OGE Energy Corp. (OGE)
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Earnings Call: Q2 2018

Aug 9, 2018

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the OGE Energy Corp.'s second quarter 2018 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session, and instructions will be given at that time. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star then zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Todd Tidwell. Sir, you may begin.

Todd Tidwell
Director of Investor Relations, OGE Energy

Thank you, Chelsea. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to OGE Energy Corp.'s second quarter 2018 earnings call. I'm Todd Tidwell, Director of Investor Relations. With me today, I have Sean Trauschke, Chairman, President, CEO of OGE Energy Corp., and Steve Merrill, CFO of OGE Energy Corp. In terms of the call today, we will first hear from Sean, followed by an explanation from Steve of second quarter results. Finally, as always, we will answer your questions. I would like to remind you that this conference is being webcast, and you may follow along on our website at oge.com. In addition, the conference call and accompanying slides will be archived following the call on that same website. Before we begin this morning's presentation, I would like to direct your attention to the safe harbor statement regarding forward-looking statements.

This is an SEC requirement for financial statements and simply states that we cannot guarantee forward-looking financial results, but this is our best estimate to date. I would also like to remind you that there is a Regulation G reconciliation for gross margin in the appendix. I will now turn the call over to Sean Trauschke for his opening comments. Sean?

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

Hey, thank you, Todd, and good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us on today's call. Earlier this morning, we reported second quarter consolidated earnings of $0.55 per share compared to $0.52 per share in 2017. The utility reported earnings of $0.46 per share, and our portion of Enable earnings were $0.11 per share. Both businesses continued to perform well and accomplished a great deal. Steve will discuss the details in a moment, but right now I want to highlight our second-quarter achievements. Our service territory continues to grow. With 7,000 new customers over the last year, we are growing near the historical average of 1%. The latest economic statistics put Oklahoma's unemployment rate below 4%, which is on par with the national average.

In addition, our largest load center, Oklahoma City, unemployment is below pre-2008 levels at 3.3%, and employment and tax revenues are now growing solidly again, signifying a strong economic outlook. Across our service territory, leadership and economic development is an important part of our company's strategy. From data centers to steel mills to the oil and gas sector, we are seeing growth on our system driven by our low rates and quality service. I'm very proud of our team's work to deliver this competitive advantage to the communities we serve. On the operations front, our successes continued through the first half of 2018. Transmission and distribution reliability has seen a 15% improvement over the same period last year. Our generation fleet continued to perform well with the combined cycle units performing among the best in the country.

The Mustang Energy Center combustion turbines have approximately 1,200 starts across the 7 units already this year, demonstrating their value to the market and our customers. For many years now, we've been talking about Mustang and the other large projects. These projects are now complete or are nearing completion and beginning to bear the positive results we predicted. Just to recap, we began with more than $1 billion of investments, covering 2 scrubbers, 7 low-NOx burners, 2 coal-to-gas conversions, 5 ACI installations, 126 miles of 345 kV transmission line, and of course, the new Mustang plant. All completed projects were under budget and on schedule and being recovered in Oklahoma rates. The Unit 1 scrubber at Sooner is complete and going through final testing.

Unit 2 and the Muskogee conversions will be completed by January 2019, and we expect these to be under budget as well. Highlighting our members' dedication, as we've talked previously, this year our crew spent 40 days in Puerto Rico helping to restore power to thousands of citizens. In June, OG&E was honored with yet another EEI Emergency Assistance Award for those efforts. I point this out because it is important to note that these achievements were made while achieving best-in-class safety performance. Year to date, I'm pleased to report the utility has the top safety performance in the Southeastern Electric Exchange. To date marks record performance and safety excellence for our company, going 307 days without an incident or injury. I could not be prouder of the total team effort here at the company.

As we mentioned previously, this year we resumed our focus on grid modernization, starting in Arkansas. This investment program is a focused deployment of both integrity and technology assets in the Fort Smith area. The project will reach approximately one-third of our Arkansas customers, and they will benefit from streamlined operations and reliability improvements. This means they will see integration with the benefits from distribution management systems, integration benefits with existing smart grid investments, decreased annual truck rolls, faster outage response times, and improved storm resiliency. We expect a SAIDI improvement in Arkansas of greater than 10%. Customers will also benefit from nearly $500,000 of avoided annual O&M and capital maintenance costs. This investment will give us meaningful experience as we move into deployment in Oklahoma, and it will better enable us to meet customer demands and position our infrastructure for the future.

