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Earnings Call: Q1 2022

May 5, 2022

Operator

Hello, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Portillo's Fiscal First Quarter 2022 conference call and webcast. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode, and the conference is being recorded. After the presentation, there'll be an opportunity to ask questions. To join the question queue, you may press Star, then one on your telephone keypad. Should you need assistance during the conference call, you may signal an operator by pressing star and zero. I would now like to turn the conference over to Barbara Noverini, Director of Investor Relations at Portillo's, to begin.

Barbara Noverini
Director of Investor Relations, Portillo's

Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our fiscal first quarter 2022 earnings call, which is also my first call as Portillo's new Director of Investor Relations. I'm looking forward to working with our analysts and shareholders, both current and future, and learning more about what resonates with you. With me on the call today is Michael Osanloo, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Michelle Hook, the company's Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin our formal remarks, let me remind everyone that part of today's discussion will include forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and should not be unduly relied upon.

We do not undertake to update these forward-looking statements unless required by law and refer you to today's earnings press release and our SEC filings for more detailed discussions of the risks that could impact Portillo's future operating results and financial condition. Our remarks also include non-GAAP financial measures, such as adjusted EBITDA and Restaurant-Level adjusted EBITDA. We direct you to our earnings release issued this morning, which is available on our website for the reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP measures. Any non-GAAP financial measure should not be considered as an alternative to GAAP measures such as net income or operating income or any other GAAP measure of our liquidity or financial performance. Finally, after we deliver our prepared remarks, we will open the lines for your questions. Let me now turn the call over to Michael Osanloo, President and Chief Executive Officer.

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

Thank you, Barb, and welcome to the Portillo's family. Barb joins us after spending over 10 years in equity research and investor relations at Morningstar. Barb is also a lifelong Chicagoan, so she's going to be a great resource to help our analysts and our shareholders better understand Portillo's and our growth journey. What a journey it continues to be. I'm pleased with Portillo's strong top-line performance in the quarter. We grew total sales 14.6% to $134.5 million. Same-restaurant sales grew 8.2%, which reflects strong demand for Portillo's, demand that comes from our continued focus on delivering a great experience and amazing food at an unbelievable value. We continue to produce healthy profitability, generating almost 21% restaurant-level EBITDA margins, which puts us in a unique class in the restaurant industry.

Michelle will provide a lot more detail on our most recent quarterly results in a moment, but I'd first like to remind everyone where we're headed as a company. We're on track to grow same-restaurant sales. We've got the runway to sustain long-term adjusted EBITDA growth, and more importantly, we're a growth company. We're on track for 10% annual unit growth, and we're excited about it. While we may be new to the public markets, we're a 59-year-old brand with a long history of success and a solid foundation upon which we'll continue to build. Let's talk a little bit about that growth pipeline. We're proud of the in-restaurant Portillo's experience and are thrilled to see guests returning to our dining rooms this year. We're also really excited about the direction of our off-premise business.

Our first Portillo's pickup location in Joliet, Illinois, just celebrated its three-month anniversary and continues to perform above our expectations. That's despite opening in the dead of winter in Chicago. This small- box footprint has managed to impress us and continues to impress. We also recently celebrated the opening of a beautiful restaurant in St. Petersburg, Florida. It's absolutely gorgeous. We used our retro diner -style design, but it fits into the local environment. It's early, but we're thrilled about how this restaurant is performing and how guests in St. Pete have responded to us. Similar to Joliet, it's also performing above our underwriting expectations. We now have four restaurants in Central Florida, and we'll continue to build that market in 2022 and beyond. We're also on track to continue growing in the Sun Belt.

We're scaling operations in Arizona with another restaurant in the Phoenix suburb of Gilbert and our first entry into Tucson, both slated to open later this year. Of course, we can't wait to open in Texas at Grandscape in The Colony. That's the name of the town, The Colony. We open that restaurant in the fourth quarter and will continue to grow in Dallas-Fort Worth in 2023. We've already identified some of our next sites, and even more importantly, we've identified the operators who will grow and build that market for us. You may have noticed recently that we've announced openings in the Orlando suburb of Kissimmee and Schererville, Indiana. That will take us to seven restaurants this year, meeting our 10% commitment.

I can't talk about our exciting development pipeline without sending my thanks to Sherri Abruscato, our inspiring Chief Development and Supply Chain Officer, who's retiring this summer after 44 years of service. Sherri started with Portillo's as a teenager, and her hard work, dedication, ambition led her to the C-suite. We want all of our team members to realize that kind of success is possible here. To fill her shoes, we're actively searching for a chief development officer who will execute our rapid growth pipeline with the same unwavering commitment to our values. It's those values, family, greatness, energy, and fun, that allow us to be this confident about our growth trajectory. People are the heart of Portillo's, and we know they're the linchpin to our success. We prioritize our team members' experience. We know that our teams are more engaged when in a fun, supportive, and efficient work environment.

