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Earnings Call: Q3 2018

Nov 5, 2018

Speaker 1

Good morning, and welcome to the Omega Healthcare Investors Third Quarter 2018 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen only mode. Please note today's event is being recorded. And at this time, I'd like to turn the conference call over to Ms. Michelle Reber.

Ma'am, please go ahead.

Speaker 2

Good morning. With me today are Omega's CEO, Taylor Pickett CFO, Bob Stevenson COO, Dan Booth and Chief Corporate Development Officer, Stephen Innsoft. Comments made during this conference call that are not historical facts may be forward looking statements, such as statements regarding our financial projections, dividend policy, portfolio restructurings, rent payments, financial condition or prospects of our operators, contemplated acquisitions, dispositions or transitions and our business and portfolio outlook generally. These forward looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results to differ materially. Please see our press releases and our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including without limitation, our most recent report on Form 10 ks, which identifies specific factors that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those described in forward looking statements.

During the call today, we will refer to some non GAAP financial measures, such as FFO, adjusted FFO, FAD and EBITDA. Reconciliations of these non GAAP measures to the most comparable measure under generally accepted accounting principles, as well as an explanation of the usefulness of the non GAAP measures are available under the Financial Information section of our website at www.omegahealthcare.com and in the case of FFO and adjusted FFO in our press release issued today. I will now turn the call over to Taylor.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Michelle. Good morning and thank you for joining our Q3 2018 earnings conference call. Today, I will discuss our strategic asset repositioning and portfolio restructuring and our Q3 dividend. We've made considerable progress toward completing our strategic asset repositioning and portfolio restructurings. In the 1st 3 quarters of 2018, we disposed of 71 facilities for total consideration of $340,000,000 The revenue reduction related to these sales was $38,000,000 while the trailing 12 month cash flow on these assets was $26,000,000 The cash flow on these assets did not cover the underlying achieve sale proceeds that equate to a cash flow yield of 7.6%.

We believe we're going to be able to redeploy these proceeds into higher quality assets with good rent coverage, while experiencing minimal revenue impact. We will likely sell 10 to 15 additional facilities, but the bulk of our asset repositioning sales are now complete, excluding the ultimate outcome of the Orianna portfolio. 23 of the 42 Orianna facilities have been transitioned or sold, 22 facilities have been released to 5 existing Omega operators with related annual rent of $16,800,000 1 facility in Tennessee was sold for $4,300,000 There are 19 facilities remaining that will be sold or re leased. We expect that these facilities will generate rent or rent equivalents in excess of $15,000,000 which is in line with our expectations and previous disclosures. With the bulk of our asset sales and repositioning behind us, we expect that in 2019 acquisitions will meaningfully outpace dispositions as we return to our historical growth model.

Turning to our Q3 dividend. Our Q3 dividend of $0.66 per share reflects a payout ratio of 85% of adjusted FFO and 96% of funds available for distribution. While these ratios are high from a historical perspective, we continue to feel comfortable with the payout ratio given that we incurred 3rd quarter Orianna legal fees of $2,000,000 in excess of our budget. I will now turn the call over to Bob.

Speaker 4

Thanks, Taylor, and good morning. Our reportable FFO on a diluted basis was $159,000,000 or $0.76 per share for the quarter as compared to a loss of $47,000,000 or a loss of $0.24 per share in the Q3 of 2017. Our adjusted FFO was $163,000,000 or $0.77 per share for the quarter and excludes the impact of a $2,000,000 recovery for uncollectible accounts, a $1,200,000 mark to market loss on our Genesis warrants and $4,000,000 of non cash stock based compensation expense. Operating revenue for the quarter was approximately $222,000,000 versus $220,000,000 for the Q3 of 2017. The increase was primarily a result of $8,000,000 of incremental revenue from a combination of $445,000,000 of new investments completed and capital renovations made to our facilities since the Q3 of 2017, as well as lease amendments made during that same time period and $4,000,000 of revenue related to the Orianna transferred assets that were transitioned to existing Omega operators in the Q3 of 2018.

