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Earnings Call: Q1 2017

Sep 15, 2016

Speaker 1

Welcome to Oracle's First Quarter Fiscal Year Earnings Conference Call. It's now my pleasure to turn today's conference over to Ken Bond, Senior Vice President. Please go ahead, sir.

Speaker 2

Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Oracle's Q1 fiscal year 2017 earnings conference call. A copy of the press release and financial tables, which includes a GAAP to non GAAP reconciliation and other supplemental financial information can be viewed and downloaded from our Investor Relations website. On the call today are Chairman and Chief Technology Officer, Larry Ellison and CEOs, Safra Cat and Mark Kirk. As a reminder, today's discussion will include forward looking statements, including predictions, expectations, estimates, other information that might be considered forward looking.

Throughout today's discussion, we will present some important factors relating to our business, which may potentially affect these forward looking statements. These forward looking statements are also subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from statements made today. As a result, we caution you for placing undue reliance on these forward looking statements, and we encourage you to review our most recent report, including our 10 ks and 10 Q and any applicable amendments for a complete discussion of these factors and other risks that may affect our future results or the market price of our stock. And finally, we are not obligating ourselves to revise our results or publicly release any revisions to these forward looking statements in light of new information or future events. Before taking questions, we'll begin with a few prepared remarks.

And with that, I'd like to turn the call over to Zafra.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Ken. Good morning good afternoon, everyone. I'm going to focus on our non GAAP results for Q1. I'll then review guidance for Q2 and turn the call over to Mark and Larry for their comments. Clearly, we are pleased with our results with the most obvious thing being that we overachieved again in the cloud, especially in the United States.

As you all know, we have pivoted the organization to go after the cloud and we are outperforming even our most aggressive expectations. This has resulted in our growth rate continuing to accelerate as we scale in the cloud, something our competitors are not similarly experiencing. We continue to use constant dollar growth rates on our quarterly calls, so we can have some measure of consistency across the quarters, as well as to reflect how we measure the business. This quarter, the effects of currency movements were more than expected, mostly because the surprise Brexit vote happened after our earnings call, resulting in a 1% to 3% headwind in most revenue categories, including 1% to total revenue and EPS, which was $0.01 lower as a result. Cloud SaaS and PaaS revenue for the quarter was $815,000,000 up 82% from last year and above the 80% high end of my guidance.

While this excellent growth rate was helped a little by recent acquisitions, organic growth accelerated from both Q4 and Q1 of last year. Actually, organic SaaS and CAS growth rate has accelerated for 7 straight quarters. You can also see the continuing revenue acceleration of our cloud business in the SaaS and PaaS billings and deferred revenue. The gross deferred revenue balance is now nearly $1,500,000,000 up 49% in U. S.

Dollars. SaaS and pass billings grew 49% in U. S. Dollars this quarter, up from 38% last quarter. We put the billings numbers up on our website for you to see the detail.

Our SaaS and Pass business has now grown to the point where the dollar growth in SaaS and PaaS revenue exceeded the dollar decline in new software license. Together, SaaS and PaaS subscriptions and new software license grew 16% in constant currency. As our SaaS and PaaS business continues to scale and grow dramatically, the gross margin also continues to expand. The Q1 gross margin for SaaS and PaaS was 62%, up from 40% last Q1, and we expect to see further improvement in fiscal year 'seventeen. And from there, we'll be targeting 80% over time.

Combined with Cloud Infrastructure as a Service revenue of $171,000,000 which was up 10%, our total cloud revenue in the quarter was nearly $1,000,000,000 up 63% in constant currency from last year. Total on premise software revenues were $5,800,000,000 with software updates and product support revenues at $4,800,000,000 up 3% from last year. Attach and renewal rates remain at their usual high level as our growing installed base of customers continues to power earnings and cash flow. New software license revenues were slightly over $1,000,000,000 down 10%, reflecting the continued migration to cloud. Total hardware, including hardware support, was down 11% with hardware systems product revenue of $462,000,000 and hardware support revenue of 535,000,000 dollars Our engineered systems grew mid double digits led by Exadata that grew over 30% in the quarter.