You can see the proof of this in our retention statistics. Our hourly turnover rate is 20-30 percentage points below the current industry average. This is a reflection of the work we put into being an employer of choice. We're creating unrivaled team member experiences, treating them like family, and it's working. How do we win in the long term beyond having beautiful, well-staffed restaurants? Today, I wanna highlight three main points about our resilience, both as a company and as a high-growth restaurant concept. First, we have very attractive profitability predicated on great revenue. We generated $8.3 million in AUV in the twelve months ended Q1 2022. That revenue drives plus-size profitability, which gives us the financial flexibility we need to continue investing for growth. Second, we focus on what we can control.

As experienced restaurant operators, we're able to categorize cost pressures into those we see as transient versus those that are likely more permanent. We see commodity market volatility as a transient pressure brought on by external market shocks. Our response is to continue to limit the magnitude, duration, and timing of input cost increases through fixed -price contracts. We're now covered for over half our spend throughout the rest of the year. Michelle will talk more about this. Occasionally, we do see a stairstep change in cost that signals a more permanent change. As you know, wages in the restaurant industry are resetting to reflect the more demanding, competitive labor environment, and that's not changing anytime soon.

Again, focusing on what we can control, we ensure that as a company, one, we offer our team members a compelling opportunity they can only get at Portillo's, and two, our team members are as productive as possible. In fact, we've implemented some operational efficiencies this year that have had a measurable impact. Third, we don't wait until times are tough to look for efficiencies across our business. We're an operations company, and it's our operators who oftentimes help us come up with and implement great ideas. One of the more recent developments comes from streamlining our digital ordering experience. By upgrading the user interface, guests who order through our app or website can now customize their orders in just a few clicks. The early results show a significant upward trend in order completion, with our cart conversion rates already improved by 50%.

What that means is we now have more guests who complete their orders instead of abandoning their carts. Bottom line, this translates into more digital sales, and this improvement is holding. We see this as early evidence that we've successfully reduced friction in that experience for our digital guests. Finally, as I mentioned in the past, the commitment to our Portillo's family is why our turnover continues to trend better than the industry average. At the start of the first quarter, we were still understaffed at a few locations. Now, we're very proud to say that we're back to pre-COVID staffing levels. The importance of that is that well-staffed restaurants, on average, produce higher guest satisfaction scores. We see better order accuracy, speed of service, and overall satisfaction. We know guest satisfaction scores act as a leading indicator of same- restaurant sales.

When you have a good experience, you'll be back. It's that simple. In March, we achieved the highest order accuracy and the highest customer satisfaction scores that we've seen in the past 24 months. This is not an accident. This has everything to do with the attention our managers and team members have been giving the overall guest experience. On last quarter's call, we talked about being an oasis for our guests. We want to be that respite, even in the face of high inflation, high gas prices, and increased concern over global volatility. We will remain that fun, welcoming place that our guests can take their family for a convenient, delicious, high-quality meal at a great price point. I wanna be clear about something. This doesn't mean we're not taking pricing. It means we're being very thoughtful and methodical about how we take pricing.

While we've raised prices to counteract some of the input cost pressures we've seen, we're still mindful of preserving value for our guests. As I said earlier, we have healthy margins. We don't have to overshoot inflation to shore up our profitability. That said, when we have taken price, there's been little to no resistance or elasticity effect. We are very confident in our pricing power. At the end of the day, we're on track. We're executing the playbook we shared with you during our IPO. We're confident in our long-term growth algorithm. The restaurant industry is cyclical. It's gonna have its ups and downs, but we know how to manage our business for that. With that, I'll hand it off to Michelle to share more details of the quarter.

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Great. Thank you, Michael, and good morning, everyone. During the first quarter, we saw strong top- line growth, but cost pressures did impact our bottom line. However, we remain confident in the fundamentals of our business model and remain committed to our long-term strategy. Let's discuss the details of our first quarter results. Revenues were $134.5 million, reflecting an increase of $17.2 million or 14.6% compared to the first quarter of 2021. This was driven by an 8.2% increase in same-restaurant sales, combined with the opening of new restaurants in 2022 and 2021. The same-restaurant sales increase of 8.2% was primarily driven by a 7.5% increase in average check and a 2.9% benefit from the change in recording third-party delivery pricing.

This was partially offset by a decline in traffic of 2.2%. The higher average check was primarily driven by 7.1% increase in menu prices, combined with a 0.4% increase due to menu mix. As previously mentioned on our last call, we did see a negative impact on our sales during the first several weeks of January as a result of Omicron. Sales trends and transactions improved from January to February. In March, our same-restaurant sales grew 2.5% as we began to roll over a tougher comp of 24.6% in March 2021. This tougher comp will continue as we will lap a 25% comp in the second quarter.