Those two increases in revenue were partially offset by $8,000,000 in reduced revenue resulting from asset sales, transitions and loan payoffs that occurred since June of 2017. The $222,000,000 of revenue for the quarter includes 18 $18,000,000 of non cash revenue. For revenue modeling purposes, we project our non cash quarterly revenue will continue at approximately $18,000,000 We expect to transition the preferred care portfolio and generate annual revenue between $5,000,000 $6,000,000 starting in late 2018 or early 2019. We expect the Orianna facilities to generate annual rent and rent equivalents of $32,000,000 to $38,000,000 when the restructuring is complete with over $4,000,000 per quarter already completed related to the 22 legacy Orianna facilities that transitioned in Q3. Our G and A expense was $10,300,000 for the quarter, which was $2,600,000 greater than our Q3 2017 G and A expense.

The increase was primarily due to legal expenses related to operator workouts and restructurings. For modeling purposes, we project our G and A for the Q4 of 2018 to be consistent with or slightly greater than our Q3 G and A. As a result of continued legal expenses related to operator workouts and transitions before returning to our traditional $8,000,000 to $9,000,000 of quarterly G and A run rate. In addition, we expect our non cash stock based compensation expense to be approximately $4,000,000 per quarter for the Q4 of 2018 and throughout 2019, consistent with the 1st 3 quarters of 2018. Interest expense for the quarter when excluding non cash deferred financing costs was $48,000,000 or roughly the same as the Q3 of 17 as lower debt balances were offset by a higher blended cost of debt, primarily as a result of higher LIBOR rates.

In the Q3, we sold 7 assets for consideration of $26,000,000 in net cash proceeds and a $5,000,000 seller note, recognizing a loss of approximately $5,000,000 In the Q3, we recorded approximately $300,000 in revenue related to these 7 dispositions. During the quarter, we recorded a $2,000,000 recovery in provision for uncollectible accounts related to $2,000,000 in cash payments received from Orianna that was required as part of the bankruptcy plan and was applied to accounts receivable written off in 2017. We also recorded approximately $23,000,000 in real estate impairment charges to reduce the net book value on 8 facilities to their estimated fair values or expected selling prices. Turning to the balance sheet. At September 30, we had 10 facilities valued at approximately $18,000,000 classified as assets held for sale, and we're still evaluating approximately $60,000,000 in potential asset disposition opportunities that could occur over the next several quarters.

Our balance sheet remains strong for the 3 months ended September 30. Our net debt to adjusted annualized EBITDA was 5.42 times and our fixed charge coverage ratio was 4 times. It's important to note EBITDA in these calculations has only $17,000,000 of annual revenue related to Orianna facilities and no revenue related to construction and process related to new builds. When adjusting for the likely range of expected rental outcomes from Orianna, the known revenue on the new builds and removing revenue related to our 3rd quarter asset sales, our pro form a leverage would be roughly 5 times. I'll now turn the call over to Dan Booth.

Speaker 5

Thanks, Bob, and good morning, everyone. As of September 30, 2018, Omega had an operating asset portfolio of 917 facilities with approximately 92,000 operating beds. These facilities were spread across 67 third party operators and located within 40 states and the United Kingdom. Trailing 12 month operator EBITDARM and EBITDAR coverage for our core portfolio was up slightly during the Q2 of 2018 at 1.7 and 1.34 times respectively versus 1.69 and 1.33 times respectively for the trailing 12 month period ended March 31, 2018. Turning to portfolio matters.

In addition to the ongoing Orianna situation, which Taylor spoke about earlier, effective November 1, Omega transferred 9 former Preferred Care facilities, 5 in New Mexico and 4 in Arizona to an existing Omega operator. Over the next several months, we expect to re lease 2 facilities in Oklahoma and sell 3 additional facilities in New Mexico, which will conclude our preferred care relationship. Turning to new investments. On September 28, 2018, Omega entered into a $131,000,000 secured term loan with an unrelated third party. The loan is secured by a collateral assignment of mortgages covering 7 skilled nursing facilities, 3 independent living facilities and 1 assisted living facility located in Pennsylvania and Virginia with approximately 1200 total operating debts.