For the company, total revenue for the quarter was $8,600,000,000 up 3% from last year. Non GAAP operating income was $3,400,000,000 and operating margin was 39%. I need to remind you that the large debt offering we did last quarter cost about $0.05 in EPS in the quarter. The additional interest was not in my guidance as the debt offering took place after the guidance call. For Q2, I expect the add in interest will lower EPS by more than $0.01 without the matching benefit of NetSuite's contribution to earnings, which will be accretive until the deal closes.

G and A expenses were also higher than usual in Q1 because of some legal fees, which will be lower in the Q2 and largely gone by Q3 as a result of the settlement of one case and the end of two trials. The non GAAP tax rate for the quarter was higher than projected due to the geographic mix of earnings, which is driven by our overachievement in cloud revenues in the U. S, resulting in a tax rate of 25.5% and EPS being a penny lower at $0.55 in U. S. Dollars, but still up 5% in constant currency.

The GAAP tax rate was 22.8 percent and GAAP EPS was $0.43 in USD, up 11% in constant currency. Operating cash flow over the last 4 quarters was $13,700,000,000 Capital expenditures for the quarter were 299,000,000 dollars Free cash flow over the last four quarters was $12,600,000,000 up 5% from last year. We now have approximately $68,000,000,000 in cash and marketable securities. Net of debt, our cash position is approximately $14,300,000,000 The short term deferred revenue balance is $9,500,000,000 dollars up 5% in constant currency. As we've said before, we are committed to returning value to our shareholders through technical innovation, strategic acquisitions, stock repurchases, prudent use of debt and a dividend.

In terms of acquisitions, we continue to focus on finding the right companies at the right valuation that make both strategic and financial sense. This quarter, we repurchased 49,000,000 shares for a total of $2,000,000,000 Okay. And the Board of Directors again declared a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share. For those of you curious about next week, I can report that we have now cleared antitrust reviews everywhere except the United States, where our waiting period expires at the end of September. Now to the guidance.

I'm going to give you guidance for Q2 and then some updated comments for the fiscal year. All of my guidance today is on a non GAAP basis and in constant currency. And while we feel good about our own performance and transformation, I am always keeping an eye on the macro environment, especially abroad. If current exchange rates remain the same as they are now, we expect to see SaaS and PaaS revenue is expected to grow again 78% to 82%, a little bit more than I guided last time. Software and cloud revenue, including SaaS, PaaS and IaaS.

New software license and software support is expected to grow 3% to 5%. Total revenue growth is expected to range from 0% to 3%. EPS is expected to be between $0.59 and 0.6 $2 in constant currency. Were it not for the higher tax rate and interest expense, we would expect EPS to grow approximately 4% or be $0.06 higher. Over the full year of fiscal year 'seventeen, I'm raising the outlook for fiscal year '17 SaaS and PaaS revenue growth from 65% to 67%.

I continue to expect the SaaS and PaaS gross margins will exit Q4 higher than the 62% reported today, as our cloud business continues to grow dramatically. With that, I'll turn it over to Mark for his comments.

Speaker 4

Thank you, Safra. First, we just had a great quarter. And I want to thank everybody at Oracle for their hard work, all of our employees. I'm going to give you a lot of numbers. Let me start with booking and revenue growth rates.

I'm going to give them to you year on year in CD, unless I state otherwise. Cloud bookings ARR was $271,000,000 in USD, a 42% growth. As a reminder, ARR growth last year was 166 percent. SaaS bookings were $165,000,000 and PaaS IaaS bookings were $106,000,000 As Safra said, SaaS PaaS revenue was up 82%. I just want to repeat the 7th consecutive quarter of organic growth acceleration.

