned potentially pursuing some new client segments. I'm just trying to think about what some of those segments could be. Are there any specific areas that are maybe more attractive today?
We have a very high bar on M and A. It's either got to bring scale to an existing business. It's got to be in an era of where we have clear competencies or it's got to be something which fills out is complementary to our platform, mightn't give us scale, but fills out and broadens the platform. I think what you saw at Mesa West is a good example of that. What you saw with Solium is a good example of that.
What you saw at Smith Barney was a good example of pure scale plate. So yes, we're looking at opportunities, but we're very I don't know if conservative is the word, but we're definitely not compulsively trying to buy stuff. That's not where our head is at. On the other hand, as we see things that we think are smart and can fit on the platform and culturally good fits, we'll go for it. John, you want to add to that?
Yes. No, and I think your focus is right in terms of both wealth and I'm sort of more a fee based type businesses, less balance sheet intensive and that's really what the focus has been and that's what the 2 deals you saw over the last 2 years were. Yes. Okay. All right.
Thanks. And just
a follow-up here on Wealth Management. I know there's a number of growth initiatives there today and a number that are kind of beyond adding financial advisors. But you've actually had a slight increase in advisor headcount over the past 3 quarters. I know it's small, but can you maybe talk about the backdrop for financial advisor recruiting, if there's been any change in kind of appetite there or maybe attractiveness of recruiting, especially with some of the expense rolling off from the Smith Barney retention and other employee loans amortizing?
Sure. I mean, I think 1st and foremost, I would just say, 1, there's just been less movement of people, both in and out, and that's good for stability of the platform, the ability to build relationships and continue to invest. So that's a positive. You did mention, I think, recruiting last year was quite slow for us as we focused on digital and adoption and things of that nature. I think we have a very attractive platform, so we're seeing interest in joining our platform.
So there could be some marginal pickup in that area, but that's not really going to be a growth engine
for us.
And I would say one thing that I called out in the script is, the numbers will go up and down in terms of headcount. I think productivity is critically important. And you've seen us increase the productivity of the average advisor quite consistently over the timeframe. So we're happy with that, but just less movement of people broadly speaking is better. James mentioned we saw the roll off of the retention notes.
We did actually see an uptick, but again, these are not big numbers, an uptick in retirements, but they were sort of well planned for. As you know, most advisors now work in teams and we've gotten a very good program in place to help them transition their book of business to a younger member of their team and continue to retain those assets even though people are leaving the business or retiring. So we feel very good about the stability of where we are right now.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Andrew Lim of Societe Generale. Your line is open.
Hi, thanks for taking my questions. So I just had a follow on from a question asked earlier. Perhaps if you could give some color on the other revenues within the institutional securities? You referenced lots of market gains associated with corporate lending activity. Is this due to spread tightening?
How feasible is it to expect more of this going forward? Or is it just a reversal of some spread widening that we saw in 4Q? And then the second question is on CLOs and leverage lending. It's a question I asked one of your competitors. But I was wondering if you've seen any changes in Japanese buyers for CLOs, U.
S. CLOs, especially the highly rated stuff regarding changes to Japanese regulations a few weeks ago, which have required CLO issuers to have 5% risk retention? Thanks for that.
Sure. And again, I think that I'll try to take both of those questions separately. The other revenues, there's a lot of things that are moving around and there's three lines, other revenues, other sales and trading investments. I think you have to look at them broadly in context and then we try to call out what we think the biggest drivers of the changes are. In other sales and trading this quarter, You see some of the impact of the deferred comp that we talked about.
We also saw that's where we have a lot of our hedging activity. And obviously, spreads tightened, so there were losses there. On the flip side and the other revenue line, we have the mark to market on those same positions. And so those just generally have been offsetting each other. So again, there's a lot of moving parts in those businesses and we've tried to excuse me, in those line items and we've tried to call out the main differences.
On the CLOs, as you mentioned, the risk retention rules are new. We haven't seen a big change in behavior Issuance in the Q1 was down slightly in terms of CLOs versus where they were last quarter last year, but it was certainly healthy. Our expectation is given the pricing dynamic more than the risk retention rules, but given the pricing dynamic, we'd expect CLO issuance to decline year over year. But it's been pretty healthy in the Q1 and it's supporting a pretty healthy leverage loan market.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Matt O'Connor of Deutsche Bank. Your line is open.
