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Stifel 2023 Cross Sector Insight Conference

Jun 6, 2023

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Good afternoon, everybody. Thanks so much for joining us, on day one of the 2023 Cross Sector Insight Conference. I'm Adam Borg. I'm a analyst on the software team here at Stifel. Thrilled to have with us Procore and Procore CFO, Howard Fu, and of course, from IR, with Vivian Wu. We're gonna keep this pretty informal. I'll kick it off with some questions. Would love to make it interactive, and hear what's on your mind as well. Again, Howard, thanks so much for being here. We really appreciate the support.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Thanks for having me. Good to be here.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

I should probably put on my glasses.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

You know, I forgot mine.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

you know, Procore has had a lot of success, digitizing the construction life cycle. There are some folks still newer to the story, so maybe just spend a quick background of the big opportunities that you guys are going after.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yeah. The first place that I'll start is probably with our mission and vision. The mission really is to connect everyone in the construction industry and to improve the lives of everyone in construction by connecting everyone in the construction industry. When you think about what that means, you have to really think about what it means to actually complete a construction project. It's actually extremely complex.

When you think about the stakeholders that have to be involved, from owners to general contractors to subcontractors, then when you think about the communication that needs to take place and between the stakeholders, and you think about the communication that needs to take place, where between the field and the main offices, then you start to think about the larger projects and the layers of subcontractors that you might have, and the amount of communication, coordination, and information exchange that needs to happen, it becomes extremely complex. In terms of the opportunity, today, the vast majority of how that gets done today is very analog. Analog is exactly what that means. It can literally mean when you ever walk into a job site, put on your hard hat, go into the trailer, and you will see a white.

With Sharpies and black tape on that whiteboard, with lines and columns and people writing stuff on the board, all the way through to things like Excel and people managing their companies on Excel. The digitization of all that communication, of all that information, creating a repository and a system of truth for all that information, so that things can be built on time, so that things can be built with better budget management, so that things can be built more safely, so that we can digitize the industry and improve the lives of everyone in construction. That is really the opportunity that's out there for us, and it's extremely exciting to be able to help the industry and move the industry forward.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

No, that's great. The, probably the number one question in my conversations, and you probably had it in your meetings today, was really on the macro.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yes.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Right? On one hand, like you mentioned, tools like Procore could help get projects get completed on time, on budget, reduce safety concerns. You have a lot of tailwinds, like the CHIPS Act, infrastructure bills. You have challenges, too. Rising rates are not helpful.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Mm-hmm.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

There's still ongoing supply chain issues, the shortage of qualified labor. There's a lot of push and pull here. Maybe help us understand kind of what's happening and also bring in the context of some incremental observations or changes that you observed in the macro on the last earnings call.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yeah, yeah. The way to answer that is I have to step back and talk a little bit about how digitized the industry is, and then how penetrated Procore is in the entire market. When you look at construction as a digitized industry, I think it's second to last out of all the industries, right? There's tremendous opportunity. Meaning that even with all the things that are going on in the macro environment, there's still construction going on somewhere, there's still tremendous amount of space. I have to say, I'm not sitting here and telling you that Procore is immune from any macroeconomic volatility. Absolutely not. It's important to note that context.

Then when you think about the built-in diversification of the industry, there's kind of a natural damping effect in terms of how that shows up within Procore. When I think about the construction segments within the U.S., let's say, Procore does not play in residential. What you hear about is housing and so forth. We don't play in single-family residential. We play in multifamily. We might have some large custom homes, but we really play in the non-residential. When you break down the non-residential pieces, that diversification starts to become very clear. A lot of what you're also going to hear and see every day, if you're going into the office again, is you'll see commercial and office and say: Wow, what's going on there?

When you look at the components of those pieces as a percentage of the overall market, it's really around 5% each. There's places in that macro construction industry, in the different segments, where there's gonna be components like office, but there's gonna be other components like, you know, data centers, hospitals, and those types of segments that are doing well. There's a layer of diversification there. The other layer of diversification is when you think about those segments and how our customers play in those segments, they have an opportunity to shift their business around, depending on where the construction is happening. Now, where does Procore play?