Our ERP EPM revenue grew 70% quarter on quarter. The 7th consecutive quarter was sequential growth that was greater than 50%. In Fusion HCM, we grew 131 percent, nearly 4x the growth rate of Workday. And CX separately, up double digits in sales, marketing and service. Data as a Service was up 75%.

Platform as a Service up 22% quarter on quarter. Overall, we grew 82%, the highest global growth rate of any scaled cloud company. SaaS Pass billings grew 49% in the quarter, up from 38% last quarter. Deferred SaaS Pass revenue was up 49%. SaaS customer metrics.

We closed 7.76 new SaaS customers in the quarter. We had 6.77 expansions, 125 customers who bought SaaS also bought PAD, 346 new CX customers, 488 expansions, 173 new HCM customers drove that great result, inclusive of 69 expansions. 344 ERP EPM customers and 135 expansions. Our active base is now 2,800 customers with 1,000 live 10x workday. Over 50 percent of our ERP EPM customers were net new to Oracle, but never purchased an Oracle app before.

2 thirds of our new customer wins were Fusion, 334 go lives in Fusion, our best quarter ever, 2,032 PaaS customers that were new in the quarter. Our installed base is now 11,000 PaaS customers. 1671 new Infrastructure as a Service customers that are supplemental to our PaaS customers. Together, our installed base of PaaS and infrastructure is now at 18,892 customers. As a point of clarification, PaaS and infrastructure customers are counted for each service that they use.

In closing, this was just a very solid quarter for us, not only in revenue, but bookings and billings. Look forward, a few predictions. Q1 bookings were solid at 42%. I believe Q2 will be better, could even be much better. Q1 revenue was fantastic at 82%.

It's one of the reasons, as Safford described, we're raising our guidance from 65% to 67%. And I just want to close by saying we are the fastest growing scale cloud company in the world. With that, I'll turn it over to Larry. Thanks, Mark. We're very excited about the rollout of our Generation 2 Infrastructure as a Service data centers.

These new data centers give us a significant cost and performance advantage over Amazon Web Services. Plus, our new bare metal offering makes it possible for our customers to lift and shift their entire existing corporate infrastructure, data and applications without any changes whatsoever and move it to the Oracle public cloud. You just can't do that with Amazon Web Services. Lift and shift the entire network, VM, database, data, applications, move all of that across to our data center without changing anything. It's a real advantage.

So for the first time, we have this big technology advantage in Infrastructure as a Service. We expect this will enable Oracle to accelerate our infrastructure and service business to the same high growth rates that we're currently experiencing in both SaaS and PaaS. With that, we're ready for questions.

Speaker 1

Our first question comes from the line of Laimo Lenschow with Barclays.

Speaker 2

Hey, thanks for taking my question. A question for Mark. Mark, the bookings number looked impressive and you hinted at the better numbers in Q2. But you also in the press release talked about the $2,000,000,000 that you want to achieve for this year, which actually needs a slightly better than 42% growth in for the year. Can you talk a little bit about the drivers that drive net strong number and that drive the acceleration there?

Thank you.

Speaker 4

Sure. Yes. I mean, obviously, to your point, we grew 42% in the quarter. I actually as good as that was, we could have done better. That's how strong our pipeline is right now.

And as I've told most of you that as we've gone through this cloud transition, we've got a pipeline and we understand now with as more data is come clear to us how that translates to performance and our performance continues to get better. And I think it's all of the things we've talked about, not only have we got more salespeople than we had before, they're better trained. Our customers are more aware. We have more references. We have more go lives.

And all of that feeds together. In addition, we not only have more products, we're going to release more products yet even this week or next week at Open World, But more of our existing products are available in more geographies. So for example, as we've released ERP, ERP actually has not been available in every geographic market in the world as it now is. So you've got a combination of all of these factors that lead into it, but we're going to have a very strong bookings year as I described.

Speaker 2

Thank you. Next question please.

