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Earnings Call: Q2 2014

Sep 10, 2013

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Oxford Industries, Inc. second quarter 2013 earnings conference call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference over to Anne Shoemaker, Treasurer. Please go ahead.

Anne M. Shoemaker
VP of Capital Markets and Treasurer, Oxford Industries

Thank you, Keith. Good afternoon, everyone. Before we begin, I would like to remind participants that certain statements made on today's call and in the Q&A session may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees, and actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statement. Important factors that could cause actual results of operations or our financial condition to differ are discussed in the documents filed by us with the SEC. We undertake no duty to update any forward-looking statements. During this call, we will be discussing certain non-GAAP financial measures. You can find a reconciliation of GAAP financial measures to non-GAAP financial measures in our press release issued earlier today, which is posted under the Investor Relations tab of our website at oxfordinc.com.

Also, for comparative purposes, keep in mind that fiscal 2013 is a 52-week year, while fiscal 2012 was a 53-week year, with the extra week in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2012. Now I'd like to introduce today's call participants. With me today are Tom Chubb, CEO and President, Scott Grassmyer, CFO, Terry Pillow, CEO of Tommy Bahama, and Doug Wood, President of Tommy Bahama. Thank you for your attention. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Tom Chubb.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Good afternoon. Thank you for joining us to discuss our results. We are very pleased with our second quarter results. Tommy Bahama and Lilly Pulitzer reported strong increases on both the top and bottom lines. Our strategy to emphasize growth of their high margin, direct-to-consumer distribution continues to pay off as these powerful brands once again comped at a high rate during the quarter. The results we are achieving further reinforce our belief that the opportunities for growth are long-term and substantial. We have an excellent game plan for the all-important holiday and resort selling seasons and are expecting a good second half for our direct-to-consumer business. At the same time, we are aware of the challenges that are affecting many retailers. We have begun to see some softness in our wholesale business.

Our second half order books came in slightly below our expectation. The in-season reorders have been inconsistent. We have factored this into our forecast for the balance of the year and have made a modest downward revision to our 2013 guidance. Even with this revision, we believe fiscal 2013, particularly the fourth quarter, will deliver strong top and bottom-line results for our shareholders. I'd like to now turn the call over to Terry Pillow to discuss Tommy Bahama's results for the quarter and plans for the remainder of the year. Terry?

Terry Pillow
CEO, Tommy Bahama

Thank you, Tom. We are very pleased with our second quarter performance. Sales increased 20% with a very strong comp store increase of 13%. We saw solid contributions from both our retail stores and our e-com business. Our global footprint grew in the quarter with the addition of nine stores in Canada, which we acquired from our former licensee, a new store in Sydney, Australia, and two more stores in the U.S., including our fourth store in the Chicago area. We also achieved a 26% growth in our full-price direct-to-consumer women's business, with growth in all categories: dresses, knits, swim, and accessories. Our operating income grew over 40% compared to the second quarter of last year. This growth was driven by sales increases as well as higher gross margins, which were 100 basis points over last year.

Far in the second half, our direct-to-consumer business has remained quite strong. As Tom mentioned, we have seen some softness in our wholesale reorders and our second half bookings are slightly below our plan. It is important to remember that for us, fourth quarter volume significantly outweighs third quarter. With that said, we have continued our efforts to build a more meaningful third quarter business. This year we were able to create excitement with a series of events recognizing National Relaxation Day on August the 15th. Our brand marketing team left no stone unturned.

We served Hawaiian shaved ice to thousands in New York and Bryant Park. Coordinated the ringing of the closing bell at the New York Stock Exchange, which generated close to 500-plus press placements, including major wins with the Today Show, Extra, and Major League Baseball Fan Cave, along with fantastic local TV coverage from coast to coast. We believe we can build on this success in the future years as we continue to develop our third quarter business. We expect a strong fourth quarter in fiscal 2013. We will continue our second-half marketing campaign with a fantastic first-ever Tommy Bahama magazine to be distributed in stores and to our customers in mid-September. We will have a more comprehensive holiday gift guide and will support our resort season with a new non-comp mailer 10 days before Christmas.