When you look at our first quarter comp on a three-year stack basis, we grew 6.8%, which is in line with our long-term target and speaks to the consistency and durability of our brand. Cost of goods sold, excluding depreciation and amortization as a percentage of revenues increased to 34.4% in the first quarter of 2022 from 29.9% in the first quarter of 2021. This increase was largely driven by a 15.7% average increase across all commodity prices, with higher impacts in pork, chicken, and beef prices. Additionally, cost of goods sold was negatively impacted by 1.9%, resulting from the change in recording third-party delivery pricing. These increases were partially offset by the increase in our average check.

As Michael stated earlier, we ultimately view commodity market volatility as transient, but we are taking measures to limit the magnitude, duration, and timing of cost increases in key input categories. We have locked in pricing on almost 80% of our beef flats, and we continue to actively look to fix pricing in other areas when opportunities arise. As of today, we have almost 55% of our commodity basket locked in for 2022. As a reminder, in March, I provided a range of 13%-15% expected increase in our commodity basket in 2022, and we are currently forecasting to be at the higher end of that range in the second quarter and for the full fiscal year. Now, moving on to labor.

Labor as a percentage of revenues increased to 27.7% in the first quarter of 2022 from 26.5% in the first quarter of 2021. This increase was primarily driven by hourly rate increases. Rates were up approximately 13% versus Q1 of 2021. New restaurant openings in 2021, in the first quarter of 2022, and continued expansion of our dining capacity also drove higher investments in labor. This was partially offset by an increase in our average check. All told, we are doing a lot to mitigate the more permanent labor cost pressures that Michael described earlier. Labor does continue to be more productive versus pre-COVID levels, and more recently, we have put additional efficiencies in place to further optimize our labor. We staff our restaurants with exceptional team members who live our values each and every day. We do this by prioritizing our culture.

Other operating expenses increased $0.5 million or 3.1% in the first quarter of 2022, and occupancy expenses increased $1 million or 14.3%, both the result of new restaurant openings in 2021 and 2022. Restaurant-Level adjusted EBITDA decreased 6% to $28 million in the first quarter of 2022 from $29.8 million in the first quarter of 2021. Restaurant-Level adjusted EBITDA margins were 20% in the first quarter of 2022 versus 25.4% in the first quarter of 2021. The decrease of 460 basis points was driven by the impact of increased commodity costs, which we believe to be transient, and to a lesser extent, labor inflation.

To combat these headwinds, during the first quarter, we increased menu prices approximately 1.5%, and we expect additional menu price increases during the second quarter of 2022. As you may recall, we had taken 2.5% of price last April, and if we did nothing in Q2, we would be at approximately 4.5% pricing for most of Q2, which in this environment does not meet our objectives. We will strategically be taking pricing in the next few weeks. Our goal is to remain a great value for our guests while mitigating some of these cost increases.

Our G&A expenses increased $3.9 million to 11.7% in the first quarter of 2022 from 10.1% in the first quarter of 2021. This $3.9 million increase was due primarily to a $3.3 million increase in equity-based stock compensation expense and approximately $0.7 million of transaction- related expenses. The majority of our G&A increase was due to these specific items, and we are carefully managing underlying expenses in this inflationary environment. Pre-opening expenses decreased $0.7 million to 0.4% in the first quarter of 2022 from 1.1% in the first quarter of 2021. This decrease was due to the timing and geographic location of restaurant openings in the first quarter of 2022 versus 2021.

All this led to adjusted EBITDA of $17.6 million in the first quarter of 2022 versus $18.5 million in the first quarter of 2021, a decrease of 4.9%. Below the EBITDA line, interest expense was $6.1 million in the first quarter of 2022, a decrease of $4.6 million from the first quarter of 2021. This decrease was driven by the payoff of our second-lien term loan in the fourth quarter of 2021 and lower outstanding borrowings under our first-lien term loan. We ended the quarter with $32.2 million in cash. We will be using our cash balance plus operating cash flow to support our continued growth and new restaurant openings. Like Michael said, we're on track. The structure of our business allows us to grow same- restaurant sales by low- single digits on average.

Check. Our solid development pipeline is on track to deliver 10% unit growth this year. Check. Our revenue growth is in the high single- to low double-digit. Check. While our EBITDA performance is a bit wonky this year and is under some industry-wide pressures, we haven't had to slow down, and we certainly feel confident in our long-term growth algorithm. We're pressing on so that we can continue to lay the groundwork that will sustain that low teens adjusted EBITDA growth over the long run. Thank you for your time, and with that, I'll turn it back to Michael.