Speaker 1

Our next question will come from the line of Keith Weiss with Morgan Stanley.

Speaker 5

This is Keith Weiss from Morgan Stanley. From our perspective, it looks like over the past 2 years, we've seen Oracle make a large push away from perpetual licenses towards subscription based SaaS offerings on the application side of the business. And now it appears that that push is shifting more on the database tech side of the business, steering more business towards platform as a service. So one, is that a correct assumption that focuses more on database tech going towards platform and service? And 2, how should investors think about the impact of that shift in FY 'seventeen in particular?

Speaker 4

Okay. This is Larry. The we started our Fusion applications efforts a little over 10 years ago. So we started rewriting all of our applications for the cloud about a decade ago. And when those applications were ready, we moved aggressively to sell those applications.

We believe that's what customers wanted. They wanted cloud based applications, not on premise based applications. We had made a tenure and we made a huge investment rewriting all of our applications. And those were ready before and we were ready to move into SaaS applications Before we were ready to move into infrastructure as a service or PAC, we were just ready to move. So we pushed that.

The interest again, the interesting thing here is we are just beginning to move our database customer from on premise into the cloud. Microsoft has already done a very good job of moving their office customers from on prem into the cloud, and that's the basis of the overwhelming basis of their cloud growth. The overwhelming basis of our cloud growth are new customers for applications. So we haven't started shifting our base yet, which I think is very interesting. We got these applications ready.

We're gaining share right in my business day. We mentioned Workday a lot because they're our primary competitor for HCM and ERP in the cloud. And as Mark pointed out, we have 10 times more we've got 10 times more customers than Workday is in ERP. And we sold more and those are more and half of those are net new customers. Okay.

So that's us gaining share in that business. We're now beginning to move our installed base into the cloud. And this is a lot of expansion. It's not like they're going to stop running on premise. We believe this is for the next decade.

This is a coexistence story. They're going to continue running some of their stuff on premise and

Speaker 6

they're going to move some

Speaker 4

of the stuff into the cloud and those two things have to coexist. And our unique offering to our customers in database is the fact that we support the identical software on premise and in the cloud, and you can move data and workloads back and forth very, very greatly. That's our PaaS offering. And by the way, if you're a SaaS customer, your application is built on top of our database and our middleware. So you buy SaaS with PaaS.

You often buy it together, as Mark pointed out. Finally, so PaaS was ready 2nd. We were ready we're moving aggressively in the PaaS. Now what we're looking forward to do is the 3rd leg of this tool, which is to push into infrastructure as a service, where we have an all new and very formidable competitor, amazon.com. We think now with our new Generation 2 data centers, we have a big competitive advantage over Amazon dotcom.

And people will be buying our PaaS and our infrastructure as a service together. So we sell PaaS twice. Sometimes we package PaaS with our application SaaS together and this new business is selling PaaS with infrastructure as a service where they're building a lot of custom applications or moving existing applications into the cloud. Way to think about it is, our SaaS business is kind of a new business a lot of new customers. We're just beginning to shift our installed base from the on premise into cloud, which is enormous potential for us.

And we think we make a lot more money by moving customers off premise into the cloud because we do a lot more things for the customer. Help the customer save money, but we also provide with our database storage and networking and compute and all of the associated support services. So we think, again, this is a beginning of still more rapid growth for Orbital. One thing I would not want you to walk away with is you said shifting from SaaS to PaaS. We're not shifting.

We're supplementing. I mean, this is in SaaS, we have more energy and more momentum than we've ever had. We are not taking our foot off that accelerator. We are supplement by the way, let me just be clear to Larry's point, if we could push a button and move all of our on prem Oracle database customers to PaaS, we would do it. It is economically beneficial to us.

Secondly, we think it's the way customers also want to buy now. But there is this transition that Larry talked about that we are going through. So but I don't want you to think SaaS and PaaS have some interrelationship to the energy we'll put on. We have separate actually sales organizations that do both. Our energy is on both.