For cards offered and improved our targeting to ensure high level of engagement from our guests. We have also expanded our product assortment to better address key seasonal items, including a broader offering of heavy knits and reversible second layer knits for both men and women. Tommy Bahama is a 12-month brand, and we will capture this year-round opportunity by continuing to evolve our geographic footprint, our merchandising assortment, and our marketing programs. Now I'll turn the call over to Tom Chubb to discuss the results for the rest of our operating groups. Tom?

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Thanks, Terry. I'll pick back up with Lilly Pulitzer. We were extremely pleased with Lilly Pulitzer's results for the second quarter. A comp store sales increase of 19% fueled a 24% net sales increase for the second quarter, and Lilly's operating margin remained very strong at 25%. Lilly remains predominantly a first half business. The third quarter will benefit from additional sales from Lilly's e-commerce end of season clearance event, which was held in mid-August. The fourth quarter will have good gift opportunities, and we are on track to open a store in Naples, Florida before the end of the year. We now operate 22 stores compared to 17 stores at the end of the second quarter last year. Together with the continued expansion of our e-commerce business, new Lilly store openings provide us with an excellent opportunity to grow while generating high returns on invested capital.

In previous calls, we have mentioned that we plan to make significant capital in the SG&A investments in people, systems, and infrastructure to ensure that Lilly has the platform to drive sustained, profitable growth. During the first half, we made good on this commitment by making key hires in creative communications, retail, e-commerce, IT, and design, among others. We believe these additions to our already strong team will enhance our ability to continue to grow. For example, we believe the creative communications department we have built will add significant muscle to our marketing efforts. You will see evidence of this during the fourth quarter, when we will have a more robust holiday gifting campaign than Lilly has ever had in the past. The Lilly business continues to delight and excite consumers, and we are confident this brand can deliver profitable growth for many years to come.

Lanier Clothes business was good, though we did experience a shift in sales from the second to the third quarter that affected results on the top and bottom line. Net sales for Lanier Clothes were $22 million in the second quarter, compared to $25 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2012, and operating income in the second quarter declined to $2 million from $2.4 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2012. Ben Sherman reported net sales of $16 million for the second quarter, compared to $20 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2012. Some of this is structural as we exited certain accounts in the U.K. and U.S., and some of the decline is timing as some deliveries shifted into the third quarter.

The lower volume as well as some pressure on gross margin and royalties, partially offset by reductions in SG&A, resulted in an operating loss of $3.8 million in the second quarter compared to an operating loss of $1.5 million in the same period last year. We believe we have made the necessary changes in Ben Sherman's management team. We are on plan with our cost-cutting measures, with the change in the distribution center being a big part of that strategy. The team is also focused on growing sales. We have good forward bookings for spring/summer 2014. The sales trend for U.K. retail has also been positive. We believe they are on the right track. While we still have work to do, we believe the actions we have taken will deliver improvements in the back half of the year.

Moving to corporate and other, for the second quarter, higher sales at Oxford Golf and decreased corporate SG&A reduced our adjusted operating loss to $3.5 million compared to an adjusted operating loss of $4.9 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2012. On a GAAP basis, corporate and other reported an operating loss of $3.9 million compared to a loss of $4.6 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2012. I'll now turn the call over to Scott Grassmyer to discuss our consolidated highlights for the quarter. Scott?

K. Scott Grassmyer
CFO, Oxford Industries

Thanks, Tom. For the second quarter of fiscal 2013, consolidated net sales grew 14% to $235 million. The 20% sales increase at Tommy Bahama and the 24% sales increase at Lilly Pulitzer were partially offset by decreases at Lanier Clothes and Ben Sherman. The mix

Tommy Bahama and Lilly Pulitzer businesses and a mix shift within those businesses towards direct-to-consumer drove an expansion in gross margin of 100 basis points in the second quarter. Consolidated gross margin was 58.2% versus 57.2% last year. Gross profits for the quarter increased 16%. We also achieved 100 basis points of SG&A leverage, with SG&A at 48% of sales compared to 49% of sales in the second quarter of fiscal 2012. SG&A increased by $12 million to $112 million, including $9 million of incremental costs associated with operating additional retail stores and restaurants. Other incremental expenses supported the growth of Tommy and Lilly. These additional expenses were partially offset by SG&A reductions at Ben Sherman, Lanier Clothes, and Corporate and Other. For the second quarter of fiscal 2013, consolidated operating income was $28 million, compared to $20 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2012.