Procore, the way that Procore engages our customers and how that plays within Procore is we have a pricing model that is based on construction volume, and that construction volume is agnostic to the segment in the construction industry. To the extent that the macro environment has differing impacts on the segments of construction, to the extent that our customers can shift or are exposed to different parts of those segments, and then to the extent that that shows up to Procore, is how it would show up. Specifically to what we talked about in Q1, it's really about the sentiment. When you look at the sentiment and the cautiousness in a small portion of our customers, they're saying that at the same time, their backlogs are still there, right? It's really the cautiousness and that sentiment.

In terms of what's changed between when we talked about that and what is happening right now in Q2, you know, nothing has really changed in terms of whether or not this has become a trend. Having said that, June is our last month of the quarter. This is when we do our biggest volume, so there's still a lot of the quarter left, and we'll provide an update when we do our Q2 earnings.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

That's great, and we'll all, of course, be anxious to hear what you guys have to say. When you think about all those crosscurrents we talked about.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Mm-hmm.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

You think about not just the history since you've been public, but even last quarter, you still raised guidance.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Mm-hmm.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

You still raised guidance, you know, beat and raised.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yeah.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Top line and margin. let's talk about how you think about kind of the evolving macro backdrop.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yeah.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

In the context of setting guidance.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yeah. We really started to make a shift in probably the second, third quarter of last year, last fiscal year, probably around the spring, where we decided to take a little bit more of a cautious approach to our guidance philosophy because of some of the things that were happening in the macro environment. That has really persisted now through the first quarter of this year. And we don't see a change in that as of right now, in terms of how we're approaching that for the remainder of the year. What we have actually built into our guidance philosophy is some very dramatic downturns in the impacts that it would have on Procore, and still be able to beat those numbers. We think that that's the prudent thing for us to do.

We obviously don't want to surprise anyone, in terms of, you know, pulling the rug out from you all or anything like that. I think it's the right thing to do to make sure that we continue to be able to meet our cadence of our beat and raise, and to make sure that we are appropriately risk adjusted in terms of what the potential results might be. I think, it's the right thing for us to do.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Got it. What's interesting is obviously the challenges that we've been talking about the industry faces is not a U.S. phenomenon, it's a global phenomenon.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Mm-hmm.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Today, I think still roughly 85% of the business is.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Correct.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

16% international.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Correct.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

You know, beyond just starting in the U.S., there's some, what I'll call some growing pains that you've gone through.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Mm-hmm.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

As you've, you know, looked to get deeper into the international market. I guess, first, let's talk about how do we think about the U.S. market versus the international market, overall sizing and opportunity?

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yeah.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Two, kind of what gives you comfort that this is just internal execution, not maybe competitive or some other product market fit?

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yeah, yeah. I'll take those in line here. In terms of the market size, most of the construction volume TAM is actually outside of the U.S. I mean, a vast majority is outside the U.S. Obviously, we started in the U.S., and specifically we started in mid-market GCs in the U.S. When we look at the level of penetration of our business in the U.S. and non-U.S. geos, the non-U.S. geos are even way more early stages than we're talking about in the U.S. markets. We shared some data points and some disclosures at our Analyst Day, where we talk about global ACV penetration for Procore is less than 6%. When you specifically look at the U.S., that's less than 14% of the U.S. construction volume.

When you look, international, I think it's less than 2%. I'm looking at Vivian here just to check me. There's still tremendous opportunity there. If I look at the difference between where we are in the U.S. markets versus the international markets, you mentioned some of those missteps. You know, we were frankly a little bit naive to think that we could take the model that we had in the U.S., pick it up and say, "Hey, let's plop it in these different geos in the non-U.S. markets, and we have an international business." That worked to an extent.

It worked to an extent until we grew to a point where it didn't make sense for individuals that we put on the ground to wear multiple hats, and we got to a scale where people really needed to start to compartmentalize what they did. That's where we are. If you think about the international markets, we're 15% of our revenue, as of Q1, roughly around there. We haven't actually been there for that long, and so the evolution of those markets is really early on. Early on, we have significant investments, and what we started to do is to realize and to appreciate the nuances of what it means to build a brand in some of these markets.