We think both are tremendous opportunities about to be supplemented by our infrastructure offerings that Larry referenced.

Speaker 2

Thank you. Next question please.

Speaker 1

And our next question will come from the line of Sarah Hindsley with Macquarie.

Speaker 3

Hi, great. Thank you. It's Kim Lee in. Thanks for taking my question and congrats on the momentum in the cloud, Larry, Saffron and Mark. I was hoping you could talk a little bit more about what is driving some of the success you're seeing there.

I know you mentioned conversions on the pipeline are strong and reference buying experience? Or is this more sales compensation changes and of course product functionality improvements that's driving this success in the cloud? Some more comments in color would be very greatly appreciated. Well, for sure, I think it really is very much all of the above. So let me just address the accelerated buying experience, because the most important part of it is that we end up being able to service our customers much more quickly, much more efficiently.

Our salespeople become so much more productive. They can spend more of their time, really the bulk of their time with customers outwardly facing making them successful instead of inwardly facing dealing with our own back office. So this has really unleashed a massive amount of productivity. Obviously, having many references is critical for the success of a software service because customers all talk to each other and the happier customers lead to more happy customers, which is, by the way, one of the reasons we love Oracle Open World because tens of thousands of our customers come and they share their positive experiences. And that just gets more and more customers excited and participating.

And then, of course, the sales force has an enormous amount of success, which ends up leading to just more success, more productivity. The entire thing is it's just a very, very virtuous cycle, all of which starts with having the best product. That's really the bottom line ultimately. As Larry mentioned, we spent a decade, frankly, it's a little over a decade in building these products. We had leading products to begin with, but we started to rewrote them all focused exclusively really focused on the cloud, and that's what ultimately shows through.

Speaker 1

Thank you, Safra.

Speaker 3

Thank you.

Speaker 1

Our next question will come from the line of John DiFucci with Jefferies.

Speaker 7

Thank you. I'm going to ask another question about the cloud. I mean, when we look at your traction here and it's been much better than we would have thought, especially in this quarter, which usually is seasonally slow quarter. I mean, I don't think we've seen a company of scale move to cloud with the kind of gusto we've seen here. But Larry mentioned the cloud move here was mostly new.

I think you said customers, but I think you meant new workloads. I mean, when should we expect to see more customers actually transition current workloads from on premise to the cloud? And how is this going to affect the aggregate bottom line?

Speaker 2

By the way, we

Speaker 4

met new customers. He didn't misspeak. He meant new customers. And I mean just to John give you a flavor in the quarter, and I didn't do this for the interest of time, but just to give you an idea of new customers in the quarter and just SaaS ERP, I mean, we closed Adventist Health, Barty, RTL, WECO, SACS, Tesco, Texas Instruments, UCLA, Wake Forest University Baptist Medical Center, and

Speaker 7

So were these customers never customers of Oracle before?

Speaker 3

Never an app.

Speaker 1

Never an app. Never

Speaker 2

application customer. Okay. Yes, it's not a matter.

Speaker 4

We just make a distinction between moving an existing application customer from, let's say, an Oracle E BusinessWeek customer to Oracle Fusion ERP in the cloud. Got it. Got it. Versus taking an SAP customer and moving them from SAP to Oracle Fusion application. And I think, understood, trying to tie back to the point Larry was making earlier, most of what you see in our cloud revenue number is customers that more than 50% were customers who were not an Oracle application customer before they became an Oracle SaaS customer.

So these are really new customers and then to your point that are bringing new workloads that we have not had before. The exciting part, which again I'll go back to what Larry said was, the core of our on prem user base, particularly in the database arena, has not moved. And that is a huge opportunity for us that the only people that can move them to the cloud efficiently and effectively are us. So that's why this is such an we get so maybe we don't do as good a job explaining it as we feel it here because what we've seen so far is what you would think of John is normally the hardest stop going out and finding net new customers. Yes.