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

Thanks, Michelle. Before we open for questions, I just want to revisit our commitment to our guests. As experienced operators, we understand what it takes to build and sustain an obsessed fan base. We know it's crucial to deliver our delicious menu, our value-driven price point, and our unrivaled experience. We prioritize quality and strive for consistency. This foundation has allowed Portillo's to be a success for the last 59 years through multiple recessions, oil embargo, the dot-com bust, 9/11, housing market crashes, wars, pandemics, et cetera. Portillo's has not only survived, we have thrived. We have persevered through all of these challenges and uncertainties, and we're confident in our ability to weather the pressures we face today. Like we said in March, we have demand. Consumers are choosing Portillo's. Thank you. With that, let's turn it over to the operator for questions.

Operator

Thank you. We'll now begin the question-and-answer session. To join the question queue, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. You'll hear a tone acknowledging your request. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing any keys. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. Our first question is from John Glass with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

John Glass
Managing Director, Morgan Stanley

Hi. Thanks. Good morning. Well, first

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

Hi, John.

John Glass
Managing Director, Morgan Stanley

Thank you. Good morning. Can we talk a little bit about the performance of the stores that were opened in the fourth quarter, Indiana, and I think it's West Madison? How are those trending versus your initial expectations? You talked about a very successful operation down in St. Pete. How do you think operations are doing, you know, from a speed of service standpoint or retention? Maybe just talk a little bit about how that opening has gone from an operations standpoint. Thanks.

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

Yeah. Let me. I'll give you some overview, John, and I'll let Michelle give you a little bit more detail. In general, I'd tell you we're very, very happy with all of our openings. You know, even opening in the winter out of season in Westfield, we're very happy with that restaurant. We're happy with all of our new openings. You know, as I think you know, we changed dramatically the way we open new restaurants to make sure that we are aggressively training management at those new restaurants, so they know the Portillo's way, they know what our guests expect. The training of our team members is all about training them on handling Portillo's volume, right? We will do $5,000-$6,000 hours, which, in some businesses, is a good day.

We train them on speed, we train the management on the Portillo's way. We've had exceptional openings. I think St. Pete might be the best yet. We paid at the very top of the market. We feel like we got fantastic team members who are deeply engaged in our business. We handled enormous volumes with grace, and that business is really doing well for us. It's important because, as you know, Central Florida is a big growth opportunity. Every time we open successfully, we continue to enhance our brand and continue to expand our opportunities.

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Yeah, John, just to add on to what Michael was saying. In terms of Westfield, West Madison, and Joliet, when you think about when those restaurants opened during the winter months and given the locations, you know, there's definitely some seasonality we saw during the first part of those openings. But to Michael's point, what I will tell you is that they are performing above our underwriting expectations, and we feel really good about that. With St. Pete having their grand opening on April 5th, early indications are very good there as well.

John Glass
Managing Director, Morgan Stanley

Michelle, just on wages, I understand there's pressure industry-wide. You took a big step up last year, though. Do you think the wage inflation therefore should moderate to your business in the back half of this year just given that? Or do you think, you know, maybe there's another round of bigger increases needed just to continue that high retention that you have?

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Yeah, John. We did obviously signal this in the filing this morning that we do expect additional rate increases later this year. To your point, we put substantial increases in place in June of last year. I do expect as you look at the comparability year-over-year, when you get towards that back half of the year for that comparability to ease some. We do expect to put in some more rate increases this year, but not to the extent that we had to do in June of last year.

John Glass
Managing Director, Morgan Stanley

Okay. Thank you.

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Yep.

Operator

The next question is from Nicole Miller Regan with Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.

Nicole Miller Regan
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Thank you. Good morning. If you've done this, and I'm not sure you have, but if you can look at the performance of the fully staffed stores versus those that have lagged a little bit of late, what could we expect, you know, in the model going forward as the enterprise is now fully staffed? Would that produce like a higher comp on the demand you're seeing? Or would it, you know, produce a better margin with operational excellence? What might happen?

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

I don't think we have looked at it that specifically. It's actually a great insight on your part, so we will do that. Anecdotally, I can tell you it's exactly what you described. When we have fully staffed restaurants, we see that the guest satisfaction measurements, things like order accuracy, speed of service, all of those metrics tick up, which in turn yields better comp sales and better profitability. Your intuition is 100% right, and we will certainly look that number up.

Nicole Miller Regan
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Okay, great. I know it's kind of detailed, so, thanks. Just wondering if there was any purposeful reason on calling out 1Q comp on a three-year basis. Essentially, maybe start with 1Q, could you talk a little bit about price mix and traffic? Do you want us to look at the rest of the year on a three-year basis? Because that could be kind of interesting and helpful.

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

Yeah.

Nicole Miller Regan
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Knowing that, I think things ease as you go through 2Q.