The nuances of the sequencing of building the brand and then building in the capacity to then sell against that brand, to build a pipeline against that brand, to enable our sellers to sell to our customers and to communicate the value specific to that market. That's what we're specifically doing now. The first part of that is really around organizationally, how we have organized the team with direct sub, direct teams now that are specifically focused on each market. That's the first phase. In parallel, in some cases, sequencing a combination of those, it's really about how we, how we play that out for each one of those markets. We expect that to start to turn around a little bit by the end of the year.

I mentioned the investments in international, how that outpaces the revenue that we see today. Eventually, as those markets start to mature, we'll see the CAC efficiencies and so forth start to approach that of the U.S. business, and that's the expectation.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Got it. No, that's really helpful. Let's take a question from the audience. Can you just repeat the question for the audience?

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yeah, the question was, construction is largely relationship-based, and do we leverage that both in the growth of the U.S. business and the international business? I'll answer that in a couple of ways. If you have a follow-up, please, please ask. A lot of times we get questions about if it's so under-penetrated and so under-digitized, why can't we grow faster? What are the things that prevent the industry from digitizing faster? Some of the things are what you talk about, and I would categorize this under relationship. We often talk about the digitization of the industry as moving a tanker ship.

The range of potential inertia that we have to overcome can be something as, I don't know how to characterize this, as simple as some of these companies have people leading them for 30 years, and they are used to having somebody print out an email for them, hand it to them, and say, "This is what we're going to do." Right? There's that inertia. The other piece, just structurally, in terms of how construction works, is even if somebody bought Procore today, they still have a lot of in-flight projects that they can't just lift and shift and put onto Procore right away. They have in-flight projects, they have projects in their backlog. When they buy Procore, they might take some of those backlog projects and start to run them through Procore. There's gonna be a natural progression of how that transition happens.

Relationships, yes, there's different parts. For example, and when we get into some of the insurance and fintech products that we're talking about is highly relationship based. Those are some of the dynamics that as kind of we have to work through to help digitize the industry.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Great. Maybe even before talking about the fintech opportunity-

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yeah.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Maybe just 30 seconds on what a typical. I'm sure the answer is it depends. What a typical customer journey looks like on the construction lifecycle management side, because you have four real interesting pillars, if you will. I think 13+ products across those pillars.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Correct.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Help walk us through, what do you start with, and what do you evolve to over time, knowing it depends?

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yeah. you know, project management obviously is our where we started. It's our flagship product. That still represents greater than 50% of our ARR today, typically, customers will start there. When you start to branch off of project management, this is where the it depends, comes into play. there is a slide that we shared in the Analyst Day, where we look at different stakeholders, and we said: What are the biggest pain points, the highest pain points for each one of those stakeholders? you can kind of think about the progression following some of those pain points and what we're trying to mitigate in terms of those pain points.

As an example, if you start with project management, if you're a specialty contractor, you're probably more likely going to take the path of, let's say, preconstruction, where you're gonna do things like estimating and bidding. You're probably going to be more inclined to make progression into things like workforce management, because as a subcontractor, that's what you're doing. You're managing a lot of workers. Whereas when you're looking at the owner's side of things, maybe you're going from project management to something like financial suite, so including project financials, invoicing, and so forth. That's where things start to branch off, and it depends on the different stakeholders. You would do project management, maybe quality and safety, maybe project financials, and so forth.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Got it. Got it.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yeah.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Maybe now that we have a foundational overview of the industry-

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yeah

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

the products, the international opportunity, let's talk about fintech for a minute, right?

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yeah.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Even since the IPO process, there's been talk about doing a lot more than the big opportunity you're going after with digitizing the construction life cycle, with getting deeper into fintech, right?

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yeah.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

in fact, it's such an important priority that you're now CFO, because Paul is gonna help spearhead, you know, this.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yes.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Right. As we think about materials financing, we've talked about insurance. How do we walk through kind of the fintech opportunities that you're thinking about, why these are important problems, and why you're uniquely positioned to help solve them.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yeah. When we think about fintech and materials finance and Procore Risk Advisors or insurance.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Even payments, right? Include that.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Payments, we actually wouldn't categorize under fintech.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Okay.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

We actually would categorize that more akin to software or workflow.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Okay. Got it.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

We can talk about payments as well.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Yeah.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

We can talk about payments as well. At the highest level, conceptually, what we're trying to do is, again, solve for these pain points, and we're trying to solve for these pain points in the flow of the entire project life cycle via the data that we have and the information that we have, and all the data that runs through our platform, which actually is proprietary and unique. Specifically on materials financing, it's about capital. It's about access to capital. Where does the data piece come in? Some of the proof points that we have to prove out are: Can we use the data to identify the right customers to offer financing? Can we then, when we offer that financing, identify the customers that are going to be repeat customers?