We've done. So I'd like to distinguish it again what I said before. Microsoft is holding on to their Office customers by moving them from on prem into the cloud. We are not holding on just holding on to our on prem customers moving our application customers to the cloud. We're doing that too.

We're holding on to our apps customers by moving to the cloud. But more than that, we're gaining more than half of them are net new customers. So that's very different than what you see is going on in Microsoft. And our big installed base, which is the database, we're preeminent. We really haven't begun or we're just beginning in the early stages of holding on to them and moving them to the cloud.

So it's a bit of a different story between us and Microsoft. That exciting process of moving those database customers to the cloud, that's in front of us. And that's what makes it exciting. I congratulate Microsoft on doing what they've done. It's the right strategy for them.

Ours has been what we've said, we want to do that, but we want to do more. And we think we have the opportunity. Sanford mentioned another very important metric. Our renewal rates are where they've always been, which tells you the bulk of our base that's on prem is still yet to move. And it tells you and supports this story about how much for us is just plain net new opportunities, John, for us.

Great.

Speaker 7

That's very clear. I did ask a question though on the effect on the bottom line too here, at least in the near term, because Safra was clear with the impact to some of those extra items to the guidance for EPS relative to what the expectations were anyway. But is there going to I mean, should is this going to we know it can be suppressive to margins at least initially, and we've seen that. But at the same time, it looks like and this is the first time

Speaker 4

I'm going to let I'll let Sam for comment again, but I want to make sure it's clear what we were saying. This is actually the fact that we've done a very good job in the U. S. Growing our cloud business. That's eventually at the strange effect of raising our tax rate, right?

This is the best bad news you could get. So we're in a situation where I hate to say we've over executed, but that's sort of how you feel. And yet to be clear, John, our bookings in Europe are very strong. And so this is going to normalize. This is just a point of us putting or moving those bookings into revenue.

So in a few quarters, as we have more balance between our international cloud sales and our U. S. Cloud sales, the tax rate should drift back to where it normally is when we have the same mix. It's just now we have a disproportionate amount of our cloud revenue in the United States. We expect that to balance and we expect the tax rate to go back.

Well, the bookings balance, it's just the current period of revenue that we've got today. But this is overall a I view a very good story. And let's not lose the fact of the other number that Safra described very early. Our margins are now at 62% in our SaaS PaaS margins, which we talked about way back when they were at 39% as we were investing infrastructure to prepare for what we have now. And so I think the margin story, John, is also beginning to solidify as we continue to grow and put revenue on top of the base.

Speaker 7

Great. That's all very helpful. Thank you.

Speaker 1

Our next question will come from the line of Heather Bellini with Goldman Sachs.

Speaker 8

Great. Thank you so much. This is a question for Safra. Safra, support grew software support grew 3% year over year but was flat sequentially. I'm wondering if there's any color you could provide here on the trends in that business.

And also, if you can share with us how you think about the trade off between support and cloud revenue and how you think about the sustainability of that software support stream? Thank you.

Speaker 3

Sure. So, of course, you have to remember, we're going from Q4 to Q1. So our Q1 new licenses are seasonally lowest one anyway, okay? Now as you know, our focus is now on cloud. And so as new license becomes a smaller number, especially in Q1, it means that it does not that the support base does not grow as much.

There's also a little bit of currency, but you should ignore that. So that's the first thing. Now I know you're probably worried that all of a sudden support is going to go negative. The base is going to go negative. We don't foresee that happening, okay, because the base is continuing to grow, even though new license is new license amount is not growing year over year as much or is actually shrinking as more of our customers pivot to the cloud, we still sell new licenses, which means the base does continue to grow, and it grew 3% year over year.

So that's I think I'm I don't know, you had a few parts to your question, but that's really what's going on here. We don't yes, that's it. Great.