Interest expense for the second quarter of fiscal 2013 declined 69% to $1 million, compared to $3.3 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2012. The decrease was primarily due to the utilization of our revolving credit facility, which bears substantially lower interest rates than our previously outstanding senior notes. At the end of the second quarter, we had $125 million of borrowings outstanding and $86 million of unused availability under our U.S. and U.K. credit agreements. Our effective tax rate for the second quarter was 40.7%, compared to 36% in the second quarter of fiscal 2012, impacted by our inability to recognize a tax benefit for losses in foreign jurisdictions.

The effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 42% for the fiscal year, with the rate in the third quarter expected to be higher than the fourth quarter due to the impact of foreign losses on a smaller earnings base. On to the balance sheet. Total inventories at the close of the second quarter were $102 million compared to $88 million at the close of the second quarter last year. The increase in inventories primarily supporting retail and e-commerce growth at Tommy Bahama and Lilly Pulitzer. In the first half of the fiscal year, capital expenditures were $26 million, and we expect capital expenditures for the full year to be approximately $45 million. In addition to the cost of opening new retail stores, we will be doing some remodeling of selected retail stores and restaurants and will be making information technology investments, including e-commerce enhancements.

I'll note that we also announced that our board of directors has approved a cash dividend of $0.18 per share, payable on November 1st, 2013, to shareholders of record as of the close of business on October 18th, 2013. We have paid dividends every quarter since we became publicly owned in 1960. To our outlook for the remainder of the year. As Tom mentioned earlier, we are moderating our guidance to reflect softness at wholesale in the back half of the year. Our full-year revenue expectation is now a range of $920 million-$930 million, compared to our prior guidance of $930 million-$940 million. We now expect adjusted earnings per share in a range of $2.90-$3.05, a reduction of $0.10 to both the top and bottom of the range versus our prior guidance.

This would still represent growth of between 11% and 17% as compared to last year's adjusted EPS of $2.61. For the third quarter, we expect net sales in a range of $195 million-$205 million and adjusted EPS in the range of $0.08-$0.13, compared to $0.19 per share last year. For the fourth quarter, we expect net sales in a range of $250 million-$260 million and adjusted EPS in a range of $0.99-$1.09, compared to $0.65 per share last year. Thanks for your attention. I'll turn the call back over to Tom Chubb.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Thank you, Scott. I'll return with some closing comments, but would now like to take any questions you may have. Keith, we're now ready for questions.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, if you'd like to ask a question, please signal by pressing *1 on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your signal to reach our equipment. Again, *1 to ask a question. We'll pause for a moment to allow everyone an opportunity to signal. We'll take our first question from Ed Yruma with KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Edward Yruma
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Hi, guys. Good afternoon, and thanks for taking my question.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Hi, Ed.

Edward Yruma
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Your commentary on the reduction in guidance, I know you've obviously identified weaker wholesale sales. Are you also planning for any kind of moderation in your DTC comps?

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

We haven't changed our expectation for our DTC comps for the second half versus our previous guidance. The change is really in the wholesale business, not in what we're expecting for the DTC.

Edward Yruma
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

I guess as it relates to Ben Sherman, I know you identified some things that are beginning to work for the business. When should we start to expect results at that business from a profitability perspective to improve year-over-year?

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

On a combined basis for the six months, I think more so in the fourth quarter than the third quarter, although we may see some modest improvement in the third quarter. It'll be a combination of two things driving that, Ed. One is that where in the first two quarters we've seen pretty substantial sales declines. I think any sales declines in the back half will be more modest. The second thing is that the expense reductions that we've been working on, those really start to kick in, and we've gotten a good level of expense reduction in each of the first two quarters versus the first two of the prior year. In the back half, we'll get even greater year-to-year reductions in expenses. That's not really any additional action that we have to take.