Turning to regulatory, as you know, we reached the settlement in our most recent Oklahoma rate review that provides for full recovery of our investment in the Mustang Energy Center. We're pleased the various parties recognize the value and strategic importance of Mustang to our customers, communities, and the state. The agreement supports regional energy grid reliability and resiliency. It also ensured that Oklahoma customers received the timely benefit of the tax savings resulting from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017. The new rates took effect July 1st, with customers beginning to receive the tax savings at the same time. We'll file another rate review in Oklahoma at the end of 2018 for the recovery of the Sooner Scrubbers, and we will make our first Arkansas formula rate filing in October of this year.

Turning to Enable, on their call last week, they reported another quarter of strong results. During the second quarter, per day, natural gas gathered volumes grew for the 10th consecutive quarter as a result of strong rig activity across Enable's footprint. They also achieved the highest per day crude gathered volumes since the partnership's formation in May of 2013. Enable also commissioned Project Wildcat, bringing critical processing capacity and market access to Anadarko Basin supplies. They also signed several key transportation contracts in the second quarter, further demonstrating market demand for their transportation systems. As a sponsor of Enable, we continue to be pleased with their performance and what the Enable team is building. Last but not least, the Enable board approved quarterly distributions last week, of which $35 million will be distributed to OGE.

Before turning the call over to Steve, I do want to acknowledge the growth and accomplishments of the company. We have a lot of momentum here, it originates from a solid core. I mentioned previously the world-class safety performance. Our customers are enjoying even higher levels of reliability. We've added state-of-the-art generation and even stronger performance on our existing fleet. Our environmental investments have made significant strides in emission reductions. By the close of 2019, we expect SO2 to be lower by 86%, NOx to be lower by 74%, CO2 to be lower by 40%. Our J.D. Power results for the residential customer satisfaction continue to improve. Each year, we consistently rank among the leaders in a highly competitive south region. We're doing all of this keeping retail rates 29% below the national average. We're not satisfied, and I think that's the key to our success.

We know we must continually strive to get even better. In closing, I want to reiterate how pleased I am with the performance of both businesses. We're committed to executing our strategy to continuing to growing our business, growing our communities, and creating long-term shareholder value. Thank you, and I'll turn the call over to Steve to review our financial results for the quarter. Steve?

Steve Merrill
CFO, OGE Energy

Thank you, Sean, and good morning, everyone. For the second quarter, we reported net income of $111 million, or $0.55 per share, as compared to net income of $105 million or $0.52 per share in 2017. The contribution by business unit on a comparative basis is listed on the slide. At OG&E, net income for the quarter was $92 million, or $0.46 per share, as compared to net income of $86 million, or $0.43 per share in 2017. Second quarter gross margin at the utility increased approximately $4 million, which I will discuss on the next slide. The following four expenses are on plan and in our guidance. O&M increased approximately $9 million due to increased employee and vegetation management costs. We remain focused on cost control and are on plan for the year.

Depreciation increased approximately $7 million due to additional assets placed into service, including the Mustang CTs and the Covington Solar Farm. AFUDC has decreased $2 million due to lower construction work in progress following the completion of the Mustang CTs. Finally, income taxing decreased $27 million, primarily due to the decrease in the federal tax rate. As I mentioned earlier, utility margins were up $4 million for the second quarter. The primary driver for the increase was warmer weather compared to 2017. Looking closer at weather, cooling degree days were 24% above normal and 37% above last year for the second quarter. This translated into $13 million in higher margin compared to normal and $21 million in higher gross margin compared to last year. Higher demand prices, new customer growth, industrial and oil field sales, and wholesale transmission combined to increase margin by approximately $8 million.

Partially offsetting these increases is $26 million to be returned to customers due to the lowering of the corporate tax rates. Turning to our investment in Enable, for the second quarter of 2018, Enable Midstream made cash distributions of approximately $35 million, the same amount received in the second quarter of 2017. Enable also contributed earnings of $22 million, or $0.11 per share.