Speaker 8

And if I could just just on that point, with the support trends that you're seeing, is this still a year where you forecast a bottom and operating income? I'm sorry, fiscal 'sixteen being the bottom. My apologies.

Speaker 3

Yes. Yes, it is. Absolutely. Absolutely. And I do want to say one more time, again, and also Mark mentioned it, our retention rates, our renewal rates in our support business remains very, very high.

So in fact, they're a little bit higher this quarter than another quarter. It's all within a band. They're very high. They remain that way.

Speaker 4

And so they are high, Heather. But again, I want to reiterate, as I've said before and on this call, if a customer does move to the cloud, we actually get more money. So we actually do more things for the customer. We now do their hardware. We get all the database.

We get all the middleware. We get a multiple on the support dollar. And as our so our support dollar goes up when it converts into a cloud revenue dollar. And back to the margin story we talked about 5 minutes ago, those margins in the cloud, as we see them approaching the levels that Saffer described earlier, this is good news for us. So yes, the renewal rates are what they are.

We predict support be the way we describe. But this is not bad news as we begin to move our base to the cloud. This is actually good news.

Speaker 1

Our next question comes from the line of Kash Rangan with Bank of America Merrill

Speaker 6

Lynch. Hey guys, thanks for taking my question. So Safra, just wanted your comment on gross profits. One of the things we look for in cloud transition stories is when do gross profits start to grow? And clearly after a 2 year slump, your investments are trying to pay off, your gross profits were up for the first time in 2 years, I believe.

Can you talk about the disparity between the gross profit growth, which obviously is quite important, and the operating income growth? Is that bit of a lag effect here? And also, if I could ask you, Mark or Larry, on the Pass side, can you just give us a little bit more color what kind of projects are customers picking Oracle for when they sign a past due, particularly given that you've surprised us with the announcement of a number of new customers for the past that I would have thought that that would be just typical Oracle database customers, but it looks like something new could be happening. If you could shed some light, that would be great. Thank you.

Speaker 3

Sure. So first, I mean, you really should take direction from what's going on in our gross profit line for the most strategic part of our business, which is moving to the cloud and software and software as a service. And that is going to be very much followed up. One of the things we do have that is costing us is that our hardware business outside of our engineered systems is getting smaller. And the expense line has not adjusted equally.

As you can imagine, you know us pretty well. That's something that's very straightforward for us to finish out during the year, and that is our expectation. In addition, you also talked or you may have mentioned currency and tax and things like that. So obviously, currency is something I can't project. And I think after the Brexit vote, I'm pretty sure nobody else has projected it correctly either.

So but the way it affects us, just so that you know, is that the U. S. And Oracle is ahead of Europe in our move to the cloud and in outside of the United States. However, as Mark mentioned, the bookings are very, very high. So bookings that were booked in the United States over the past year are turning into revenue already in the United States.

Since the number is smaller in Europe, the bookings the revenue numbers are smaller, so bookings are approaching those of the United States. And those are going to start flowing through revenues. That will, in fact, impact our tax rate and readjust it back to the lower rates that you may be used to. So that's going to take a little while, and that should go through. In addition, as you know, we do have some significant borrowings.

And as a result, we have a very large amount of cash on our balance sheet right now, which is not earning very high results. We are looking forward to closing the NetSuite deal, which we believe to be very to be accretive, and that will also be helpful.

Speaker 4

The other part of your question, Mr. Clearing, is we sell pass to it. PaaS is sometimes attached to SaaS. Think of it like salesforce.com. They have their force.com platform where it's used to extend the Salesforce application.

We have our platform that people use to extend our SaaS application. So SaaS, you buy a number of SaaS application or suite of SaaS applications and you buy a certain amount of SaaS to extend it, build data marts, data warehouses, other things, add features and functions, use PaaS for that. Also, the bigger opportunity is when you buy PaaS and Infrastructure as a Service together, where you're either writing brand new, net new custom applications or you're lifting and shifting an existing custom application to our infrastructure as a service and then moving the database associated with that application to our path. That's actually the bigger opportunity. And you're beginning to see that start to drive our PaaS business higher, and of course, it will accelerate the growth rate of our infrastructure and service business as well.