It's just starting to get the full benefit of actions already taken.

Edward Yruma
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Got it. My final question, I guess, given the moderation in wholesale orders, how do you feel about inventory levels that you have and I guess maybe orders that you have placed with your vendors? Thank you.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Ed, we think our inventory levels are in good shape. As you know, we have very good clearance vehicles with our outlet stores at Tommy and our e-commerce sales at Lilly. Anytime we have any excess inventory, we're able to clear it timely, and so we don't really carry over inventory from outside the clearance period for each season. We'll be going in clean into the holiday season.

Edward Yruma
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Great. Thanks so much.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Thanks, Ed.

Operator

We'll take our next question from Pamela Quintiliano with SunTrust.

Pamela Quintiliano
Analyst, SunTrust

Great. Thanks so much for taking my question.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Hi, Pam.

Pamela Quintiliano
Analyst, SunTrust

Hi, guys, congrats on the great quarter.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Thank you.

Pamela Quintiliano
Analyst, SunTrust

Just trying to understand a little bit more about the degradation on the wholesale side and the guidance. Is the guidance just assuming a continuation of the trends that you're currently seeing? What do you attribute that weakness to among your wholesale partners? I have a few follow-ups from there.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Well, the reduction is based on what we can see at the moment. Of course, there's always the potential that the situation changes a bit. Whenever we give guidance, we always strive to give you our best estimate of what we think is going to happen. I think the reduction in the wholesale or our expectation for a wholesale in the second half is a combination of a couple of things. It's bookings coming in a bit lighter in a number of cases than we thought they would. Some of that are bookings that we're just not going to get at all. Some of it is spring 2014 merchandise that we thought we'd ship in January, earlier in the year, and now we think it'll probably be February rather than January, so it'll be next year.

The last thing is some of our in-season reorder business is just not as strong as we had previously forecasted that it might be. It's sort of grab bag. I would point out, as you know, Pam, that our focus is very much on direct-to-consumer. That's been the fastest growing part of the business for a number of years now. It's well over half of our business, and it's our strategic priority. While we love the wholesale business and are never happy to see any wobble there, I think we feel very good about our overall position and our strategies.

Pamela Quintiliano
Analyst, SunTrust

That's what I was trying to figure out because the product is the same product and it is resonating with the customer on the DTC side. We've been hearing from a lot of other retailers out there, just a general weakness in mall traffic and the strength isn't there. From your perspective, it's purely the wholesale, there's no issues with the product that you're seeing thus far. It's the customer not responding to it.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

That's right.

Pamela Quintiliano
Analyst, SunTrust

Okay. Just one follow-up. International, just how did that perform versus your plan? Are there any changes going forward to your plans for international growth?

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Why don't I let Terry and Doug start off with that one, and then we'll follow up with any additional comments.

Terry Pillow
CEO, Tommy Bahama

Hi, Pamela, this is Terry at Tommy Bahama. We're very pleased with the progress we're making on our international initiatives. Matter of fact, we're going over with Tom and Hicks later this month to visit all of the stores that we've opened. We're very encouraged by the progress of the comp stores that we've opened, which are in Macau and Singapore, which have been open a year, and we're showing nice year-over-year growth. We're encouraged by what we see in the Ginza store in Tokyo and Yokohama. As we've said when we got involved, these are new businesses and new countries, and we're in it for the long term, and we're going to assess how we go forward when we're over there after this trip and look at it.

I can tell you that the acceptance to the brand and to the product and to the size adjustments that we've made for that market and everything and how our team has performed in executing in four new countries in a year. We're very pleased with the acceptance we've had in the product, and we look forward to the future that we have in these markets. I have to say on a base, we're very pleased with it. However, the one piece that we opened up, the restaurant over there, we might have some learning to still get some learning there. That's been the one piece that hasn't been quite as encouraging as we would like. We see it steadily increasing, and we'll get that right, too.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Just to follow up on that, Pam, I think as a result of the restaurant in Ginza being a little slower than we had hoped, I think our expectation for the international loss is a little bit higher than what we had previously estimated for the year. That doesn't change our commitment at all to the international strategy or our belief that ultimately we can build a very successful business over there.