Compared to $18 million, or $0.09 per share in 2017. Enable continues to perform very well, and their financial metrics are strong. Enable set all-time quarterly records for gathering and processing volumes, natural gas liquids, and crude oil gathered volumes. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $30 million, and DCF increased $15 million compared to the second quarter of 2017. They ended the quarter with a distribution coverage ratio of 1.24 times. Turning to the 2018 outlook. At the utility and assuming normal weather for the balance of the year, we project earnings per share to be at the high end of the earnings range of $1.43-$1.53 per average diluted share. As you know, over half of our earnings will occur in the third quarter. This concludes our prepared remarks. We'll now answer your questions.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, if you have a question at this time, please press the star, then the number 1 key on your telephone keypad. If your question has been answered or you wish to remove yourself from the queue, please press the pound key. To prevent any background noise, we do ask that you please place your line on mute once your question has been stated. Thank you. Our first question will come from the line of Julien Dumoulin-Smith with Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Your line is open.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith
Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Hey. Good morning. Congratulations.

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

Hey. Good morning, Julien. Thank you. How are you doing?

Julien Dumoulin-Smith
Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Excellent. Quite well. Thank you very much.

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

Good.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith
Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

I appreciate it. Would love to hear a little bit of your thoughts on how the next case here coming up might be structured, given some of the resolution, shall we say, that you've already been able to bring to this next case. Might it be abbreviated? I just want to try to understand some of the other parameters that might be resolved ahead of time here and how that might impact it. Then maybe in parallel with that, can you give us a bit of an update on the process at the Oklahoma level on any kind of reform?

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

Sure. Maybe take it two steps there. I think, this upcoming case, just like the previous case, is going to be very straightforward. It is about the recovery of the Sooner investments and to a smaller degree, the conversion of the two Muskogee units to natural gas. Again, a very straightforward case. I think the merits of that case have been heard previously. Previously, all three commissioners supported the plan of scrubbing those units and converting the Muskogee units. We feel very good about this case going forward. As far as the governor's task force looking at the structure of the commission and the mission of the commission, they still are on schedule to present their final recommendations in early November after the November elections.

Again, Julien, I think we've always said, we're not expecting, I think it'd be unrealistic to expect some big great change or anything that happens immediately with those recommendations. I think those are ideas that you have somebody look at how things work. It's always good in business to have someone come in and evaluate how you can do things better. We're interested in that feedback that we get, and hopefully that'll create some momentum for us all.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith
Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Got it. Then I suppose, just thinking more conceptually about the company's finances, how are you thinking about capital allocation at a higher level, right? You've got some latitude here. You've made commitments on dividend already. How do you think about extending those out and/or evaluating other alternatives, be it strategic or additional capital investments? Because we've seen you make moves on, frankly, at least a couple of those year-to-date. How do you think about it into the future at this point? Are there further CapEx levers that we're waiting to hear? Or do you think a dividend extension or acceleration, et cetera, is the more likely angle?

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

Sure. Good question, and something that we spend a lot of time evaluating here at the company. Recall, we committed to a 10% dividend increase through 2019. I think your first question's there, what are you going to do after that in terms of the dividend? I think first and foremost, we think about this in terms of long-term shareholder value creation. That's how we've looked at this. We have numerous opportunities for capital investment. We've talked about that before. Our first foray is going to be really into Arkansas. We have clear line of sight there to the recovery mechanisms. Regulatory outcomes are very important to our investment decisions, therefore, that line of sight recovery is key. To the extent that we have better line of sight, and I'm confident we will in Oklahoma, we could see capital expenditures increase.

As it relates to the dividend, I think that's also something that we consider in conjunction with that. We've not made any commitments beyond 2019 for the dividend, but we recognize that growing our earnings of the company and growing the dividends of the company are important investment criteria, and we're going to continue to be prudent allocators of capital. To the extent that we have opportunities to invest, we want to invest. We want to grow our company.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith
Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Strategically, it seems like you're focused internally rather than externally.

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

Yeah. We appreciate the comment, Julien. Not really going to comment on externally, and I'm not sure there's really any upside to that. I understand your point, and I think what I'd want you to take away from this is we're focused on creating long-term shareholder value, and we will be prudent allocators of capital. I think we've proven that over the years, and I see no reason that won't continue.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith
Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Excellent. Thank you for the time, though.

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

Hey, thanks, Julien. Take care of yourself.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith
Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

You, too. Cheers.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Paul Ridzon with KeyBank. Your line is open.