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Yeah, absolutely, Nicole. The reason why I wanted to make sure to call out the three-year stack was because if you go back and even look sequentially, when you look at what the three-year stack was in 2021, you know, I think you truly do see the consistency of our performance on a three-year stack basis. It does take out, you know, some of that noise when you look at the comparability on a two-year stack and then rolling over, you know, the COVID period in 2020. That's where we wanted to really look at that consistency of the brand. For me, I'm gonna continue to look at all metrics, Nicole. You know, we're gonna look at obviously the comp, the two-year stack, the three-year stack.

Yeah, I think that for me is a good metric that kind of removes some of that noise and to me looks at what we wanna deliver on a long- term comp basis and us being able to do that and deliver that.

Nicole Miller Regan
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

How was price and mix in 1Q again?

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Price in the first quarter, we were up 7.1%.

Nicole Miller Regan
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Thank you.

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Mix was 0.4%, Nicole.

Nicole Miller Regan
Managing Director, Piper Sandler

Gotcha. Thanks.

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Yep, no problem.

Operator

The next question is from David Tarantino with Baird. Please go ahead.

David Tarantino
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Hi. Good morning. Michelle, just kind of revisiting the commentary on the three-year comps. I was wondering if you could comment specifically on what you saw in March. You know, you gave the number on a one-year basis. Our math would indicate it might have been a little lower than the full quarter on a three-year comp, but I know there's all kinds of wonky comparisons. Wondering if you could clarify that for me.

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Yeah. I definitely wanted to make sure, David, that on a three-year stack basis, right, that to the point I made with Nicole earlier, that we made sure you guys understood that consistency. March, the point I wanted to get across there was when you look at the comparison, on what we were rolling over, we started to comp over a tougher comp compare starting in March, which is gonna continue in Q2. To your point, like, if you just were to look at March alone, the three-year stack is very healthy. If you just were to isolate March alone, it would be at roughly around 9%, David.

David Tarantino
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Oh, got it. Okay. Our math there wasn't correct. Okay. Thank you.

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Yep.

David Tarantino
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

I guess the second question I have, that helps very much. Thank you. The second question I have is just on the pricing. I don't think you mentioned the amount that you're planning to take in the second quarter. I was wondering if you could maybe give some context even directionally on how much that might be. Related to that is the strategy on the pricing to address inflation that's occurred since the last time we spoke, or is this more of a catch up for what you haven't taken given the inflation you know, that you saw in the first quarter?

I guess in other words, do you think that pricing that you take in Q2 will start to flow through to a bit better margins than what you had in the first quarter?

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Yeah, I think, David, we didn't give the Q2 pricing because it's still TBD at this point. We're still having those conversations, and it's still fluid. We have not put those price increases in place, that's why we didn't give the numbers. Obviously, I'll let you guys know what that is next quarter. Our goal remains what Michael had talked about. We wanna definitely continue to price, you know, at or below inflation, that's how we're thinking about it. Like I said, if we did nothing, right, we would be at about 4.5% pricing when that pricing started to roll off. We wanna make sure we get back up to the levels that we were at before.

With the guiding principle that we wanna be at or below inflation.

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

Yeah.

David Tarantino
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Great. Thank you very much.

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

No problem.

Operator

The next question is from Sara Senatore with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Sara Senatore
Senior Research Analyst, Bank of America

Oh, thank you very much. Just a couple of clarifying questions, please. The first is on the traffic. I know that you said you know, the value proposition is still very strong. Omicron seems to have had an impact on mobility, but just trying to understand the idea of kind of negative traffic in the quarter given that Omicron, I think, was, you know, primarily dissipated by the middle of January. It was just a, excuse me, a shift between channels, like still more, you know, drive-through or delivery and things that might, you know, have order aggregation. That's the first clarifying question, and then I just have a quick question about labor, please.

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

Thank you for answering your own question 'cause you're 100% right, Sara, that it is. It's still an order aggregation thing. What we say is traffic, to be more accurate, is transaction. So what I look at to feel to know whether or not we should feel good about our business or not as good is underlying sales of entree sandwiches and salads, right? The argument being that consumer behavior isn't changing a whole lot. You're not gonna eat two burgers versus one. So how many burgers, chicken sandwiches, beef sandwiches, things that we sell. The aggregate of all of our underlying entrees is up about 1.7% in the quarter. That gives me confidence that we're actually feeding more people, right?

I think that the transaction noise is exactly what you were implying, which is that, you know, when people go through the drive-through, it tends to be you're feeding more people per transaction. When people come into our restaurant, it tends to be you're feeding fewer people per transaction. So that's us still being down a little bit inside the restaurant means our transactions are artificially suppressed. I look at that number of 1.7% up on entree sandwiches, salads, et cetera, and that gives me solace to know that we're feeding more people. Does that make sense, Sara?