When we find those repeat customers, what does it actually cost us in terms of being able to collect from those customers? Those are kind of some of the proof points in terms of materials financing that we're trying to prove out, and it's all based on the data that we have. The other piece around insurance is, you know, insurance and construction, it's required, it's expensive, it's complex. It literally, it's a pain in the butt, okay? It's required. Similarly, how does that relate to leveraging the data that we have? Well, the premise is that we can take the data that we have, the unique, the proprietary data that we have, and we can present our customers to the insurance carriers and secure them better terms and better pricing.

That's the premise that we have to prove out. Then again, very early stages, MatFi and insurance. I have to say very early stages because we're really in test mode, and we've got a tremendous amount of runway, even with our current core SaaS software offerings and the permutations of that, actually, beyond, before we even get to fintech. When you think about payments is what we're going to test initially, and, you know, we're targeting back part of this year as an initial release, is we're going to first test the relationship and the movement of dollars between the GC and the SC, and then first testing the monetization of the GC.

The way that it would work is we would have a take rate on the volume that goes through that payment. Very, very early stages, making sure that movement of capital is there, making sure that we incorporate the lien rights component from our Levelset acquisition to get folks comfortable with pay. All those pieces are in that workflow. When I go across all three, we get excited about this, but again, it's, it's further out. Materials finance. Initially, we will finance off our balance sheet. We've publicly said that we will not finance more than 10% of our cash balance with this. As it gets bigger, we will get a capital partner.

In terms of the Procore Risk Advisors or the insurance, we will act largely as a broker, so we're not taking any type of underwriting risk or anything like that in terms of the insurance. In terms of the payments piece, we are partnering with Goldman Sachs Transaction Banking to build that functionality into our platform.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Got it. A follow-up that I'm admittedly will be an unfair question, but hear me okay.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

All right.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

As we think about these, A, you have to build out these proof points we're talking about.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Correct.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Assuming that your initial hunches are right.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Mm-hmm.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

five years from now.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yep.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Think about the core construction lifecycle management that we just talked about as a bucket. Think about fintech as a bucket and decide if payments is in bucket one or bucket two.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yep.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Which is a bigger piece of the business?

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Good question. Let's, let's set a little bit of context. In five years, when you think about the penetration of the core software, SaaS software piece, the size of that business, I'm not gonna give a number out there because I don't wanna, I want you all to put a long-term target in your models or anything like that. That is going to be a fairly large business. When you think about the stage of the Fintech businesses and the payments piece, but let's just even the Fintech businesses, the growth rate that they would have to achieve to catch up.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Mm.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

To the core SaaS software in those five years is tremendously large. If I had to say, I would say that I would still anchor on the core SaaS software piece. Now, having said that, if the proof points come out and we can actually have that astronomical growth, as a CFO, I would love to do that, right? Right now, where we are right now, I would still focus on that core SaaS software piece.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Great. Let me sneak one more in. We'll get more questions from the audience. When we think about. You know, you just mentioned several times the unique data that you have.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yeah. Mm-hmm.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Obviously, it wouldn't be a conversation in 2023 without talking about generative AI and the ability to harness just large language models more broadly to do some interesting things with that data. How do you think about, you know, harvesting the massive data?

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yep.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Introducing things like generative AI. Like, what does that mean for Procore?

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Generative AI, large language models, we're excited. This is something that's very real. Like everyone that's out there, not just in construction, but overall software and maybe even non-software, there's a lot that needs to be figured out in terms of how this will be productized. Okay? So we do have that tremendous amount of data and growing every single day. I'll give you an example that I think Tooey likes to tell, which is we have access to ChatGPT. We didn't tell it anything. We just told a bunch of engineers to enter some project data into ChatGPT and say, "Hey, can you identify the risks?" We didn't say anything, teach anything.