The loan bears an interest rate of 9.35 percent and matures on February 28, 2019, subject to a one time 90 day extension. On or before the maturity, Omega expects to obtain fee simple title to the facilities and add them to an existing master lease with the current Omega operator. During the Q3, Omega also completed $44,000,000 in capital expenditures. These transactions in aggregate bring Omega's year to date investment total through September 30 to $374,000,000 inclusive of capital expenditures. Turning to Omega's repositioning activities.

During the Q3 of 2018, Omega sold 7 facilities for approximately $31,000,000 with an additional 8 facilities sold so far in the Q4 of 2018. This brings the year to date dispositions to 70 9 facilities, inclusive of 3 mortgage loan payoffs, total consideration of approximately $357,000,000 In addition to facility sales, Omega has re leased 62 facilities year to date, which includes 22 facilities transferred from the Orianna portfolio mentioned earlier by Taylor and 11 facilities from the Preferred Care portfolio. We are currently evaluating approximately 20 additional facilities to sell or re lease in the coming quarters. As always, Omega continues to review our portfolio and discuss strategic repositioning opportunities with each of our operators. I will now turn the call over to Steven.

Speaker 6

Thanks, Dan, and thanks to everyone on the line for joining today. In conjunction with Maplewood Senior Living, we continue work on our ALF memory care high rise at Second Avenue and 93rd Street in Manhattan. The project is expected to cost approximately $285,000,000 including accrued rent and is scheduled to open in late 2019. Including the land and CIP of our New York City project, at the end of the 3rd quarter, Omega Senior Housing Portfolio totaled $1,500,000,000 of investment in our balance sheet. Anchored by our growing relationship with Maplewood Senior Living and their best in class properties, care assets in the U.

S. And UK. On a standalone basis, the care assets in the U. S. And UK.

On a standalone basis, the core portfolio not only covers its lease obligations at 1.2 times, but also represents one of the largest senior housing portfolios amongst the publicly listed healthcare REITs. Our ability to successfully continue to grow this important component of our an in house design and construction expertise. Through this same capability, we invested $43,600,000 in the 3rd quarter in new construction and strategic reinvestment. Dollars 32,400,000 of this investment is predominantly related to 13 active new construction projects with a total budget of approximately $500,000,000 inclusive of Manhattan. The remaining $11,200,000 of this investment was related to our ongoing portfolio CapEx reinvestment program.

I will now turn the call over to Taylor for some final comments.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Stephen. Our labor costs and occupancy rates will continue to pose near term industry challenges. We remain confident that aging demographics and the new PDPM reimbursement system commencing next year will be very positive for the skilled nursing facility industry in the back half of twenty nineteen and going into 2020. This concludes our prepared comments. We will now open the call up for questions.

Speaker 1

Our first question today comes from Chad Vanacore from Stifel. Please go ahead with your question.

Speaker 7

Hi, good morning, all.

Speaker 5

Hi, Chad.

Speaker 7

All

Speaker 8

right. So I'm going to ask this in an odd way because you're in a good pace to be on the high end of your guidance. So flip that around, what factors could or are being contemplated that might put you on the lower end of your guidance?

Speaker 4

Hey, Chad, it's Bob. We have as you saw on what makes up the guidance on the one page, we have about $60,000,000 of asset sales. So the timing of the asset sales, Dan just mentioned some have already occurred. For modeling purposes, I always put them into middle of a quarter. So some of that has already happened sooner than I expected.

Also, the LIBOR rates, 20% of our debt variable base, so depending on what happens with LIBOR rates during the Q4. And we have a number of or a few operators on a cash basis, so timing of cash payments. And the last thing would be our G and A. As I said, we expect it to be right around what our Q3, but as you know, the restructuring primarily around Orianna is still the bankruptcy is still going on. So I can't really predict with the total accuracy of what that number is going to take.

So it's very compelling.

Speaker 8

All right. That's helpful. And then just the one other thing, the $2,000,000 legal

Speaker 4

Orianna was required to pay us $1,000,000 a month. We received $2,000,000 during the quarter. We applied it to outstanding or AR that was written off in 2017.