Pamela Quintiliano
Analyst, SunTrust

Well, great. Thank you so much again for taking my question. Best of luck.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Thank you, Pam.

Operator

We'll take our next question from Eric Beder with Brean Capital.

Eric Beder
Analyst, Brean Capital

Good afternoon. Congratulations. Best quarter Q2.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Thank you, Eric.

Eric Beder
Analyst, Brean Capital

Could you talk a little about the split between men's and women's at Tommy Bahama and how that did? What are your indications here for the New York City and the Chicago flags? How are those doing?

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

I'll let Terry and Doug jump in.

Terry Pillow
CEO, Tommy Bahama

Thanks, Eric. This is Terry. Let me go with the second one first. We just finished. We had our board of directors meeting in New York this week. We had our whole board and Tom and Nick, everybody was here, and we had an opportunity to show off our New York. We couldn't be happier with the performance of New York. Being a new store in July, it was our number 1 store, and in August, it was our number 2 store to a very vetted store that we have in the company. We have a lot of learning to do, but to come out of the July and August with New York store being that positive is very encouraging. As you know, we had just opened the store at the end of the year last year.

We're very encouraged with July and August about what the fourth quarter holiday is going to look like. We think we'll be in a good shape to capture that. On Chicago, same story. It's a smaller store, as you know, than the New York store, and there's no restaurant attached. This being our fourth store in Chicago, we're committed to that market. The Michigan Avenue store has been good. Also in Chicago, as you know, we opened a store in Oak Brook, which is an existing mall that has a new wing, and we're very excited about that store, too. Having four stores in Chicago and one in New York really justifies our 12-month strategy that we can do well in those locations.

As far as the women's business, it achieved, I talked about in my opening comments, the result that it's a 26% increase year-over-year. It's achieved over 30% of our total sales, which we're very encouraged with. We're on track of every time I talk to you all, I talk about I want to get it to 50%. We're well on our way. The problem is men's keeps growing. We're very, very pleased with and we're starting to see the accessory piece of the business really take fire in addition to some shoes, since we brought shoes in-house. Thanks for asking those questions, Eric, because all of them are good news.

Eric Beder
Analyst, Brean Capital

Great. In terms of Lilly Pulitzer, you're really ramping up the infrastructure here at Lilly. What should we expect? You're opening about four or five stores this year. Is there potential now that you've created this infrastructure to ramp up the Lilly growth? Obviously, the comps are doing really well. Take advantage of that. How do you think about that?

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Well, I think in Lilly Pulitzer, as you know, the e-commerce business has grown dramatically, as has the retail business. I think that the opportunity for growth on both parts of the direct-to-consumer are terrific. They're long-term, and I think they're substantial. We're focused on both. We will open more stores, but we're also very focused on continuing to grow the e-commerce business at a very rapid rate. For the next couple of years, I think we're probably going to stick with four or five stores a year, but we'll continue to grow e-com and invest in e-com at a high rate also. All of which will combine for a very attractive growth rate in Lilly Pulitzer.

Eric Beder
Analyst, Brean Capital

Great. Thank you.

Operator

We'll take our next question from Rick Patel with Stephens.

Richard Patel
Analyst, Stephens

Good afternoon, everyone, and congratulations on the very impressive retail comps. I just had a follow-up question on the wholesale side of the business. Just based on conversations that you've had with key customers, does your gut tell you that this is just conservative planning on their part, or do you think there's market share shifts going on at the floor level? I'm asking because given your strong performance at the retail level, I would think that demand for your brand is holding up pretty strongly, but I'd like to get your thoughts on that.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Terry, you want to lead off on that?