Good morning. You had good trends in the compensation, down 5% year over year. I guess
I would have thought there might have been even more flexibility just given some of the roll off of retention and then also some of the pull forward that you did in 4Q. Obviously, we're just looking at 1 quarter here and you're optimistic on the revenue outlook. But just talk about some of those dynamics and the flexibility you have specifically in comp in light of the retention and the roll off sorry, and the front ending of some compensation in 4Q?
Yes. I'll try to take that in the 2 components. On the ISG side, you saw the comp ratio sort of consistent with last year's Q1. Revenues were down, so obviously comp was impacted by that. And we continue to believe or continue to manage that tightly.
We want to be competitive in compensation and retain and attract the best people and we think we have the flexibility to do that within the context of the comp ratio in that business.
On the
wealth side, if you look at year over year, there was very little change in the comp ratio. You're right, the retention did roll off. As I mentioned also, the DCP or the deferred comp plans, just the movement that we called out in transactional revenues, While it's dilutive to the PBT margin, it's actually accretive to the comp, to revenue margin because we're pulling out high comp revenue dollars to the revenues when we backed that out. So the comp ratio would have been actually down had it not been down had it not been for the movements in the DCP. We did roll off those notes in the Q1.
But again, comparing year over year, we've been investing in the business in terms of both people and comp levels. But again, if you were to back out the DCP, you'd see a more stark decline.
Okay, that's helpful. Thank you.
Yes.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Al Alevizakos of HSBC. Your line is open.
Hi. Thank you for taking my question. It's a strategic question regarding your technology investment, especially given that you've already embarked into acquisitions like Solium Capital. I remember that you previously disclosed a $4,000,000,000 budget for technology. And I was wondering how do you think about it for 2019 given that the revenue backdrop is slightly lower at the same time you've already done an acquisition for close of EUR 1,000,000,000.
So will that remain the same, go higher, go lower? And how much do you spend for changing the bank? Thank
you. I'm not sure I want to get into great detail about the technology budget. I wouldn't expect it to change materially year over year. Probably the mix is changing a little bit. We're moving into some of the more innovative areas of technology.
We've made and we've made a major push with our cyber defense. We're doing a lot of work around machine learning at the moment, big data management. So all the stuff that you would expect us to be doing, we're doing. I think we spend a lot of money getting regulatory compliant in the last 5, 8 years from a technology perspective. And once you're compliant, you're compliant.
You don't have to keep spending that. So we made a lot of changes to the wealth management platform, the user interface and the various tools the advisors have at their workplace. And once you've done that, you don't have to keep doing it at the same pace. So I think if I was sitting in front of one of your models, I would probably be modeling more or less flat. And within that, there's a change in mix going on.
It's easy just to throw buckets of money in technology. It's something everybody because people are talking about it so much, it's very fashionable to do that. And we're also running a business. So I think we want to find the right balance.
Thank you for that. And as a follow-up on something you said just before, you mentioned that you would only be considering to do acquisitions or investments, that they would actually add scale to your business. And clearly, Investment Management, I think, is one of the places where you are subscale compared to some of your competitors. There was a rumor on Bloomberg last month that you may be looking for a large German wealth asset manager. Would that make any sense from a strategic perspective?
Thank you.
Well, 1, I don't comment on rumors. 2, I didn't even see the article. 3, I think the probability of us investing in a European Wealth Manager, given that we sold our European Wealth Management business a few years ago, it was somewhere between 0 and none. But apart from that, I won't comment on the rumor. It's not just scale.
We look at scale as clearly, to me, the easiest acquisition is where you're building scale economics. But we look at product and capability fill in. That's just as important as if we're going to grow, we can't just rely upon getting deeper in what we're doing. We've also got to expand the range of things we're doing. I think that's exactly John may have a comment on this.
That's exactly what we did in the asset management space. I think what Dan Sinkwitz and his team is focused on, John. Yes.
And again, I would look at the asset management space as not necessarily, in totality. If you look at the different products that we're in, the equity product, the fixed income product, the alternative product, there are certain business that we feel that were very effective and are at scale. And we'd like to continue to add little product capabilities, Mesa West and the equity product in terms of commercial real estate excuse me, the debt product in commercial real estate was one area that we like to fill in. I would say in fixed income, we'd probably like to see more scale in that business. We continue to make key hires and invest for public and private credit, and we'll continue to do that to try to build out that business.
But I would say the other businesses within asset management where we do have scale.
Thank you. And ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now all disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.