Paul Ridzon
Analyst, KeyBank

Morning. How are you?

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

Morning, Paul.

Paul Ridzon
Analyst, KeyBank

Just a quick question. New rates kicked in July 1st. That includes the benefit of lower taxes. What happened to that benefit in the first half of the year?

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

We had reserved that. We began reserving that give back to customers or that benefit, starting in January. Basically, the first half we reserved, I mentioned that in my comment, that was an offset to our margin growth. We've started giving that back already, and actually that first six months has been returned, in July.

Paul Ridzon
Analyst, KeyBank

That first six months has been fully returned. Okay.

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

It has been fully returned. In Oklahoma. We'll start giving that back in Arkansas in October.

Paul Ridzon
Analyst, KeyBank

How's July weather been? Is that baked into your updated forecast for the top end?

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

It's been okay. Not great, not bad, just okay.

Paul Ridzon
Analyst, KeyBank

Okay. Thank you again.

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

Okay.

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, ladies and gentlemen, if you would like to ask a question at this time, please press the star then the number one key on your telephone keypad. Once again, that is star one for questions. Our next question comes from the line of Vidula Mirji with Avon Capital. Your line is open.

Vidula Mirji
Analyst, Avon Capital

Hey, good morning, Sean. Good morning, Todd.

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

Hey, good morning, Vidula. It's been a long time. How have you been?

Vidula Mirji
Analyst, Avon Capital

I'm okay. Thank you very much.

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

Good.

Vidula Mirji
Analyst, Avon Capital

I wanted to follow up a little bit on what Julien Dumoulin-Smith was talking about. First thing, assuming the case you'll be filing here for the final environmental investments and everything like that kind of go the way you're anticipating. Do you believe you'll be able to then basically manage within the existing rate structure and be able to not be in the rate arena for a while?

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

Yeah, I think there's two components to that question. Good question. Certainly, as we look at some of these grid modernization investments, you want to make sure you have a line of sight. Do we pursue some sort of rider or formula rate mechanism for those? We'll certainly consider those. I think first things first, we're focused on getting all of these environmental compliance projects behind us. Sooner will be the last. Sooner and Muskogee will be the last ones in that suite. That would be our expectation of not going in every year for rate actions. To the extent that we could secure some sort of rider or something like that could keep us out even longer. I think your thesis is exactly right. We're not going to have to go in every year.

The better regulatory, more constructive regulatory mechanism we have, we could stay out for additional years.

Vidula Mirji
Analyst, Avon Capital

Given your cash flow profile as well as your balance sheet and everything like that, frankly, you have an opportunity if you wanted to potentially consider an equity buyback or that type of thing as a part of capital allocation as opposed to incremental capital investments such as grid mod. How do you think about those, think about how you think about comparing and contrasting those?

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

Well, I think it goes back to what's going to create the most long-term shareholder value. We've been rather bullish in terms of the investment opportunities we have in our service territories. When we had deferred a lot of those grid modernization things as we were going through this environmental program. We've got a lot there that is teed up and ready to go. That's really going to create a lot of value for our customers as well. Assuming that we have the right regulatory construct, I think those are going to be really valuable investments and can create a lot of value for not just our shareholders, but more importantly, probably our customers going forward.

Vidula Mirji
Analyst, Avon Capital

Okay. I guess one last thing. Is there any type of update in terms of the management structure or thoughts about any, I guess, realignment or clarity in terms of Enable other than just the status quo?

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

I think that's something we always look at different things around Enable. I think that's just good management practice. We have nothing to update as far as any pending actions or any change of thinking around how Enable is organized.

Vidula Mirji
Analyst, Avon Capital

Are there any milestones in terms of just the way the partnership agreements work where that type of valuation would be considered and just re-looked at on a formal basis?

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

No, nothing like that.

Vidula Mirji
Analyst, Avon Capital

Okay.

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

There's not.

Vidula Mirji
Analyst, Avon Capital

Thank you very much.

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

All right. Have a great day.

Operator

Thank you. I'm showing no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the call back to Mr. Sean Trauschke for closing remarks.

Sean Trauschke
Chairman, President, and CEO, OGE Energy

Thank you, Chelsea. This concludes our call. I want to thank all of you for joining us today. Thank you for your interest in OGE and I hope all of you have a safe and wonderful day. Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. This does conclude the program, and you may all disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.