Sara Senatore
Senior Research Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you for the clarification. Then just on labor, Michelle, can you just help me think through, like going forward, you know, if I look at the change in your, you know, labor as a percentage of sales, kind of looks like exactly what I would expect in terms of, you know, high- single- digit pricing and low double-digit labor inflation. When should we see productivity? Is the issue that, you know, the productivity improvements are maybe being offset by having to fully staff, you know, versus last year? I guess when might we start to see that delta be a little different than just, you know, kind of net pricing or net inflation?

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Yeah. No, Sara, we started to put things in place in March and started to see in March some what I would describe as meaningful improvement in labor efficiencies. I would expect us to continue to see those trends within Q2 and beyond. Understand too that, like I mentioned before, there are additional rate increases that we do have to put in place yet this year. We are definitely seeing improvements in labor through the efficiencies we put in in March.

Sara Senatore
Senior Research Analyst, Bank of America

Great. Thank you very much.

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

No problem.

Operator

The next question is from Andy Barish with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Andy Barish
Managing Director, Jefferies

Good morning, guys. Thanks. Just wanted to check, appreciate the deck that you put out with the quarter. It looks like unit openings may be one in the third quarter and then a little bit more back-end loaded. Is that just given what's going on with supply chain and equipment and things like that?

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

Yeah, that's exactly right. Although I wouldn't necessarily put it on supply chain and equipment, I'd put it more on the permitting process. Municipalities have been slow to rebound, and so that's what's slowing us down. You know, we had one slide a couple weeks, and it would just happen to be. It was going from the third quarter to the fourth quarter. You know, we've got shovels in the ground actively building the other five still, Andy. We're confident about seven for the year.

Andy Barish
Managing Director, Jefferies

Gotcha. Thanks. I guess just to ask, you know, straightforward with the elephant in the room. I mean, April comps, are you willing to, you know, share if, you know, a number or if you're still positive, you know, given the ramp?

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

Yeah. We're gonna leave that elephant in the room still. I think what Michelle shared, which I think is important to recall, is that, you know, we're lapping some lofty numbers. Just, that's an important thing to keep in mind. We're lapping 25%+ comp numbers. Our goal for the year stands. We're confident in the performance of our business. We're confident about the consumer demand that we have. You know, you gotta be cognizant of the fact that we have some big numbers we're lapping.

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Yeah. Andy, I mentioned lapping the 25% in Q2. April alone, we were lapping a 34+ comp. April was a challenging one, and then obviously, the lap becomes a little bit easier to get to the 25. As Michael said, we're gonna keep that elephant in the room, but you know, but want you all to be mindful of those tougher laps in Q2.

Andy Barish
Managing Director, Jefferies

Gotcha. Appreciate the color there. Anything, Michelle, on, you know, sort of more of, you know, kinda one-time, you know, costs hitting the labor line in the 1Q with Omicron still there, you know, on overtime or even, you know, COVID exclusion, you know, pay or stuff like that that was noticeable?

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Yeah. We had a little bit of that in there, Andy, that did impact us in terms of some labor pressures in Q1. You know, nothing that I would call, you know, significant on the margin, but definitely a little bit of that in Q1 that we don't expect to see in Q2 and beyond.

Andy Barish
Managing Director, Jefferies

Great. I'll pass it on. Thank you.

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Thanks, Andy.

Operator

The next question is from Chris O'Cull with Stifel. Please go ahead.

Chris O'Cull
Managing Director, Stifel

Thanks. Good morning, guys. I was hoping you could dig in a bit more in the wage investments you plan to make later this year. Is there anything you can share in terms around the magnitude of the investment and whether there are certain positions in the field that you wanna address or support?

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

Here's what I'd say, Chris, is we want to take wage off the table for employees as they make decisions on where to work. We see pockets in our system where we might be a hair behind some of our competitors. We are going to make some investments. It's certainly less than what we've made in the last 24 months, so I definitely feel like the pace of inflation is slowing. There are places where we need to make some modest investments. The key to our success, our algorithm when it comes to labor, is take wage off the table as they come in, and then provide fantastic culture, training, and development so that our turnover is lower than everybody else's in the industry. That creates really great outcomes on labor.

When you have turnover, you know, that's just higher than average. You're spending a lot of money to recruit, train, bring in new people. That's how we're approaching this situation. Take wage off the table. There are some pockets where we have to make some small investments and then train the heck out of people, make sure that they are loved and appreciated and are enjoying their experiences at Portillo's.

Chris O'Cull
Managing Director, Stifel

That's a very helpful insight. Michael, you mentioned measurable efficiency improvements. Can you review what those initiatives were and what were you able to drive in terms of productivity gains?

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

I'll give you one example. You know, I give a ton of credit to our operators 'cause this is something that they found. A traditional Portillo's has this L-shaped series of production lines. On the long part of the L is the traditional sandwiches, burgers, hot dogs, beef, et cetera. On the short side, we had what we called our salad bowl, where we assembled salads, scratch salads, and they're amazing. Our team members said, "You know what? We would be a lot more efficient if we could move the salad bowl over to the main part of the L. There's some space in the back near where the drive-through lanes are." We've been doing that.