Terry Pillow
CEO, Tommy Bahama

Yeah, Rick. Our sell-through with our wholesale customers has been quite strong. You pointed to a lot of the retailers are focusing on higher turns, therefore they're buying less. See the shifts and that it's just a general climate out there where everybody's looking hard at their business and planning their businesses. As a supplier, we can only do so much and the acceptance of our product's great, and we love the wholesale business. We're still creating great products and shipping them on time, and we hope this situation corrects itself. Right now, as Tom said earlier in his remarks, that's what we see. We're hoping that as fast as it goes one way, it can go the other, and it can turn on us, and we hope that our customers' business gets better. We're just seeing a little slowdown in it.

Still, our sell-throughs are quite good with our customer.

Richard Patel
Analyst, Stephens

A question on your own Tommy Bahama stores. Can you talk about just the level of promotional and clearance activity within these locations? I'm curious if you did anything above and beyond what you did last year and how the margins within your stores held up.

Terry Pillow
CEO, Tommy Bahama

Good question. I'm going to let Doug Wood talk about that.

Doug Wood
President and COO, Tommy Bahama

If you look at the second quarter, we both have Mother's Day and Father's Day in there, from a loyalty standpoint, we did have more loyalty cards that we sent out because our databases are growing, because our stores are growing, and our e-commerce business is growing. We did do some more of that this year. However, when you look at our total gross margins for the quarter overall for the business group, we're still maintaining or actually going up from a gross margin standpoint.

Richard Patel
Analyst, Stephens

Great. Just a last question on Tommy's women's assortment. Seems like you're doing a terrific job there and you have much more product on the website than you've had on the past. Can you just talk to us about what you've learned from a merchandising perspective as you've scaled the women's business and what your strategy will be going into the holiday?

Terry Pillow
CEO, Tommy Bahama

Thanks for noticing, Rick. We've not only on the website but in our stores, we've given it prominence. We've moved it up based on the result. We keep fueling it. We've learned a lot that our guests will accept a lot more from us than we originally thought in women's. It's a very feminine side of the business that she's responding to. Our dress business continues to fuel the business. I mentioned earlier that our accessory business has finally gotten serious about that business, and we're seeing big growth in accessories and in footwear. I think we're just getting our rhythm. We've been in the women's business for some time. We stuck a stake in the ground about two or three years ago and said that we're really going to focus on it, and we have, and the team has done a terrific job.

It's showing up that way. We're constantly getting in our direct -to-consumer through our retail stores and our e-commerce business. It's very encouraging what we're seeing.

Richard Patel
Analyst, Stephens

Thank you. Best of luck in the back half.

Terry Pillow
CEO, Tommy Bahama

Thanks, Rick.

Operator

We'll take our next question from Mike Richardson with Sidoti.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Hi, Mike.

Michael Richardson
Analyst, Sidoti

Good afternoon, thanks.

Hi, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my call. On Ben Sherman, I'm just wondering, are you guys where you thought you would be with regard to expense reduction, sales, and clearing inventory? I'm wondering if you're seeing any improvement in the U.K. marketplace.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

We are definitely on track with expense reduction. We're very happy with what the team's done in that regard. Actually, the U.K. retail, at least in our own stores, has picked up pretty significantly year to date, particularly in the second quarter and moving into the third quarter. We've been really happy with what we've seen in our own stores in the U.K. The market generally over there still is not terrific. I think within our own stores, we're really happy with what we're seeing. We're performing well in the wholesale accounts over there also.

Michael Richardson
Analyst, Sidoti

Okay, great. With regard to international, any difference you're seeing in international consumer versus the domestic consumer with regards to mix and sort of what's resonating with the customer?

Terry Pillow
CEO, Tommy Bahama

Interesting, Mike, how much that it's mirroring. You take a look at the women's business and men's business. We're seeing getting much more acceptance to women's than we thought we would be. We're already achieving almost 50% of the business in women's in all those markets. That's one that we're very encouraged with. As far as classifications within men's and women's, it's amazing how closely it's mirroring our business domestically. As we mentioned, though, that we have changed the size spec in that market. We've seen that being very well accepted. Generally speaking, they're accepting the brand very much the same way in America.