It came back and identified a specific submittal that said, "Hey, this is gonna have this risk because this and that." We didn't even tell it what a submittal was, and this was just telling a bunch of engineers to start putting into ChatGPT without any training. That's just one example, but there's tremendous opportunity, I think, in terms of the value that this can bring to our customers. And we're very early stages in trying, like everyone else, trying to figure out what the productization of this looks like, but we're excited. The other piece that I'll mention in terms of AI is there's the customer component, but there's also the internal component in terms of how we improve the way we operate across product to technology, across sales and marketing, across even G&A.

Examples would include, even internally ourselves in that risk example, identifying the customers that are at risk, the customers that have the opportunity. What does that look like? There's opportunities both in terms of the value that we add to our customers, as well as internally, in terms of the way that we operate.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

That's really helpful. What's on your minds? Please.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Yeah. You know, it's probably a little all of.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Maybe just to repeat.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Oh, I'm sorry. How do I think about that inertia in terms of the inertia that we have to overcome to help digitize the industry? Is it a generational thing? Is it something else, right? That sums it up. There's a number of things. It's probably a little bit of all of those things, but I think when you think about the place and time we are right now, there's a number of catalysts that I think have built up over the last five, 10 years that make this a right time to make this push, not just from a Procore standpoint, but from a customer standpoint.

If you think about just at the most basic level in terms of sharing and exchanging information, that didn't really become widely possible until about 10 years ago, in terms of everyone having a cell phone and the connectivity being able to reach job sites. The communication needs to happen between, not just between the stakeholders, but from job site to the headquarters. That became widely available about 10 years ago. We're still fairly early in terms of that evolution. The other pieces are things like, there's been an increase in the amount of regulatory requirements from a construction standpoint that have increased over the last 30 years, 20 years, and even more recently. Whereas, a number of years ago, those requirements and those regulations might number in the hundreds, which is still large. Today, they're in the thousands.

Why is that an important catalyst? Is because, remember, Procore is about connecting everyone in construction and connecting everyone in construction on a core set of data, a system of record that's accurate and that can be actionable. It becomes increasingly important in an environment where regulations are increasing. In addition to that, when you think about over the last 10 years, the supply side, meaning labor, and how that relates to the demand side, which is the demand for construction, labor is the primary constraint. When you think about labor as being the primary constraint, there's always going to be an imperative, or a desire to look for efficiencies in terms of the way that the construction companies operate, and that's what Procore provides. It allows folks to actually operate more efficiently.

It allows projects to be more efficient. We've actually done some surveys of our customers and asked them how much efficiency they get, and there are a couple of numbers that come back. You know, for our customers, they talk about almost just shy of 50%. Their employees can do just shy of 50% more work if they use Procore. When you think about a huge part of the cost of a construction project, it's rework and change orders. When we ask our customers, a big part of the return on that investment and why it's needed is, folks that use Procore see roughly around 15%-16% less amount of rework.

When you think about all those things put together, there's a lot of catalysts that in this time and place, that make it not a nice to have, but also probably more so of an imperative that these companies, that the industry starts to digitize, in addition to some of those relationship type of things that we already talked about. Yeah. Yeah. We're excited.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Just the question was around, sorry.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

How do I think about some of the initiatives around the government funding of IIJA and so forth, and how do we think about how that will impact Procore? In my response, we're excited. One mechanical piece that's, I think, important to note is when you think about that IIJA being deployed, it takes time for that deployment to come and hit Procore. The way that I think about it is, it is another piece of the puzzle that allows us to sustain our growth even longer. Just to give you a sense, of the $1.2 trillion of the IIJA, I think I saw the latest information on the census data was that I think roughly $200 billion of it has been deployed.

When it gets deployed, then what happens is it starts to go into, "Hey, we got to get bids for this." Then companies start bidding for it. Once they start bidding for it, they start winning the projects, right? When you think about that flow, you have to think about when that then flows into a customer contracting for Procore. It actually comes a bit later on, I think we're starting to see those bids come through. It's only a portion of that IIJA that has been deployed so far. We see that again as a way to really sustain our growth over a much longer time frame.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

Awesome. I think unfortunately, we're out of time. Thanks for the great questions. Howard, thanks for supporting the conference and the chat today.

Howard Fu
CFO, Procore

Thank you. Appreciate it.

Adam Borg
Software Analyst, Stifel

All right, guys. Have a great rest of the day.

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