We took the salad bowl area, we moved it to the back of the line in a bunch of restaurants. It creates labor efficiencies because if those folks are slow, they can slide over and work on another station. It creates guest efficiencies because in a traditional Portillo's, if you ordered a burger and a salad, you actually had to pick it up in two separate places. This is a huge guest win. You know, we're able to staff the salad bowl with two fewer people than we used to currently. We have seen a tick up in our items per labor hour productivity because of that. It's early going. We have some creative ideas on what to do with some of that space we vacated that we think will create further efficiencies for our business.

That's one example of real tangible savings.

Chris O'Cull
Managing Director, Stifel

No, that's helpful. Thank you, guys.

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

You bet.

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Thanks, Chris.

Operator

The next question is from Sharon Zackfia with William Blair. Please go ahead.

Sharon Zackfia
Group Head of Consumer, William Blair

Hi. Good morning. Just a question on the restaurant- level margins. Can you talk about kind of where March was relative to the full quarter, given some of those Omicron-related disruptions early in the quarter? You know, if I look at 2018 and 2019 before the pandemic, typically, you would seasonally see a couple hundred basis points or more lift, you know, second quarter relative to first quarter. Is that going to be the pattern this year? Is there something we should think about to temper that? Last question, can you talk about Chicago and kind of what you saw when the vaccine mandate lifted on on-premises?

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Yeah. Sharon, I don't wanna get into intra-period margins, so I'll, you know, I'm gonna punt on that one. I will say to you, it. When you look at the trends, and I think you hit it. When you look at our Q2 trends, and you look at higher revenues traditionally in Q2 and Q4, in those periods for us, you know, you start to leverage a little bit more. I think when you look at that, and given some of the things Michael just mentioned, from a labor efficiency standpoint, my expectation would be, again, and not, you know, getting into detailed numbers, that we would see improvement in margins in Q2.

Sharon Zackfia
Group Head of Consumer, William Blair

Okay.

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

What was your third question, Sharon? Sorry.

Sharon Zackfia
Group Head of Consumer, William Blair

Yeah, just.

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

Well, I think, Sharon, the other lead-

Sharon Zackfia
Group Head of Consumer, William Blair

Sorry, go ahead.

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

The trend you were asking about what's happened in Chicagoland with the lifting of the vax mandate, et cetera. Look, I would describe it as positive momentum, right? In Q1, what we saw is that our inside sales came up to 40% of our mix. You know, that was in the 20s a year ago. We're really happy with that trend. It's not back up to the low 50s that it used to be, but you know, it's improved. We're cautiously optimistic that there's more improvement, more people coming into the restaurants, but you never know. There's you know, now places where people are afraid of a new variant, Omicron, of COVID.

We're cautiously optimistic, but I'm hesitant to bank on it or plan for it.

Sharon Zackfia
Group Head of Consumer, William Blair

Okay. We'll try to order in today to help you out in Chicago. On the G&A line, Michelle, you had originally, I think, expected $70 million-$75 million this year. You were kinda well below that run rate in the first quarter. Is $70 million-$75 million still the right number for the year?

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

I'm not going off of that yet, Sharon, because we do have investments. Remember, we're definitely in growth mode. We have investments that we do wanna make in the back half of this year. If we are, you know, if we continue to trend at those levels and you know, we're definitely carefully managing that line, like I mentioned, I'll update you all next quarter. We still have investments coming in the back half of the year. Right now, that's still a good range to use. To your point, you know, we're trending more lower than that. I still believe for the full year that's a good range.

Sharon Zackfia
Group Head of Consumer, William Blair

Okay. Thank you.

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Yeah, no problem.

Operator

Once again, if you have a question, please press star then one. Our next question is from Dennis Geiger with UBS. Please go ahead.

Dennis Geiger
Equity Research Analyst, UBS

Great. Thank you. Michael or Michelle, I'm curious if you could touch a bit on kind of what you're seeing from customers of late. Any changes in behaviors, perhaps how they're using the menu? I know, Michael, you mentioned no pushback on the pricing at all. But any other, you know, changes or shifts in behavior or purchase shifts to call out? I assume customers can't do without their Shake Shakes, but if there's anything notable that you would mention of late, be interested there.

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

You know, I would say overall there is very little change in mix, in sales patterns, et cetera. We are seeing a slight, very slight uptick where people are going from a regular beef sandwich to a big beef sandwich, from a regular burger to a double burger. Delivery continues to grow. We're seeing both our own self-delivery as well as third-party delivery growing. That's a continued trend. The underlying consumer demand, you know, the frequency with which they visit, how much they're eating, all that's pretty stable, Dennis.