Speaker 8

Got it. All right. Well, good quarter, and I'll talk to you soon. Thanks.

Speaker 1

Our next question comes from Todd Stender from Wells Fargo. Please go ahead with your question.

Speaker 9

Hi, thanks. Can we just hear more color on the loan you made, the $131,000,000 for the portfolio? It sounds like it won't stick around very long as it converts to own real estate, but just want to hear a little bit more about that. Thanks.

Speaker 5

Sure. You're exactly right. It's we expect it to be a short term loan. It's actually had some maturity of 6 months. So sometime in the Q1, we expected to flip from a loan to fee simple interests in the properties in Pennsylvania and Virginia.

The structure was really a nuance that we should request. It was a combination to the seller. So

Speaker 9

For tax purposes, I imagine? For tax reasons, is that where you make the loan upfront like this?

Speaker 5

I can't speak for the seller, to be honest.

Speaker 9

But that's fair. Okay. Will it even cash flow? Will you collect any loan payments? Or this is kind of it will just immediately roll into a lease and you'll just factor that into the initial lease yield?

Speaker 5

No, we're actually we're absolutely getting monthly payments of interest based on the 9% to 3.75% rate.

Speaker 9

Okay. And then just on dispositions, with the FAD payout ratio getting up around 100%, do you delay timing on asset sales at all? Or do you have a sense of urgency to clean up the portfolio? And there may be a gap in cash flow to cover the dividend. How do you think about moving those asset sales quicker or do you hold on to them and spread them out?

Speaker 3

Yes. From our perspective, Todd, we're going to we will be as aggressive as we can in terms of repositioning the portfolio. And as we've mentioned, the vast majority of that's done. We've got a handful of things we'll clean up in Q4 and then we won't really be talking about asset repositioning as a program going forward in 2019, it'll just be regular sales. But from a timing perspective, we want to clean that up as fast as we can.

And we know on a forward basis, we have lots of we still have assets on the sideline that improve that FAD coverage ratio. I noted in my comments that it's at 96%, it's actually a little bit better than Q2 and we think that will continue to improve going into 2019.

Speaker 9

Okay. Thank you.

Speaker 3

Thank you.

Speaker 1

Our next question comes from Lukas Hartwich from Green Street Advisors. Please go ahead with your question.

Speaker 10

Thanks. Good morning, everybody. On the $130,000,000 loan, are there any additional costs when that converts to fee simple ownership?

Speaker 5

No, there's not. Those documents are

Speaker 10

done. Okay. And then the yield, once those convert, is that going to be in line with the interest rate?

Speaker 5

Yes, it's the exact same.

Speaker 10

Great. That's it. Thank you.

Speaker 1

Our next question comes from Daniel Bernstein from Capital One. Please go ahead with your question.

Speaker 9

Hey guys, good morning.

Speaker 1

Good morning.

Speaker 7

It seems to me like you're almost getting ready back to businesses of growing through acquisitions again. So maybe if we could talk a little bit about the pipeline that's out there. Are you seeing any better opportunities on the SNF side, whether that's lease coverages or yield and maybe the mix between what you're looking to go after in terms of senior housing versus SNFs?

Speaker 5

Yes. So let me start by saying just so that we're clear on pipeline. When Omega talks about pipeline, we really talk about transactions that we feel are going to close. We've got something generally signed up. It's not as many people refer to pipelines, just what's coming across our desk.

At any given time, we're seeing millions, if not 100 of millions, if not at times billions of transactions that are coming across our desk. We're seeing weak field most of everything that's out there. As far as our pipeline goes, coming into the Q4 or into the Q4, once again, it's still not terribly robust. Once again, we're seeing a lot of stuff, but we're not trading a lot of stuff. It's really a combination of a bunch of factors.

I mean, obviously, we've been in a little bit of reposition mode over the course of the last year and a half. We've seen cap rates jump around quite a bit and we've sort of open waited for those to settle in. And then our operators, as you can imagine, have been repositioning themselves. So they're really paying attention to their existing portfolios and getting their house of cards in order. It seems to us as we look out at 2019, this is more intuitive than anything that people are starting to pay more attention to the deals that are out there I think and we do believe that it will be a more acquisitive year in 2019 as some of our operators sort of get back in the game.