Michael Richardson
Analyst, Sidoti

Okay, thanks. Just one last one. Then I'll jump out. Can you just give an update on new store openings for the balance of the year and what your thoughts are there? Thanks.

Terry Pillow
CEO, Tommy Bahama

Mike, we're opening the Tommy Bahama. We're opening one full-price store in Annapolis the back half of the year and three outlet stores, which gets our ratio of outlets and full price where we like it to be, where less than 30% of our stores are outlet stores, which is a formula that we use to keep our regular price strategy in our retail stores where we, Scott mentioned earlier, where we can take full care of any inventory issues that we have in the outlet stores. We think that that 70/30 full price. We're running 87 full-price stores.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Beyond that, Mike, as we mentioned in the prepared remarks, Lilly is planning on opening a store in Naples, Florida before the end of the year. I think that would sort of complete our store opening plans for the year.

Michael Richardson
Analyst, Sidoti

Okay, thanks. That's the one.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Thanks a lot, Mike.

Operator

We'll take our next question from Susan Sansbury with Miller Tabak. Please go ahead.

Susan Sansbury
Analyst, Miller Tabak

Hi. Thanks. I just want to probe a little bit more on this weakness that's developed on the wholesale side. Can you make any comments about whether the order book is also weakened within the Lilly Pulitzer signature stores? Any insights into Lanier would be helpful.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Yeah. On Lilly Pulitzer, well, first of all, there are pockets of it everywhere. We're seeing most of it versus our earlier forecast in Tommy and Lilly. In Lilly, it's across their customer base. Some of it's in signature store, some of it's with majors, and some of it is with specialty stores.

Susan Sansbury
Analyst, Miller Tabak

Okay. Is the weakness any greater in Lilly than it is at Can you give us an idea of the mix of the order book, Lilly versus Tommy versus Lanier?

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Yeah. I'm sorry, I left out Lanier before. Actually, in the second half, they have a pretty good half forecast. I think actually on a year-over-year basis, they're likely to be up in the second half. Lanier's holding up okay. They did have some orders that shifted out from second quarter to third quarter. Sometimes that's indicative of a slowdown in the business. That could mean things shift out a little more. I think Lanier's held up okay. As to Tommy and Lilly, it's sort of equal in magnitude, roughly.

Susan Sansbury
Analyst, Miller Tabak

Okay. Both-

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Compared to what our earlier expectation was, it's pretty consistent what they're seeing in the two businesses.

Susan Sansbury
Analyst, Miller Tabak

Okay.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Strong results in our own direct-to-consumer, and a little bit of weakening in the wholesale channels.

Susan Sansbury
Analyst, Miller Tabak

The sell-through to wholesale remain positive, as strong as they are in direct-to-consumer or full-price retail?

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

I don't think they're as strong as they've been in our direct-to-consumer business, because you see the kinds of comps that we're getting, and obviously, that's driven by some good sell-throughs. I think that, as a general comment, it's probably not as strong at wholesale. I don't think the issue is so much an issue of the sell-through of our products, as it is what's going on in the retailer's overall business. As you know, we're one of many brands in most of these stores, and their decisions about what they're going to buy and at what level they're going to purchase aren't strictly limited to what's going on in your brand, but what's going on in their total business.

Susan Sansbury
Analyst, Miller Tabak

Appreciate it. Thanks, Tom.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's question and answer session. For closing remarks, I'd like to turn the conference over to Mr. Tom Chubb.

Thomas Caldecot Chubb
CEO and President, Oxford Industries

Thank you, Keith. Our strategies to focus on lifestyle brands and the direct-to-consumer channel of business continue to be reinforced by the strong results we achieve with Tommy and Lilly Pulitzer. We're very optimistic that there's tremendous potential for long-term, sustainable, and profitable growth with these businesses. Beyond that, we've got the strength in our balance sheet to provide the capital and resources needed to support them, as well as to pursue other growth initiatives. Thank you again for your support and your time this afternoon.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference. We appreciate your participation.