Dennis Geiger
Equity Research Analyst, UBS

That's helpful. Just one other as it relates to the new units and the returns. You know, I know last quarter, I think we talked about the higher build costs that you and the industry are seeing. You know, despite all that, your ability to kind of continue to see those solid returns. I'm just curious, as you know as we think about the strength, you know, early days that you're seeing in Joliet and St. Petersburg, is it you know is it sort of stronger sales? Is it better margins, a combination of the two things that you know even in this kind of elevated new build environment, you know, support those really solid new unit returns?

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

You know, both Joliet and St. Pete were not particularly expensive builds. We have been cautious and I think pretty careful about what we say about our new builds. I think Joliet certainly was on the low end, given its size. Even St. Pete came in at a, you know, relatively attractive build for us. It wasn't the build cost of those necessarily. Those weren't problems. The consumer has been very, very strong for both of those. Joliet is, as I think everyone knows, a drive-through- only concept for us. It's a triple- lane drive-through. It is a bit of a pilot and an experiment, and it's been fantastic so far. We think there's something there to this drive-through- only concept. St.

Pete is just, you know, I feel like it's one of those where we did everything really well. It's in a great trade area. It is a beautiful restaurant. It reflects the local environment. We hired really effectively. We trained the heck out of our folks who are super happy to be there. The volumes came in strong, and we did a great job in handling that volume. I think St. Pete is an example of executing our playbook effectively. When we do, we expect to beat our numbers.

Dennis Geiger
Equity Research Analyst, UBS

Great. Thanks, Michael.

Operator

The next question is from Gregory Francfort with Guggenheim Securities. Please go ahead.

Gregory Francfort
Managing Director, Guggenheim Securities

Hey, thanks for the question. My question, there's been a bunch of talk about the most recent couple openings, but maybe even the four or five that, Michael, that you had a hand in before the most recent few, how are those continuing to trend? 'Cause I mean, those were a great class of stores, and I'm curious if-

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

Yeah

Gregory Francfort
Managing Director, Guggenheim Securities

If kind of you held onto the sales and margin from those.

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

I mean, the short answer is yes, Greg. We're very happy with the class of 2020 and 2021. As a class, they're performing very, very well. I would say, as a class, they're performing above our underwriting expectations. They can, you know, you know, some are just plowing ahead at ridiculous revenue levels, and some have slowed down a hair. As a class, we're very, very excited by the classes of 2020, 2021 and the early 2022s.

Gregory Francfort
Managing Director, Guggenheim Securities

Got it. Maybe just on the labor side, I think, you touched on staffing improving. How has turnover been? Has turnover started to tick down at all, or is-

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

Yeah

Gregory Francfort
Managing Director, Guggenheim Securities

Is that kind of staying at elevated levels?

Michael Osanloo
President and CEO, Portillo's

Obviously, turnover in the restaurant industry are some, you know, some lofty numbers. What we like to do is we very assiduously track ourselves against the rest of our industry. I can tell you that we are 20-30 percentage points lower than the rest of our industry, right? You see some restaurant companies, you know, very, very high turnover levels approaching 200%. We're still in the low 100 %s, which in this industry and at this time represents a 20-30 percentage point benefit versus others. We think that we're a little bit more sticky than others in the restaurant industry.

Gregory Francfort
Managing Director, Guggenheim Securities

Got it. Thank you. Maybe if I can sneak one last one in. Just on the hedging, Michelle, that you mentioned. I

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Yep

Gregory Francfort
Managing Director, Guggenheim Securities

I think it was you were 50% for the rest of the year. Are you significantly below or above the futures curve, as we kind of look out to 2023 and 2024, in terms of what the commodity impact could be? Thanks.

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Yeah. Greg, just to be clear, for the full year, we're locked in at that almost 55% market basket. You know, I will tell you that our biggest concentration, which I mentioned, being the beef, you know, we're locked in at a rate that was below our own internal budgeted projections. We feel good about that. Obviously, when you look at the other commodities, you know, most of those are locked in in Q2. When we look at the Q3, Q4 locks on those, you know, you obviously weigh what the cost is of locking in at that given certain price. You know, like I said, when opportunities arise, we're gonna lock in.

You know, I think when you look to your question on forward projection, right? That's where I'm not gonna, you know, lock ourselves in to something now knowing that, you know, there could be opportunities in the future. 'Cause as you know, you know, when you look at forward projections, you know, we do expect some easing. Like we said, we know these pressures are more transient. So we're not locking into really longer- term numbers because we do think, you know, as you look into 2023 and 2024, that again, we would expect and hope to be some easing there.

Gregory Francfort
Managing Director, Guggenheim Securities

Thank you, guys.

Michelle Hook
CFO, Portillo's

Yeah. Thanks, Greg.

Operator

With that, we will conclude today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating, and have a pleasant day.

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