I'll add just one last thing. Exadata as a service has been a very strong PaaS offering. So we count Exadata as a service, meaning you can now get Exadata in the cloud as you can get it on premise. And our Exadata service Exadata as a service offering has been a strong PaaS offering. So when we actually don't even add that into the engineered systems numbers that Zachary described earlier, and that's really the strength and popularity of Exadata.

We also have a pretty good sized business now, Bill, in PaaS, which is a cloud integration services business inside our platform as well. So everything Larry said, all the dev test stuff, the supplementing of our SaaS offerings, Exadata and the data integration services are at the core of our most popular PaaS offerings.

Speaker 2

Thank you. Next question, please.

Speaker 1

Our next question will come from the line of Kirk Materne with Evercore ISI.

Speaker 9

Thanks very much. Mark, given that you guys have a view into both the on premise and the cloud world, I was wondering if you could give us some sense on where you think larger, say, Fortune 1,000 types are in terms of moving their ERP systems to the cloud as well CRM and HMs seem to be past the tipping point. There's some debate as to how fast some of the bigger companies are going to move ERP. And I was just kind of curious what you're seeing in your pipeline? And is that necessary?

Does that have to happen for you guys to sort of hit your ARR forecast for this year? Just trying to get a sense on where we are in that front? I think

Speaker 4

your last question is no. The answer to your first question is faster than I would have thought 2 or 3 years ago. And so some of the names I wrote I read earlier are scaled companies. When you see somebody like a Tesco moving, when you see an HSBC moving, when you see some of these brands, and we have all types of brands in our list of ERP customers ranging from GE and others, as I've described to, to sort of newer companies like Lyft and others that are sort of newer hot mid market companies that may not even had a set of financials before. And it's really all of the above.

And I think the thing we get excited about is the reason we talk about Workday probably as much as we do is we see them at least with the SaaS offering. Our core on prem competitor historically hasn't really done anything. So when they try to when you look at their base, as their base begins to look for some of the benefits that our base now has the opportunity to take advantage of, we think there's a possibility for a relatively sizable market share shift over the years as we move forward. So I Kirk, I do think you're going to see tire kicking and you see it now of many scaled companies that are the biggest companies in the world, and you see a few of them showing up on our lists of recorded wins.

Speaker 9

Great. Thanks for the color.

Speaker 1

And our last question for the day will come from the line of Joel Fishbein with BTIG.

Speaker 9

Good afternoon. I just have a quick follow-up on the database. Clearly, you had a have very strong momentum in the cloud application business. Can you give us a little bit more color on where the database cycle will show up? And what's the best way for us to measure it?

That would be helpful.

Speaker 4

Thanks. Well, again, next week at Orbital Open World since Sunday, we're announcing the latest version of our database and it's going to be available in the cloud, on Exadata. We think you're going to see a very rapid uptake of the new version and we expect those customers to consume some of it on prem, but also a significant amount of their new database consumption is going to be in the cloud. So I think 12 Release 2 is going to move customers to the cloud more quickly than they otherwise might have.

Speaker 9

Great. Thank you.

Speaker 3

Okay.

Speaker 2

Can we please move to close the call, please? But before we do that, though, let me just finish up with the last couple of comments. Thank you for joining us today. At HealthSponics Replay, this conference call will be available for 24 hours. Dial in information can be found in the press release issued earlier today.

Please call the Investor Relations department for any follow-up questions through this call and look forward to speaking to you. Thank you for joining today. With that, I'll turn it back to the operator for closing.

Speaker 1

Once again, we'd like to thank you for dialing in for today's Oracle conference call. We appreciate your participation and ask that you please disconnect.

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