Speaker 7

Coming out of Nick, we also heard that maybe private equity wasn't quite as aggressive in their underwriting for SNFs. Is that something you're seeing? And again, I'm just trying to gauge for you and for maybe other your peers whether it's going to be a better investment opportunities set for '19 than it had been in 'eighteen, 'seventeen? The REIT is going to gain an advantage over private equity. That's really the question.

Yes.

Speaker 3

I think it's Taylor. In terms of yields, Dan, we're starting to see a little bit more stability in the 9s for SNFs and that maybe exactly what you said that private equity is a little bit less aggressive. On the senior housing side, I'm not sure that I can speak to that as definitively, although I don't expect it's going to be similar.

Speaker 1

Okay.

Speaker 7

And then one last question, I'll hop off. In terms of I mean, it seems like your lease coverage is starting to stabilize. You did mention right there at the end of the call about some of the wage pressures that are out there. So I was trying to get a little bit better sense from you from what the operators are saying in terms of what they're seeing as headwinds, what they're seeing as opportunities, I guess maybe pre PDPM for 2019. Just trying to get a sense of how you're thinking about the stability or risk to the lease coverage in the next 12 months.

Speaker 3

I think coverages will be relatively stable, but I don't see them improving. I think the headwinds of labor and the ongoing battle around occupancy, which I'll note that our operators have held occupancy fairly stable, but different geographies are different. Texas has been a particularly tough market in terms of occupancy for our portfolio and others. So I think we're going to see general stability as we continue to battle the headwinds. And we do have the benefit of a decent Medicare increase October 1, some decent Medicaid rate increases.

So it's not all headwinds even in the next 12 months, but certainly I don't expect coverages to come rebounding up into the 1.4s over the next 12 months. We think post PDPM and the demographics really taking hold, we'll start to see some positive momentum in 'twenty for sure.

Speaker 6

Okay. That's

Speaker 7

all I have. See you guys out in San Francisco.

Speaker 1

Our next question comes from Karin Ford from MUFG Securities. Please go ahead with your question.

Speaker 11

Hi, good morning. Wanted to ask a question on Orianna, just for modeling purposes more than anything else. Do you have any more visibility on the timing of when you think the final set of properties will be resolved next year? And do you have a bias towards either the low or the high end of the range on your rent projection from Orianna?

Speaker 3

So we had talked over the last few quarters of thinking that Orianna would be finalized this year. That's not going to be the case. Bankruptcies, it's own beast and you're right, it's going to be next year. Our view, it's probably Q1 of 2019. And then in terms of where we are in the range, we're still looking at the middle of the range is a pretty good estimate.

So you've got $3,000,000 either side of that. But I think in terms of modeling, I would take the middle of the range.

Speaker 11

Okay, great. And then my second question is just on investments. If the pipeline does play out and you end up being a net buyer next year, can you just talk about how you're viewing your sources of capital today? What do you find most attractive and your thoughts around equity issuance at this level?

Speaker 3

We will certainly use equity to the extent that we find opportunities consistent with the past. I mean, we're going to maintain our leverage at 5 or below. Bob had mentioned on a pro form a basis when you put Orianna back to work and put the assets, the biggest being Second Avenue to work, you get into that range. But we will continue to issue parallel to our investment activity. The one comment I would make is to the extent that Orion is resolved and we have cash proceeds come back to us, that's obviously a source, which would be our first source in terms of capital deployment.

Speaker 11

Great. Thank you.

Speaker 5

Thank you.

Speaker 1

And ladies and gentlemen, at this time, I'm showing no additional questions. I'd like to turn the conference call back over to management for any closing remarks.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Jamie, and thank you everyone for joining our call this morning. As always, the management team, in particular Bob Stevenson and Matthew Gorman, will be available for any questions you may have. Have a great day.

Speaker 1

And ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's conference call. We do thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines.

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